Crypto To Explode! - Final Warning! 🚨
Summary
TLDRThe script discusses the recent record-breaking all-time high of Bitcoin before the halving event, a first in previous cycles. It delves into the Stock-to-Flow model by Plan B, cautioning about the existence of multiple versions and emphasizing the importance of referencing the original model. The script explores the model's predictions, suggesting potential exponential gains up to $575,000 per Bitcoin by Q3 2025. However, it acknowledges the ambitious nature of this target and encourages viewers to formulate their own investment plans. Finally, it highlights a key indicator from Plan B, signaling the commencement of the crypto bull market, foreshadowing potential face-melting rallies in the coming months.
Takeaways
- 🌐 Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high before the halving, which is unprecedented in previous cycles.
- 📈 The Stock-to-Flow model is a popular tool for navigating the volatility of the crypto market, but there are multiple versions with varying price predictions, so caution is advised.
- 🔄 The crypto market has exhibited cyclical behavior with 2-3 year bull markets followed by 1-year bear markets, revolving around the halving events.
- 🎯 According to Stock-to-Flow, Bitcoin's price could potentially reach $575,000 by Q3 2025, an 8x increase from current levels, though this target is considered extremely ambitious and high-risk.
- 💰 The video suggests considering lower-risk targets, such as a 50% or 100% increase from current prices, which would be around $100,000 or $140,000 respectively.
- 💎 Plan B's Bitcoin Market Cycle chart indicates that the accumulation phase has ended, and the bull market has just begun, signaling potential for face-melting rallies in the next 6-12 months.
- ⚠️ A cautionary note is provided about the existence of multiple Stock-to-Flow versions, emphasizing the importance of verifying the version being referenced.
- 📝 The video encourages viewers to formulate a personal plan for navigating the crypto market, whether it's hodling, dollar-cost averaging, trying to time the market, or trading the ups and downs.
- 🤔 A decision needs to be made on whether to aim for exiting the market during the next crypto winter or staying invested throughout the cycles.
- 📺 The video promises to cover the creator's personal plan for the crypto market in the next episode, encouraging viewers to subscribe to not miss it.
Q & A
What is the significance of Bitcoin setting a new all-time high before the halving?
-According to the transcript, Bitcoin setting a new all-time high before the halving is an event that has never occurred before in previous market cycles. This is seen as an interesting development and potentially indicative of the strength of the current bull market.
What is the stock-to-flow model, and why is it important in analyzing Bitcoin's price movements?
-The stock-to-flow model is a chart that helps navigate the volatility of the crypto market by showing the cyclicality around the Bitcoin halving events. It is considered a useful tool for understanding Bitcoin's price cycles and potential future price movements.
What is the caution mentioned regarding the stock-to-flow model?
-The caution is that there are multiple versions of the stock-to-flow model circulating, each with slightly different price predictions. It is important to ensure that you are looking at the right version (the original version) to avoid being misled.
According to the stock-to-flow model, what is the potential price target for Bitcoin by Q3 2025?
-According to the stock-to-flow model mentioned in the transcript, the predicted price target for Bitcoin by Q3 2025 is a staggering $575,000, which represents a 750% gain from the current price at the time of the video.
How does the presenter view the $575,000 price target for Bitcoin?
-The presenter considers the $575,000 price target for Bitcoin to be an incredibly ambitious Target and extremely high risk. They suggest considering more conservative targets, such as $100,000 (low risk), $140,000 (medium risk), or $210,000 (higher risk).
What does the Bitcoin Market Cycle indicator by Plan B suggest?
-The Bitcoin Market Cycle indicator by Plan B suggests that the accumulation stage has finished, and the big red dot signals that the bull market has just begun. This is when the face melting rallies of the crypto market are expected to occur, potentially lasting 6 to 12 months of massive gains.
What is the presenter's plan regarding the crypto market?
