How Nike Lost $27 billion in one day? : Direct-to- Consumer Business case study

Think School
27 Aug 202422:58

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses Nike's struggle with its Direct to Consumer (D2C) strategy, which initially boosted sales but later led to inventory issues and a decline in stock prices. It highlights the challenges of D2C, including inventory management, operational costs, and the impact of recession on consumer behavior. The script also emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics and the potential pitfalls of bypassing traditional retail channels, drawing lessons for D2C businesses and investors.

Takeaways

  • 👟 Nike, a dominant player in the running shoe market, is facing stiff competition and seeing a decline in sales and stock price.
  • 📉 The company's direct-to-consumer (D2C) strategy, which initially showed promise, has been a significant factor in their current struggles.
  • 🔄 Nike's D2C approach has led to high unsold inventory levels, with figures reaching as high as $9.7 billion in certain quarters.
  • 💹 While Adidas's stock price appreciated by 19%, Nike's stock price declined by 21% within a year, reflecting market perception and performance.
  • 🛒 The D2C model offers benefits like higher profit margins, brand control, and direct customer relationships, but it also comes with significant challenges.
  • 📈 Nike's D2C sales initially rose from 16% of total revenue in 2011 to 35% in 2020, showing early success before the strategy faced headwinds.
  • 🏪 The high operational costs of maintaining physical stores under the D2C model became a burden during economic downturns, impacting profitability.
  • 🔄 Nike's attempt to rebuild relationships with retailers after focusing heavily on D2C is challenging due to the market share gained by competitors like On and Hoka.
  • 📊 The script highlights the importance of understanding the full implications of a D2C strategy, including inventory management, customer reach, and economic resilience.
  • 💡 For D2C brands and investors, the script serves as a cautionary tale, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach that considers both the benefits and risks of bypassing traditional retail channels.

Q & A

  • Why is Nike struggling in the running market according to the transcript?

    -Nike is struggling due to increased competition, particularly from brands like Hoka, and a shift in consumer preferences. The company's direct-to-consumer (D2C) strategy, which initially seemed successful, has led to overstock and a drop in sales as consumers are now more price-sensitive and prefer buying from retailers.

  • What is the Direct to Consumer (D2C) strategy and why did Nike adopt it?

    -The D2C strategy involves selling products directly to consumers through the company's own website or stores, eliminating the need for wholesalers. Nike adopted this strategy to gain better control over pricing, inventory, and customer data, as well as to increase profit margins.

  • How did the pandemic affect Nike's D2C sales initially?

    -During the pandemic, Nike's D2C sales initially rose drastically as consumers shifted to online shopping. However, post-pandemic, the sales growth from apps and websites started dropping as consumers returned to in-store shopping.

  • What are the four major superpowers that a D2C approach offers according to the transcript?

    -The four superpowers of a D2C approach are: 1) Higher profit margins, 2) Brand control and consistent pricing, 3) Detailed customer relationship and data, and 4) Better customer experience through direct interaction and control over the retail environment.

  • Why is Nike now facing a challenge with its unsold inventory?

    -Nike is facing a challenge with unsold inventory because the D2C model requires the company to manage its own inventory without the help of wholesalers. This has led to overproduction and a lack of flexibility in responding to changing consumer demands.

  • What are the operational costs associated with the D2C model that Nike is now reconsidering?

    -Operational costs in the D2C model include high rent for flagship stores in prime locations, maintenance of retail spaces, and logistics. These costs have become a burden during times of low sales, leading Nike to reconsider its reliance on the D2C model.

  • What are the lessons that entrepreneurs and investors should learn from Nike's D2C experience?

    -Entrepreneurs and investors should learn that D2C is not always ideal and that middlemen can add value to the supply chain. They should also understand that brand loyalty can be overrated and that building a strong ecosystem, like Apple has done, can be more effective than relying on perception for loyalty.

  • How did Nike's decision to cut ties with retailers impact its market reach?

    -Cutting ties with retailers reduced Nike's market reach because it lost access to the extensive distribution networks of these retailers. This made it harder for Nike to sell in areas with fewer customers and limited its ability to quickly adapt to changing market conditions.

  • What is the impact of recession on Nike's D2C strategy as described in the transcript?

    -During a recession, consumers tend to look for more economical options and may opt for discounted shoes at retailers rather than full-priced options from Nike's D2C channel. This shift in consumer behavior has negatively impacted Nike's D2C sales.

  • What are the advantages of the wholesale model from Nike's perspective as highlighted in the script?

    -The wholesale model allows Nike to mitigate risk by sharing inventory management with retailers, reach a wider audience through the retailers' networks, and reduce operational costs as it does not have to manage individual stores or logistics.

  • What is the 'Consumer Direct Offense' strategy that Nike announced?

