Nvidia Stock Has Soared 24,000% in 10 Years | NVDA Stock Analysis

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA
16 Sept 202408:41

Summary

TLDRNvidia's success stems from its long-term vision and strategic focus on accelerated computing, starting from its founding in the 1990s. CEO Jensen Huang attributes the company's growth to predicting the rise of specialized computing beyond general-purpose systems, particularly in AI. Nvidia's stock price and revenue have surged dramatically over the past decade, supported by advances in GPU architecture, software ecosystems, and expansion into new markets like gaming, self-driving cars, robotics, and climate technology. This steady foundation over 30 years has positioned Nvidia as one of the most valuable companies globally.

Takeaways

  • 🚀 Nvidia's market capitalization is nearly $3 trillion, placing it just behind Microsoft and Apple.
  • 📈 Nvidia's stock price has surged by 24,500% over the last decade, driven by a 2,000% increase in revenue and a 9,000% increase in profits.
  • 🔮 The company's success is attributed to its long-term vision that there would be a form of computing to augment general-purpose computing, dating back to its founding in the late 1990s.
  • 🧠 Nvidia correctly forecasted the future of the computing industry, enabling them to capitalize on the rise of AI and accelerated computing.
  • 🎮 Nvidia started with computer graphics, primarily for gaming, and has now grown to serve a broad range of industries including AI, robotics, self-driving cars, and more.
  • 🛠 Nvidia's CUDA software and large ecosystem investments have created a massive installed base, making it a leader in various sectors.
  • 💼 Nvidia's ability to pivot and learn new algorithms for different markets has been a key to its growth, allowing it to tackle diverse applications like large language models and data processing.
  • 🧱 The company has built rich libraries for multiple domains, such as virtual screening, climate technology, and robotics, adding cumulative value over time.
  • 📊 Nvidia's market value is supported by real increases in revenue and profitability, not just market excitement around AI.
  • ⏳ The company's current success is the result of decades of foundational work, proving it is no overnight success story.

Q & A

  • How has Nvidia's market capitalization positioned it among the top companies in the world?

    -Nvidia's market capitalization of nearly $3 trillion places it behind only Microsoft and Apple, making it the third-largest company in the U.S.

  • What has driven Nvidia's stock price growth over the last decade?

    -Nvidia's stock price has grown by 24,000% over the past decade, driven by a 2,000% increase in revenue and a 9,000% increase in profits, supported by its focus on AI and accelerated computing.

  • What core vision helped Nvidia achieve its current success?

    -Nvidia's success stems from its long-range vision of developing a new form of computing that could augment general-purpose computing to solve specialized problems.

  • Did Nvidia get lucky with the AI boom, or was its success planned?

    -Nvidia's success was not just a result of the recent AI boom. Its long-term strategy, starting from its founding in the 1990s, was key to its position today.

  • What mistake did many electric vehicle (EV) companies make compared to Nvidia's success?

    -Many EV companies were overly optimistic in forecasting rapid growth, leading to significant financial losses. In contrast, Nvidia made accurate predictions, particularly in computing and AI, which allowed it to thrive.

  • How long has Nvidia been building its technology to reach its current level of success?

    -Nvidia has been building its technology and ecosystem for over 30 years, steadily advancing its position in various markets, particularly with accelerated computing.

  • What role does Nvidia's CUDA software play in its success?

    -Nvidia's CUDA software has a massive installed base, and the company's investment in software and architecture compatibility since 1993 has played a fundamental role in its success.

  • How has Nvidia's gaming sector contributed to its overall success?

    -Nvidia started with computer graphics for gaming, with its GeForce products now used by over 300 million gamers worldwide. This strong foundation has supported the company's expansion into other markets.

  • What challenges does Nvidia face when entering new markets with its accelerated computing solutions?

    -Nvidia must learn new algorithms, understand market dynamics, and create new ecosystems each time it enters a new market, requiring precise targeting of its accelerated computing capabilities.

  • What libraries has Nvidia developed to support its growth in different industries?

