China’s Junk Aircraft Carrier Fears to Sail? A Big Joke Due to Copycat Failure
Summary
TLDRThe transcript highlights the delays and challenges surrounding China's Fujian 003 aircraft carrier and the development of the 004 carrier. Despite high expectations, the Fujian has yet to begin sea trials, and technical issues with its electromagnetic catapult system raise concerns. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) faces difficulties in innovation, with financial strains adding to the setbacks. Reports suggest internal political issues, failed naval exercises, and growing doubts about China's ability to compete with the U.S. Navy. The future of China's aircraft carrier program remains uncertain amidst these struggles.
Takeaways
- 🚢 China's Fujian 003 aircraft carrier has not yet begun sea trials, despite a delay of over 500 days since its launch.
- ⚡ The electromagnetic catapult technology used on the Fujian carrier is unique and differs from American counterparts, creating challenges in development.
- 💡 China faces significant technological innovation challenges, with difficulties turning concepts into reality, particularly for the 004 carrier, which aims to integrate nuclear power.
- 💥 Financial pressures on the CCP, exacerbated by military expenditures and the Belt and Road Initiative, are causing delays in the development of the 004 aircraft carrier.
- ❌ The Fujian's electromagnetic catapult system is facing stability issues, and testing has revealed possible design flaws and material failures.
- 🚨 Internal political tensions, including anti-Xi Jinping factions, may be hindering the progress of China's aircraft carrier development.
- ✈️ There are significant operational challenges with China's earlier carriers, including instability during aircraft takeoffs and landings, leading to frequent accidents.
- 🛠️ China’s first domestically developed carriers, including the Shandong, are plagued by technical issues, such as weak steel quality and frequent maintenance problems.
- 🇺🇸 China’s naval capabilities are considered inferior to those of the United States, with embarrassing encounters such as U.S. destroyers intruding into Chinese carrier formations.
- 💣 Corruption within the Chinese military, along with the CCP’s financial crisis, raises doubts about the future success of China's aircraft carrier program, particularly the 004 carrier.
Q & A
What is the Fujian 003 aircraft carrier, and why has it not undergone sea trials yet?
-The Fujian 003 is China's third aircraft carrier, which has faced significant delays in its sea trials. Key technological challenges, particularly with its electromagnetic catapult system, along with financial constraints and internal political issues, have prevented it from moving forward.
What is unique about the electromagnetic catapult technology on the Fujian 003 compared to the U.S. carriers?
-The Fujian 003 uses an electromagnetic catapult system that is different from the U.S. Ford-class carriers. China's system is still in development, facing instability issues and material challenges, whereas the U.S. system has been publicly tested and proven.
What challenges does China face in developing the 004 aircraft carrier?
-China's 004 aircraft carrier faces challenges in integrating nuclear power with electromagnetic catapult technology. China lacks experience in large nuclear reactors, which complicates its ability to power a 100,000-ton carrier. Moreover, technological blockades and financial crises have further hindered progress.
Why is there uncertainty about the launch dates of the Fujian 003 and 004 carriers?
-The uncertainty stems from various factors, including technological challenges with electromagnetic systems, financial strains on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), and internal political tensions that have delayed these projects.
What has been the impact of internal political conflicts on the development of the Fujian 003?
-Internal political conflicts, such as the arrest of key figures like the former deputy minister of the Navy and anti-Xi Jinping factions, have hampered the progress of the Fujian 003. These political disruptions have led to delays and uncertainty in its development.
How has the CCP's financial situation affected the progress of the Fujian 003 and 004 carriers?
-The CCP's financial situation has worsened due to extensive military expenditures and the Belt and Road Initiative. This has limited the funds available for military projects, including the construction of the Fujian 003 and 004 carriers, causing delays and stalling progress.
What role did international sanctions play in the development of China's electromagnetic catapult system?
-International sanctions on materials critical for the stable performance of electromagnetic systems have prevented China from acquiring the technology and materials needed for their catapult systems, contributing to the delays and technical failures in the Fujian 003.