    -The 'Consumer Direct Offense' strategy was Nike's initiative to focus on its D2C approach by cutting off ties with one-third of their wholesale partners and reducing supply to remaining stores. It aimed to strengthen Nike's digital and retail presence directly with consumers.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Nike's Struggle with the D2C Model

Nike, a 60-year-old company, is facing a significant challenge in the running market due to increased competition, particularly from Hoka. Despite a pandemic-induced sales boom, Nike's stock price has dropped by 21%, and they have a high unsold inventory compared to Adidas. This decline is attributed to Nike's shift to a Direct to Consumer (D2C) strategy, which has not been as successful as anticipated. The video aims to dissect the D2C model, understand Nike's implementation, and the resulting flaws that have led to their current predicament.

05:01

🛍️ The Shift to Direct to Consumer Strategy

The video explains the transition from a wholesale model, where Nike sold to retailers like Foot Locker, to a D2C model, which allows the company to sell directly to consumers. This change was driven by the potential for higher profit margins, brand control, better customer relationships, and data collection. Nike's D2C strategy, called 'Consumer Direct Offense,' involved cutting ties with certain retailers and focusing on digital platforms and physical stores to enhance customer experience and brand value.

10:04

🔄 The D2C Ecosystem and Its Challenges

Nike's D2C approach created a three-pillar framework consisting of digital products, retail stores, and the interconnection between the two. This ecosystem was designed to collect customer data, optimize inventory, and enhance the shopping experience. However, post-COVID, there has been a decline in app and website sales growth, leading to a significant inventory buildup and a dip in revenue. Nike is now reconsidering its D2C strategy and moving back towards the wholesale model.

15:05

📉 The Downfall of Nike's D2C Strategy

The script delves into the issues faced by Nike's D2C strategy, including the impact of recession, inventory and supply chain challenges, and high operational costs. The recession led consumers to seek more economical options, and Nike's inventory management became a burden as they had to handle everything in-house. High fixed costs from flagship stores and a limited reach compared to wholesalers contributed to Nike's difficulties, forcing them to rebuild relationships with retailers.

20:06

🚀 Lessons from Nike's D2C Experience

The video concludes with key lessons for D2C entrepreneurs and investors. It highlights that D2C is not a panacea and that middlemen can provide value in terms of risk mitigation and market reach. It also emphasizes the importance of building customer loyalty through design, as opposed to perception, and the need for strategic distribution and product development. The speaker encourages viewers to subscribe for more insights and mentions a masterclass for financial education.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Direct to Consumer (D2C)

Direct to Consumer (D2C) refers to a retail strategy where brands sell their products directly to consumers, bypassing traditional distribution channels like wholesalers and retailers. In the video, Nike's shift to a D2C model is a central theme, illustrating how the company aimed to increase profit margins, control brand perception, and gather more customer data. However, the script also discusses the challenges Nike faced with this approach, such as high inventory and operational costs.

💡Wholesale Model

The Wholesale Model is a traditional retail approach where manufacturers sell their products to wholesalers, who then distribute and sell them to retailers or directly to consumers. The video contrasts this with Nike's D2C strategy, highlighting the benefits of the former in terms of risk mitigation, inventory management, and broader market reach, which became apparent when Nike re-evaluated its distribution strategy.

💡Inventory Management

Inventory Management is the process of overseeing the stock levels of goods, ensuring that the right amount of inventory is available to meet demand without incurring unnecessary costs. The script discusses how Nike's D2C strategy led to significant inventory challenges, as they had to manage stock directly without the buffer of wholesale partners, which impacted their profitability and operations.

💡Profit Margins

Profit Margins are the difference between a company's revenue and the cost of goods sold, indicating how much profit is generated per unit sold. The video explains that one of the superpowers of the D2C model is the potential for higher profit margins, as companies can sell directly to consumers at a higher price than what they would receive from wholesalers.

💡Brand Control

Brand Control refers to a company's ability to manage its brand image, pricing strategy, and customer experience. The script emphasizes the importance of brand control in Nike's D2C strategy, where they could maintain premium pricing and a consistent brand image without retailer discounts affecting their perception.

💡Customer Data

Customer Data encompasses all the information collected about consumers, including preferences, demographics, and purchasing behavior. In the video, it's highlighted how the D2C model allowed Nike to gather detailed customer data, enabling them to personalize marketing efforts and improve products based on direct feedback.

💡Operational Costs

Operational Costs are the expenses associated with running a business on a daily basis, including rent, utilities, and staff salaries. The script points out that Nike's investment in flagship stores and operational expenses under the D2C model became a financial burden when sales declined, illustrating the financial risks of this approach.

💡Recession

A Recession is a period of economic decline, typically characterized by a fall in consumer spending and increased unemployment. The video discusses the impact of recession on Nike's D2C strategy, noting that during economic downturns, consumers are more likely to seek discounted products from wholesalers rather than full-priced options from D2C channels.

