How will 2024's global elections shape the world?

Summary

2024 marks a monumental year in global politics, witnessing an unprecedented number of voters participating in critical elections across continents—from the US to India, across Africa, Europe, and the UK. With the possibility of a Trump-Biden rematch in the US, the potential for the first change of government in 14 years in the UK, and significant ballots in Europe, Africa, and India, the outcomes of these elections could dramatically reshape global alliances, democracy, and policy directions on warfare, migration, and climate change. As the world braces for the results, the fundamental structure of international relations and democratic institutions faces a pivotal test, making 2024 a defining year for the global political landscape.

Takeaways

• 🇺🇸 The US is poised for a high-stakes election, potentially seeing a Trump-Biden rematch, with implications for democracy, international alliances, and policy directions.
• 🇬🇧 The UK anticipates a general election with the possibility of a government change to Labour under Sir Keir Starmer, impacting climate policies and the special relationship with the US.
• 🧳 Europe faces multiple national elections and the European Parliament election, with a focus on the far right's rise, migration, and implications for the war in Ukraine.
• 🇦🇿 Africa is set for numerous elections, with key ones in South Africa, Senegal, and Ghana that could reshape regional dynamics, democracy, and international relationships.
• 🇮🇳 India's election sees Narendra Modi as a favorite, affecting democracy, regional power balances, and relations with Western allies and China.
• 💥 Global stakes are high with elections affecting warfare, migration, climate crisis, and democracy itself.
• 🌍 Over 50 countries are participating in elections, making 2024 a pivotal year for global politics and ideologies.
• 📝 The script underscores the interconnectedness of domestic politics and international relations across continents.
• 📈 Political outcomes could significantly shift support and ideologies, particularly concerning climate action and foreign policy stances.
• 🖥 The potential changes in leadership and policy directions in these elections could influence global power dynamics and alliances.

Q & A

What are the implications of a Trump-Biden rematch for the United States and the world?

A Trump-Biden rematch could put significant stress on the structures of American democracy and the Constitution. The outcome could lead to chaos if Trump loses and claims the election was stolen, potentially affecting societal stability. If Trump wins, it could test Western alliances, raise questions about the U.S. commitment to NATO, and influence America's stance on Ukraine and Taiwan.

How might the war in Gaza impact Joe Biden's reelection campaign?

Biden's support for Israel's actions in Gaza could negatively impact his reelection campaign, especially given the importance of the Arab American vote in swing states like Michigan. This positions foreign policy issues, notably the war in Gaza, as a significant factor for voters.

What are the potential consequences of the UK general election for its foreign and defense policies?

A change in government in the UK might not lead to seismic shifts in certain areas of foreign and defense policy, such as support for NATO, Ukraine, or relations with China. However, the outcome could influence the UK's special relationship with the U.S., especially if there's a shift in the U.S. presidency.

How could the European parliamentary elections affect the EU's stance on migration?

With polls showing an increase in support for the far right in countries like Germany and the Netherlands, the European parliamentary elections could heighten pressure around the migration debate. Far-right gains could normalize more extremist ideologies, impacting the EU's migration policies.

What are the key factors influencing South Africa's 2024 elections?

South Africa's 2024 elections are influenced by the ANC's declining popularity due to corruption scandals, youth unemployment, persistent power cuts, and economic inequality. The outcome could determine whether the ANC retains its hold on power amid challenges from opposition parties.

How might Narendra Modi's leadership impact India's democracy and international relations?

Critics fear that Modi's leadership, accused of clamping down on opposition, eroding judiciary independence, and stoking anti-Muslim sentiments, could undermine democratic institutions. His re-election could be critical for India's democracy and its relations with the West, especially concerning cooperation with the U.S. to counter China's influence.

What role does the African continent play in global politics according to the 2024 elections?

Africa is focusing on solving its own problems through partnerships and expanding its influence on the global stage, such as leading the BRICS bloc expansion and joining the G20. African leaders are engaging more with Russia and China, moving away from traditional support from the West.

What challenges and opportunities does the UK's stance on climate change present in its upcoming election?

The UK's election could turn climate change into a battleground issue. Under Rishi Sunak, there have been several policy reversals on green initiatives, whereas K Starmer sees climate as a vote winner and has pledged to reverse some of Sunak's rollbacks, highlighting the differing approaches to addressing climate change.

What are the potential effects of the 2024 elections on the European political landscape?

Elections in Austria, Portugal, Belgium, and Croatia will serve as a barometer for the far-right's popularity in Europe. A shift towards far-right governance could alter the European political landscape, affecting policies on immigration, economic growth, and the European Union's unity.

