Borr Drilling BORR Q4 2023 Earnings Presentation

Fyfull
23 Mar 202438:15

Summary

TLDRThe board drilling company reported strong Q4 2023 earnings with a 15% revenue increase and a 20% adjusted EBITDA growth. They achieved significant milestones, including a full year adjusted EBITDA of $350 million and a backlog growth. The company's operational excellence was recognized with awards and they maintain a positive outlook for 2024 with an adjusted EBITDA estimate of $500 to $550 million, underpinned by a robust contract portfolio and a strong market demand.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Strong Q4 2023 performance with a 15% revenue increase to $220 million and a 20% adjusted EBITDA increase to $105 million.
  • 🚀 Full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA reached $350 million, with a 48% adjusted EBITDA margin.
  • 📊 Backlog growth in 2023, adding $728 million in revenue with an implied average day rate of $161 per day.
  • 🏭 Excellent operational efficiency with a technical utilization of 98.7% for the quarter and a recordable injury frequency of 0.65.
  • 🏆 Recognitions include awards from Shell and IADC Southeast Asia for safety and operational excellence.
  • 🌍 Board drilling maintains operations in four main hubs: Mexico, West Africa, the Middle East, and Asia, benefiting from economies of scale and diversified activity levels.
  • 📝 Focus on controllable factors such as relentless pursuit of safety and operational excellence to deliver value to customers.
  • 💰 Adjusted EBITDA estimate for full year 2024 remains between $500 to $550 million, based on a strong contracted fleet coverage.
  • 💹 Dividend payment of 5 cents per share approved for Q4, reflecting commitment to shareholder distributions.
  • 🛠️ Jackup market update shows increasing utilization levels, particularly for modern rigs, with a total order book representing less than 4% of the global jackup fleet.
  • 🔄 Expectations for the market scenario indicate continued demand outpacing supply growth, with a potential increase in demand for 20 to 25 jackup rigs in the next 24 months.

Q & A

  • What was the revenue increase in the fourth quarter of 2023 for the company?

    -The revenue increased by 15% to $220 million in the fourth quarter of 2023.

  • How much did the adjusted EBITDA increase in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the previous quarter?

    -The adjusted EBITDA increased by $20 million, which is 20% over the previous quarter, resulting in a $105 million adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2023.

  • What was the adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year 2023?

    -The full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA reached $350 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 48%.

  • How much did the company's backlog grow in 2023, and what was the average day rate implied by this growth?

    -In 2023, the company's backlog grew by $728 million, with an implied average day rate of $161 per day.

  • What was the total recordable injury frequency for the company in the fourth quarter, and how does it compare to the industry average?

    -The total recordable injury frequency was 0.65, which is well below the industry average.

  • Which awards did the company receive in recognition of its performance?

    -The company received the 'Global Jackup Rig of the Year' award from Shell and the 'Best Recordable Incident Rate' award from the IADC Southeast Asia chapter.

  • How many rigs does the company have in its fleet, and how many are working in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia?

    -The company has a fleet of 24 rigs, out of which three are working in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

  • What is the company's estimate for adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024?

    -The company maintains its estimate of adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2024 to be between $500 to $550 million.

  • What was the free cash position at the end of Q4 2023, and how much liquidity was available to the company?

    -The free cash position at the end of Q4 2023 was $102.5 million, and the company had an undrawn RCF facility of $150 million, totaling approximately $250 million of available liquidity.

  • How has the jackup market utilization level changed since the last report, and what is the current utilization level for modern rigs?

    -Jackup market utilization levels have continued to increase since the last report, with the market utilization for modern rigs now exceeding 95%.

  • What is the company's view on the demand for modern jackup rigs over the next 18 to 24 months?

    -The company anticipates demand for modern jackup rigs to increase by 20 to 25 rigs over the next 18 to 24 months, with several programs already in the tendering phase.

  • What is the company's strategy for balancing new rig deployments in the spot market versus term contracts?

    -The company aims to find work with volume and longevity for the new rigs, ideally programs that are 18 months or more, to ensure a good balance between attractive day rates and seamless integration into work.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Strong Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings and Milestones

The board drilling company reported a robust fourth quarter in 2023, with a 15% revenue increase to $220 million and a 20% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $105 million. This resulted in a 48% adjusted EBITDA margin. Full-year 2023 adjusted EBITDA reached $350 million. The company's operational excellence was highlighted by a 98.7% technical utilization rate for the quarter and a recordable injury frequency significantly below the industry average. External recognitions included awards for safety and operational excellence. The company's strategic positioning in key regions like Mexico, West Africa, the Middle East, and Asia allowed for economies of scale and diversified operations. Discussions on Saudi Aramco's production targets for 2027 and the company's focus on controllable factors like safety and operational excellence were also covered.

05:02

💰 Financial Performance and Dividend Announcement

The financial details of Q4 2023 showed a positive trend with a 15% increase in revenues and a 20% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Operating revenues for the quarter were $220.6 million, a $29.1 million increase from the previous quarter. The company's free cash position at the end of Q4 was $102.5 million, with an undrawn RCF facility of $150 million, totaling approximately $250 million in available liquidity. The company also announced a dividend payment of 5 cents per share for Q4, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder distributions. The full-year 2023 EBITDA was $350.5 million, with 2024 guidance remaining in the range of $500 to $550 million.

