Electric cars capable of running for over 1 million miles are already here
Summary
TLDRこのビデオスクリプトでは、電気自動車(EV)の驚くべき耐久性を探求しています。テスラのモデルSが200万キロを走行し、バッテリーやモーターの交換を経ても走行が続くという事例が紹介されています。EVは、数千の部分から成る内燃機とは異なり、数十の部分しかなく、修理や保守が少なくてコストが低いことが示されています。バッテリー技術の進歩により、EVは平均で内燃機車を2倍以上、さらには3倍も長く使用できる可能性があり、これはカーメーカーの販売戦略に影響を与える可能性があります。
Takeaways
- 🚗 テスラのモデル3や古いモデルSは、元々のモーターやバッテリー、タイヤやブレーキを除いてほぼ全てが400,000マイル以上走行している例が多く報告されています。
- 🌐 電気自動車(EV)は、車メーカーがそれらを可能にすればほぼ永遠に使える可能性があると「アトランティック」誌が報道しました。
- 🤔 自動車メーカーがEVの寿命を意図的に短くする可能性があるとの疑問が提起されています。なぜなら、EVを買った人には二度と車を買う必要がなくなるからです。
- 📈 電気自動車は、数千の部分から成るガソリンエンジンと異なり、数十の動く部分しかなく、摩耗や修理、保守が少なく、コストが低いため、長寿命が実現可能とされています。
- 🔋 バッテリー技術の進歩により、EVのバッテリーパックは数年前よりもはるかに長持ちし、平均的なアメリカ人ドライバーの74年分の走行距離をカバーするのに十分な容量を持つことができるとされています。
- 🛠️ ガソリン車は驚くほど丈夫ですが、EVほどではありません。EVのバッテリーは時間と共に劣化するため、修理や交換が必要になることがありますが、そのコストは比較的低いとされています。
- 🔄 バッテリーの寿命は、使用状況によって変わり、15年後には走行距離が当初の約70~85%になることが予想されます。
- 🔬 研究によると、一部のEVバッテリーは4百万マイル(約65万キロメートル)も走行できるとテストされています。
- 🛡️ 多くのEVのバッテリーは、8年間または100,000マイルの運転に対して保証されており、バッテリー容量が当初の70%未満に低下した時点で交換が可能です。
- 📉 自動車メーカーが新しいEVを販売する必要があるため、ソフトウェアのアップデートや新機能との互換性を持たない古いハードウェアを作り出す可能性があると指摘されています。
- 🔧 現在、EVの修理は製造業者とその小売店のみが行うことができ、独立修理店がEVの修理に必要な特別な部品や技術知識を入手できるかどうかは不透明です。
Q & A
テスラの車はなぜ長い距離を走ることができるのか?
-テスラの車は、従来のガソリン車に比べて、数十個の部品しかなく、摩耗や修理の必要が少なく、維持コストが低いためです。
電気自動車(EV)のバッテリー技術はどのように進化しているか?
-バッテリー技術は急速に進化しており、バッテリーパックの寿命は数年前よりも長くなっています。将来的には、平均的なアメリカ人ドライバーが74年間運転するのに十分な距離をカバーする技術が実現される見込みです。
テスラの車が400,000マイルを超えることがある理由は何ですか?
-テスラの車は、バッテリーやモーターの交換を含むいくつかの修理を経た後でも、非常に長い距離を走ることができます。これは、EVの構造的な耐久性と、バッテリー技術の向上によるものです。
電気自動車のバッテリーがどのくらいの期間維持される可能性があるか?
-バッテリーは時間と使用によって性能が低下しますが、現代のEVバッテリーは、300,000マイル以上も維持される可能性があります。
電気自動車のバッテリーが70%未満になった場合、何が起こるのでしょうか?
-多くのEVの保証は、バッテリーがオリジナル容量の70%を下回った場合に、8年間または100,000マイルの運転距離で交換をカバーしています。
自動車会社はEVの耐久性を意図的に低下させる可能性はありますか?
-報道では、自動車会社がEVの耐久性を低下させることで、消費者が新しい車を購入するよう促している可能性があると指摘されています。
EVのバッテリーのリサイクルはどのように行われているか?
-使用済みのEVバッテリーは、バックアップソーラーエネルギーストレージなどの第二のライフを持ち、非常に価値のある貴金属を再利用することができます。
電気自動車の普及は、自動車販売業にどのような影響を与える可能性がありますか?
