OTE Primer - Intro To ICT Optimal Trade Entry

The Inner Circle Trader
29 Sept 201744:40

Summary

TLDRThe video script introduces a new series on the Inner Circle Trader YouTube channel, focusing on daily price action trading strategies. The host emphasizes the simplicity of trading, revealing a basic pattern discovered in price action that is easy to spot and understand. The series aims to teach optimal trade entry (OTE) through a foundational approach, using higher time frames for identifying key support and resistance levels, and explaining the importance of understanding market structure and institutional behavior for high-probability trades without the need for complex indicators.

Takeaways

  • 🚀 The video serves as an introduction to a series on the 'inner circle trader' YouTube channel, focusing on daily trading insights and strategies.
  • 💡 The primary goal of trading, as stated, is to make money, but the speaker emphasizes that no method guarantees success and that understanding price action is crucial.
  • 🔍 The speaker introduces a specific pattern in price action that they discovered, which is easy to spot and understand, suggesting it's a foundational tool for trading.
  • 📈 The concept of 'Optimal Trade Entry' (OTE) is introduced as a simplified approach to entering trades based on price action, rather than complex indicators or strategies.
  • 📝 The importance of having a trading plan is highlighted, with the speaker advocating for a concise plan that fits on the back of a business card, focusing on risk management and trade execution.
  • 📉 The video discusses the use of higher time frames (monthly, weekly, daily) to identify key support and resistance levels, which are vital for understanding market movements.
  • 🤔 The speaker challenges the idea that trading must be complicated, advocating for a simplified approach that focuses on the mechanics of price action and institutional behavior.
  • 📊 The Fibonacci tool is introduced as part of the optimal trade entry strategy, with specific settings provided to help identify entry and exit points in the market.
  • 💰 The video emphasizes the importance of risk-reward ratios, aiming for trades that offer at least a two-to-one ratio in favor of the reward.
  • 📉 The speaker explains how to identify market structure breaks and consolidations, which are key for identifying optimal entry points for trades.
  • 🌐 The video concludes by demonstrating the application of these concepts on trading platforms like TradingView and MT4, showing practical examples of optimal trade entries.

Q & A

  • What is the purpose of the video series on the Inner Circle Trader YouTube channel?

    -The purpose of the video series is to provide daily entries focusing on optimal trade entry techniques in Forex trading, with a New York session live commentary, discussing one particular currency pair per day based on personal choice and selection.

  • What is the main reason people start trading according to the video?

    -The main reason people start trading is to make money, although the video emphasizes that no one can guarantee profits in trading.

  • What is the significance of the pattern the presenter first discovered in price action?

    -The pattern was significant because it was easy to spot, understand, and it resonated with many people the presenter taught, becoming a popular approach among them.

  • What are the two main setups the presenter looks at in their personal trading repertoire?

    -The video does not specify the two main setups, but it mentions that the presenter will teach a generic optimal trade entry approach from a foundational standpoint.

  • What is the abbreviation OTE and what does it stand for?

    -OTE stands for Optimal Trade Entry, which is a concept the presenter uses to teach about efficient entry points in trading.

  • Why does the presenter emphasize the importance of a trading plan?

    -The presenter emphasizes the importance of a trading plan because it helps traders understand their risk model, entry conditions, market sentiment, execution, and profit-taking strategies, which are essential for consistent trading.

  • What is the presenter's view on the complexity of trading?

    -The presenter believes that trading does not have to be overly complex and that a simple understanding of price action and optimal trade entry can be effective.

  • What does the presenter mean by 'institutional sponsorship' in the context of price moves?

    -Institutional sponsorship refers to the presence of large entities with deep pockets and sizable orders influencing the market, which can be identified through price action on higher timeframes.

  • What is the significance of focusing on higher timeframes like monthly, weekly, and daily charts?

    -Focusing on higher timeframes helps to identify the big money moves and reduces the noise from lower timeframes, providing a clearer picture of the market's direction and potential high-probability trading setups.

  • How does the presenter define optimal trade entry for a bullish market?

    -In a bullish market, optimal trade entry is defined as buying retracements after an impulse price move higher, aiming to enter between the 62% and 79% Fibonacci retracement levels.

  • What is the presenter's approach to risk management in trading?

    -The presenter's approach to risk management involves measuring the amount of risk for every setup, sticking to a trading plan, and ensuring that the potential profit justifies the risk taken, aiming for at least a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio.

  • What is the importance of understanding market structure and algorithmic price models in trading?

    -Understanding market structure and algorithmic price models helps traders anticipate price movements and identify high-probability trading setups from an institutional perspective, which can lead to more accurate and profitable trades.

Outlines

00:00

🎥 Introduction to the Inner Circle Trader Series

The speaker introduces the first video in a series on the Inner Circle Trader YouTube channel, outlining a daily video log from Monday to Friday. The focus will be on providing live commentary during the New York session, analyzing one currency pair each day based on personal selection. The speaker emphasizes that while the goal of trading is to make money, they cannot guarantee success but will share a pattern discovered in price action that is easy to spot and understand. The video aims to teach optimal trade entry from a foundational perspective, stressing the importance of a trading plan and acknowledging that even with a solid plan, success is not guaranteed.

05:00

📈 Simplifying Trading: The Importance of Price Action

The speaker discusses the importance of simplifying trading strategies and focusing on price action rather than complex indicators or gimmicks. They mention teaching about selecting key support and resistance levels from higher time frames down to four-hour charts, which is the lowest considered for defining key levels. The speaker advocates for trading based on evidence of institutional sponsorship behind price moves, looking for signs of large orders influencing the market. They stress the importance of using higher time frames to understand where big money moves are happening and to avoid the paralysis effect caused by trying to learn and apply too many strategies.

10:03

🤑 Optimal Trade Entry: Buying and Selling Strategies

The speaker explains the concept of optimal trade entry, focusing on buying retracements when the market is bullish and selling rallies when it's bearish. They describe the use of Fibonacci levels to determine entry and exit points, with a preference for the 62% retracement level. The speaker details how to set stop-loss orders and take-profit levels, emphasizing the importance of having a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio, ideally aiming for at least a 2:1 ratio. They also discuss the importance of scaling out of trades to secure profits and manage risk effectively.