-The presenter mentions that they will cover their personal plan fully in a video next week. However, they suggest considering exiting the market at some point in 2025 and potentially accumulating more Bitcoin around 12 months after the peak of the current cycle.
What advice does the presenter give to viewers regarding their own plans for the crypto market?
-The presenter advises viewers to decide on their own plan now, whether it is to hold (hodl) throughout, dollar cost average, aim to exit the market for a period of time and re-enter, or try to trade the ups and downs. The presenter emphasizes that the time to make a plan is now.
What does the presenter suggest regarding the potential for exponential gains in the current crypto market cycle?
-While Plan B thinks that this time around, Bitcoin could see exponential gains reaching $575,000, the presenter suggests that their own plan will be more conservative, hinting that they may not fully agree with such an aggressive price target.
How does the presenter view the overall outlook for the crypto market in the coming months?
-The presenter believes that regardless of the specific price targets, the crypto market is likely to be exploding higher over the coming months, indicating an expectation of a strong bull market in the near future.
Outlines
📈 Navigating Bitcoin's New All-Time High and the Stock-to-Flow Model
The video discusses Bitcoin setting a new all-time high price before the halving event, which is an unprecedented occurrence in previous cycles. The creator expresses appreciation for the Stock-to-Flow model by Plan B, as it helps navigate the volatility of the crypto market. However, a caution is raised about multiple versions of the Stock-to-Flow model circulating, leading to potential confusion. The creator emphasizes the importance of using the original version for accurate analysis.
🔮 Forecasting Bitcoin's Price Trajectory with Stock-to-Flow
This section examines how the Stock-to-Flow model can be used to predict Bitcoin's potential price trajectory over the next one to two years. The model suggests an ambitious target of $575,000 per Bitcoin by Q3 2025, representing a 750% gain from the current price. However, the creator acknowledges that this target seems extremely high-risk. Alternative, more conservative targets are discussed, such as aiming for 50% ($100,000), 100% ($140,000), or 200% ($210,000) gains, which correspond to Bitcoin breaking its previous all-time high by different multiples.
🚀 The Crypto Bull Market and Key Indicators
The video summarizes the creator's perspective on Bitcoin's recent all-time high price achievement before the halving event, which is a first in previous cycles. The Stock-to-Flow model is praised for its simplicity in helping navigate the crypto market's volatility, but a word of caution is given about the multiple versions circulating and the importance of using the original version. The cyclical nature of the crypto market is highlighted, with four-year cycles of booms and busts, indicating another massive selloff and crypto winter ahead. The creator advises viewers to decide on their plan, whether to hold, dollar-cost average, aim to exit the market temporarily, or trade the ups and downs. A personal plan is promised for the next video. Finally, Plan B's Bitcoin Market Cycle indicator is discussed, signaling the beginning of the bull market and potential for face-melting rallies in the coming 6 to 12 months.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Bitcoin
💡All-Time High
💡Halving
💡Leverage
💡Bull Market
💡Stock-to-Flow Model
💡Crypto Winter
💡Accumulation
💡Risk
💡HODL
Highlights
Bitcoin has set a new all-time high, smashing another record which is a new all-time high before the halving, something that's never been done before in previous cycles.
The stock-to-flow model has helped navigate the crazy volatility of the crypto market.
A caution about the different versions of the stock-to-flow model and the importance of looking at the right one.
The crypto market has been very cyclical with four-year cycles of booms and busts, revolving around the halving events.
The stock-to-flow model predicts a huge price of $575,000 for Bitcoin by Q3 2025, a 750% gain from the current price.
Low-risk target: 50% from here, around $100,000. Bitcoin should break $100,000 in this cycle.
Medium-risk target: 100% from here, around $140,000 (2x previous all-time high).
High-risk target: 200% from here, around $210,000 (3x previous all-time high).
The $575,000 target seems extremely high-risk, especially if trying to time the market.
