IGNORE HAALAND? 😬 | FPL TRANSFER TIPS | GAMEWEEK 5 | Fantasy Premier League Tips 2024/25

Let's Talk FPL
17 Sept 202427:35

Summary

TLDRIn this FPL video, Andy discusses player transfers for game week five, focusing on Kevin De Bruyne's injury and its impact on potential player opportunities within the team. He evaluates the prospects of Sharder and Lewis Potter, considering their positions and upcoming fixtures. Andy also reviews other players like Diaz, who despite recent low minutes, shows promise for the next few game weeks. He advises on strategic player transfers, emphasizing the importance of considering both short-term gains and long-term value, and provides insights on how to leverage player performance and team dynamics in FPL.

Takeaways

  • 😀 Andy discusses FPL transfer tips for game week five, advising on player movements.
  • 🏥 Kevin De Bruyne's injury opens opportunities for other Brentford players like Sharder.
  • 🔝 Sharder is likely to play as a forward in upcoming matches, making him a potential FPL differential.
  • 🤔 Lewis Potter is a cheaper option listed as a midfielder but might play as a wing-back in some formations.
  • 't ⚽ Diaz's high points make him a popular choice despite reduced minutes in recent games.
  • 🚫 Concerns about Diaz's minutes and potential benching make him a risky choice for future game weeks.
  • 📈 Trossard's value might be affected by Brighton's tougher upcoming fixtures and his exclusion from the squad.
  • 🆙 Jamie Vardy's price rise to 5.7 million reflects his good form and favorable fixtures for Leicester.
  • ⚽ Haaland's high ownership and goal-scoring prowess make him a must-have player despite a tough fixture against Arsenal.
  • 🚀 Smith Rowe's price increase to 5.7 million is justified by his attacking returns and decent underlying stats.
  • 🛡️ Analysts are divided on the value of Man City defenders like Vardaal, with some suggesting he might be the most nailed on for starts.

Q & A

  • Who is the player that might replace Vissel as the number nine for Brentford due to injuries?

    -Kevin Sharder is the player who is likely to replace Vissel as the number nine for Brentford due to injuries to Vissel and Thiago, as well as the sale of Tony.

  • What is the price of Kevin Sharder in FPL and what position is he listed as?

    -Kevin Sharder is listed at 5.4 million and is listed as a midfielder in FPL.

  • What are the upcoming fixtures for Brentford that might impact the FPL decisions regarding their players?

    -Brentford's upcoming fixtures include playing against Spurs away, West Ham at home, Wolves at home, and Ipswich at home, which could influence FPL decisions on their players.

  • Why might Lewis Potter be a good FPL choice despite being listed as a midfielder?

    -Lewis Potter might be a good FPL choice because he is cheaper at 5 million and could play as a forward in certain formations, offering value for his price.

  • What is the concern regarding Diaz's minutes played in recent matches?

    -The concern is that Diaz has been playing fewer minutes in recent matches, which might affect his FPL points potential, especially with Liverpool having other players who can play in his position.

  • What are the next few fixtures for Liverpool that might impact the FPL decisions regarding their players?

    -Liverpool's next few fixtures include Bournemouth at home, Wolves away, Palace away, Chelsea at home, and Arsenal away, which could influence FPL decisions on their players.

  • Why might Jamie Vardy be a good FPL choice despite his age and potential fitness concerns?

    -Jamie Vardy might be a good FPL choice because he is on penalties, has been getting chances, and has favorable fixtures coming up, despite his age and potential fitness concerns.

  • What is the current price of Erling Haaland in FPL and what might be a reason to delay bringing him into your team?

    -Erling Haaland's current price in FPL is 15.2 million. A reason to delay bringing him into your team might be his tough fixture against Arsenal at home in gameweek five, which might not yield high points.

  • What are the fixtures that make Emil Smith Rowe an attractive FPL option despite his early substitutions?

    -Emil Smith Rowe is an attractive FPL option due to his price of 5.7 million and underlying numbers, with fixtures like Newcastle at home, Forest away, and City away coming up.

  • Why might Anel Ahinovic be a good FPL choice as a cheap defender?

    -Anel Ahinovic might be a good FPL choice as a cheap defender because of his price of 4.4 million, his differential status with 3% ownership, and Nottingham Forest's upcoming favorable home fixtures.

  • What is the current situation with Joao Cancelo's position in Manchester City's defense and how might it impact FPL decisions?

    -Joao Cancelo's position in Manchester City's defense might be secure moving forward as other options like Zinchenko are out for a while, and Cancelo is likely to continue playing as a left back, which could make him a good FPL option.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 FPL Gameweek 5 Transfer Tips

Andy discusses FPL transfers for gameweek 5, focusing on players like Kevin De Bruyne who may rise in value due to injuries to other key players. He advises on whether to bring in or out players like De Bruyne, Lewis Potter, and others, considering their positions, team formations, and upcoming fixtures. Andy emphasizes the importance of not panicking and considering the long-term value of players like De Bruyne, who could be a differential play with favorable fixtures ahead.

05:02

🔄 Player Analysis and FPL Strategy

The paragraph delves into the analysis of players' performances and their FPL implications. It discusses the potential of Luis Díaz despite his recent subbed-off matches and compares him with other midfielders. It also touches on the strategy of when and whether to bring in Diaz due to upcoming challenging fixtures. The paragraph also mentions the importance of considering minutes played and the impact of the Champions League on player rotation and performance.