-EVの耐久性により、新車販売業は減少する可能性があり、自動車会社の販売戦略に変化が生じるかもしれません。
EVの修理と部品の入手は、なぜ困難になる可能性があるか?
-EVの修理には専門的な部品と知識が必要です。自動車メーカーが独立した修理店に必要な部品と技術情報を提供するかどうかは不明です。
自動車会社はなぜ新しいEVを購入するように人々に促す可能性があるか?
-自動車会社は、技術的な進歩やソフトウェアの更新を通じて、古いハードウェアとの互換性を失うことで、新しいEVの購入を促すことがあります。
EVの耐久性は環境にどのような影響を与える可能性があるか?
-EVの耐久性により、製造プロセスや電池矿物の採掘、廃鉄の削減に伴い、環境への影響が小さくなる可能性があります。
Outlines
🚗 電気自動車の耐久性と修理
この段落では、テスラのモデル3や古いモデルSなど、電気自動車(EV)の耐久性が強調されています。これらの車は、非常に長い距離を走行することができ、多くの場合、タイヤやブレーキ以外はオリジナルの部品で走行しています。また、電気自動車が持続可能性のためには、電池の寿命が重要であることが示されています。修理やバッテリーの交換は可能で、多くのEVの保証は8年間または100,000マイルの運転に対してカバーしています。さらに、電池技術の進歩により、より長持ちするEVが実現しつつあるとされています。
🔋 電気自動車のバッテリー技術の進歩
この段落では、EVのバッテリー技術がどのように進歩し、より長い寿命を持つことが可能になったかが説明されています。バッテリーの寿命は、使用状況によりますが、修理や交換が可能です。また、バッテリーの価格が下がることで、交換がより容易になり、寿命も延びています。中国のメーカーであるカデルが、100万マイルのバッテリー保証を提供していることも触れられています。
🛠️ 電動車の修理と市場への影響
この段落では、EVの修理がどのように自動車産業に影響を与えるかが議論されています。EVは修理が少ないため、自動車メーカーは新しい車を販売する必要がありますが、EVの長寿命はそれによって脅かされる可能性があると指摘されています。また、EVの修理に関する権利をめぐる議論や、独立系修理店がEVの修理に必要な部品や知識を入手するかどうかという問題も提起されています。
🌏 電動車の環境への影響と市場の変化
最後の段落では、EVの環境への影響と、それが自動車市場に与える影響について語られています。EVは、製造プロセスやバッテリーの鉱山資源の開採、スクラップ金属の削減により、カーボン排出量を減らすことが期待されています。しかし、EVの販売が長期間続きると、自動車業界の販売数が減少し、市場は縮小する可能性があると警告されています。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡テスラ
💡電気自動車(EV)
💡バッテリー寿命
💡修理
💡カーボンフットプリント
💡リサイクル
💡計画的な廃棄
💡ソフトウェアアップデート
💡リペア権
💡ゼロサムゲーム
Highlights
Numerous Tesla Model 3s and older Model S's have been reported to have exceeded 400,000 miles with original parts, except for tires and brakes.
The Atlantic suggests that electric cars could potentially last 'nearly forever' if allowed by car companies.
A 2014 Tesla Model S became the first electric vehicle to reach over 2 million km, showcasing the durability of EVs.
Despite some faults, the 2 million km Model S had fewer issues than expected, indicating improvements in EV reliability.
Gasoline-powered cars typically last around 170,000 miles on average, compared to the impressive mileage of EVs.
EVs have fewer moving parts, leading to less wear and tear and potentially a longer lifespan than traditional cars.
Battery technology is improving, with packs lasting longer and new technologies on the horizon promising even greater longevity.
Scott Mour from UC Berkeley suggests that future EVs could last for 74 years, covering the average American's driving needs for a lifetime.
Older cars often face major repair issues after 12 to 15 years, unlike EVs which are showing longevity beyond this period.
Tesla vehicles, especially Model 3s, are increasingly seen driving for hundreds of thousands of miles with minimal repairs.
The battery is the most critical component affecting EV longevity, with degradation over time being the main concern.
Replacement batteries are becoming more affordable and accessible, with options for individual cell repair or replacement.
Many EV warranties cover battery replacements for up to 8 years or 100,000 miles, extending the vehicle's useful life.
