Malaysia Just Changed the Future of Asia with THIS One Move!

Cyrus Janssen
23 Jun 202413:00

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses Malaysia and Thailand's decision to join the BRICS alliance, highlighting the geopolitical implications for Asia. It emphasizes China's strategic gains, especially concerning the Strait of Mala, a vital shipping channel for its oil imports. The alliance's goal to reduce reliance on the US dollar in trade is underscored, with Malaysia expressing a desire for economic independence. The video also touches on Turkey's interest in BRICS and the potential shift in global economic power dynamics.

Takeaways

  • 🌏 Two Southeast Asian economies, Thailand and Malaysia, are joining the BRICS Network, signaling a shift in the geopolitical landscape.
  • 🗣️ Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim emphasizes the need for countries to break free from Western control and express themselves independently.
  • 💼 The combined GDP of Thailand and Malaysia adds over $1 trillion to the BRICS alliance, strengthening its economic power.
  • 🚢 The Strait of Malacca is a crucial waterway for global trade, with 25% of the world's traded goods passing through it annually.
  • 🇨🇳 China is highly dependent on the Strait of Malacca for its oil imports, making it a strategic interest for the country.
  • ⛓️ The potential blockage of the Strait of Malacca poses a significant risk to China's economy, prompting it to seek alternative routes and alliances.
  • 🔄 The Suez Canal Crisis illustrates the impact of naval conflicts on global shipping and trade, serving as a cautionary example for China.
  • 🛤️ China's Belt and Road Initiative, including the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, aims to secure alternative trade routes, but faces challenges due to Pakistan's economic instability.
  • 🤝 China has been building strong relationships within ASEAN, increasing trade with the alliance and becoming a dominant trading partner.
  • 📊 A significant shift in Southeast Asia's preferred ally favors China, with over 50% of ASEAN countries now favoring China over the United States.
  • 💰 BRICS members, including Malaysia, are seeking to reduce reliance on the US dollar in trade, moving towards local currencies to insulate from monetary policy changes and currency volatility.

Q & A

  • What significant development in the BRICS alliance is mentioned in the script?

    -The script mentions that two of Southeast Asia's most important economies, Malaysia and Thailand, have announced their plans to join the BRICS alliance.

  • What is the Malaysian Prime Minister's view on the West's role in controlling discourse?

    -The Malaysian Prime Minister, Anoir Ibrahim, believes that the West should no longer control the discourse as they are not colonial powers anymore, and independent countries should be free to express themselves.

Outlines

00:00

🌏 Geopolitical Shifts in Southeast Asia and the BRICS Alliance

This paragraph discusses the significant geopolitical shifts in Southeast Asia with Malaysia and Thailand's decision to join the BRICS alliance. Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim emphasizes the need for independent countries to break free from Western control and establish a more balanced world order. The addition of these economies, valued at over $1 trillion in GDP, strengthens the BRICS alliance. The strategic importance of the Malacca Strait for China's oil imports is highlighted, with over 80% of China's oil passing through it. The potential vulnerability of this supply line is illustrated with the Suez Canal Crisis, emphasizing the need for China to secure its energy supply through alliances and strategic projects like the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. The paragraph also touches on China's growing influence in the region through the ASEAN alliance and its trade growth with Southeast Asian countries, positioning China as a dominant force in the region.

05:02

🔄 Shifting Alliances and the Decline of the US Dollar in International Trade

The second paragraph delves into the changing alliances in Southeast Asia, with a particular focus on the US's waning influence compared to China's growing dominance. It presents data showing a shift in preference for China as a strategic partner among ASEAN countries, with Malaysia leading this trend. The 50-year diplomatic relationship between Malaysia and China is highlighted, along with significant Chinese investments in Malaysia, such as the East Coast Rail Link project. The paragraph also addresses the BRICS alliance's move away from the US dollar in trade, with the establishment of a trading platform to increase the use of local currencies. This is further exemplified by Malaysia's decision to join the BRICS network, aiming to insulate the country from US monetary policy changes and currency volatility. The potential inclusion of Turkey in the BRICS alliance and the broader implications for the US dollar's role in international trade are also discussed.