💡Supply Chain Shocks

Supply Chain Shocks refer to unexpected disruptions in the supply chain that can affect production and distribution. The script mentions inventory and supply chain shocks as a challenge for Nike under the D2C model, where they had to manage the entire process without the support of wholesalers, leading to increased inventory and financial strain.

💡Market Reach

Market Reach is the extent of a company's ability to distribute and sell its products in different markets. The video contrasts the market reach of the D2C model with that of the wholesale model, indicating that wholesalers can help extend a brand's reach to areas where setting up individual retail stores may not be viable.

💡Loyalty

Loyalty in a business context refers to the faithfulness of customers to a particular brand. The script suggests that brand loyalty may be overrated, as consumers may not be as loyal as companies believe, especially during economic downturns. It contrasts Nike's approach to building loyalty through brand perception with Apple's strategy of building a strong ecosystem that makes it difficult for consumers to leave.

Highlights

Nike is facing increased competition in the running market, with 50% of people now wearing Hoka.

The company's stock price has decreased by 21%, while Adidas's has appreciated by 19%.

Nike's unsold inventory reached $8.9 billion in the first quarter of 2023, compared to Adidas's $6 billion.

The Direct to Consumer (D2C) strategy is identified as a major mistake made by Nike.

The D2C retail space is making significant market moves, impacting Nike's market value.

Nike's missteps with the D2C model are a lesson for investors and founders in the D2C space.

The D2C model offers four superpowers: profit margins, brand control, customer relationship, and better customer experience.

Nike's Consumer Direct Offense strategy involved cutting ties with one-third of their wholesale partners.

Nike's three-pillar framework for D2C includes a digital product portfolio, retail store portfolio, and interconnection between physical and digital.

The D2C strategy initially increased Nike's sales from 16% to 35% of total revenue from 2011 to 2020.

Post-COVID, Nike's sales growth via apps and websites dropped, leading to a surplus of inventory.

Nike is now reverting to the wholesale model due to the challenges faced with D2C.

Recession impacts D2C sales as consumers look for more economical options.

Inventory and supply chain shocks are significant challenges for D2C models like Nike's.

Operational costs for flagship stores and high rents add to Nike's financial burden.

D2C models face a reach problem, limiting their market penetration compared to wholesalers.

Lessons from Nike's D2C experience include the value of middlemen in risk mitigation and market reach.

Loyalty for a brand is often overrated, and brands need to build ecosystems that increase customer retention.

