90% OF CRASHES IN 2023/24 LOOKED THE SAME (5 AUG) - SPY SPX QQQ OPTIONS ES NQ SWING & DAY TRADING

SPY Day Trading
3 Aug 202412:10

Summary

TLDRIn this trading-focused video, the speaker dissects market movements through the lens of intraday algorithms, emphasizing the importance of recognizing institutional selling patterns and market liquidity. They highlight key moments such as the 'tapering teal algorithm' and 'engulfing red candle' as pivotal for identifying trading opportunities. The narrative stresses the significance of patience, strategic trading, and avoiding overtrading to ensure profitability, while also underscoring the necessity of understanding market structures for long-term success in trading.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The video discusses how to identify institutional selling and market clues for trading profits.
  • 🔍 On August 1st, the speaker had previously identified a market trend that led to a 20-point drop, indicating the importance of recognizing patterns.
  • 📊 The script emphasizes understanding intraday algorithms and translating them to larger time frames for better trade setups.
  • ⏰ At 9:48 a.m. on a Friday, a 'tapering teal algorithm' was identified, leading to a profitable trade based on market structure.
  • 📉 The video mentions a 'green selling continuation algorithm' as a strong indicator of selling pressure on that day.
  • 🛑 The speaker advises to stop trading when there's a lack of continuation in the market structure, especially towards the end of the trading day.
  • 💡 It's crucial for traders to learn when to stop trading and not to overtrade, focusing on profitability rather than the number of trades.
  • 🎯 The importance of patience in trading is highlighted, with the goal of finding profits in the charts regardless of market direction.
  • 📚 The script encourages viewers to train their eyes to identify trading algorithms and structures for consistent profitability.
  • đŸš« A warning against relying on signals alone, as they can be detrimental, emphasizing the need to learn and master trading skills for the long term.
  • 🌐 The video concludes with a reminder to watch previous videos for a better understanding of the discussed trading concepts and strategies.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of the video script?

    -The main focus of the video script is to discuss market analysis techniques, specifically identifying institutional selling patterns and intraday trading algorithms to make profits in the stock market.

  • What is the significance of the 'teal algorithm' mentioned in the script?

    -The 'teal algorithm' is a trading pattern that the speaker identifies as significant for building liquidity and forming a 'cup and handle' structure in the market, which can be used to predict market movements and trade accordingly.

  • What does the script suggest about the importance of understanding intraday algorithms in relation to larger time frames?

    -The script suggests that understanding intraday algorithms is crucial as it allows traders to translate these patterns to larger time frames, which can help in identifying potential trading opportunities and setups.

  • What is the 'engulfing red candle' mentioned in the script and why is it important?

    -The 'engulfing red candle' is a specific candlestick pattern that signals a strong bearish trend. It is important because it indicates a potential shift in market sentiment and can be a clue for traders to anticipate further selling pressure.

  • What is the 'taper' mentioned in the script and how does it relate to trading?

    -The 'taper' refers to a decrease in the intensity of a trading pattern or algorithm. It is significant in trading as it can indicate a potential change in market direction or a pause in the current trend, prompting traders to adjust their strategies accordingly.

  • How does the script define 'overtrading' and why is it discouraged?

    -Overtrading is defined in the script as engaging in too many trades within a short period. It is discouraged because it can lead to increased risk and decreased profitability, as traders may not have enough time to analyze each trade properly.

  • What is the role of the 'magenta algorithm' in the script's trading strategy?

    -The 'magenta algorithm' is identified as a stronger pattern that can indicate a potential liquidity grab in the market. It is used to identify short-term rallies and potential entry or exit points for trades.

  • What does the script suggest about managing risk in trading?

    -The script suggests that managing risk in trading involves being aware of market structures, understanding when to stop trading, and not overtrading. It emphasizes the importance of patience and discipline in trading to ensure profitability.

  • What is the significance of the 'green algorithm' in the script's discussion on market trends?

    -The 'green algorithm' is highlighted as a strong selling continuation pattern that can limit the market's upside. It is significant as it provides a clear indication of potential resistance levels and can help traders manage their positions accordingly.

  • How does the script advise traders to approach the concept of 'profitability' in trading?

    -The script advises traders to focus on being profitable rather than trying to execute as many trades as possible. It emphasizes the importance of patience, discipline, and the ability to identify profitable opportunities within market structures.

  • What is the script's stance on the use of 'signals' in trading?