10:03

💰 Diversification and the Role of Precious Metals in a Changing World Economy

The final paragraph shifts focus to the investment strategies in response to the geopolitical and economic changes discussed earlier. It emphasizes the importance of diversification, as exemplified by Malaysia's balanced relationships with both the US and China. The paragraph introduces Lear Capital as a sponsor and discusses the historical context of gold as a hedge against inflation and currency decline. Lear Capital's role in helping investors purchase gold and silver is highlighted, along with their offer of a report on the impact of digital dollars, dollarization, and debt on the US dollar's future status. The US national debt's record high and its effect on the US dollar's purchasing power are noted, with gold prices reaching all-time highs as a result. The paragraph concludes with an invitation for viewers to learn more about gold investment opportunities with Lear Capital, offering a special credit for contacting the company.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡BRICS Network

The BRICS Network refers to an association of five major emerging national economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. In the video, it is mentioned that Malaysia and Thailand are planning to join this network, which signifies a shift in the global geopolitical landscape. The BRICS alliance is seen as a counterbalance to Western influence and promotes a more multipolar world order.

💡Geopolitical Landscape

The geopolitical landscape encompasses the political, economic, and strategic distribution of power among countries. The video discusses how the BRICS alliance and the potential inclusion of Southeast Asian economies like Malaysia and Thailand are altering this landscape by challenging Western dominance and advocating for a more balanced and fair world.

💡Malacca Strait

The Malacca Strait is a crucial maritime passage located between the Malay Peninsula and the Indonesian island of Sumatra. It is vital for global trade, with 25% of the world's traded goods passing through it annually. The video highlights the strategic importance of this strait to China, as it is the main route for over 80% of China's oil imports, and its control or blockage could significantly impact the Chinese economy.

💡China's Dependence

The term 'China's Dependence' in the video script refers to the heavy reliance of China on the Malacca Strait for its oil imports. This dependence is a strategic vulnerability, as any disruption in the strait could severely affect China's economy. The video suggests that China is seeking to mitigate this risk through alliances and infrastructure projects.

💡China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is a flagship project of China's Belt and Road Initiative, aimed at building a railway from China's western province to the Arabian Sea. The CPEC is highlighted in the video as China's contingency plan to secure access to Middle Eastern oil in case the Malacca Strait is blocked. However, the project's future is uncertain due to the unstable Pakistani economy.

💡ASEAN (Aan Alliance)

ASEAN, or the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, is a regional intergovernmental organization comprising 10 member states in Southeast Asia. The video emphasizes China's growing trade with ASEAN, which has increased by 106% in seven years, making it China's most important trading partner. This trade growth signifies China's increasing influence in the region.

💡US Dollar Dominance

The dominance of the US dollar in international trade is a central theme in the video. It discusses how BRICS members, including Malaysia, are seeking to reduce their reliance on the US dollar in trade transactions. This move is seen as a way to achieve greater economic independence and reduce vulnerability to US monetary policy changes.

💡Diversification

Diversification in the context of the video refers to the strategy of spreading investments and alliances across multiple countries or economic blocs to mitigate risk and maximize opportunity. Malaysia, for instance, is highlighted as having good relations with both the US and China, thereby diversifying its geopolitical and economic relationships.

💡East Coast Rail Link

The East Coast Rail Link is a significant infrastructure project in Malaysia, undertaken by Chinese enterprises. The video mentions it as the largest standalone transportation infrastructure project by Chinese companies overseas, which will connect the east and west coasts of Malaysia, transforming its future and symbolizing the deepening ties between Malaysia and China.

