How I Made 11% in 1hour 20minutes (Trade Breakdowns)
Summary
TLDRThe speaker details their strategy for achieving an 11% profit in a week through trading, emphasizing the importance of understanding market manipulation and identifying key chart patterns. They discuss the significance of observing pre-market activity, anticipating price movements based on 'true manipulation' signals, and setting targets using 'breakaway gap' and 'draw liquidity' techniques. The summary also highlights the speaker's approach to risk management, taking partial profits, and the importance of trading with high probability areas for quick and substantial returns.
Takeaways
- π Utilize chart patterns and setups to identify trading opportunities, focusing on the timing around market open and key support/resistance levels.
- β° Emphasize the importance of patience and not panicking, waiting for the right moment to enter or exit trades based on market movements.
- π Look for 'true manipulation' in the market, which involves identifying sell-side and buy-side targets, and using them to predict future price action.
- π― Aim for high-probability targets rather than trying to predict exact price levels, using techniques like drawing liquidity and identifying inefficiencies in the market.
- π Recognize the significance of 'breakaway gaps' and 'drawn liquidities' as potential entry or exit points in trades, signaling a shift in market sentiment.
- π Identify 'bearish' and 'bullish' setups in the market, using these to inform trading decisions and manage risk effectively.
- π Keep track of market narratives and structures, noting how they can shift and affect trading strategies, especially in the context of intermediate-term lows and highs.
- π€ Understand the concept of 'fair value gaps' and how filling these gaps can indicate market sentiment and potential reversal points.
- π Use the 'smart money reversal' as a signal for potential market turns, especially when combined with other indicators like volume imbalances and price action.
- π Focus on the importance of taking profits at balanced price ranges and recognizing 'partial areas' where the market may consolidate before continuing in a particular direction.
- π Highlight the value of quick trades with immediate profit realization, showcasing the potential for significant returns in a short time frame.
Q & A
What was the speaker's overall trading strategy for the week?
-The speaker's trading strategy involved identifying sell and buy side targets, waiting for market manipulation around the 9:30 open, and using various technical indicators such as purple lines, new week opening gaps, and liquidity pools to make trades.
What does the term 'blood in the water' signify in the context of the speaker's trading strategy?
-'Blood in the water' is a metaphor used by the speaker to indicate a market condition where there is a frenzy of activity at the 9:30 open, which they believe presents opportunities to make profitable trades.
How did the speaker use the concept of 'true manipulation' in their trades?
-The speaker identified 'true manipulation' as a situation where the market fails to reach a new week opening gap, indicating a bearish sentiment. They used this concept to anticipate lower targets for their trades.
What was the significance of the 'new week opening gap' in the speaker's analysis?
-The 'new week opening gap' was significant as it represented a level that the speaker anticipated the market might reach. However, they also emphasized the importance of setting targets before that level for a higher probability of success.
How did the speaker approach the concept of 'draw liquidity' in their trades?
-The speaker used 'draw liquidity' as a point of interest to enter or exit trades. They looked for inefficiencies in the market where liquidity was resting and used these points as potential high-probability targeting areas.
What does the term 'type 2 intermediate term low' refer to in the speaker's analysis?
-A 'type 2 intermediate term low' refers to a specific market condition identified by the speaker where the price fully fills a fair value gap, creating a level that should not be broken in a buying program, indicating a potential reversal point.
How did the speaker manage risk during their trades?
-The speaker managed risk by setting stop losses and taking partial profits at strategic points, such as when the market showed signs of a potential reversal or when they reached their predetermined targets.
What was the speaker's approach to entering and exiting trades based on the market's behavior?
-The speaker entered trades when they identified key technical levels and market manipulation patterns, and exited trades by targeting areas of inefficiency and liquidity before anticipated levels like the new week opening gap.
What role did the 'breakaway gap' play in the speaker's trading decisions?
-The 'breakaway gap' was used by the speaker as a signal for potential market movement. They looked for instances where the market showed a willingness to move in a particular direction, using this as an entry or exit point in their trades.