    -The script discourages reliance on signals for trading, arguing that they can be detrimental to a trader's development of long-term, sustainable trading skills. It encourages traders to learn and master the skill of identifying market patterns and opportunities independently.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Market Analysis and Trading Algorithms

The first paragraph discusses the importance of understanding market signals and institutional selling patterns. It provides a brief on the 'tapering teal algorithm' identified at 9:48 a.m. on a Friday, which led to a profitable trade. The speaker emphasizes the significance of recognizing market structures and liquidity, as well as the importance of not overtrading. The paragraph concludes with advice on managing risk and identifying when to stop trading, especially on Fridays, to ensure safety and profitability.

05:02

🎓 Developing Trading Skills for Long-Term Profitability

The second paragraph focuses on the concept of not overtrading and the importance of training one's eyes to identify trading algorithms and structures. It stresses the need for patience and focus to find profits in the charts, regardless of market fluctuations. The speaker encourages members to learn a lifetime skill for consistent profitability, warning against relying on signals and emphasizing the value of mastering the skill for daily five-figure profits. The paragraph ends with motivational advice on maintaining focus and discipline in trading.

10:04

📊 Market Trend Analysis and Liquidity Zones

The third paragraph delves into market trend analysis, discussing the use of algorithms to identify liquidity zones and potential reversal points. It highlights the importance of watching for the 5-day moving average to catch up as an indicator for further downside movement. The speaker advises on the cyclical nature of market trends and the importance of using trend indicators wisely. The paragraph concludes with a caution against letting ego interfere with profitable trading and the need for levelheadedness and good intentions in trading decisions.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Profits

Profits refer to the financial gain made from a business or investment. In the context of the video, the speaker is discussing strategies to make profits in the market, emphasizing the importance of understanding market movements and trading algorithms to achieve financial success.

💡Intraday Algorithms

Intraday algorithms are trading strategies or patterns that are used within a single trading day. The video script mentions the importance of understanding these algorithms to translate them into larger time frames and to identify profitable trade setups, such as the 'tapering teal algorithm' identified at 9:48 a.m. on a specific Friday.

💡Liquidity

Liquidity in financial markets refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without affecting their price. The script discusses building liquidity with different colored 'algorithms', indicating how the market absorbs and releases assets, which is crucial for traders to identify potential trade opportunities.

💡Engulfing Red Candle

An engulfing red candle is a specific pattern in candlestick charting that signifies a strong bearish movement, where a red (or green in some charting styles) candle completely covers the previous candle. The video mentions this pattern as a clue of a strong selling pressure in the market.

💡Selling Continuation

Selling continuation refers to a market trend where selling pressure persists, indicating that the price is likely to continue to decrease. The script describes a 'green selling continuation algorithm' as the strongest selling signal seen on that day, suggesting traders should be cautious and possibly hold their positions.

💡Tapering

Tapering in trading indicates a reduction in the intensity or volume of trading activity. The script uses the term 'tapering' to describe a situation where the market is no longer showing strong selling or buying signals, and traders should wait for clearer patterns like 'cups to start closing' before making trades.

💡Cup and Handle

The cup and handle is a bullish continuation pattern in technical analysis, where the 'cup' represents a rounding bottom and the 'handle' is a smaller consolidation that follows the 'cup'. The video script uses this term to describe a market structure that can indicate a potential upward price movement.

💡Head and Shoulders

Head and shoulders is a reversal pattern in technical analysis that signals a potential change from an uptrend to a downtrend. In the script, a 'beautiful head and shoulder structure' is mentioned, which could suggest that the market might be nearing a peak before a decline.

💡VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)

VWAP is a trading benchmark that averages the price a security has traded at throughout the day, based on both volume and price. The script mentions using VWAP to identify when the market is trending and chopping, indicating it as a signal to stop trading for the day, especially on Fridays.

💡Overtrading

Overtrading refers to the act of making too many trades in a short period, often leading to increased risk and potential losses. The speaker in the video advises against overtrading, emphasizing the importance of patience and focusing on profitable trades rather than the quantity of trades.

💡Trend Indicators

Trend indicators are technical analysis tools used to identify the direction of price movements. The script talks about using trend indicators like the 5-day and 20-day moving averages in combination with the bottom Bollinger Bands to identify market trends and potential reversals.

Highlights

The video discusses how to prepare for making profits by analyzing market lifts and institutional selling.

Introduction of intraday algorithms to identify institutional selling and trading setups.

Explanation of the 'tapering teal algorithm' and its significance in identifying market structure on 9:48 a.m. Friday.