Batteries are expected to last longer, with some EVs still maintaining 85% of their original capacity after over 300,000 miles.
A Chinese manufacturer has announced a battery warranteed for nearly 1 million miles, indicating a significant leap in EV battery technology.
Tesla is likely to incorporate the 1 million mile battery into their vehicles in the near future, further enhancing EV longevity.
EVs are more high-tech than gas cars, with improvements in range, charging, infotainment, and autopilot features potentially compelling upgrades.
The right to repair battles seen in smartphones are coming to cars, with most EV repairs currently only possible through manufacturers.
Longevity is central to the promise of EVs, reducing carbon emissions from manufacturing and material mining.
The potential decline in car sales due to EV longevity could impact the automotive industry, as fewer new cars are needed.
Car companies may need to adapt their sales models to accommodate the longer lifespan of EVs, similar to tech companies with software and gadget ecosystems.
Tesla's approach to maintenance and warranty is unique, not requiring service to maintain warranty, which contrasts with traditional car companies.
Transcripts
guys I've reported on numerous Tesla
Model 3s and of course older Tesla Model
S's that are still running on the
original Motors the original battery um
the original everything except for tires
in some cases the original brakes that
have done well over 400,000 miles I
reported on that over the last 6 months
and it seems as though the mainstream
media finally starting to catch on to
this phenomenon in fact the Atlantic
said electric cars could last nearly
forever
if car companies will actually let them
here's the question are car companies
intentionally sabotaging EVS because if
you buy one you might never need to buy
another one again and that's not going
to work for a consumer business hello my
friends welcome to the channel I'm Sam
Evans you're watching the electric
Viking it's great to see you in April a
group of people in a red Tesla driving
through the Moroccan desert were glued
to the odometer on the car's giant
touchcreen 2 million Hans 2 million
exclaimed the front seat passenger to
the owner and Driver Hans yorg Von gimin
hornberg his 2014 Model S had become the
first electric vehicle to drive 2
million km or more than 1.2 million
miles the car could have traveled from
the earth to the moon and back twice
then circled the equator 11 times the
the journey wasn't entirely seamless
though I mean this was an an old Tesla
Model S and it certainly had its fair
share of faults most of the new ones
don't have these faults and those things
have been fixed however this particular
car had its share of repairs including
several battery and motor Replacements a
handful of gas powered cars have driven
farther most of all a 1966 Volvo that
did 3 million miles over five decades
but in general a a gasoline powered car
is only going to last you on average
around
170,000 Mi that's actually the fleet
average such fantastic mileages are
becoming far easier to accomplish for
ordinary commuters if they buy an
electric car on a technological level
it's possible that we're not far from a
time where nobody would Flinch at an EV
with as much mileage as Von gim and Jin
hamburg's that is unless car companies
themselves get in the way intentionally
possibly unlike gas powerered engines
which are made up of thousands of parts
that shift against each other causing
friction to make heat a typical EV has
only a few dozen moving parts that means
less damage less wear and tear less
maintenance less cost it makes it easier
and cheaper to keep a car on the road
well past the 180,000 Mi average
lifespan of a gas powerered vehicle and
EVS are only getting better battery
technology is getting better battery
packs now are lasting far longer than
they did only a matter of years ago
there are certain technologies that are
coming down the pipeline that will get
us toward that million mile EV said
Scott mour a civil and environmental
engineer at UC Berkeley that many miles
would cover the average American driver
for 74
years 74 years you'd likely be dead
before your EV stopped going the first
EV you buy could be the last car you
ever need to purchase now of course I
mean people will probably buy new cars
in the future but a lot of people think
that eventually that will change and
we'll be driving around in robot taxis
and honestly we won't even know what
we're in we'll just be sitting there on
our laptops or watching TV or being
entertained anyhow gas cars are already
astonishingly durable but not as much as
EVS now in theory you can just keep on
repairing your gasoline or petrol diesel
powered car but after they get to be
about 12 to 15 years old major problems
such as a shot engine or a broken
transmission are often not worth the
cost of repair that's what happened to
me with my last internal combustion
engine car that I scrapped it was a
Mitsubishi Magna and once it hit around
260,000 km not that much it needed a new
engine and it wasn't really worth the
price of what the car was worth so I had
it scrapped even without problems a
newer car is likely to have much better
mileage than an older one making a trade
in appealing evbs are still so new that
few of them are a decade old meaning we
don't know exactly how long they will
last but we do know that more and more
