Late Kick Live Ep 543: FIVE Biggest Saturdays | Cowherd OU Take | Tenn & PennSt Predict | Bama’s G.M

Summary

In this college football analysis, the host discusses the potential of various teams, including Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Penn State, for the upcoming season. He addresses concerns about early predictions, the impact of coaching changes, and key player performances. The show also covers significant Saturdays in the sport, bold predictions for the season, and the implications of Courtney Morgan's contract extension at Alabama, signaling a shift in the college football personnel industry.

Takeaways

• 📅 The show is set in downtown Nashville, Tennessee on Tuesday, August 20th, 2024, indicating a forward-looking discussion about the college football season.
• 🏈 The speaker emphasizes the significance of October 12th as a major date in the college football calendar, with several high-profile matchups scheduled for this day.
• 🔄 There is a sense of uncertainty and concern expressed by the speaker about predictions made earlier, hinting at potential adjustments to come.
• 🤔 The speaker acknowledges feeling 'moderately to severely shaken' about the accuracy of predictions made before the season, suggesting a need for reevaluation.
• 🎙️ The show's host discusses the importance of the college football personnel industry, mentioning a significant raise for Courtney Morgan, the general manager at Alabama.
• 🏆 The host outlines 'five biggest Saturdays' in the college football season, highlighting key match-ups that could determine the sport's landscape.
• 📈 The transcript mentions a segment on team predictions for Tennessee and Penn State, indicating a detailed analysis of these teams' prospects.
• 🤷‍♂️ The speaker addresses a take by Colin Cowherd on Oklahoma's football program, defending the Sooners against the notion that they might become the 'next Nebraska' in terms of falling from prominence.
• 👍 The host praises the Oklahoma coaching staff, including head coach Brent Venables, and their recruiting strategies, particularly in Texas.
• 🚀 The speaker predicts that the dynamics of college football are becoming more favorable to Oklahoma, suggesting a bright future for the program despite changes in the sport.
• 🎉 The show concludes with a discussion of bold predictions for the upcoming season, including the potential for a four-loss team to make it into the playoffs.

Q & A

What is the speaker's primary concern regarding the college football season?

The speaker is moderately to severely shaken and concerned because they feel predictions were made too early and may need adjustment.

What significant date in the college football season is highlighted in the transcript?

October 12th is highlighted as a significant date, featuring major matchups like Ohio State vs. Oregon and Penn State vs. USC.

What is the significance of Courtney Morgan's raise at Alabama?

Courtney Morgan's raise is significant as it has the potential to reset the standards for compensation within the college football personnel industry.

What is the speaker's strategy for handling predictions in the show?

The speaker plans to adjust predictions as needed, acknowledging that as long as the week zero hasn't started, changes to picks are permissible.

What is the significance of October 26th in the college football season?

October 26th is significant for matchups like Missouri at Alabama and Oklahoma at Ole Miss, which could have major implications for the ACC Championship.

What is the speaker's view on the ACC's chances of winning a national title this year?

The speaker does not believe the ACC has a national championship contender but does predict that the ACC will have two teams in the playoff.

What is the speaker's opinion on Ryan Day's coaching ability and the importance of the 2024 season for him?

The speaker believes that Ryan Day is in a high-pressure situation but is the right person for the job at Ohio State, and mental strength will be key to his success.

What does the speaker think about the impact of Courtney Morgan's contract on other general managers in college football?

The speaker believes that Courtney Morgan's contract will have a significant impact, raising the earning potential for other general managers in the industry.

What is the speaker's prediction for Tennessee's record this year?

The speaker predicts a range of possible records for Tennessee, from 11-1 in the best-case scenario to 7-5 in the worst case, with a likely prediction of 9-3 or 10-2.

What is the significance of the bold predictions made by the speaker?

The bold predictions are speculative and meant to provoke thought and discussion among fans, covering a range of potential outcomes for the college football season.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 Concerns and Predictions in College Football

The speaker begins by expressing concerns about making predictions too early in the college football season, hinting at potential adjustments. The setting is in downtown Nashville, Tennessee, on August 20th, 2024. The focus is on the five biggest Saturdays in college football, leading with the highly anticipated October 12th, which includes major matchups like Ohio State vs. Oregon, and Texas vs. Oklahoma. The speaker also mentions a recent take on Oklahoma by Colin Cowherd, which resurfaced and sparked reactions, and discusses personnel changes in college football, such as Courtney Morgan's raise at Alabama, affecting the industry.

05:00

📅 Analyzing Key College Football Dates

The speaker continues to break down significant dates in the college football calendar, emphasizing the importance of certain Saturdays for big games. November 9th in week 11 is highlighted for its matchups, including Georgia vs. Ole Miss and Alabama vs. LSU. The speaker also discusses the tradition of rivalry week in week 14, mentioning high-profile games such as Michigan vs. Ohio State. Additionally, the analysis includes week 9 and week 5 games, with a special focus on Georgia vs. Alabama on September 28th, considered a potential game of the year.

10:02

🚀 Sponsorship and Marketing Initiatives

The speaker discusses sponsorship and marketing efforts, particularly in relation to the 'Whole New Saturday Tour' fueled by Quick Trip. The narrative includes past experiences with guerrilla marketing tactics that led to a ban from College GameDay. The speaker encourages fans to engage with the show and Quick Trip, hinting at potential giveaways and special offers for fans who show support at games or use the Quick Trip app.

15:02

🤔 Reacting to Colin Cowherd's Take on Oklahoma

The speaker addresses Colin Cowherd's take on the Oklahoma Sooners, discussing whether Oklahoma could follow Nebraska's path of falling from a superpower to irrelevance. The speaker disagrees with Cowherd's application of the argument, stating that Oklahoma's recruiting is strong, especially in Texas, and that joining the SEC will actually benefit the program by exposing it to a wider audience. The speaker also emphasizes that the dynamics of college football are currently favorable to Oklahoma.

20:03

🎓 Back to School and Sporting Goods

The speaker transitions to discussing back-to-school preparations and the role of Academy Sports and Outdoors in providing necessary items for sports and outdoor activities. The speaker highlights the variety of products available and the convenience of shopping at Academy Sports and Outdoors or on their website.

25:04

🏟️ Predictions and Uncertainty in College Football

The speaker talks about the unpredictability of college football, using the example of Tennessee's performance and the need to adjust predictions. The speaker admits to making mistakes in previous predictions and announces an intention to revise them, emphasizing the importance of adaptability in sports analysis.

30:05

🏈 Tennessee's Football Prospects and Coaching Staff

The speaker provides an in-depth analysis of the Tennessee football team, discussing the potential of the offense, the strength of the defense, and the impact of key players like James Pierce. The speaker also evaluates the coaching staff, highlighting their strengths and potential areas of concern, and provides a prediction for Tennessee's season record, considering various factors such as the team's schedule and the new quarterback.

35:07

🤔 The Pressure of High Expectations

The speaker reflects on the pressure faced by coaches like Ryan Day of Ohio State, discussing the expectations and the narrative that has been built around him. The speaker emphasizes the importance of mental strength in handling external pressures and the need for coaches to focus on their own performance rather than public opinion.

40:08

💰 The Impact of Courtney Morgan's Contract Extension

The speaker discusses the significance of Courtney Morgan's contract extension with Alabama, highlighting its impact on the market for general managers in college football. The speaker predicts that this could lead to an increase in salaries for similar positions across the industry, as Morgan's deal sets a new precedent.

45:09

📈 The Changing Landscape of College Football Careers

The speaker talks about the evolving opportunities in college football, especially for those who may not have traditional coaching or playing backgrounds. The speaker identifies new pathways opening up for individuals with expertise in areas like finance, communication, and psychology, and predicts that we will see more non-traditional hires in high-profile roles within the sport.

50:10

🏉 Penn State's Season Outlook and Coaching Evaluation

The speaker provides an outlook for Penn State's football season, discussing the strengths of the team, particularly the defense, and the potential of the offense under a new coordinator. The speaker also evaluates the coaching staff, comparing them to other well-known coaches, and predicts a strong season for Penn State, possibly culminating in a playoff berth.

55:11

💫 Bold Predictions for the Upcoming Season

The speaker concludes with a series of bold predictions for the college football season, including the possibility of a four-loss team making it to the playoffs, the Big Ten securing twice as many playoff bids as the ACC and Big 12 combined, and Lenoir Ser becoming a Heisman contender. The speaker assigns a 'boldness' rating to each prediction, expressing skepticism about some outcomes while acknowledging the unpredictability of the sport.

Keywords

💡College Football

College football refers to the sport of American football played by teams of student-athletes fielded by American universities, colleges, and military academies. In this video, the theme revolves around the analysis and predictions for the upcoming season, discussing various teams' prospects and key dates in the college football calendar.

💡Predictions

Predictions in this context are forecasts or educated guesses about the outcomes of college football games or seasons. The script is filled with predictions about team performances, such as Tennessee's and Penn State's win-loss records, and the potential for a four-loss team to make the playoffs.

💡Schedule Dynamics

Schedule dynamics refer to the specific circumstances and challenges presented by a team's schedule, including the strength of opponents and the sequence of games. The script mentions schedule dynamics when discussing the importance of certain match-ups and how they can affect a team's season or playoff chances.

