Sam Altman Just Revealed MORE DETAILS About GPT-5 and AGI

TheAIGRID
22 Jan 202421:38

Summary

TLDRВ видео скрипте обсуждаются предстоящие возможности GPT 5, которые, по словам Сэма Альмана, будут гораздо мощнее, чем предполагалось. В интервью он затрагивает значительные изменения в AI, включая личные AI-системы с обновлениями памяти, что позволит им лучше запоминать предпочтения и детали разговоров. Сэм подчеркивает важность итерационного развертывания и соосновывания технологии с обществом для постепенного приспособления. Он также отвечает на вопросы о военном использовании AI и подчеркивает, что OpenAI поддерживает правительства, включая США, и стремится к разумному использованию технологий. Обсуждаются также возможные ограничения функций в следующих моделях для обеспечения адаптации и минимизации рисков. В целом, скрипт предоставляет захватывающий обзор динамики развития и влияния искусственного интеллекта на наше будущее.

Takeaways

  • 🚀 GPT 5 предстоит иметь больше возможностей, чем предполагалось ранее.
  • 🧠 Технология GPT, несмотря на ограничения, оказалась гораздо полезнее, чем ожидалось.
  • 📈 Sam Altman подчеркивает важность разработки следующих моделей с новыми перспективами.
  • 🤔 Он утверждает, что GPT 4 может быть менее мощным, чтобы не пересыпать рынок функциями.
  • 🔍 Sam Altman заметил, что с каждой новой итерацией модели умение обрабатывать сложные задачи растет.
  • 📱 Обновление памяти GPT указывает на создание более личных и персонализированных систем.
  • 🔗 OpenAI планирует более индивидуализированное взаимодействие с пользователями с помощью AI.
  • 🌐 Sam Altman высказал мнение о разумном использовании моделей OpenAI в военной сфере.
  • 📊 Он подчеркивает важность итерационного развертывания и совершенствования технологий с учетом общественных изменений.
  • ⚖️ Важно найти баланс между разрешением и запретом использования AI в различных областях.
  • ⏱️ Sam Altman подчеркивает необходимость медленного и осторожного подхода к внедрению новых технологий.

Q & A

  • Сэм Алман рассказал о новых возможностях GPT 5. Какие изменения он упомянул?

    -Сэм Алман упомянул, что GPT 5 будет иметь гораздо больше возможностей, чем предполагалось ранее. Он также заметил, что текущая технология GPT, несмотря на ограничения, гораздо более полезна, чем ожидалось, и может интегрироваться в нашу жизнь гораздо более ценным образом.

  • Что Сэм Алман скрывает относительно возможностей GPT 4?

    -Сэм Алман, похоже, снижает ожидания от возможностей GPT 4, возможно, потому что он осознает, что другие компании находятся на пути к тому же уровню развития, что и GPT 4, и он хочет подготовить общественность к более значительным изменениям с GPT 5.

  • Какой обновление памяти было введено в системе GPT?

    -Обновление памяти позволяет системе GPT учиться на ваших чатах, сохранять полученное знание между разговорами и улучшаться со временем, запоминая предпочтения и детали из предыдущих общений.

  • Какие изменения в поведении пользователей ожидаются с более персональными системами ИИ, такими как GPT 5?

    -С персональными системами ИИ, такими как GPT 5, ожидаются более высокие уровни участия пользователей и более значимые интеграции в их жизни, так как персонализированные системы ИИ предоставят более ценные и привлекательные функции.

  • Каково ключевое улучшение, ожидаемое в GPT 5 по сравнению с предыдущими версиями?

    -Ключевым улучшением в GPT 5 будет значительный рост обобщенного интеллекта и способность решать более сложные задачи с большей точностью и эффективностью.

  • Как Сэм Алман относится к использованию технологий OpenAI в военном секторе?

    -Сэм Алман не считает неправильным использование технологий OpenAI военными для законных и важных целей, таких как предотвращение самоубийств среди ветеранов или перевод речей. Однако он подчеркивает важность определения грани между допустимым и недопустимым использованием.

  • Какой подход к развертыванию новых технологий высказал Сэм Алман?

    -Сэм Алман высказал идею итерационного развертывания, что подразумевает постепенное внедрение и соединение с обществом, позволяя людям адаптироваться и определять правила.

  • Почему Сэм Алман может снижать уровень ожиданий от AGI?

    -Сэм Алман может снижать уровень ожиданий от AGI, чтобы избежать панической реакции общества и предотвратить быстрые и неконтролируемые изменения, которые могут вызвать страх и негативные последствия.