💡Petro-Dollar Deal

The term 'Petro-Dollar Deal' refers to an agreement where oil is traded in US dollars, thereby reinforcing the dollar's status as the world's primary reserve currency. The video script alludes to Saudi Arabia's petro-dollar deal with the US potentially expiring, which could signal a shift towards selling oil in alternate currencies, impacting the US dollar's dominance.

💡Investing in Precious Metals

The video suggests investing in precious metals like gold and silver as a strategy to hedge against inflation and the declining value of the US dollar. It positions precious metals as an alternative asset class that can provide stability and growth in times of economic uncertainty and geopolitical shifts.

Highlights

Two of Southeast Asia's most important economies, Malaysia and Thailand, announced plans to join the BRICS Network.

Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim emphasized the need for independent countries to express themselves freely and not be controlled by the West.

The Malaysian and Thai economies together represent more than $1 trillion of GDP, a significant addition to the BRICS alliance.

The Strait of Mala is a crucial waterway for global trade, with 25% of the world's traded goods passing through it annually.

China is highly dependent on the Strait of Mala for its oil imports, with over 80% traveling through these waters.

The potential blockage of the Strait of Mala by foreign adversaries poses a significant risk to the Chinese economy.

China's Belt and Road Initiative includes the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a project aimed at securing alternative access to Middle Eastern oil.

China has been building strong relationships within the ASEAN alliance, increasing trade from $252 billion to $523 billion in seven years.

Southeast Asian countries, including Malaysia, are increasingly favoring China as their strategic partner over the United States.

Malaysia and China celebrated the 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations, with strong economic ties and cultural connections.

The East Coast Rail Link project in Malaysia, undertaken by Chinese enterprises, is the largest standalone transportation infrastructure project overseas.

BRICS members, including Malaysia, are seeking to reduce their reliance on the US dollar in international trade.

The BRICS alliance aims to create a trading platform to increase the use of local currencies in trade among member countries.

Turkey, a NATO country, has expressed interest in joining the BRICS alliance, seeking an alternative to the European Union.

The BRICS alliance is gaining leverage in Southeast Asia, with the potential inclusion of countries like Turkey and Saudi Arabia.

Investing in precious metals like gold can be a strategy to diversify and offset geopolitical trends and inflation.

Lear Capital, a sponsor of the video, offers insights and investment opportunities in precious metals amidst changing geopolitical and economic landscapes.

Transcripts

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well two of Southeast Asia's most

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important economies have just announced

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their plans to join the bricks Network

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and if you aren't convinced yet that the

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bricks Alliance is quickly changing the

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entire geopolitical landscape just

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listen to the words of Malaysian prime

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minister anoir Ibrahim who had this to

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say about his country joining bricks we

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can no longer accept the scenario where

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the West wants to control the discourse

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because the fact is they are not

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Colonial Powers anymore and independent

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countes should be free to Express

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themselves as each week passes we

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continue to see more stories about the

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developing World wanting to break free

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from us and gmany and seek a more

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balanced and fair World Malaysia is the

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sixth largest economy in southeast Asia

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and its decision to move forward with

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bricks came just one week after Thailand

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the second largest economy in southeast

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Asia also announced plans to move

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forward with bricks membership later

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this year together the Thailand and

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Malaysian economies represent more than

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$1 trillion of GDP which of course will

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be an incredible addition for the brics

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alliance but more importantly there is a

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larger geopolitical story happening

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behind the scenes that could reshape the

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entire future of Asia no surprise here

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but the biggest winner of this new deal

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will be China and for one very strategic

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reason let's break it down you see the

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story of Malaysia joining bricks

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actually starts in this body of water

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the straight of Mala which arguably is

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the most important body of water in the

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entire world the malakan straight is

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over 800 kilometers in length and at its

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narrowest Point only 2.8 kilm wide

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making it one of the world's most

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congested shipping choke points every

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year more than 94,000 vessels pass

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through these Waters and Incredibly 25%

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of the world's traded Goods passes

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through this straight but here is where

