What's a Good Return on Investment?
Summary
TLDRThis script offers a nautical-themed exploration of investment options, comparing them to navigating the seas. It discusses the safety of savings accounts versus the potential rewards of riskier ventures like stocks. It highlights the low interest rates of typical savings accounts and the slightly better returns of high-yield accounts and CDs. The script also touches on the middle ground of bond funds and the historically high returns of the S&P 500 Index fund, cautioning about the volatility of stock market investments. The key takeaway is the importance of aligning investment strategies with individual financial goals and the necessity of diversification to mitigate risk.
Takeaways
- 🧭 Investing is like navigating the seas: it requires balancing safety and returns.
- 📈 The stock market is at an all-time high, but savings accounts offer less than inflation.
- 💰 The goal of investing is to make money grow, but the path to get there varies in risk.
- 🏦 Savings accounts are the safest but offer low returns, with average interest at 0.09%.
- 💹 High-yield savings accounts offer better returns but may still fall short against inflation.
- 📊 Certificates of Deposit (CDs) offer higher returns but require a minimum deposit and a lock-in period.
- 💼 Series I Savings Bonds are a government-backed option with a guaranteed return.
- 🔄 Bond funds provide a middle ground with average annual growth but no guaranteed returns.
- 🌐 The stock market, represented by the S&P 500, offers higher potential returns but comes with more risk.
- 🌪 Short-term stock market investing can be volatile, with significant ups and downs.
- 🌟 Diversification is key to managing risk and ensuring no single investment can cause significant loss.
Q & A
What is the main theme of the script?
-The main theme of the script is comparing the process of investing to navigating the high seas, emphasizing the balance between safety and strong returns.
Why is the stock market compared to 'choppy ocean waters'?
-The stock market is compared to 'choppy ocean waters' because it can be unpredictable and volatile, much like the sea, requiring careful navigation to achieve financial goals.
What is the current state of the stock market according to the script?
-The script states that the stock market is at an all-time high, suggesting a potentially risky environment for investors.
Why are savings accounts considered a 'safe' investment?
-Savings accounts are considered safe because they are insured by the government and offer a guaranteed return, albeit a low one.
What is the average interest rate for a U.S. savings account as mentioned in the script?
-The average interest rate for a U.S. savings account is mentioned as .09%.
What is a high-yield savings account and how does it differ from a regular savings account?
-A high-yield savings account is a type of savings account that offers a higher interest rate than a regular savings account, typically ranging from 1-2% or more.
What is a Certificate of Deposit (CD) and how does it work?
-A Certificate of Deposit (CD) is a type of savings account offered by banks or credit unions that pays a higher interest rate than a regular savings account but requires a minimum deposit and a commitment to not withdraw the funds for a fixed period of time, typically between 1 to 5 years.
What is the current interest rate for Series I Savings Bonds?
-The current interest rate for Series I Savings Bonds is guaranteed at 1.9%.
What is the difference between a bond fund and a stock fund?
-A bond fund invests in bonds, which are considered less risky and offer fixed returns, while a stock fund invests in stocks, which are riskier but have the potential for higher returns.
Why is the S&P 500 Composite Index mentioned as a 'north-star' for stock investing?
-The S&P 500 Composite Index is mentioned as a 'north-star' for stock investing because it tracks the performance of the largest 500 corporations in America, providing a broad measure of the U.S. stock market's health.
What is the historical average annual growth rate of the S&P 500 over the last 90 years?
-The historical average annual growth rate of the S&P 500 over the last 90 years is 9.8%.
What is the recommended approach to investing according to the script?
-The script recommends aligning investments with the right financial goals, diversifying to minimize risk, and considering the time horizon for investments, with a preference for long-term investments over short-term ones.