The importance of understanding market liquidity building with teal and orange algorithms.

Identification of a strong selling continuation algorithm with increasing volume as a sign of selling strength.

Highlighting the yellow tapering rhythm and its role in signaling a change from selling into strength.

The significance of waiting for cup closures and additional structure in trading strategies.

Analysis of the green algorithm limiting upside potential and its impact on trading decisions.

The concept of market chopping and the importance of recognizing when to stop trading, especially on Fridays.

Advice on managing risks and the importance of not overtrading for consistent profitability.

Emphasis on patience and focusing on profitable trades rather than the number of trades.

The role of the 5-day moving average in catching up to support further downside in the market trend.

Discussion on the cyclical nature of market trends and the importance of trend indicators.

The importance of not letting ego interfere with trading decisions for the sake of profitability.

The long-term skill of trading and its potential to be life-changing, both financially and personally.

Encouragement to learn and master trading algorithms for consistent profitability.

A recap on institutional selling and the importance of understanding market trends from previous videos.

Transcripts

play00:00

come let us prepare make some good

play00:01

profits today Market lift has some Clues

play00:04

right here we will be talking about that

play00:06

in today's video now in case you missed

play00:09

it I talked about this on 1st August

play00:12

1029 right here where I talked about how

play00:15

you can be identifying institutional

play00:19

selling and just take a look we went

play00:21

down 20 points from then but there are

play00:24

more clues that the market has left for

play00:26

us let's talk about that in today's

play00:28

video but before that inod analysis it's

play00:31

important you understand the intraday

play00:33

algorithms that you can translate them

play00:36

in the larger time frame and also to

play00:38

identify your five figure trait setups

play00:41

9:48 a.m. on Friday we identify the

play00:45

tapering teal algorithm right here now

play00:47

you see how the teal algorithm started

play00:50

forming that cup and handle and you see

play00:54

how beautifully the market gave us

play00:56

absolutely beautiful structure here off

play00:59

that yow low 534 exactly as it is giving

play01:03

us a beautiful first trade of the day

play01:07

this trade Five Points absolutely

play01:10

beautiful so it's important you

play01:12

understand to see how the market was

play01:14

building liquidity with the teal and the

play01:17

orange ory them and traded only as

play01:19

structure demands now one of the bigger

play01:22

Clues was this beautiful engulfing red

play01:25

candle once we started retesting that

play01:28

teal algorithm right there and you'll

play01:30

just have to see that this head is

play01:33

waiting for a liquidity grab on the

play01:35

break here now once we started breaking

play01:37

you see how the volume started

play01:39

incrementally increasing now this is a

play01:41

show of strength of selling into

play01:44

strength right here giving us that

play01:45

beautiful Green selling continuation

play01:48

algorithm this was the strongest selling

play01:50

algorithm that we have seen at that day

play01:53

so you have to hold your Runners if you

play01:55

understand how to be looking out for

play01:57

algorithms with strength like this now

play01:59

there after

play02:01

1047 we identify this yellow tapering

play02:04

rythm right because we were not selling

play02:07

into strength anymore and I showed you

play02:09

that that we stopped selling into that

play02:12

stronger selling algorithm right there

play02:14

right you don't see that anymore you see

play02:16

that we are starting to taper right here

play02:18

now when you see the tapering all you

play02:20

have to do now was to wait for cups to

play02:22

start closing once the Cup starts

play02:24

closing wait for more structure right

play02:27

here you see how the yellow and the

play02:29

orange arithm was still building more

play02:32

liquidity but this time with a stronger

play02:34

magenta arithm here so if you manage to

play02:36

catch this trade you will catch it here

play02:39

on that beautiful liquidity grab as well

play02:41

as here or even here with the magenta

play02:44

but this was very short L rally because

play02:47

we identify this green algorithm that

play02:49

limited our upside right here I will

play02:52

show you this green algorithm in a while

play02:54

so this is very important you have to

play02:56

understand that there is a lack of

play02:57