10:04

📈 Price Changes and Player Performance

This section covers the potential price changes of players like Jamie Vardy and Erling Haaland, and how these changes can influence FPL strategies. It discusses Vardy's goal-scoring form and his fixtures, suggesting that despite his age, he remains a valuable asset. The paragraph also highlights Haaland's impressive performance and the decision of whether to include him in the FPL team, especially considering his tough fixture against Arsenal.

15:05

🚨 FPL Defender Options and Fixtures

The focus shifts to FPL defender options, with an in-depth look at Emil Smith Rowe's value and fixtures. The paragraph discusses the potential of Smith Rowe as a budget midfielder with good underlying numbers and his likelihood to start matches. It also considers the fixtures for Fulham and whether Smith Rowe is a good short-term or long-term option. Additionally, it touches on the value of other defenders and the strategy of when to bring them in based on upcoming matches.

20:05

🌲 Nottingham Forest's Defensive Options

This paragraph examines the defensive options of Nottingham Forest, particularly the case of defender Felipe, who has seen a price drop and is considered a differential pick. It discusses his ownership, the team's clean sheet against Liverpool, and the potential of Forest's defense based on their underlying numbers. The paragraph also considers the fixtures and the strategy for including Forest defenders in FPL teams, suggesting Felipe as a good rotation option with favorable home fixtures.

25:06

⚽️ Manchester City's Defensive Concerns

The final paragraph addresses the concerns around Manchester City's defense, specifically Oleksandr Zinchenko's performance and his potential as a FPL asset. It contrasts his situation with other defenders like Andrew Robertson and those from Arsenal, considering factors like fixtures, team form, and the likelihood of clean sheets. The paragraph concludes with a discussion on whether it's worth holding onto Zinchenko or considering other defensive options.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡FPL

FPL stands for Fantasy Premier League, which is a popular online fantasy football game in which players create a virtual team of real-life players from the Premier League. In the context of the video, FPL is central to the discussion as the host analyzes player performances and strategies for the gameweek, aiming to help viewers improve their FPL teams.

💡Gameweek

In the context of FPL, a gameweek refers to the period during which the actual football matches take place and are used to calculate the points for players' fantasy teams. The script discusses strategies for the fifth gameweek, indicating the timing of matches and the importance of selecting the right players for this specific period.

💡Transfers

Transfers in FPL involve the process of acquiring new players for a team while releasing others. The script mentions transfers in relation to player popularity and strategy, such as bringing in 'Kevin Sharder' or 'Lis Diaz', highlighting the importance of smart transfer decisions to strengthen a team.

💡Fixtures

Fixtures refer to the scheduled matches for a team. In the script, the term is used to discuss the difficulty or potential of a team's upcoming matches, which is crucial for FPL strategy as easier fixtures might yield more points due to higher chances of goals or clean sheets.

💡Price Rise

A price rise in FPL indicates an increase in the cost of a player, which can affect team management strategies. The script mentions 'price rise' in relation to players like 'Jamie Vardy' and 'Emil Smith Rowe', emphasizing the financial aspect of player acquisition in FPL.

💡Ownership Percentage

Ownership percentage in FPL refers to the proportion of all teams that include a particular player. The script uses this term to discuss the popularity and uniqueness of having a player like 'Sharder', where a low ownership can be advantageous for differentiating a team from the majority.

💡Clean Sheets

A clean sheet in football is when a team does not concede any goals. In FPL, defenders or goalkeepers on a team that keeps a clean sheet earn additional points, making them valuable. The script discusses 'clean sheets' in the context of player performance and team defensive strength.

💡XG (Expected Goals)

XG, or expected goals, is a statistical metric that estimates the likelihood of a goal being scored based on factors like shot location, type, and协助者. The script references XG to evaluate a player's attacking potential, like 'Lis Diaz', indicating how statistical analysis plays a role in FPL strategy.

💡Wildcard

A Wildcard in FPL allows a player to make an unlimited number of transfers for a single gameweek, without using up their transfer allowance. The script mentions 'Wildcard' in the context of strategic planning, suggesting its use for significant changes to a team's lineup, such as bringing in 'Erling Haaland'.

💡Differentials

Differentials in FPL refer to players that are not commonly picked by other managers, which can be a strategy to gain an advantage if those players perform well. The script uses 'differentials' to discuss the potential of players like 'Sharder' and 'Ania', highlighting the strategy of selecting less popular but high-potential players.

Highlights

Kevin De Bruyne's injury opens up opportunities for other players like Kevin Sharder in FPL.

Sharder, listed as a midfielder, is likely to play as a forward in upcoming matches, offering a unique FPL option.

Lewis Potter is another potential FPL asset from Brentford, despite his fluctuating position and role.

Diogo Jota's ownership is low, making him a differential pick for FPL managers looking for an edge.

Liverpool's fixture list post-international break is favorable for FPL points accumulation.

Luis Díaz's minutes on the pitch have been a concern, impacting his FPL potential.

Díaz's high points tally is contrasted with his recent reduced minutes, prompting a reevaluation of his FPL status.

The upcoming Champions League matches may influence Liverpool's squad rotation, affecting FPL players' minutes.

Leandro Trossard's absence from Brighton's recent match raises questions about his FPL reliability.

Jamie Vardy's price rise is discussed, along with his FPL prospects and fixture analysis.

Vardy's goal-scoring record and penalty-taking role are highlighted as positive FPL attributes.

Erling Haaland's incredible form is analyzed, with a strategic approach to FPL captaincy in his fixtures.