  • Какие технологические достижения ожидаются в области дизайна микросхем для ИИ?

    -Ожидаются значительные технические достижения, которые позволят ускорить процесс обучения ИИ с нескольких месяцев до нескольких часов, что может радикально изменить скорость разработки и внедрения новых моделей ИИ.

  • Какой позиции Сэм Алман занимает относительно AGI и глобального приоритета?

    -Сэм Алман подписал письмо, в котором говорится, что расширение возможностей ИИ должно быть глобальным приоритетом, и承认了AGI как трансформирующий технологию, но он также высказывается о том, что некоторое общество может переоценивать потенциальные риски.

  • Какие могут быть последствия для общества от внедрения AGI?

    -Внедрение AGI может радикально изменить индивидуальные жизни и общество в целом, предоставляя возможности для решения задач, исследований и улучшения качества жизни, которые превосходят возможности 99% людей.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 GPT 5 и его потенциальные возможности

В интервью Сэм Алман раскрыл некоторые детали о GPT 5, которые предполагают, что новая модель будет обладать гораздо большей функциональностью, чем предполагалось ранее. Он упомянул о необычных точках, которые до этого не обсуждались, и подчеркнул, что технология GPT, несмотря на ограничения, оказалась намного полезнее, чем ожидалось. Обсуждение включает в себя важность и неотложность проблем, а также предстоящее внедрение личных AI-систем с обновлением памяти, что позволит системе учиться на ваших диалогах и приспосабливаться к вашим предпочтениям.

05:01

🧠 Увеличение общего интеллекта GPT

Сэм Алман также затронул тему увеличения общего интеллекта от GPT 2 до GPT 5, указывая на то, что каждый следующий прототип модели способен решать все более сложные и длинные задачи с большей точностью. Он подчеркнул важность развития общего интеллекта и умения применять его в продуктах, что делает эту технологию уникальной и отличает от всех предыдущих технологий.

10:02

🤖 Итерационное развертывание и социальное взаимодействие

Алман высказал свое мнение о необходимости итерационного развертывания AI-технологий и социальной адаптации. Он считает, что человечество должно иметь время на адаптацию и понимание изменений, которые принесет новая технология. Обсуждение также коснулось возможностей применения моделей Open AI в военной сфере, с акцентом на том, что использование моделей должно быть ограничено определенными, не представляющими угрозы для общества, целями.

15:03

💼 Развитие Open AI и финансирование проекта

Сэм Алман уточнил, что его деятельность, связанная с финансированием проекта, связана с Open AI и является стратегической приоритетной для компании. Он отвергло представление о том, что он занимается личным финансированием стартапов, сосредоточившись на стратегии и развертывании AI-технологий.

20:04

🌐 Влияние AGI и будущее технологии

В заключительной части обсуждения Алман затронул тему AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) и его потенциальное влияние на мир. Хотя он признал, что AGI будет трансформирующим технологией, он также предположил, что люди могут привыкнуть к этому изменению. Обсуждение включает в себя различные точки зрения на будущее AI, в том числе и опасения относительно быстрого развертывания и его последствий для общества.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡GPT 5

GPT 5 (Generational Pre-Trained) относится к предполагаемой следующей версии искусственного интеллекта от компании OpenAI. В видео упоминается, что GPT 5 будет обладать гораздо большей функциональностью и умением решать сложные задачи, чем предыдущие модели. Это ключевой концепт, связанный с темой развития ИИ и его потенциальным влиянием на общество.

💡Итерационное развертывание

Итерационное развертывание описывает процесс внедрения технологии или продукта поэтапно, с возможностью корректировки и улучшений на основе обратной связи и общественного принятия. В контексте видео, это связано с необходимостью медленного и контролируемого введения новых моделей ИИ, таких как GPT 4.5 или GPT 5, чтобы общество могло адаптироваться.

💡Армия

В видео упоминается использование ИИ, возможно, GPT 4.5 или GPT 5, в военной сфере. Существует обсуждение о том, насколько ИИ должен быть доступен или ограничен для военных целей, с учетом потенциальных рисков и возможностей, которые он предоставляет.

💡Чипы для ИИ

В видео отмечается важность специально разработанных чипов для обработки и обучения моделей ИИ. Это связано с тем, что обычные графические карты и процессоры не оптимально подходят для работы с ИИ. Разработка чипов, специально предназначенных для ИИ, может значительно ускорить процессы обучения и улучшить производительность.