continuation even though we were

play02:59

tapering this is a clear sign that the

play03:01

market is going to chop as I showed you

play03:03

here as well

play03:05

11:33 right we also had this green

play03:08

algorithm that is limiting our upside

play03:11

right here we had the beautiful green

play03:13

and teal algorithm and giving us a

play03:15

beautiful Head and Shoulder structure

play03:17

right here there is a micro structure

play03:19

here if you manage to catch it yeah

play03:22

beautiful right shoulder liquidity but

play03:24

you see the market once again not

play03:26

willing to go down and you have four 45

play03:30

minutes right here to manage your risks

play03:32

because this was just absorbing all the

play03:34

orders and it's not going anywhere near

play03:37

to end of the day they started covering

play03:39

the shorts and this is where the average

play03:42

of the day is let me turn on vwap and

play03:45

you see how the market started trending

play03:48

and chopping the vwap this is your

play03:50

indication to stop trading for the day

play03:53

especially on Friday so it's important

play03:55

to understand where the safety is in the

play03:58

charts and understand especially with

play04:00

the lack of continuation structure you

play04:03

need to learn to know when to stop

play04:05

orders were soaked up we had strong

play04:08

structure but not heading down in the

play04:11

strongest selling orm and we were

play04:13

looking out for at least the orange 45

play04:16

minutes of order soaking up and we had

play04:19

the shorts that cover back all the way

play04:21

to Safety in vwap and this is when you

play04:24

have to call it a day you cannot be

play04:26

overtrading this is why I always tell

play04:28

you to wait for the ranges especially if

play04:31

there's no continuation structure but

play04:33

you cannot lack the patience to do this

play04:36

now members who did well this week you

play04:38

trained your eyes to be looking at the

play04:39

orms and you traded a structure demands

play04:42

you were patient and you remained

play04:45

focused to be finding profits in the

play04:47

charts you didn't overtrade some of you

play04:50

one and done every single day that's

play04:52

what you need to be doing stay focused

play04:54

on being profitable not overtrading you

play04:58

have to remember your objective of

play04:59

trading and that is to be profitable you

play05:02

are not trying to get in as many trades

play05:05

as you can so you have to learn and stay

play05:07

focused on not overtrading some of you

play05:10

one and done maximum three trades a day

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stay focused so you can understand how

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to be training your eyes to be looking

play05:18

at the algorithms identifying structure

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and most importantly finding profits in

play05:23

the charts doesn't matter in day trading

play05:25

where the charts are going up and down

play05:27

up and down it's exactly it it's going

play05:29

up and it's also going down all you have

play05:31

to do is to learn to identify profits in

play05:34

the chart and once you can do that and

play05:37

you stop over trading and you train your

play05:39

eyes to look at the algorithms I can

play05:42

guarantee you you will be very very

play05:45

profitable and consistently so so well

play05:47

done members it's about learning this

play05:49

skill this lifetime skill so you can do

play05:52

this for the rest of your life by

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learning to find five figure profit

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trades and I've shown you it's very

play06:00

possible to do it but it's a longterm

play06:03

skill you need to learn so don't rush

play06:06

this and most importantly please do not

play06:09

join even looking for signals signals

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will ruin you you need to learn the

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skill for a lifetime so you can do this

play06:17

every single day for the rest of your

play06:19

life and we're talking about $10,000 a

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day not a month mind you every single

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day the skill is worth every oun of your

play06:29

energy and determination to learn and

play06:33

master it's not going to be easy why

play06:35

should it but it is possible stay

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focused run this race strong it will be

play06:40

lifechanging not just financially but

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you will see how trading will make you a