15:05

📊 Algorithmic Pricing and Institutional Trading Levels

The speaker delves into algorithmic pricing models and institutional trading levels, explaining how markets are predisposed to move higher or lower based on key support and resistance levels. They discuss the importance of using higher time frames to identify these levels and give an example of how to find support using an old high as a reference point. The speaker also explains how to identify institutional price levels for potential buy or sell orders, emphasizing the need to understand market structure and the behavior of large entities in the market.

20:07

📉 Market Structure Breaks and Trade Entry Techniques

The speaker illustrates how to identify market structure breaks and optimal trade entry points using the EUR/USD currency pair as an example. They discuss the importance of recognizing impulse legs in price movement and how to use short-term highs as indicators for potential trade entries. The speaker also explains the concept of a buy profile or model, where smart money accumulates at certain levels and then pushes the price higher, creating opportunities for optimal trade entries.

25:11

📈 Trade Execution and the Psychology of Price Action

The speaker continues the discussion on trade execution, emphasizing the importance of patience and giving the market room to breathe when setting stop-loss orders. They use the MT4 platform to demonstrate how to apply Fibonacci levels to identify entry and exit points, and how to scale out of trades at different profit levels. The speaker also touches on the psychology of trading, explaining how market sentiment can be influenced by price action and how institutional traders anticipate market movements rather than reacting to them.

30:13

🤔 Algorithmic Trading Insights and Market Liquidity

The speaker provides insights into how algorithmic trading models work, focusing on how institutions reach for specific price levels to accumulate or distribute positions. They discuss the sensitivity of prices around institutional levels and how orders are stacked around these levels. The speaker also explains how to identify high-probability trade setups by looking for breaks in intermediate-term highs and how to use higher time frame levels to confirm these setups.

35:20

🚀 Conclusion: Mastering Optimal Trade Entry for Institutional-Level Trading

In the concluding part of the script, the speaker summarizes the key points of optimal trade entry, emphasizing the importance of understanding institutional price action and algorithmic trading models. They encourage viewers to study and seek similar trade setups in their own charts and across different currency pairs. The speaker also hints at the possibility of a more in-depth mentorship program for those interested in learning even more about institutional trading strategies.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Price Action

Price action is the movement of the price of a security, currency, or commodity over time, interpreted using only price data without the use of technical indicators. It is a fundamental concept in trading that emphasizes the importance of understanding the market's behavior through the lens of price changes. In the video, the speaker discusses how they first discovered a particular pattern in price action that was easy to spot and understand, which is central to the theme of the video.

💡Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)

Optimal Trade Entry refers to the ideal point at which a trader enters a trade to maximize potential profit while minimizing risk. It is a key concept in the video, where the speaker promises to teach viewers how to identify these points through a foundational approach to trading, using price action as the basis for understanding market movements.

💡Risk Management

Risk management is the process of identifying, evaluating, and controlling risk to minimize or eliminate potential losses. In the context of the video, the speaker emphasizes the importance of measuring the amount of risk involved in every trading setup and sticking to a trading plan that incorporates this risk management strategy.

💡Trading Plan

A trading plan is a document that outlines a trader's strategies, goals, risk tolerance, and trading rules. The speaker in the video suggests that a trading plan does not need to be overly complicated and can be as simple as a list that fits on the back of a business card, highlighting the essentials of risk model, entry conditions, and profit-taking strategies.

💡Support and Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels are price points on a chart where the price of an asset tends to stop and reverse. In the video, the speaker mentions a teaching on selecting key support and resistance levels, which is crucial for understanding market dynamics and making informed trading decisions.

💡Algorithmic Trading

Algorithmic trading refers to the use of computer programs to execute trades at high speed based on predefined criteria. The speaker discusses how the market is predisposed to go higher or lower based on algorithmic models, which are used to predict price movements and identify trading opportunities.

💡Market Structure

Market structure in trading refers to the arrangement of prices over time that form patterns which can be used to predict future price movements. The video script mentions the concept of market structure breaks, which are significant price movements that can indicate a change in the market trend.

💡Fibonacci Retracement

Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool used to identify potential support and resistance levels on a chart. In the video, the speaker describes using Fibonacci levels to determine optimal trade entry points, particularly focusing on the 62% retracement level as a key area for potential trades.

💡Scalping

Scalping is a trading strategy that aims to profit from the small price changes of a security or other asset. The speaker mentions not disparaging the ability to make money through scalping but emphasizes that the video's focus is on larger, more significant price movements identified through higher time frame analysis.

💡Forex

Forex, short for foreign exchange, refers to the global market where currencies are traded. The speaker mentions Forex as the asset class they are focusing on for their teachings, indicating that the concepts discussed in the video are particularly relevant to currency trading.

💡Market Maker Model

A market maker model is a trading strategy where a trader acts as a market maker, providing liquidity by placing bids and offers at different price levels. The speaker describes a scenario in the script where they identify a market maker model, which is a setup where they expect the market to trade in a certain way based on previous price action.

Highlights

Introduction to a daily video series on the YouTube channel Inner Circle Trader.

October 2017 New York session live commentary focusing on one currency pair per day.

Teaching a foundational understanding of price action for optimal trade entry.

The importance of having a trading plan concise enough to fit on the back of a business card.

Emphasizing the simplicity of trading and avoiding over-complication with indicators.

Using higher time frames for identifying key support and resistance levels.

The significance of old highs and lows as monthly levels for trading decisions.

Focusing on price action over short-term volatility for institutional trading insights.

Defining optimal trade entry as buying retracements during bullish markets.

Explanation of Fibonacci settings for optimal trade entry in the MT4 platform.

Risk management strategies including knowing entry and exit points for trades.

The concept of scaling out profits and the importance of first profit targets.

Using algorithmic price models to predict market behavior and support levels.

Identifying market structure breaks and their significance in trading decisions.

The role of patience in trading and allowing price to move within a defined risk range.

Teaching how to refine trade entry points using specific price levels and patterns.

Highlighting the precision of trading based on institutional price movements and liquidity areas.

Final thoughts on the simplicity and effectiveness of optimal trade entry for both new and experienced traders.