💡Артифициальное общее интеллект (AGI)

Артифициальное общее интеллект (AGI) относится к разработке ИИ, способного выполнять любые интеллектуальные задачи, которыми могут быть владеющие. В видео упоминается, что AGI будет одним из самых значимых технологических прорывов в ближайшем десятилетии и вызовет фундаментальные изменения в мире.

💡Чат GPT

Чат GPT является одним из продуктов ИИ от компании OpenAI, который обеспечивает разговорный интерфейс с ИИ. В контексте видео, Чат GPT служит примером того, насколько ИИ может быть полезным и интегрироваться в повседневную жизнь, что приводит к размышлениям о возможностях будущих моделей, таких как GPT 5.

💡Память обновления

Память обновления относится к возможностям ИИ, такие как GPT, учиться из предыдущих общений и сохранять эту информацию для более личного и персонализированного опыта в будущих общениях. В видео упоминается, что такое обновление памяти сделает ИИ более персональным и привлекательным для пользователей.

💡Бенчмарки

Бенчмарки - это тесты или меры, используемые для оценки производительности и эффективности ИИ. В видео упоминается, что последние модели ИИ, такие как GPT, продемонстрировали высокие результаты в этих тестах, что указывает на их растущий интеллектуальный потенциал.

💡Угнетение возможностей

Угнетение возможностей означает предотвращение или ограничение полной реализации функций или характеристик ИИ. В контексте видео, это связано с предположением, что OpenAI может снижать производительность GPT 4, чтобы обеспечить более плавный и контролируемый переход к следующим версиям.

💡Расширение возможностей ИИ

Расширение возможностей ИИ относится к постоянным технологическим прорывам и улучшениям, которые делают ИИ способным выполнять все больше и более сложных задач. В видео утверждается, что с каждой новой моделью, такими как GPT 5, появляются новые способности, увеличивающие общую интеллектуальную мощь ИИ.

💡Регуляторы и безопасность ИИ

Регуляторы и безопасность ИИ связаны с необходимостью контролировать и ограничивать риски, связанные с развитием и использованием ИИ, особенно в чувствительских областях, таких как военная сфера. В видео обсуждаются опасения и стратегии по управлению этими рисками для обеспечения безопасности и доверия к ИИ.

Highlights

Sam Altman discusses the unexpected success and capabilities of GPT models, particularly GPT-4, and their integration into our lives.

Altman hints at GPT-5 containing more capabilities than previously thought, suggesting a significant leap in AI technology.

The interview touches on the importance of addressing urgent problems in AI development and the potential for GPT models to outpace current capabilities.

A memory update for GPT allows it to learn from past interactions, carry over knowledge, and improve over time, indicating a move towards more personalized AI systems.

Greg Brockman's tweet and employee discussions confirm the memory update's authenticity, showcasing OpenAI's commitment to AI advancement.

Altman suggests that future AI models will focus on personalization, which could lead to higher user engagement and more effective AI agents.

The discussion of GPT-2 to GPT-5 capabilities illustrates the rapid progression in AI, with GPT-5 expected to perform significantly more complex tasks.

Altman emphasizes the increasing generalized intelligence of AI models and the importance of this trend for future product development.

The potential release of an intermediate model, GPT-4.5, is suggested as a strategy to manage the industry's adjustment to rapidly advancing AI capabilities.

OpenAI's approach to iterative deployment aims to allow society to co-evolve with AI, avoiding sudden, drastic changes that could cause fear or disruption.

Altman addresses the military use of AI, stating that not all military applications are harmful and that some could have legitimate and beneficial use cases.

The importance of societal adaptation to AI advancements is highlighted, with Altman suggesting a gradual roll-out of new capabilities.

Altman clarifies misconceptions about his involvement in fundraising for chip technology, emphasizing its strategic importance to OpenAI.

The potential for chip technology specifically designed for AI to significantly reduce training times and accelerate AI development is discussed.

Altman's recent statements about AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) suggest a downplaying of its immediate impact, possibly to manage public expectations.

The transcript raises questions about whether Altman's comments on AGI reflect a strategic approach to public messaging or a genuine shift in perspective on the technology's potential.

The rapid pace of AI development and its potential to change the world is a recurring theme, with a call to pay attention to the ongoing advancements in the field.