💡Coaching Staff

The coaching staff encompasses all the coaches involved in a college football program, from the head coach to position coaches and support staff. The script evaluates the coaching staff's quality at various institutions, discussing their impact on team performance and player development.

💡Recruiting Class

A recruiting class is a group of high school or transfer students who have committed to play for a particular college football program for the upcoming season. The script mentions the importance of recruiting classes in maintaining a team's competitiveness and the impact of a strong recruiting class on a program's success.

💡Playoff Contender

A playoff contender is a team that has the potential to qualify for the college football playoffs based on its performance during the regular season. The script discusses the likelihood of different teams becoming contenders, considering factors such as win-loss records, strength of schedule, and team dynamics.

💡General Manager (GM)

In the context of college football, a general manager, or GM, is a role responsible for overseeing player personnel, including recruitment and roster management. The script discusses the significance of the GM role at Alabama and the impact of Courtney Morgan's contract extension on the industry.

💡ACC

The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) is one of the major college football conferences in the United States. The script mentions the ACC in discussions about the conference's competitiveness, the potential for ACC teams to make the playoffs, and the conference's overall strength relative to other conferences.

💡SEC

The Southeastern Conference (SEC) is another major college football conference known for its strong football programs. The script refers to the SEC when discussing the strength of its teams, the difficulty of their schedules, and the conference's reputation for producing national champions.

💡Bold Predictions

Bold predictions are statements or assertions about future events that are daring or unexpected. In the script, the host makes several bold predictions, such as the Big 10 getting more playoff bids than the ACC and Big 12 combined, and a four-loss team making the playoffs.

💡Heisman Contender

A Heisman contender is a player who is considered a potential winner of the Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football. The script discusses the possibility of a South Carolina player being a Heisman contender, examining his talent and the team's situation.

Highlights

The host expresses uncertainty and concern about predictions made too early in the season.

Discussion about the five biggest Saturdays in college football, emphasizing the importance of October 12th.

Mention of a recent take on Oklahoma by Colin Cowherd and plans to react to it on the show.

News about Courtney Morgan's significant raise at Alabama and its impact on the college football personnel industry.

The host's intention to adjust some predictions, acknowledging past mistakes and the flexibility to change picks.

Highlighting the new logo and teasing upcoming announcements that can't be spoken on yet.

A detailed analysis of the potential for Oklahoma to become the next Nebraska in college football dynamics.

The host's disagreement with Cowherd's take on Oklahoma's future in the SEC and the potential for the program.

A sponsored segment on Academy Sports and Outdoors, emphasizing their role in equipping fans for various sporting needs.

Predictions for Tennessee's season, discussing the team's strengths, weaknesses, and potential record.

Analysis of the ACC's chances of winning a national title and the limitations of its top teams.

Discussion on Ryan Day's importance for Ohio State and the perception of his coaching ability.

The impact of Courtney Morgan's contract extension on Alabama and the college football personnel market.

Predictions for Penn State's season, including potential wins, challenges, and the new offensive coordinator's influence.

The host's bold predictions for the season, including the possibility of a four-loss team making the playoffs.

A call to action for viewers to subscribe to the show and engage with the content on different platforms.