Transcripts

play00:01

hi everybody Nike is feeling Nike is no

play00:04

longer dominating the running Market the

play00:07

60-year-old company is stumbling this is

play00:10

the first real time that you're seeing

play00:11

Nike really struggle with competition do

play00:14

do you have Nikes or you don't 50% of

play00:16

people are wearing Hoka now this is a

play00:18

story of misfires being masked by a

play00:21

pandemic sales Boom for the fiscal

play00:23

fourth core it looks like a Miss pretty

play00:25

much across the board really worried

play00:27

that the company just doesn't have the

play00:29

next like a for us in the past one year

play00:31

while Adidas stock price has appreciated

play00:33

by 19% Nike stock price has gone down by

play00:37

21% while in the first quarter of 2023

play00:40

Adidas had an unsold inventory of $6

play00:43

billion in the same quarter Nike had an

play00:46

unsold inventory of $8.9 billion and it

play00:49

even touched 9.3 and 9.7 billion so Nike

play00:54

sales are dropping dead inventory is

play00:57

very very high and the stock price is

play00:59

going down which is why this year Nike

play01:02

seems to be a stock market disaster in

play01:04

the United States of America and all of

play01:07

this started because Nike made one big

play01:10

big mistake and this mistake is called

play01:13

direct to Consumer strategy or

play01:16

d2c the direct to Consumer retail space

play01:19

is making some pretty big Market moves

play01:21

donaho pointed to the results as proof

play01:23

his strategy was working and started

play01:25

cutting those ties with retailers and

play01:28

Nike is just lagging behind Nike market

play01:30

value nose dived over the past few years

play01:33

an era that was about to come to an end

play01:36

now this d2c approach is the reason why

play01:38

this case study is super super important

play01:40

because while America got hit by the d2c

play01:42

wave in 2010 now in India everybody

play01:45

wants to start a d2c brand so if you're

play01:48

a d2c investor or a Founder watch this

play01:51

episode very very carefully because you

play01:53

can get all the hard lessons that Nike

play01:55

learned by burning a billion dollars and

play01:58

that too in less than 20 20 minutes so

play02:01

in this episode today let's dig deep and

play02:02

try to understand what exactly is this

play02:05

d2c model why did Nike switch to this

play02:07

d2c model what are the most fundamental

play02:10

flaws in this model because of which

play02:12

Nike is now going back to the wholesale

play02:14

model and most importantly as investors

play02:16

and entrepreneurs what are the lessons

play02:18

that we need to learn from Nike's

play02:19

billion doll

play02:23

mistake before we move on I want to

play02:24

quickly thank our education partners of

play02:26

today's episode and that is one person

play02:28

Club people we often too busy or lazy to

play02:30

look after small financial decisions and

play02:33

then these little problems add up to our

play02:35

stress whether it is poor money

play02:36

management or not knowing enough about

play02:38

Finance or simply not caring enough

play02:40

about it it is very easy for you to fall

play02:42

into a financial trap because of these

play02:45

little Financial mistakes but that's

play02:47

where one person Club is here to help

play02:49

you out one person Club has been founded

play02:51

by my dear friend Sharon hegre they are

play02:54

India's largest Finance Community with

play02:56

50,000 plus members and it is all about

play02:59

helping people understand money better

play03:01

to reach their financial goals they are

play03:02

offering 25 plus easy to ouse tools and

play03:05

lessons that will teach you how to pick

play03:07

the right credit card how to choose the

play03:09

best insurance how to invest in the

play03:11

right stocks how to invest in the right

play03:13

mutual funds and much more and for this

play03:15

one person Club is hosting an exclusive

play03:17

masterclass to help you learn the basics

play03:19

of managing and growing your money and

play03:21

the best part is for a limited time

play03:23

things school learners will get a

play03:25

special 50% discount on the retire early

play03:27

masterclass so don't miss out on this

play03:29

opportunity to improve your finances and

play03:31

register Now using the link in the

play03:35

[Music]