How did the speaker use the concept of 'protected low' in their trading strategy?
-A 'protected low' was identified by the speaker as a level that should not be broken if the market was in a buying program. This concept was used to anticipate potential reversals and to manage risk by setting stop losses and taking entries accordingly.
What was the speaker's advice on taking profits and managing trades?
-The speaker advised taking profits at points of balance in the market, such as equal lows or areas of buy side delivery, and to be aware of small details like tiny fair value gaps which could indicate potential profit-taking opportunities.
Outlines
π Trading Strategy and Telegram Group Insights
The speaker shares their successful trading experience, highlighting a 11% gain in a week. They discuss the importance of analyzing charts and setups, as well as utilizing a Telegram group for sharing trade anticipations. The speaker provides a detailed walkthrough of a specific trade taken, emphasizing the significance of the 9:30 open, market manipulation, and the use of buy and sell side targets. They also mention the concept of 'drawing liquidity' andθεΏηεΎ for the right trade opportunities, illustrating the process with examples from the market open to the identification of bearish signals and manipulation tactics.
πΉ High-Probability Trading Entry and Exit Points
This paragraph delves into the specifics of a trade, including the identification of high-probability entry and exit points. The speaker describes the process of taking a trade with a significant risk-to-reward ratio, using the concept of 'draw liquidity' as a targeting point. They share their experience of trading alongside a group member, emphasizing the importance of immediate market response and the identification of market structure shifts. The speaker also discusses the importance of recognizing 'fair value gaps' and 'intermediate term lows' in making informed trading decisions.
π Adjusting Trading Strategies Based on Market Behavior
The speaker discusses the need to adjust trading strategies in response to the market's behavior, using the example of a trade that initially resulted in a break-even outcome. They highlight the importance of recognizing liquidity pools, 'type 2 intermediate term lows', and the market's willingness to move in a particular direction. The speaker also explains the concept of a 'protected low' and how it can indicate a smart money reversal, providing insights into how to identify and act on these signals in the market.
π Leveraging Market Inefficiencies for Trading Opportunities
This section focuses on leveraging market inefficiencies to identify trading opportunities. The speaker describes the process of observing the market's movement, particularly the formation of 'jagged edges' and 'smooth edges', as indicators of potential entry points. They discuss the significance of 'propulsion blocks' and 'bullish order blocks' in determining entry and exit strategies. The speaker also emphasizes the importance of managing risk and adjusting stop losses based on market conditions.
π Reflecting on Trading Performance and Strategy Optimization
In the final paragraph, the speaker reflects on their trading performance, outlining the profits made and the risks taken. They discuss the importance of focusing on 'true manipulation' and 'breakaway gap draw liquidities' for optimizing trading strategies. The speaker encourages traders to think logically about the market's movements and to aim for high-probability exits before reaching the new week opening gaps. They conclude by emphasizing the importance of detailed analysis and the application of these strategies in trading.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Breakdown
π‘Telegram
π‘Trade Setup
π‘New Week Opening Gaps
π‘Sell Side and Buy Side
π‘Liquidity
π‘Inefficient Delivery
π‘Smart Money Reversal
π‘Fair Value Gap
π‘Type 2 Intermediate Term Low
π‘Risk Management
Highlights
Introduction to the trading strategy that yielded an 11% return this week.
Utilization of the 7 a.m. open and the importance of waiting for the 9:30 frenzy to identify market manipulation.
Explanation of the sell-side and buy-side targets in relation to market movements.
Emphasis on patience and not panicking during market fluctuations.
Identification of draw liquidity and its role in anticipating market direction before the 9:30 open.
The concept of 'bearish smt' and its implications for market trends after failing to reach new week opening gaps.
Strategic approach to setting targets based on high probability areas rather than exact price predictions.
Analysis of market structure shifts and the narrative they create for trading decisions.
Use of tape reading techniques exemplified by entries before FOMC and power speeches.
The significance of fair value gaps and type two intermediate term lows in trading strategies.