10:03

🌐 Market Update and Contracting Developments

The jackup market showed increased utilization levels, particularly for modern rigs, with the global order book for new builds at a record low. Shallow water projects were highlighted as economically viable alternatives due to low break-even prices and attractive commodity prices. The company anticipates demand for modern rigs to increase by 20 to 25 rigs in the next 24 months. Regional updates included potential multi-year programs in the Middle East, particularly in Qatar, Kuwait, and the neutral zone between Saudi and Kuwait. The company's positive view on the Asian, Indian, and Middle Eastern markets was supported by data points and customer discussions. New commitments added $82 million to the company's backlog, with a focus on securing work for rigs coming off contract.

15:05

🚢 Rig Deployments and New Build Updates

The company's rig deployment strategy was discussed, with a focus on filling the 87% contracted fleet coverage for 2024. The rigs expected to roll off contract in the first half of the year are the Prospector One in the North Sea and the Gun L in Asia. Discussions with customers are ongoing for continued work for these rigs. Updates on the new build units, Veil and VAR, were provided, with expectations of delivery around Q4 of the current year. These units are being marketed for several opportunities and have attracted considerable interest from customers.

20:05

💸 Dividend and Share Repurchase Strategy

The company's approach to dividends and share repurchases was discussed, with a focus on balancing deleveraging and shareholder returns. The board's decision to implement a regular quarterly dividend and maintain a share buyback program reflects this balance. The company's commitment to分红 (dividend distribution) was emphasized, with expectations of increasing dividends over time. The board will make determinations on share buybacks or dividends based on cash availability and share price performance.

25:06

🏗️ New Builds and Market Opportunities

The company's strategy for integrating new builds into the market was discussed, with a preference for long-term contracts. The new builds are expected to be highly capable and have attracted substantial interest from customers. The company is focused on finding work with volume and longevity, ideally programs of 18 months or more. The company's satisfaction with the size of its fleet was emphasized, with no interest in selling the under-construction rigs and a focus on operating and expanding through its own assets.

30:08

📈 Day Rate Trends and Market Outlook

The current market conditions and future expectations for day rates were discussed. The company has seen a flattening of day rates at around $165 to $170 thousand per day, but expects an acceleration in rates as more long-term tenders hit the market. The company's offers are pushing for higher rates and are getting close to $200,000 a day. The second half of the year is anticipated to see a higher acceleration in day rates, with the company maintaining a positive view on the market's direction.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Board Drilling

Board Drilling refers to the company that is the main subject of the transcript. It is an organization involved in the oil and gas industry, specifically in drilling operations. The video discusses the company's fourth quarter 2023 earnings, operational performance, and future outlook. Board Drilling is highlighted for its strong financial performance, increased revenue, and operational excellence.

💡Earnings Call

An earnings call is a conference call with investors and analysts where a company's management discusses its financial performance over a recent quarter. In the transcript, Board Drilling is hosting such a call for the fourth quarter of 2023, discussing their financial results, future guidance, and operational highlights.

💡Forward-Looking Statements

Forward-looking statements are predictions or projections about future events or outcomes based on current expectations and assumptions. These statements are often made with caution due to the inherent uncertainty involved and may differ from actual results. In the transcript, participants are reminded that some of their statements during the earnings call are forward-looking and subject to risks and uncertainties.

💡Revenue

Revenue refers to the income that a company generates from its business activities, such as sales of goods or services. In the context of the transcript, Board Drilling reports an increase in revenue for the fourth quarter, which is a key indicator of the company's financial health and growth.

💡EBITDA

EBITDA stands for Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization. It is a financial metric that measures a company's profitability and is often used as a proxy for cash flow from operations. In the transcript, Board Drilling's adjusted EBITDA is highlighted as an important financial metric, showing an increase and a positive sign of the company's financial performance.

💡Backlog

Backlog refers to the amount of work or orders that a company has on hand but has not yet completed or delivered. A growing backlog is typically seen as a positive sign for a company's future revenue and stability. In the transcript, Board Drilling's backlog growth is mentioned as a significant achievement, indicating a strong demand for their services.

💡Technical Utilization

Technical utilization is a measure of how effectively a company uses its assets, such as drilling rigs, to generate revenue. High technical utilization rates indicate that a company is efficiently deploying its assets and maximizing output. In the transcript, Board Drilling's excellent technical utilization rate of 98.7% for the quarter is emphasized, showcasing the company's operational efficiency.

💡Safety

Safety in the context of the transcript refers to the measures taken to prevent accidents and injuries in the workplace, particularly in the high-risk oil and gas industry. Board Drilling's commitment to safety is evident through its low recordable injury frequency, which is below the industry average.

💡Market Supply

Market supply refers to the availability of goods, services, or in this case, drilling rigs and their capacity to meet the demand in the market. The transcript discusses the tight market supply for drilling rigs and how it affects Board Drilling's operations and future prospects.

💡Day Rate

Day rate in the oil and gas industry refers to the cost per day for renting out a drilling rig or other equipment. It is a crucial financial metric for drilling contractors like Board Drilling. The transcript discusses the improvement in day rates and how it impacts the company's revenue and profitability.

💡Dividend

A dividend is a payment made by a corporation to its shareholders, usually from profits. It is a way for companies to distribute a portion of their earnings back to investors. In the transcript, Board Drilling's decision to implement a regular quarterly dividend is mentioned as a reflection of the company's financial health and commitment to shareholder returns.