Tesla vehicles particularly Tesla Model
3s are lasting for hundreds of thousands
of miles without any significant repairs
being needed the ones that do exist
though give us some sense of what you
can expect several older Teslas and
Nissan Leafs have topped 300 and now
400,000 Mi as did the first three
batteries in Von gingen hur's million
Miler his first Tesla A Roadster
purchased in 20 9 had itself traveled
more than
400,000 mil the biggest factor in EV
longevity is the batteries just like
those in a smartphone they degrade over
time a battery might lose 1 or 2% of its
maximum range every year that does slow
down eventually though and it depends on
how it's used meaning that after 15
years of car's range might have slipped
from 300 M to 210 m per charge repairing
a car's battery is difficult um it's
certainly far from impossible you can
get Replacements which are actually
relatively affordable often half the
price of the original OEM battery pack
you can even get them fixed so there's
different options if a battery cell was
to fail you can often just get that
individual cell replaced or repaired
Auto Pacific said that many EV
warranties today will cover Replacements
to a battery for 8 years 100,000 M of
driving quite a long time and the thing
worth worth mentioning here people don't
often talk about this batteries are
considered due for replacement once
they've dipped below 70% of their
original capacity so basically um if
your say for example your Tesla battery
has less than 70% of its original
capacity after you've driven your
160,000 Mi Tesla will replace it
batteries today are expected to take far
longer to lose that much of their
maximum charge though potentially
300,000 Mi or more in fact there are so
many V like I said with well over
300,000 miles that actually still have
85% of their original battery capacity
the lifespan though should only continue
to improve batteries are one of the most
active areas in E EV development prices
are plummeting which will make battery
replacement more feasible simpler
cheaper easier and as the range of new
EV batteries keeps going up longevity
will also obviously benefit some EV
batteries including the one in the Tesla
Model 3 standard range can already last
for 500,000 Mi on the road Mara said one
Chinese manufacturer recently announced
the battery warranteed for nearly 1
million miles now that's cadal they are
actually the biggest battery supplier in
the world and they are also the number
one Supply to Tesla more Teslas have
cadal batteries than any other brand of
battery so you can almost be certain
that 1 million M battery from cadle will
be in Tesla's within the next few years
and even more durable battery designs
are coming out from from other
manufacturers as well a researcher at
Tesla has tested a battery that he says
can drive for 4 million miles or roughly
100 years under the right conditions now
of course how long a car can keep
running is not just how long somebody
wants to drive it EVS are more high-tech
than gas cars and standard improvements
longer range faster charging a better
touchscreen infotainment system improved
autopilot features some of these things
would probably compel people to want to
buy a new model but they could still
hand that model on that they had down to
their kid you know some new driver for
example keep in mind as well as that
batteries are often repurposed um some
batteries that have been in buses and
various different kinds of vehicles like
that they have a second life which then
they're used as energy storage for
backup solar for example at some point
each successive model of car though
won't be all that much better than the
last do I need a slightly better sensor
so that the windshield
wipers work slightly better when it
rains as Lauren McDonald and E
consultant put it maybe I don't with
continued battery improvements more
drivers May opt to stick with an older
car rather than buy a new one a decade
old EV that can go 400 m on a single
charge instead of its initial 500 Mi
will be sufficient for most drivers now
of course other things will affect
Vehicles things like body deterioration
and rust um you know plastic
deterioration as well but those are the
kind of things that most people probably
would expect to see in a car once it's
20 or so years old that said a lot of
cars now are using more and more
aluminium which obviously doesn't really
rust the longevity of EVs and any
appetite for new cars says the Atlantic
might help address one of the primary
complaints with these cars that they
sticker prices are too high for the
typical American household that said
though within the past few months EV
prices on average actually come down to
be on parody with gasoline powered
vehicles so if they last twice as long
or
more and the price is equivalent or
about the same then you would expect
that more and more intelligent people
would be buying EVS instead of gasoline
powered vehicles use cars which will
continue to work well while requiring
fewer repairs will open up the EV
Revolution to much of the United States
and Europe and Australia and most of the
world a used Tesla can already be
purchased for roughly
$20,000 we have to think about how we
design these vehicles not for the first
owner but for the third the fourth the
fifth owner I just made a video guys on
someone who purchased a Tesla Model S
for
$9,400 at auction absolutely nothing