Entry and exit strategies based on smart money reversals and accumulation areas.
Importance of recognizing partial areas for taking profits in trading.
The role of jagged and smooth edges in market structure and entry points.
How to adjust trading strategies when encountering unexpected market behavior.
The process of identifying and trading through volume imbalances and order blocks.
The psychological aspect of trading, dealing with panic and maintaining composure.
The importance of recognizing and acting on the 'Golden Arrow' trading signal.
Final thoughts on the importance of focusing on true market manipulation and logical trading.
Summary of the week's trading performance and the time efficiency of the strategies used.
Transcripts
welcome traders to the breakdown of how
I made 11% this week now I just wanted
to go
through the the charts and my
setup and then also go through how to
make the most of uh the telegram which
I'm
sending free anticipation
beforehand and if we just go into the
group
actually let me scroll up this was the
day I took this trade as you can see
we've got the purple lines the new week
opening gaps and here and then the sells
side targets before 930 I was telling
everyone wait for the frenzy of the 9:30
open blood is in the water when we hunt
basically saying let the masses get
manipulated
apologies that can stay in the edit um
so yeah this is the 7: a.m. open then I
was saying right look at these sells
side targets and then buy side targets
then we'll seek sells side again and
then I was talking about which lows
would be um triggered in first and then
before 9:30 look these drawing
liquidities had been smoked the lower
cell side targets and then I was saying
don't wait I mean don't
panic um be patient basically and then
when this draw liquidity is hit early
before 9:30 we wait for more data simple
as price is more to do before the close
and then I put sell side buy side
question mark question mark Mark so when
I'm putting this I'm drawing your
attention to sell side buy side sell
side again so these question marks fill
that in with sell side and that's
exactly what happened we had sell side
buy side above these highs Above This
High Above This high and then we just
fail here to reach this high now on ES
they did take this high so this High ran
up here into the new week opening Gap
but
on NQ we failed to do so so what does
that do that tells us we have have
bearish smt now once we have bearish smt
and then we've got the true manipulation
I'm looking to trade this to lower
targets now where are my lower Targets
this new week opening Gap but when I'm
anticipating we're trading to this new
week opening Gap I'm going to look for a
Target before that cuz I want my target
to be high probability of hitting I'm
not bothered about being it being right
about it going to the new week opening
Gap I just want to get out and then see
what happens and if it does fulfill
where I think it's going to go
ideally you have a breakaway Gap draw
liquidity like we had here inefficient
delivery and then we have a low within
that that became the draw here then we
do the true manipulation sell side buy
side bearish smt new week opening Gap
fails to reach the new week opening Gap
again think Breakaway Gap with a bearish
smt and then I'm looking to trade this
leg
here as you can see my drawing liquidity
was again a liquidity pull resting in
inefficiency and then if we break down
onto the one minute my entry that was
another tape reading example
before the fomc and power speeches but
we'll get into that later so as you can
see we get the bearish smt and then once
we get that and we notice es has taking
the high what do we have well on the buy
side of the curve we've got this
fair value Gap here price fully fills
that fair value Gap creating a type two
intermediate term low so once we break
up fail to break Above This
High then we displaced through a type to
intermediate term low remember type to
intermediate term lows in buy programs
should not be broken so this gave us a
strong indication here at the Smart
money reversal from this candle here
that this could be the smart money
reversal
so what did I do I noticed here that we
tapped this bearish F
fvg right there so that fvg got tapped
So I entered and then what did I notice
we put a high
in there and then we ran the high into
this old accumulation area and then
became a distribution area so
accumulation happens on the buy side of
the curve distribution happens on the
sell side of the curve so I took an
entry Above This high and when we got
into to this fair value Gap again so I
took two entries one here and then one
above this High here I think my spread
just got me in just below it and then
where are my targets well I'm targeting
down here at this if we look at it under
one minute it's a bit clearer so my
target we have this bullish push to the
upside creating a busy imbalance and
then we look at this we've got a failure
swing liquidity pull resting in this
inefficient delivery so this became my
draw liquidity I hope that makes sense