Transcripts

play00:00

so in a recent interview Sam mman let

play00:02

some new details about GPT 5 emerge and

play00:05

it leads us to believe that GPT 5 is

play00:07

going to contain more capabilities than

play00:10

we originally thought so in this video

play00:12

we'll dissect the Sam Alman interview

play00:14

and he touches on some rather

play00:16

fascinating points that many people

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hadn't discussed before but without

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further Ado let's dive into the first

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clip in the interview because it is

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really interesting look when when we

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decided to launch Chad gbt we thought it

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was going to do well but we had no idea

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how well it was going to do we knew they

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were going to be great and eventually

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but we didn't think they were good

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enough to to resonate like chat GPT and

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gp4 have this technology even with all

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of its current limitations is far more

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useful than we thought and can integrate

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into our lives in in a much more

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valuable way than we thought now that we

play00:48

know that as we think about launching

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the next much better models um we come

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with a different perspective I learned

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something about uh important and Urgent

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problems and not letting the important

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but not urgent ones Fester here's the

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thing I'm going to go get done in 2024

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not what I found fascinating was that

play01:01

that clip was actually circling around

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Twitter and I think people did kind of

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miss the mark on what Sam Alman meant

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when he was talking about this because

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there have been some key changes in how

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Sam talks about the the AI and I mean

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and when I say AI I'm talking about gbt

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4 and gbt 5 and that is because I think

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what Sam is trying to do is downplay gbt

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4's capabilities now the reason that I

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think he's doing this and this is just a

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hunch but hear me out I think that Sam

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Alman knows that you know these open SS

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companies are catching up to GPT 4's

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level and meta has even said that they

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publicly you know are going after the

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gp4 Benchmark Google has previously gone

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after the Benchmark with Gemini but I do

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believe that Sam alman's saying that you

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know like for example he was saying here

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that gpt2 was good gbt 4 you know is was

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was okay is basically saying that you

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know gbt 5 is going to be pretty

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incredible but of course as we do know

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something that that you do need to

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remember is that it might be a gbg 4.5

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release because I believe that that if

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these systems are as even good as some

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of the internal people have claimed to

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be then I think the shock would be a bit

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too much for you know the industry and

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essentially what that would mean is that

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you know they might face scrutiny from

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regulators and AI safety teams because

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of course as you know with every

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iteration in the models uh there's a

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significant uh jump in ability and also

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emerging capability so um I'm going to

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just play this bit again because he says

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even with all of its current limitations

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and I mean think about it like this

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right if you're a company of an AI

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company like you're the CEO of an AI

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company all right you're not going to be

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out there publicly saying that you know

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even with all of its current limitations

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but gb4 does have limitations and you

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have to remember this is a model that

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has been out for quite some time so I

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think the fact that he talks about the

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fact that you know it's far more useful

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than what we thought and and this is why

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I say okay it's pretty different because

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he said okay that you know now that we

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know and we think about launching the

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next much better models we come with a

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different perspective so that is why I

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say you know it's going to be more

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fascinating and even in the recent video

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we did talk about the fact that Sam mman

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um and you know when he talked to Bill

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Gates was essentially saying that gbd 5

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might be a more personal AI system now

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if you don't believe that that is the

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route that they're taking you may have

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missed the secret update in which you

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know they did a memory update now if you

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don't know what that is I'm going to

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show you guys a quick screenshot so

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essentially if you've used chat gbt for

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quite some time you may or may not have

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seen this screenshot right here now this

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screenshot is not a leak it's not a

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false it's not fabricated this is 100%

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real because even Greg Brockman has

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tweeted about this the open employees

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have tweeted numerously about this and

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essentially what we have here is the

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memory update so essentially it says

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your gbt can now learn from your chat to

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keep the conversation going it's going

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to carry what it learns between chats so

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even if you start a new chat it's going

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to know what happens before it's going

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to also improve over time which means

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it's going to remember details remember

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preferences on how you like to be spoken

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to on certain things and of course you

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can reset your gpt's memory and the

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custom instructions so you know it just

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goes to show that Sam Alman um and open

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AI in the future what they're planning

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is essentially more personal based AI

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systems because I do think that a

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personal based AI system is definitely

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going to be more useful and definitely

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get more engagement from the user

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because I think when people have seen

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how effective the rabbit demo was for

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having an AI agent that is personally

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customed to you I think people have

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realized that you know especially with

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character AI as well how crazy that

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platform is taking off it's slowly

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catching up to chat gbt's users and all

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it is is a website where people can talk

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to AIS I think the level of a personal

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AI you know and I also think that Siri

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and Alexa and Google's I don't know what

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it's actually called but Google's home

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assistant have actually lost the mark in

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terms of not being able to catch up to

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what is state-of-the-art right now so I

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think this memory update for chat gbt

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and as Sam Alman saying that you know in

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future models they're going to be

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focusing on personalization um and