Why is China's first two carriers' operational capacity considered limited?
-China's first two carriers use outdated technology like ski-jump takeoff methods, which cause instability for heavy aircraft. These carriers also suffer from structural weaknesses, making them prone to malfunctions, further limiting their operational capabilities.
What issues have been observed with the structural integrity of China's domestically built carriers?
-China's domestically built carriers have faced issues such as weak special steel used in their hulls, leading to breaches and water leaks. These structural flaws have required constant repairs, diminishing their operational reliability.
How does China's naval capability compare with the U.S. Navy?
-China's naval capability, particularly in terms of aircraft carriers, is significantly behind the U.S. Navy. U.S. carriers, like the Ford-class, are more advanced technologically and operationally, while China's carriers are still plagued by developmental and design challenges.
Outlines
🚢 Delays and Challenges for China's Fujian Aircraft Carrier
China's highly anticipated Fujian 003 aircraft carrier has yet to undergo sea trials, despite a wait of over 500 days. Key dates like Army Day and National Day have passed without its debut, leaving many speculating about ongoing issues. The electromagnetic catapult technology, which differs significantly from its American counterparts, presents significant challenges. Both the Fujian and upcoming 004 aircraft carriers are facing technological and financial difficulties, compounded by China's limited experience with large nuclear power plants and innovation. A financial crisis within the CCP casts further doubt on future carrier projects.
💥 Setbacks in Electromagnetic Catapult Technology
The Fujian's electromagnetic catapult system, inspired by a thesis on linear servo motors, has run into material and durability issues. International sanctions have restricted access to key materials, leading to failures during testing. The system's connectors and overall structure have durability problems, causing concerns about aircraft safety during takeoff. The project has been further delayed by financial constraints, as China's military expenditures and the Belt and Road Initiative have drained resources. These delays highlight the risks China faces in continuing its carrier program and its potential economic ramifications.
✈️ CCP’s Aircraft Carrier Issues Mirror Past Military Failures
China's first two aircraft carriers have faced a series of operational failures, from delayed takeoff times to structural weaknesses. The third carrier, Fujian, suffers from long preparation times and flawed design choices that affect aircraft operations. Comparisons are drawn between China's naval struggles and historical military failures, such as the Qing Dynasty's defeat by Japan in 1894. In encounters with U.S. forces, China's carriers have been outclassed, leading to growing skepticism about their capability to compete internationally, especially with their outdated design and limited combat readiness.
🍾 Politics and Delays in Fujian Aircraft Carrier’s Launch
Political drama has plagued the Fujian's launch, with internal CCP factions clashing over naming conventions and ceremonial choices. Xi Jinping's desire to name the carrier after himself was thwarted by party opposition, leading to the compromise of naming it after the Fujian province. These political distractions have delayed progress, alongside technological setbacks. The integration of electromagnetic catapults with nuclear power poses an enormous challenge, and Beijing’s limited access to advanced foreign technology complicates the development of the 004 aircraft carrier. Economic and political instability leaves the future of these naval projects in doubt.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Fujian 003 Aircraft Carrier
💡Electromagnetic Catapult
💡004 Aircraft Carrier
💡Nuclear Power Plants
💡Xi Jinping
💡Anti-Xi Factions
💡Belt and Road Initiative
💡Technological Blockades
💡Shandong Aircraft Carrier
💡Financial Crisis of the CCP
Highlights
China's Fujian 003 aircraft carrier, after 500 days, still hasn't set out on its sea trials, with key predicted dates like Army Day and National Day having passed.
Both the Fujian and 004 aircraft carriers are facing serious challenges, particularly with the implementation of electromagnetic catapult technology.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has limited technological innovation capacity, making progress in developing the 004 aircraft carrier slow and uncertain.
The 004 carrier needs to combine electromagnetic ejection technology with nuclear power, which presents a significant technical challenge due to China's inexperience in large nuclear power plant technology.
International technology blockades, particularly regarding materials, are hampering progress on China's carrier development.
The electromagnetic catapult system of the Fujian carrier has faced delays in public testing, with the system's stability still in question.
