Wed 9/18/24 - US weather | Possible Gulf hurricane next week | California storms

Summary

The video provides a detailed weather report, covering current conditions across the U.S., Gulf of Mexico, and the Caribbean. It highlights the lack of tropical cyclone activity and reviews previous years' weather patterns. The report discusses ongoing storm systems in various regions, including the eastern U.S., California, Alaska, and the Southeastern U.S., with a focus on active frontal systems, thunderstorms, and temperature changes. It also mentions a potential tropical cyclone development in the Gulf of Mexico and forecasts for severe weather in the coming week, particularly in Florida and the Central U.S.

Takeaways

• 🌤️ The US is experiencing fall-like conditions with some regions showing more summer-like weather.
• 🌀 Currently, there is no active tropical cyclone activity in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean.
• 🌊 In past years, 2020 was particularly intense, reaching Greek alphabet names due to the high number of storms.
• ⛈️ Eastern US is experiencing a mix of thunderstorms and warm weather, with an active stationary front in Northern Florida.
• 🌬️ A strong frontal system is moving into the high plains, with a dry line extending from Western Kansas into Texas.
• ❄️ In Alaska, there are marine warnings, and temperatures are dropping into the 40s, indicating the onset of fall.
• 🌡️ Heat advisories are in effect for Southern Florida with high heat indices around 107°F.
• 🌪️ The Northern Plains have a slight risk for severe weather, with wind and hail as the main threats.
• 🌧️ The Southeastern US is seeing remnants of a tropical depression with convective weather impacting Virginia.
• 🌀 Potential tropical development is expected next week in the Gulf of Mexico, possibly affecting the Florida Panhandle or other areas along the coast.

Q & A

What is the current state of tropical cyclone activity in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean?

As of now, there is no tropical cyclone activity in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, making conditions calm in that region.

How does this year's (2024) tropical activity compare to previous years?

This year is relatively quiet, similar to 2023. In contrast, 2020 was an extremely active year with multiple tropical storms and hurricanes, even reaching names in the Greek alphabet such as Gamma, Delta, and Zeta.

What weather conditions are expected in the eastern United States this afternoon?

The eastern U.S. will experience late summer to early fall temperatures, ranging from the 80s to 90s. Thunderstorms are also expected in parts of northern Florida.

What does the 'thermal gradient' mentioned in the central U.S. indicate?

The thermal gradient, represented by closely bunched-up dashed red lines, indicates a sharp temperature difference that helps support a frontal zone moving into the High Plains.

What is the forecast for the weather in Alaska?

Alaska is experiencing stormy conditions in the Gulf of Alaska, with marine warnings and small craft advisories in effect. Gale warnings are also in place around Kodiak Island.

What are the expected temperatures in Northern Canada?

Northern Canada is seeing temperatures in the 30s and 40s, with more northern regions like Eureka experiencing 21°F, and the northernmost Canadian settlement, Alert, recording 32°F.

What is the 'Stumpy Point System' mentioned in the forecast?

The 'Stumpy Point System' refers to a weather system located near Stumpy Point, North Carolina, in mid-September 2024, associated with a tropical depression that migrated up the Southeastern coast.

What are the weather conditions in Southern Virginia at the time of the forecast?

Southern Virginia is experiencing strongly sheared anvils and thunderstorms, particularly around Norfolk. Colder temperatures in the upper atmosphere are contributing to steep lapse rates, enhancing thunderstorm activity.

What is the expected weather in Southern California and the Southwestern U.S.?

A cold core low is expected to move into Southern California, bringing potential for strong cold-core convection and thunderstorms. Temperatures in the deserts are expected to rise as this system moves eastward over the weekend.

What is the forecast for tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico for next week?

The forecast shows a potential tropical cyclone forming in the Gulf of Mexico by midweek, with possible hurricane development and models indicating various tracks, including western or central Florida, Southeast Texas, and Louisiana.