but once you've got inefficient delivery
and liquidity resed in it that is going
to be a high probability targeting point
and as you can see we drew down to it
perfectly so my
entry
came here at this high with my biggest
RIS of risk of 50 lots and then my
target was here for a one 2 six
now whilst I was taking this trade one
of the members was in a call with me and
he took the same trade and watched it
and basically once we got in we were in
for a few minutes so one two three
minutes and then we were running in
profit these are the types of Trades we
want to be in we want to be getting in
and see immediate response the telltale
signs here was the bearish FG failing to
come to the new week opening Gap true
manipulation before the low resistance
liquidity and then here we just had that
instead of having a market structure
shift this has narrative because this is
a type to intermediate term low if we're
going to continue buying this low will
not be broken and Clos below especially
with displacement like this so that is
where I was confident to take my entry
and then looking for partial areas this
was a partial area these equal lows
balanced price range we've got buy side
delivery then sell side to here buy side
again so this is a balanced price range
this whole area in
here so you need to be aware of these
little areas because they're good for
for taking profits at and if you
notice it will be hard to see but
this is a tiny fair value Gap and these
are the little intricacies I want you to
start notice in because they're really
uh important so once we fully fill this
here these are intermediate lows
especially this Weck and then we've got
a failure swing this low doesn't take
out this low we've got a balance price
range so that's where I took my first
partial and then my next partial
apologies my next partial was below
here
although although this looks like a low
that doesn't really have much wrestling
liquidity it's the the start of the uh
true manipulation and if I
remove the Wicks on the
candles look at these bodies in
here these flat bodies here
beautiful it's like a original
consolidation so imagine you're trading
the mxm original consolidation then
we've got um
accumulation and then here
reaccumulation in this Gap and and then
moves higher smart money
reversal low resell first
distribution and then we get the second
distribution after we run a
high which is here we run that high this
this time this body is just a bit higher
than this one run that high and then
look at the speed away so think of this
as like a fractal of an mxm but I'm
thinking we're drawing down to this new
week opening Gap but notice my targets
before that I don't have to be right
about this going to this new week
opening Gap if my Target's before that
so essentially we CAU pretty much the
low of the day as you can see here price
pushed away after
but we don't have to
be searching for that low of the day
every time I'm just searching for high
probability areas that are likely to get
ran so that was a valid partial though I
didn't take a partial there I did take a
partial here and then I just let the
rest of my profit run to the draw
liquidity here so that was the first
setup and I'm going to jump into the
next setup now right so on that first
setup I actually made
88.8% on two positions and now it should
have been a 1 to 12 but I'm taking
partials so a 1 to8 if you don't think
8.8 % is enough on a position you're
absolutely mental because that can
literally pass your account in one trade
one setup two trades two
positions so yeah getting into this next
setup again we've got the 7 7 a.m. open
apologies slipping up on my words so
we've got the initial b side created
relative equal
highs here and then we create the sell
side liquidity pool and then we have
sell side buy side and then what sell
side
again and now I want you to focus we've
got a low just above so close proximity
to this inefficient um price action this
bissy candle here we've got liquidity
resting so this became a drawn liquidity
and then what do we do we do do sell
side first then buy side then we dig
down to sell side again so this low here
there
boom so we've got sell side buy side and
then we work down sell side again then
fully fill this imbalance so what does
this do you're going to hear me I hope
you're all saying this on your screens
right now this forms ATT type to
intermediate term low in a buying
program this should not be Ran So once
we've got that true manipulation here
boom then we have to adjust cuz we see
okay normally that was be the setup here
and I did actually take a trade that
took me out at break even if I look
whereabouts it was I think I entered on
this fair value Gap here or something
similar I got taken out a break even
here trying to trade this manipulation
leg but obviously you can see that it is
quite Wicky so I took a partial and then
got Wicked out and my stop was in a
slight bit of loss so it got me out of
break even with the partially profit and
the stop
loss I think I lost $20 on commissions
so obviously that is withstand on a