Ongoing testing of the electromagnetic catapult system has been suggested by the appearance of smoke stains and frequent startups and shutdowns, hinting at instability.
The CCP’s financial situation, worsened by extensive military expenditures and the Belt and Road Initiative, is causing delays and uncertainty around the construction of the 004 carrier.
Several aircraft accidents during drills have revealed deep flaws in the CCP's aircraft carriers, including issues with takeoff stability and arresting cables.
Anti-Xi factions within the CCP have reportedly interfered with carrier development, contributing to delays and technical setbacks.
China’s carriers have substandard steel quality, resulting in structural issues such as leaks and breaches in the hull.
The Chinese Navy's operational capabilities remain weak, exemplified by frequent technical issues with their first two aircraft carriers, and ongoing problems with the third.
The CCP’s first two carriers require excessive startup times, making rapid combat readiness difficult.
The electromagnetic catapult technology used by China originated from a thesis, with rumors suggesting the CCP hired American military scientists to help develop the blueprints.
The future of China’s 004 carrier is uncertain, given ongoing financial constraints, technological challenges, and political instability within the CCP.
Transcripts
after a lengthy weight of over 500 Days
China's highly publicized Naval Behemoth
The fujien 003 aircraft carrier still
hasn't set out on its sea trials key
dates that were once predicted as
significant Milestones including Army
day and National Day have come and Gone
without the carrier's debut furthermore
details about the launch date of China's
subsequent Endeavor the 004 aircraft
carrier remained shrouded in uncertainty
according to the latest analysis from
the Chinese military column
Lin both the fuin aircraft carrier and
the subsequent 004 aircraft carrier are
facing a series of challenges the
electromagnetic catapult technology used
by the fujian carrier is entirely
different from its American counterpart
making any form of imitation impossible
the Chinese Communist Party CCP has
limited capacity for technological
innovation turning Concepts into real on
its own is akin to gambling the 004
aircraft carriers need to match
electromagnetic ejection technology with
nuclear power plants which is also an
Uncharted Territory the CCP lacks
experience in the large nuclear power
plant is another major hurdle for the
004 aircraft carrier while the United
States has extensive experience in this
regard it is keeping a close eye on
China Russia does not possess
nuclear-powered carriers to offer
assistance the slow progress and
numerous challenges in the overall
design of the 004 aircraft carrier can
be foreseen furthermore there's a stark
reality that the Chinese military column
is hesitant to address namely the
financial crisis of the CCP in this
situation the construction of another
aircraft carrier indeed seems superflous
so news about the 004 aircraft carrier
remain scarce after the fuen carrier was
first launched on June 17th 2022 it
began its assembly Journey at a deep
water dock the focus has been on the
mysterious electromagnetic catapult
track and the ship's Island electronic
equipment because without progress in
these areas the installation of other
equipment would be futile this implies
that the CCP does lack confidence in new
technologies particularly in
electromagnetic catapults the three
runways of the electromagnetic catapult
system have been covered by large sheds
since the carrier was launched last year
although the sheds were gradually
removed from July to September this year
there has been no announcement of public
testing for the electromagnetic catapult
in contrast the US Ford class aircraft
carrier completed its first public Test
2 years before sea trials the stability
and performance of the fuen carrier's
electromagnetic catapult system remain a
question mark the materials and
Equipment piled on the deck along with
the busy wheel cranes and Tower cranes
indicate that there is still a lot of
crucial equipment awaiting installation
on the fujian carrier the smoke stains
on the side of the ship suggest that
testing of the electromagnetic catapult
system is ongoing with frequent startups
and shutdowns hinting at instability and
challenges in beijing's carrier
technology the absence of mawei Ming the
chief engineer of the electromagnetic
catapult on the fuen carrier from last
year's 20th party Congress is noteworthy
mawei in's non-attendance at this key
political event raises questions another
critical factor is the arrest of sria in
2021 sria the former deputy minister of
equipment and former deputy minister of
the Navy played a pivotal role he was
instrumental in the approval
construction of the fujian carrier and