Transcripts

how about this three shows per week is

back now I know it looks like a brave

face but don't let the brave face fool

you guys I am moderately to severely

shaken I'm concerned and I'm concerned

because I think we did predictions too

early and I told Jesse this may happen

and we did it anyway now I wake up this

morning and I'm not really sure of

anything to the point where I think I

may need to adjust some things I don't

know if you've ever felt that before but

I feel it welcome in we're jam-packed

high at top a comfortable low dueo

downtown Nashville Tennessee Tuesday

August 20th the year of Our Lord

2024 five biggest Saturdays in the sport

this year we're leading the show with it

tonight everyone knows about October

12th hopefully all of you know about

October 12th but that's not it this is a

college football season so we like to

spread it around throughout the entire

year obviously any Saturday is a big

Saturday but some bigger than others

Colin cardd had a little take a while

back as it turns out on Oklahoma but it

mysteriously surfaced for many of us

today I had never heard it I heard it

today some asked what do you think about

it I don't know that we've done many

reactionary segments but there was

enough meat on the bone where I'm going

to react to it tonight how about that a

reaction segment Courtney Morgan got a

big time raise at Alabama that's the

general manager there and it kind of hit

the reset button on the college football

Personnel industry in the process now

some of that doesn't concern you a lot

of it actually does concern you and I'm

just going to try try to explain it also

team predictions got a couple more

tonight we're going to do Tennessee

we're going to do Penn State we've got

bold predictions we got all sorts of

things going on they're watching us in

suar Georgia Bloomington Indiana

Prescott Arizona Ames Iowa thank you so

much I led the show tonight with concern

I'm just going to go ahead and tell you

now I was going to save this for later

in the show I'm redoing my predictions

some of them are going to be the same

but there are some some mistakes that I

have made I think some minor Corrections

that need to be made so Circle your

calendar call your mimo text your mom

you know whatever you need to do

Thursday night sort of a prediction 2.0

around here and the Constitution says as

long as week zero hasn't started I can

change my pcks this coming from the same

guy I think who changed his predictions

in week six last year so really it's

nebulous at best at Lake kick Josh make

sure you're following those socials

we've been slowly leaking things many of

you noticed I haven't said a word about

it like this little logo over my back

here that's new I didn't say a word

about it but I promise you there are

some more things coming that I will soon

be able to speak on that I can't speak

on quite yet here's what I can't speak

on let's dive into the show me stack my

papers it's different than a paper pop

if you're new around here anytime you

hear that that paper pop that means

business is coming no this was just

paper stack I got a lot to get to

tonight what are the five biggest

Saturdays in college football this year

year I don't think anyone who has

glanced at their schedule can look past

October 12th October 12th is clearly the

monster Saturday of college football

season this year that's week seven for

those of you who like to keep track in

those terms this is the day where at the

same time or within about a six- hour

span Ohio state will go to Oregon ol

Miss will go to

LSU Penn State will go to us

and Texas will face Oklahoma in the

Cotton Bowl now those are just your four

Headliners I mean those are four like

grade a headline matchups this same day

in the SEC is Florida vers Tennessee day

this is also the same day that Kansas

State goes to face Dion in Colorado

Washington at Iowa Jed fish rolling into

Iowa City and then that bottom one there

if you're listening on podcast you can't

see this but those watching on YouTube I

got Syracuse at NC State now some are

looking at that saying why is that on

the list you need to understand your

schedule Dynamics here Syracuse does not

play all that tough a schedule this year

NC State's got a pretty navigable

schedule as well they could have much

better records than you think they'll

probably be capable of by this point so

just pay attention to that game now

that's one that's going to be talked

about okay October 12th is going to be

talked about a lot but what about four

more that I want to get get to few weeks

after that week 11 this is going deep

this is going into November now November

9th is week

11 oh this one's very very big as well

immunity Georgia adle Miss as the

preseason rankings sit that's a top six

matchup JP poll's not too far off of

that for the record so you got Georgia

at Old Miss Bama at LSU same day

Oklahoma at Missouri same day now of

course we're we're 11 weeks into the

season here so Oklahoma they've already

played Tennessee they've gone to Auburn

they've played Texas what's the record

at that point we don't know so all we

have to go on right now is preseason

rankings Florida's at Texas that day

again many of you don't expect Florida

to do much this year but all I can do is

I can tell you I've got Florida Power

rated as the 21st best team in the

country what you think their record's

going to be as irrelevant to how you

power rate the team so we're looking at

a couple of you know top 20 well one top

five team one top 20ish caliber team

there even if Florida isn't much to

write home about record-wise no one's

predicting that kind of upset for Texas

but yet it's a landmine sort of game and

that's the top of the card the mid card

on week 11 slate which I would argue is

not midc card at all it's just a little

bit further down um I can't claim we

were going alphabetically here either

you know what Florida State Notre Dame

is a really big game that's a top 10

match up in the preseason uh that's up

in South Bend Florida State playing in

Northern Indiana in early November just

keep an eye on that Washington's at Penn

State that day now that game could be

the white out game remember we've got

the greatest sport on the face of the

Earth we got the best traditions on the

face of the Earth Penn State's white out

is among the very best traditions in a

tradition Rich Sport and we've got

television networks paying hundreds of

millions to billions of dollars to

acquire the rights all so they can um

make the time slot such that we can't

get the Traditions it's wonderful anyway

so Washington may be the white out game

for Penn State Clemson's at Virginia

Tech that day now Virginia Tech has

already played who at this point they've

gone to Miami they've got some some

early season tests but there's no early

season test that Virginia fa or Virginia

Tech faces where you say nah they can't

get past that one Virginia Tech man they

could be in a situation where they're

contending for the ACC Championship and

Clemson comes to town Miami goes to

Georgia Tech that same day some of you

may be watching college football for the

first time in your lives welcome welcome

to the table we've got room for all I

need to tell you that Miami Georgia Tech

game if you want to go and make yourself

familiar with some stuff that happened

last year in absence of a much stronger

term just go check out the ending of

that Miami Georgia Tech game so that's a

loaded slate week 11's a loaded slate

later and this is rivalry weekend in

week 14 so of course I've got to fit

rivalry week in we had a debate

internally in the office today should we

even include rivalry week cuz that's

like a given and the answer was of

course we should include rivalry week

Michigan at Ohio State Texas at Texas

A&M there is pound-for-pound not a game

I'm looking forward to seeing more this

year then Texas going to Texas A&M not a

neutral sight game we're going into Kyle

Field for that one Oklahoma at LSU you

need to make yourself familiar with this

so this is the week where if you've got

a traditional rival you're playing them

but Oklahoma Texas happens in the middle

of the year so they're not playing each

other last week LSU doesn't have anyone

that they're going to traditionally be

paired with during rivalry week so all

of a sudden we get Oklahoma versus LSU

dropped in our lab we of course have

Notre Dame at USC dropped in our lap

we've got Florida at Florida State on

this day we've got South Carolina at

Clemson on this day we've got Auburn at

Alabama on this day and remember

Washington and Oregon played twice last

year Oregon 0 for two probably a

different Dynamic this year but again

that's why we play the games instead of

just predicting them on this interesting

material called paper next up all right

we get back into the heat of October

here October 26th is week nine so we're

a little bit deeper in the season here

as well Missouri's

got by my memory one game against a top

10 opponent preseason top 10 opponent

this year and it's this day it's

Missouri at Alabama Oklahoma goes to Old

Miss on this day you know when people

talk about old Miss they say oh they got

to play Georgia oh I got to go to LSU no

one really talks about oh just Oklahoma

coming into Oxford Florida State at

Miami is on this same day I mean that

could have ACC Championship implications

it has its own internal implication

baked in because it should be one of the

best rivalry games in college football

we talked about this a couple of shows

ago Nebraska's at Ohio State now you

know there are a lot of folks who think

Nebraska will be undefeated when they go

there and that's interesting because

it's not week two it's week nine so if

Nebraska's toen a a seven or8 and0

record into the

Horseshoe boy we haven't felt hype like

that around Nebraska since the 90s and

then on the undercard of week nine ruter

is at USC I don't want you laughing at

this because ruter has a very workable

schedule this year as well they got some

veteran leadership on that team it's

Greg shano in year three do your

research kids Penn State's at Wisconsin

this day I'm going to come back to that

one in a second just bookmark that LSUS

at Texas A&M and Kansas at Kansas State

and if I'm not mistaken Jesse Kansas

state is fresh off a trip to West

Virginia the week before one of the

bigger trap spots on their schedule okay

this Penn State Wisconsin game you know

we're really big on the buy Advantage SL

buy disadvantage Big Time buy Advantage

for Penn State here Penn State St is off

a buy so Penn State's rested they go on

the road Wisconsin is off of

back-to-back Road games I think one of

them's to ruter but most importantly the

week before they pay Penn State they go

to Washington so they got one of those

cross country trips Wisconsin never

takes the second leg of a back-to-back

Road stretch and then they come home to

play AR rested Penn State and by the way

Colin I doubt you just randomly have

Wisconsin schedule in there but I think

I have it up here there may not have

been a better year ever to be a

Wisconsin season ticket holder than this

year because you guys have you got

Oregon coming in there you got Penn

State coming in there you've got Alabama

coming in there and there are some folks

around here I was looking at NC State's

home schedule last night it's brutal

listen to this they get Bama at home

they get Penn State at home and they get

Oregon at home Minnesota to wrap up the

year on a Friday that is value that is

you you invest for a decade to get that

kind of home stretch now the South

Dakota tickets may be able to be had at

Bargain Basement prices Purdue comes in

there probably without a ton of fanfare

but still how about those big three all

right and lastly the last of the big

five weeks in college football this year

not that we limit it to five I would

like to take you to September 28th it's

week five Georgia's at Alabama could

very well be the game of the year it's

been the match match up uh along with

Ohio State Michigan that sort of has

defined the last few years in college

football Arizona at Utah is that day as

well Oklahoma State at Kansas state two

of the biggest games in the Big 12 are

both on this day September 28th

Louisville's at Notre Dame Notre Dame in

many people's estimations kind of play a

three-game season this year they open at

A&M they got FSU up there later in the

year they also get Louisville in there

so those are the three big games for

Notre Dame this year that's not all

though also in week five we've got

Arkansas at Texas A&M well not at Texas

A&M although I would contend Arkansas

needs to get out of this playing in

Arlington every year as quick as they

can and I think they are I think this

may be the last year you got Oklahoma at

Auburn that's the week after U has faced

Tennessee they go to Auburn that two

game stretch I think will serve to

Define what Oklahoma is this year vek is

at Miami on a Friday night

oh the possibilities there by the way if

you have if you have access to private

Aviation oh the possibilities Kentucky

at Old Miss is this day as well again I

just mentioned Oklahoma going to Oxford

Kentucky I think we've got them power

rated in the uh mid-20s in the JP poll

26th I believe just ho home no one's

talking about it I mean Old Miss is

viewed as having an extremely favorable

schedule and by SEC standards they do

they don't have an easy schedule there

there are two different concepts there

so those are the five weeks now I put

this out earlier tonight or earlier

today I asked you guys and I got all

kind of responses so this is college

football as many of you pointed out Miss

college football so if we've got a

Saturday I mean we only get 12 of them

per team we have to uh we have to

cherish them and cherish them we will

happy to have all of you

along we're going to be on the road

every week this fall uh that entire tour

will be fued by quick trip literally the

whole new Saturday tour will be fueled

by quick trip now you guys know in the

past when we've been on the road with

our tours whether it's the Renaissance

tour or the every given Saturday tour or