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having an AI system that helps you out I

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think think that is going to be really

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where the key focus is now there was

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another clip in the interview that Sam

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Alman did actually talk about which was

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rather interesting so gpt2 couldn't do

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very much gpt3 could do more GPT 4 could

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do a lot GPT 5 will be able to do a lot

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lot more and and the thing that or

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whatever we call it and the thing that

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matters most is not that it can you know

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have this new modality or it can solve

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this new problem it is the generalized

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intelligence keeps increasing and we

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find new ways to put that into a product

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we find new ways to use it but that's

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that that is the high order bit I think

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that dominates everything else in the

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importance is that the overall

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capability of the mod its overall

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intelligence its ability to do longer

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more complex problems more accurately

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more of them that is increasing across

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the board and that to me is one of the

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few things that make this totally

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different from any previous kind of

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technology so yeah you can see right

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here he actually spoke about gbt2 could

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do a lot gpt3 could do a decent amount

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gb4 could do uh a lot but gbt 5 will be

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able to do a lot lot more so you know uh

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publicly speaking on gb5 and saying it's

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going to be able to do a lot lot more

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means that I think you know especially

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since if you have looked at the recent

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benchmarks you'll know that you know

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these models I wouldn't say they're

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capping out at their capabilities

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because capping out the capability is

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100% And the last time we checked I

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think the last mlu Benchmark was 87%

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which is very good and of course Google

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got 90% on Gemini Ultra I think the

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point samman is trying to make here is

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that these models are going to become

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more accurate less hallucinations more

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Ive at you know retrieving information

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from documents and long pieces of text

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you know all of this stuff is going to

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be increasing over and over and over as

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they move forward and I think with that

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generalized intelligence and being that

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smart I think it's really going to usher

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in a next level in AI um and like samman

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said you know it it's it's what they

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focused on and it's not about the new

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modality which could be photo it could

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be video but having a model that is

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really really smart and having that

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general intelligence because if if you

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remember what samman spoke about was the

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fact that they are trying to create of

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course artificial general intelligence

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and if you want to get to AGI you are

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going to have to of course have a system

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that does have different modalities but

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you will need to have a really

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sophisticated system that doesn't fail

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you know as much as these systems do and

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they don't fail that much but the

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instances where they do mean that they

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can't be used in certain industries and

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of course that is a hurdle that they

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need to get over so I think that really

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fascinating stuff from Sam Alman

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discussing capabilities of future models

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like gbt 5 or like he said whatever they

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might call it goes to show that we are

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going to be in for perhaps a very good

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shock in terms of the model's

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capabilities and I would presume that

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they are going to release gbd 4.5 just

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after the gem release because I think

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once Google gets the spotlight open AI

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are going to quickly take it back and

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then Google's going to have another

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mountain to climb now samman did also

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talk about something that I thought was

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rather fascinating because I think

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people were going a bit too crazy

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because essentially what Sam Alman talks

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about in this clip and the interviewer

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just asked him you know what's going on

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with the military use and Sam went in

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this clip basically says that look okay

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I don't think it's wrong for the

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military to be able to you know

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reorganize some fouls using our you know

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llms if they want to um so I don't know

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why people were going crazy with that

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because as always sometimes people run

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away with a narrative and I think uh

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this clip clears it up but like I said

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it's rather interesting to see how he

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you know navigates question that allows

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open AI models to be used by militaries

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uh why did you make that change because

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what we tried to do is say here's what

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you can't use the models for rather than

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here's this group of people that can't

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use it um there were parts of the

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Department of Defense that had I think

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Super legitimate super good use cases

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for our models and a blanket saying you

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know the anyone whose address ends in do

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Mill can't use this I think it's bad uh

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I'm like very proud citizen of the US

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I'm a huge supporter of liberal

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democracy continuing to do well well we

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don't want our models being used to like

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make kill decisions of course but

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there's a lot of other stuff that the

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military does that's quite important and

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you've got some great use cases that you

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talked about helping you know prevent

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suicide by veterans obviously if someone

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giving a speech at West Point wants to

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translate it into Swedish that's

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probably not a high-risk use then you

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have stuff at the other end you know

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developing a nuclear weapon clearly

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against your policies but there's so

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much in the mid there's so much that is

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not building a bomb it's not destroying

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property which is another one you have

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that's allowed that's not allowed rather

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but that could be really harmful I mean

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these AI engines are incredibly you know

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capable persuasion engines how do you

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draw the line of what a military can and

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can't do and do you think that's the

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right place one of the things that we

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believe very deeply is that society and