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things get very interesting there is no

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country in the world more dependent on

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the straight of Mala than China has more

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than 80% of China's oil imports travel

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directly through these Waters simply put

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if China were to ever lose access to

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this vital Waterway it would absolutely

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the Chinese economy it would be

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the easiest way for foreign adversaries

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to launch an attack on China let's

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imagine a scenario where one day the US

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and China are drawn into a larger

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conflict the US military wouldn't have

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to nor would they want to take on

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China's military directly they could

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simply travel over to Malaysia and block

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Chinese shipping containers from passing

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through the straight of Mala but what

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would this look like in the real world

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we simply need to look at what's

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happening in Real Time with the sus

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Canal Crisis to understand how

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devastating a naval war in the region

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could be in January Iran back houthi

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Rebels took control of the suas canal

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and are causing absolute chaos to the

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shipping World in response to Israel's

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war in Gaza the results have decimated

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the shipping industry which saw a 50%

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drop in suaz Canal trade in the first

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two months of 2024 what's incredible

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about this attack from the Yan Rebel

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group is the impact it's had on global

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Shipping take a look at this graph which

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shows the plummet and shipping through

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the suas canal in the red line and the

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explosion of trade through the Cape of

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Good Hope in the blue line because of

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this conflict shipping companies are now

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using thousand-year-old trading lines

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and rerouting vessels all the way down

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around the tip of Africa the risk is now

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too high in the suas canal as multiple

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ships have been sunk by the rebels there

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is no doubt that China is watching this

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situation very closely and in fact has

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been working on a backup plan just in

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case there was ever a conflict in the

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malakan Strait in 2015 China launched

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the flagship project of the Belton Road

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initiative the China Pakistan economic

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Corridor which would see a railway built

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from China's Western Shang Province and

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extend all the way down to the Arabian

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Sea this project has a budget of nearly

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$50 billion and would guarantee China's

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access to Middle Eastern Oil if the

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malakan strait was ever blocked but the

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Pakistani economy has been in turmoil

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for years and the Chinese government is

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becoming less optimistic about the

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future of this project in reality China

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needs a backup plan they can't depend on

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Pakistan for the security of its oil

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imports China is the most dominant

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country in Asia and wants to maintain

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its Regional Supremacy with Malaysia now

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joining the bricks Alliance and moving

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closer to China this will help China

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secure its access through the straight

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of Mala for many years to come China has

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been very strategic with this alignment

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with Malaysia and in fact has been

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working on building strong relationships

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throughout the aan alliance a political

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and E economic Union of 10 member states

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in southeast Asia honestly you might not

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believe the results China has achieved

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in just a few short years in 2017

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China's trade with the aan alliance was

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$252 billion but in the past 7 years

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that's increased

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106% to $523 billion making aan the most

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important trading partner for China more

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than 80% of these Imports are

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Electronics Machinery chemicals Plastics

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aluminum and other industrial goods

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basically all the industries that China

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is a dominant force in while the US

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government wants to Pivot to Asia and

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become the dominant superpower in the

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region this goal is simply unrealistic

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the us simply can't compete with China's

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manufacturing prowess and we've seen a

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significant shift in the attitude of aan

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Nations as a result if you remember one

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chart from today's video let it be this

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one which shows how Southeast Asia's

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preferred Ally has switched in favor of

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China let's start at the bottom of this

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chart which show in 2023 only 38.9% of

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aan countries wanted China as their

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strategic partner fast forward to 2024

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and that number has now increased to

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over 50% surpassing the United States no

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surprise here but Malaysia leads all

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countries in aan with over 75% of the

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population saying if they were forced to

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align themselves with one strategic

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rival they would choose China Malaysia

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and China just celebrated the 50-year

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anniversary of diplomatic relations this

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past week and in fact Chin's Premier

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lean just flew to koala lumur for a

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3-day diplomatic visit with Malaysian

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prime minister anir Ibrahim nearly 23%