Haaland's fixture against Arsenal may present a challenge, prompting FPL managers to consider alternatives.

Gabriel Jesus's upcoming tough fixtures make him a less attractive FPL option for the immediate future.

Emil Smith Rowe's price increase and his FPL prospects are discussed, with a focus on his attacking potential.

Smith Rowe's minutes and potential substitutions are considered in the context of FPL strategy.

Oleksandr Zinchenko's role in Manchester City's defense and his FPL potential are evaluated.

Nathan Aké's FPL value is assessed, with attention to his defensive contributions and fixture schedule.

Aké's price drop and his potential as a budget defender are discussed, with a look at Nottingham Forest's defensive record.

The video concludes with a reminder of the resources available on Fantasy Football Hub and a tease for the next gameweek preview.

Transcripts

play00:03

what is going on everyone my name is

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Andy welcome back to another FPL video

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and this one it's transer tips for game

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week five so I'm going to go through

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some of the popular players people are

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looking to bring in or out of their

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squad and talk about whether they are

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good moves or not so if you enjoyed the

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video make sure to give it a like hit

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that subscribe button if you haven't

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done so already and let's get into it so

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let's start with Kevin sharder because

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this is a player's name that you're

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going to be hearing a lot more often

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over the next couple of game weeks after

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the information that we got about Visa

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yesterday so for anyone that hasn't seen

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it got an injury against Man City in

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gameweek four and brenford will

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confirmed that he's going to miss a

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couple of months so they need someone

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else to play number nine cuz he's

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injured Thiago who they bought in in the

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summer is also out longterm and of

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course they've sold Tony as well and the

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most likely player to come in to fulfill

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that role will be sharder at 5.4 million

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who's also listed as a midfielder so you

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might have a 5.4 million midfielder

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that's going to play number nine now

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against Spurs away in gameweek five

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they'll probably play with two up top

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because they'll be in their back three

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formation so it be sharder and inmo but

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in the easier fixtures like West Ham at

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home in six Wolves at home in seven

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ipswitch at home in nine it'll be back

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to that

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433 and inmo could play as the number

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nine but I think it's more likely he

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stays off the right and Shard is just

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the most likely to come in and play and

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then you'll probably have like Lewis

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Potter on the left so this's injury

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definitely weakens brenford overall but

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for FPL it opens up a couple of options

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I think with lwis Potter

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He's listed at yeah sorry he's a

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midfielder of course but he's actually a

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little bit cheaper at 5 million the only

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issue is if they play with a back three

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he's probably going to play as a wing

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back so it wouldn't be necessarily as

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attacking and I just think for an extra4

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million you probably got you probably

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buy the guy that is going to play number

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nine now this doesn't mean that sharder

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is all of a sudden essential or anything

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like that so you don't need to panic but

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you can see how much of a differential

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he is 0.1% ownership overall he's had

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462 transfers in this week that's

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unlikely to get much bigger because

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Spurs away it's not a terrible fixure

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it's not an amazing one either but from

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gameweek six onwards especially if

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you're looking to Wild Card sharder is a

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player that you should be considering

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now he's not the only player around that

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price we're going to talk about Smith

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row later obviously Rogers is a little

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bit cheaper you've got mcneel who's

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doing really well at the moment playing

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number 10 for Everton he's also 5.4 he's

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dropped from 5.5 so it doesn't mean that

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shter is now the obvious one to go to

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but as a massive differential that is

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unlikely to suddenly be like 20% owned

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or anything like that with the fixtures

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that brenford have got coming up I quite

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like that now you could look at it and

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say Well they're going to be weak no

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Tony Thiago is injured V is out as well

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it's not great and I would agree but I

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think the price and the position that

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Sharda can play probably trumps all that

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and his minutes definitely go up in

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terms of what we should expect from him

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it's hard to know he still quite young

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we haven't seen him play regular minutes

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for brenford really at all but I just

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think the price and the fixtures and the

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position he's probably going to play is

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worth taking that punt so you don't have

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to rush out and buy him but definitely

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one to keep an eye on he should play

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against Spurs regardless it'll just

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probably be a different formation like

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against City but from six onwards

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they'll probably be back to that back

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four and I think he'll play number nine

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let's talk about Lis Diaz next still

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quite popular despite blanking against

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not and Forest at home in gameweek four

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just over 160,000 transfers in ahead of

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game week five and I think it makes a

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lot of sense when you look at total

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points on the FPL page so for

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midfielders three of the top four

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highest scoring players all cost 10

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million or above so Salah sakur and

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Palmer as you'd expect in second place

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it's Lis Diaz 35 points only eight

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behind Salah and at 7.7 million that

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looks pretty good the thing that would

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worry me is the minutes now he might

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have played just over 60 against Forest

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because it was after the international

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break he does a lot of traveling and

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stuff like that but against man united

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in gameweek three ahead of the

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international break it was 65 he just

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had a week off 7 against brenford I

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don't think that's massively encouraging

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going forward knowing that Liverpool

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have other players that can play in his

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position now I think he'll continue to

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start and he absolutely could get enough

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points in those minutes as we've seen

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right 14 against brenford gameweek two

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15 against Man United game week three he

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hit the post against Forest as well so I

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still like him but I think if you're

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going to get him this has to be the week

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the longer you delay it the worse this

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is going to look because after

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Bournemouth at home in five it's Wolves

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Away in six Palace away in seven then

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Chelsea at home in eight and Arsenal

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away in nine Now Chelsea at home might