the Once Upon a Saturday tour or the

whole new Saturday tour this year you

know that we give away free stuff and we

we're sort of we're sort of aggressive

with the concept but like we're going to

Florida for our week one game Miami at

Florida that's our first stop on the

whole new Saturday tour our fueled by

quick trip

I I'll give some stuff away I may toss

some free tanks of gas I may throw an

academy gift card out there that's

that's been our modus operandi in the

past and then a couple of years ago so

just to give you a little backstory

couple of years

ago the um actually I'll tell you what

I'll do because I don't want the QR code

on the screen when I tell this story so

keep the QR code up this right here is

just the app that's the Quick Trip app

um I am strongly encouraging you guys to

download that number one because even if

you don't watch this this show you ought

to have the thing downloaded but number

two especially if you watch this show

there may soon be some very special

carve outs for you there all right now

few years back just a little quick story

here and then I'm going to get right

back into the show because I got to talk

about this Colin cardd Oklahoma thing

few years ago we were an upand cominging

college football show we were trying to

make a name for ourselves me and

director Colin were hanging out in the

old building and I said Colin you know

we have this whole Pate State sub brand

Under late kick H how can we how we go

full guerilla marketing with this and we

were like well we got fans out there

what if we encouraged them to show

support for the show publicly so we did

and I just made a little passing joke on

the show and I said some of you ought to

show up to college game day this

Saturday hold up a p State sign well the

problem is like 15 of you did it that

very Saturday and then we got banned

from college game day and ever since

then they have policed those signs and

you're not even allowed to take one on

the premises

now I gave you guys chalai of Supremacy

I gave you an academy gift card I have

it on good authority that the fine folks

at quick trip are even more about that

life than I am so while you may stand to

earn a free tank of gas if you you know

pose at quick trip and tag me on Twitter

and I see it I may toss you a free tank

of gas these folks are probably willing

to give away a little bit more than just

a free tank of gas if you get quick trip

sign signage on the set of college game

day now that's out of my control okay

this is like a non-sanctioned match in

Old School Attitude Era WWE um I can't

say that I encouraged it because legally

it could get me in trouble but I also am

not going to discourage it and if you

read between the lines then you read

between the lines but no matter what you

do before kickoff understand that when

the games kickoff on Saturday and we're

there throughout the year it's fueled by

quick trip we appreciate them all right

what is happening in the state of

national media as it as it relates to

the Oklahoma Sooners I I don't do

segments like I'm about to do very often

mainly because I don't listen to anyone

else talk about the sport um not because

I don't like them it's because I don't

want it to to um poison or influence our

show let me put it that way as a result

I end up saying what someone else said

before and have no idea they said it and

then I get accused of of regurgitating

things and that's not a good thing but

that's okay

an exception is going to be made tonight

Colin here's your

endpoint so all of a sudden today a

whole bunch of people for whatever

reason started tagging this take that

Colin coward had in June of

2023 about Oklahoma I did not hear it at

the time I had no idea he said it for

some reason it just popped up in

everyone's feed today mine included so a

lot of you asked me can you talk about

it on the show sure I'll talk about it

it's a very atypical segment for our

show but I'll talk about it cuz I I

think that there is some proper logic in

the points that he made but I think

there is some very improper application

like I think he flat out whiffed on the

spirit of the take but yet I think some

of the tones like some of the themes

woven into it make total sense so I'm

about to have Colin play to Colin direct

Colin play two pieces of sound the first

one just to let you know I'm going to

Tee It Up he had been talking about

Nebraska how Nebraska used to be a

superpower and then Nebraska kind of got

left behind as the sport changed and so

Nebraska went from being a superpower to

being irrelevant on the national

championship scene because what used to

work for Nebraska no longer worked for

Nebraska and his entire premise was

could Oklahoma be the next Nebraska so

again this is from June of

2023 so keep in mind now he had just

seen Lincoln Riley come off or not

Lincoln Riley he had seen him leave he

had seen Brent vinales come off a six

and seven season so he had not seen the

double- digit win season that is to come

but a lot of the evidence was already

there and maybe he was just seeing it

differently so is Oklahoma going to be

the next Nebraska is the premise Colin

rollet keep your eye on

Oklahoma is Oklahoma going to be the

second program in our adult lives that

disappears number

one the state no longer produces big

numbers of players of the sooner 26 SES

in their recruiting class three are from

the state of Oklahoma that's having to

convince kids in the

South convince kids in Texas come to us

secondly they joined a tougher

conference like Nebraska this is going

to be harder most of those Southern kids

have grown up on the SEC those football

players want to stay with traditional

SEC powers and number three in an

offense Vera they hired a defensive

coach and he was completely utterly over

his skis they didn't get the coach

right

so man I I think he nailed it and

whiffed completely all at one time so

let's break this down for just a

second the lack of instate Talent is a

total misnomer Oklahoma if they wanted

to could go land 25 kids in the state of

Oklahoma there probably AR 25 kids in

the state of Oklahoma to the level

needed to commit to Oklahoma but don't

misunderstand now there absolutely are

fewer players of that caliber in the

state of Oklahoma per year than there

are Georgia than there are Florida then

there are

Texas that is a a gross misunderstanding

of the situation when it comes to

Oklahoma recruiting you want to talk

about the lack of instate Talent it's

true but it's also irrelevant I'll tell

you why because if you know anything

about the Red River and south of it down

to Dallas Oklahoma owns that area every

bit as much as Texas does in recruiting

Oklahoma kills it in Texas specifically

the Dallas area Oklahoma in the 2023

recruiting class had 13 states

represented in the 2024 Class 12 States

represented Brent venables has been a

top 10 recruiter every year he's been at

Oklahoma so the reason they don't land a

ton of kids in Oklahoma is not a bad

thing the reason they don't land them is

because

they can go elsewhere and get better

players because this is not Georgia this

is not Alabama they do have to broaden

their net and the follow-up is they do

it they do it very well they do it

exceptionally well in Texas so the lack

of instate Talent represented on the

roster is is totally irrelevant to what

the quality of team is uh they've also

landed two top 10 portal classes in the

past three Cycles wenton got a big- Time

defensive tackle that LSU wanted badly

to choose Oklahoma over LSU this this

last cycle and also man if you follow

recruiting if you're really in the weeds

of this stuff state lines do matter but

state lines have never mattered less

than they matter now in recruiting in

the portal nil and also Advanced Digital

and social media age the world's never

felt smaller the country you know the

map has never felt smaller state lines

have never been less relevant to where a

a recruit wants to go uh in the old

school in the '90s and the 2000s it

meant something to cross the the chattah

huchi river or to cross the Red River

now it's just dude I play Xbox with that

guy from that city called Tulsa all the

time and I'm from Denton I I that you

don't even think about them being two

different states the way a kid in 1995

would that's the first thing the second

thing is playing in a tougher conference

Oklahoma's going to a tougher conference

that's true and if that turns you off

you're not going to be the head coach at

Oklahoma to begin with more on that in a

second but

secondly there's a tradeoff to joining a

tougher conference and that trade-off as

it relates to Talent acquisition is all

of a sudden your games are on in Florida

and Georgia and the Carolinas and

Mississippi and Louisiana and Alabama

every Saturday they care about you down

there because they're going to have to

play you therefore the kids in those

states are exposed to your brand more

than willing to go play at Oklahoma

Oklahoma fits the SEC profile like a

glove this is not some oil and water

situation and thirdly hiring a defensive

coach in an offens

era um how about go hire the right coach

hiring the right coach is the key you

know Georgia hired the right coach they

couldn't have cared less that he's

defensive minded Oregon's hired the

right one they couldn't care less he's

defensive minded I'd also encourage

folks to take a look at the regression

back to the middle of overall style of

college football points per game have

decreased the last couple of years so if

anything you saw an explosion but you

didn't see a Perma Trend towards offense

over defense in this sport um take take

a look at who won the national title

last year by the way and how they did it

and also there's probably nobody that

knows their head coach better than the

folks inside the building at Oklahoma

know their head coach I point that out

because they just extended him they've

seen all they need to see they already

extended Briton venables so I understand

now I understand where Colin coward's

going on that I understand completely

that if you're not careful The Winds of

Change in this sport can leave you

behind that's true it's just not going

to victimize Oklahoma it's not in the

process of doing it it will not do it

now there was a second part to this so

I'm I'm gonna have colun it up and I'll

react to it on the back end and why did

Lincoln Riley leave because he was

joining the SEC looked at it looked at

the bamas and the georgas and the LSUS

and the floridas and those States and

those kids and their

leanings in USC was wide

open by the way you think Lincoln Riley

didn't have a gut feeling

somehow some way kind of felt Oklahoma

to the SEC was going to be a hard pull

you go into Alabama and Georgia and

LSU's backyard welcome to SEC

football let me grant you all that just

for the sake of time and argument let's

say everything he just suggested there

is true you could have multiple truths

in the room here you could have the

truth that Lincoln Riley was excellent

at Oklahoma it could also be that

Lincoln Riley was not the guy to take

this program into this conference both

of those things could be true you know a

third thing could be true and that's

they had the right guy on speed dial the

entire time and it's the current head

coach at Oklahoma Brent venables this is

not some guarantee of anything just like

there's no guarantee that Lincoln Riley

is going to get it served up to him on a

silver platter when he goes to USC

because it hasn't happened there you

know if if you've got any reservations

about your ability to recruit in the SEC

you don't need to be the head coach at

Oklahoma if you've got any reservations

about your style working in the SEC you

don't need to be the head coach of

Oklahoma and there's nothing wrong with

that okay you go your way they'll go

their way but I just want you to

remember this year five years down the

road I want you to remember For Better

or For Worse there was no massive

coaching search here there was no broad

net cast across the country Lincoln

Riley left it stunned them they dusted

themselves off and a few days later they

had Brent venables in Norman and that

was it it's one of the most button-down

athletic departments it's one of the

strongest cultures in college athletics

multiple Sports and they've they've got

their act together they went and got who

they wanted they had him handpicked

they've already extended his contract so

the logic tracks here the logic that if

you're not careful Dynamics in college

football can change and leave you behind

totally accurate it's happened before he

pointed out that it's happened before

there there are there's a sweet spot

that college football can have you in

any given point uh the texases and

Alabam and Ohio States will always be

there there is no change that's going to

come to this sport as he pointed out

earlier in that segment that's going to

leave them behind there are changes that

could come to the sport that could do

the kind of things that happen to

Nebraska so The Sweet Spot of college

football does change some will always be

in it um Oklahoma's just one of them

Oklahoma's going to be at the head table

of college football for a long time

Oklahoma is at the head table of college

football they've been there for a long

time and they will be there for a long

time there is no seismic shift in this

sport that's doing anything other than

tilting the table a little bit further

in the direction of Oklahoma I I would I

would actually counter the argument and

make the counter that the sport is more

favorable the Dynamics in college

football are more favorable to Oklahoma

now than they have been over the past 20

years and over the past 20 years they've

been one of the best programs in the

country so I get the logic man but I

totally disagree with the application of

it I will agree with you however or I

will agree to disagree with you happily

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right now it is August 20th so I know a

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let's predict some stuffff we've got