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this technology have to co-evolve um it

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it we believe in iterative deployment a

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lot for the obvious reason which is that

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people need time to gradually update and

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think and figure figure out what the

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rules should be but there's another part

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which is so that part right there the

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reason I stopped that clip is because

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like I said okay we don't want to

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essentially shock the entire you know

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industry or the entire population with a

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new crazy model that's able to you know

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do 100 million different things and I

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know that's a vast exaggeration but the

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point is I'm trying to get you all to

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understand that you know if open AI came

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out with gb5 tomorrow and it was an AI

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agent it had 90% on all benchmarks I

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think people would be you know freaking

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out about this rather than being

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astounded by just how good the model is

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because I think people would realize

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just how quickly we are accelerating to

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a point where humans are no longer

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needed and that wouldn't spark

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inspiration it would spark fear because

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the timeline would be too quick for

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humans to you know get their brains

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wrapped around the fact that you know in

play10:51

just a couple of years they might not be

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needed for any you know real tasks so I

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think what's H when they saying here is

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that you know human humans do need time

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to adapt you know you do need to be able

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to you know process the emotion and the

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feeling of you know societal change you

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know societal change can't just happen

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overnight because that just isn't good

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for anyone and you know I'm pretty sure

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um they know this and they understand

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that look even last time when gbt 4 was

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released there was a huge letter that

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all of these you know company own signed

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you know Elon Musk uh Steve wnac all of

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these people you know did sign because

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they were like who okay we went from gbt

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3.5 to gbt 4 and that was a huge huge uh

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increase you know in such a short amount

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of time so they were like whoa whoa whoa

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whoa whoa we need to slow down we need

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to stop releasing anything other than

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gbt gbt 4.5 to gbt 5 so samman's

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basically saying that look okay we're

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going to make sure that um you know we

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we need to be able to co co-evolve and

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of course it of deployment which

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essentially means that the next model is

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likely to be gbt 4.5 and after that it

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could be gg5 but I think okay and don't

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quote me on this but I do think that

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they might you know limit some of the

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capabilities and I think maybe that's

play12:00

why they nerfed gbt 4's capabilities

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just because I think the adjustment

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period is definitely something that

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would be better for Humanity in the

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sense that people do need time to adjust

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because if we go from you know gbt 3.5

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to gbd4 and then people are like

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freaking out and then we go to gbt 5 and

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gbt 5 is just crazy like people are

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going to be like oh my God like do you

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know what I mean so I think you know uh

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iterative deployment is definitely

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something that they are leaning to and

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of course giving Society the ability to

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co-evolve with the software and make

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that transition is definitely a very

play12:29

good point but here is the rest of the

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clip because it is uh you know rather

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fascinating society and this technology

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have to co-evolve um it we believe in

play12:37

iterative deployment a lot for the

play12:39

obvious reason which is that people need

play12:41

time to gradually update and think and

play12:44

figure out what the rules should be but

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there's another part which is it's it

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that you can't separate the technology

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from the world you can't just even if

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you get everything magically right you

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can't build it in secret and then put it

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in the world all at once because the

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world is going to keep changing with

play12:57

each iteration which means on those

play12:59

middle cases I don't know what the right

play13:01

answer is yet nor does anyone because no

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one has really like thought through and

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seen how the the institutions and the

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world and Society shift and reshape in

play13:10

in response to this so there will be a

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lot of things that we'll have to start

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slowly on and iterate as we go and there

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will be a lot of middle cases but we do

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want to support the US government and

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other governments too and like I find it

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odd that everyone thinks this is a big

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gotcha question where they're like going

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to say wait are you saying you support

play13:26

the US government and my answer no it's

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actually the did get cut off there but

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essentially Sam alman's answer is yes of

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course he does support the US government

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because he's a US citizen so I think

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that is a complete given now does he

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support everything that the US

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government does and you know watches all

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their political moves I don't think

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anyone does so um let's just not get

play13:45

into politics we are staying on the

play13:47

topic of AI technology but like Sam

play13:50

Alman said that Society shift um you

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know they're going to start slow so like

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I said I think they might even drip feed

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us some of the capabilities because I

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think in some cases it is best to do

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that because like as Sam Elman said we

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do want the ability to get everyone up

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to speed as things do change because I

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don't think you know what with your one

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day you know gbt 4 and then the next day

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you know everything is automated and I

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don't think that's how quick things are

play14:15

going to go but I do think that in

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response to gbt 4 the way Society

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reacted um does show us okay and I think

