Why Iraq says this road will fix the Middle East

CaspianReport
30 Aug 202419:06

Summary

TLDRIraq is undertaking a $7 billion mega project, the Developmental Road Project, to build a 1200 km highway and railway to transform itself into a major trade node connecting Asia to Europe. The project aims to bypass the Red Sea and provide a safer, faster alternative for East-West trade, potentially generating 250,000 jobs and earning Iraq up to $4 billion annually in transit fees. However, the project faces challenges including environmental issues, corruption, and regional disputes. Despite these, success could shift Iraq from a hub for extremism to a cornerstone of international trade.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 Iraq is constructing a massive Rail and Road Network to connect the Gulf region to the Mediterranean, aiming to boost trade and stability.
  • đŸ€ In April 2024, Iraq and Turkey signed over 24 deals, including agreements on water distribution and cooperation against the PKK.
  • đŸ’Œ Iraqi diplomats are actively seeking investors and partnerships, including deals with Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.
  • 🚧 The Iraqi Corridor is one of several vying for dominance in East-West trade, distinguishing itself by involving regional power brokers.
  • đŸ—ïž The Grand Faw Port, a key part of the project, is set to become the largest in the region with a 15 km breakwater, the longest in the world.
  • 🚚 The project aims to generate about 250,000 jobs and earn Baghdad up to $4 billion annually in freight transit fees.
  • ⏱ The Iraqi Corridor could cut the average time for Asian exports to Europe by up to 10 days, potentially siphoning off Red Sea trade.
  • 🌐 Regional powers like the UAE and Qatar support the project, seeing it as a way to maintain influence and contain other regional powers.
  • 🚧 The project faces challenges including environmental complications, corruption, and territorial disputes that could undermine its ambitions.
  • ⚖ The success of the Iraqi Corridor could reshape regional dynamics, affecting the balance of power and trade in the Middle East.

Q & A

  • What is the main goal of Iraq's massive Rail and Road Network project?

    -The main goal of Iraq's project is to connect the Gulf region to the Mediterranean, facilitating billions of dollars in trade and potentially increasing the country's prosperity and stability.

  • What significant meeting took place in Baghdad in April 2024?

    -In April 2024, Baghdad hosted a meeting between Turkish and Iraqi leadership, marking the first such meeting in 13 years, where they signed over 24 deals.

  • What commitments were made by Turkey and Iraq during their April 2024 meeting?

    -Turkey agreed to be more generous in the distribution of water in the Tigris and Euphrates, while Iraq committed to taking a stronger stance against PKK militants.

  • How does Iraq's project fit into the competition for East-West trade dominance?

    -Iraq's project aims to involve regional power brokers rather than exclude them, setting it apart from other corridors like the Chinese-backed Middle Corridor, Russian-backed North-South Corridor, and the India Middle East Europe Economic Corridor.

  • What are the environmental complications that could hinder Iraq's developmental ambitions?

    -Environmental complications, corruption, and ongoing territorial disputes are challenges that could undermine Iraq's ambitions for its developmental Road Project.

  • What is the significance of the Grand Faw Port in Iraq's developmental Road Project?

    -The Grand Faw Port, located on an artificial island at the mouth of the Shatt Al Arab River, is set to become the largest port in the region and is a key component of Iraq's plan to transform into a major trade node.

  • How does the Iraqi Corridor project potentially impact the Red Sea trade?

    -If successful, the Iraqi Corridor could cut the average time for Asian exports to Europe by up to 10 days, potentially siphoning off trade from the Red Sea and impacting Cairo's revenue from freight levies.

  • What are the geopolitical implications of the Iraqi Corridor for neighboring countries?

    -The Iraqi Corridor could affect regional power dynamics, potentially reducing Iran's influence and undermining its role as the anchor of the Gulf region, while also providing Turkey with an opportunity to increase its trade and defense cooperation with Iraq.

  • How does the instability in the Red Sea affect the viability of the Iraqi Corridor?

    -The instability in the Red Sea could make Iraq's offer of a safer and faster alternative for East-West trade more attractive, potentially giving the Iraqi Corridor an advantage over other routes.

  • What are the internal challenges Iraq faces in implementing the developmental Road Project?