Transcripts

play00:16

okay folks welcome this is gonna be the

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first video I do as a beginning or a

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point of origin if you want to call it

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that for my continuing series on the

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YouTube channel inner circle trader so

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it's gonna be a daily entry in terms of

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the YouTube channel will have a Monday

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through Friday video log so there'll be

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something posted and in October 2017 I'm

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going to be doing a New York session

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live commentary so I'll be talking about

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one particular pair per day based on

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personal choice and selection it doesn't

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mean there's gonna be a setup that comes

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to fruition every single day it just

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means I'm going to give you an example

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focusing on one particular pair and

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using that as a foundation in

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understanding you're in learning price

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action so the first thing I want to kind

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of bring the focus to is why everyone

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starts trading obviously they want to

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make money okay number one I'm not

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promising you that okay cuz no one can

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the only thing I can tell you is this is

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a particular pattern that I first

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discovered in price action and it was

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very easy to spot

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it was very easy to see and understood

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the mechanics rather quickly and I think

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from everyone I've ever taught this is

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the one pattern that most gravitate

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towards there's a lot of different

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trading patterns out there especially in

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my personal repertoire but truth be told

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I only have only two setups that look at

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and I'm not gonna give you there's

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particular setups here but I'm gonna be

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teaching you the generic optimal trade

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entry from a foundational standpoint or

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bare basics approach to it now right

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away much like everyone else has already

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gone through my free tutorials they

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either dismissed it as oh well you know

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it's too easy too simple trading can't

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be that easy and no trading isn't

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and CLE easy quote-unquote makes it

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difficult this is you have to measure

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the amount of risk involved for every

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setup and then you have to stick to a

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trading plan that you know follows that

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setup and even that doesn't guarantee

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you're gonna make money so the author

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I'm guaranteeing you here is a solid

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understanding of what I see in terms of

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price action as it relates to optimal

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trade entry or as it's deemed on the

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Internet and in my own tutorials OTE

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okay just abbreviation for optimal trade

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entry alright so the first idea is

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number one before we do anything I'll

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kind of like want to remind you all that

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I did a lecture years and years ago

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about how your trading plan as many as

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some might feel that's necessary to have

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you know 14-page you know treaty yeah

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what it is you're going to do I think

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personally once you understand the

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mechanics of it all and what you're

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doing and conceptually it only needs to

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be enough to fill the back of a business

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card okay so you need a short little

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list of things that you know by heart

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what's your risk model how to frame that

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what makes your entry what gives you the

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conditions in the market place that

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makes you bullish and bearish and you

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know how do you execute and how you

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manage that trade and then you obviously

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you know where do you take your profits

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at so obviously it's a very

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oversimplification on my part admittedly

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I understand that but my return back to

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online I guess tutelage and teaching

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it's really kind of like bring it back

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in the scope of simplification because I

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have a lot of things that I've taught

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everyone about trading every asset class

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specifically Forex the common consensus

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this is because everyone's tried to

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learn everything I taught and they tried

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to apply it to every possible scenario

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and every particular trading day that

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they have time to sit in from the Sharks

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it doesn't promote you know solid

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understanding in fact it creates kind

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like a paralysis effect so what happens

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is

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one quickly walks away from the material

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thinking well number one he's just a

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demo guy because you can't do it or

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because I haven't showed a track record

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and it's always been about you not about

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me so if you take this information use

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it I promise you you will have a greater

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understanding about price action than

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you have right now that's the only thing

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I can promise now does that mean you're

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gonna making be making any money no I

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can't promise that okay so everything I

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talk about is going to be referred to as

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a hypothetical scenario because I'm not

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trying to take ownership of the risk and

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rewards that you take in using this

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information so this understand that -

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it's for informational purposes only I

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think if you look at it you'll quickly

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see that there's something of worth in

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terms of studying it says the first

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thing we're gonna look at is

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understanding what makes the market

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predisposed to go higher or lower now if

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you recall for those that have had that

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benefit of going through my old

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tutorials I had a teaching on selecting

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key support resistance levels and it's

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primarily just marking from a higher

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time frame monthly down into the lower

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time frame so you wanna say lower time

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frame that would be about the four hours

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the lowest I'd go in terms of defining

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it as a key anything less than four

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hours is too short term to refine that

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on a large institutional basis so what I

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like to look for is and when I taught

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one if Reta twirls is that if you used a

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higher time frame monthly weekly daily

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n' four-hour and will just leave the

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four-hour offer right now this focus on

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a monthly daily and weekly time frames

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if you look for key levels where price

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has moved away from it in other words if

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price has moved up to a resistance level

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and repelled and went lower we can

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reasonably assume that there was a large

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degree of institutions that had a

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interest and being short there and if

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the market trades down to a level and

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bounces off of it and goes higher we can

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reasonably assume that there is an

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institutional basis for that rally to

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ensue no without going in the great

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detail and revisiting everything I've

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ever done and trying to compressing into

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a very short video just

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that that simple premise of using a hard

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time frame chart and use a monthly chart

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there's plenty of high probability

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scenarios that you could find just using

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a monthly chart no you don't get a whole

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lot of setups but if you're watching a

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wide array of particular assets there's

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always something trading at or near a

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monthly level okay and what's a monthly

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level an old high an old low simple as

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that now

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everything I'm going to be teaching and

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revisiting in the YouTube channel is all

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about simplification very simple

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processes simple ideas no indicators no

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gimmicks none of those types of things

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you don't need all that stuff a very

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simple understand of price action the

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premise behind what makes these things

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strong is we're looking for the evidence

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that there's going to be a institutional

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sponsorship behind the price move that

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means big entities deep pockets lots of

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orders coming in large sizeable orders

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are coming in we're not looking at

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ladders we're not looking at little tiny

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little fluctuations of intraday

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volatility we're looking at big massive

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tell-tale signs that these big boys have

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pushed price around and you can see that

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on the hard time frame I've said this so

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many times if folks would just focus on

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these timeframes it will answer 80% of

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the problems you're having because

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you're too worried about what's going on

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in these lower timeframes because you're

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in enamored by something maybe I've done

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with an intraday chart five-minute

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15-minute something that we've been one

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minute charts you get on social media

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everybody's a wizard now and they're

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showing all kinds of things that they've

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either done or can do and that's great

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but one minute charts are not going to

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decipher what smart money's doing that's

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just very short-term volatility now I'm

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not disparaging the ability to make

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money doing that because I can do it

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just as well as the next guy can but