funded account so once we get that uh
swing low formed here and that draw
liquidity is made do we create a jagged
edge here yes so we've got smooth edge
here more smooth edges here and then we
create a jagged edge and we get this
push
higher on this push higher here what we
do we dig back into this volume
imbalance
here and then what does price
do price shows a willingness to go
higher so that could be an entry for uh
that would be the lowest Buy near the
smart money
reversal and
then price forms this down close candle
which is a bullish order block and now
as you can see through this candle's
opening price
here what what did price do price
displaces through it so we've gone from
changing the state of delivery making a
protected low with this type to
intermediate term low doing the true
manipulation this process of doing sell
side buy side sell side again so every
everyone has been engaged on the
shortterm uh intraday level and then
change the state of delivery does it
look like once if I play back to here if
we just
purely look just here
okay if I play this a bit forward so we
get that dig into there and then we see
price boom like this then this next
candle I want you to just watch this
next candle once we have that and we've
form the F here boom does it now look
like we need to revisit down here does
it look like we need to raid these highs
and drop back down no it doesn't we've
got a protected low completely filled
this imbalance we've done the true
manipulation process what I've been
teaching you then we're showing a
willingness to go higher boom here this
would be this was the first Telltale
sign dig into the volume imbalance and
then apologies
price price closes way above the volume
imbalance then we displac through this
opening price
validify this
bullish order block and
then once we see price here like this
pushing
up we're Switching gears with price from
this from this section of price we got
protected low and then we're showing a
willingness to go higher so my first
entry came here where I got
long and then my stop loss was at this
rejection block it can be at this low
here but purely based on the fact that I
got taken out a break even cuz this was
so Wiki I wanted the extra room to
breathe now where am I targeting I'm
anticipating we're going to these are
the same um new week opening gaps bear
in mind from the first setup that's the
same new week opening Gap and that's the
same new week opening Gap this this
level here and this level here this blue
line if we just scroll back
here and have a
look does this formation look
familiar from the last trade that I took
does
this look familiar at all type to
intermediate term low and then look what
we have we've got it's very slight but
again if you want to be getting accurate
exits and entries then you need to be
looking at the small details so what do
we have this was my old entry for that
cell that I showed you before this was
the old cell
so before when this was my
sell and now I'm
bullish if we really zoom in here
because a lot of people won't be willing
to do this kind of thing look so this is
mag I've got the magnet tool on so this
magnet locked look across my Gray Line
here look at that tiny inefficiency in
price from this candle's High to this
candle's low that is a breakway gap draw
liquidity we've got inefficient delivery
here
and the liquidity pool bear in mind
again I want it to go up to this new
week opening Gap cuz what do we have
we've got failure swings that old smt
failure swings but I'm not going to
anticipate that my drawing liquidity is
always 100% correct so what I'm going to
do is try and position myself well and
then try and get out
before we reach the the place I feel
price is going to so what do I do I
choose a breakaway Gap drawn liquidity
this little area this high and then that
old entry of mine where I shorted became
my next
Target so let's just scroll back
over so here we
are and then this became my Target and
I'm going to fully play through so
that's a 1 to three be I'm only risking
um less than 1% on this trade so we'll
play through and then boom there's our
entry bang oh
no and then price here that right there
if we had a breakaway gap down here say
we had this was a gap although it's not
like this that is the Golden Arrow boom
that's your entry so when you see price
tap there that's your entry there if
there was a breakaway gap down here what
I've been teaching you the setup the
golden narrow that's it there close
proximity to the smart money reversal we
want to
see we want to see price um having a gap
that shows a willingness for it to go
higher so boom that would be the Golden
Arrow and then let's keep playing
forward
price again a member was in with me here
and I took actually my second entry
at this propulsion block here
boom how does it form a propulsion block
because we have this bullish order block
and then another bullish order block
digs into price here so that creates
that would be the better entry the
immediate rebalance but I took the
propulsion block entry because that is a
lower threshold to be hit so there's