    -Nvidia has built libraries for various fields, including self-driving cars, robotics, virtual screening, and climate technology, which have added cumulative benefits over the years.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 Nvidia's Phenomenal Growth and Vision

Nvidia has become one of the most successful businesses globally, with a market capitalization nearing $3 trillion, only behind Microsoft and Apple. Its stock price surged by an astonishing 24,500% over the last decade, supported by a 2,000% increase in revenue and a 9,000% rise in profits. The company's success is attributed to its visionary approach, predicting the need for specialized computing to augment general-purpose computing. Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, credits this long-term vision dating back to the company's founding in the 1990s. While some companies, like those in the EV sector, miscalculated growth, Nvidia's accurate forecasting has brought them tremendous success. Their growth is a result of decades of building a strong foundation, particularly around their Cuda software, which has now become a massive industry standard.

05:01

🎮 Nvidia's Expansion into Gaming and Beyond

Initially starting in the gaming industry, Nvidia now has a massive installed base of 300 million gamers using its GeForce product. Each time Nvidia entered a new market, they learned new algorithms, market dynamics, and created new ecosystems, eventually transitioning into accelerated computing. Nvidia's success lies in choosing the right areas for acceleration, whether it's large language models, data processing, or recommender systems. This ability to adapt and serve multiple industries has propelled them to a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. Nvidia's libraries, which power technologies like self-driving cars, robotics, and climate tech, are the result of 30 years of strategic development. The company's recent success is built on decades of groundwork.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Nvidia

Nvidia is a global technology company known for its role in designing and manufacturing GPUs (Graphics Processing Units), originally for gaming and now heavily used in AI and data processing. The company’s success is attributed to its long-term vision of accelerated computing, which has positioned it as one of the most valuable companies in the world with a market cap of nearly 3 trillion dollars.

💡Accelerated Computing

Accelerated computing refers to the use of specialized hardware like GPUs to perform computing tasks more efficiently than traditional general-purpose CPUs. Nvidia recognized the potential for accelerated computing early on, which has enabled them to serve various markets from AI to robotics, significantly contributing to their growth.

💡Market Capitalization

Market capitalization is the total value of a company’s outstanding shares. Nvidia’s market capitalization has soared to nearly 3 trillion dollars, making it the third-largest company in the U.S. behind Microsoft and Apple. This reflects the immense value the market sees in Nvidia’s technology and future prospects.

💡AI (Artificial Intelligence)

AI is a core technology that Nvidia has successfully harnessed with its GPUs, especially in fields like large language models, recommender systems, and data processing. The video emphasizes that Nvidia’s focus on AI has been a major driver of its stock price and profitability, as the world increasingly relies on AI-driven solutions.

💡Revenue Growth

Revenue growth refers to the increase in a company’s sales over time. In the past decade, Nvidia has experienced a 2,000% increase in revenue, which has supported its massive stock price growth. This revenue growth is tied to its strategic expansion into various sectors, including AI, gaming, and robotics.

💡CUDA Software

CUDA is Nvidia’s parallel computing platform and programming model, which enables developers to harness the power of Nvidia GPUs for general-purpose computing tasks. Nvidia’s CEO emphasized that CUDA has created a massive installed base, which is critical to Nvidia’s dominance in various computing markets.

💡Founder’s Vision

Founder’s vision refers to the long-term strategy and foresight that Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang had when he founded the company. This vision involved predicting the importance of accelerated computing decades before it became mainstream. The video credits this foresight as the key reason behind Nvidia’s extraordinary success today.

💡GeForce

GeForce is Nvidia’s flagship brand for gaming GPUs. The video highlights how Nvidia started by serving the gaming market, which helped it build a large installed base. Today, GeForce is used by 300 million gamers worldwide, showcasing Nvidia’s dominance in the gaming industry, which was foundational to its success.

💡Large Language Models

Large language models are AI models trained to understand and generate human language. Nvidia’s accelerated computing technology is pivotal in training and deploying these models. This capability has positioned Nvidia as a leader in the AI space, contributing to its revenue growth and market dominance.