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what I really want to focus my time on

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this is what I taught from 2010 that's

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it really just to 4x but it really goes

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across all asset classes if you use a

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higher time frames you want any asset

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classes you're looking to speculate in

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or study that is where the big money

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moves are it's as simple as that it

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doesn't get any plainer than that okay

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so we're going to assume for a moment

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that we are

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you assumed it's a markets bullish okay

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and we would be looking for the market

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to trade higher optimal trade entry is

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really based on buying retracements okay

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as the market makes a impulse price move

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higher that impulse price move has to be

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incorporating a break in market

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structure and I'll show you what that

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looks like in the chart and then your

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what you're doing is you're trying to

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buy the retracement slower and obviously

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it's very cliche to here in technical

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analysis buy the dips sell the rallies

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okay if you're bullish you're gonna be

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buying the dips or any retracement

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slower after a price leg higher and then

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the expectation is you're buying it when

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it retraces and then you want to buy it

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as it does that and then capture the

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next leg higher and everything's

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reversed for when it's bearish we'd be

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looking for rallies in price and we look

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into sell those rallies with the

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expectation that we're going to break to

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lower lows okay and that's the optimal

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trader through short and optimal trade

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entry long in a bare definition simple

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definition so what it looks like is on a

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fib this is the basic model there's been

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many approaches to having the Fibonacci

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show what I use for optimal trade entry

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but this is the bare bones is how it

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started this is how it is and I'll show

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you what these settings are let's go

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here and click on and I'll let you see

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the settings that way you can set your

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mt4 or equivalent to the same the zero

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level is first profit and scaling I'll

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explain these as I go

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62 percent retracement level unraveling

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it and then you have the 100 level which

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is one here and then we have the %

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dollar sign just allows the mt4 platform

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to plot the actual value you can see

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that over here and then it's 0.7 0 5 for

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the sweet spot for optimal for entry

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that's the price level I'd like to see

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price trade - and 79% and we have our

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target levels which is

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zero negative zero point six two

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negative zero two seven and then

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negative one for a symmetrical price

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swing okay and then the same as this you

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know done over here I don't need to show

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you the property settings for that it's

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the same thing that's shown in the scale

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of looking for downside objectives so

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the premise is we would be looking for

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price to do something like this okay we

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have a impulse price leg higher and then

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we have another impulse price leg off

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that level and trading down into optimal

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trade entry okay so we're trying to do

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is get below halfway of that price leg

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higher down into 60 to 70 and a half to

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79% raise my level okay I try to get my

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fill at 62

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just to everyone knows right away it's

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for completeness sake I try to get a

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tour very close to the 62% tracing level

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I allow up to a little small deviation

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below the sub types of trades along 280

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ok now I allow that for price now my

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stop will be exactly at this low not 10

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pips for 5 to put pips below that it's

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gonna be right at that low okay so it's

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the easily defined if we are trying to

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get in at 62% traits level it'd be my

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fill would be one I'm sorry 1234 0.3 was

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calling this is the gold market behind

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all this stuff it's just that's the

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price is showing I'd look to get there

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um fill that basically 12:35 we'll call

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it okay just a little bit about 62 I'm