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not be that bad two away games against

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wolves and Palace aren't the end of the

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world but it's not a fixture run that

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you would necessarily look to Target now

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for his price he probably will continue

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to do pretty well and once you come

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below 8 million there's not a huge

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amount of standout players like Bowen

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and Gordon absolutely nailed on which is

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nice but they're not setting the world

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Al light in terms of FPL points so I can

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still see reason that people are going

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for Diaz but personally I'd still rather

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have e despite the fact that he's only

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returned once so far this season in

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Burma also looks really good from

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gameweek uh six onwards a lot of people

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are still going to have at least one of

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Salah or sacka Midfield spots are quite

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there's not a huge amount where you can

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just go with whoever you want and at

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some point you've probably got to have a

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cheap player in there as well so I just

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don't really know where Lis Diaz fits in

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moving forward and obviously that's

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personal preference right and I'm off

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wrong so you can absolutely go against

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that but I think with Champions League

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coming up it would just put me off him

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even more so I don't hate bringing him

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in this week because I think bourma for

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home is decent wolves away is not bad

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whatsoever and Palace is struggling to

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keep clean sheets as well so the next

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three look okay but if he keeps getting

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subbed off early I don't think that's a

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great thing moving forward and at some

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point maybe he gets benched maybe GPO

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goes and plays left wing from the start

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of a game for 60 minutes then you only

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get 30 minutes from Diaz at the end of a

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game and look you could say that he

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could score Off the Bench of course he

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could that's not what you want in FPL

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that's the kind of thing people say

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until it happens and then they get

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frustrated that their player is not

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starting and if that's you I just

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wouldn't buy him so I think he'll

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probably do well this week but he's he

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might have to do well quickly in like 60

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minutes and that is not ideal for FPL so

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personally I wouldn't be looking to

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bring him in anymore I think anyone that

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went for him for game week one happy

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days I'm not saying the boat's been

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missed

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but it is starting to get to that stage

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in my opinion you're not bringing him in

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this week I think you've got to ignore

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him maybe that's why people are going

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for him this week but I definitely wait

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until champions league has happened to

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see how Liverpool line up first of all

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but also just in case of injuries and

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stuff like that so nearly 200,000 trans

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was out for Xiao Pedro ahead of game

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week five and I get the frustration

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Brighton's best fixture of the first

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eight game weeks was in game week four

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against it witch at home and Xiao Pedro

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wasn't even in the squad which is not

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ideal unless you got Smith Off the Bench

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like me or Gabrielle like some people

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but generally not great for him to miss

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a fixture like that and also a bit

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worryingly Brian didn't score any goals

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in that game and on on paper that looks

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like a plum fixture and now they've got

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Forest at home who look good defensively

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and those underlying numbers from last

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year they starting to look like it

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wasn't an anomaly and they're now

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converting that into not conceding a

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huge amount of goals this year and

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getting a clean sheet away to Liverpool

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which is really impressive so it

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wouldn't put me off playing Xiao Pedro

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or any Brighton attacker against Forest

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but it doesn't look as good as it did

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maybe a couple of game weeks ago right

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so if you can hold on until you get news

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from herzler about whether or not he's

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back I will say this though he does seem

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to pick up quite a few knocks if you

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look at last year I think someone said

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to me it might have been Luke who I've

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had on the channel a couple of times

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that when Jia Pedro starts he often

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plays like 80 85 minutes plus and you

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can see that this year right 81 in

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gameweek one 9090 so the minutes are

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good when he starts but only actually

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started 19 times last year now that

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could partially be because of the

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zerby's you know want to rotate players

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but it is a little bit worrying about

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how often xia Pedro is just not

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available so for me he was almost

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looking like a player I would just hold

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on to not indefinitely but for a while

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because he only cost me 5.5 he's such

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good value potentially but if he is

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going to miss forest and then he's a

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slight doubt going into Chelsea or we're

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not completely sure I don't think he is

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a lock on wild card or anything like

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that I think I'd prefer to Target

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someone with better fixtures and there's

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a lot of good cheap forwards at the

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moment so Jamie VY for example people

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are considering Cal L I've spoken about

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Chris Wood from gameweek six has got

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good fixtures is there any need to have

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a player with Chelsea away Spurs at home

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Newcastle away between gaming six and 8

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probably not and Wolves At Home in nine

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is good then you got Liverpool way in 10

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now I always come back to the fact that

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even if you're buying him now he's only

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5.7 he's on penalties and he's playing

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on a good attacking team te although

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they have just blanked whip switch so

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there is part of me that thinks you

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could just keep hold of him and rotate

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him in and out of your squad as like an

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eighth attacker but I think if I was

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wild carding in six which I probably am

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going to do I I'm not sure I'm going to

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go with him so we need to for this week

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I still think it's fine to play him as

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long as he's available so you can hold

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on and wait for news but if you are

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going to get rid of him or he's not

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available I think as a long-term pick I

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go calvat lein but for this week only

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probably Jamie vardy so as I've just

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mentioned him let's talk about Jamie

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vardy next who had another price rise

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last night so we started at 5.5 you went

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up to 5.6 and then last night you went

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to 5.7 if you want to check which

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players are likely to change in price by

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the way fantasy football Hub have a

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completely free price change page I'll

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leave a link in the description below

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essentially and it's difficult to be

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100% accurate about this stuff but when

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a player gets to 100% And in the blue or

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close to 100% they're likely to rise

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pretty soon and then when when a player

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gets to minus 100% And in the red