Plan B's Bitcoin Market Cycle chart shows the bull market has just begun, signaling the potential for face-melting rallies in the next 6-12 months.
It's challenging to accumulate during the brutal bear markets when prices have dropped significantly.
The importance of having a plan: whether to hold, dollar-cost average, aim to exit and re-enter, or trade the ups and downs.
The speaker's personal plan will be covered in the next video.
No one knows exactly where the crypto roller coaster is going, so it's crucial to make a plan now.
The new Super Thanks commenting system is being tested to combat spam and trading bots on YouTube comments.
Transcripts
hey guys welcome back now as you may
know Bitcoin has set a new alltime high
and smashing another record which is a
new alltime high before the harving
something that's never been done before
in previous Cycles interestingly just as
the all-time high was set many folks in
the US with leveraged long positions got
liquidated causing a huge flush out and
then all the clever people over in Asia
overnight bought the dip now the big
question is as this new bull market is
beginning to kick off how high could
this thing be going well one chart
that's really helped me navigate the
crazy volatility of the crypto Market
has been stock to Flow by
planb however over the years there is
something that everyone needs to be made
aware aware of which is why in this
video we'll be covering firstly a stock
to flow model caution so nobody gets
caught out looking at the wrong data
when making very important decisions
then using the stock to flow model we'll
ask the big question just how high will
prices be going over the next 1 to 2
years how much of a price explosion
could we be seeing and then we'll finish
with a big indicator that just got
triggered indicating that the face
melting rallies of the crypto bull
market may have just begun okay so first
up I am a big fan of the stock to flow
model however there is one thing that
everyone needs to be made aware of when
looking at this
model so firstly we're going to begin
with a bit of a caution when it comes to
the stock stock to flow model however
firstly let me just say that I am a big
fan of the stock to flow model and if
only this was available when I first
started which was in 2017 I think I got
into the crypto market around about here
and we had nothing really to look at in
comparison to what we have today if I
would have had stock to flow I would
have known that we are in the final
stage of this blowoff top and avoided a
very nasty crypto winter but I joined
about here I had no idea no context onto
what has gone before that this was a
cyclical Market going in booms and busts
revolving around the harving and we were
would have been an very late stage so I
quickly doubled my investment tripled my
my investment quadrupled my investment
and just as I'm feeling rich and
thinking this is super easy and I'm
patting myself on the back I then went
on to lose about 80% of the money and
again not knowing that this was the
bottom we didn't get stock to flow or I
didn't come across stock to flow until a
later date so the great thing is is that
it's incredibly simple and it shows the
C locality around the harving events
which is in blue so we're just about to
get another one fouryear cycles of booms
and busts however the caution is is that
over the years we're starting to get
multiple versions pop up and all with
diff slightly different prices so would
you know that you're looking at this one
or would you know that you're looking at
this one in the last chart we had all
already reached the stock to flow line
however in this one we're still below
the line or how about this one again
another one that's being shed or it
could be this one so as you can see the
problem is is that there's becoming many
different versions so just be sure to
make sure that you're looking at the
right one for me it's version one the
original one that seems to be the best
and the updated versions are not as good
so right now it should have just clipped
the stock to flow line here now the
other thing we can look at is try to
answer the question just how high could
crypto be going over the next couple of
years so what does stock to flow say
about
that so the idea here is that as
mentioned the crypto market so far has
been very cyclical roughly about 2 to 3
years of an upm market and then a
oneyear brutal crypto winter 3 years up
one year down 3 years up and one year
down now some people might just want to
dollar cost average and hold their
Bitcoin or crypto for 10 20 30 years and
so you don't really have to worry about
timing however now that we do have stock
to flow and I can see that it's cyclical
my personal plan will be to exit the
market at some point in
2025 likely so what does stock to flow
say about how high prices could be going
well by Q3 in
2025 this line is predicting a huge
price of