wrong with it he washed it he cleaned it
replaced a fuse for
$150 and uh it was driving perfectly
even if many people are content with
driving the same EV for decades car
companies may try to stop them Tesla
Ford and other auto manufacturers will
need people to buy new EVS well I don't
know about Tesla with Robo taxis they
may be moving away from that but they
may well create incentives for people to
buy new vehicles in the EV age car
companies are acting more like tech
companies and bringing more software to
their cars than ever the entire
automotive industry could follow an
adoption and replacement cycle a lot
like that of an iPhone
it used to be common to buy a new iPhone
every couple of years for a faster
processor better camera and larger
screen now the iPhone 15 it's not really
all that different to an iPhone 12 but
people do of course constantly buy new
phones from Apple the old ones are
expensive or difficult to repair and
with every software update seem to slow
down just a bit more until the devices
are no longer eligible for updates at
all whereas Apple commands a ton of
brand loyalty and a dominant hold on
smartphone sales causing a car's battery
or motor to degrade faster would be a
great strategy for losing customers car
maker approach may not resemble planned
obsolescence so much as planned
Improvement said McDonald making older
Hardware incompatible with software
updates or other new functions Tesla's
autopilot for example is only compatible
with vehicles built after September of
2014 though that is now 10 years ago
newer updates to the feature don't work
with older cars and that lack more
advanced sensors and cameras yeah it you
know they don't work so well car
companies may be able to ensnare people
in software and Gadget ecosystems just
like apple does as Ford GM Tesla and
other automakers sell home charging
systems and other Energy Products car
owners might have to upgrade their
vehicles to keep up it's a sort of
capture akin to how even if you don't
want to buy the new iPhone you might pay
for upgraded iCloud storage so you don't
run out of memory or buy an Apple Watch
to check your
iMessages how could um car companies do
something similar to what Apple's doing
the bigger concern is that the same
battles over the right to repair an
iPhone are also coming to cars says the
Atlantic even though EVS require few
repairs they aren't maintenance free and
right now most EV repairs can be done
only by manufacturers and their
retailers any mechanic can fix pretty
much any traditional car but EVS require
specialized parts that are more
difficult to come by and to understand
how they work whether automakers will
make the spare parts and Technical
knowledge needed to fix EVS available to
Independent repair shops is uncertain
maybe they kind of intentionally not do
that so that you'll be more likely to
buy a new car Tesla has already faced
class action antitrust lawsuits alleging
that the company maintains an unlawful
Monopoly over maintenance and
replacement parts but a judge dismissed
those suits and a lot of Tesla customers
are saying that hasn't been their
experience at all in fact far from it
and to Tesla's credit I mean they're the
company that don't require you to
service your vehicle in order to
maintain your warranty they're the only
company actually in the world that does
that now what one expert said was this
what I foresee is that with newer
Vehicles the ability for an individual
to repair it themselves is becoming less
certain longevity is not just a bonus to
EVS it's Central to their promise cars
that spend more years on the road mean
less carbon from the manufacturing
process less mining for battery minerals
and less scrap metal and as well even
after a second life battery packs are
extremely valuable even if they are dead
those minerals in that battery pack are
worth incredible amounts of money even
recycled more used vehicles that cycle
through more owners will mean the same
if car companies continue to act more
like tech companies as their products
become more like tech gadgets an entire
Avenue of their green potential could
kind of be closed off and guys the truth
is here EVS are of course the future and
a lot of the media is trying to ignore
the fact that electric car will last
three times as long on average versus a
gasoline powered vehicle or at least
twice as long it requires far less
maintenance far less cost it doesn't
need oil changes it doesn't need all the
kinds of spark plugs and new timing
belts and in addition to that the
running costs are extraordinarily low
now I think it's only a matter of time
here before the
industry begins to realize that actually
selling EVS is bad for them because
they're going to be selling a lot less
cars as these EVS last twice as long in
some cases three times as long their
sales will well unquestionably decline
so that Pi becomes a zero sum game that
Zero Sum game starts to shrink the
amount of cars that can be sold
worldwide will shrink from about 75
million today to possibly as low as
something like 25 million by
2040 so who is going to be left if a car
company is selling predominantly
internal combustion engine cars and most
people want EVS well I'd say they're
toast they're finished so the question
is which companies will be finished
first let me know what you think thanks
for watching
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