play03:37

description this is a story that dates

play03:39

back to 2011 when Nike realized that

play03:42

they were the Godfather of the American

play03:44

shoe market and it's quite

play03:46

understandable because Nike was a legend

play03:47

in the market Jordans were flying off

play03:49

the shells their stock price had shot up

play03:51

by more than 300% in the past 10 years

play03:54

and they recorded a revenue of $20

play03:56

billion people rush to get the newest

play03:58

pair of Air Jordans a crowd busted

play04:01

through this door in Indiana and

play04:03

remember as you're watching these

play04:04

pictures this is all over shoes How many

play04:06

pairs of Air Jordans do you have I have

play04:08

about nine pair of Air Jordans since I

play04:10

was a kid I've been you know working

play04:11

hard just to come up here early in the

play04:12

morning just to wait line to get these

play04:15

shoes and by that time Nike had such a

play04:17

strong brand image that every star

play04:20

player was wearing a Nike whether that

play04:21

was Roger Federer or Kobe Bryant Tiger

play04:24

Woods or Cristiano Ronaldo everybody was

play04:27

wearing a Nike once I went through the

play04:30

presentation with Nike they really made

play04:32

a grave effort of trying to have my

play04:34

input on the shoes when I first signed

play04:35

up with with Nike lines and apparel that

play04:38

know people love it's just been amazing

play04:41

for me to be part of at 35 years old

play04:43

he's still lighting up the Siri a for

play04:45

Juventus coming in this season as runner

play04:47

up for the Golden Boot with 31 total

play04:49

goals so since Nike had an incredible

play04:51

brand pull Nike decided to make a

play04:54

tectonic shift and this tectonic shift

play04:56

was to go from a wholesale model to a

play04:59

direct to consumer model and this is

play05:01

what shook the entire Sports Market of

play05:03

America for those who don't know

play05:05

wholesale model is a model whereby Nikey

play05:07

sells its shoes to a wholesaler like

play05:09

Foot Locker or Macy's who then use their

play05:11

distribution to sell these shoes at

play05:13

their own price in their own stores all

play05:15

across America or the wholesalers might

play05:18

sell it to other retailers who further

play05:20

go on to sell it to their customers

play05:22

whereas in a direct to Consumer model

play05:24

Nike can directly sell all of its

play05:26

products directly to the customer either

play05:28

through its own website or through its

play05:30

own retail store so in this model the

play05:32

wholesaler is completely eliminated now

play05:35

the question is if Nike was able to sell

play05:37

its shoes to wholesalers without the

play05:38

worry of website traffic or store

play05:41

maintenance why did they suddenly shift

play05:43

to the direct to Consumer model well

play05:45

that is because ladies and gentlemen a

play05:47

direct to Consumer approach gives you

play05:48

four major superpowers the first

play05:51

superpower is a superpower of profit

play05:53

margins in simple words if Nike makes a

play05:55

shoe for $80 and sells it to Macy's at

play05:58

$100 Macy's would then sell the same

play06:01

shoe at

play06:02

$120 so even though the product cost is

play06:05

$120 the profit of Nike is only $20 but

play06:09

theoretically if Nike sold this product

play06:11

directly to the customer they could sell

play06:14

the same shoe at $110 and still make a

play06:17

profit of

play06:18

$30 so do you see even with decrease in

play06:21

cost Nike can still generate more

play06:24

profits the second superpower is brand

play06:27

control and pricing so during a holiday

play06:29

season a retailer like Macy's might

play06:31

heavily discount Nike shoes just to

play06:34

attract customers and this creates a

play06:36

perception that Nike is a low value

play06:38

brand but with Nike's own stores of

play06:41

website Nike could maintain a consistent

play06:43

pricing which can maintain the

play06:45

premiumness of the brand the third

play06:48

superpower is customer relationship and

play06:49

data so if a customer buys a Nike shoe

play06:52

from Foot Locker Nike might receive

play06:54

basic sales data like which product was

play06:56

sold and which state did the sale happen

play06:59

in but in a d2c scenario if the same

play07:02

customer buys from nike.com Nike can

play07:04

collect all the micro details like

play07:06

customer preference age gender location

play07:10

interest and even profession and

play07:12

testimonial so this allows Nike to run

play07:15

the most accurate ads which are

play07:17

personalized to every single person who

play07:19

buys from Nike and more importantly when

play07:21

it is able to collect direct feedback

play07:23

from the customer it is also able to

play07:25

improve its product life and lastly

play07:28

while a wholesaler might have a Salesman

play07:30

who doesn't know about the product or a

play07:32

shelf that could be completely

play07:33

disorganized if Nike owns a store it can

play07:36

control everything from quality of sales

play07:39

staff to the lighting to even the music

play07:41

in that store and this results in a

play07:44

better customer experience so do you

play07:46

realize this way the d2c strategy could

play07:49

literally offer everything that a brand

play07:51

wants Better Price better margins better

play07:54

experience better customer data and most

play07:56

importantly better control over both the

play07:59

product and the Brand This is a reason

play08:02

why ladies and gentlemen in a

play08:03

revolutionary approach Nike announced

play08:06

something called consumer direct offense

play08:08

strategy under this strategy Nike cut

play08:11

off onethird of their wholesale Partners

play08:13

including Macy's Urban Outfitters and

play08:16

even Zappos and eventually they reduced

play08:19

their supply to the remaining stores on

play08:21

top of that it also ended its

play08:23

high-profile partnership with Amazon yes

play08:26

Nike ended their relationship with

play08:28

Amazon and where the d2c strategy of

play08:31

Nike started the real story is direct to

play08:34

Consumer DTC a business model that had