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they're likely to drop in price soon so

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you can see Bruno Fernandez is M minus

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99% he's been very close to a price drop

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for a little while now it's almost

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certainly going to happen ahead of

play10:09

gameweek five so if you had Fernandez

play10:11

and you wanted to sell him you could

play10:13

consider doing that before you lose any

play10:15

team value but be absolutely sure that

play10:18

that's the move you want to make if

play10:19

you're not i' take the price drop on the

play10:21

chin same with any player and then just

play10:24

wait until you got a bit more

play10:25

information likewise if there's a player

play10:27

that you're thinking about buying or

play10:28

selling you want to see where they're at

play10:30

you can actually just search their name

play10:31

at the top so Isaac for example he's

play10:33

dropped from 8.5 to 8.4 he's only at

play10:36

minus 28% so there's no need to worry

play10:38

about him right now I'd much rather get

play10:40

more information over midweek Champions

play10:42

League games and stuff like that before

play10:44

I worry about selling him but like I

play10:46

said completely free links in the

play10:48

description um back to Jamie vardy I

play10:50

really like him as an option right and

play10:52

it does help that he's just scored

play10:54

another goal so I think that's two for

play10:55

the season for him now one against

play10:57

Palace one against Spurs so game week

play10:59

four and game week 1 it's a little bit

play11:01

worrying that against Fulham in two and

play11:03

Viller in three he put up zero XG but

play11:07

against Spurs it was 0.8 he scored the

play11:09

goal and had another really good chance

play11:10

and against Palace it was 64 so he is

play11:13

still getting chances and he played 90

play11:15

minutes in both of the last two games as

play11:17

well so that's pretty encouraging they

play11:19

do have edad now so he he could get

play11:22

minutes as well but I think while vardy

play11:24

is fit he's just going to keep playing

play11:26

and with a week between games and not

play11:27

many midweek matches and stuff like that

play11:29

for

play11:30

Lester as long as he's fine he's

play11:33

probably going to keep getting the

play11:35

minutes and he's on penalties as well

play11:37

and the fixures that leester have coming

play11:38

up are just really good Arsenal away in

play11:41

six is not great but if you've got an

play11:43

eighth attacker that you could play

play11:44

instead you could always bench vardy

play11:46

that week then you got Everton at home

play11:48

in five who keep conceding goals it's

play11:50

what like six in the last two games bmer

play11:52

at home in seven Southampton away in

play11:54

eight Forest at home in nine and IP

play11:56

switch away in 10 so he's definitely got

play11:58

the fixtures

play11:59

the only concern that I have is Fitness

play12:03

because you can be as fit as you like

play12:05

but age eventually catches up to you and

play12:08

Jamie vardy is obviously getting a bit

play12:10

older now right he can still clearly do

play12:12

it in the Premier League as we've seen

play12:13

but that's the only War I have will that

play12:16

Fitness hold up over these you know the

play12:19

next five six game we because it's not

play12:20

the kind of player you want to bring in

play12:21

and have to mess about with Tak him back

play12:23

out again but I think he's proved it so

play12:26

far Leicester aren't going to have a

play12:27

bunch of midweek games like champions

play12:29

league and stuff like that to contend

play12:31

with so I suspect he'll probably be fine

play12:34

I think for 5.7 that's a really nice

play12:37

price I probably wouldn't bring him in

play12:38

ahead of someone like Calbert luim

play12:41

because I think if you look at the

play12:42

fixtures for Everton you don't have that

play12:45

Arsenal away game in there so they've

play12:47

got Leicester at home this week then

play12:48

it's Palace at home Newcastle at home IP

play12:50

switch away Fulham at home Southampton

play12:51

away it's just a really good fixure run

play12:53

for Everton right up until I mean even

play12:56

man united away is probably not terrible

play12:58

but Liverpool home and Arsenal away in

play13:00

15 and 16 but that's ages away so I do

play13:03

prefer Cav at Leen but as a onewe punt

play13:05

going for the guy at home I think Jamie

play13:08

is probably the one that I would bring

play13:09

in he's had 146,000 Tres in so far

play13:12

that's going to continue to rise I think

play13:15

he's a good option I I don't know you

play13:16

look at the XG per 90 it's 0.39 which is

play13:19

decent enough and he's getting the

play13:21

minutes as well there's something that

play13:22

tells me those minutes won't continue at

play13:24

90 and Edward might play a bit of a part

play13:27

but I also think for Leicester they need

play13:29

needed a bit of competition they needed

play13:31

more depth in their squad I don't I

play13:33

don't think it's a case that Ed's been

play13:34

brought in to play ahead of Jamie vardy

play13:37

but maybe I'm wrong about that but I

play13:38

just don't feel like that's the the case

play13:40

so yeah I'll just leave it at that I

play13:42

think Jamie vard is a pretty good option

play13:44

as long as he stays fit and right now

play13:45

that's exactly what he's doing so just

play13:47

one other quick thing on Jamie vardy and

play13:49

his Fitness I think it was ahead of game

play13:50

week one against Spurs at home where

play13:52

there were some doubts around whether or

play13:53

not he would start Steve Cooper said he

play13:55

had a bit of an issue and he wasn't sure

play13:57

now to be fair that could just be Steve

play13:58

Co things he doesn't tend to give away

play14:00

too much team news but it looked like