💡Ecosystem Development

Ecosystem development refers to the process of creating and nurturing a network of technologies, tools, and partners around a core product. Nvidia’s success is partly due to its ability to develop an ecosystem around its GPUs and CUDA software, which has attracted developers, businesses, and industries, leading to widespread adoption.

Highlights

Nvidia is now one of the most successful businesses in the world, with a market capitalization of nearly $3 trillion, behind only Microsoft and Apple.

Nvidia's stock price has increased by 24,500% over the last decade, supported by a 2,000% increase in revenue and a 9,000% increase in profits.

Nvidia's success is largely attributed to its long-term vision of a new form of computing that would augment general-purpose computing, dating back to its founding in the late 1990s.

CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that Nvidia's accurate long-range forecast and vision have been key to its current success.

In contrast to Nvidia, many electric vehicle companies made overly optimistic forecasts about EV growth and are now facing financial difficulties.

Nvidia's success has been 30 years in the making, not a sudden outcome of the recent AI boom, as they have been building an ecosystem since the 1990s.

Nvidia's CUDA software has a massive installed base, thanks to early and consistent investment in architecture compatibility and ecosystem development.

Nvidia is the largest provider of video game architecture in the world, with GeForce products used by over 300 million gamers globally.

Nvidia has entered and succeeded in various markets by learning new algorithms, market dynamics, and creating new ecosystems for each step.

Nvidia has become a leader in accelerated computing, allowing it to focus on specific use cases like large language models, data processing, and recommender systems.

Nvidia now holds the third-largest market capitalization in the U.S., trailing only Microsoft and Apple.

Nvidia has been developing libraries for specific industries, including self-driving cars, robotics, virtual screening, and climate technology.

The company's success is built on decades of library and ecosystem development, giving it cumulative advantages in various fields.

Newcomers to Nvidia may think its success is recent, but the company has been building its foundations for over 30 years.

Nvidia's strong competitive advantages and growth prospects stem from its early investments and long-term strategy, not just recent AI breakthroughs.

Transcripts

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Nvidia has grown to be one of the most

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successful businesses in the world its

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market capitalization of nearly three

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trillion dollar is only behind Microsoft

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and Apple nvidia's stock price is up by

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a whopping 24.

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5,000% over the previous decade but that

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stock price growth has been supported by

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2,000% increase in revenue and 9,000 per

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increase in profits in that same time

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phenomenal all that being said how did

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Nvidia get here did it just get lucky to

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have the right product at the right time

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is it just a beneficiary of an

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unreasonable excitement surrounding AI

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let's learn more about how Nvidia got to

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be one of the most valuable companies in

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the world today I want to thank the mle

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fool for sponsoring this video visit

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full.com parev for the 10 best stocks to

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buy now so at an investor conference

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yesterday Nvidia CEO Jensen hang talked

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about this how Nvidia got here what did

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they get right and the CEO said that the

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thing we got right the one thing we got

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right is our vision that there would be

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another form of computing that could

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augment general purpose Computing to

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solve problems that a general purpose

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instrument won't ever be good at in

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other words what Nvidia got right is the

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long range forecast the long range

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vision of what the Computing industry

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will look like 10 years from now 20

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years from now it got that right all the

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way back at its founding in the late

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1990s so that big decision Nvidia got

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right and being right and so

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phenomenally right is what brought

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Nvidia to where it is today that

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underlying that core forecast and Nvidia

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got it right and that's difficult to do

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and in fact I've been talking a lot

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about EV stocks this year and EV

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companies did this quite the opposite

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they got this wrong really wrong in the

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last four or five six years or so they

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forecasted EV growth would be so

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phenomenal in these next couple of years

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and it turns out it's nowhere near

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anywhere they were forecasting and many

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of these companies are going bankrupt or

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losing billions of dollars on the bottom

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line trying to recover from that initial

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miscalculation that initial forecast

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that was too optimistic whereas Nvidia

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hit the nail right on the head they got

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it phenomenally right and now they're

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reaping the benefits of this Founder's

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Vision when I talk about reaping the

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benefits let's take a look at some of

