The Ferrari Market Broke | Which Models to Buy and Which to Avoid

Fourwheel Trader - Car depreciation analysis
18 Oct 202414:22

Summary

TLDRThis video analyzes the mid-engine Ferrari market, categorizing models into three groups based on their depreciation rates. It highlights significant declines in value for models like the 488 and SF90, while others like the 458 and F355 show stability or slight increases. The discussion includes insights on the fluctuating trends of the 360 and F430 models, emphasizing the importance of market conditions for potential buyers. By understanding these dynamics, viewers can make informed decisions about which models to invest in or avoid, ensuring they maximize value in their purchases.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The mid-engine Ferrari market is fragmented, with varying depreciation trends across different models.
  • 📉 Models like the 488, F8, 296, and SF90 are experiencing significant declines in value, making them less favorable for value-conscious buyers.
  • 💰 The 488 has seen a depreciation rate of about 6.4% for coupes and 7.7% for spiders over the past year, with prices reverting to 2020 levels.
  • 📈 In contrast, the 458 and F355 are showing stable or slightly increasing values, making them safer investments.
  • 🔍 The 360 and F430 markets exhibit uncertainty, with recent price drops signaling potential shifts in trends.
  • 🛑 Buyers should avoid models that are depreciating rapidly and focus on those with more stable prices.
  • 📊 The depreciation trends reflect broader market corrections post-2022, with many models now showing normalized depreciation rates.
  • 🤑 The 458 and F355 are highlighted as relatively safe purchases due to their stable price developments.
  • ⚠️ Market volatility is increasing for certain models, meaning buyers should remain cautious and informed.
  • 🔄 Overall, understanding these trends can help potential buyers make more informed decisions when entering the mid-engine Ferrari market.

Q & A

  • What is the current state of the mid-engine Ferrari market according to the video?

    -The mid-engine Ferrari market is experiencing a mix of depreciation and stability. Some models are losing value, while others are maintaining or increasing their prices.

  • Which category of mid-engine Ferrari models has been depreciating the most?

    -The first category includes models like the 488, F8, and SF90, which have been depreciating at stable rates. For instance, the 488 has lost about 6.4% in value over the past year.

  • How have the prices of the 488 models changed recently?

    -Prices for the 488 models have been falling since mid-2022, returning to levels similar to those in 2020, with a depreciation rate of around 8 to 9% lower than before the 2022 market correction.

  • What are the trends for the F8 models?

    -The F8 models, both coupé and spider, have been dropping in value consistently, with coups down by 9.4% and spiders by 6.3% compared to last year.

  • Which mid-engine Ferrari models are considered stable or increasing in price?

    -The 458 and F355 are in the second category, where prices have been relatively stable. The 458 has stabilized around $220,000 for coups and $260,000 for spiders since mid-2023.

  • What indicators suggest the future stability of the 458 and F355 models?

    -Both models have shown minor fluctuations, with the F355 experiencing a 3.2% increase year-over-year, though this needs to be interpreted cautiously due to the small market size.

  • What changes have occurred in the F360 and F430 markets recently?

    -Both the F360 and F430 markets have seen price declines recently. The F360 had previously shown stability but has dipped below its post-pandemic price surge, while the F430's prices have continued to decline.

  • What is the average depreciation rate across mid-engine Ferraris?

    -The average decrease in the mid-engine Ferrari market over the last year was around 5.9%, which is slightly less than the overall average decrease in the broader car market.

  • What should value-conscious buyers consider when purchasing mid-engine Ferraris?

    -Value-conscious buyers should carefully consider the depreciation categories. It's advised to focus on models with stable prices or those that have shown a potential for value retention.

  • What additional content does the video offer regarding special edition Ferraris?

    -The video includes bonus content discussing the market trends for special edition Ferraris, indicating stable trends for models like the 458 Special and the SF90, although with less statistical significance.

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Ferrari MarketPrice TrendsDepreciationCar InvestmentLuxury CarsMarket AnalysisValue ConsciousAutomotive InsightsCar ModelsFinancial Tips
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