play08:37

exploded in the 201 it is the golden

play08:39

model of the new age they want to sell

play08:41

direct to Consumer and like not do the

play08:43

retail stores as much but they're doing

play08:44

something that really no Behemoth has

play08:46

ever done before instead of selling

play08:48

through wholesalers they established a

play08:50

three-pillar framework the first pillar

play08:53

was digital product portfolio and this

play08:55

portfolio had four apps Nike Training

play08:58

Club for gym and yoga and Enthusiast

play09:00

Nike run club for runners sneakers for

play09:02

sneaker enthusiasts and they had the

play09:04

main Nike app which sold all their

play09:06

products this layer collects all the

play09:09

data from the customer from location to

play09:11

preference to purchase data to search

play09:13

data to age and even gender Now using

play09:16

this data layer Nike understood the hot

play09:18

spots of their customer base all across

play09:20

America so now they knew where to set up

play09:23

their stores and what kind of products

play09:25

they need to keep in those stores in

play09:27

order to maximize sales and here's way

play09:29

they built their second pillar which was

play09:31

their retail store portfolio and this

play09:33

portfolio again had four types of stores

play09:36

firstly they had the Nike rice store

play09:38

which are focused on customized shopping

play09:39

experience with localized products and

play09:41

events then they have Nike House of

play09:43

innovation stores which are specially

play09:45

made to launch Cutting Edge Nike

play09:47

products thirdly they have Nike live

play09:50

which are small stores which were

play09:51

designed for quick pickup and returns

play09:54

and then they have Nike style which is

play09:56

specifically aimed at genz consumers

play09:58

with a mix of streetwear and sports

play10:01

inspired fashion then Nike had the third

play10:04

layer which was the interconnection

play10:05

between physical and digital layer so

play10:08

let's try to understand this better you

play10:10

see when a customer uses these Nike

play10:12

digital products Nike is able to

play10:14

understand where is the maximum density

play10:16

of Nike customers and then Nike is able

play10:19

to set up its stores and here's where

play10:21

this third layer makes people use both

play10:24

the digital products as well as the

play10:25

retail stores and eventually it results

play10:27

into a virtuous cycle for example in the

play10:30

app when the customer feeds all the data

play10:33

the retail stores use customer data of

play10:35

that location to decide which products

play10:37

will be kept in which store and then the

play10:39

customer data is feeded into the app so

play10:42

when the customer walks in Nike will use

play10:44

that data from the customer's profile to

play10:47

give customized recommendation to that

play10:49

customer based on the store products and

play10:51

then for the products that are already

play10:53

there in the store Nike has these QR

play10:55

codes which the customers can scan so if

play10:58

you look at an airone one in a store the

play11:00

QR code will tell you everything from

play11:03

what sizes are available which other

play11:04

products will go well with that

play11:06

particular shoe what is the review that

play11:08

the customers have given and it will

play11:10

even give you similar recommendations

play11:12

based on that particular store's

play11:13

inventory so your buying experience is

play11:16

enhanced by a large large extent and

play11:18

lastly if you have the Nike app you

play11:20

don't need to wait in the queue at all

play11:22

you can simply check out from the Nike

play11:24

app itself and this again feeds data

play11:27

into the Nike database so so if you see

play11:30

this third layer helps Nike build an

play11:32

ecosystem where the customers use both

play11:34

the app as well as the store to feed

play11:36

Rich data into the Nike database at

play11:39

Nike's new flagship on Fifth Avenue the

play11:41

house of innovation you can shop

play11:44

68,000 ft of Cutting Edge retail space

play11:47

without talking to a human you take a

play11:49

picture of that QR code and this entire

play11:51

look is loaded onto your phone we are

play11:54

going to be allowing our consumers in

play11:55

the mobile app um to buy product in

play11:58

their app and walk out without needing

play11:59

to talk to us and this gives Nike three

play12:02

incredible superpowers number one is

play12:04

better Inventory management and

play12:05

optimized product placement for example

play12:08

with the intelligence of evolving

play12:09

customer data Nike will know which

play12:12

products will sell better and which

play12:13

products need to be produced more for

play12:15

example suddenly if there is a trend of

play12:17

white sneakers in Brooklyn and a trend

play12:19

of Jordans in Manhattan Nike will

play12:21

quickly send more Jordans to Manhattan

play12:23

and more white sneakers to Brooklyn the

play12:26

second superpower is customer

play12:27

segmentation insight for better

play12:29

marketing for example if Nike

play12:31

understands that Brooklyn has gym and

play12:33

Tennis enthusiasts and Manhattan has

play12:34

more yoga practitioners Nike would

play12:37

sponsor tennis tournaments in Brooklyn

play12:39

and they would Place their products in

play12:40

the best gyms in Brooklyn similarly they

play12:43

would organize more yoga workshops in

play12:45

Manhattan and they would try out more

play12:47

yoga products in Manhattan and lastly

play12:50

when Nike organizes these special events

play12:52

or sponsors tournaments that are close

play12:54

to the hearts of the people it builds a

play12:56

sense of community and eventually it

play12:58

would help them command loyalty from

play13:00

their customers so as time passes the

play13:03

database was expected to get richer and

play13:05

richer with better and better insights

play13:07

eventually it was expected that this

play13:09

entire d2c ecosystem will help Nike

play13:13

pinpoint opportunities all across

play13:15

America and it will help Nike make

play13:17

better decisions eventually keeping it