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those benefits here Nvidia stock price

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in the last 10 years years is up

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24,000 per

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24.3 th000 per in that time it's

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incredible by how much Nvidia stock

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price has increased in that time and the

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revenue growth has been phenomenal as

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well 2,000% increase in Revenue in the

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last 10 years and that's been supported

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by profitability as well with net income

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jumping by 9,000 per in that time so the

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business the price growth has been

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supported by increases in revenue and

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profitability and you can see that

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hockey stick type pattern in the last

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year and a half or so on the back of the

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rising effectiveness of AI the CEO went

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on to say this way of thinking about

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architecture compatibility creating a

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large installed base taking the software

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investment of the ecosystem along with

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us that psychology started in 19

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1993 and we carried it to this date

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which is the reason why nvidia's Cuda

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software has such a massive installed

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base and again so when Nvidia CEOs is

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asked about the success of the company

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he points back to these originating

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ideas and why that's fundamental to the

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company's success today because they've

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been building this since then it's been

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a building and building and building and

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then you get that success that they've

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gotten in the last year and a half and

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I've heard saying that says you know it

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takes 10 years to become an overnight

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success this is similar to that saying

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right Nvidia it's taken 30 years for

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NVIDIA to be an overnight success and

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this is what the CEO is saying like we

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didn't just all of a sudden jump on the

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scene two years ago and benefited from

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this AI craze like we've been around for

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three decades we've been building this

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we've been help helping create this

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ecosystem that's led to these

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breakthroughs that you're seeing today

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as a consumer as a user as an investor

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goes on to say that Nvidia is the

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largest installed base of video game

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architecture in the

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world Nvidia started out as computer

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graphics for primarily for gaming but

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GeForce is now some 300 million gamers

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in the world are using this product and

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it's growing incredibly well so every

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single time we have to go enter a new

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market we had to learn new algorithms

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new market dynamics create new

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ecosystems and they've done this at each

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step of the way building up to where

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they are today where they're serving so

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many different markets and so they're

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now an accelerated computer which means

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the question you have to ask yourself is

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what do you accelerate there's no such

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thing as a universal accelerator so you

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have to decide where you're going going

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to point this tool at where you're going

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to point this weapon at do you want to

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use accelerated Computing to

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solve large language models or create

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large language models train large

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language models or do you want to use

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accelerated Computing for data

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processing or do you want to use

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accelerated Computing for recommender

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systems so you have to choose where you

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want to point this at and Nvidia has

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been able to do that at each step of the

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way

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delivering specific use cases for its

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accelerated Computing and that has

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partly fueled nvidia's success it's now

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trading at a market capitalization of

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2.92 trillion just ever so slightly

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behind Microsoft at 3.17 trillion and

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Apple at

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3.38 trillion as the third largest

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market market capitalization company in

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the United States and so from the

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beginning Nvidia has been building these

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libraries and everything on these

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libraries we they had to do the computer

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science secondly they had to go through

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the ecosystem development and they had

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to convince everybody to use it now they

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have a rich library for self-driving

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cars they have a library for robotics

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they have a library for virtual

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screening whether it's physics based

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virtual screening or neural network

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virtual screening and they have a

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library for climate technology so all

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along the way they've been building

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these libraries and it's adding a

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cumulative benefit as the years have

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progressed so those of you that are new

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to Nvidia or are just learning about

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Nvidia and have just started to research

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Nvidia because of its incredible success

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in the last two years remember that this

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success started 30 years ago

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Nvidia started this 30 years ago and

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they've been working their way towards

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this level where they're now an

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incredibly profitable business with

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phenomenal growth ahead excellent

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prospects great competitive advantages

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all because of the beginning of the

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company and the foundations they laid

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they laid throughout that entire process

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thank you for watching this video I

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truly appreciate it I know there's a lot

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you could be doing with your time and a

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lot of other videos you could be

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watching so I truly appreciate that you

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chose to watch this one if you want to

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see more videos just like this hit the

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Subscribe or the like button they'll

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both help me make more videos just like

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this one thank you again

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