Outlines
🌊 Navigating the Investing Seas
The script begins by drawing a parallel between embarking on a high seas adventure and making investment decisions. It highlights the dilemma between opting for safety, akin to staying close to shore, or venturing into riskier but potentially more rewarding investments, like setting sail for deeper waters. The script emphasizes the current high stock market and low savings account returns, underscoring the goal of making money grow. It introduces the concept of expected returns and risks associated with different investment options, and encourages viewers to start planning their financial journey. The paragraph then delves into the safety and liquidity of savings accounts, pointing out their low interest rates compared to inflation. It suggests alternatives like high-yield savings accounts, Certificates of Deposit (CDs), and Series I Savings Bonds, each with their own benefits and drawbacks, such as penalties for early withdrawal or minimum deposit requirements. The script positions these options as suitable for short to medium-term financial goals, such as saving for a house down payment.
🚢 Exploring the Open Waters of Investments
The second paragraph of the script shifts the focus to public markets, which are characterized by no guaranteed returns, symbolized by the need for life rafts to navigate the unpredictable waters. It introduces bond funds as a middle ground between safe investments and riskier ones like stocks, mentioning a popular bond fund that has averaged a 3.68% annual growth over the past decade. The script notes that returns can fluctuate and even turn negative, which is a risk inherent in this type of investment. It then transitions to discussing the stock market, using the S&P 500 Composite Index as a benchmark for stock investment performance, highlighting its historical average growth of 9.8% per year over the last 90 years. The paragraph also addresses the volatility of the stock market, cautioning that single-year returns can be highly variable and sometimes significantly negative, as seen in certain years. The script concludes by advising that while stocks can be a good long-term investment, short-term investing is risky and not recommended. It emphasizes the importance of aligning investments with financial goals, diversifying to mitigate risk, and maintaining a steady course even in turbulent times.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Investing
💡Stock Market
💡Safety
💡Returns
💡Risk
💡Diversification
💡Savings Account
💡Certificates of Deposit (CDs)
💡Inflation
💡S&P 500 Index
💡Bond Funds
Highlights
Investing is like navigating the ocean, balancing safety and returns.
Stock market is at an all-time high, while savings accounts pay less than inflation.
The goal is to make money work harder.
Savings accounts are safe and liquid but offer low interest rates.
High-yield savings accounts offer slightly higher returns.
Inflation makes low-interest savings accounts less attractive.
Certificates of Deposit (CDs) offer higher interest rates with a fixed term.
Series I Savings Bonds guarantee a 1.9% interest rate.
CDs require a minimum deposit and have a penalty for early withdrawal.
Bond funds are a middle ground between guaranteed investments and stocks.
Bond funds' returns fluctuate and can be negative.
Stock market investing can be overwhelming due to the variety of options.
S&P 500 Index is a popular benchmark for stock market performance.
S&P 500 has averaged a 9.8% annual growth over the last 90 years.
Investing in an S&P 500 Index fund tracks the index's performance.
Stock market returns can vary greatly from year to year.
Long-term stock market investing can weather short-term volatility.
The best investment depends on the individual's risk tolerance and time horizon.
Diversification is key to managing investment risk.
Align investments with financial goals for optimal results.
Transcripts
Imagine you’re about to embark on high seas adventure.
You’ve got your map laid out and it’s time to chart your course.
Now... to make a decision -- do you stay close to the safety of shore?
Or do you set out for deeper waters with the hope of making better time?
When it comes to investing, the balance between safety and strong returns can feel a lot like
navigating choppy ocean waters.
Right now the stock market is at an all-time-high while most savings accounts are paying less
than inflation.
The destination is clear: to have our money make more money.
But what’s the “best” path to get there?
What kinds of returns should you expect from each option, and how risky are they?
If you don’t know, it’s time to grab your atlas and sextant and start charting a course
to your financial goals!
The ocean of investing is huge.
While we’d love to discuss everything from cryptocurrency to real estate, today we’re
exploring investments that are both popular and easily accessible to the average deck-swab.
Let’s start by looking at the safest, calmest course for your investment journey.
