The Atlantic Is Literally Exploding With Activity...
Summary
TLDROn September 30th, 2024, the weather report discusses Hurricane Isaac's downgrade to a tropical storm, its path towards Europe, and potential impacts. Joyce weakens and poses no threat. A new system off Africa and Tropical Depression 12 are monitored, with the latter expected to become a major hurricane named Kirk. The Caribbean system is watched closely for Gulf Coast impacts. The Y'all Squad nonprofit aids in disaster relief, distributing supplies and Starlink panels for connectivity. The script also covers the upcoming weather patterns, including a potential severe weather season in October with snow in the Great Lakes region and a warm spell followed by a cold front.
Takeaways
- 🌪️ Hurricane Isaac has been downgraded to a tropical storm and is expected to weaken as it heads towards Europe, potentially causing some rain and strong winds.
- 🐟 Tropical Storm Joyce is weakening and curving out to sea, posing no immediate threat.
- 🌍 A new system off the coast of Africa could develop into a new hurricane; it needs to be monitored closely.
- 💥 Tropical Depression 12 is one of the most active and eastern storms for this time of year and could become a major hurricane.
- 🌊 A system in the Caribbean could potentially turn into a tropical storm or hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, impacting the Gulf Coast.
- 🚚 Relief efforts by the Y'all Squad are ongoing, with supplies and communication tools being distributed to areas impacted by recent storms.
- 🌧️ Heavy rain is expected for southern Alabama, Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle, but no major hurricane development is forecasted for the area.
- ❄️ A major cold front from Canada is expected to impact the central US around mid-October, bringing cooler temperatures and potentially severe weather.
- 📉 For the next week, most of the US will experience below-average rainfall, except for the coastal areas and the Appalachian Mountains.
- 🌀 Tropical Storm Kirk has formed, and it's expected to become a powerful hurricane, but it will likely curve out to sea, minimizing its impact on land.
Q & A
What is the current status of Hurricane Isaac?
-Hurricane Isaac has been downgraded to a tropical storm and is expected to weaken further as it heads toward Europe, potentially bringing rain and winds.
Is there any concern about Tropical Storm Joyce?
-No, Tropical Storm Joyce is weakening and is expected to curve out to sea, posing no significant threat.
What new system has emerged near the coast of Africa?
-A new system has come off the coast of Africa, which could develop into a hurricane in the main development region, requiring close monitoring.
Why is Tropical Depression 12 considered interesting?
-Tropical Depression 12 is interesting because it's expected to become one of the most eastern storms of the season to develop into a major hurricane, likely becoming Category 3 or higher.
What is the status of the system in the Caribbean?
-There is a system forming in the Caribbean, which may develop into a tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico. It's being closely monitored for potential impact on the Gulf Coast.
What efforts are being made by Y’all Squad to support affected areas?
-Y’all Squad has raised a significant amount of money, dispatched a semi-truck full of supplies to Tennessee, and purchased Starlink panels to help people in affected areas stay connected.
What is the significance of the upcoming storm expected to be named Kirk?
-The storm, expected to be named Kirk, is likely to become a major hurricane but is predicted to curve out to sea, causing little to no impact on land.
What weather conditions are expected in the Gulf of Mexico in early October?
-There may be heavy rain and thunderstorms, especially around Florida's Panhandle, southern Alabama, and Mississippi, but no major hurricane is expected at this time.
What changes are expected in the weather pattern around mid-October?
-A big weather change is expected from Canada around mid-October, bringing cooler temperatures and possibly snow in the Great Lakes region and severe weather outbreaks in the central U.S.
How will temperatures fluctuate in the U.S. in the coming weeks?
-Temperatures will be well above average in the central U.S., but this will be followed by a significant cold front in mid-October, leading to a sharp drop in temperatures and potential severe weather.
