【根岸S 予想】外せない実力馬から狙い目の穴馬まで"高期待値馬"を公開します

ネクロのガチで競馬を語らせて【ニートボクロチキン】

26 Jan 202410:32

Summary

TLDRThis is a placeholder summary since the original video transcript was not provided to summarize.

Takeaways

😀 The video is about ranking horses and predicting outcomes for an upcoming "Negishi Stakes" horse race.
🐎 The speaker is presenting their personal rankings of popular horses and dark horse candidates.
💰 The top 3 popular horses ranked are: 3rd - Emperor, 2nd - Arms Rain, 1st - Tanobi Beauty.
🏇 The top 3 dark horse candidates ranked are: 3rd - Sword Progress, 2nd - Ar Light, 1st - Paraiba Tourmaline.
📈 Ability, race pace, sand-kick vulnerability, draw luck, and hype are key factors considered in the rankings.
🏆 Past performances in relevant races like Mugai Stakes, Withers Stakes etc. are analyzed for each horse.
📅 The speaker will also release Silk Road horse rankings the next day.
🤔 There is uncertainty expressed about predicting this race perfectly.
💬 The speaker's rankings are explained in detail, horse by horse.
🔮 The overall tone is an analytical preview of the Negishi Stakes, shared from the speaker's perspective.

Q & A

Who does the speaker predict will rank 3rd in popularity for the Negishi Stakes race?
-The speaker predicts Emperor will rank 3rd in popularity for the Negishi Stakes race.
What are the speaker's concerns about Emperor's chances in the Negishi Stakes?
-The speaker is concerned that Emperor has only done frontrunning style races before and may struggle with the likely high pace and bias for closers in the Negishi Stakes. The speaker is also concerned about Emperor drawing an inside post and getting sand in his face.
Who does the speaker predict will rank 2nd in popularity and why?
-The speaker predicts Arms Length will rank 2nd in popularity because he showed his talent in speed figures and race times in recent races, and has the ability if he gets a clean trip.
What were the key races that gave the speaker confidence in Tanobu Beauty's ability?
-The speaker gained confidence in Tanobu Beauty from a close 4th in last year's Negishi Stakes against high level competition, and wins in the Musashi Stakes and Link Stakes where he showed versatility.
Who does the speaker predict will win the race and why?
-The speaker predicts Tanobu Beauty will win because of the fast pace and bias for closers that suits him, and drawing a great outside post.
Why does the speaker rank Sword Proceed 3rd in his longshot picks?
-The speaker thinks Sword Proceed has graded stakes ability if he gets a clean trip avoiding kickback. He draws a good outside post and showed competiveness at this level when 4th in the Radio Nippon Sho last year.
What gives the speaker confidence in Alights abilities for this race?
-The speaker thinks Alight has the ability if he gets his preferred closing running style. He has excelled at 1400m before and showed competitiveness in defeats when the pace didn't suit.
Why does the speaker rank Parabattle Marine his top longshot pick?
-The speaker thinks Parabattle Marine has proven graded stakes ability at 1400-1600m. He draws a good outside post to avoid kickback that he dislikes. He is lightly raced for a 5YO mare so could still improve.
What running style does the speaker say suits Parabattle Marine best?
-The speaker says frontrunning or pressing the pace suits Parabattle Marine best at 1400-1600m based on past performances.
When does the speaker plan to release his rankings for the Silk Road Stakes horses?
-The speaker plans to release his rankings for the Silk Road Stakes horses tomorrow.

Outlines

00:00

🏇 G-Negishi Stakes Pre-Race Analysis

Necromancy Nakai introduces the ranking analysis for the upcoming G-Negishi Stakes, focusing on popular horses before touching on dark horses. Emperor is ranked third due to its strong performance in previous races despite some concerns about its preference for leading rather than following, which could be a disadvantage in the expected pace of the race. Arms Reign is second, praised for its speed and ability to win, even under less ideal conditions. Tano Beauty takes the top spot, with high expectations based on past performances and the ability to excel in a variety of race conditions, making it a strong contender for the win.

05:01

🔍 Dark Horse Ranking in G-Negishi Stakes

The focus shifts to underdogs in the G-Negishi Stakes, starting with Ken Shin Ryoku in third place, noted for its potential despite past struggles with certain race conditions. Aiolight, in second, has shown resilience and capability in various circumstances, suggesting a potential for outperforming expectations. The top dark horse pick is Paraiba Turmalin, highlighted for its speed and adaptability, making it a compelling choice for an upset win. Despite being less favored, these horses possess qualities that could lead to surprising results in the race.

10:03

🎶 Conclusion and Anticipation

The video concludes with gratitude for the audience's attention and a teaser for the upcoming Silk Road ranking analysis. The presenter signs off with a musical flourish, encouraging viewers to stay tuned for more insights, thus wrapping up the segment with a blend of appreciation and anticipation for future content.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡G Negishi Stakes

The G Negishi Stakes is mentioned as a significant horse racing event taking place on a Sunday. It is the central theme around which the video is structured, focusing on the analysis and ranking of participating horses. The speaker provides detailed insights and predictions for the horses competing in this event, highlighting its importance in the context of the video.

💡Ranking

Ranking is a recurrent concept in the video, used in the context of evaluating and ordering horses based on their performance and potential in the G Negishi Stakes. The speaker discusses various rankings, such as 'popular horse ranking' and 'decomposition horse ranking', providing a structured analysis of the competitors.

💡Emperor

Emperor is a horse mentioned in the script, specifically ranked third in the popular horse ranking. The explanation of Emperor's past performance, such as its showing in the Mikage Stakes and the strategy adopted during the race, provides insights into its capabilities and the rationale behind its ranking.

💡Silk Road

Silk Road is referenced as another racing event, with its ranking and predictions to be published the following day. This illustrates the breadth of the speaker's horse racing analysis, encompassing multiple events and providing a comprehensive source of information for enthusiasts.

💡Arms Reign

Arms Reign is identified as a horse ranked second in the popular horse ranking. The discussion around Arms Reign includes its performance in previous races, such as the Kira Special and the Joetsu Stakes, offering an in-depth look at its strengths and capabilities.

💡Tanob Beauty

Tanob Beauty is the horse ranked first in the popular horse ranking. The script delves into its past achievements, such as its performance in the Musashi Stakes and the Southern Cup, underlining the reasons for its top ranking and expected performance in the upcoming race.

💡Performance Analysis

Performance analysis is a core concept in the video, with detailed evaluations of horses based on their past races, conditions, and strategies. The speaker uses specific examples from previous races like Mikage Stakes and Kira Special to assess the horses' forms, strengths, and potential strategies.

💡Decomposition Horse Ranking

Decomposition Horse Ranking appears to be a unique analytical approach used by the speaker to categorize and evaluate horses. It seems to focus on assessing the weaker or less favored horses, providing a comprehensive view of all competitors, not just the top-ranked ones.

💡Race Strategy

Race strategy is a vital aspect discussed in the video, with specific references to how horses like Emperor and Arms Reign have approached their previous races, whether by leading early or coming from behind. The speaker analyzes these strategies to forecast how they might affect the outcomes in the G Negishi Stakes.

💡Horse Conditions

Horse conditions, referring to how well-suited a horse is for certain race conditions (e.g., track surface, distance, and weather), is a critical factor in the analysis. The speaker discusses how factors like the ability to handle dirt tracks or the preference for certain track positions (e.g., internal or external) impact the performance of horses such as Emperor and Arms Reign.

Highlights

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