the development of its electromagnetic
catapult these developments suggest
possible setbacks for the Chinese Navy
the Navy might be encountering
significant challenges in devel
developing electromagnetic catapult and
interception systems these difficulties
likely stem from International
technology blockades they are also
possibly due to limited domestic
research capabilities in this field
there are also reports of possible
anti-c ping forces interfering with the
installation and testing of equipment on
the fuen carrier in the first half of
2023 through aerial photography it was
observed that several crucial components
of the aircraft carrier were transported
from Beijing to Shanghai via aircraft
and then by large trucks to the port
where the aircraft carrier was being
built some analysts believe that this
news may have caught the attention of
anti- factions on July 21st a large
truck carrying aircraft carrier
components was bombed shortly after
leaving the airport resulting in a
catastrophic scene what's even more
dramatic is the rumor that the
electromagnetic catapult technology for
the fujian carrier actually originated
from an under graduate thesis titled
electromagnetic catapult of linear Servo
Motors the author SN Jing revealed on
his wichat that the thesis caught the
attention of the naval equipment
Department which subsequently hired
several retired American Military
scientists to create Blueprints and
process flows based on the thesis's
concepts however materials that
performed stably under high-speed
operation were subjected to
International sanctions rumors have it
that the lack of stable materials led to
generating overload failures during real
world testing the connectors of the
electromagnetic catapult in the entire
launch structure also face durability
and strength issues this is a concerning
matter as a failed launch equals a
failed takeoff which could result in
catastrophic accidents since the
electromagnetic ejection is too strong
and damaging to the structure of the
aircraft the electromagnetic ejection of
the j5t fighter is still carefully
tested and not mass-produced
the supporting device of the
electromagnetic catapult and the
electromagnetic blocking system are also
riddled with problems overseas media
reported that there were many breaks in
the Rope during the test causing heavy
casualties a critical factor that has
hampered the progress of China's two
carriers is money since Xi Jinping came
to power China has spent extensively on
the belt and Road initiative coupled
with an expansion of military
expenditures depleting the ccp's
financial res resources within a decade
China is financially strapped if it
continues to build carriers it risks
getting caught in an arms race with the
United States potentially leading to the
economic disintegration of China and the
downfall of the Communist Regime similar
to the Soviet Union's fate during the
arms race the Chinese leadership is well
aware of this situation and now they are
ostensibly compromising with the United
States stating that they won't engage in
military actions against Taiwan in 2025
and 2027 which would reduce military
expenditures as a result these two
carriers are being delayed what's more
the problems that have Arisen during
drills with China's first two carriers
have made she hesitant to challenge the
United States the use of ski jump
takeoff on the ccp's carriers has caused
instability for aircrafts equipped with
heavy engines shortly after takeoff many
within the Navy commented that the ccp's
carrier-based aircraft often experience
accidents where they fall shortly after
takeoff during Landings there is a risk
of arresting cable breakage leading to
aircrafts falling into the sea however
these accidents have never been made
known to the central military Commission
in 2023 xiin ping sought to engage in a
conflict between the Chinese Navy and
the Philippines insisting that aircraft
carriers must be involved as a result
they conducted exercises in the South
China Sea but once again aircraft fell
off the carriers this time it could no
longer be concealed and it was clear
that China would definitely lose in any
conflict the news was reported to the
central military commission after
reading it for a while she simply could
not believe it was real these are all
aircraft carriers how come there is such
a distance between China and the US she
finally realized that even the
Philippines might be too much to handle
let alone Taiwan in March an online post
leaked the the true state of China's
aircraft carriers summarizing it in one
sentence they are all junk the first two
carriers need to burn their boilers for
48 hours to start from a standstill and
the third carrier the fuen also uses a
steam turbine engine taking more than 10
hours to start the latter two carriers
built by the CCP itself have subpar
special steel with insufficient strength