    -Internal challenges include corruption, sectarianism, militarism, and the risk of insolvency, which could hinder the progress and success of the developmental Road Project.

Outlines

00:00

🚞 Iraq's Vision for a New Trade Corridor

Iraq is undertaking a massive infrastructure project to establish a rail and road network that will connect the Gulf region to the Mediterranean, aiming to boost trade and stability. In April 2024, a significant meeting in Baghdad between Turkish and Iraqi leaders resulted in over 24 deals, including agreements on water distribution and security cooperation against the PKK. Following this, Iraq secured investments from Qatar and the UAE. The project is part of a larger competition for East-West trade dominance, alongside Chinese and Russian-backed initiatives. Despite challenges like environmental issues, corruption, and territorial disputes, Iraq's approach of involving regional powers rather than excluding them sets it apart and holds the promise of transforming the country into a hub for international trade.

05:01

🌊 The Grand F Port and Iraq's Economic Ambitions

The Iraqi government is focusing on the development of the Grand F Port, which is expected to become the largest in the region with the capacity to handle significant containerized freight. The port, along with a 1200 km road and railway network, is central to Iraq's plan to become a major trade node, connecting Asia to Europe. The project is supported by international partners and is expected to generate substantial employment and revenue. The port's construction also serves as a territorial marker for Iraq. The transport corridor is designed to pass through major Iraqi cities, aiming to revitalize local economies and reduce demographic pressures on urban centers. The success of this corridor could significantly reduce shipping times and divert trade from the Red Sea, impacting regional economies and rivaling other trade initiatives like the India Middle East Economic Corridor.

10:03

đŸ€ Diplomatic Shifts and Regional Implications

Iraq's developmental road project has been met with a flurry of diplomatic and commercial activities, including a historic visit by the Turkish president. Despite past tensions over trade, security, and water access, Iraq and Turkey are now seeking closer cooperation. Turkey's support for the project is part of a broader reset in relations, with mutual benefits in trade and defense. Iraq's stance against the PKK has been a key factor in gaining Turkish support, while Turkey has agreed to assist with water management. The project has also garnered support from the UAE and Qatar, who see it as a means to contain Iranian influence and empower Iraqi sovereignty. However, the project faces opposition from Iran, which could lose significant financial influence and see its geopolitical strategies disrupted. The success of the Iraqi Corridor could reshape regional dynamics, affecting not only trade but also the balance of power in the Middle East.

15:05

⚓ Geopolitical Challenges and the Future of Iraq's Corridor

The realization of Iraq's corridor faces significant geopolitical challenges, including disputes over maritime boundaries and the slim coastal territory available for port construction. Iraq's historical conflicts with Iran and Kuwait over maritime demarcations have implications for the project's feasibility. The country's institutional weaknesses, including corruption and inefficiency, also cast doubt on the mega project's success. Scandals regarding substandard construction materials and financial mismanagement further complicate matters. Neighboring Kuwait's plans for a competing port add to the challenges. Despite these obstacles, the project holds the potential to transform Iraq's economy and geopolitical standing, offering a path towards stability and prosperity for the region. The success of Iraq's corridor will depend on its ability to navigate these complex challenges and the support of its regional partners.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Iraqi Corridor

The Iraqi Corridor refers to a massive rail and road network being constructed by Iraq, aiming to connect the Gulf region to the Mediterranean. This infrastructure project is designed to facilitate billions of dollars in trade and enhance the country's economic prosperity, potentially leading to greater stability. The video discusses how this corridor is different from other regional projects as it involves regional power brokers rather than excluding them, which is evident in Iraq's outreach to countries like Turkey, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates.

💡Grand Faw Port

The Grand Faw Port is a crucial component of Iraq's developmental Road Project. Located on an artificial island at the mouth of the Shatt Al Arab River, it is set to become the largest port in the region with the capacity to handle up to 36 million tons of containerized freight annually. The port's construction is well underway and is expected to be completed by 2038. The port symbolizes Iraq's maritime territorial claim and commitment to the developmental project, as mentioned in the script.

💡East-West Trade

East-West Trade in the context of the video pertains to the movement of goods and services between Asia and Europe. Iraq's Corridor project aims to become a major trade node in this global exchange, offering a safer and faster alternative route for trade, bypassing the Red Sea's current instability. The video highlights how this could transform Iraq into a cornerstone of international trade and reduce the average transit time for Asian exports to Europe by up to 10 days.