Outlines
🌪️ Major Weather Updates: Hurricane Isaac and More
On September 30th, 2024, the focus is on multiple tropical systems, with Hurricane Isaac being downgraded to a tropical storm as it moves towards Europe. Despite weakening, it may still cause rain and wind. Joyce, another storm, is also weakening and curving out to sea. A new system has emerged off the coast of Africa, potentially becoming the next hurricane, while Tropical Depression 12 is stirring considerable activity in the Atlantic. There's growing concern about a developing system in the Caribbean, which may impact the Gulf of Mexico. The Y'all Squad has also been actively supporting disaster relief, sending supplies and Starlink panels to areas impacted by recent storms, like Tennessee and Asheville, NC. They're providing connectivity to regions that may be without power for months.
🌬️ Monitoring Tropical Depression 12 and Hurricane Kirk
Tropical Depression 12 is predicted to become a major hurricane, possibly named Kirk. This system is one of the most eastern storms to form this late in the season and is expected to become a Category 3 or higher. Fortunately, it's currently forecasted to curve out to sea, with minimal impact on land. Future updates will monitor any changes in trajectory. While the storm is fascinating from a meteorological perspective, it's unlikely to affect Bermuda or coastal areas. As of the editing of this video, Tropical Storm Kirk has officially formed and is likely to intensify into Hurricane Kirk soon.
🌧️ Gulf of Mexico Weather: Rain and Potential Flash Flooding
Attention shifts to the Gulf of Mexico, where a system linked to the Central American monsoon is brewing. While development remains uncertain, this system is likely to bring moisture to coastal regions, causing daily downpours and potential flash flooding in Florida, southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and southeastern Texas. The forecast shows development by October 7th, with the possibility of heavy thunderstorms and rain, but not a major hurricane. The host emphasizes the importance of staying alert, even if the current model predictions don't indicate a severe threat.
⚡ Cold Air and Severe Weather Risks Ahead
After dealing with the current Gulf system, there’s a significant weather change forecasted from Canada. A major cold front will bring shots of cold air into the U.S. by mid-October, potentially leading to snowfall in the Great Lakes region as early as October 14th. The collision of cool air from the Rockies and warm air to the east could trigger severe weather outbreaks in the central U.S. during the latter half of October. The Climate Prediction Center is also noting upcoming weather patterns, predicting above-average temperatures for most regions, followed by a significant cool-down.
❄️ Upcoming Weather Patterns: Warm to Cold Shift
The weather pattern will flip after a week of above-average temperatures, transitioning into a cooler period in mid-October. The western U.S. will see a warm ridge, pushing temperatures 30-40 degrees above average in some areas like Nebraska and Kansas. However, a strong cold front will follow, erasing the warm air and bringing cooler-than-normal temperatures. This shift is expected to spark more severe weather outbreaks and mark the beginning of fall's battleground between warm and cold air masses.
☔ Rainfall Forecast and Continued Y'all Squad Efforts
The rainfall forecast for the next seven days shows low rain levels across most of the U.S., except for coastal areas in the Gulf of Mexico, where some places might experience up to 10 inches of rain. The Appalachian Mountains could also see additional rainfall, but no major flooding is anticipated. Updates on the Caribbean system will be provided daily, with the Y'all Squad continuing to assist affected areas by sending supplies and Starlink units. Their ongoing efforts, supported by donations, are aimed at helping communities that may be without power, water, or internet for months.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Hurricane Isaac
💡Tropical Depression 12
💡Gulf of Mexico
💡Central American monsoon
💡Starlink panels
💡Caribbean system
💡Tropical Storm Kirk
💡Flooding
💡GFS model
💡Severe weather
Highlights
Hurricane Isaac has been downgraded to a tropical storm as it weakens while moving towards Europe, potentially causing rain and winds.
Tropical Storm Joyce is weakening and curving out to sea, posing no threat as a 'fish storm'.
A new system off the coast of Africa could develop into a hurricane in the main development region of the Atlantic.