play14:02

there was a genuine concern there and

play14:04

vardy played anyway and he does seem

play14:06

like that kind of player that even if

play14:07

he's got a bit of a knock he'll try and

play14:09

get himself through the game so although

play14:11

I do think that age catches up to

play14:13

everyone and eventually he'll have to

play14:15

slow down it doesn't look like that's

play14:17

happening right now maybe that will over

play14:19

the course of the Season we have to wait

play14:21

until later on uh this year but he also

play14:24

seems like if he does have a bit of a

play14:25

knock he'll just play anyway I guess

play14:26

with edad there they might not take the

play14:29

risk anymore but I just think overall

play14:31

things look quite good for his minutes

play14:33

in the short term and the fixtures are

play14:35

just great so if you want to take that

play14:36

punt I'm really not against it at all

play14:39

let's talk about erling Harland next I

play14:40

think he scored about 50 goals or

play14:42

something so far this season another

play14:45

165,000 transfers in he's already 15.2

play14:48

million and he's close to another price

play14:50

rise as well which will of course take

play14:51

him to 15.3 now what is there to talk

play14:54

about here really the guy is just great

play14:56

you all know that you don't need me to

play14:58

tell you

play14:59

here's what I want to say if you've got

play15:02

a team with no Harland it's probably

play15:04

been quite painful although there's

play15:06

probably a lot of non harand owners out

play15:08

there that are still ahead of me right

play15:09

I'm sure there's plenty of you out there

play15:11

but in general I think it has been quite

play15:12

painful but I think there is reason in

play15:15

gameweek five to double down on not

play15:17

owning him because if he's ever not

play15:19

going to do well it's in a fixture like

play15:22

Arsenal at home the best defense in the

play15:24

league I would say Man City very good as

play15:26

well but Arsenal definitely number one

play15:29

now can harand go and score another two

play15:30

or three goals against Arsenal yes is

play15:33

that likely to happen I would say

play15:35

probably not and a lot of people that

play15:37

own just Haren uh just Harland sorry and

play15:39

no Salah like me are thinking about

play15:41

bringing Salah in purely for captaincy

play15:44

not because we think harand is

play15:45

definitely going to blank but because

play15:47

the chances of getting a big score are a

play15:49

lot lower than they would be in any

play15:51

other fixture and I think Arsenal and

play15:54

maybe Liverpool are the only two games

play15:56

where i' I'd look elsewhere for

play15:57

captaincy with Harland it might be that

play15:59

you know gameweek six when uh sack's got

play16:02

Southampton at home and harland's got

play16:04

Newcastle away I might back against him

play16:05

again but I'd be less sure about doing

play16:08

that in game week five I think I

play16:09

probably will so if you haven't got him

play16:13

you could double down and just delay it

play16:14

a little bit further I'm not saying

play16:16

forever you could pick him up in game

play16:17

week six against Newcastle away or full

play16:19

him at home in game week seven but I

play16:21

just don't think you necessarily need

play16:23

him this week now of course if you're

play16:24

wild carding or you're just sick of the

play16:26

sight of him and you just need him in

play16:27

your team you should do that that right

play16:29

because keeping your sanity is a big

play16:32

part of FPL and sometimes just getting

play16:34

players in like that that helps with it

play16:36

but I think you could go against it in

play16:37

gameweek five and this is not me as a

play16:39

Harland owner hoping that less people

play16:41

bring him in I just think it's a tough

play16:42

picture which is probably why I'll bring

play16:44

salarin and we saw against Spurs how

play16:46

many chances there were in that game for

play16:49

Spurs hardly any and Man City are better

play16:53

they'll probably make it much more

play16:54

tougher for Arsenal than Spurs did but I

play16:58

don't think massively and we saw Arsenal

play16:59

away to uh to City last year it was a

play17:02

really KY game and I think it'll be

play17:03

exactly the same so absolutely fine if

play17:07

you want to bring in Harland of course

play17:08

it is but I think if you're ever not

play17:10

going to do it this is the week and plan

play17:12

for six or seven instead and just build

play17:14

up another transfer if you can get

play17:18

through the weekend without har right if

play17:20

you can keep your sanity then I would

play17:22

say don't buy him for everyone else just

play17:24

probably bring him in now rather than

play17:26

wait till 6 or 7 so likewise I can't see

play17:28

too many reasons to bring in Gabrielle

play17:30

this week when he's about to play Guess

play17:32

Who earling Harlem right man city away

play17:34

absolutely terrible fixture on paper and

play17:36

I know he's just got a 15p pointer

play17:39

against Spurs which looks great it's

play17:40

going to be more difficult to do that in

play17:42

gameweek five now of course if the

play17:44

70,000 transfers in for Gabrielle and

play17:46

mostly wild cards I get it because

play17:48

they've got Leicester at home in six

play17:50

Southampton at home in seven Bournemouth

play17:52

away in eight and generally I think that

play17:54

game against Spurs was just a nice

play17:56

reminder that arsenal were brilliant and

play17:58

you never have to worry about playing

play18:00

their defenders in any game and long

play18:01

term it probably is worth just getting

play18:03

one in and not worrying about

play18:05

transferring them out ever unless they

play18:07

lose their place or get injured but I'd

play18:09

still question whether bringing them in

play18:11

for Man City away is the time to do it

play18:13

so if you're wild carding fair enough

play18:15

you get them in ready for game week six

play18:17