💡Regional Power Brokers

Regional Power Brokers are influential nations or entities within a specific geographic area that can affect political and economic outcomes. The video discusses how Iraq's Corridor project involves engaging these brokers, such as Turkey, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, rather than excluding them. This approach is contrasted with other regional projects and is seen as a strategic move to ensure the project's success and Iraq's role in regional stability.

💡PKK

The Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) is a militant and political organization that has been involved in conflict with Turkey and is considered a terrorist organization by several countries. In the video, it is mentioned that Iraq has agreed to take a stronger stance against the PKK as part of its deal with Turkey, which includes formal banning of the organization and allowing Turkish operations against the PKK on Iraqi soil.

💡Water Rights

Water Rights are legal rights or entitlements that allow water to be used from a particular source. The video discusses how water distribution in the Tigris and Euphrates rivers has been a point of tension between Turkey and Iraq. As part of the improved relations and agreements, Turkey has agreed to be more generous in the distribution of water, which is crucial for Iraq's agriculture and development.

💡Infrastructure Development

Infrastructure Development refers to the creation and improvement of basic physical and organizational structures needed for the operation of a society or enterprise. In the video, Iraq's efforts to develop its infrastructure through the construction of the Grand Faw Port and the 1200 km highway and railway are highlighted. These developments are seen as essential for Iraq's economic growth and its ability to become a major trade node.

💡Economic Corridors

Economic Corridors are networks of roads, railways, ports, and other infrastructure that facilitate the movement of goods and services, thereby promoting trade and economic growth. The video outlines several such corridors, including the Chinese-backed Middle Corridor, the Russian-backed North-South Corridor, and the India Middle East Europe Economic Corridor. These corridors are in competition, and Iraq's Corridor is positioned to involve regional power brokers, setting it apart.

💡Geopolitical Competition

Geopolitical Competition refers to the struggle between nations or groups for power and influence over a particular region. The video discusses how the development of the Iraqi Corridor is part of a larger geopolitical competition for dominance in East-West trade routes, with various countries backing different corridors. This competition is influenced by factors such as trade, security, and regional influence.

💡Institutional Dysfunction

Institutional Dysfunction describes the inability of an organization or system to perform its functions effectively due to internal issues such as corruption, inefficiency, or lack of coordination. The video mentions that Iraq's history of conflict and instability has left it with institutional dysfunction, which poses a challenge to the successful implementation of large-scale projects like the developmental Road Project.

Highlights

Iraq is constructing a massive Rail and Road Network to connect the Gulf region to the Mediterranean.

The project aims to boost trade and stability in Iraq.

In April 2024, Baghdad hosted a meeting with Turkish and Iraqi leadership, resulting in over 24 deals.

Turkey agreed to be more generous in water distribution, while Iraq committed to stronger action against PKK militants.

Iraqi diplomats reached out to Qatar and the UAE to secure investments.

The Iraqi project competes with other East-West trade corridors backed by China and Russia.

Iraq's Corridor involves regional power brokers rather than excluding them.

Environmental complications, corruption, and territorial disputes could undermine the project.

The project could transform Iraq into a cornerstone of international trade.

The Grand Faw Port is set to become the largest in the region with a capacity of 36 million tons of containerized freight annually.

The Iraqi Corridor is expected to generate 250,000 jobs and earn Baghdad up to $4 billion annually in freight transit fees.

The project could cut 10 days off the average time for Asian exports to Europe.

Iraq seeks to rival the India Middle East Economic Corridor with the support of Turkey, Qatar, and the UAE.

The success of the project hinges on the Grand Faw Port and the 1200 km Highway and Railway.

The project faces challenges from Iran, which could lose influence if the Iraqi Corridor succeeds.

Iraq's geopolitical centrality is both a blessing and a curse, being at the center of regional conflicts.

The project's success could revitalize Iraq's rural areas and reduce demographic pressure on major cities.

The Iraqi Corridor could siphon off Red Sea trade, affecting Cairo's revenue from freight levies.

The project faces internal challenges such as corruption and the risk of insolvency.

Kuwait's plans to build a parallel port could create competition in the region.