in the Hall's steel plates the
domestically developed Shand on Carrier
which has been in service for several
years has spent most of its time in the
shipyard for repairs the substandard
steel led to multiple large breaches in
the hall allowing seawat to flow in
rapidly rendering it inoperable the fuen
carrier also experienced problems with
the welding of the hall steel plates
ultimately the one that can actually
Sail on the sea emitting thick diesel
smoke as it goes is surprisingly the
leoning carrier this is because the
leing carrier shell was purchased from
Ukraine and it doesn't leak even though
it's just an outer shell that has been
used for years it is much more reliable
than the ccp's Shandong and fuin
carriers at least it won't sink or leak
the actual state of these three CCP
aircraft carriers is quite dismal even
the Ling carrier had its share of
absurdities during the refurbishment
process the CCP decided to deviate from
the Soviet design removing the launch
Wells for heavy super Sonic anti-ship
missiles at the bow and replacing them
with a convenience store just imagine
the place originally meant for launching
missiles Now Stocks potato chips and
mineral water is this an aircraft
carrier or a floating Supermarket
however the official CCP news reported
on this matter in a grand manner with a
hefty military budget the Navy was
expected to enhance its military
capabilities but it ended up opening a
convenience store on an aircraft carrier
the Chinese people couldn't help but
draw parallels with the Ceno Japanese
naval war in
1894 at the time Japan was initially
cautious about the Ching Dynasty's beong
Fleet considering it had Ironclad
warships made in the UK and was Asia's
leading Navy Japan was closely
monitoring China's impressive Naval
vessels with telescopes on a daily basis
however one day the Japanese were
surprised to see Chinese warships gun
barrels being used to hang clothes
including women's Chong s Sams and
underwear these details led the Japanese
to conclude that the Chinese warships
were more focused on daily life rather
than military exercises they believed
that the beay young fleet was not
prepared for combat eventually Japan
gathered the courage to take action and
defeated the beay young Fleet in just 1
hour the operational capabilities of the
ccp's first two aircraft carriers were
not much better than the beang fleet in
April 2021 a formation of the leing air
craft carrier was unexpectedly intruded
by three US Navy destroyers a scene that
garnered widespread attention online
many nens shared photos and videos
making the scene a Hot Topic on the
internet the intrusion of American
destroyers into the formation of a
Chinese aircraft carrier was undoubtedly
a significant embarrassment and the
military was not willing to let anyone
know about it how did this information
get leaked and the result pointed to
internal anti- she factions within the
the CCP of course this investigation
result was not publicly disclosed some
commentators view this incident as
evidence that the Chinese Navy lacks the
capability to engage in foreign Warfare
and instead resorts to intimidation of
its own citizens in early April There
Was An Unexpected encounter between
China's Shandong aircraft carrier and
the US nuclear powerered aircraft
carrier Nimitz according to reports
American Sailors on the Nimitz were seen
sipping coffee and enjoying the
activities on the Shandong aircraft
carrier domestic netizens humorously
commented on this event joking that the
Shandong carrier might be better suited
for fishing Expeditions at Sea rather
than military missions they even
mimicked the Shandon carrier's statement
saying the Shandon carrier does not
intend to confront the US nits I'm just
anchored temporarily and unable to move
at the moment I'm undergoing repairs
please don't mock me entering November
the Shandong aircraft carrier
accompanied by four combat ships
appeared in the waters off the eastern
coast of Taiwan unfortunately the
Japanese sea to the north saw the
presence of the USS Carl Vincent and the
South China Sea to the South deployed
the USS Ronald Reagan these two US
nuclear powerered aircraft carriers
undoubtedly posed significant strategic
pressure on the people's Liberation Army
pla in particular the Carl Vincent
aircraft carrier strike group equipped
with four ages combat systems equipped
Burke class Destroyers clearly
outclassed the Shandon Carrier Group in
terms of tonnage and combat capabilities
the pla had to admit its disadvantage
and hastily dispatched three batches of
six ships for support as for the Shandon
carrier its design and capabilities are
somewhat laughable it is essentially an
imitation of the former Soviet ketov
class aircraft carrier and can be
considered an upgraded version of the
leoning carrier it has massive boilers a
narrow hanger limited r range and lacks
catapults for launching heavy aircraft