play13:08

not gonna fancy dance around try to get

play13:10

the actual level I just want to be in a

play13:12

level that makes sense okay and then

play13:15

between net and where I think the lows

play13:18

should be formed based on my analysis

play13:21

where price would be turns for the price

play13:23

swing I'll show you what that looks like

play13:24

in the chart this stop would be exactly

play13:27

right there so between the two reference

play13:29

points that would be the risk okay the

play13:33

level up here

play13:35

zero level is when you take off first

play13:39

profit now I like to go a little bit

play13:41

early because it can always fail getting

play13:44

back to this high so at that high or

play13:48

just below it that's where my first

play13:50

profit is that's your first scaling

play13:52

that's not your first target first

play13:55

target is here okay so you got to expect

play13:57

price to want to eventually get to this

play13:59

level or maybe this level if you're

play14:01

really extremely bullish all the way up

play14:03

here to have a measured move what's a

play14:04

measured move the impulse leg low to

play14:07

high that move is the same thing just

play14:10

add it to the high up okay so that's a

play14:13

perfectly symmetrical price swing you

play14:15

don't always happen to that degree and

play14:18

that's why we have to be looking to take

play14:20

profit right before our old high because

play14:23

it could fail there and if it goes above

play14:25

it at the 127 extension basically is

play14:28

what this is I'm gonna be looking to

play14:30

take something off there and if we get

play14:32

to 162 extension up here I would be

play14:39

another portion for me to take profits

play14:41

and then if I'm extremely bullish I'll

play14:43

leave a small piece on for a measured

play14:46

move type effect so the same thing as

play14:50

seen over here for when the markets

play14:56

bearish we look for an impulse leg lower

play15:00

in price okay and then we expect to see

play15:05

price retrace higher back into optimal

play15:15

trade entry and that's defined between

play15:17

62 and 79 cent racial it can be anywhere

play15:20

in here now the problem is is I'm not

play15:22

teaching supply and demand so supply and

play15:24

demand zones and stuff like that I don't

play15:26

do those types of things I look for

play15:28

specific price levels and I'll teach you

play15:30

through the month of October how to

play15:32

refine that down to a specific price

play15:33

level and not just wonder you know where

play15:36

it is in that zone you're going to be

play15:38

taking a trade at okay so I'm going to

play15:39

do the actual price levels to look for

play15:41

the same thing we would expect the price

play15:43

to show willingness to drop lower

play15:46

limiting our risk to the actual high

play15:49

between their entry and the hi that's

play15:51

our risk so we would take that amount of

play15:53

risk defiant divided by you know the

play15:57

percent risk that we're willing to

play15:59

assume based on our count let's say it's

play16:02

a half a percent we're a half percent of

play16:04

your account is you take that in terms

play16:07

of the pips and break that down and that

play16:09

would give you your per pip leverage and

play16:13

I know something I'm brushing over that

play16:15

rather quickly and it's because I'm

play16:18

trying to just give you a pound a ssin

play16:22

and then obviously through the entire

play16:24

scope of October will actually refine as

play16:26

you can see how to do your risk how to

play16:29

determine your risk and figure out what

play16:31

you can earn on the position and what

play16:33

you're you're risking and I'll teach you

play16:35

how to move all the stops when when it's

play16:36

supposed to be done and all that but

play16:38

ultimately we would expect to see it

play16:40

then move down into some reasonable

play16:44

objective first profit would be down

play16:45

here but just above the old low so we

play16:48

would on take profit here the thing is

play16:50

this is what why most traders screw up

play16:52

and you don't make money and they're not

play16:53

profitable either in demo or in live is

play16:55

they don't do this practice right here

play16:57

knowing where to get out it's our first

play16:59

scale you have to know what that is and

play17:02

it has to be a reasonable amount of

play17:03

range to promote the idea of

play17:06

justification for the risk so if I know

play17:09

I'm getting in here in my entry exit but

play17:11

a loss is up here with my stop it has to

play17:14

be a reasonable you know better than in

play17:18

my opinion better than two to one okay

play17:22

and that's about as good as I get

play17:24

in terms of trusting reward to risk

play17:26

ratios okay so what I'm looking for is

play17:29

everyone will look like this way they'll

play17:30

say okay I'm I'm trading here at is

play17:33

short and my risk is here so that's my

play17:36

risk okay whatever that multiple is then

play17:38

they start doing this it's okay for if I

play17:40

get short from that point there's one

play17:41

are there's two are there's three orders

play17:43

for our I think that's flawed okay and

play17:46

that's the reason why I make fun of

play17:47

folks when they want to talk about risk

play17:48

to reward models it really should be

play17:50

done on first scaling okay so if I'm

play17:53

getting here as an entry and my risk is

play17:55

here it needs to be enough of the

play18:00

position coming off that promotes

play18:02

at least two to one so this is one are

play18:06

in terms of risk whatever that is

play18:11

I have to be able to make two times that

play18:13

in my first profit that's what I'm

play18:16

trying to shoot for now sometimes I'll

play18:18

take trades that are just slightly

play18:19

underneath - it might be like one in

play18:22

three quarters okay if I'm really really

play18:24

aggressive and I'm just in a fast market

play18:26

and we're not even fast mark I should

play18:29

say like this if I'm gonna market debt

play18:31

is indecisive but I'm already in a

play18:34

position so I'm managing it I'll I'll

play18:36

look to take out one and a half percent

play18:37

but I'm really looking for trades

play18:39

that'll frame a model that will give me

play18:41

around - okay so whatever my risk is

play18:44

from here to here I want two times that

play18:47

from my entry to first profit okay and

play18:50

that's why I want to get as deep as I

play18:52

can you know into that 70.5 level I'm

play18:57

not going to demand 79% tracing level

play18:59

I'm gonna be looking for the 70.5

play19:01

preferably they give you my entry at 62

play19:04

so that's what I'm looking for so not

play19:08

all trade scenarios are gonna give me

play19:10

this gearing but the ones that do are

play19:13

the ones I'm gonna take okay and

play19:16

obviously it's not as good if it's owned

play19:19

like a 1 or 5 minute chart cuz the range

play19:21

is gonna be very very small this setups

play19:23

that on like an alloy chart they're good

play19:26

because it'll give me enough of a range

play19:27

to get close to that two-to-one reward

play19:30

the risk and if I get that everything

play19:34

past that first scaling out takes care

play19:36

of itself and that's why it's I laugh

play19:39

when I hear folks saying it's stupid to

play19:41

take first profit or scaling out profits

play19:43

because your initial risk is X and then

play19:47

you've taken a small profit yada yada ya

play19:49

well that's because I'm looking for

play19:50

these objectives down here and it takes

play19:53

care of itself okay and it ends up

play19:55

becoming my last portion ends up being

play19:58

way more generally than what I did in my

play20:00

first scaling so it's it's not an issue

play20:04

for me to be worrying about if you see

play20:07

examples of it going forward you'll

play20:08

you'll see quickly there's no reason to

play20:10

be thinking it's a bad idea actually so

play20:15

let's go over to the charts and I'll

play20:18

give you some examples of how quickly

play20:19

and easily you can find these setups and

play20:21

we'll give you all kinds of examples of

play20:23

it going forward in October okay we're

play20:27

over here at tradingview dot-com and

play20:30

admittedly I'm a little clumsy when it

play20:32

comes to this platform I've not been

play20:34

active in using it but I've been

play20:36

practicing with it so that way I can use

play20:38

it as our medium for our teachings so I

play20:42

want to kind of draw your attention to

play20:44

how price on the euro dollar this is a

play20:46

wiggly timeframe and price in recent

play20:49

weeks have pushed above these old highs

play20:54

over here okay so if we did this on a

play20:58

monthly scale and that's still it just

play21:00