A stable and prosperous Iraq could have a transformative effect on the Middle East.

Transcripts

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[Music]

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Iraq is making its great comeback it is

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constructing a massive Rail and Road

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Network connecting the Gulf region to

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the Mediterranean billions of dollars of

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trade will flow through the country and

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with greater Prosperity comes greater

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stability at least that's the idea Iraqi

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lawmakers are working tirelessly to get

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everyone on board in April 2024 Baghdad

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hosted a meeting between the Turkish and

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Iraqi leadership it was the first such

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meeting in 13 years and the two signed

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over 24 deals among other things turkey

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agreed to be more generous in the

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distribution of water in the Tigris and

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Euphrates while Iraq will take a

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stronger stance against pkk

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militants immediately following the

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Turkish deal Iraqi diplomats reached out

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to Qatar and the United Arab Emirates to

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secure investors signing additional

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agreements in the process the Iraqi

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project is one of several Ving for

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dominance in East West Trade there is

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the chinese-backed middle Corridor which

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goes from Central Asia across the

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Caspian Sea and then into turkey there

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is also the russian-backed north south

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Corridor this one goes from Moscow to

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Baku tan and then Mumbai the third is

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the India middle east Europe economic

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Corridor a bit of a mouthful but it

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traverses the UAE Saudi Arabia Israel

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and Greece before landing in Europe

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Iraq's Corridor is different from the

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competition because it looks to involve

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Regional power Brokers rather than

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exclude them which explains the Iraqi

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Outreach standing in baghdad's way

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however are environmental complications

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crippling corruption and ongoing

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territorial disputes these troubles

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could undermine baghdad's ambitions

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before the cement is dry even so the

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benefits outweigh the risks if it comes

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through the project could transform Iraq

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from a breeding ground for extremism to

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a Cornerstone of international trade no

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wonder the Iraqis believe this road

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could fix the Middle

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[Music]

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ODU Iraq has seen it

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wealth power conflict treason poverty

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and collapse its Geographic centrality

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has blessed and cursed it in equal

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measure in recent times it has been at

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the center of regional conflicts whether

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it's Iran versus Israel Saudi and Syrian

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negotiations or even Turkish

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counterinsurgency operations anything

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and everything that takes place in the

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Middle East inadvertently drags Iraq

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into the equation

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that is what happens when you sit in the

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center of things now Baghdad hopes to

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leverage that centrality for its own

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benefit through a$7 billion Mega project

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labeled the developmental Road Project

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Baghdad seeks to transform itself into a

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major trade node connecting the

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manufacturers of Asia to the consumer

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economies of the Middle Eastern Europe

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by laying a 1200 km Highway and a

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parallel Railway from north to south

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across its territory Iraqi policy makers

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seek to connect the bustling Gulf region

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to the Turkish Hinterland the timing

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couldn't be better while the Red Sea

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observes unease and instability Iraq

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wants to transform itself into a dry

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canal and develop a safer and faster

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alternative for East West Trade it's a

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bold move if it works the corridor could

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provide Iraq with the keys to prosperity

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and Independence not just for itself but

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for the wider region since whatever

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happens in Iraq affects all the Middle

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East not surprisingly the Iraqi Corridor

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has found plenty of Partners far a field

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with conglomerates such as South Korea's

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deu and Italy's technal taking part

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however the key to the Project's success

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is the grandf port located on an

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artificial Island at the mouth of the

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shat Al Arab River the port is set to

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become the largest in the region

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according to technal it will include 99

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births and be capable of handling up to

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36 million tons of containerized freight

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annually which is about 4 million

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General container units for comparison

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that is nearly the capacity of Port SED

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in Egypt or Abu Dhabi port in the United

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Arab

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Emirates construction of the grandall

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Port is well underway and Baghdad

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expects to complete it by

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2038 the immense scale of the project

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has already made headlines worldwide

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with the port's 15 km Breakwater

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recorded as the longest in the world

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beyond the publicity generated by the

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move the Breakwater serves as a concrete

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marker of Iraq's claimed Maritime

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territory and a symbol of baghdad's

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commitment to the project meanwhile on

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land the Iraqi government has begun work

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on the construction of 1200 kilm of Road

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and Railway starting at the grandf Port

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the planed transport Corridor snakes

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northward skirting major population