its primary carrier-based aircraft the
j5b cannot carry a full weapon load when
taking off with a full fuel load and
vice versa with a meager 70,000 ton
displacement it falls short even
compared to Japanese aircraft carrier
shinano from World War II it doesn't
even have Airborne early warning
aircraft in a real confrontation with
the United States it would be like a
Sitting Duck the appearance of the the
fujian aircraft carrier did not
fundamentally solve the deep-seated
issues facing the Chinese Navy in fact
it is more like a modern version of the
beang fleet despite some technological
advancements it still falls short when
confronted with Advanced International
Naval forces while the preparation time
for the fujian carrier has been
shortened from the 48 Hours required for
the first two carriers to around a dozen
hours it is still a lengthy process that
could potentially delay combat Readiness
the decision to incorporate
electromagnetic catapult systems into
the design of the fuen was made after
the ship's Hull was finalized resulting
in excessively long flight decks and
Flame deflectors blocking the aircraft's
takeoff and Landing paths this could
affect the efficient operation of
aircrafts and may necessitate
retrofitting with a third catapult the
presence of a third Runway is impeded by
the flame deflectors of the second
Runway making it impossible for both to
be used simultaneously behind the scenes
the story of the fu Jin is more like a
political drama filled with irony the
christening ceremony should have been an
excellent opportunity to showcase xiin
Ping's Prestige at the very least he
should have made an appearance it turned
out that she wanted to celebrate this
historic moment on the aircraft carrier
with maai China's national liquor but
what's arranged was champagne changing
the plan was not that easy and there
were murmurs from anti- sheie factions
within the top CCP leadership
questioning that he was so picky if they
had allowed Mount High to be consumed on
the aircraft carrier it could have
turned into a floating bar due to this
minor issue xiin ping lost interest in
attending she initially wanted to name
the 003 aircraft carrier after himself
hoping to establish the gping brand on
the high seas however he faced
opposition from the anti- sheie factions
within the top leadership they argued
that if that logic was followed the
first aircraft carrier should have been
named after madong and that since xiin
ping is the fifth party leader it should
be the 005 aircraft carrier's turn for
him moreover the first two carriers were
named after Coastal provinces so there
should be some continuity the compromise
was to name it the fujien as xiin ping
was promoted to provincial leadership
for the first time in fujian province
which is the province closest to Taiwan
and the 003 aircraft carrier was
primarily intended for operations
against Taiwan making the name
meaningful as for the ccp's fourth
aircraft carrier which is nuclear
powered and equipped with
electromagnetic catapults and a
displacement of 100,000 tons claiming to
challenge the US Ford class carrier its
progress in reality was very slow
China's nuclear submarines such as the
094 and 096 types are equipped with
small nuclear reactors however to power
a carrier of 100,000 tons it may require
as many as eight such reactors if China
wants to employ the two large nuclear
reactors used in the US nimit class
carrier the CCP has a long way to go
what's more troubling is the integration
of nuclear power with electromagnetic
catapult systems electromagnetic
catapults demand extremely high current
and voltage for stable and instantaneous
power output posing a significant
technological challenge for Beijing
Western countries do not sell Advanced
Equipment required for military weapon
manufacturer uring making it even more
challenging to develop its 004 type
carrier furthermore the Chinese military
underwent a significant Purge from
August to September with numerous
officers implicated in corruption being
imprisoned this has left a shortage of
personnel and even silenced military
propaganda meanwhile she's wavering
stance on pro-american policies has
raised questions about the future of the
004 aircraft carrier on the financial
front the CCP is facing increasingly
severe challenges the belt and Road
initiative requires massive Investments
making military projects seem like a
luxury therefore the future of the 004
aircraft carrier is filled with
uncertainty given the current management
level of the Chinese military even if a
fourth carrier is ultimately constructed
it may turn out to be a high-risk
investment that sinks into the sea it
appears that the aircraft carriers serve
only the purpose of intimidating the
Chinese population
driving the CCP into an arms race and
contributing to its
[Music]
downfall
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