play13:20

way ahead of its competition this was

play13:22

the Revolutionary framework that Nike

play13:23

designed to go all in with its d2c

play13:26

strategy so do you realize Nike

play13:28

literally had everything to achieve

play13:30

success in his d2c model they had a

play13:32

solid brand value insane amount of data

play13:35

millions of customers using the app to

play13:36

collect data and a billion dollars to

play13:38

make all of this happen all across

play13:41

America so the question is did they

play13:44

succeed well initially yes their d2c

play13:47

sales Rose from 16% of the total revenue

play13:49

in 2011 to 35% in 2020 in fact even

play13:52

during co Nike sales started Rising

play13:55

drastically now just to give you an idea

play13:57

about how big a deal this was while

play13:59

Adidas's entire Revenue in 2022 was $24

play14:02

billion just with the d2c channel in the

play14:06

same year Nike generated $18.7 billion

play14:10

this is how insanely well the d2c

play14:12

channel was doing for Nike so everything

play14:16

was great right well you know what guys

play14:19

something changed after covid and this

play14:21

is what led to disastrous consequences

play14:23

for Nike now whether this is shortterm

play14:25

or long-term we don't know but as of now

play14:28

Nike is facing in a hard hard time so

play14:31

the question over here is what exactly

play14:32

went wrong well if you look at this

play14:34

graph Nike's sales growth from apps and

play14:37

website started dropping drastically now

play14:39

even while d2c scales are rising overall

play14:42

they are left with billions of dollars

play14:44

in inventory the revenue is dipping and

play14:46

lastly after all this leap Nike is now

play14:49

making a uturn to go back to the

play14:52

wholesale

play14:53

model as the world reopened turned out

play14:56

people still quite liked buying shoes in

play14:58

stores but but Nike just wasn't in as

play15:00

many of them now it was kind of like

play15:02

done and uh the hype was done so now the

play15:05

question over here is when the d2c

play15:06

strategy was so well plotted out when it

play15:09

was so well designed when Niki had all

play15:11

the money in the world all the data in

play15:13

the world what exactly went wrong well

play15:17

here's where ladies and gentlemen the

play15:18

dark side of the direct to Consumer

play15:20

Channel comes in and here's where you

play15:22

need to pay very very close attention

play15:24

because these are the same problems that

play15:25

d2c brands are facing in India so if

play15:28

Nike faed to this problem so will you so

play15:31

listen to this carefully the first

play15:33

Factor was the impact of recession in

play15:35

simple words Whenever there is a

play15:36

recession a consumer would want to

play15:38

compare multiple shoe options and choose

play15:40

the most economical option rather than

play15:43

just blindly preferring a Nike over

play15:45

others for example during a recession a

play15:48

consumer would look for discounted shoes

play15:49

at Foot Locker rather than paying the

play15:51

full price at nike.com And this is

play15:54

exactly what happened in case of Nike

play15:56

whereby Nike's d2c sales in the last

play15:59

quarter of fi 24 fell by 8% to $5.1

play16:02

billion whereas the wholesale sales of

play16:05

Brands like Foot Locker and DSW they

play16:07

remained super stable which means people

play16:10

were buying shoes it's just that they

play16:12

were buying from wholesalers and not

play16:14

directly from Nike itself the Second

play16:16

Challenge was the challenge of inventory

play16:18

and supply chain shocks for example in

play16:20

case of a wholesale model Nike simply

play16:22

has to sell its products to the

play16:23

wholesaler and the wholesalers would

play16:25

take care of everything from inventory

play16:27

to shipment to to stock clearance to

play16:30

even reverse shipping so once Nike sells

play16:32

the products to the wholesalers Nike

play16:34

doesn't have to worry but in case of the

play16:37

direct to Consumer Channel Nike has to

play16:39

take care of everything from inventory

play16:41

to shipment to clearance to even the

play16:43

reverse supply chain at the same time

play16:45

when you deal with wholesalers

play16:46

wholesalers share the burden of

play16:48

inventory management so they Place bulk

play16:50

orders in advance which helps Nike

play16:52

forast the demand and reduce the risk of

play16:54

Overstock similarly if Nike over

play16:57

produces a particular shoe then they can

play16:59

rely on wholesale Partners to help them

play17:02

move those products through their

play17:03

extensive distribution networks and

play17:05

promotional efforts so if you look at

play17:07

what happened after Nike event d2c you

play17:09

will see that they started to pile up

play17:11

more and more inventory in fact in 2022

play17:14

they had 8.42 billion of inventory which

play17:18

further went up to touch 9.7 and 9.3

play17:21

billion in a quarter and this meant in a

play17:24

quarter Nike had to bear the cost of

play17:26

storing billions of dollars worth of

play17:28

stock which directly impacted their

play17:30

profitability the third factor that

play17:32

backfired was the operational cost for

play17:34

example Nike invested very heavily into

play17:36

building a flagship store in a prime

play17:38

location which incurred high rent and

play17:40

high operational expenses and while this

play17:42

did enhance the brand image of Nike it

play17:44

also added to the fixed cost of Nike so

play17:47

when the market was bullish and

play17:48

everybody had money Nike was having a

play17:51

great time but as soon as recession hit

play17:53

and sales started to go down these

play17:55

stores became a cash burning machine but

play17:58

when it comes to the wholesale model

play17:59

Nike did not have to worry about store

play18:01

rent or maintenance in fact they did not

play18:03

even have to worry about logistics for

play18:05

example instead of opening a new Nike

play18:07

store in a smaller City Nike could

play18:09

partner with a local sports retailer who

play18:11

already had an established customer base

play18:13