for completeness sake okay you can see

play21:06

this high here you do me a little bit so

play21:12

we have this high here in this high

play21:16

comes in at one 1714 okay one 1714 for

play21:23

this particular month so what I'm gonna

play21:25

do is I'm gonna draw a horizontal line

play21:29

right on it and I'm gonna ask you a

play21:32

question regarding pricing so if we see

play21:37

price trade on this particular month

play21:39

right here it trades above this high

play21:42

rate above it once we go above this old

play21:46

high just think in terms of simple

play21:48

support resistance folks it's not

play21:49

complicated when price is above it

play21:52

whatever that price level is an organ

play21:54

we've already assumed not assembly that

play21:58

I figured it out it was 1 1714 the

play22:00

markets trade in an algorithmic format

play22:04

okay there's price engines that generate

play22:08

you runs on price and runs on stops and

play22:12

it's accelerations in price and we're

play22:15

delivery skips and jumps to specific

play22:18

areas and pricing the easiest way to

play22:21

understand what that is is if you look

play22:24

at a chart you can do it like on an

play22:26

hourly chart or a 15-minute time frame

play22:29

you can see it on all time frames but

play22:31

really 15 in one minute if you do it

play22:33

every course of a week you'll see how

play22:35

price gravitates from a full figure okay

play22:39

that would be an example of like one

play22:40

1700 to 118 zeroes there that would be a

play22:44

full penny move in a year a dollar that

play22:47

one penny move is broken down

play22:51

algorithmically to the 11780 level 11750

play22:57

level or mid figure 117 20 level and

play23:00

then we have 117 big figure okay so my

play23:04

question G is this if price traces above

play23:06

it this old high back here because we

play23:09

broke through that this look this is

play23:12

high I'm sorry this high is 1 1714 so

play23:15

from an algorithmic standpoint what

play23:18

price level would it want to reach back

play23:20

down into if it's gonna go down for

play23:23

support 1 17 20 which was it's just

play23:30

above the 1 1714 right so if this high

play23:33

would have been 117 say 65 what would

play23:37

the level be that we you'd expect to see

play23:40

it reach down into for an algorithmic

play23:42

support level 1 1750 mid figure okay so

play23:47

think in terms of that okay and what

play23:50

this does is it eliminates all this

play23:53

distraction ok looking at ladders and

play23:57

depth of market and all those types of

play23:59

things you can probably swear by it and

play24:02

tell me you've done really really well

play24:04

and that's great just like anybody else

play24:06

using crossovers and MACD they can tell

play24:08

me they've done really well it out - I'm

play24:09

not telling you that you can't make

play24:11

money doing that kind of stuff I'm just

play24:13

simply suggesting to you there's a much

play24:15

easier purpose to doing this than

play24:17

everyone's doing so we're using an old

play24:20

high here and while the level is 1 1714

play24:24

and the specific high from an

play24:26

algorithmic standpoint we would look for

play24:28

sensitivity or support to form around or

play24:31

at 1 1720 okay so we're gonna leave the

play24:34

level here and we're gonna drop down

play24:36

into a daily okay so we have the 1 4 on

play24:39

1 1714 level on our charts

play24:42

and now I'm going to ask you to consider

play24:47

what is going on in reference to the

play24:50

institutional level from an algorithmic

play24:52

standpoint in other words we look at our

play24:54

pricing model it's full figure above it

play24:58

the 20 level above that mid figure 50

play25:01

above that the 80 level institutional

play25:03

and then we have the next full figure

play25:06

okay or 118 so if we're above price when

play25:10

it trades above it here we expect to see

play25:13

price find support when it comes back

play25:17

down into the 20 level okay

play25:20

so now we can adjust this level here in

play25:22

show at 117 20 okay so 117 20 is the

play25:26

institutional price level from an

play25:27

algorithmic standpoint price is going to

play25:29

want to trade back down to that level

play25:31

the reason why it does that is it allows

play25:33

the market to pick up orders at just

play25:36

below or above that level okay

play25:39

there's limit orders there there's there

play25:41

stops there but generally it's coming

play25:43

down to run stops to pair the orders

play25:45

with smart money's limit orders okay

play25:48

every time you see my chart below the

play25:51

market I'm always referring to it as

play25:52

running cell stops above the market I'm

play25:55

always referring to it as running 5

play25:57

stops those that are not in the know

play25:59

they will question whether or not I'm

play26:01

using the right definition I am using

play26:06

the right definition because I'm looking

play26:07

at things from an institutional

play26:09

standpoint those cell stops they're

play26:12

below the market place smart money will

play26:14

have their buy limits to pair up with

play26:18

those cell stops okay so my perspective

play26:21

is not retail so I'm looking at it from

play26:24

an institutional standpoint from where

play26:26

I'm from I don't look at retail so if we

play26:29

understand it the market is above this

play26:31

20 level when it trades down into it we

play26:35

should see the market rate into a

play26:40

support level

play26:45

that sport level is going to be defined

play26:47

by some pricing model and I just gave

play26:51

you one that's very simple

play26:52

we used a old monthly high and we're

play26:56

finding support we want to see price

play26:58

trade-off of that and give us a pattern

play27:01

so now we have a level it's been rounded

play27:03

to an institutional level twenty

play27:06

seventeen twenty and now we can drop

play27:08

down into lower timeframe charts and

play27:11

we'll just look at a fifteen minute time

play27:14

frame

play27:15

okay anymore okay here we are

play27:30

alright so we have price trading down on

play27:33

the 27th and hitting the 20 level notice

play27:36

what it does it hits it and it rallies

play27:39

away that rally this is what you're

play27:42

looking for you want to see it take out

play27:44

a short term high that is seen here you

play27:52

a short term high it trades through it

play27:58

once it does that this break above that

play28:03

short term high is a market structure

play28:07

break okay so now from an algorithmic

play28:11

standpoint the price will want to

play28:13

retrace back down once it retraces okay

play28:17

it's going to pick up more orders and

play28:19

then rally again okay

play28:22

we have another break above this short

play28:25

term high here and I'm quite certain you

play28:30

guys that are more proficient with

play28:31

trading view you're probably smiling

play28:34

saying you could have done this or that

play28:36

and just made a copy I don't know all

play28:37

that yet so this is give me some time so

play28:41

we have another break here okay so we

play28:43

have short term high broken and another

play28:46

high broke and now watch this high being

play28:50

higher than this one from a market

play28:52

structure standpoint short term high

play28:54

intermediate term high so now when this

play28:57

breaks here

play28:58

have a much more solid setup for a

play29:02

pencil potential running and price

play29:03

higher now we have to enter the optimal

play29:07

trade entry because we already have a

play29:09

consolidation in here price trades away

play29:12

can came back to the consolidation

play29:14

distribution redistribution smart money

play29:17

reversal low-risk Buy and here we're

play29:22

looking for another area to buy okay or

play29:25

another area of accumulation or Aria

play29:26

cumulation to take us above this

play29:28

consolidation now what I just described

play29:30

to you is a market maker by model simple

play29:33

as that some of you will say oh that's

play29:35

Wyckoff well I kind of got the idea from

play29:40

looking at price action alone and then

play29:42

when I saw Wyckoff describing that

play29:44

scenario it made me feel better that I

play29:48

seen something that someone years and

play29:50

years before me was able to see that

play29:52

same price structure but his definitions

play29:54

and things I don't use that there's a

play29:55

different approach in folks that went

play29:57

through my mentorship know right away

play29:58

and I've challenged them as well to go

play30:00

through Wyckoff and see if what I was

play30:02

teaching was Wyckoff it's not it's very

play30:04

similar in terms of the general market

play30:06

profile itself because it's a very

play30:09

generic process markup and discounts and

play30:12