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the fact that you know right now what

play14:24

he's saying about this and saying the

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fact that we do need iterative

play14:26

deployment does actually show us that

play14:28

they did make a giant leap because with

play14:30

qar and all the leaks and the fact that

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Sam mman said it was an unfortunate leak

play14:34

does show us that they are moving faster

play14:37

than they are letting on because think

play14:38

about like this right if you're letting

play14:40

if you're moving really really fast okay

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and you know you don't want your company

play14:44

to be regulated into the ground you're

play14:46

definitely going to go in small small

play14:47

steps because you want it to be a

play14:49

gradual transition because that's good

play14:51

for everyone but if you're moving slowly

play14:52

you could just release the next model

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and the next model and you're moving

play14:55

gradually anyway so I think this is

play14:57

obviously the chance here but this does

play14:59

show us that AI is moving rapidly and

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that's of course just an inherent nature

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of the field and of course allows open

play15:05

AI models to be used by military then of

play15:08

course there was something here um and I

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think this just goes to show us on the

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back end like I mean in four to five

play15:13

years when this thing is built how crazy

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uh open ey is actually going to be in

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terms of its company size I think it's

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going to be a monolith because um if

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they're able to get this off the ground

play15:23

that would really change everything if

play15:24

it is as effective so take a look at

play15:26

this cuz this is where they talk about

play15:27

raising for other stuff but samman

play15:29

basically said that what I was doing was

play15:30

an open AI thing I think there was this

play15:33

misrepresentation not hard to guess by

play15:35

who but that I was like off in the

play15:37

Middle East raising money for this chip

play15:38

effort and that it was somehow like a

play15:39

Sam project it was like an open AI

play15:41

project that the board had decided was a

play15:43

clear strategic priority um and it it

play15:46

it's not a separate thing so you know

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I'm not going to go try to like fight

play15:51

everything in the Press because you all

play15:52

will do your thing and I respect that um

play15:54

but that was like wildly misreported

play15:56

these are like these are critical to

play15:57

open AI efforts I don't invest much in

play15:59

personal startups anymore like I don't

play16:01

invest personally much in startups I do

play16:03

support the ones that I invested in um

play16:05

previous to this in general if there's

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like a startup that I supported and

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they're raising more money um I try to

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like continue to support but uh like I'm

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not I don't think of myself as an

play16:14

investor anymore that was our thought I

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mean that was that that that that is the

play16:18

whole reason we have the strategy of

play16:19

iterative deployment and I think I mean

play16:21

I think we've been right so far to do

play16:23

this see yeah um I think we all need to

play16:26

pay attention to this because

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essentially one thing that most people

play16:29

don't realize is that the current chips

play16:31

that we do have the current graphics

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cards and you know processes that we do

play16:34

use to you know run and train these

play16:36

models aren't designed for AI okay um

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and there are companies out there that

play16:41

are specifically designing stuff for AI

play16:43

and if they're able to get that stuff

play16:45

effectively I honestly for the life of

play16:46

me cannot remember the company that is

play16:48

working on it because there is so much

play16:50

AI news that I honestly look through but

play16:52

the company was able to say that they

play16:53

were able to get things going a 100

play16:55

times faster based on you know current

play16:57

you know small more preliminary results

play17:00

um and if they're able like think about

play17:01

like this guys if they're long story

play17:02

short if they're able to get the

play17:03

training runs down from like a couple of

play17:05

months to down to like a couple of hours

play17:07

um I mean that would be a pace that is

play17:10

unprecedented um and I mean that would

play17:12

have serious ramifications now I know

play17:14

that that sounds like a dream and might

play17:15

not even be possible anytime in the near

play17:17

future but if we do manage to increase

play17:20

the like the speed of the processing um

play17:22

and just you know the specific AI stuff

play17:24

that is going to be uh really really

play17:27

really incredible in terms of just the

play17:28

speed because we already know that the

play17:30

breakthroughs are happening in the

play17:31

research but you know the training runs

play17:33

are definitely something that do take a

play17:35

long time so for that that would be a

play17:38

major breakthrough but of course like

play17:39

they said this is what he said Is An

play17:42

Open AI priority so it wouldn't be

play17:44

surprising if in the next couple of

play17:45

years we do get some breakthrough in

play17:47

chip design that allows us to you know

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do these training runs um much faster