bold predictions on the back end of this

show tonight but first what's

Tennessee's record going to be this year

lot of bubbling momentum around this

program at least if you take my word for

it well here's what you need to know

about Tennessee this year their over

under wi total has been interesting at

FanDuel it was eight and a half then it

shot up to n and a half now it's come

back down to eight and a half now of

course you got to lay a lot more to bet

that over than you do the under it's

heavily Juiced to the

over seventh best odds to win the

SEC 12th best dos to win the whole thing

the college football playoff so it's a

deep conference at least in preseason

terms in the SEC this year let's talk

about what we think we know I think I

know these things about Tennessee I

think I know the offense will be much

closer to the 20122 version than last

year's version I expect the passing game

to scale significantly they had the best

passing game in the country best points

per game in the country in 2022 last

year points per game they were tied for

30 th yeah that's going up niiko malava

don't need to have seen him start a

whole year to know he's a stud at least

enough to make that number go up

significantly I think their run game

will always be good under Josh hpel one

of the great misnomers about Josh hpel

is it's just this shot offense it's just

this this like air raid uh for verts

every play Mike Leech passing off it's

not that it's not that they run the ball

consistently run the ball got one of the

best rushing games in the country every

year and yet people get amnesia and they

totally forget about that the second

thing I think I know about Tennessee

James Pierce on the edge for them

probably one of the best players in the

country preseason All-American maybe the

top Edge player in America this year and

at the very least he's up there and

vying for that and there are probably

some impact players in this team that

are on the defensive side that you

wouldn't expect because everyone thinks

offense when they think Tennessee one of

the big questions we have about this

team is about the other side opposite

James Pierce we'll talk about that in a

second a third thing I think I know is

this program has

major scale up energy about it right now

and uh that doesn't necessarily impact

their win loss record what it does is it

puts them in position to where if they

win 10 or 11 games if they have a great

year if they have another special year

like they did year before

last uh they could really be Off to the

Races I think they already are I think

this year's result will just further

bolster that but I know a lot of you

aren't as bullish on Tennessee as I am

so a lot of you have to see it to

believe it that's fine here's what I

want to know I want to know how they're

going to backfill losing all these

pieces in the secondary they lost like

between 150 and 200 starts in the

secondary last year um to this year they

lost five of six guys back there and

they also lost Jordan Thomas Early in

Fall camp and he was probably running as

the one at Nicholls for them so not only

are they replacing a lot of guys who

left from last year they've already had

injury strike that group this year

that's the first thing because there's a

big difference in having to you know be

first to 40 every week because you

you've got the same problems this year

that LSU secondary had last year there's

a big difference between that and not

being a great pass defense but being

plenty serviceable enough are they going

to be the former or the latter another

thing that I want to know how many

difference makers are on this team how

many game Breakers are on this team we

look past quarterback for this because

every every quarterback's going to

directly impact the game in a big way

one way or the other Brew McCoy still on

this team squirrel white still on this

team they went and got brazzil the

transfer wide receiver from two lane

Arian Carter linebacker you know Elijah

Herring linebacker there are a lot of

guys who are former big names in

recruiting very talented do we have any

game Breakers because the third thing

that I want to know is um well it's kind

of bleeds into the second thing

I know I've got James Pierce I know he

fits this description do I have anyone

on the opposite side of that defensive

line that can do that or or is all the

attention on him all right now the third

thing I want to

know niik malava physically has all the

traits you need Josh hpel and his staff

fully believe in him there's always an

adjustment period in this game

especially if you're in a big 10 or an

SEC environment where you got a lot of

really highly paid coaches a lot of deep

coach coaching staffs a lot of analysts

off the field with a lot of time on

their hands and they're just focused on

you and if you're a firste starter

you're making your first go around the

SEC a lot of really really good football

minds are singularly focused on stopping

you and sometimes they succeed which

begs the question how good is niiko am

malava at adjusting to the League's

adjustments it's no different than a Big

League hitter when he comes up and he

starts hot and then all of a sudden they

figure out wow off speed low and end he

can't handle for some reason either

Yanks it foul or he's over the top of it

so let's just pepper him with that until

he shows that he can adjust now

sometimes they do adjust hands inside

the ball middle away we're good

sometimes they don't adjust and

sometimes you're back down in Triple A

after you were on the cover of Sports

Illustrated the prior month and you're

like what happened sometimes that

happens with quarterbacks as well so

that's the great unknown with any guy

who gets his first chance to start the

coaching staff here really interesting

really dangerous and underrated coaching

staff so hyp the model has graded as a

top 25 head coach but hyle is a 4.5 star

offensive coordinator if you just look

at him as an offensive coordinator he's

right up there with some of the best in

the country he has got an insanely good

offensive support staff it is top five

in the country the defensive support

staff is top half of the SEC now Tim

Banks is the defensive coordinator there

model has him raded low if you said

there's a weakness on the coaching staff

relatively speaking it would be the

defensive coordinator position but he

had a really good 2023 um his 2023 if he

were to duplicate that again you're no

longer using that terminology about him

this is not my opinion by the way I'm

sharing this is model output this

thing's blind it has no emotion it

doesn't even know where Knoxville

Tennessee is uh this is a top 15 staff

and it's a top 15 recruiting staff the

one through 11 especially so the

traditional onfield guys that is top 15

in the country and top 15 recruiting in

the country that's very underrated

people don't think about Tennessee like

that uh there's some folks there's some

coaching staffs out there that you guys

would rank above them that in reality do

not belong above them and then if you

pop another 10 or 11 win season and you

also get to backload with the new NCA

coaching rules with off the field guys

all of a sudden being on the field it's

only going to get deeper what about the

schedule here it's one of the best draws

which is ironic because they play

Alabama and

Georgia but it's still one of the best

draws so follow me here they only play

three teams in the JP poll top 25 now

they are really good teams they go to

Oklahoma in week four it's one of my

circle games I can't wait for that one

it's Josh hyper going back to Norman

Tennessee's first time on the road this

year in a true Road environment it's

Oklahoma's first SEC game I think so

that one's going to be really good but

look at week two I was on packed pride

with those guys on the radio show last

night we spent a fair amount of time

talking about this game Tennessee folks

SEC folks do not focus on that week two

game that is like one of two Super Bowls

for NC State this year they're looking

at that one in Charlotte it's a neutral

site game against Tennessee and they're

looking at the Clemson game and they

think if they can split there they got a

pretty reasonable shot of challenging

for an ACC championship appearance um so

don't catch yourself in Ambush mode

there Tennessee will be well represented

over there it won't be like some hostile

environment no more so than it'll be for

NC State but that is not one to just

look at and go huh dub and then move on

that is this is not the NC State team to

think that way especially because the

wide receiver core they have over there

they believe is the best they've had in

a long time they got a very very veteran

transfer quarterback and your secondary

is your biggest question mark right now

so be very careful with that NC State

game I feel like we just broke the game

down um they go to Oklahoma in week four

again like I said that is one of my

circle games of the year best case

record for Tennessee this year 11- one

if everything comes together for him

there is absolutely an 11- one on this

slate the worst case I think is seven

and five so what do we predict I was way

way way between 9 and three and 10 and

two because I have a firste starter at

quarterback questions in the second

secondary and I do play at Georgia and I

do play Alabama and I do play Florida at

home I've got at Oklahoma I've got that

weird neutral sight game there I think

there's enough uncertainty for me to

predict nine and

three it is very very close to 10- two

and um 10-2 has them in the playoff

there's a world where nine and3 has

Tennessee in the playoff so this is very

much on the precipice sort of a seesaw 9

and three 10- two for me I've got him

14th in the preseason J people so

everything's on the table for Tennessee

11- one wouldn't shock me 10- two 9 and

three that's kind of where I would

predict the record all right let's move

right along I got a lot of folks

watching live thank you guys so much

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same question from one of you Corey hit