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of Malaysian population is Chinese

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forming the second largest ethnic group

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in the country with nearly one out of

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every four Malaysians tracing their rots

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back to Mainland China it should come as

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no surprise that many Malaysians have a

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positive image and a desire to work

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closer with China China has poured

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billions of dollars of investment into

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Malaysia with the flagship project being

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the 665 km East Coast Rail Link project

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this Railway is the largest Standalone

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Transportation infrastructure project

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undertaken by Chinese Enterprises

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overseas and will transform the entire

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future of Malaysia connecting the East

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and West coasts and many cities and

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towns in between Malaysian prime

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minister anoir said that China's rise

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has brought us a glimmer of hope that

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are checks and balances in the world one

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of those checks and balances for

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Malaysia and all bricks m MERS is

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freedom from the US dollar in trade once

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again the Malaysian prime minister

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shares his thoughts last year Malaysia

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had the highest investment ever but the

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currency was still attacked it doesn't

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make sense it goes against basic

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economic principles why a currency that

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is completely outside the trade system

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of the two countries and is irrelevant

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in terms of economic activities in the

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country has become dominant purely

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because it is used as an international

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currency and this is the common theme

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we've seen among all bricks members a

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desire to shift away from using the US

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dollar in trade in fact earlier last

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month Russian President Vladimir Putin

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who is also the rotating brics president

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this year announced to the world how the

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brics alliance will reduce its US dollar

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trade rather than creating a common

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currency bricks will create a trading

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platform to increase the use of local

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currencies in trade amongst member

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countries with Thailand and Malaysia now

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wanting to join the brics alliance this

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now gives Russia and China incredible

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amount of Leverage in Southeast Asia

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Skeptics of bricks has long criticized

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the organization and said that some

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bricks countries like Ethiopia and Iran

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are too small and bring very little

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benefit to the organization but the

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brics alliance is quickly changing this

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talking point a few weeks ago turkey

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followed a similar position and became

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the first NATO country to express

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interest in joining bricks after waiting

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many decades for EU membership it's

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clear that turkey has given up on this

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dream and instead shifted their future

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prospects to the brics alliance Turkish

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foreign minister went on the record

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saying that the China Le bricks Alliance

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will offer turkey a quote good

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alternative to the European Union this

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is quite the statement from Turkey who

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don't forget has been a full NATO member

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since 1952 and contains the second

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largest army in the NATO Alliance turkey

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is the bridge between Europe and Asia

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and will be a crucial Ally for the

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bricks organization but once again the

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main benefit from countries joining

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bricks is freedom from the US dollar and

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international trade here is the official

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statement from one of Malaysia's most

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important banks on its country's

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decision to join the bricks Network it

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will effectively insulate Malaysia and

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the region from the changes in the

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United States monetary policy and

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currency volatility improving

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predictability in the currency market

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and lower transaction costs for

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exporters and impor ERS Jeffrey Williams

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an economist at the Malaysia University

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of Science and Technology also shares

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his thoughts on why this is so important

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for the future of Malaysia's own

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currency the economic balance of power

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is Shifting hence Malaysia as a small

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open economy must respond positively

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there are trade and investment

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opportunities with bricks and this will

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create demand for the ring it and

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strengthen the currency over time

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everyone the world is quickly changing

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around us and you need to stay informed

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on the latest geopolitical trends I've

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broken down everything you need to know

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about turkey's Ascension into the bricks

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organization and also a major story that

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broke last week about Saudi Arabia's

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Petro Dollar Deal expiring with the

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United States and the chance for oil to

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be sold around the world in alternate

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currencies I'll provide a link to both

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of those videos at the end of today's

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presentation but now let's shift to the

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関連タグ
BRICS AllianceSoutheast AsiaGeopoliticalTrade DynamicsChina InfluenceMalaysia EconomyThailand EconomyUS DollarShipping LanesInvestment TrendsStrategic Partnership
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