Russians SPREAD PANIC In The Southern Front - Ukraine War Map Update 21/Aug/2024

Ukraine Matters
21 Aug 202419:36

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Georgia discusses Ukraine's military advances in the K region, including their efforts to disrupt Russian pontoon bridges. She addresses Russian panic and the potential for Ukraine to launch attacks in the south. The video analyzes the force ratios, equipment deliveries, and mobilization efforts in Ukraine. Georgia speculates on possible Ukrainian strategies, including a diversionary tactic similar to the Kerch operation. She also highlights the challenges Russia faces in capturing cities like Pavlograd and the significance of the Nord Stream pipeline attack, emphasizing that such pipelines should not have existed.

Takeaways

  • 🇺🇦 Ukraine continues to make advances in the K region, targeting pontoon bridges to restrict Russian movements.
  • 🔍 There are conflicting reports about Ukrainian military movements in the south, with some suggesting a potential buildup of forces.
  • 🔄 The force ratio in the Kers operational area is approximately 1:2 in favor of Russia, with Ukrainian forces estimated between 5,000 to 10,000 and Russian forces between 10,000 to 20,000.
  • 🤔 The Russian forces are poorly organized and consist of a mix of different units with varying morale levels.
  • 🚀 Despite being outnumbered, Ukraine is advancing due to smarter and faster tactical maneuvers.
  • 🔄 The equipment and troops situation is unclear, with questions about where the newly mobilized and trained forces are located.
  • 🌍 The geopolitical implications of the war are significant, with the potential to affect areas like Crimea and the Nord Stream pipelines.
  • 🏙️ The capture of Pakros and Mirat would be a significant challenge for Russia, as these cities are larger and more complex than previous targets like Bahmut.
  • ⏳ Time is a crucial factor, with the expectation that any significant advances or changes in the war will take considerable time.
  • 💥 The destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines is mentioned, with the suggestion that they should not have been there in the first place due to their connection to Putin's regime.

Q & A

  • What is the current situation of Ukraine's advances in the K region?

    -Ukraine is continuing their successful advances in the K region, with reports indicating they are hunting for pontoon bridges that Russians are trying to erect over a river to prevent encirclement.

  • Are there any reports of panic among Russian forces?

    -Yes, there have been reports of panic among Russian forces, particularly from Romanov, although these reports have been dismissed as fake.

  • What is the estimated ratio of forces between Ukraine and Russia in the K region?

    -The ratio of forces in the K region is approximately 1 to 2 in favor of Russia, with Ukraine estimated to have between 5,000 and 10,000 troops and Russia between 10,000 and 20,000.

  • What is the issue with the Russian forces in the K region?

    -The Russian forces in the K region are poorly organized, a mix of different units with poor morale, and include conscripts, making them an inefficient fighting force.

  • What is the significance of the US security assistance Bill for Ukraine?

    -The US security assistance Bill restarted a lot of weapon deliveries to Ukraine, significantly increasing the amount of pledged and supposedly delivered equipment.

  • What was the outcome of Ukraine's mobilization Bill passed in May?

    -The mobilization Bill was a success, leading to an increase in conscripts with about 2-3 months of training, and now these conscripts are expected to be trained and ready for deployment.

  • Where are the new brigades and equipment that Zalinski stated were coming into Ukraine?

    -It is unclear where the new brigades and equipment are, as they have not been seen in large numbers in the K region, suggesting they may be held in reserve or deployed elsewhere.

  • What is the potential strategy behind Ukraine's military movements?

    -Ukraine may be preparing for another strategic move, possibly a diversion similar to the Kerch operation, where they applied pressure in one area to strike in another.

  • What is the current status of the Russian advance in the Zaparozhye region?

    -There are reports of an accumulation of Ukrainian forces in the south, but it is not clear if Ukraine is planning a full-blown attack on the Zaparozhye region.

  • What challenges does the city of Pavlograd pose for a potential Russian capture?

    -Pavlograd, along with Mirat, forms a union of cities that is larger and more challenging to capture than Bahmut, which was the biggest city Russia captured so far. The area is more dispersed and would require a significant force to encircle and capture.

  • What is the author's stance on the Nord Stream incident?

    -The author suggests that the Nord Stream pipelines should not have been built in the first place, as they facilitated Putin's regime and undermined democracy in Europe.

Outlines

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Ukraine ConflictMilitary StrategyRussian ForcesUkrainian AdvancesWar AnalysisFront LineEquipment DeliveryMobilization BillRegional DefenseNord Stream
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