me up he said it seems like in this new

power two power four World we're in that

you are down on the ACC as a whole on a

scale from one to 10 does the ACC have a

legitimate chance of winning a national

title this year I'm not sure how I'd

rate it on a scale of 1 to 10 I'd say no

I don't think they have a national

championship Contender over there now

that's way different than playoff

Contender okay we're no longer in the

four team era you're guaranteed to have

one team in the playoff I think the ACC

is going to have two teams in the

playoff that's my prediction so it's

it's not a playoff Contender you're

asking me do I look at one of these

teams and say that one right there I

legit could see winning the national

title I can't see a team from this

conference winning winning the national

title I'm going to walk you through why

I think that way it's a very lofty

conversation okay at

Clemson there's enough question for me

around K kumnick and Garrett Riley in

year two here I mean there's a lot of

Promise love those two young receivers

they've brought in but then if I get in

the playoff and I got to run through a

string of of Texas and then Notre Dame

and then Georgia if I got to run up

against Alabama if I see Ohio State or

Oregon multiples of those I mean is my

offensive line where it needs to be is

my ground game where it needs to be can

my young receivers get separation

against those defensive backs can I win

several of those games I don't think

Clemson can if they're there I don't

think they can Florida State Mike norell

thinks the world of the DNA of his team

and I agree I I'm blindly taking his

word for that but you're going to have

to show me at Florida State that you've

replaced that Talent you've lost enough

to where not not only can you win the

ACC and make the playoff but you could

go win three games and win the whole

thing win the national title you're

going to have to show me that DJ OU

angal winning a national title you being

able to ask him to win a couple of games

for you against the best of the best

that wide receiver core being able to

step up and them get separation and them

make big plays and change games have a

dynamic enough offense that that is

something I'd have to see to believe

Miami ironically if we're talking about

Talent profiles can Wards got the best

chance to end up being Elite enough up

their pass rush has probably as good a

chance as any of being able to be elite

and gamebreaking enough they've got good

running back depth they've got receivers

like Restrepo and then guys that can

work Downstream of him got the kid from

Houston that could be a breakout star

the talent profile from Miami probably

strikes me as one that's more likely to

do it but you're talking about having to

bridge a gulf from under a achievement

for years and years and years to all of

a sudden in one year you're in the

playoff and you go win the whole thing

again that's a bridge too far for me I

can't see Miami doing it I can't see

Florida State doing it I can't see

Clemson doing it solid teams we're

talking about going and beating Oregon

in Ohio State we're talking about going

beating Bama and Georgia and Texas these

teams I don't think are going to do that

this year and not just beating one of

them you got to beat like several of

them that's the whole point next up

where have we heard this question before

boy no one's no one has broached this

subject mark from Korn Wisconsin Ryan

day is turning into the boy who cried

wolf how important is 2024 for him and

the perception of his coaching ability

does something happen if he can't win

this year mark what do you mean by can't

win does he does he have to win one game

nine games does they have to win the

whole thing I I always have to nail you

guys down on this cuz like you use this

nebulous terminology and the rule around

here is only I should be allowed to do

that yes we all agree there

so uh I don't have to answer this

question mark I went up to Columbus Ohio

a few months ago and I just asked Ryan

Day for myself I asked him about

pressure I asked him about not being

able to beat Michigan three years in a

row what needs to change so we kind of

went and addressed it with the man

himself roll it Colin you talk about

chasing the 1% a lot and you guys have

put up just an insane win loss record

here and then there have been big

moments where you haven't followed

through on it like you want

to um internally I know there are a

million layers to the way you eval

yourself and your organization outside

it's just did you win the game or did

you not win the game does it does it

strike you how crazy it is the complete

validation that's praised upon you if

you win the last game of the season

versus the total indictment it is on

your program if you lose it and you got

a bunch of humans in this building how

do you block that out and make sure

folks you know keep the racehorse

blinders on and understand yeah we lost

here it should feel terrible but there

are specific reasons why instead of just

we suck burn it down let's start over

from scratch I think you have to enhance

the things that are going well and then

address the things that need to get

addressed and identify the right things

that need to get fixed and I think that

goes back to making sure you have the

right guys on the right seat making sure

you have you know enough uh experience

in the locker room uh because you we

have to win games in the fourth quarter

we have to win games at the end of the

year and usually you're doing that with

guys who are you know 21 22 23 years old

that's just the truth and so uh that was

important I think the other part is

making sure the staff is exactly what we

needed to be and hiring chip was a big

deal you know it really allowed you know

me some opportunity to make sure that

I'm overseeing everything especially

with everything going on in college

football right now um but it's you know

uh like you said you know you have to

identify the things that are going well

and then fix the things and and this job

isn't for the faint of heart you know

you can be a player two away and you

know feel like you're right on that that

cusp but you got to make hard decisions

you got to make hard calls because

that's what needs to be done to make

sure that you know our team is in the

right situation to win all these

games all right so it's been like three

and a half minutes now but if I remember

correctly Colin if I remember correctly

Jesse the

question alleged that Ryan day could

turn into the boy who cried wolf and to

be honest I have no clue what this means

I think I know what you think it means

what you think you were saying is Ryan

Day keeps writing the headlines about

himself Ryan day keeps voting his team

number one Ryan day keeps picking his

team to win the national title well Ryan

day doesn't do any of that I do you do

they do we do so um if I pick Ohio State

to do something like win the national

title which I did last year and they

don't win it yeah Ryan day didn't get it

done but I'm the one whose pick fell

through so I cried wolf he didn't cry

wolf he he may have yelled at Lou Holtz

in a postgame press conference which I

still wouldn't apologize for if I were

him but he didn't cry wolf so that's

what he actually says Ryan day doesn't

do a whole lot of these sit down 10 101s

he's done two of them with us this this

spring and summer um and I appreciate

the access that he gives us I appreciate

the answers he gives us you know what

else he say I didn't have time to run it

later in that segment he said if I don't

get it done here they'll fire me and

they'll go get someone else to do it I

don't shy away from the pressure of this

job these are things he talked about if

you haven't watched that if you're an

Ohio State fan or or you're just

interested in the way these guys think

we've got like 40 minutes with him from

the spring go go search it on the

YouTube channel it was one of the best

visits and sitd downs we did they were

great up there gave us full access and I

think a really eye-opening interview

with Ryan day so then fast forward back

back here so they're they're going to be

preseason number one or number two

wherever you look they're going to be

picked to win the Big 10 they're going

to be picked to go to the playoff maybe

win at all I will Echo that I'm going to

pick them to do some of those

things look here's what I'll say there

um I think there's a total disconnect in

understanding the world those coaches

live in which is not to say there's not

pressure on them which is not to say

Ryan day doesn't need to get the job

done all of those things are true what

I'm just saying is um and what I've

observed about these guys is there are

some

coaches excuse let me back up what I've

observed about these coaches and I'm

around a lot of them is they all say

they don't care what the public says

about

them only some of them mean it so you

got to determine like who are you if

you're Ryan day if you're any of these

guys do you say you don't care about

what other folks think or do you

actually not care about what other folks

think because he's got a worldclass

program in Columbus Ohio they may have

the best Talent roster in America this

year they're going to be picked to do a

lot of big things they should be picked

to do a lot of big things they have come

up short the last few years not far off

but they've come up short they hadn't

finished the job that they set out to do

and it's because they weren't good

enough so is that a reflection of him

well ultimately the entire organization

is but there's a big difference you know

in being on rung nine of a 10 rung

ladder versus being on rung two the

difference I think is the perception a

lot of people have is you're either on

the top rung or the Bottom Rung there's

like no in between which has always been

dumb to me but the the attitude that you

have if you don't care about what other

folks think is you just run your race

you just coach your team you just run

your program and if you fail you get

back up like he just talked about and

you apply the lessons you learned and

then over time it's no different than

succeeding in business a lot of you own

businesses did you knock it out of the

park in year one or year two even if you

had advantages baked in maybe so maybe

not

did you keep making the same mistakes

over and over again that's what makes

you a failure I don't I don't I can't I

can't wait to see how this season plays

out because I think that there are not

only some staff changes he made there

man I think there are

some

philosophical uh slight course

Corrections not wholesale changes but

just a little tweak here a little shift

there a little little angle correction

there to where Ohio State football just

looks like a little more streamline

version a little more sledg Amish

version of itself than it has in the

past but here's the followup to that the

downside of it this is not about Ryan

day but this is just in general the

second you care about what other folks

think you're done you're on your way to

becoming one of them you're on your way

to talking into a mic for a living or

you're on your way to having to pay to

attend games or maybe they'll give you a

sideline pass and you come and you're

honored for what you once did for this

program but here's the way it works it

it infects your mind because what

happens is not only are you making

split-second decisions not only are you

making very pivotal decisions whether it

be a hire whether it be who to start

whether it be how to tweak your strength

and conditioning program not only are

you doing that but there's this little

voice in the back of your head and it

asks what will writers at the Columbus

Post Dispatch say about this what will

guys over on the 11 Warriors or butt

nuts Message Board say about this what's

Zach Smith going to say about this

tomorrow what is the entire media

ecosystem in Columbus going to say

you're done you are screwed if you ever

think like that it poisons your mind and

so the big question about Ryan Day the

big question about any head coach at any

point at Ohio State is not will he have

the resources they all will it's not

will they have the talent to a certain

degree they all will it's are you the

right guy for the job I think the answer

is yes with Ryan day then part two is

mentally from the neck up are you wired

to shut that stuff out and just run race

if he does they will win a National

Championship at Ohio State I've got very

little doubt about it because I think

he's good enough I think they're well

resourced enough I think they're in

perfect position that is not always the

way the sport works though it's not Xbox

it's the real world and there are

consequences to letting the outside

noise affect you how will this season

play out well tune in Thursday because

I'll make my final prediction so at

least you'll see what I think they're

watching us in Charlotte North Carolina

they're watching us in Eagle River Al

Alka a market I have always said is

untapped in the college football front

and they're watching us in Covington

Georgia thank you so much uh let's let's

boy how about this news last night out

