BBAS3 DESPENCANDO: Risco ou Oportunidade?

Summary

In this video, the speaker discusses the current state of Banco do Brasil and its connection to the agribusiness sector. Despite challenges in the first half of 2024, the speaker anticipates a recovery in the sector, which could positively affect the bank's performance. The focus is on a strategic investment approach called the 'escadinha' technique, where gradual investments are made as stock prices decline. Emphasizing patience and education, the speaker encourages a long-term view of investments, sharing personal insights and experiences to guide viewers in making informed, confident decisions.

Takeaways

• 😀 The agribusiness (agro) sector is showing improvement, which is expected to positively affect Banco do Brasil's results in the near future.
• 😀 The speaker suggests that the current period could represent an opportunity to buy Banco do Brasil shares at a lower price before the recovery happens.
• 😀 The 'ladder' (escadinha) technique is introduced as a method of progressively investing in a stock as its price falls, buying more when the price drops further.
• 😀 Banco do Brasil's poor performance is largely due to the struggles in the agribusiness sector, but the speaker is confident in a future recovery.
• 😀 The speaker emphasizes that investing should not be something that causes stress or anxiety; it's about establishing clear premises and being at peace with your decisions.
• 😀 The technique involves making smaller investments initially and increasing the amount as the stock price continues to fall, to take advantage of lower prices.
• 😀 The speaker is making an initial investment of R$5,000 in Banco do Brasil, purchasing 213 shares, and plans to make additional investments if the stock price continues to drop.
• 😀 The video encourages viewers to think long-term and be patient, as the speaker expects a rebound for Banco do Brasil as the agro sector improves over time.
• 😀 The speaker highlights the importance of education and research in investing, claiming that those who actively study and understand the market are less likely to panic during downturns.
• 😀 Viewers are urged to follow the speaker's updates, as further investments, especially in real estate funds (fundos imobiliários), are planned and may present additional opportunities.

Q & A

What is the 'escadinha' investment technique mentioned in the script?

The 'escadinha' technique involves making incremental investments based on market movements. Investors start with a smaller amount and gradually increase their investment if the stock continues to decline, allowing them to average the cost of their positions over time.

Why is the agribusiness (agro) sector important to Banco do Brasil?

Banco do Brasil is closely tied to the agribusiness sector because it provides significant financial services to agribusinesses. The performance of the agro sector impacts the bank's profitability, as improvements in the sector can lead to better financial results for the bank.

What does the speaker predict for Banco do Brasil's performance in 2024?

The speaker suggests that Banco do Brasil may continue to struggle in the short term, particularly in the second quarter of 2024, due to the challenges in the agribusiness sector. However, they expect the bank to recover as the agro sector improves later in the year.

What does the speaker mean by 'establishing their premises' when investing?

When the speaker refers to 'establishing their premises,' they mean setting clear investment principles and criteria. By doing so, they can make informed decisions and remain confident, regardless of short-term market fluctuations.

How does the speaker approach the emotional aspect of investing?

The speaker emphasizes that investing should not cause anxiety. They suggest that establishing a clear investment strategy and understanding the market cycles can help investors stay calm and avoid emotional reactions to market movements.

What role does knowledge play in the speaker's investment approach?

The speaker believes that knowledge is crucial to successful investing. They mention that their followers, who have studied investment strategies with them, are better prepared to handle market challenges, while those who lack this knowledge may experience more fear and uncertainty.

What does the speaker mean by the 'best harvest in decades' in relation to the agribusiness sector?

The 'best harvest in decades' refers to the expectation that the agribusiness sector will experience a particularly strong season, leading to improved agricultural output. This could have a positive impact on Banco do Brasil, which is closely linked to the agro sector.

How does the speaker suggest handling a stock's decline when applying the 'escadinha' technique?

The speaker advises that when a stock declines, investors should make more substantial investments in stages. For instance, after an initial decline of a smaller percentage (e.g., 2%), investors can increase their investment, and as the stock continues to fall, they should invest more aggressively.

What is the speaker's view on the role of fear in investing?

The speaker believes that fear is a natural emotion when one lacks experience and knowledge in investing. They argue that with proper education and a solid strategy, investors can overcome fear and feel more at ease with their investment decisions.

How does the speaker plan to keep their audience updated on their investment journey?

The speaker intends to share updates on their investment journey, including the progress of their Banco do Brasil stock purchases. They mention that they will post videos in the future to keep their audience informed about their portfolio and strategy.