simple as that but the long and short is

play30:14

the the run above here right there that

play30:21

impulse leg is all that's necessary

play30:24

because now we have a a buy profile or

play30:31

model it would take us above this

play30:32

consolidation so we would look for this

play30:34

whole price action right in here

play30:36

to be traded above okay because that's

play30:39

where the buy stocks are hitting are

play30:40

sitting so smart money buys down here at

play30:43

the 20 level and we would know this

play30:45

level beforehand and it's basically the

play30:48

one 1820 because above this high this

play30:52

height would be 118 10.2 and obviously

play30:58

above 118 10 the institutional level

play31:01

will be what 118 20 and that would be

play31:03

where smart money would want to exit

play31:06

running those buy stops why they want to

play31:09

run by stops because

play31:11

the orders they picked up down here

play31:12

going long and then Baltimore down here

play31:14

there alone so they have to have people

play31:17

that want to buy it from them at a

play31:19

higher price

play31:19

so by stops it would be above here why

play31:22

would there be by stops there Michael

play31:23

because folks that are being short

play31:26

this is the last intermediate term high

play31:29

for anyone that has not trailer

play31:31

stop-loss lower and got stopped out

play31:33

there gonna make a run on that liquidity

play31:34

right there which is the reason why the

play31:36

boy market I could buy model is so well

play31:41

good all right so we're gonna look at

play31:44

this little area right in here okay and

play31:47

this is going to be the optimal trade

play31:49

entry that we're going to talk about

play31:50

just for tonight and it's make us a

play31:53

little bit bigger

play31:59

okay so this impulse leg rallying away

play32:03

and then coming back down picking up

play32:05

more orders that's optimal trade entry

play32:08

that's what it looks like in price

play32:09

that's the the executable price level

play32:15

you can trade on now I'm going to ask

play32:17

you to let me go back to MT for just for

play32:21

the the pattern sake but I wanted you to

play32:24

see how it can be shown on trading view

play32:26

it's not just simply a empty for trick

play32:28

pony it's it's there as well but I want

play32:31

to go over to MT for because a little

play32:32

bit more efficient with that charting

play32:37

platform and then we'll go into looking

play32:40

at the example okay so we're over at mt

play32:44

4 and it's kind of like re define what

play32:50

we've already discussed this is the old

play32:52

monthly high okay 117 14 and price was

play32:56

coming down away from higher levels and

play32:59

we had a short term low here and we had

play33:01

a little bit of a rally in there and

play33:03

folks to try to capture old lows or try

play33:07

to capture any advancement higher if

play33:10

they're lucky enough to get in and see a

play33:12

little bit of a profit they obviously

play33:14

fall in love with it they marry the vein

play33:16

the expression is and obviously there's

play33:19

their stop would be resting below that

play33:21

so the market trades down into that

play33:23

twenty

play33:25

institutional level picks up orders

play33:27

right in here okay runs hits that and

play33:30

then rallies through breaking this short

play33:33

term structure hi when it does that we

play33:35

have a market structure break we wait

play33:38

for it retracement lower okay now the

play33:41

first time it does this you're going to

play33:44

maybe lose the low-risk buy for a market

play33:48

maker by model the consolidation here

play33:52

the runaway come back to the

play33:55

consolidation distribution smart money

play33:57

reversal low-risk by re accumulation

play34:02

that's what we're looking for the next

play34:04

area of accumulation so this short term

play34:07

pied being broken here we mention that

play34:10

this is a higher high than this one so

play34:12

this is an intermediate term high okay

play34:14

my old tutorials brought out concept I

play34:19

picked up from Larry Williams which is

play34:20

my mentor back in the 90s he taught

play34:23

market structure and high that has two

play34:26

lower highs on either side of it it

play34:28

makes that high in the middle a

play34:31

significant high and that nests out it

play34:34

gives us a market structure model here

play34:37

this high being broken right there is

play34:39

much more convincing than this short

play34:42

term here without understanding

play34:44

everything I'm giving you here is an

play34:46

outline or understanding the expectation

play34:49

of how orders are stacking around higher

play34:51

time frame key levels and understanding

play34:53

algorithmic price models because that's

play34:55

what I'm teaching here tonight from a

play34:57

very basic approach this all stuff I

play34:59

taught in my free tutorials sniper and

play35:01

precision trading concepts and all the

play35:03

other stuff in between but this rally

play35:07

right in here this impulse like right

play35:10

there is all that we would be looking

play35:12

for so this move up when price trades up

play35:19

and creates that high what it's doing is

play35:22

it's making a more convincing run above

play35:25

this high so it's a market structure

play35:27

break on an interview term high so it's

play35:30

much much more reliable so the

play35:32

retracement on that it's going to be

play35:33

much more significant so when we look at

play35:36

price moves we want to look at the price

play35:38

move

play35:38

on the bodies of the candles I've taught

play35:40

this in my tutorials the wicks are

play35:42

always going to be the thinnest price

play35:44

action okay and if you look at

play35:46

everyone's price across all different

play35:48

platforms and brokers the part that's

play35:52

always different that serves everyone

play35:54

off is the wicks because the brokers

play35:56

allowed to have some measure of

play35:59

flexibility I'm just gonna say it that's

play36:02

the polite way of saying it where they

play36:03

can spread price a little bit more so

play36:05

you're already getting a derivative of

play36:07

price from an interbank feed anyway but

play36:09

the discrepancy between that and what

play36:12

you see it your broker is many times way

play36:14

off okay and you sign your agreement to

play36:17

that when you set up your account you're

play36:19

allowing that to occur okay so you can

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cry about it they did this to me to do

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destiny but you really give them

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permission so it is what it is all right

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so this rally up we're looking at we're

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gonna put on the bodies of candles up

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here this is the highest body right

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there

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this candle right there and we're gonna

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look at that as the open so open is one

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seventeen ninety nine so that's where

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our fib will be draw right there okay

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don't let go so now what happens is

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price rallies through impulse leg up and

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it drops back down look how nicely it

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gives another little bounce rate there

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trades back up higher and it spends all

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this time on a fifteen minute time frame

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this is going to chop traders with no

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patience up they're gonna get scared

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every time it comes down or when it

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starts to rally like this they Jam their

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stop-loss right on then and then it's

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this low here and then look at it does

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eventually comes back hits it you have

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to give the price freedom to trade from

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where you're trying to get in at to your

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stop let it go did a full stop it's

