Pengamat Sebut Harga Emas Dunia akan Terus Naik Diprediksi hingga 2028

Summary

In this discussion, economist Ibrahim Asuwaibi offers insights into the rising trend of gold prices in 2026, predicting that gold could reach up to Rp3.5 million per gram. He links this to geopolitical instability, such as tensions in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine conflicts, and US-China trade wars, which have influenced global markets. Additionally, Asuwaibi highlights Indonesia's weakening rupiah and its impact on gold prices, suggesting that the ongoing political and economic uncertainty could lead to a continued rise in gold's value. He advises Indonesians to consider gold as a long-term investment.

Takeaways

• 😀 Despite a recent dip of Rp6,000 per gram in the price of gold bars, the overall trend for gold in early 2026 is showing a significant rise.
• 😀 Gold prices are predicted to potentially reach Rp3.5 million per gram by the end of 2026, reflecting a remarkable increase.
• 😀 Geopolitical factors such as tensions in the Middle East, including protests in Iran, and the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine are contributing to the volatility in gold prices.
• 😀 The potential for conflict in regions like Greenland and the ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Russia are seen as major drivers for gold price increases.
• 😀 Economic sanctions and trade wars, particularly between the EU and China, are impacting commodity prices, including alumina, a key material used in steel, glass, and ceramics production.
• 😀 There are predictions that interest rates may be lowered in the U.S. by mid-2026, which could contribute to further upward pressure on gold prices as investors seek safe assets.
• 😀 In Indonesia, despite efforts from the central bank, the value of the rupiah continues to decline, which is expected to support the rise in gold prices in the country.
• 😀 The limited supply of gold combined with increased demand from investors is expected to keep prices elevated in the long term.
• 😀 The prediction of gold reaching Rp3.5 million per gram is considered to be a medium-term outlook, and could continue until 2028, with geopolitical tensions and trade wars being major factors.
• 😀 Despite the rise in gold prices, it's suggested that people should continue investing in gold as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, even though it may be harder for the average consumer due to rising living costs.

Q & A

What is the predicted price of gold in 2026 according to Mas Ibrahim?

Mas Ibrahim predicts that the price of gold will reach approximately Rp3,500,000 per gram in 2026 due to geopolitical tensions and economic factors.

Why does Mas Ibrahim believe gold prices will increase in 2026?

Mas Ibrahim attributes the predicted increase in gold prices to several geopolitical factors such as tensions in the Middle East, especially involving Iran, as well as trade disputes like the ongoing trade war between the US and China.

How does Mas Ibrahim view the geopolitical situation in Iran?

Mas Ibrahim notes that Iran has experienced large-scale protests due to high inflation and a significant devaluation of its currency, which has created instability. Despite this, the loyalty of Iran's military to the government has prevented a regime change, which could further affect global economic conditions.

What impact does the conflict in Ukraine have on global gold prices?

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has contributed to global instability, which typically increases the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The persistence of the war is expected to prolong these effects.

What role does the US Federal Reserve play in the gold price forecast?

The Federal Reserve's monetary policies, including interest rate adjustments, will influence gold prices. If the Fed lowers interest rates in 2026, as predicted, this could weaken the US dollar, making gold more attractive as an investment.

Why does Mas Ibrahim believe the Indonesian Rupiah will continue to weaken in the near future?

Mas Ibrahim suggests that the Rupiah will weaken due to a lack of coordination between the Indonesian government and Bank Indonesia, compounded by global economic uncertainties and the ongoing geopolitical tensions.

How will the weakening of the Rupiah affect gold prices in Indonesia?

As the Rupiah weakens, the price of gold in Indonesia will likely increase. This is because gold is often priced in US dollars, and a weaker Rupiah means higher costs when converting to local currency.

What is the significance of the geopolitical situation in Greenland and Europe?

The geopolitical situation in Greenland, particularly with the US and European powers like Denmark, is seen as a critical point for strategic control of resources. These tensions are contributing to global instability, which further drives the demand for safe-haven investments like gold.

What factors will determine the long-term trend of gold prices, according to Mas Ibrahim?

Mas Ibrahim believes that the trend in gold prices will largely depend on the continuation of geopolitical conflicts, especially the US-China trade war and tensions in the Middle East. He forecasts that these factors will keep driving gold prices upward through at least 2028.

How does the public perception of gold as an investment instrument affect its demand?

Mas Ibrahim notes that the public's growing awareness of the importance of safe investments in the face of economic instability is driving demand for gold. Many Indonesians are choosing to invest in gold, especially during times of economic uncertainty, as it provides a hedge against inflation and currency depreciation.