Exhibit A: the savings account.
Safe? Check.
Liquid? Check.
But with the average U.S. savings account only paying .09% interest, it can start to
feel like you left the anchor down.
Some banks offer high-yield savings accounts paying 1-2% or more, but with inflation hovering
around 1.6% it’ll feel like sailing into the wind.
So while this might be a great place to park your rainy-day money, it’s not ideal for
long-term goals.
For a goal a few years out, you could look at a Certificate of Deposit or Series I Savings
Bond.
Savings Bonds currently pay a guaranteed 1.9% interest, and can be bought directly from
the government at treasurydirect.org.
You can start with as little as $25 and save up to $10,000 per year.
But be ye warned that you will be penalized if you withdraw your money before one year
has passed.
Certificates of Deposit or CDs, are issued by a bank or credit union and can pay even
more, between 1 - 3%.
The catch is that there’s a minimum deposit of at least a few thousand dollars and you
can’t touch your money for a fixed period of time between 1 and 5 years.
But as long as the bank or government sticks around, you can expect to get your money back
with the promised interest.
If you’re saving up for a big purchase like the down payment on a house in a few years,
savings bonds or a CD might fit the bill.
Avast me hearties!
It’s time to head out into the open waters of public markets.
That means publicly traded investments that don’t come with guaranteed returns or outcomes.
Make sure you’ve got some life rafts on board!
Unlike savings bonds, Treasury, Municipal and Corporate bond funds are traded on public
exchanges, and since supply and demand affect their value, they have no guaranteed return.
One popular bond- fund with a little of everything has averaged 3.68% annual growth for the last
10 years.
And like a stock fund, returns fluctuate and can even be occasionally negative when bond
prices fall.
Think of bond funds as a middle ground between guaranteed investments and risky ones like
stocks.
Often, they’re available to you right alongside stock funds through a 401k at work or inside
an IRA.
These can be especially useful for people who are older and can’t risk their whole
nest-egg to a stock-market crash.
Or they might be a great fit for if you’re saving for something in a 5-10 year window.
Finally, let’s look way out in deep waters: the stock market.
With 16 major stock exchanges in the world, dozens of industries, and thousands of companies
traded across the globe, it can all be a little overwhelming.
But a highly popular north-star for stock-investing is the S&P 500 Composite Index, which tracks
how the largest 500 corporations in America are doing.
Over the last 90 years, the S&P has averaged a growth of 9.8% per year.
If you wanted your returns to track the S&P, you could just invest in an S&P 500 Index
fund.
Side note: this is why we here at Two Cents use a 7 or 8% growth rate whenever we run
the numbers for long-term investing goals.
We assume a little less than that 90 year average.
With that growth rate, why isn’t everyone hopping on board?
Well, the S&P almost never has a single-year return between 5 and 10%.
It’s only happened twice since 1928!
If you hopped aboard in January 2018 you would’ve lost 6.24% by the end of the year.
One year before you’d be up 19.42%!
2011 it had a 0% return.
And in 2008 it infamously fell 38.49%!
It’s enough to make anyone seasick!
So short-term investing with stocks can leave you high and dry and is not recommended by
most experts.
But if you’re able to weather the storms and stay calm during dives and dips over the
next 10 years or more, they may be just the ticket.
So what’s the best investment?
It depends.
Earning 1-4% on money that needs a safe and steady harbor is perfectly appropriate.
Or if you’re willing to take more risk and invest for the long term, 5-10% is pretty
reasonable for ten years or more.
While it’s possible to do even better than this, odds are that some extra risks or effort
will be expected.
And remember to diversify so no single investment can sink your whole fleet.
Align your investments with the right goal, hoist your sails and you’ll stay afloat,
even when seas get stormy.
And that’s our Two Cents!
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Any of ye ol’ salts out there have some extra sailin’ advice for landlubbers?
Leave them in the comments section below.
Ar.
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