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there for a reason to protect you

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but if you don't give it room to breathe

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you're never going to give these markets

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the ample room that needs to desire

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eight and then expand towards your

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targets so the same Fibonacci settings

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okay nothing is different here when

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trades up to this price level right

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there or just below it there's your

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first profit okay so what if you're

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trying to get in at seventy twenty five

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or sixty two percent treatment level

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this movement here you got to see at

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least two of

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that one - okay first profit scale off

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put your stop to break-even let it go

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price trades up to the first target you

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can scale something off their trades to

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this level here you can scale something

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off there and trade up to symmetrical

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price swing boom it's that okay and then

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look at the reaction after that all the

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way back down

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you think that's by happenstance this

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you know coincidence no it's going to an

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area of liquidity we have a bearish

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order block here overlaps with target -

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really nice move there but look at this

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short term high here what do you think's

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resting above that buy stops now there's

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going to be some out there that don't

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understand what I'm teaching because

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they don't see things from an

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institutional standpoint you have no

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idea how to look at it like this but

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there is trio by stops that don't get

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trailed down here not everyone carries

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that model where they got to jam it up

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seven tips you know above the recent

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high when they're bearish that's what

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retail does longer-term trending models

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they have their stops farther back okay

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and this is one that we've been targeted

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and here's another one as well okay and

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it overlaps with the symmetrical price

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swing that we have on fit okay which is

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a 100% measured move of whatever them

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call swing is this low to this body's

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high is the same thing from that body's

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high all got to this level

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it's 100% the same in terms of pips and

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range it's the same thing from this

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price point to here added to this and

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you get that very very precise very very

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precision based trading it reaches for

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the 20 level okay you can that come out

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to work there was around it near the 20

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a lot of 20 20 to 20 so the market will

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die great and work around these levels

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here okay this is one penny move in the

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euro so look at the sensitivity around

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the 20 level it trades up to and

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consolidates a little bit and gives

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another optimal trade at your rate in

play39:53

here from this impulse leg up rallies

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again what's it doing it near the 50

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level well it's not exactly a 50 Michael

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exactly because at these levels at 50

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there's orders that are just above it or

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just below it or at the 50 level just

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like we have at the 20 level it can be

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at the level 20 above the 20 a little

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bit or below it everyone's going to have

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orders that are close proximity to these

play40:20

specific levels that's why the algorithm

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reaches for them now institutions like

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these levels from a generic standpoint

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because it makes it easy for them to

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price their models in we had two old

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high at 117 14 that's an odd number so

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look for the manipulation here a stop

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run in a break-in mark structure rally

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when we have that anticipate some

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measure of buying and then wait for the

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intermediate or high to be broken here

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you're gonna lose all this there's

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nothing wrong with that but if you want

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high probability and you want

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confirmation and I'm holding my fingers

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up in quotations you want confirmation

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this is what it looks like

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you have an intermediate term high

play40:56

broken with market structure and then do

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everything I just sit here and you have

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a complete trading model targets how to

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know one to do it using a higher time

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frame level what to reach for well you

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gonna have to look for a little high to

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run through okay so if you're buying low

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you want to sell high where do you sell

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high it just find it on high somewhere

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okay and do it in that scope that as we

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outlined here this is one example you

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see many of examples of these going

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forward but this is this one that is

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available to you and you can see it in

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your own charts and study it and seek it

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in other pairs throughout this week that

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we've had and find similar examples of

play41:35

this even looking for it for shorts as

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well but this is going to complete this

play41:39

first introduction to optimal trade

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entries as your first time here this is

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what it looks like coming back down into

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it here that's the buy okay you can buy

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here or here and look at the dynamic

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react reaction now with this like it is

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on the chart I'm going to drop down into

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an hourly chart and you'll see why I

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like the hourly setups because they're

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much cleaner a lot of noise when these

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lower timeframes but same impulse like

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here and it comes right down it's

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beautifully here the body is respecting

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the candle I'm sorry the body is

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respecting the FIB level not that the

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third level is giving them is no magic

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in afib it's just giving a specific

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crane

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work for us from the best perspective we

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could have not being on an interbank

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level institution where you can actually

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see because you're not seeing these are

play42:29

worse folks you're not you know that's

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why I laugh when folks will say you know

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I'm looking at you know well I said I

play42:37

wasn't gonna do those types of things

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I'm not gonna belittle anybody else

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because if you're making money doing

play42:41

what you're doing you know god bless you

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that's why I like Forex because I

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understand the animal and the things

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that everyone hopes they can see in the

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little gimmicks and their indicators

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that's what makes the opportunity

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because it's there for us to take

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because it's giving a sentiment it's

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providing and molding a traders mind or

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a trader sentiment about a market and

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what are they gonna do instinctively

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they're gonna react and I don't react I

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anticipate and that's what we're going

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to teach using just one simple pattern

play43:14

optimal trade entry and you'll see that

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that's all you really need you've never

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needed anything more than that but I

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asked back then you know things 2012 if

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you want to go deeper and 660 some of

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you I want really deep night they know

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everything I know and I'm not teaching

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another mentorship to please don't ask

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me people are still asking that's gonna

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be the first introduction to it

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obviously it'll be much more refined in

play43:40

structured as we go forward but this is

play43:42

certainly good enough and it really

play43:45

gives you an encapsulated view of an

play43:47

entire breakdown from an institutional

play43:50

price move how institutions work inside

play43:53

the model of how price is being

play43:55

delivered and why it should go where

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it's going and what to setup look like

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and where they occur but you have to

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understand how the algorithm that makes

play44:03

the price engines Drive up and down they

play44:06

drop down to allow traders to pick up

play44:09

orders at very very very low pricing and

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then it rallies up to allow traders to

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get out at very high high prices so in

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between there there's opportunities to

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trade you don't see them because you're

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not trained or taught from Annie retails

play44:25

perspective but I just gave you here is

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exactly how bank level traders trade and

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anybody that says different simply

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doesn't know anything for what they're

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talking about so until next time wish

play44:36

good luck good trading and I'll catch up

play44:38

with you next week

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Связанные теги
Forex TradingOptimal EntryPrice ActionTrading StrategiesMarket AnalysisRisk ManagementAlgorithmic PricingTechnical AnalysisInstitutional TradingEducational Series
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