Next Pandemi?

Siti Fadilah Supari Channel
2 Jan 202508:43

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker addresses concerns surrounding a potential future pandemic, specifically a disease called SIRS (Severe Influenza Respiratory Syndrome). They discuss a simulation conducted in October 2022 by global health organizations, predicting that SIRS could be the next pandemic, which may be more dangerous than COVID-19. The speaker explains that although the prediction raises alarm, it is only a hypothetical scenario. They reference a similar simulation in 2019, which anticipated COVID-19, showing how such simulations can sometimes predict real events. While caution is urged, the speaker highlights that a future pandemic remains a real possibility, with preparations already underway globally.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The speaker has returned after a break and is addressing numerous questions about a potential new pandemic.
  • 😀 The disease called SEIRS (Severe Epidemic Influenza Respiratory Syndrome) is predicted to be a major health threat in the future, possibly affecting children more than the elderly.
  • 😀 SEIRS is speculated to cause severe neurological damage, particularly affecting children's brains.
  • 😀 The term 'SEIRS' came from a 2022 simulation held in Brussels, where health experts, organizations like WHO, and business leaders discussed a future pandemic scenario.
  • 😀 This simulation in 2022 predicted a pandemic similar to COVID-19, but with different impacts, and set 2025 as a potential timeframe for such a pandemic.
  • 😀 There are comparisons made between this simulation and the 2019 simulation that predicted the COVID-19 pandemic, which eventually came true in 2020.
  • 😀 The Ministry of Communications and Information (Menkominfo) labeled predictions about SEIRS as a hoax, which the speaker criticizes as misleading.
  • 😀 The speaker highlights the similarities between the 2022 pandemic simulation and the 2019 simulation that correctly predicted COVID-19's outbreak.
  • 😀 Global organizations like John Hopkins and WHO are involved in preparing for the next pandemic, with research already underway for potential vaccines.
  • 😀 While the speaker urges caution, they suggest that future pandemics are almost certain and that it's crucial to be prepared, but the exact nature of the next pandemic remains uncertain.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic discussed in the transcript?

    -The main topic is the possibility of a new pandemic, potentially caused by a disease called SEIR (Systemic Epidemic Infectious Respiratory Syndrome), and the historical context of pandemic simulations conducted in 2019 and 2022.

  • What is SEIR, and why is it considered a potential threat for the next pandemic?

    -SEIR, also referred to as SIRS, stands for Systemic Epidemic Infectious Respiratory Syndrome. It is theorized to be a future pandemic disease, which could affect children's brains severely, in contrast to previous pandemics that primarily targeted older adults.

  • What is the significance of the 2022 simulation mentioned in the video?

    -The 2022 simulation, held in Brussels, hypothesized that the next pandemic could be caused by SEIR. This event was organized by experts from WHO, Johns Hopkins University, and other global health institutions, and it projected a future pandemic scenario.

  • How does the 2022 simulation relate to the 2019 simulation?

    -Both simulations were organized by similar entities (Johns Hopkins, WHO, and Bill Gates' Foundation). The 2019 simulation predicted the COVID-19 pandemic, and it was noted that the 2022 simulation also predicted a pandemic, but this time related to SEIR, which has not yet occurred.

  • Why is there skepticism about the claims made in the 2022 simulation?

    -There is skepticism because some authorities, like Indonesia's Minister of Communication and Information, have labeled the predictions from the 2022 simulation as a hoax. The speaker in the transcript questions this, drawing parallels with the accurate predictions made in the 2019 simulation regarding COVID-19.

  • What was the outcome of the 2019 simulation, and how does it impact the speaker's view on future pandemics?

    -The 2019 simulation accurately predicted the COVID-19 pandemic. This outcome leads the speaker to suggest that future simulations, such as the 2022 one, may also provide useful insights into future health crises, even if the exact details (like the disease causing it) are uncertain.

  • What do we know about the potential timing of the next pandemic, based on the 2022 simulation?

    -The 2022 simulation projected that the next pandemic could occur around 2025. However, the speaker emphasizes that while this timing is a possibility, it is not guaranteed.

  • How prepared is the world for a potential future pandemic, according to the speaker?

    -The world is reportedly well-prepared for a future pandemic. Efforts include research into vaccines for potential diseases, funding allocated for pandemic response (including a $25 million US pandemic fund for Indonesia), and ongoing studies by health experts.

  • What does the speaker suggest about the accuracy of pandemic predictions and their importance?

    -The speaker suggests that while predictions may seem speculative, they are important because they help the world prepare for future pandemics. The 2019 simulation’s accuracy in predicting COVID-19 lends weight to the possibility that the 2022 simulation’s predictions might also come to pass.

  • Why is it important not to dismiss pandemic predictions entirely, according to the speaker?

    -It is important not to dismiss these predictions because the world has already started preparing for a potential pandemic, with significant resources invested in research and development of vaccines. While skepticism is healthy, ignoring the possibility of a future pandemic could lead to inadequate preparedness.

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Pandemic TheorySIRS DiseaseFuture HealthGlobal HealthCOVID LessonsHealth SimulationsNext PandemicPublic HealthDisease PredictionsHealth Research
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