TBS | Brothers Erwin and Ben Tulfo top latest OCTA Senatorial survey

Summary

The video discusses the results of the OCTA Research third-quarter 2024 senatorial survey, which had 1,200 nationwide respondents. The top candidates include Congressman Erwin T and his brother Ben T. Camille Villar made a significant jump in rankings, while former President Rodrigo Duterte maintained consistent numbers but dropped in ranking due to increased competition. The analysis covers voter awareness, candidate branding, and campaign strategies. The discussion also touches on the potential candidacies of other political figures like Isko Moreno and Abby Binay ahead of the 2025 elections.

Takeaways

• 📊 The survey was conducted nationwide from August 28 to September 2, 2024, with 1,200 respondents and a 3% margin of error.
• 🏆 Congressman Irwin T remains in the top spot in the senatorial race, followed by his brother Ben T.
• 📈 Camille Villar saw a significant jump in popularity, rising from 3% to 17-26% of respondents.
• ⚖️ Former President Rodrigo Duterte maintains 33% support but has dropped in ranking from 7th to 15th.
• 💡 Some respondents may not vote for candidates they feel won't run, even if their names are included in surveys.
• 🏁 The 2025 senatorial race is becoming more competitive, with multiple candidates close in preference percentages.
• 👥 The Duterte family still has strong representation, with three family members in the rankings.
• 😷 Doc Willie Ong, diagnosed with cancer, has maintained good numbers in the surveys, though his candidacy is now uncertain.
• 📢 Voter preferences in the surveys are often influenced by awareness, and well-established candidates have an advantage.
• 📝 Survey results can help potential candidates decide whether to run, but the landscape may change after official candidacies are declared.

Q & A

Where was the survey conducted?

The survey was conducted nationwide, covering all regions of the Philippines.

How many respondents participated in the survey?

The survey included 1,200 respondents from across the Philippines.

What was the margin of error for the survey?

The survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3%.

Who ranked first and second in the senatorial survey?

Congressman Irwin T ranked first, followed by his older brother, Ben Tu, who ranked second.

What notable change was observed in Camille Villar’s ranking?

Camille Villar’s ranking jumped significantly from 3% two quarters ago to 17–26% in the latest survey.

What caused the slight drop in former President Rodrigo Duterte’s ranking?

Although his numbers remained consistent at 33%, the race became more competitive, leading to his drop from 6th–13th place to 7th–15th place.

What factors influence Filipino voters' preferences in surveys?

Awareness plays a crucial role. Nationwide recognition is important for candidates, even if they have strong support in specific regions.

How does the Duterte family perform in the survey overall?

Three members of the Duterte family are in the top range, with a chance of consolidating their votes if only one runs, which could strengthen their prospects.

How did Doc Willie Ong perform in the survey, and what are the implications of his health condition?

Doc Willie Ong showed good numbers, but his recent cancer diagnosis may prevent him from running in future elections, which is seen as unfortunate by political analysts.

What advice does the professor give to potential candidates based on the survey results?

The professor advises potential candidates to use the survey results as a guide but encourages them to run if they have the chance. He also advises voters to thoroughly research the candidates' credentials and vote based on their accomplishments, not just survey results.