and operational capabilities so for Nike

play18:15

it was no headache of a store no rent no

play18:18

staff and no need to set up Logistics so

play18:21

all they had to do was build a great

play18:22

product sell it to the wholesaler and

play18:24

let them decide where and how they want

play18:26

to move the stock so in exchange for the

play18:28

profit margins that Nike paid to the

play18:30

wholesaler they got risk mitigation and

play18:32

less headache of Logistics in return and

play18:35

lastly in a d2c model there is a reach

play18:37

problem in simple words if Nike has to

play18:39

set up and maintain a store for that

play18:41

store to be viable Nike might have to

play18:44

sell at least 500 shoes a month so Nike

play18:47

can set up its retail store only in

play18:49

those areas where they can sell 500

play18:51

shoes a month but when it comes to a

play18:52

retailer Nike could just sell 100 shoes

play18:55

to that retailer and reach those areas

play18:58

where there are lesser Nike customers

play19:00

and since the retailer is selling

play19:01

products of multiple other brands for

play19:03

him 100 Nike shoes sold a month is good

play19:05

enough to make a profit so long story

play19:07

short while Nike has a genius strategy

play19:09

to go d2c the lesson that Nike learned

play19:12

is that while d2c Channel gives higher

play19:15

margins better data and better customer

play19:17

experience it comes at a very heavy cost

play19:20

of inventory load lesser reach less

play19:23

tolerance to recession and less risk

play19:25

mitigation this is the reason why Nike

play19:27

is now trying to get back to its

play19:29

retailers and wholesalers but now there

play19:32

is one big big problem so Nike tried to

play19:36

bolster and build their own shops but it

play19:39

looks like they do need partners and

play19:40

they brought back Tom Petty and with one

play19:43

goal rebuild relationships with

play19:45

retailers a brand that is struggling

play19:47

trying to rebuild Retail Partners the

play19:49

moment Nike went off the shells of

play19:51

wholesalers two other brands took off in

play19:54

the American market and they took off as

play19:56

a result of this Lacuna that Nike had

play19:58

created

play19:59

these two brands are on and Hoka so now

play20:02

Nike is struggling to get back those

play20:04

slots that the wholesalers had given

play20:06

away to on and Hoka this is the story of

play20:09

Nike's d2c Channel now does this mean

play20:12

that Nike has completely failed with his

play20:14

d2c approach not at all Nike is a very

play20:16

big brand and like I said before they

play20:18

have a billion dollars they have a

play20:20

strong brand value and they have a very

play20:22

strong digital ecosystem using which

play20:24

they are collecting a ton of data so

play20:26

even now they could very easily turn

play20:28

this around and turn their d2c channel

play20:30

into a successful channel it's just that

play20:32

as of now they are struggling and from

play20:34

their struggles we could understand the

play20:36

most important challenges that Nike may

play20:38

not face 5 years later but entrepreneurs

play20:41

like you and me will face when we build

play20:43

our d2c brand and this is what brings us

play20:46

to the last part of the episode and that

play20:47

are the lessons that we need to learn

play20:49

from this billion dooll mistake of Nike

play20:51

lesson number one d2c is not as ideal as

play20:54

everybody thought and middlemen are not

play20:57

always bad well most people look at

play20:59

payment to wholesalers as a loss of

play21:01

profit it is actually a payment to be

play21:03

made in exchange for risk mitigation and

play21:06

reach so the wholesalers are not

play21:08

charging you money just because they can

play21:10

they're actually adding value to the

play21:12

supply chain and they're not going away

play21:14

anytime soon lesson number two loyalty

play21:17

for a brand is often overrated and while

play21:19

most brands like to believe that their

play21:21

customers are extremely loyal more often

play21:24

than not customers are not so loyal

play21:26

whether that's Nike apple or St

play21:28

Starbucks and here's where Apple

play21:30

understood this very very clearly and

play21:32

they have done an extraordinary job with

play21:34

their apple ecosystem and today Apple

play21:36

has built such a strong ecosystem that

play21:39

with each passing product the exit from

play21:41

that ecosystem gets more and more

play21:43

difficult so while Nike tried to build

play21:45

loyalty with perception Apple has built

play21:48

loyalty by Design so it's literal pain

play21:51

that you will feel to exit the ecosystem

play21:54

at the same time you will get rewarded

play21:56

if you keep adding products to the

play21:58

ecosystem so do you realize Apple did it

play22:00

with design and Nike tried to do it with

play22:03

perception and lastly if you're a d2c

play22:05

founder or an investor in d2c we are

play22:07

releasing two amazing podcast episodes

play22:10

with the legendary founders of vibas

play22:12

sauce and bolt and both these

play22:13

entrepreneurs have built a thousand CR

play22:15

Company by cracking distribution and

play22:18

product so do subscribe to this channel

play22:20

if you haven't already and if you're

play22:21

watching this episode in October check

play22:23

out these episodes in our podcast

play22:24

playlist the link of which I will attach

play22:27

in the description that's that's all

play22:28

from my S for today guys if you learn

play22:30

something viable please make sure to hit

play22:31

the like button in order to make you

play22:32

baba happy and for more such insightful

play22:35

business and political case studies

play22:36

please subscribe to our Channel and

play22:38

don't forget to check out the retired

play22:39

early Master Class by one person Club

play22:41

from the link in the description thank

play22:43

you so much for watching I will see you

play22:45

in the next one bye-bye

play22:47

[Music]

play22:55

[Music]

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Related Tags
NikeD2CRetailWholesaleMarketStrategyInnovationConsumer BehaviorBrand LoyaltyInventory Management