How might the global geopolitical landscape shift as a result of the 2024 elections worldwide?

The 2024 elections could lead to shifts in support and ideologies around warfare, migration, the climate crisis, and democracy itself. With over 50 countries participating in elections, outcomes could affect global alliances, economic policies, and the balance of power, especially concerning relations with China and Russia.

Outlines

00:00

🌍 Global Elections Overview 2024

2024 marks a significant year with record-breaking voter turnout expected globally, impacting regions from the US to India, Africa, Europe, and the UK. The spotlight is on the US for its high-stakes election, potentially seeing a Trump-Biden rematch, which could profoundly influence American democracy and global dynamics. Key issues include Trump's legal challenges, Biden's age, and geopolitical tensions. The election's outcome could either destabilize America further if Trump contests a loss or impact international relations, including NATO commitments and defense strategies regarding Ukraine and Taiwan. The script also touches on Joe Biden's position on Gaza, influencing Arab American voters in crucial swing states.

05:02

🇬🇧 UK's Political Landscape and European Elections

The UK anticipates a potential change in government with the Labour Party under Sir Keir Starmer possibly defeating the Conservatives, marking the first change in 14 years without expected major shifts in foreign and defense policy. Speculation surrounds Starmer's approach to relations with the US, especially if Trump returns to power, and his commitment to climate policies amidst reversals by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. European elections will gauge the far-right's influence, particularly with upcoming votes in Austria, Portugal, Belgium, and Croatia, and the European Parliamentary elections. There's a focus on the far-right's impact on immigration and the EU's stance on Ukraine amidst a rise in nationalist sentiments.

10:03

🌍 Africa's Election Year and India's Political Scene

Significant elections in South Africa, Senegal, and Ghana could reshape Africa's political landscape amidst controversies like postponed elections and leadership changes. South Africa's election is particularly noteworthy as the ANC may lose its majority for the first time since apartheid, impacted by corruption and social issues. Africa's global role is evolving, with increasing engagement with BRICS nations and a move towards self-reliance. India's upcoming election sees Prime Minister Narendra Modi as a likely victor, raising concerns about democracy and relations with the West, especially regarding China. Modi's leadership has faced criticism for undermining democratic institutions and stoking communal tensions.

15:04

🌏 Global Politics and Democracy in 2024

The year 2024 is pivotal for global politics, with elections in over 50 countries influencing key issues like warfare, migration, and the climate crisis. The narrative questions the state of democracy worldwide as over 4 billion people vote. The script emphasizes India's growing influence and its critical relationship with Western allies concerning democracy and strategic balance with China. This period could bring shifts in global support and ideologies, highlighting the importance of democratic values in the face of geopolitical challenges.

Keywords

💡Global Elections

Global Elections refer to the various national elections happening worldwide within a specific timeframe, impacting international relations and domestic policies. In the context of the video, 2024 is highlighted as a record year for elections globally, with significant ballots in the US, UK, India, Africa, and across Europe, emphasizing the worldwide impact these elections have on global political dynamics, relationships, and policy directions.

💡Trump-Biden Rematch

The Trump-Biden rematch signifies the potential rerun of the 2020 US presidential election candidates in 2024. The script discusses this possibility, emphasizing its high stakes due to implications for US democratic stability, international relations, and global reactions to either candidate's victory. It reflects on the divisiveness and consequential nature of such a rematch, highlighting its potential global impact.

💡American Democracy

American Democracy in the script refers to the US's political system and its foundational principles. The discussion around the Trump-Biden rematch indicates concerns about the strain on democratic structures and the Constitution amid the election. The potential outcomes are portrayed as critical junctures that could define the resilience and nature of democracy in America.

💡UK General Election

The UK General Election mentioned in the script refers to the anticipated electoral event where Prime Minister Rishi Sunak may call for a vote, potentially leading to a change in government. It delves into the implications for domestic policy and international relations, especially in terms of alignment with the US and positions on global issues like climate change and foreign policy.

💡European Parliamentary Elections

These elections, held across EU member states, determine the composition of the European Parliament. The script highlights their significance in shaping EU policies, especially on matters like immigration and support for Ukraine. The potential rise of far-right parties is noted as a crucial factor that could influence the EU's future direction and stance on various global and regional issues.

💡African Elections

The segment on African Elections outlines the political activities in countries like South Africa, Senegal, and Ghana, highlighting their potential to influence regional stability and policy orientation. These elections are portrayed as pivotal for democratic processes, economic strategies, and international alliances, reflecting the continent's evolving political landscape.