for everyone else you can just hold off

play18:18

on the transfer so Emil Smith row had

play18:20

another price rise this week that means

play18:22

he's gone from 5.5 at the start of the

play18:24

season to 5.7 million he's had two

play18:26

attacking returns so far goaling week 2

play18:29

an assisting game week four he started

play18:31

every match just over 130,000 transfers

play18:34

in so far this week he looks like a

play18:36

decent pick for the price and the

play18:38

underlying numbers are good too so 0.29

play18:40

expected goals per 90 .23 expected

play18:43

assists that is decent you do need to

play18:45

put some context around those numbers

play18:47

though and that is he's very rarely

play18:49

going to get to 90 minutes so so far 63

play18:52

68 71 72 and around the 70 minute Mark

play18:57

is probably where I'd expect him

play18:59

to be subbed off quite often moving

play19:01

forward because Fulham do have other

play19:03

options and Marco Silva has said in

play19:05

preseason that he needs to build up that

play19:06

Fitness it's been a long time since he's

play19:09

played regularly so we should expect the

play19:10

early Subs to continue to happen but

play19:13

he's only 5.7 million I think he pretty

play19:15

much is nail to start so I like him and

play19:19

I own him right now I may or may not

play19:21

play him in gameweek five I'll save that

play19:23

discussion for the team selection video

play19:24

but I think he's fine this week

play19:25

Newcastle at home is not a terrible

play19:27

fixed here but I'm me two minds about

play19:30

whether or not I think he's a good

play19:31

transfer in this week because you've got

play19:33

Forest away in six and City away in

play19:35

seven two pretty difficult fixtures as

play19:38

an attacker Villa at home Everton away

play19:41

and brenford at home between game weeks

play19:42

eight and 10 is not bad so four of the

play19:45

next six are fine but two of the tough

play19:48

ones are in the next three game weeks so

play19:50

as a short-term option I'm not sure he's

play19:52

that good and I own him right now and I

play19:55

think if you're not looking to wild card

play19:57

or you've already used it Smith row is

play19:59

not a bad long-term option because the

play20:01

fixtures don't get tricky until kind of

play20:02

gameweek 13 onwards we got Spurs away

play20:05

Brighton at home Arsenal at home

play20:06

Liverpool way but at the same time I've

play20:10

looked at Wild Card six drafts and at no

play20:12

point have I considered having em Smith

play20:14

row I've always looked like like a

play20:16

Sharda or a mcneel or just keeping

play20:18

Rogers someone like that instead because

play20:21

of the fixtures that Fulham have in six

play20:24

and seven in particular so I think

play20:27

overall my opinion is still that Smith

play20:29

row is a pretty good option he may not

play20:31

keep up those numbers they might come

play20:33

down slightly but he's always going to

play20:34

start and be getting into attacking

play20:35

position so I like him I just don't know

play20:38

if this is the right time to bring him

play20:39

in could you go for a cheaper Midfield

play20:41

sorry a cheap midfielder around that

play20:43

price with slightly better fixtures if

play20:45

you just want to put him in and forget

play20:47

about him and you're just going to keep

play20:48

him the whole way through I think that's

play20:50

fine but I do think if you're playing

play20:53

planning a wild card in like 6 S8 or

play20:55

something like that there's there's

play20:57

players with better fixures in the short

play20:59

term like mcneel who I've just mentioned

play21:00

maybe even like sharder as well that you

play21:03

could go for and then look at Smith row

play21:05

later so he's fine I just don't like

play21:07

gameweek six or seven all that much so

play21:10

someone on my stream on Sunday said why

play21:11

is no one talking about Ania and

play21:13

Nottingham Forest so here we are talking

play21:15

about him just over 100,000 transfers in

play21:17

after a clean sheet against Liverpool in

play21:19

gameweek four and the nice thing is he's

play21:21

already dropped in price this season so

play21:23

he's only 4.4 million he's a

play21:25

differential at 3% ownership as well and

play21:27

while I don't think there's a rush to

play21:29

get Nottingham Forest Defenders because

play21:30

it's bright and away this week the home

play21:33

games they've got coming up are decent

play21:34

so Fulham at home in six Palace at home

play21:37

in eight and West Ham at home in 10 even

play21:39

Leicester away in nine is not all that

play21:41

bad I will say if you're looking to

play21:44

bring in a cheap Defender that you want

play21:45

to play every week I'm not sure this is

play21:47

the time to get a forest one because

play21:49

Brighton away in five like I mentioned

play21:50

then Chelsea away in seven but as a

play21:52

rotation option I think he looks pretty

play21:55

good and if you look at the Defenders so

play21:57

far for total points sat on 20 same as

play21:59

doow van djk and Ben White even Trent

play22:02

Alexander Arnold is only one point ahead

play22:04

so I get why there's heavy investment in

play22:07

Forest defense in terms

play22:09

of how nailed he is I saw a few Forest

play22:13

fans basically saying when Moreno came

play22:16

in that Ana will play left back with

play22:18

niik Williams and then when Moreno comes

play22:20

in to play left back anel will move to

play22:22

right back and that's exactly what

play22:24

happened now would a not and Forest fan

play22:26

tell you that Anor is like 100 100%

play22:29

nailed I'm not sure but I think it'd be

play22:31

like high 90% And he's played 90 minutes

play22:34

in each of the last three games and I

play22:36

think we should expect him to be in that

play22:38

11 way more often than not and he is

play22:40

definitely someone that I'm going to

play22:41

look at on Wild Card 6 because the

play22:45

underlying numbers for their defense

play22:46

last year were good but they did concede