$575,000 Bitcoin so this is a huge
increase and it is a
750 gain from today's price so all that
in about 1 to2 years I would say is an
incredibly ambitious Target now I'll
cover my personal plan fully in a video
next week but as a Rough Guide I would
say it's all about risk and a lowrisk
Target might be 50% from here meaning
you'd get out around
$100,000 I think it's fairly safe to say
in this current cycle Bitcoin should
break 100,000 a medium risk strategy
might be 100% from here and this would
give about
$140,000 Bitcoin which would be around
two times its previous alltime High an
important metric and I'd say a higher
risk number is probably 200% from here
which is a about
210,000 and this would be three times
bitcoin's previous all-time high so as
you can see stock to flow and plan B
saying that this time it's going to be
exponential gains this to me just seems
extremely high risk now if you're
planning on just hodling and never
selling then there's no harm just seeing
if this plays out however if you're
going to try and time the crypto market
and get out at some point I would say be
very careful with this target however
it's your money your investment and this
important decision is going to be up to
you now finally let's just cover one
indicator by Plan B which was just
triggered so another great chart from
Plan B is his Bitcoin Market cycle and
very similar to stock flow and nicely
color coordinated and it split into four
parts we have the big bull market we
have distribution or selling we have the
bare Market the brutal worst parts of
the cycle the accumulation phase and
then onto the bull market again so bull
market distribution bare Market
accumulation and the thing that's just
triggered for everyone to see is we've
had these highs here we went through
this Brut arguably worst crypto winter
so far this being the absolute worst and
it's saying we've just finished the
accumulation stage and the Big Red Dot
signals that the bull market has just
begun and this is when you really get to
see the full force the face melting
rallies of the crypto market and it
could be 6 to 12 months of massive gain
if history repeats so this is very
exciting times it just goes to show how
hard it is to buy in the brutal bare
markets so I tip my hat to anyone who
was able to accumulate here cuz it's
incredibly hard to do people have just
lost 50 to 90% of their money the last
thing that you want to do is put
anything you have left back into the
crypto Market however for the next cycle
this will also be part of my plan to try
and accumulate it'll be roughly about 12
months after the peak however this time
around I did do quite a lot of
accumulating in this zone so I have to
be happy about that and what an exciting
time the next 6 to 12 months is going to
be
Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high
smashing another record which was a new
all-time high before the harving
something that's never been done before
in previous Cycles I'm a big fan of
stock to flow as it's a very simple
chart to help us navigate the insane
volatility of the crypto Market however
just check to see which version that
you're looking at not to get caught out
with Ever Changing versions it's
important to note that the crypto market
so far has been very cyclical fouryear
cycles of booms and busts indicating
that there's going to be another massive
selloff and crypto winter so you need to
decide now what your plan is going to be
now you could just huddle throughout you
could just dollar cost average all the
way through will you be aiming to get
out of the market for a period of time
then back in the market or you could
just try and trade the ups and downs all
the way through now I'll be covering my
personal plan next week so be sure to
subscribe to not miss that video now
Plan B thinks that this time around
we're going to get exponential gains
seeing a bitcoin price all the way up to
$575,000 an8 times increase from today's
price as you'll see next week my plan is
is a bit more conservative and finally
regardless it looks like the crypto
Market will be exploding higher over the
coming months and remember no one knows
exactly where this crazy roller coaster
is going to be going so the time to make
your plan is now so there you are guys
hope you enjoyed now you tell me plan
B's Target of
$575,000 Bitcoin is that something
that's going to happen in the next 1 to
2 years let me know below however just
remember to get rid of 100% of the
comment spam and trading Bots that
Plague YouTube comments we are trying
out the new super thanks commenting
system so to get your question or
comment read and replied to or just to
say thanks then use super thanks below
and for now just to say if you did enjoy
anything in the video then drop a like
and a thank you to everyone who does and
I'll see you in the next
video bye for
[Music]
now
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