Highlights

Introduction of Borr Drilling's Q4 2023 earnings call by Patrick Sha.

Discussion of forward-looking statements and risks.

Q4 Revenue increased by 15% to $220 million.

Adjusted EBITDA increased to $105 million, a 20% increase over the previous quarter.

Full year 2023 adjusted EBITDA reached $350 million.

Significant growth and improvement in backlog quality in 2023.

Technical utilization for Q4 at 98.7% and total recordable injury frequency at 0.65.

Awards received for operational excellence and safety.

Operations maintained in Mexico, West Africa, the Middle East, and Asia.

Discussion on the impact of Saudi Aramco's production targets on Borr Drilling.

Adjusted EBITDA estimate for 2024 between $500 to $550 million.

Q4 dividend payment of 5 cents per share announced.

Financial details of Q4 2023 presented by Magnus Fer.

Strategic focus on safety and operational excellence.

Comprehensive update on the jackup market and fleet developments.

Positive outlook on jackup drilling sector's utilization and economics.

Transcripts

play00:01

good morning good afternoon and thank

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you for participating in the board

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drilling fourth quarter 2023 earnings

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call I'm Patrick sha and with me here

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today is Bruno Moran a chief commercial

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officer and Magnus fer a Chief Financial

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Officer next slide first covering the

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required disclaimers I would like to

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remind all participants that some of the

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statements will be forward-looking

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these matters involve risks and

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uncertainties that could cause actual

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results to differ materially from those

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projected in these statements I

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therefore refer you to our latest public

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filings next

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slide our fourth quarter performance has

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been strong and we have closed the year

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having achieved several major

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milestones in the fourth quarter Revenue

play00:55

increased by 15% to $220 million and our

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adjusted eida increased to $105 million

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which is 20% over previous quarter

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resulting in a 48% adjusted eida

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margin full year 2023 adjusted eida

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reached $350

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million our backlog has grown and

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improved significantly in quality during

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2023 where we added 728 million to our

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Revenue at an implied average day rate

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of

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$161 per day on the operational front we

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have finished the year with excellent

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technical U utilization for the quarter

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at

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98.7% and a total recordable injury

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frequency of

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0.65 the letter being well below the

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industry

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average both these numbers reflect the

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professionalism of our operational team

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who have AC ated rigs continuously for

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the last three years and who have

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successfully commenced operations in

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numerous new

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countries this performance has also

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resulted in external recognition that is

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dear to us and just to name too AR Rick

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Saga has been awarded by shell AS Global

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jackup Rick of the

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Year also we have received the award for

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the best recordable incident rate for AR

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rck called and board drilling as a

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company from the

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iadc southeast Asia

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chapter on the map on the right hand

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side you see that we maintain operations

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in four main hubs namely Mexico West

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Africa the Middle East and

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Asia this allows us to benefit from

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economies of scale while remaining

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Diversified enough to provide a stable

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activity level

play03:00

there's been significant focus on the

play03:02

announcement by Saudi aramco regarding

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their production targets for

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2027 on this I can only comment from a

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board drilling perspective and based on

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some of the discussions we had in Saudi

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a week

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ago first we have three rigs out of our

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Fleet of 24 rigs working in the Kingdom

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all three of which are on multi-year

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contracts second maintaining a

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production capacity of 12 million

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barrels per day versus 13 million

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barrels per day still requires a world

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leading activity level and an operation

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second to none in

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size oil just doesn't come out of the

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ground by itself not even in Saudi and

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as such large volumes of activity will

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continue to be required and in order to

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remain most relevant to our customer we

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continue focusing on the things we can

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control which is the Relentless pursuit

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of safety and operational excellence in

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order to deliver value to our

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customers we continue to have a very

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tight checkup market supply has dried up

play04:16

and can only increase once we start to

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see new build orders coming in and even

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then the impact will be several years

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out as it takes multiple years to get

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units built and into into the

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market on the demand side Bruno will

play04:33

share some additional information in a

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minute but also demand remains solid for

play04:39

the next two years plus So based on our

play04:42

view of the business

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environment and a strong contracted

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Fleet coverage we maintain our estimate

play04:49

of adjusted eida for the full year 2024

play04:52

to be between 500 to $550

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million we also announced that the board

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approved for Q4 as well a dividend

play05:02

payment of 5 cents per

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share Magnus will now step you through

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the financial details of the fourth

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quarter thank you

play05:14

Patrick so Q4 2023 was a very good

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quarter financially with quarter on

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quarter increases in revenues of 15% and

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adjusted IA increasing by

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20% we continue the sequential increase

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that we've had now for eight quarters as

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you can see in the graphs and this trend

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uh of increases actually goes back even

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further reflecting both that we have

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been putting more rigs to work and uh an

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improvement in day

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rates the operating revenues for the

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quarter was 220.6 Million an increase of

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29.1 million compared to the third

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quarter this is split in an increase of

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day rate revenues uh of 24.4 million

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increase primarily due to two more rigs

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starting up in the quarter and an

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increase of bareboat income from our

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Mexico joint ventures of 4.7 million

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mainly related to higher economic

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utilization for one rig and the release

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of an operational cost

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provision the rig operating and

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maintenance expenses increased by 12.7

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million uh or

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15% an increase that follows naturally

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from the increase in number of rigs uh

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increasing by two for the quarter in

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addition we had an increase of

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amortization of deferred costs of 3.8

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million in the

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quarter the operating income increase