play06:45

better person stay focused we got this

play06:48

now where do we go from here now it's

play06:50

important a quick recap now I talked

play06:52

about institutional selling right here

play06:55

and you have to watch yesterday's video

play06:57

have more understanding especially this

play07:00

week's video where I talked about this

play07:02

entire downtrend and how we managed to

play07:04

catch it here very important you have to

play07:06

learn to train your eyes using the

play07:09

algorithms and they are not just silly

play07:11

lines like most people say now if you

play07:13

learn to see them you can never and see

play07:16

them again and I talked about from there

play07:19

we had that strong Green selling

play07:22

algorithm right here and I want you to

play07:23

see we had couple of rejection here

play07:26

right and the only breakout was when we

play07:27

broke out of that green but you see the

play07:30

other selling continuation structure

play07:32

right we had more rejection before we

play07:33

started breaking out now this was after

play07:35

2 p.m. so we need to explore what this

play07:38

is whether these are the Bears or these

play07:40

are the Bulls but I also mentioned very

play07:43

clearly that this was trending back to

play07:45

the average where the vwap is so you

play07:47

have to be extremely mindful of that so

play07:50

that being said we are still in that

play07:53

very strong selling continuation

play07:55

structure you see the market and the

play07:57

Bears can still be building liquidity

play07:59

here yeah so this is a beautiful

play08:01

liquidity Zone if you can identify it

play08:03

what you want to be looking at is

play08:05

whether the Bears need to build more

play08:06

liquidity on the way down on the break

play08:08

here especially at that orange 532 now

play08:11

if this wants to continue heading down

play08:13

preferably we head down in that green

play08:16

the strongest so far that we've seen

play08:18

Green selling continuation structure

play08:20

otherwise there's another orange one

play08:22

here that we have not even breached at

play08:24

all so you have to be very Mindful and

play08:26

look out for that orange right there now

play08:28

at this point here yeah if there is any

play08:30

further downside we can also grab

play08:33

liquidity very quickly from that orang

play08:35

algorithm giving us more selling if the

play08:37

market does indeed want to continue

play08:39

selling here now if we do start

play08:41

weakening in our selling right so for

play08:43

example you see how the market starts

play08:45

weakening here and you have the magenta

play08:48

Rhythm and we start pushing down maybe

play08:50

we have a gap down but the market

play08:52

doesn't have sufficient liquidity to

play08:54

head down you will see how the market

play08:56

can grab liquidity back at this red 530

play08:59

level with that magenta them so pay

play09:01

close attention to that otherwise look

play09:04

out for cups to close that's what I want

play09:06

to see if this wants to head up here the

play09:08

first being this orange 532 look out for

play09:12

some micro structure right here and you

play09:14

want to see the orange and magenta

play09:16

building liquidity we have a second one

play09:19

where this is a very beautiful 536 pink

play09:22

level here we have the magenta rhm as

play09:24

well and this is what you want to be

play09:26

looking out for if there is a certain

play09:28

reversal on the way out here so level by

play09:30

level organms by organms if you want to

play09:33

be calling for the reversal now we take

play09:34

a look at the daily chart right here you

play09:37

see how we have retested bottom

play09:38

Ballinger and if this wants to continue

play09:40

trending down as I always mentioned we

play09:43

always wait for the 5day to catch up the

play09:46

5day will eventually catch up and this

play09:48

is what I want to see if I want to see

play09:50

further downside if I want to see

play09:52

further downside I do hope that the

play09:55

market trends down 5day moving average

play09:57

close to where a major liquidity levels

play10:00

are especially at this pink 536 look out

play10:03

for the handle to start forming with the

play10:06

beautiful head and show the pattern here

play10:08

with the yellow and orange or Rhythm

play10:10

here now if this continues to Trend down

play10:13

where that 536 pink is this may be where

play10:17

I want to be looking out for the cup and

play10:19

handle as well so wait for cups to close

play10:21

it's never too late if you want to call

play10:23

for the trend reversal you need to be

play10:26

waiting at least for 5day moving average

play10:28

to turn into some sort of support

play10:30

otherwise as I've always mentioned 5day

play10:33

and 20-day in combination together with

play10:35

your bottom Ballinger now if you take a

play10:37

look at previous times it happened now

play10:40

once here the 5-day pushing down and the

play10:43

bottom Ballinger you see it's always

play10:45

waiting for the 5 day before it starts

play10:48

contined trending down this where it

play10:50

gets this liquidity from likewise here

play10:52

again you see how the 5day will catch up

play10:55

in order for the bottom Ballinger to

play10:57

continue trending down that's where most

play10:58

of the liquidity is once more here as

play11:01

well 5day and you see how the market

play11:03

continues trending down here beautiful

play11:05

once more here again I think I've made

play11:07

my point and this time we had a support

play11:10

and this time we had an involvement of

play11:11

the 20-day moving average as well botton

play11:14

balling are trending down right there

play11:15

and you see whenever it bounces up 5day

play11:18

firstly turn into some sort of support

play11:20

and thereafter 5day crosses back above

play11:22

20-day moving average so it is cyclical

play11:25

it is rotational some of you will call

play11:28

it and this is exactly how you use the

play11:30

trend indicators to be looking at that

play11:32

so before then do not be so caught up

play11:35

with trying to call the reversal right

play11:38

from the bottom it serves no good except

play11:41

for your ego and that's not what's

play11:43

trying to feed your family isn't it you

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have to always remember to remain

play11:47

profitable and you have to be

play11:48

levelheaded and know how to be trading

play11:51

with good confirmation with the right

play11:55

attitudes and intentions and thereafter

play11:57

you can make money because of that be

play11:59

very careful not let your ego get into

play12:02

the way or your desire to be right it

play12:04

doesn't feed your family so thank you

play12:06

very much for watching I will see you

play12:08

closer to opening bell

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