more chance of me getting in the
trade so again
here I'll do it from here although that
was my entry here on this candle boom
and then my stop loss went below this
low here at the time that I take this
entry this stop loss moves up to here as
well because now I have more risk on the
table although it's only slight I mean
it's
only 4.25 points on NQ so it wasn't a
lot of risk but these are the small
little intricacies that we need to do
and now my part
I mean my pyramid was only a 1 to
1.75 and then we play through
prize okay a lot of panic for people
again the member that was in with me
it's a bit panicky but I was telling him
relax and then boom here we just get a
wick below but my TP got taken out with
spread on my broker so I told um the
member who was in call with me to also
close when we were up here but but then
as you can see I'm still anticipating
that we return to this new week opening
Gap and then if we keep playing through
price there create some nice equal highs
again just faking out people and scaring
people who who are profiting on the long
side and then there we get the perfect
run there so if my spread was on the
money zero spread then that would have
been my exit but I got exited on this
Wick here and then we play through price
big drop against scaring out
Longs Jackson Symposium this week so
again seeking destroy and then if I
delete my entries and get rid of some of
this clutter on the charts that original
order block if we just extend that
through
Price look at that
beautiful and then we can play through
price some more and then boom return to
the new week opening Gap so yeah that
was my draw liquidity but what I want
you take away is the true manipulation
looking for the initial buy side sell
side type to intermediate term lows and
highs and then thinking logically of
where the Breakaway Gap drawer on
liquidities are I know they're hard to
find if you're not looking very
intricately it's hard to find I want you
to look for Breakaway Gap drawing
liquidities before your your actual
drawing liquidity my actual drone
liquidity was the nwg twice so on the
cell I was targeting the NW on my drone
liquidity and on the buy my target was
the MOG but my actual exit is before
that because I want my exit to be high
probability and I don't have to be right
about always it's going to the MOG my
ego goes to the side I don't have to
have that thing in my back back of my
head saying oh it's going to the
previous day high so make sure you hold
to the previous day high I want to be
out before that and then if it gets
there great and if you really really
want to leave a run until that like 20%
at Max till that in that final Terminus
draw liquidity but I want you to exit
before using Breakaway Gap draw
liquidity I want you to exit before
where you think price is go so as you
notice this is a lower threshold exit
than this is the same way that on the
cell back
here my exit was below this low before
it got to the NW and as you can see we
caught the low of the
day so yeah that's a full breakdown of
how I made 11% on this trade I made 2%
risking
0.75% and then on this trade on two
positions I made
8.8% two entries one was about a 1 to
5.5 one was about a one to6 so I ended
up taking a nice
10.8% and again this trade I I was in
let's say
from this candle to here I was in that
trade for 38 minutes for 8.8% so 38
minutes for 88.8% and then this
trade it let's include this break even
that I took in here I'll say I entered
from back here just so it's the nice
threshold and then this trade boom it
was here I got taken out was another 43
minutes so yeah as you can see an hour
and 20 minutes or so give or take for
11% this week and I'm not doing anything
extremely special you can do these
things I'm just thinking about the
process of price and what it's trying to
do it's only going to seek liquidity and
inefficiency and I've prove that to you
here it's going to manipulate and then
it's going to seek liquidity and
inefficiency so think about taking lower
threshold targets using Breakaway Gap
draw liquidities focus on the true
manipulation especially on NQ and then
think logically for your um for your
entries if price is showing a
willingness to go higher here boom and
you're shorting above these highs or
shorting this tiny Gap or I don't know
for example this bearish order block
here price is showing you it wants that
willingness to go higher it's done all
the damage down here it's manipulated
everyone using this system can created a
protected type to intermediate swing low
so what's the next uh point of of Target
for price and that's above price and
that became my exit which was my entry
before so yes I will be doing more of
these CU I feel like it's important to
sit and talk through trades that I
actually take and if this was helpful
please drop a like or a
reaction and that lets me know you want
me to continue doing this so I hope this
is really helpful and you can take a lot
of things and implement into trading and
have a good rest of your day everyone
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