of

Tuscaloosa um how many of you know who

Courtney Morgan is Die Hard fans do

maybe some of the more not the Casual

fans maybe some of the more casual

minded fans maybe the Saturday only

crowd maybe you don't know who that is

Lucas from Huntsville hit me up he said

what do you think are the ramifications

for Alabama giving their general manager

Courtney Morgan such a huge extension

they're big man huge So Courtney

Morgan's the GM at Alabama he came with

kayin dbor from Washington just signed a

new three-year deal

825k per year I saw this breaking news

from Matt Zenit last night just another

Z bomb in a world of breaking news I saw

this news and probably within the next

five minutes I had texts from three

different general managers at three

different major programs two of them

just sent the champagne emoji and a

third one sent words that were T out to

popping champagne and the reason is

because Courtney Morgan just got paid

and Courtney Morgan just got all of them

paid it was a landmark it was like a

watershed moment for people at the head

of personnel departments because for a

long time there's been this kind of

sport imposed ceiling on what your max

earnings potential could be there well

that thing's been shattered nine ways

from Sunday so now it's anyone's guess

this is like I remember back in the day

Albert Bell we once did a segment in my

elementary school class Albert Bell was

the first $10 million per year Major

League Baseball guy I think Mike Smith

once once upon a time way back in the

day before my time was the first million

dollar per year earner and everybody had

the same conversation how could these

guys be paid this much it's just a

sport well how much does Aaron judge

make now he makes like 10 million a

month now so people uh let me tell you

two things first off I don't think

people appreciate what Alabama's pulling

off here Bama had the best in the world

Bama had the best of all time there for

a decade and a half when you lose him

it's supposed to be like pivoting the

Titanic in Moon Lake in Phoenix City

Alabama it's supposed to be a lot more

difficult than this you're not supposed

to just at at the drop of a hat Nick

Sabin retired I'm going to go get a top

three head coach in college football

he's going to bring his All-Star general

manager with him we're going to retain

outside of Caleb DS Isaiah Bond a couple

of guys ironically enough picture there

outside of a couple of guys we're going

to retain our roster we're going to get

one of them to transfer back who left us

for Iowa and we're going to proceed to

go lock down a top three recruiting

class just like that we're also not

going to react to the market we're just

going to go set the Market Alabama

shouldn't be doing this no program

should be doing this when you've got

Nick Sabin the trade-off to having Nick

Sabin is logic tells you once you lose

Nick Sabin there's going to be a dry run

and there's going to be some rot and

there's going to be some laziness and

there's going to be some entitlement and

F folks who have not had to think for

themselves for a long time or having to

learn to think for themselves and in

reality that is not it that's not it at

Alabama so they're pulling off something

they shouldn't be able to pull off here

now as for Courtney Morgan so B's paying

Courtney Morgan over 800 Grand a year

now why so much C he controls the roster

there and roster is the beginning and

ending of this sport I don't care how

good your coaching staff is if they

don't have players you don't have a job

for long so right now Bama not only do I

want you to look at the team they were

able to retain once those guys walked in

the building for this year look at the

recruiting class they're in the process

of putting together for the upcoming

cycle and Cycles moving forward some of

you some of you disagreed with me last

night and said oh bam would be fine no

matter what you're wrong you're wrong I

I just I know what's going on you're

wrong about that no they wouldn't bam be

fine fine is not the standard in

Tuscaloosa Alabama like what are we

talking about eight and four finishing

the top 25 in recruiting yeah they could

do that a ham sandwich could do that at

Alabama uh they had one they had several

of them between the Bear Bryant era and

with a early 90s exception the Nick sain

era they don't want fine that's not the

standard there anymore so Courtney

Morgan gets paid what he's paid and you

you either got one of two reactions to

that either you say 800 grand for a

general manager what are we doing or you

say uh yeah that won't be a headline in

two years because in two years because

of Courtney Morgan being paid 800 he'll

probably already have been bumped up

again and there'll be three seven figure

Pere earners and then there'll be 10

seven figure Pere earn earners

everybody's GM will be paid that I mean

that's real Power by the way in any Walk

of Life in any

industry a lot of guys can get

themselves paid only a few of them can

get a bunch of their peers paid Courtney

Morgan just got a bunch of his peers

paid he knows kayin debor system inside

and out he knows his way of doing things

that's one reason to pay him that

connectivity to players relatability to

players that's another reason to pay him

that roster retention and talent

acquisition and understanding both of

those markets inside and out I mean

intimately being ahead of the game kind

of seeing around the corner instead of

reacting that's another reason to pay

him that you can't be reactionary man

you you just lost the best of all time

you can't afford to be reactionary I

mean you you had a guy who built Alabama

into what it is today he set the

standard he stepped down in his prime he

didn't wait until the program eroded and

and this cultural rot had set in on the

back end like some other

respectably some other icons have done

in the past he built a monster he

stepped down while it was still a

monster he tossed the keys kayin bour

grabbed him out of the air said Courtney

Morgan you're coming with me to

Tuscaloosa he comes with him big time

offers come immediately I'm telling you

Southern Cal came after him hard

Courtney Morgan grew up in La by the way

and he turned it down to stay there

that's why you pay him what you're

paying him you don't keep up with the

market at Alabama you set the market you

are the market that's the the way it's

been for a long time so if you're going

to keep getting what you've been getting

you have to continue being what you've

been this is part of it you don't you

don't count pennies like you don't you

don't save a couple hundred grand here

and there when it comes to something as

valuable and quintessential as roster

roster everything in this sport now

here's another thing that I think is

very very appealing to many people in

this audience some of you love everybody

who's listening loves this sport

everybody every one of you who are

listening me included we love college

football I've never coached this sport

most of you have not coached the sport

or if you have you haven't coached it at

a high level so very very few people in

this audience look and immediately see a

path for themselves to one day working

at Kentucky or working at Texas A&M or

working at Michigan

State but I'm telling you doors are

opening every day and I I recognize it

because it's been happening in my

business I wouldn't be sitting here 15

years ago but I'm sitting here now C the

game changed in media and all of a

sudden in the mid-20s couple of barriers

got broken down in the way of overhead

and distribution you used to need

multi-million dollar Studios you used to

need BigTime Legacy Media distribution

and networking deals for your voice to

ever resonate from Seattle to Miami and

LA to New York now you just need to to

be good enough and have internet and if

you are good enough you can build your

own audience that changed 10 years ago

so here we are college football is

changing and college football all of a

sudden is evolving into a sport that now

has not only niche-based roles but huge

front-facing High earning positions for

guys that may or may not have played the

game may or may not have coached the

game I was on a stage with Courtney

Morgan two weeks ago in Nashville and we

were doing a panel and I asked him uh

about what had happened in his life to

prepare him to be the GM in Alabama 80%

of what he talked about had nothing to

do with football I mean he's worked in

all kinds of different Avenues totally

outside the game some of you are in that

position right now and you may or may

not love your job but you'd really love

to work inside college football if

you're brilliant with numbers if you're

if you're brilliant with Finance if

you're brilliant with uh communication

if you're if you're brilliant with

psychology there all kinds of different

Avenues opening up this is just another

example of it that are

gateways non-traditional very new age

gateways for some of you who love this

sport but you've always had to watch it

from outside the fence to to knock down

the fence and get inside and find your

spot it's there I'm telling you it is it

has never been there in a greater abund

abundance now and in the future than it

is today so it's a very interesting time

this is going to get a lot of people

paid uh this is this is going to be a

headline that people laugh at being a

big deal five years from now all the

BigTime GMS will be seven figure per

year earners five years from now I got

another take for you I think one of

these dudes is going to end up being the

head coach of a team maybe not a team as

high-profile as Alabama someone out

there is going to Value this position

and someone out there is going to think

they can overspend at the coordinator

spots to the point where their head

coach doesn't need to check the

traditional boxes that a head coach once

checked someone in an experimental

fashion is going to try that I don't

know when I don't know where but a guy

that today you would call a GM or a

director of player Personnel someone's

going to make that person a head coach

one day not an Alabama but a second or

third tier program and I we'll just see

how it works out next up we continue

predicting We Roll merrily along

here big question this ought to go

swimmingly because everyone's totally

logical when I talk about this team what

will Penn State's record be this year

and then bonus question is James

Franklin overrated is Penn State

overrated it's an inside joke if you

know you know they're over under wind

total here's what you need to know it is

nine and a half FanDuel has the over

under win total at nine and a half

FanDuel has them with the third best

odds to win the big Big 10 they have got

the sixth best odds to make the playoff

let me repeat Penn State in a roundabout

way is favored to make the playoff they

would have been in the last several

years if we had a 12 team playoff James

Franklin's entering year 11 here's what

I think I know about his team defense

will again be very strong very strong

the defensive line is full of seniors

got a ton of experience there they've

got a great Edge Duo they've got a great

safety Duo we're hearing good things

about the corners that they got in there

they got Kimber and they got Harris in

the transfer market so feel good again

about defense I think if they handle

this offense right um they should have

outside of Ohio State and it will

probably behoove them that I said that

because they can use it for motivation

but outside Ohio State where should I

have a better one-w combo of tailback

then I mean Singleton and Allen last

year should have been better than they

were this year those guys those guys

both have thousand yard potential about

them so um again new coordinator in so

we'll see how that unfolds but I think I

know they should be very Dynamic and

that should be a strength of that team

and I think I know this will be a little

more controversial Drew Aller is a

strength of this team now Drew Aller

although he had a good year in terms of

touchdown to turnover rate last year

29-2 people think he sucked last year

that's C they they sucked offensively in

big games

but he was a good player last year First

full year as a starter this will be a

second full year as a starter which

leads me we can go right into what I

need to know I need to know will he be

put in a better position than he was

last year they brought in C Nikki the

coordinator from Kansas lot of Hope

riding on that a lot of Hope of their

offense being more explosive in big

games you guys remember the Ohio State

Michigan game last year it was terrible

I was at both those games it was bad

outside that they moved the ball fairly

well but that doesn't really matter uh

because outside of those

games what else are we really talking

about this is Penn State like that's who

you're there to beat will a wide

receiver one emerge on this

team they had Lambert Smith that

transferred down to Auburn and so who

are we looking at here Julian Fleming

transferred in from Ohio State to

Pennsylvania guy um he kind of profiles

as that guy so to

speak do they have one will this offense

generate one you you know will will