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centers such as Basra daania Naf carala

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Baghdad takit and mosul before

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terminating at the border zone of ovako

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in Southeastern turkey there the

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transport Corridor connects to the

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European market via turkey's existing

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utool Expressway and planed trans

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Anatolian railway lines taken together

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the Iraqi Corridor will generate about

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250,000 jobs and earn Baghdad up to $4

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billion annually in Freight Transit fees

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while transporting up to 40 million tons

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of cargo per year but that's just the

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tip of the iceberg should the Iraqi

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Corridor succeed it would cut up to 10

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days of the average time for Asian

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exports to Europe in doing so Iraq would

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be siphoning off the Red Sea trade which

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generates Cairo up to $10 billion per

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year in Freight levies admittedly the

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Iraqi Corridor cannot replace the Suez

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Canal in totality but it will

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nevertheless tap into the growth in East

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West Commerce which is expected to

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expand at a rate of 15% % per anom

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moreover as the Iraqi project develops

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expanding up the length of the country

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and skirting major population centers

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policy makers hope that local businesses

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will tap into each node in the transit

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Corridor effectively creating a value

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chain in the process doing so would

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Revitalize Iraq's suffering rurality and

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pull demographic pressure away from the

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center of the major cities yet baghdad's

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and Ambitions are bigger than just the

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Middle East in partnering with turkey

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Qatar and the United Arab Emirates Iraq

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seeks to rival the India Middle East

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economic Corridor that initiative which

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has received vocal support from the

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United States and the European Union

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envisions a Transit Corridor that begins

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in India and traverses the UAE Saudi

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Arabia Jordan and Israel before arriving

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in the ports of Southern Europe by

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enrolling the Gulf States into a Transit

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Corridor Washington effectively locks

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out Chinese efforts in the region in a

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way what we're seeing in the Middle East

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is a battle of corridors each route has

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its own perks and faults and is subject

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to different terms in recent months the

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Gaza conflict has all but invalidated

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the India Middle East economic Corridor

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since it tries to involve both Israel

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and Saudi Arabia in the same route now

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especially with the instability in the

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Red Sea the Iraqi Corridor May yet come

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out on

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[Music]

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top drawing lines through Maps is

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perhaps the most thrilling part of

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geopolitics if only things were so easy

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since announcing the project in May 2023

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Iraq has had a flurry of diplomatic and

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Commercial activ it including the

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historic visit by the Turkish president

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in April

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2024 despite the proximity of the two

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countries disagreements over trade

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security and access to fresh water have

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kept relations between Ankara and

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Baghdad at arms length for decades

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turkey's Water Resources have been a

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continual point of tension with Turkish

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and Iraqi lawmakers often in dispute

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over access within the Euphrates Tigress

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Basin lacking a hydrocarbon industry of

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its own Upstream damning has remained a

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core part of turkey's energy

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Independence a matter that Turkish

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officials have been quick to site in

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discussions with their petroleum Rich

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Southern Neighbors in addition to access

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to water trilateral relations between

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Iraq the Kurdistan Regional government

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and turkey remain tense between Baghdad

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and air Bill disputes over petroleum and

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Customs revenues have remained a

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constant barrier to the centralization

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of authority to complicate matters the

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Kurdistan Regional government itself

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remains divided between the KDP and the

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PUK short for the Kurdistan Democratic

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party and the Patriotic Union of

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Kurdistan respectively while the KDP and

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turkey maintain a close relationship the

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PUK based in Sol Mania is supported by

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Iran this agreement between the two

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Kurdish parties has prevented stable

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governance in the Iraqi Kurdistan region

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this has in turn allowed Kurdish

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militants such as the Kurdistan Workers

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Party or pkk to use Iraqi Kurdistan as a

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launching point for attacks against

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turkey consequently Turkish intervention

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in Iraqi Kurdistan including the

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construction of over 40 Turkish military

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outposts has been characteristic of the

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prevailing status quo a fact that is

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resented by authorities in Baghdad with

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common interests however even the most

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estranged Brothers can Embrace and

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Ankara stands to gain significantly in

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both trade and defense if it works with

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Iraq having been excluded from the India

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Middle East economic Corridor Ankara has

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declared its support for baghdad's

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initiative as part part of a broader