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quarter on quarter was

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26% below the operating income line the

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numbers were driven by total Financial

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expenses net of 59.1 million which was

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impacted largely by oneof expenses of

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8.9 million recorded related to our

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refinancing and repayment of all debt

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the income tax expense for the fourth

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quarter was a credit of 9.3 million

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impacted by a 16.5 million release of a

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valuation allowance on deferred tax

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assets as well as a 9.3 million release

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of an uncertain tax

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provision that gives us a net income for

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the fourth quarter of 28.4 million and

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increase of 28.1 million compared to the

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third quarter and an adjusted IA for the

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fourth quarter of 105.9 million yielding

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48% IA

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margin our free cash position at the end

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of Q4 was 102.5 million in addition we

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had undrawn RCF facility of 150 million

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so in total we have approximately 250

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million of available

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liquidity the cash in the quarter

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increased by 8.1 million and this was

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affected by cash used in operating

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activities of 7 9.6

play08:00

million this number includes 99.2

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million related to interest paid and

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approximately 10 million of income taxes

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paid and this includes both cash

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interest incurred during the quarter and

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the repayment of capitalized interest on

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our Legacy

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debt in addition the number was impacted

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by cash costs related to our financing

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and timing differences of working

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capital

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movements net cash used in investing

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investing activities 35.5 million

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primarily consisting of 34 million used

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on jackup editions which is the

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activation cost for Hill and Arabia 3

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and also some capex additions uh over

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the uh Fleet uh as such and 1.3 million

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used on new build

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additions the net net cash provided by

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financing activities was 1203.2 Million

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primarily as a result from the net

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proceeds of the issuance of the your

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secured notes and the net proceeds from

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our private placement offset by

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repayment of the

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debt next slide

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please our 2023 full year eitaa came in

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at 350. 5 million and our 20 24 EA

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guidance remains in the range 500 to 550

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million at the midpoint of this range

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this um shows an increase of

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approximately 50% from

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2023 we're also very pleased to have

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completed our refinancing of all the

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company secure debt in November 2023 and

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we now have all our debt maturities in

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2028 and

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2030 the delivery installments for our

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two remaining new builds in 2024 are

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largely funded by a commitment of

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delivery financing by the seller uh in

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the size of 130 million per rig and

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additionally we have secured 180 million

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senior secured facility which includes

play10:03

150 million RCF and a 30 million

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guarantee

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facility the refinancing provides a

play10:10

stable foundation for the company going

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forward with a fixed amortization

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profile that allows us to delever our

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debts in addition it also provides us

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the possibility of distributions to

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shareholders as evidenced by our

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implementation of a regular quarterly

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dividend which we now have declared for

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two consecutive quarters of five

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cents with this I would like to turn the

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word over to

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Bruno thanks Magus now i' like to

play10:38

provide a brief update on the jackup

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market and our most recent Contracting

play10:42

and Fleet

play10:43

developments jackup utilization levels

play10:45

have continued to increase since our

play10:47

last report in particular the market

play10:50

utilization for modern rigs has now

play10:52

exceeded 95% in line with our urgent

play10:56

projections it is noteworthy that

play10:58

utilization levels have continued to

play11:00

improve while the market absorbed a few

play11:03

additional new build rigs currently the

play11:06

shipyard order book stands of 15 rigs

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one of each has a future contract and

play11:11

two are owned by board drilling the

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total order book represents less than 4%

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of the global jacket Fleet a record low

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level we highlight again the shallow

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water projects on average have some of

play11:24

the lowest Break Even prices and

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continue to be a viable and attractive

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alternative for our customers at the

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current commodity

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prices underlining that and according to

play11:35

recent data by rice. energy Global

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investments in shallow water projects

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are expected to experience double digit

play11:41

growth in 2024 compared to last year

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these factors support our views that the

play11:48

jackup drilling sector should continue

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to benefit from strong utilization and

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improving

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economics looking forward we see a

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market scenario whereby incremental

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demand should continue to outpace any

play12:01

potential Supply growth from a supply

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side based on a study conducted by FES

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offshore it is anticipated that only six

play12:08

of the 15 rigs under construction could

play12:11

reasonably brought into the market in

play12:12

the next 18 to 24

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months on the demand side we anticipate

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demand for mod than rigs to increase by

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20 to 25 rigs in the next 24 months or

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so several of these programs are already

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in tendering Phase While others are

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expected to be tendered

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quarters in support of our views data

play12:33

from S&P Global in their latest World R

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forecast project that Global jackup

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demand will be increase by 36 units by

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me

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2025 and based on the recent market

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trends and customer preferences we

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anticipate the Lion Share of this

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incremental demand will be fulfilled by

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modern

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Raks we maintain a constructive view on

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the Asian Indian and Middle Eastern

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markets and let me provide you some data

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points that support our views

play13:00

in the Middle East recent announcements

play13:02

by nl's indicate the potential for

play13:04

several multi-year multi- programs

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particularly in Qatar Kuwait and the

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neutral zone between Saud and Kuwait

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where the large Aldora Fu development is

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expected to be tendered soon and should

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alone require four additional High

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specification

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jackups in India we note onc stated

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plans of securing SI new rigs as part of

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their Fleet renewal strategy noting that

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the average age of their current Fleet

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is approximately 40 years old this

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requirement is over over and above om's

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open tenders and unfulfill demand from

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prior tenders including the recent hphd