Tropical Depression 12 is being closely monitored due to its potential to become a major hurricane.
Another system in the Caribbean could develop into a tropical system and head towards the Gulf of Mexico.
Y'all Squad has raised significant funds and is distributing supplies to hurricane-impacted areas in Tennessee.
Chandra from Y'all Squad has acquired Starlink panels to provide connectivity to shelters in Asheville, North Carolina.
Tropical Depression 12 could become Hurricane Kirk, possibly a Category 3 hurricane, though it is expected to curve out to sea.
A Gulf of Mexico system could bring heavy rains and thunderstorms to the Panhandle of Florida and coastal areas, but is not expected to become a major hurricane.
Severe weather outbreaks are expected in the central U.S. in mid-October, with temperature swings causing storm activity.
Temperatures are expected to rise 30 to 40 degrees above average in the central U.S., before a major cool air plunge hits.
Cool air from Canada is expected to bring cold fronts to the Great Lakes, with possible snow as early as October 14th.
The central U.S. could experience severe weather from temperature contrasts between warm and cool air masses in mid-October.
Rainfall over the next seven days will mostly affect coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico and the Appalachian Mountains.
Y'all Squad continues to provide support in hurricane-hit areas, sending supplies and Starlinks to those in need.
Transcripts
It's September 30th, 2024, and we've got some major developments here with the weather. We're
going to talk about the tropics first. Of course, we've got Hurricane Isaac, which has
been downgraded to a tropical storm. It's going to continue to weaken as it heads up towards Europe,
but it still might cause some problems in terms of rain and some decent winds. We've got Joyce out
there also weakening a little bit. It's going to curve out to sea. It's a little fish storm. We're
not worried about it. We've got another system that has kind of come off of the coast of Africa
that could turn into our next hurricane out here in the main development region that we've got to
keep an eye on. And Tropical Depression 12 looks very interesting. We've got a literal explosion
of activity out here in the Atlantic as this is the most active that we have seen it so far. And
of course all eyes are on our next system down here in the Caribbean which is unfortunately
going to become another system in the Gulf of Mexico that we have to watch very closely for
our friends along the Gulf Coast. But before we get into that I want to say thank you everybody
yesterday that went over to theyallsquad.org and made a donation. We've raised a significant amount
of money and we are in contact now with a lot of emergency officials all up and down the East
Coast in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina and Tennessee. And we are already on
the ground helping. We've got a semi truck full of supplies twenty to forty thousand dollars worth of
supplies already out there on its way to Tennessee where we're gonna then distribute it out to other
places. All that's coming from our warehouse in Iowa, the Y'all Squad headquarters. Additionally,
Chandra yesterday went to West Virginia and bought literally every Starlink panel in West
Virginia and today she's getting on a plane and taking those to Asheville, North Carolina,
giving them to the local officials so that they can set up reference points to communicate with
each other and of course give people at shelters and in different places like that the ability to
connect with the outside world because people are still in the dark out here and it might be months
before these people get water, power, or internet. So we're doing everything we can to provide a
little bit of connectivity for them. And once again, we wouldn't be able to do that or anything
else that we're going to do without you going over to theyallsquad.org and making that tax-deductible
donation to our 501c3 nonprofit organization. Thank you so much for giving us this opportunity.