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and of course allows us to iterate even

play17:54

quicker and of course we do have uh this

play17:56

statement so um around the internet and

play18:00

around the AI communities there has been

play18:02

the consensus that Sam mman recently has

play18:05

been downplaying AGI now if you know

play18:07

what AGI is you'll know that it's going

play18:08

to be the most transformative technology

play18:10

within the decade and like the Tweet

play18:12

says Sam signed a letter saying that AI

play18:14

extens Central Rich should be a global

play18:17

priority and he also said that the bad

play18:19

case is it's lights out for all of us

play18:21

now he ins he hints at AGI like it will

play18:25

be a nothing burger and it's curious how

play18:27

closely his words match whatever what's

play18:30

most convenient at the time so I think

play18:32

what Sam mman is doing here and of

play18:34

course this is just pure speculation we

play18:35

have no idea why he says what he says

play18:37

there could be a variety of reasons but

play18:39

I think closest to the model you don't

play18:41

want to state that you know um bad cases

play18:43

the lights out for all of us this is an

play18:44

existential risk but now he's basically

play18:46

saying that look AGI um you know because

play18:49

basically in in the clip I'm not sure if

play18:50

I'm going to show it on here but he said

play18:52

that you know when we have ai the world

play18:53

will have a twoe freakout and then

play18:55

people will go back to their lives but

play18:57

before he basically said that you know

play18:59

this is uh going to be a really

play19:00

transformative technology so either way

play19:02

I think um you know AGI is going to

play19:04

impact anyone because if he if if the

play19:06

company does succeed an actual AGI like

play19:09

they actually do it they get it done

play19:10

like an actual AGI that's good it can

play19:12

you know do a bunch of stuff it can do

play19:14

research y y y it can do everything that

play19:17

you know the Deep Mind says you know

play19:18

like a competent AGI could do that's

play19:21

better than 99% of humans in tasks I

play19:24

think that will change the world

play19:25

fundamentally and I don't think we go

play19:26

back to a world without it so I'm not

play19:28

sure how people are going to just go

play19:29

back go back with their lives because

play19:31

their individual lives and sense of

play19:32

purpose is going to be changed so I'm

play19:35

not sure how that's going to work but I

play19:37

do find that fascinating and captivating

play19:40

that he actually did say that so um

play19:43

maybe it's just downplaying it I have no

play19:45

idea but um there was also a comment

play19:48

okay from another YouTuber that I do

play19:49

watch that has really riveting stuff but

play19:52

I would take a look at this because um

play19:54

it's rather important so essentially

play19:55

David Shapiro someone that creates uh

play19:58

some of the best AI content on the web

play20:00

um essentially talked about how Sam

play20:02

Alman said AGI is coming soon but it

play20:03

won't change the world and that really

play20:05

just doesn't make sense because he says

play20:06

I don't know to me that's like saying

play20:08

that the invention of electricity or

play20:09

steam power or the printing press didn't

play20:11

change the world much and his personal

play20:12

readers this and either I either he's

play20:14

toning down the rhetoric since the open

play20:16

AI drama so a few months ago he was of

play20:18

course fired and then rehired and maybe

play20:20

the pr teams are saying you know just

play20:21

don't spout off and saying that a AI is

play20:23

going to you know uh do crazy stuff

play20:25

because to be fair there are many news

play20:27

articles out there that like run with

play20:29

any like any narrative that you know AI

play20:32

is going to destroy us so I mean it is

play20:34

wise to not go down that route at all

play20:36

and then someone you know the second

play20:38

point is that he's finally realizing the

play20:39

massive rapid indications of what

play20:40

they're doing and they have no idea how

play20:42

much is going to change the world and

play20:43

they are legitimately worried hence the

play20:45

firing and attempt to sync open AI by

play20:47

the former board and it's a combination

play20:48

of these and the other factors so do you

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think the AI will change the world much

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and then there was a poll and most

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people do think AGI will change the

play20:54

world much so um I mean by definition

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it's going to like by the definition if

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you've seen deep Minds um you know

play21:01

classification for what they view AGI as

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so I would say that AGI of course if it

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is real if it is effective if it is able

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to be done most certainly change of

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world but I think Sam mman is is right

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to say what he says because um companies

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will honestly run with it and we don't

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need another PR disaster slop ey board

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drama so will be interesting to see if

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he does change his tone in the future

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and how you know certain things do get

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translated but um I'm really excited for

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GPT 4.5 or GPT 5 which other one is

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released and let me know what your

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thoughts and comments are because we are

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definitely moving very fast into an

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uncertain future and it's important to

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pay attention

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Искусственный интеллектGPT 5Сэм АльманИнтервьюТехнологии будущегоAGIИтерационное развертываниеУмение общатьсяПамять AIЧипы для AIПрограммное обеспечениеОбщественное восприятие