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requirement similar F renewal Ambitions

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have been recently indicated by adnoc

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and

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cop in Asia Pon activity Outlook

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indicates incremental demand of two to

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three rigs in Malaysia within the next

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24 months similar activity levels are

play14:01

projected to increase in Vietnam and

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Indonesia outside these areas we see

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pockets of long-term activity developing

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in places such Angola Libya Americas and

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Australia to name a few this theend

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Outlook coupled our customer discussions

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support our positive view of the

play14:21

strength duration and resilient

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resilience of the

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cycle in 2024 to date we have received

play14:29

three new commitments adding a total of

play14:31

$82 million in backlog to the company at

play14:34

an average of

play14:35

$166,000 per day these commitments

play14:38

include contract extensions for the

play14:40

Norva with bwe in the bond contract

play14:43

extension for the Mist with valura in

play14:45

Thailand and a binding letter of award

play14:47

for the tour with an undisclosed

play14:49

customer in Southeast

play14:51

Asia following these Awards our Fleet

play14:53

coverage for 2024 has further increased

play14:56

to

play14:58

87% considering our prospects and based

play15:01

on ongoing discussions with our

play15:02

customers we remain positive about our

play15:04

ability to secure follow foll work for

play15:07

our rigs rolling off contract during the

play15:09

year with limited wi spaces if

play15:13

any our only rigs expected to roll off

play15:16

contract in the first half of the year

play15:17

are the prospector one in the North Sea

play15:19

and the gun l in Asia we're currently in

play15:22

advance discussions with customers about

play15:24

continued work for these Rigs and will

play15:26

provide further details in due course

play15:30

in relation to our new buil units Veil

play15:31

and VAR we continue to make progress

play15:34

with the completion of their

play15:35

construction and commissioning and

play15:37

remain on track to have these units

play15:39

delivered around the fourth quarter this

play15:41

year these units are currently being

play15:43

offered for several opportunities and

play15:45

are attracting considerable interest

play15:47

from our customers we remain positive

play15:49

about our ability to secure meaningful

play15:52

term work for these units ahead of their

play15:54

delivery on this note i' like to hand a

play15:56

call back to Patrick thank you

play15:59

Bruno so in conclusion Bruno has walked

play16:03

you through the current

play16:06

utilization our view of the demand

play16:08

increase over the next 18 to 24

play16:11

months and the corroboration of these

play16:14

numbers by ihmp

play16:16

global we are in a supply constraint

play16:19

Market with continued demand increases

play16:23

which is the basis for further day rate

play16:25

increases going

play16:27

forward our 2024 adjusted eida remains

play16:31

unchanged at 500 to $550 million this is

play16:35

underpinned by a strong contract

play16:38

portfolio which is covered currently at

play16:41

87% the refinance of our 2025 debt

play16:45

maturities has been successfully

play16:47

completed with the issuance of 1.54

play16:50

billion of secured notes with maturities

play16:52

in 2028 and 2030 this completes the

play16:55

refinancing of all our secure debt and

play16:58

provides the company with a solid

play17:01

long-term capital

play17:02

structure lastly we have delivered on

play17:05

the commitment to become a dividend

play17:07

Distributing Company the board approved

play17:10

for Q4 as well a dividend payment of 5

play17:13

cents per

play17:15

share ending on what for board Drilling

play17:17

and our customers is the most important

play17:20

performance indicator which is

play17:22

delivering operational excellence

play17:26

safely this will continue to have our

play17:28

utmost attention going

play17:30

forward ladies and gentlemen I would

play17:33

like to end here our prepared remarks

play17:35

and we can go to

play17:38

Q&A thank you as a reminder to ask a

play17:42

question you will need to press star one

play17:44

and then one on your telephone and wait

play17:47

for your name to be announced to with

play17:49

through your question please press star

play17:51

one one again please kindly ask one

play17:55

question and possibly a follow-up

play17:57

question at a time to leave leave room

play17:59

for other the participants if you do

play18:01

have any further questions you can

play18:03

please rejoin the queue if you wish to

play18:05

ask a question via the webcast please

play18:08

type it into the question box and click

play18:13

submit we will now take the first

play18:18

question coming from the line of

play18:20

Frederick and from Clark on Securities

play18:23

please go

play18:26

ahead hey Patrick my is bro hope is well

play18:29

and and thank you for for taking my

play18:31

question uh I wanted to to start with uh

play18:36

2024 guidance U ebta reiterated between

play18:40

uh 500 and 550 u based on the contracts

play18:45

you announced earlier this month you

play18:47

have reached 87% of a fet coverage as

play18:50

you say so I was wondering can you give

play18:53

you know some color

play18:55

on on on how we would end up in you know

play18:58

either uh on either side of that range

play19:02

uh with 87% would we still you know see

play19:05

500 minimum or what's the the moving

play19:07

Parts here to u to kind of uh

play19:10

underperform or outperform versus the

play19:14

mid all right so Frederick thanks for

play19:17

