Thursday Night Football Best Player Props NFL Week 1 | Cowboys vs. Eagles NFL Player Props

Summary

Matt Modai breaks down the NFL season opener between the Cowboys and Eagles, offering his top player prop bets and strategic insights. As an Eagles fan, he emphasizes objectivity, highlighting Jaylen Hurts for an anytime touchdown and Dak Prescott for 2+ passing touchdowns as his official plays. He also discusses secondary leans, including Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards and AJ Brown or A.J. Pickens’ receiving stats, supported by detailed historical performance and matchup analysis. Modai provides betting strategies, notes key lineup changes, and shares tools like Props Madness and his Tales account to optimize odds, aiming to guide viewers through a confident and data-driven approach to week one NFL betting.

Takeaways

• 🏈 Matt Modai previews the NFL season opener between the Cowboys and Eagles, providing player props and betting insights.
• 🔥 Official plays include Jaylen Hurts for anytime touchdown (-120 at Bet365) and Dak Prescott for 2+ passing touchdowns (+112 at FanDuel).
• 💪 Jaylen Hurts is a reliable scorer, having scored in 11 of his last 13 full games, with multiple scoring opportunities supported by the Eagles’ strong offensive line.
• 📊 Dak Prescott is expected to pass frequently due to a weak Cowboys running game and potentially exploitable Eagles secondary.
• 📈 Leans include Saquon Barkley rushing yards, AJ Brown receiving yards, and George Pickens receiving yards or longest reception, with laddering suggested for better odds.
• ⚠️ Matt cautions against taking both AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley props simultaneously, as it is unlikely both hit their respective marks.
• 📚 Historical stats and trends are heavily used to support betting recommendations, including past performance, offensive line grades, and defensive rankings.
• 📰 Props Madness and Tales accounts are recommended for tracking and accessing optimal odds and advanced stats.
• 🎯 The Eagles’ offensive and defensive structures largely remain intact from last year, providing predictability for betting analysis.
• 📅 Matt plans to provide betting content for all prime time NFL games throughout the season, starting with the Chargers vs. Chiefs matchup after this game.

Q & A

Who is the host of the video and what is the main topic?

The host is Matt Modai, and the main topic is player prop bets and analysis for the NFL season opener between the Cowboys and the Eagles.

What are Matt Modai's two official player prop plays for the game?

The two official plays are: 1) Jaylen Hurts – Anytime Touchdown at -120 odds, and 2) Dak Prescott – 2+ Passing Touchdowns at +112 odds.

Why does Matt recommend Jaylen Hurts for an anytime touchdown?

Hurts has scored in 11 of his last 13 games when playing full snaps, the Eagles have a strong offensive line, and multiple scoring opportunities exist due to the QB draw and 'tush push' plays, combined with a weak Cowboys defensive line.

Why is Dak Prescott expected to have 2+ passing touchdowns?

The Cowboys are likely to rely heavily on passing due to a weak running game, Prescott has a history of achieving 2+ passing touchdowns, and the Eagles' secondary may struggle early in the season with new personnel.

What are some secondary leans mentioned in the video?

The leans include Saquon Barkley – rushing yards over 93.5, AJ Brown – receiving yards over 71.5, and George Pickens – longest reception or receiving yards, based on favorable matchups and historical performance.

Why does Matt suggest not taking both AJ Brown and Saquon Barkley bets together?

Because both outcomes are correlated, making it unlikely that both bets will hit in the same game.

What statistical tools or products does Matt use for his analysis?

He uses Props Madness (a beta NFL prop product) for player stats and analysis, and his Tails account to access the best available betting odds.

How did Matt Modai perform in the previous NFL season according to his recap?

He was up 44 units with an 18% ROI over the NFL season, indicating strong overall betting performance, despite some rough weeks in the middle of the season.

What factors contribute to the potential success of Saquon Barkley in the game?

The Cowboys had one of the worst run defenses last season, and Barkley had the best running back season in the NFL last year, although the Eagles may run slightly less than in the previous year.

What are the key strengths and weaknesses of the Eagles' defense highlighted in the video?

The Eagles have a strong run defense and solid defensive line, but their secondary may have weaknesses due to new players at the second cornerback and safety positions.

How does Matt suggest viewers can tail his bets at the best odds?

By using his Tails account through Odd Shopper, which allows viewers to place bets at optimal odds for the plays he recommends.

What is the significance of the 'tush push' in Jaylen Hurts' scoring potential?

The 'tush push' is a QB-sneak tactic that has not been banned and provides multiple scoring avenues for Hurts, increasing his likelihood of scoring touchdowns.