💡Migration

Migration is discussed in various contexts, including its impact on European politics, African economies, and global humanitarian concerns. The script ties migration to election issues in Europe and Africa, where it influences voter sentiments and policy debates, reflecting its significance in global and national political discourse.

💡Climate Crisis

The climate crisis is highlighted as a central election issue, particularly in the context of the UK's policies and leadership role on environmental matters. The narrative explores how different election outcomes could affect national and global approaches to addressing climate change, emphasizing the importance of political leadership in combating environmental challenges.

💡Democracy

Democracy is a recurring theme, examining how electoral outcomes reflect or influence democratic values and institutions across various countries. The script scrutinizes the health of democracy in contexts like American stability, Indian governance, and African political transitions, emphasizing elections as pivotal moments for democratic practices worldwide.

💡Geopolitical Impact

The Geopolitical Impact refers to the consequences of election outcomes on international alliances, conflicts, and global power dynamics. The script explores scenarios like the US's role in NATO, the UK's international positioning post-election, and India's strategic importance, illustrating how elections shape global geopolitical landscapes.

Highlights

2024 is a record year for global elections, with more voters heading to the polls than ever before.

The US faces a potential Trump-Biden rematch, putting American democracy and the Constitution under significant stress.

Donald Trump's return could test the Western Alliance and raise questions about NATO and Ukraine.

Joe Biden's support for Israel's actions in Gaza may impact his standing with Arab American voters.

UK's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak intends to call a general election in the second half of 2024, potentially seeing a change in government.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is preparing for a global role, meeting with leaders from several countries.

The UK's upcoming election may turn climate policies into a battleground, with significant shifts depending on the outcome.

Elections in Austria, Portugal, Belgium, and Croatia will serve as a barometer for the far right's popularity in Europe.

The European Parliamentary elections in June will have significant implications for the future of Europe, especially regarding migration and far-right ideologies.

Africa is set for a packed year of national elections, with key votes in South Africa, Senegal, and Ghana.

South Africa's ANC faces a tough election, with polls suggesting it may receive less than 50% of the vote for the first time.

India's election sees Prime Minister Narendra Modi as a strong contender for re-election amidst concerns over democracy.

India's growing influence is critical for Western countries, especially in balancing China's dominance in Asia.

With over 50 countries voting, 2024 is set to be a monumental year for global politics, potentially shifting ideologies around war, migration, and climate crisis.

The outcome of these elections could significantly affect global democracy and international relations.