there be more opportunity tight ends a

really good in deep position for them

that'll help a little bit as well how

good are they at corner that's another

question I have they brought in AJ

Harris former Central Red Devil for

those of you down in the B City area

they brought him in they brought Kimber

in from Georgia um Daven Collins is a

guy who came there two years ago and

he's been one of the talks of their fall

Camp if if that room has come together

like they're suggesting it has losing

King and losing Dixon that should be a

weakness if it's not a weakness that's a

huge bonus for this team what about the

coaching staff I mean this will be

clipped to the ends of the world because

everyone wants to know about the

coaching staff at Penn State well I've

got every one of them graded in this

model and we all know the model does not

lie I'm going to give you comps a lot of

times I tell you where the guys are

rated I'm going to go one step further

for Penn State I'm going to tell you

where the model places these coaches

James Franklin would be sand witched

kind of in between a Dave Doran a Matt

Campbell Brett belma Brett belma is a

pretty highly rated coach by the way um

that's where he would

profile Andy ciki the new offensive

coordinator you want to know who he'd be

right up

against Bobby

patrino so if anything a very fun season

ahead for Penn State's offense the

offensive support staff here is kind of

average you know by by Major college

football standards the defensive support

staff is excellent uh very very good and

that's not a

surprise they are below

Oregon and above Michigan State sort of

as a coaching staff at large that's

about where we would Place their staff

grade right below Oregon right above

Michigan State Michigan State's not

going to win many games this year

Michigan State's got a pretty good

coaching staff that no one knows about

so that's what the model thinks about

Penn State's coaching staff notice no

one said the word elite no one said the

word great no one said the word top five

and yet if they go 10 and two this year

people will call them overrated the

schedule sets up very well it's very

favorable now don't overlook week one

week one no one's talking about it

outside of these fan bases Penn State at

West Virginia has Rock fight written all

over it when you got a new coordinator

and you're trying to fit many new pieces

in and meanwhile Neil Brown's up there

no longer on the hot seat and he's got

his quarterback back uh it could be a

very very challenging week one game I

want to say Penn State's favored by like

nine or 10 right now but they only play

two teams in the top 25 and Ohio State's

at home look at the last month of their

season Washington at Purdue at Minnesota

Maryland my thinking on Penn State is

somewhere in October their offense will

hit it stride and it will level up you

will not be out of the gate but at some

point it'll level up and you'll find

yourself in early November saying wow

this looks like a really different team

and if that's the case they're going to

get fat on the last four weeks of their

schedule and they're going to have

momentum on their side and they'll get

in the playoff if that happens they have

a huge buy Edge in that Wisconsin game

they go to Southern Cal then they got a

byee so they're fully rested they go to

Madison Wisconsin is off back-to-back

Road games no buy they go to ruter which

is in New Jersey the next week they go

to Washington which is in Seattle and

then they complete a backtack road with

a cross country leg and then they got

Penn State at home no rest Penn State's

fully rested so the best case scenario

for Penn State this year is an

undefeated season and I'm going to tell

you why because there are no huge

Underdog spots on here they've got Ohio

State at home we've got the number on

the game you can go bet it right now

Ohio State's favor by three and a half

in Happy Valley they go to Southern Cal

Penn State will either be favored or a

very small Underdog there is certainly a

path for them to win every one of these

games I've got their worst case scenario

at 8 and4 and I've got them going 10-

two I flirted with 11- one I've got them

going 10- two this year JP poll's really

really high on Penn State higher than

I'd probably have them Penn State is

sixth in the JP poll in the preseason

that's the difference in a power rating

and a ranking because i' I'd probably

rank them a couple of spots lower 10 two

10 and two does that get you to

Indie if it doesn't does it get you in

the playoff I think they're going to be

a playoff team I think Penn State will

be in the playoff if you disagree with

me

though certainly you can shout in the

comments but what you really could do is

you go over to FanDuel and bet no on

Penn State to make the playoffs and if

they don't make it you'll make yourself

some money because that is one of many

offerings they have over there you can

go bet that game I just talked about

Ohio State at Penn State you think Ohio

State's going to roll them go lay three

and a half I'm not kidding you you can

do it right now it's a Future's bet you

can do it right now if you think Penn

State is going to fall to West Virginia

in week one I've got great news for you

you can go find West Virginia and

they'll give you some points so not only

do they pull the up say you actually got

some points you got some cushion you can

do all of this at FanDuel if you're

listening to me and saying I'm not

betting any of my money on Sports but

I'm interested in these numbers you

speak of you can go to FanDuel as well

they don't charge you a dime to look

FanDuel is the exclusive odds provider

of our show we appreciate them lot of

fun we will have an announcement in

conjunction with that very shortly

because you know my my phone says it's

Tuesday right now that means week one is

about 11 days away which means the

Friday night before week one is about 10

days away which means Friday night lines

is nearly upon us I didn't mean to say

lights Yes you heard me right I meant to

say lines many of you are new around

here but many many more of you are

veterans around here you know about

Friday night lines if you don't I will

let you know in due time Friday night

lons is Just Between Us management is

not involved uh we kind of do it on our

own accord it's not on this platform

it's on Instagram live you need to be

following over there at Lake kick Josh

it's late on a Friday night it's it's

gritty it's dirty it's from some random

hotel room it's great it's one of the

most fun things we do all right let's

wrap up the show with this bold

predictions so bold but yet not bold

enough that you wouldn't bet your money

on you guys claim you've bet your own

money on these Scouts Honor we work on

the honor System around here first up

this is from Omar in Billings

Montana He says the Big 10 will get

twice as many playoff bids as the ACC

and the Big 12 combined this is a 9.25

for me so think about what he said the

Big 10 going to get twice as many

playoff spots as the Big 12 and the ACC

okay so the Big 10 needs at least four

just out of the gate because we know

that the ACC and Big 12 are going to

have two combined because one of them

each has to get in so if they get their

minimum you got to have at least four

all right that's already a tall

order if they get even one at large team

like if the ACC or the Big 12 gets even

one more team in there it's over because

at that point you would need six teams

in the college football playoff and if

you just do the math there if they had

three in and you had six in and we know

the G5 gets one in that's 10 the SEC

gets one in that's 11 the Big 10 gets

one in that's 12 in that world the big

10 and the SEC got one team in so

obviously that's not happening so the

only path here as I see it is the ACC

and the Big 12 just get their conference

champ in and that's it and then you've

got to get four in I I don't think

that's going to happen I think these

conferences will get more than two

combined teams in I don't know if I've

got four big I I don't think I got four

big 10 teams going regardless so I'm

gonna put you know what that's Boulder

Jesse I think it's a 9.75 I'm putting a

9.75 on it 9.75 I I upped it by a half a

point right here on air it's the magic

of live internet next up Todd in elfers

Florida FSU Clemson and Miami will

combin to lose 10 games or more in the

regular season well I don't think they

will so this is a 9.5 on the boldness

scale FSU and Miami's win totals are n

and a half Clemson's is eight and a half

so if they hit their unders if all three

of them hit their unders if FSU and

Miami are nine and three it doesn't even

have to be worse than that if they're

nine and three if Clemson's 8 and four

well there you go you hit your bet they

they lost 10 or more games combined but

here's your problem one of these teams

is going to have a really good year one

of them is going to go 11 and one

someone's going to pop an 11- win season

on us and forget about it if someone

goes undefeated so they face each other

too so like someone's got to win that

Florida State Clemson game someone's got

to win the FSU Miami game maybe the same

team wins both of those games and at

that point you know like if Florida

State beats Clemson in Miami

who who beats Florida State Notre name

like who's going to beat him so at that

point I think you see that this is tough

to see through nine and a half on the

boldness scale for me

third this is this is getting up there

Carolina man from Newberry South

Carolina Lenora sers will be a Heisman

contender in 2024 now look here's the

thing I mean what do we what do we mean

when we say contender we got we got to

say finalist we can't be saying

Contender Contender is so nebulous Lenor

sers was announced as the starting

quarterback by the way at South Carolina

today and so we were up there in Spring

and we you know we toured the facility

with Shane Beamer and we were we were in

the we were in the weit room and they're

working out and they're out there

practicing in Spring ball we knew look

look there's evidence there's me walking

with Shane Beamer and you're just going

to have to take our word for it but we

have the quote bubble and I'm telling

him now it's going to be Lenor sers and

sure enough he announces Lenor sers as

his quarterback today

that wasn't much of a mystery but this

dude being a Heisman Contender this year

he's a talented player but man is their

offensive line going to be any better is

their ground game going to be there is

is the wide receiver room enough they're

over under win's five and a half by the

way they got to O go over by like three

games minimum and everything's got to

stand out and he's a firste starter so

as much as I believe in him he's plus

20,000 odds to win the Heisman for a

reason I don't know know that Lenor sers

is in the Heisman conversation this year

so that's a 9.75 on the boldness scale

and I own stock in him and I'm still

putting 9.75 lastly this would just blow

the tops off of some of your heads Drew

from Severa Park Maryland a four loss

team finds their way into the

playoff in the words of Nick Sabin is

this what we want college football to be

the answer for most of you is no this is

unlikely it is not totally impossible so

the way I see it is we can already shave

out like 90% of teams most teams can't

even afford to lose three games and make

the playoff it's likely nobody can lose

four and make it but if we humor

ourselves if if it's a chaotic year in

college football so we're we're looking

at that 10 or 11 seed and we're just

having to pick out of the scrap peep if

you're an CC team that had a

ridiculously tough schedule but you're

like in the 10 to 20 range in power

rating so you had a tough schedule but

you were probably you know good enough

to play competitively and lose some

close games so like you're still up

there you're rated you're ranked high

enough you got four losses Florida you

know would be one of these teams Georgia

has that kind of schedule but Georgia's

probably not losing four games so really

quickly AMA is a team who who would be

ranked high enough and have enough tough

games where if they lost four of them

there's this really outside shot that'd

have some conversation LSU I think I

don't think there's any big 10 team

whose schedule is reputable enough to

where if they lost four there'd still be

enough meat on the scheduling bone now

Florida's probably not going to get to

eight wins but Florida's probably that

team where if they got to eight wins and

they had four losses by a combined 14

points and it's to a bunch of top five

or 10 teams I could see the argument um

I don't think this is going to happen

though so it's probably a moot point so

I'm going to make it a 9.75 on the

boldness scale all right that's all I

got in front of me now remember to do me

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Jesse for director Colin I'm Josh P take

care here have a great start well

actually no it's not Thursday it's

Tuesday we'll be back here Thursday

night so uh for the next 48 hours take

care we'll see you back here Thursday

night until then God bless