But of course, we do have to keep looking into the future. And once again, I said Tropical
Depression 12 was looking quite interesting, and it's because this is going to end up being one of
the most eastern storms to ever form this time of year that actually becomes a major hurricane. This
is going to become a Cat 3 or higher as it goes to the west. The good news right now is that the
path doesn't look to impact anyone. It looks like this is gonna curve out to sea. It might not even
cause any problems for Bermuda. So we are really hoping that this is gonna be a big-time fish storm
and we don't have to worry about anything but of course we're gonna be monitoring it here and
if there's any sort of westward shifts, then we will be the first to let you know. But right now,
this is not something that we need to be worrying about. If we come over to the GFS model and watch
it blow up on the 500 millibar wind speeds though, it is pretty cool to look at. This is going to be
a powerful hurricane more than likely, and it's going to be named Kirk as long as it's the next
one to get a name. Hurricane Kirk will likely be one of the strongest hurricanes of this time
of year this far east. So just another interesting tidbit about how unusual this hurricane season has
been. We knew that it was going to be very active. We knew that the waters out there were incredibly
warm and conducive for hurricane formation. And now we're really starting to see that as we enter
the latter part of the season. But the good news is, is it's out of here. Okay, it's going to go
out to sea more than likely. There's another storm right behind it, but it looks like it's going to
follow the same path. So hopefully we don't have to talk too much more about those storms. Notice
how there's not any big hurricanes over here in the Gulf despite that system in the Caribbean that
is forming. Hello Future Ryan here. Listen, we called it. All right, we said it's gonna
become Kirk and as we're editing this video it has become Kirk so nothing much has changed about the
path or trajectory or the expected strength. We still think this is gonna be a major hurricane.
It still looks like it's gonna go out to sea but it is officially Tropical Storm Kirk and it'll
be Hurricane Kirk very soon now. Now let's get back to the present or the past. Let's go take
a closer look at this. Look at all that moisture down there in the Gulf of Mexico. This is a result
of the Central American monsoon and if enough of that energy makes it over the Gulf of Mexico for
any amount of time, it is going to start spinning and it's going to become some sort of tropical
system. Now in the meantime, what this is going to do is it's just going to send a lot of moisture
up along the coastal areas. So we do have to worry about daily downpours in the peninsula of Florida,
maybe some flash flooding concerns in southern Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Panhandle
of Florida, maybe even in southeast Texas as well. So as I continue to push this forward, watch how
there is finally some sort of development here in the Gulf of Mexico as we get into Monday, October
7th. And right now it's just that, a little bit of a development, some strong thunderstorms and some
heavy rain possible in the Panhandle according to this model, but that's pretty much it. It
does send a little bit of unneeded rainfall up into the Appalachian Mountains, but nothing
crazy. Okay, right now the GFS is showing a pretty typical tropical system kind of just bringing
some thunderstorms and rain into the area. It's not showing a major hurricane. It's not showing
anything like that. However, anytime we get a storm in this part of the Gulf of Mexico this
time of year we have to take it seriously and we have to watch it. Nobody should be scared of this
thing. Nobody should be concerned. If that changes I'll be the first to let you know. But right
now things are looking quite tame with our next system. It could change. But right now, let's just
not ring the alarm bells just yet. Go ahead and prepare for potentially a pretty heavy rainstorm,
especially in the extreme southern areas there in southern Alabama, southwest Georgia,
and the Panhandle of Florida. But outside of that, let's just hope for the best. Now after we're done
dealing with this system, and we'll have a lot more updates on that in the coming days, there's
another really interesting thing that's going to happen as there's a pretty big change coming from
Canada. And we'll talk about that right after we shout out today's awesome sponsor. Factor meals
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Factor, for sponsoring the video. It helps us out. Let's get back into the video. Okay,
super huge shout out to them for sponsoring the video. It's always a good thing whenever we have
a sponsor here. So yeah, look at all this rain coming up into the coastal areas of the Gulf. This
is associated with our next tropical system. This is showing a weak tropical depression at most,
not a hurricane. There's a chance that it could be stronger than that, but we're hoping for the best
here. And we're not we're not creating any sort of hype around the fact this could be the next Helene
because no it won't don't be scared. Be prepared. I will let you know if there's any changes there.