Transcripts

2024 is a record year for elections

globally more voters than ever in

history will head to the polls from the

US to India across Africa Europe and of

course the UK our experts take a look at

2024's biggest ballots as we ask how

will This Global year of the election

shape the

world well let's Kickstart this election

explainer with the United States surely

the most high stakes election this year

from the Middle East to the front line

in Ukraine and the Democratic stability

of the United States itself all eyes

will be here in America and it is time

to brace yourselves for some familiar

faces because yes it's Groundhog Day

here it seems as though we're hurtling

into a trump Biden rematch and the

results could mold not just America's

future but the World At Large it would

be foolish right now to make any firm

predictions about Donald Trump's chances

there are after all so many factors in

the months ahead which could shift

everything Trump's court cases Biden's

age another geopolitical shock any of

those could change things fundamentally

and repeat after me I Donald John Trump

but what we can say is this as Donald

Trump tries to win again the structures

of American democracy and the

Constitution itself are being put under

Almighty stress the polls right now

suggest a trump Biden rematch would be

close if Biden wins well then prepare

for chaos in America because Trump will

surely claim again that it was stolen

how will Society react to that if Trump

wins well then the world will need to

brace as the old saying goes when

America sneezes the world catches a cold

well the world already seems to have a

cold so what could a trump return mean

well the Western Alliance would be

tested once again but this time would

Donald Trump follow through on threats

like leaving NATO he says he will solve

the Ukraine war in a day but how

capitulate to Putin baby and what would

that tell China about American defense

of Taiwan listen to this on the campaign

Trail one of the presidents of a big

country stood up said well sir uh if we

don't pay and we're attacked by Russia

will you protect us I said you didn't

pay you're delinquent no I would not

protect you in fact I would encourage

them to do whatever the hell they want

you got to pay so is this just trumpian

rhetoric he doesn't really mean it does

he people around him would check on his

most controversial policies wouldn't

they that's the thing no one really

knows and Trump 2.0 would differ from

the first term he is no longer a novice

the Middle East raises some really

interesting questions rarely do foreign

policy issues play Big in America's

voters minds but this year is different

the war in Gaza presents big problems

for Joe Biden with voters you can either

be on the right side of history or you

could be on the wrong side of History

Biden's support for Israel's bombardment

of Gaza has cost him at home he needs

the Arab American vote in swing States

like

Michigan so what about Ukraine peace in

24 hours says Donald Trump but would

that require him giving in to Putin and

conceding him Ukrainian land in the East

President Putin ordered his tanks to

roll in Ukraine he thought we would roll

over he was wrong even if Biden does

beat Trump the mood in America for

supporting Ukraine is waning and so

expect some shift in American policy

towards Ukraine either way increasing

the pressure on Europe and maybe the

Jeopardy too so much is at stake in this

the most consequential of American

elections and at a time when this

nation's Global clout and Global

influence seems to be shifting so

profoundly as they like to say here

buckle up is it also going to be a

general election year yes meanwhile here

in the UK we're expecting an election

prime minister Rishi sunak has announced

he intends to call it in the second half

of

2024 it could be October it could be

November so what could happen well early

Poland suggests we'll see the first

change of government in 14 years with

labor leader sir stama predicted to be

the next prime minister if the polls are

right but a lot could change between now

and the election to see K starma hasn't

wasted any time setting himself up on

the World stage as a leader in Waiting

he's already met with leaders from

Canada France Norway Australia Greece

and Brazil to name but a few so what

could a change in the governing party

here in the UK mean for our Global

relations well it isn't likely to bring

any seismic shifts in certain areas of

foreign and defense policy like support

for NATO Ukraine or relations with China

but what could it mean for our special

relationship with the US let's talk

about the the the so-called in inverted

Comet special relationship it's been

rumored that sir's team has been working

to strengthen his relationship with

President Joe Biden but some have

questioned how well the PM in waiting

would cope with the alternative the

return of Donald Trump the two certainly

aren't natural bedfellows and it's hard

to picture them reving in that special

relationship we can't get to Net Zero

without nature and what about the UK's

reputation as an international climate

leader Britain's election will likely

turn the Quest for Net Zero into a

Battleground can we turn to Sky can you

honestly say hand on heart that none of

the people you've spoken to today have

brought up or raised any concern about

the recent changes you made in green

policy hand on heart 100% no under Rishi

at the UK has made a number of u-turns

on green policies from granting new

licenses for oil and gas projects in the

North Sea to delay in the ban on diesel

and petrol cars so is starma The Greener

Choice well it looks like he sees

climate as more of a vote winner than

sunac should there be an election next

year that we win then we will play our

full part on the international stage

obviously towards those Net Zero targets

he's vowed to reverse some of sunak

climate roll backs if he wins although

stma has already wobbled on his own

pledge to invest up to 28 billion pounds

a year on low carbon industry but if

starma won would he put his money where

his mouth is the Sky News scoop has

shown the real K starma he wants to

return us into the EU effectively and

let's touch briefly on Europe it's

unlikely a labor government would

dramatically change relations with the

EU but dealing with a pro-european party

would likely be a welcome change for

Brussels after often Rocky Relationships

with an assortment of Tory PMS but

starma won't be reversing brexit anytime

soon the former lawyer is cautious when

it comes to the EU and has ruled out

rejoining the single Market irregular

migration is a European Challenge and it

needs a European answer now let's take a

look at the rest of Europe from a host

of national elections to voting for the

European Parliament the spotlight this

year will be on war migration and the

rise of the farm so clearly a lot to

unpack there let's start with domestic

elections and what are we likely to see

well in some places the far right has

seen an upsurge in response to

immigration inflation and poor economic

growth elections in Austria Portugal

Belgium and Croatia will act as a

barometer for their popularity an

indication of how the European political

landscape may be

shifting Austria's election could be the

most critical with the far right