your for your questions I mean at the

play19:19

end of the day we are still in February

play19:22

so I think that the range that we have

play19:24

is appropriate what it depends on is

play19:28

that we we fill the 87% as we expect the

play19:31

more we fill it the more we will be

play19:34

towards the upper range uh the more we

play19:37

are with day rates over

play19:39

$150,000 per day the more we will be at

play19:42

the upper range of that right so I think

play19:45

that those are the moving pieces so it

play19:48

is really filling up the 87% uh further

play19:51

to 100 and as Bruno mentioned to you we

play19:55

have many discussions ongoing and we

play19:57

expect to be

play19:59

able to manage any wi spaces very well

play20:02

and we expect minimal for the year and

play20:05

secondly you've seen from the day rates

play20:07

that in the contracts that we have

play20:09

announced so far that we are at the

play20:12

higher range of what we would normally

play20:15

have considered when making this type of

play20:17

forecast so the more you see is announc

play20:20

a higher day rates uh of the 170 plus

play20:25

the more that is going to make us end up

play20:27

in the upper range of our guidance but

play20:30

that's probably all I can say this early

play20:32

in the

play20:35

year you know thank you Patrick and and

play20:39

just on the rig seor um you mentioned

play20:42

the prospector one and the g that the

play20:44

two rigs coming off contract now the

play20:46

first half of this year prospector

play20:48

that's the only rig you have in the

play20:50

North Sea currently um is it fair to

play20:52

assume that it will remain in the North

play20:55

Sea uh or are those discussions for

play20:58

elsewhere

play21:01

um I don't want to give you fully our uh

play21:04

commercial

play21:06

uh um envelope at the moment but um we

play21:10

have always said that the North Sea is

play21:13

not a key market for us however there is

play21:16

interesting bits of work and if we can

play21:19

tie enough of that together you could

play21:21

have a scenario in where we would remain

play21:24

around the North Sea so to say um and

play21:28

there's other scenarios as well but um I

play21:32

would say that we intend to be

play21:34

announcing relatively soon um the

play21:38

outlook for the P1 for the rest of the

play21:42

year and on the Lo asking um I think

play21:47

that Bruno you want to say a few things

play21:49

about the gun L yeah sure Patrick and

play21:52

and I think the gun LW is a rig that has

play21:55

been performing very well in the region

play21:57

where it's located it's one that has

play22:00

unique features and certainly one that I

play22:03

think our customers would like to

play22:04

maintain the region um we obviously

play22:06

acknowledge that moving rigs across

play22:08

regions comes with with certain

play22:10

efficiencies and and we remain positive

play22:12

that the rig will remain operating in

play22:16

Asia perfect thank you and just finally

play22:20

uh you're declaring dividends uh 5 cents

play22:23

this quarter uh you also have a Sher rep

play22:26

purchase program in place for 100

play22:28

million but you haven't really used uh I

play22:30

think it's less than a million if my

play22:32

math was correctly on that can you um

play22:37

give any color on how you would you know

play22:40

think about the trade of between higher

play22:43

dividends or more Shar purchases uh

play22:46

initially since at least on my numbers

play22:49

that the real kicker on on cash flow is

play22:51

is coming you know 2025 and Beyond so it

play22:55

would be interesting to hear what you're

play22:56

thinking now for 2024 uh if if higher

play22:59

dividends or more cash allocated to

play23:02

sharing purchases would make the most

play23:05

sense for

play23:06

you no so I think firstly you are right

play23:09

that uh clearly the larger amounts of

play23:12

cash are going to be available in

play23:15

25 but it's also clear from the way that

play23:18

we see the year shape up that um there

play23:22

is opportunities to also in 24 continue

play23:27

to distribute to the shareholders you

play23:30

know that we are focused on deleveraging

play23:32

and that at the same time we want to

play23:34

make sure that there is a return for the

play23:36

shareholders as well um at this moment

play23:40

uh I can tell you that the board wanted

play23:42

to uh have both instruments available

play23:46

meaning n share buyback as well as um a

play23:50

divident distribution which is currently

play23:53

in place um I think that there is as a

play23:57

second gu guidance where there is going

play24:00

to be focus on that with more Surplus

play24:03

cash becoming available I would expect

play24:06

the dividends uh to be increasing over

play24:10

time and then I think on a quarterly

play24:13

basis based on where the share price

play24:16

might be the board will make a

play24:18

determination on where we are going to

play24:21

go whether on the share buyback side or

play24:24

more towards dividend but I think you

play24:26

have seen the the Cur current uh

play24:29

sentiment is very much towards dividend

play24:31

being the second uh consecutive quarter

play24:35

in which the board continues to uh focus

play24:37

on dividend um apart from that I would

play24:41

say um follow us here in the quarters to

play24:44

come and uh we we'll be able to give you

play24:47

more info on

play24:49

that thank you very much Patrick and

play24:52

team that's all from me uh have a good

play24:54

day thank you thank you

play24:59

we will now take the next

play25:03

question from the line of Greg LS from

play25:06

bti please go

play25:08

ahead yeah hey thanks and good afternoon

play25:11

everybody and thanks for taking my

play25:12

questions um you know hey Patrick I I

play25:15

was hoping you could provide a little

play25:17

bit more color around the new builds um

play25:20

it it sounded like in your prepared

play25:22

remarks these are looking at potentially

play25:25

uh going on term War kind of kind of

play25:27

curious just a couple things here how

play25:30

you're kind of thinking about balancing

play25:31

these rigs into the market in the spot

play25:33

Market versus term and and and and

play25:37

really then I'll also ask is is is is