Now once we're done with that there's gonna be some lingering rain in the Southeast and
unfortunately this might add a little bit of some problems to the flooded areas especially where
the ground still super saturated, but I don't see any major flooding concerns associated with this
leftover rain here. It's just something that we need to watch for maybe some additional flooding
problems. But the rest of us are gonna be in a really quiet pattern for the next week or so. It's
not gonna be doing much of anything at all. We are gonna start to see a little bit of a ridge form in
the West which is gonna make things quite warmer. But for the most part severe weather is off the
table at least until we get that big looming threat from Canada that I was talking about
before the break. This is essentially just gonna be a couple shots of cold air winter is really
trying to show up. We are in that classic fall battleground where we get these big troughs coming
in. It looks like that's going to start around the middle of October. And what that's going to bring
about is potentially some snow. OK, we're going to really have to talk about snow up here in the
Great Lakes region as early as October 14th. And it's going to bring about another severe weather
season. As these big shots of cool air come into the Rockies and meet up with the warm air that's
forming out east in the middle, we have to worry about severe weather. And I think that we're
actually going to have quite a few severe weather outbreaks towards the middle and latter half of
October. You can see that temperature swing here very obviously. First of all, look at that ridge
forming in the West. That's going to send a pretty big plume of very warm air into the central U.S.
as we go into the latter part of this weekend and early next week. It's going to be potentially 30
to 40 degrees above average in Nebraska, Kansas, and Minnesota. So you're not gonna believe me next
week when I say there's a huge shot of winter and cool air coming in. But it is gonna be coming in.
It's gonna be quite warm and then that's gonna set the stage for our next big shot of cold air.
There's a little one that comes in for the Great Lakes as we go into the October 10th
time period. But watch what happens after that a huge erasing of all that warm air happens as
a huge plume of much cooler air actually converts those above averages to below average temperatures
in the central US and this is the kind of system I think that will be responsible for sparking severe
weather outbreaks as we go deeper into October and we're gonna get several different opportunities
here. Look at this. This is a stark difference between the very cool air and the very warm
air on October 16th. This is another system that could bring about some severe weather here in the
central US so we're gonna be watching that very very closely. The Climate Prediction Center is
seeing a of the same stuff. Okay, we've got above average temperatures over the next 6 to 10 days.
We're near normal on the East Coast. This is going to flip. This is going to flip whenever we see
that big pattern change and we start to see those cool crashes of air coming down into the Rockies.
That happens after 10 days though, so keep that in mind. From now until 10 days from now,
this is what we're talking about and then we're going to flip it a little bit as we go deeper
into October. Additionally, this is how much rain we're expected to see over the next seven days
and this is abysmally low for the vast majority of the United States, but notice those coastal
areas we are looking at. If you're really close to the ocean here in the Gulf of Mexico, some
places could see three, four inches of rain. Some places in the peninsula of Florida could see seven
to 10 inches of rain over the next seven days. So it's going to be very rainy down there. Everybody
else is not going to be seeing much rain at all, except for over here in the Appalachian Mountains
where we could see some additional rainfall of around an inch or two over the next seven days,
which might cause a little bit of problems, but for the most part shouldn't be too much to worry
about. And of course as we get updated data on our system in the Caribbean, I'm gonna keep you
updated here. There's a chance that I make a video almost every day this week. If not for updating
you on the Caribbean system, then at least every couple of days I'm gonna update you on what we're
doing with the Y'all Squad and continue to update you on this big weather pattern shift that we're
getting ready to have. So hopefully that's the I would really hate to come back here tomorrow
or the next day and be like, ah, the GFS is showing a big hurricane now. That's very unlikely,
but we are rooting against that. So once again, thank you to Factor for sponsoring this video.
It's very awesome. And also thank you guys for going over to theyallsquad.org. We're doing big
things and we're gonna continue to do big things for this foreseeable future in this area. However
long we're needed we're gonna be continuing to send trucks and people and Starlinks. Whatever
else is needed and we're going to be down there, thanks to y'all. And that's all the weather
talk I have for you today. Thank you so much. I'll see you in the next one. Goodbye. Whoop!
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