My Way Too Early 2028 Presidential Election Prediction

Summary

In this early prediction for the 2028 U.S. presidential election, the speaker forecasts JD Vance as the Republican nominee, backed by Donald Trump’s influence, despite a belief that Ron DeSantis would be a better choice. On the Democratic side, Josh Shapiro is seen as the elite’s favorite, potentially winning the primary, though a fierce battle between populists and establishment figures is expected. The speaker predicts JD Vance will ultimately win the presidency in 2029, assuming Trump's influence remains strong and Vance successfully carries forward the MAGA agenda.

Takeaways

• 😀 JD Vance is predicted to be the Republican nominee for the 2028 presidential election, despite not being the best choice for the party.
• 😀 Trump is expected to have significant influence over the Republican nomination process, essentially 'appointing' the next nominee.
• 😀 The Democratic primary is expected to feature a significant fight between populists and establishment figures, which could benefit conservatives.
• 😀 Popular Democrat candidates, like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Pete Buttigieg, are seen as weak, with negative qualities like corruption, poor popularity, or lack of experience.
• 😀 Josh Shapiro is considered a strong Democratic contender, praised for his moderate stance, good public speaking, and ability to win Pennsylvania.
• 😀 Despite some criticism of his Jewish background, Josh Shapiro is viewed as a formidable candidate who could win the Democratic primary.
• 😀 JD Vance and Josh Shapiro are predicted to be the final nominees for the 2028 presidential race.
• 😀 JD Vance's potential running mate could be Ron DeSantis, seen as a strong choice to balance the MAGA base.
• 😀 Josh Shapiro is likely to select a woman as his running mate, with Gretchen Whitmer suggested, though this choice is seen as problematic.
• 😀 The predicted election outcome in 2028 is JD Vance winning the presidency, based on Trump's performance over the next four years and Vance's connection to MAGA policies.
• 😀 The 2028 election is expected to be closer than the 2024 race, as American politics tends to swing between parties, even when the incumbent party performs well.

Q & A

Why does the speaker predict JD Vance will be the Republican nominee in 2028?

The speaker believes JD Vance will be the Republican nominee because of Trump's strong influence over the Republican Party. Trump is expected to essentially 'crown' the next nominee, continuing his MAGA movement, which Vance is seen as representing.

What is the speaker's opinion on Ron DeSantis as a Republican nominee?

The speaker thinks Ron DeSantis would make the best Republican nominee, but acknowledges that Trump’s influence in the party makes it unlikely for DeSantis to be the nominee in 2028.

How does the speaker describe the Democratic primary race for 2028?

The speaker anticipates a fierce battle between the populist and establishment factions within the Democratic Party. This conflict is expected to be exciting and beneficial for conservatives, as it may create a divide within the Democrats.

What are the speaker’s thoughts on Gavin Newsom as a Democratic candidate?

The speaker is very critical of Gavin Newsom, calling him 'slimy' and unappealing to voters, suggesting that Newsom would not be successful in a presidential race.

Why does the speaker not consider Gretchen Whitmer a viable candidate for the Democratic Party?

The speaker believes that Gretchen Whitmer is unpopular, even within her own state of Michigan, and lacks the presidential qualities needed for a successful campaign.

What is the speaker's opinion on Pete Buttigieg's chances in the Democratic primary?

While the speaker acknowledges that Pete Buttigieg is a strong debater and will likely earn some primary votes, they believe he will not secure the nomination due to his limited experience and lack of administrative accomplishments.

Who does the speaker predict will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

The speaker predicts that Josh Shapiro, the governor of Pennsylvania, will win the Democratic nomination. Shapiro is seen as a moderate and a strong candidate due to his electability in swing states like Pennsylvania.

How does the speaker view Josh Shapiro’s potential as a Democratic nominee?

The speaker sees Josh Shapiro as the best option for the Democrats if they want to win. They highlight his moderate stance, good public speaking skills, and relatively clean record as key reasons why he could be successful.

What is the speaker’s prediction for the outcome of the 2028 presidential election?

The speaker predicts that JD Vance will win the 2028 presidential election, largely due to the continuation of Trump's policies and influence. However, they acknowledge that the race will likely be closer than the 2024 election.

What role does Trump’s performance over the next four years play in the 2028 election prediction?

Trump’s performance in the next four years is seen as critical to the 2028 election. If Trump succeeds, it will reinforce the idea that the MAGA movement is effective, making JD Vance’s candidacy more appealing. If Trump falters, the movement could be rejected by voters.