play25:41

are we assuming any any Revenue

play25:43

contribution in 24 from uh maybe the rig

play25:47

that's supposed to be available later

play25:50

this

play25:51

year no that is uh Fair Craig uh so let

play25:55

me say a few things although I leave the

play25:56

Lion Share of this for

play25:59

Bruno um so the way that it looks at

play26:02

this moment one of the rigs will

play26:05

potentially two maybe three months be

play26:08

available uh for service in 2024 the

play26:12

second one is only going to be really

play26:14

available to drill called it January

play26:17

25 um and I think that uh what we were

play26:22

talking about seeing the additional

play26:25

demand of of 24 to 20 five rigs from our

play26:30

perspective uh there is some interesting

play26:32

term work in that and for us it is

play26:35

really a matter that we want to see that

play26:37

these rigs get on some interesting

play26:40

contracts that have a bit of longevity

play26:44

in them so term IND this is important uh

play26:47

but Bruno maybe you can talk a little

play26:49

bit more about what you're seeing and

play26:51

where we're focused on and I guess that

play26:54

people are quite interested when we

play26:56

would be interested in

play26:59

uh committing to award any work to these

play27:03

thanks Patrick Yeah Greg and we mention

play27:06

a little bit in the last quarter um

play27:08

these rigs that are being delivered late

play27:11

in the year are probably some of the

play27:13

most capable rigs that we have in our

play27:14

Fleet and and because of that and

play27:16

because the prior um track record

play27:19

success of the sister rigs operating in

play27:21

Asia they have been attracting a

play27:23

substantial interest from from customers

play27:25

particularly ones that are very

play27:27

performance perform

play27:28

focused um obviously taking a rig out of

play27:31

the yard and everything that comes with

play27:33

it is not a small commitment we're

play27:35

looking OB preferably to find work that

play27:38

um has volume and volume I would say you

play27:41

know programs that are 18 months plus um

play27:45

ideally to take them out out of the yard

play27:47

we're not concerned obviously about them

play27:49

finding contined work but I think it's

play27:51

it's obviously preferable if we can find

play27:53

a good balance between attractive day

play27:56

rates and a third

play27:58

that um makes it easy for us to phas the

play28:01

rig into into

play28:05

work okay super helpful thanks and then

play28:08

and then I you know I guess just really

play28:10

given that um you know you provided some

play28:12

some great detail on um you know the the

play28:15

Indian market realizing that's not not a

play28:18

not a primary market for you guys um and

play28:21

and just because it's timely around the

play28:24

um you know the you know the decisions

play28:26

by Saudi Arabia last year January around

play28:30

you know raining in some capex you know

play28:33

clearly Saudi Arabia is a huge Market um

play28:37

you know I I can go and look at the you

play28:39

know the 80 plus rigs there and look at

play28:43

different ages and quality of rig um do

play28:46

you have any sense for um you know maybe

play28:51

H you know as as we look at Saudi Arabia

play28:54

you know you know how we think you know

play28:56

how we could see maybe some

play28:59

uh rigs kind of move out of there and

play29:03

where they could go or or is it

play29:04

something where you know a lot of those

play29:06

rigs are kind of nearing their useful

play29:08

life and maybe some of those rigs in

play29:11

Saudi you know probably aren't working

play29:13

in three to five

play29:15

years no so I think Craig it is it is a

play29:18

a question clearly Saudi is a

play29:21

tremendously large Market that does

play29:23

govern what happens in the rest of the

play29:25

world so I mean all I can tell is from

play29:28

the discussions that we had and I think

play29:31

from everybody in the drilling

play29:33

Department it is quite clear that even

play29:37

with a nonp pursuing 13 million barrels

play29:41

but staying at 12 million barrels the

play29:43

amount of work and the amount of wealth

play29:45

that need to be drilled is drill

play29:47

extraordinary large that requires a

play29:50

tremendous amount of rigs on land as

play29:52

well as offshore so I think that that is

play29:55

the key thing in it overall I think that

play29:58

it is possible that some rigs at a

play30:01

certain moment roll of contract and are

play30:05

possibly not getting their contracts

play30:07

renewed it's absolutely possible and it

play30:10

is clear that the decision criteria that

play30:13

aramco in General Uses are performance

play30:17

safety and cost so I think that all of

play30:19

these things are understood it is

play30:22

possible that they um call some of these

play30:26

rigs but I think that that is not going

play30:29

to be tremendous amounts and I think we

play30:32

should all take uh at least some

play30:34

information that there wasn't after the

play30:37

announcement a knee-jerk reaction or

play30:39

where Ricks came falling out of the

play30:42

woodwor and a lot of Works was being

play30:45

stopped so I think that we just need to

play30:48

let it work through the system whatever

play30:50

comes out of Saudi and if there is some

play30:53

rig that are coming out from the

play30:55

description that Bruno gave of the

play30:57

market these rigs are going to be

play30:59

absorbed quite easily and as you have

play31:02

stated some of them could be

play31:04

significantly old and operative might

play31:07

just decide not to further invest and

play31:10

maybe write some of them off but I think

play31:13

let's just um we focus on what we can we

play31:16

just want to keep performing as well as

play31:18

we can and I don't think that there is

play31:22

an enormous amount of rigs coming out of

play31:25

Asia out of aramco that could wouldn't

play31:28

be absorbed in the market as we see the

play31:30

market developing

play31:33

today perfect super helpful thank you

play31:35

very

play31:36

much all right thank

play31:39

you we will now take the next

play31:44

question from the line of Michael Bam

play31:48

from Sona asset M management please go

play31:51