expected to enter government after

September's election potentially as the

largest

party that would follow recent farri

right successes in the Netherlands and

swed and that brings me on to the

European parliamentary elections the

biggest crossborder elections will take

place in June with more than 400 million

people expected to vote and on

pre-election voting the elections decide

who will represent EU citizens over the

next 5 years and they out come has huge

implications for the future of Europe so

what's at stake this year with poll

showing an increase in support for the

far right in countries like Germany and

the Netherlands there's expected to be

increased pressure around the migration

debate the EU is expected to receive

over a million Asylum applications this

year and some feared that farite gains

could normalize more extremist

ideologies across Europe which typically

include an anti-immigrant

starts I I can't tell you that it was

special meeting we had dialogue and now

onto matters of War what could a more

right-wing European landscape bring for

example for the war in Ukraine well

firstly there's a risk of dwindling

support the EU has agreed on a 50

billion Euro funding package for Ukraine

but not without resistance from

hungary's populous leader Victor Orban

he has no any reasons to block Ukrainian

membership in EU and I asked him to tell

me one reason Ukraine needs Europe's

support in the face of an emboldened

Russia and Vladimir zalinski will be

wanting to move forward with his bid to

join the EU after they agreed to open

membership

talks and now to Africa continent is

bracing for a packed year of national

elections with at least 16 countries

scheduled to come pass their vote in

2024 some elections will be competitive

and some will just be for sure so what

are the main elections to watch and why

elections in South Africa Sagal and

Ghana could reshape some of the

continent's longest standing democracies

but they aren't without their

controversy president Maki Sal triggered

sagal's worst political crisis by

postponing February's presidential

elections a move called a constitutional

by protesters and opposition leaders in

a country once hiled as West Africa's

healthiest democracy has since been

overturned by the Constitutional

Council and while Sagal waits to elect

its first new president since 2012

increasingly large numbers of sagales

migrants are making the dangerous

journey to Europe could new leadership

Inspire them to

stay Ghana's president Nana Aku ad will

also be stepping down after completing

his second term in office there has

never been a more humbling moment in my

life and I thank you the good people of

Ghana the presidential candidates are

anything but new with the current vice

president and a former president

competing for the top seat now let's

talk about the main attraction an

election that marks 30 years since

Africa's most icon vote to

date South Africa's 2024 elections are

set to be the tightest race since the

fall of apartheid the year that thec was

historically voted in with Nelson

Mandela at the helm the African National

Congress in this

country

represents the overwhelming majority of

the people of this country but now

everyone is asking one question will

thec lose its hold on power this

democracy has been able to demonstrate

its

resilience its stability and its

strength the polls are suggesting that

thec may receive less than 50% of the

total vote this year it's declining

popularity over the last few decades has

been fueled by corruption scandals youth

unemployment persistent power cuts and

soaring economic inequality we today are

sending a clear message that in this

ction we are in it to win it but thec is

still one of the oldest and most

established political parties on the

continent and there's uncertainty that

the opposition vying for power will hold

the same way internationally especially

as the bricks block continues to expand

as a counterweight to the global North

so what does this mean for Africa on the

world stage Global players have plenty

of interests on the African continent

from resources to counterterrorism to

anti-migration efforts but Africa's

increasingly focused on solving its own

problems through its Partnerships South

Africa is leading the expansion of the

brics block and the African Union join

the G20 oh more deportation plus we saw

Rwanda capitalize off the UK's stumbling

migration plan it's fair to say that

African leaders are taking far less of a

supporting role with the west and

turning more and more to Russia and

China as they deal with their own

internal power struggles but power is

still a fragile commodity here and the

question is as always will The People's

Choice be the winner all my fellow

residents of this planet I make solemn

place today and let's not forget about

India the most populated nation in the

world will go to the polls in the next

few months to choose their government

and prime minister but Narendra Modi is

seen by most as a shoe in for the wind

there and with par J party sweeping

three state elections in December he's

already declared this hatrick has

guaranteed the 2024 victory at the

moment opposition parties do not pose a

strong or a serious challenge either

Centennial India will also exceed your

expectations now India may be the

world's largest democracy but just how

Democratic is it Modi has been accused

of using government agencies to clamp

down on political opponents eroding the

independence of the Judiciary preventing

press freedom and stoking anti-muslim

sentiments so the fear amongst his

critics is that his victory Al beit

within a free election would allow him

to bring in policies which undermine

Democratic institutions so 2024 could be

critical for the future of India's

democracy and critical for its relations

with the West the citizenship is all

about having India cooperate much more

with the United States be closer through

the United States America especially

seems to view India as an ally when it

comes to limiting China's

influence the two share a vital interest

when it comes to stopping China from

dominating Asia it's not about

containing China it's about having a

stable base and while we are on China

aside from acting as a counterbalance

for the other nation's interests India

has its own priority to think about

there relations between the two

countries have been strained since 2020s

deadly clashes between troops along the

Himalayan border they share although in

a rare face-to-face meeting in South

Africa last year Modi and China's

president shei agreed to intensify

efforts to deescalate border tensions 3

2 1 0 lift off normal India has clearly

arrived as a Global leader and its

recent moon landing has only elevated

its

status so as India's influence grows its

foreign Partners will be wanting to

harness that power at the same time its

Western allies wouldn't want to be seen

to overlook aspects of modi's leadership

which could call democracy into

question so there you have it with over

50 countries taking part in this

worldwide voter thought

2024 is going to be a gigantic year for

global politics we could see shifts in

support and ideologies around Warfare

migration the climate crisis and on a

wider scale a question around democracy

itself so as over 4 billion people head

to the polls which way will you be

voted