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reset in relations Iraq took measures to

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crack down on the pkk formally Banning

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the organization prior to the Turkish

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presidential visit in doing so Baghdad

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has given the green light for further

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Turkish operations against the pkk in

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return the Turks have committed to

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opening Upstream Valves and providing

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Baghdad with technology and assistance

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for water management and irrigation for

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for Iraq a tough stance against the

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outlawed pkk is a small tradeoff in

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return for greater cooperation with

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turkey on water rights and

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infrastructure development meanwhile for

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turkey the creation of a fortified

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coridor bisecting the Syrian and Iraqi

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portions of Kurdistan is about more than

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just economics it's about foreign policy

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a point of view that is shared by Iran

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Iraq's developmental Road has caught the

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eyes of regional power Brokers the

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United Arab Emirates and Qatar have

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signed a joint declaration in support of

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the project while the UAE had served as

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a critical Link in the India Middle East

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economic Corridor the emiratis no longer

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see it as a viable platform and want to

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keep their options open thus the UAE

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pursues engagement with Iraq as a mean

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of minerally containing Iranian

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influence whilst empowering Iraqi

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sovereignty for Qatar common ground is

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found in divesting away from great

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powers and towards more Regional

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ownership in addition Doha has thrown

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its Financial backing behind the project

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in hopes of maintaining influence over

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its development that being said not all

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of Iraq's neighbors have been so

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welcoming Tran stands to lose the most

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if the Iraqi Corridor succeeds Not only

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would Baghdad become increasingly

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independent of Tan's Financial influence

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but Iran's traditional role as the

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Anchorage of the Gulf region would be

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severely undermined as trade diverts

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westward in addition the same Iraqi

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Corridor would also likely interrupt the

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flow of Iranian weapons into Syria while

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also restricting Iran's proxy groups

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from operating nearby

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consequently Iranian backed groups such

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as Iraqi Hezbollah have already

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expressed their concerns about the plan

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something that can be interpreted as

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nothing less than a direct warning from

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tan Iranian influence extends beyond the

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Shia militias in Iraq's South Tan has

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maintained close relations with both the

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political P UK and the militant pkk

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through whom it maintains a multilateral

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policy with regard to n bring Syria so

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should tyon wish to push back on Baghdad

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and ankara's plans it has a collection

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of tools by which to do so for Iraq

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blowback from neighboring Iran poses the

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greatest danger to the feasibility of

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its Corridor even if the Iraqis could

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navigate through the Maze of political

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opponents outlawed militants and foreign

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proxies there would still be more

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disputes further south in the sea as it

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stands Iraq's total coastline is quite

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slim measuring just 58 km from end to

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end this means the construction of the

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grand fall Port is taking place within

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an extremely tight Maritime space Iraq

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is essentially a massive Warehouse with

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a tiny door while such statements are

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made in just they are descriptive of a

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larger problem in Iraq's

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geopolitics since Independence in 1932

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Baghdad has sought to push back against

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both the Iranian and the Kuwaiti

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Maritime demarcations a posture that

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ultimately resulted in the catastrophic

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Iran Iraq war and the Gulf War Decades

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of Destruction upon destruction left

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Iraq institutionally dysfunctional and

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plagued by the state vices of corruption

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sectarianism and militarism such

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problems cast doubt on Mega projects

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such as the develop Road already

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scandals have abounded regarding the

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import and use of subpar equipment in

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construction where the money has

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successfully been applied in full it

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often hasn't been enough the constant

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risk of insolvency as well as the ever

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increasing expenses of the project are

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steadily becoming prohibitive for

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lawmakers in Baghdad while Iraq

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struggles with institutional weaknesses

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neighboring Kuwait has announced plans

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to build a parallel port a Stones throw

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away from Iraq's grandall Port thus in

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the decades ahead we could have two

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major multi-billion dollar ports sitting

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across from one another but this region

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isn't big enough for both so only one

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will remain in all Iraq is the glue that

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holds the Middle East together but it is

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also the Catalyst that keeps breaking it

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if there is one thing that all the

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regional power Brokers can agree on it

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is that a stable and prosperous Iraq

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could fix the Middle East an alliance in

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purpose wins

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battles I've been your host chivon from

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Caspian report thank you for your time

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and so

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[Music]

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