ahead actually all of my questions have

play31:54

been answered already thank you very

play31:56

much no

play31:59

problem thank you there are no further

play32:01

phone questions turning the call over

play32:04

for webcast

play32:06

questions thank you uh are you seeing

play32:11

any changes in the length of contracts

play32:13

being asked for by

play32:17

clients all right Bruno you want to take

play32:19

this question sure um really we see as I

play32:24

mentioned in my my uh previous remarks

play32:27

we do see now now an increasing number

play32:29

of long-term tenders um either on the

play32:32

market or coming to the market soon um

play32:35

certainly in the jackup space you always

play32:37

going to have a substantial number of

play32:39

smaller programs in places like

play32:41

southeast Asia for example you will um

play32:43

inevitably have programs that are short

play32:45

in nature and I think the the the beauty

play32:47

of this Market is really the combination

play32:49

of both things we will focus on

play32:51

obviously having visibility of our

play32:53

backlog for the fleet but not ignoring

play32:56

that shortterm opportunities provide as

play32:58

well attractive opportunities to reprice

play33:00

in a tip Market as we are in the big

play33:03

scheme of things um we do see the the

play33:06

the contract durations of the holding um

play33:09

and in in different regions you have

play33:11

different profiles obviously and and I

play33:13

think this is a bit of a nature of the

play33:15

particular geographies but in general we

play33:18

do see the the contract durations

play33:19

holding and potentially elongating a

play33:21

little bit with the standards coming up

play33:22

in the market

play33:26

now thanks

play33:29

bero what is the opportunity set looking

play33:32

like in terms of expansion of the fleet

play33:35

and what about the under construction

play33:36

rigs seeking buyers what is B's view on

play33:39

this

play33:43

opportunity so we are very happy with

play33:46

the size of our Fleet as we have stated

play33:48

many times so I don't see a scenario

play33:51

where we'd be interested in selling the

play33:54

two rigs that are on

play33:56

construction uh Bruno mentioned earlier

play33:58

we have very fruitful discussion with a

play34:01

variety of parties that are interested

play34:03

to contract them um and that's really

play34:06

the business we're in us being the

play34:07

drilling contractor and um using our

play34:10

rigs so I don't see selling as one of

play34:14

the preferred or likely Avenues when it

play34:18

comes to overall expansion of the fleet

play34:21

um I think that there is as we have said

play34:23

in the past there's always opportunities

play34:26

and we will look look at them uh

play34:28

carefully but we will want to make sure

play34:31

that some of the key strengths that we

play34:33

have remain intact meaning that we want

play34:37

to make sure that we continue to have a

play34:39

very solid Financial footing that any

play34:43

assets that would be added to the fleet

play34:46

are very similar in age and Equipment as

play34:50

what we currently operate um which that

play34:53

if you set that as your parameters your

play34:56

opportunity set actually becomes fairly

play34:58

small and might be a rig here or there

play35:01

so I would say at this moment we focus

play35:05

very much on our own Fleet and um as

play35:10

some opportunities come up we will

play35:11

evaluate them but they are not the main

play35:15

focus of the management

play35:19

team thanks

play35:21

Patrick last one the leading AG day

play35:24

rates have been flat at around 165 to7

play35:27

$7,000 a day for the last 6 months when

play35:31

do you think we are seeing the next leg

play35:33

up potentially hitting the 200k

play35:36

mark yeah I think that that is a fair

play35:39

question that obviously I will hand over

play35:41

to Bruno but I think that it is um the

play35:47

the flattening of the level is we have

play35:49

been at a very high level and actually

play35:51

we have been able to get these level of

play35:54

contract contracts across the world in

play35:56

every region you know I think that that

play35:58

is a major step forward what we have and

play36:02

Bruno maybe you can comment a bit on

play36:05

what we are tendering today and the rate

play36:07

you are expecting and therefore when you

play36:09

think you be getting towards the 200,000

play36:13

sure sure Patrick in um when we look at

play36:16

the market at the moment and as I

play36:17

mentioned in my my remarks um we do see

play36:20

a lot of lot of opportunities now hit in

play36:22

the market and more to come right and

play36:25

and it goes out saying that um it a

play36:27

market about utilization is a market

play36:29

about tightness with these additional

play36:31

requirements particularly multi-year

play36:33

requirements potentially soaking some of

play36:35

the remaining capacity then is when we

play36:37

would expect um day rates to accelerate

play36:40

further um I would fall short of

play36:42

providing more details on on our

play36:44

particular beaing rates but it's fair to

play36:47

say that our offers continue to push on

play36:49

the upside and frequently are um getting

play36:52

very close to the higher end of the

play36:54

hundreds and and and not shy not too far

play36:57

shy of the $200,000 a day I think in the

play36:59

second half of the year as a lot of

play37:01

these standards come to the market

play37:02

that's when we expect a a higher

play37:05

acceleration but it continues to move in

play37:07

the right direction I mean as an average

play37:09

we were at 161 during last year this

play37:12

beginning of the year we are at 166 and

play37:14

as Patrick highlighted this is not

play37:16

hanging on one fixture and neither

play37:18

hanging in one region it's been a

play37:20

development that is happening across the

play37:22

globe which is which is very positive to

play37:26

see okay then I understand that we have

play37:29

reached the end of our

play37:31

questions so thank you very much for

play37:34

your attention and we look forward again

play37:37

talking to you real soon um with the

play37:39

next updates thank

play37:56

you

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