play22:48

quite a few goals those numbers have

play22:50

continued to be decent this year and

play22:52

they've only conceded two goals so far

play22:55

so the clean sheit against Liverpool

play22:57

clean sheit against Southampton one goal

play22:58

conceded against wolves one against

play23:00

Bourn that is it and the underlying

play23:02

numbers are great 0.55 expected goals

play23:05

conceded versus Bournemouth 0.14 against

play23:08

Southampton 0.74 against wolves and the

play23:11

most impressive keep keeping Liverpool

play23:14

to under one XG at anfield now do I

play23:19

think Forest are now an elite defense

play23:21

and as good as like Arsenal man city of

play23:22

course not but for their price their

play23:26

potential Bargains so I like an if you

play23:28

want to go maybe a bit safer with your

play23:31

pick then

play23:33

milenovic probably a threat from set

play23:35

pieces I would say at 4.5 and Millo at

play23:39

4.5 as well they both look absolutely

play23:41

nailed but Ania seems to be in that team

play23:45

no matter what and if he wants to bring

play23:46

Nico Williams in I wouldn't be

play23:48

completely surprised if Ana moves back

play23:49

to left back and Moreno comes out of the

play23:51

team but Moreno was great against

play23:53

Liverpool he was really good up against

play23:55

Mo all and he's also

play23:57

4.4 I think I think between the two

play23:59

based on what we've seen previously like

play24:01

Aston Villa and stuff like that Moreno

play24:03

is likely to be the more attacking

play24:04

Defender I think Ana's minutes are

play24:06

probably slightly better so that's why

play24:08

I'd probably go for him or if you want

play24:10

to play it Mega safe you just pay an

play24:12

extra point1 and get one of the the

play24:13

center backs Ju Just on

play24:16

Ana's um stats so far this season from

play24:18

an attacking set 0.01 expected goals per

play24:21

90 .06 expected assist not amazing but

play24:25

if I look at the numbers from last year

play24:27

I think they were a little bit better so

play24:28

on the op to Stats Tour on HUB I can

play24:31

just go to last season pretty quickly

play24:34

actually it wasn't that much better to

play24:35

be honest .05 expected assist not. not2

play24:39

expected goals was he playing no he

play24:41

wasn't there the season before that so I

play24:43

don't think he's massively attacking or

play24:45

anything like that maybe Forest fans can

play24:46

leave a comment below and let me know if

play24:48

I've got that wrong but I do think he's

play24:50

probably going to play Maybe milenovic

play24:52

is better for 0.1 either way the home

play24:54

games they've got coming up a forest

play24:55

Defender looks good you don't need to

play24:57

rush in and buy him this week so it

play24:59

feels like I talk about yosco vardo most

play25:01

weeks and obviously after the benching

play25:02

in game week four against brenford

play25:04

people are really frustrated with him

play25:05

and he's been sold by just over 130,000

play25:08

FPL managers and I think for 6 million

play25:11

that probably makes sense especially

play25:13

with Arsenal at home and Newcastle away

play25:15

next two game weeks is going to be

play25:16

difficult to get a clean sheet

play25:18

interestingly I'm playing Champions

play25:20

League fantasy this year and I asked

play25:22

Luke who's been on the channel a couple

play25:23

of times so far this season who he

play25:26

thinks is the most nailed on Man City

play25:28

Defender Defender moving forward bearing

play25:29

in mind that it's difficult to ever nail

play25:31

down what the 11 is going to be week to

play25:33

week and he said vardal he doesn't see

play25:36

presumably Rico Lewis continuing to play

play25:39

left back AK is also out for a while and

play25:42

even when AK comes back he thinks he's

play25:43

more likely to play as one of the center

play25:45

backs rather than the left back so

play25:48

vard's minutes might be pretty good

play25:50

moving forward but I appreciate that so

play25:52

far this season it's been quite brutal

play25:54

owning him like it's not been a complete

play25:57

disaster but it's not been great either

play25:59

so if I just bring out vardal here he

play26:01

got the clean sheet against yeah Chelsea

play26:03

in game one and then it has been like

play26:05

three blanks in a row ipswitch West Ham

play26:08

brenford it's not great I wouldn't sit

play26:10

here and argue that anyone should keep

play26:12

him but I do think longer term if he's

play26:14

going to keep his place and a is out for

play26:16

a while City do have some pretty good

play26:18

fixtures coming up fulam at home in

play26:19

seven walls away in eight Southampton at

play26:21

home in nine bourou away in 10 is not a

play26:24

bad run but I think it's really

play26:26

difficult to make an argument for him

play26:28

when you can get the likes of Robertson

play26:29

for the same price who looks pretty much

play26:32

nailed on and Liverpool defense has been

play26:34

pretty decent I know they just conceded

play26:35

to Faris but first three games they were

play26:37

good um and obviously Gabrielle and CRA

play26:41

as well in an Arsenal defense where you

play26:42

know they're going to continue to start

play26:44

and it's like the best defense in the

play26:45

league and they've got Leicester and

play26:47

Southampton coming up so I am making no

play26:49

argument to keep vardal but I find it

play26:51

interesting that Luke is still fairly

play26:54

convinced and look I might have Mis

play26:55

quieted him slightly right so don't put

play26:57

it all on Luke put it on me but he still

play26:59

thinks that vardal is probably the most

play27:01

nailed out of the city Defenders going

play27:04

forward so make it that what you will

play27:05

but if you want to sell him this week I

play27:07

get it it's probably not a clean sheet

play27:08

against Arsenal it's going to be

play27:10

difficult and even Newcastle away I

play27:11

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