Zelensky trapped in Kursk

Summary

The video discusses the ongoing situation in Ukraine, focusing on the Ukrainian government's strategy to consolidate gains in Kherson by blowing up bridges to create a buffer zone. It examines various rationales, including forcing Russia into negotiations and diverting Russian troops from Donbas. The script also explores the potential impact of these actions on Russia's resolve, the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO, and the West's diminishing capacity to supply military aid, suggesting that Ukraine's current tactics may be a strategic error.

Takeaways

• 🇺🇦 The Ukrainian government, under President Zelensky, is focusing on operations in Kherson and has blown up three bridges to consolidate gains and create a buffer zone.
• 💥 The destruction of bridges is part of a strategy to hold territory and potentially use it as leverage in negotiations with Russia, aiming to force capitulation or concessions.
• 🔄 There have been multiple explanations from Ukraine regarding their objectives in Kherson, with the latest being the creation of a buffer zone on aggressor territory.
• ❌ Russian President Putin has rejected the idea of negotiations, making the initial rationale for seizing territory for stronger negotiation positions less relevant.
• 🔄 The second rationale was to divert Russian troops from Donbass, but there is no evidence of significant troop movements from that region to Kherson.
• 🏰 The idea of a buffer zone is considered by some, including a former CIA analyst, to be unrealistic and undefendable, especially with the limited territory controlled.
• 📰 The Sunday Times article suggests that the territory held by Ukraine is indefensible and that a Russian counteroffensive is expected, potentially with returning troops.
• 🛑 Ukraine is attempting to fortify its position in Kherson by capturing important locations to prepare for an anticipated Russian counterattack.
• 🤝 Ukraine is exploring the possibility of mediated negotiations with Russia, similar to the grain deal format, to avoid direct talks.
• 💔 The Russian government has shown no interest in current mediation proposals and has emphasized that negotiations are not on the table at this time.
• 🌍 The situation in Kherson and Ukraine's actions may be influencing international relations and perceptions, with potential impacts on NATO considerations and China-Russia dynamics.

Q & A

What is the primary task of Ukraine's defense operations as stated by Zelensky's government?

The primary task is to destroy as much Russian war potential as possible and conduct maximum counter-offensive actions, including creating a buffer zone on the aggressor's territory.

What was the initial rationale given by Mykhailo Podolyak, Zelensky's advisor, for the operation in Kherson?

The initial rationale was to seize Russian territory to put Ukraine in a stronger position in negotiations, with the idea of a land swap that would allow Ukraine to regain much or all of its land.

Has there been any evidence of Russia diverting troops from Donbas to Kherson as a result of Ukraine's operation?

No, there is no evidence or sign that the Russians have moved troops from Donbas to Kherson as a result of Ukraine's operation.

What does the London Times article suggest about the territory held by Ukraine in Kherson?

The article suggests that the territory is undefendable and that Ukraine cannot hold the positions it currently occupies.

What is the current Russian stance on negotiations with Ukraine according to the script?

The Russian stance is that they are not prepared to engage in any sort of negotiations with Ukraine at the present time, considering the issue dead.

What is the reported plan for a Russian counter-offensive in the Kherson area according to the London Times?

The plan is for a Russian counter-offensive in the area, presumably with troops being brought back from inside Russia at the beginning or end of October.

What does the script suggest about Ukraine's strategy in Kherson after seizing the territory?

Ukraine is trying to expand its bridgehead and capture important locations that it can then hope to fortify, in order to have some hope of holding back the expected Russian counter-offensive in the Autumn.

What is the reported rationale behind Ukraine's operation in Kherson to create a buffer zone?

The rationale is to create an area where Ukraine can hold Russian territory and use it to force Russia to negotiate or capitulate.

What is the script's view on the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO while occupying part of Russia's territory?

The script suggests it is inconceivable that the United States or NATO would agree to Ukraine joining while it is in occupation of any part of Russia's pre-24 February territory.

What does the script imply about the impact of Ukraine's operation in Kherson on Russia's resolve?

The script implies that the operation will strengthen the Russian government and make it even more determined to see the conflict through, rather than weakening Moscow's resolve.

Outlines

00:00

💥 Ukraine's Military Strategy and Buffer Zone Creation

The first paragraph discusses Ukraine's military operations in an area referred to as 'kskk', which seems to be a placeholder for a specific location. The Ukrainian government, under President Zelensky, is said to be consolidating gains by blowing up three bridges to create a buffer zone. This action is part of a defensive strategy to hold territory and potentially use it as leverage in negotiations with Russia. The paragraph also mentions previous explanations for Ukraine's actions, including seizing Russian territory to strengthen their position in negotiations, which has been rejected by Russia. The speaker also notes a lack of evidence that the Ukrainian offensive has led to a diversion of Russian troops from Donbass.

05:01

🏰 Assessing the Defensibility of Ukrainian Territory

The second paragraph delves into the challenges of defending the territory that Ukraine currently holds. It references an article in the Sunday Times suggesting that the territory is indefensible and that a Russian counteroffensive is anticipated in the fall. The paragraph discusses Ukraine's efforts to strengthen its position by capturing and fortifying key locations. It also touches on the idea that Ukraine's actions are driven by the need to avoid the prestige loss of withdrawing from the territory, despite the original rationale for the operation being gone. There is mention of reports indicating that Ukraine is transferring more troops from other areas to maintain this position.

10:02

🤝 Ukraine's Pursuit of Indirect Negotiations

In the third paragraph, the discussion shifts to Ukraine's attempts to use the situation as leverage for indirect negotiations with Russia, similar to the grain deal model involving mediators. It suggests that Ukraine is trying to sell this approach to the West and possibly to BRICS nations to exert pressure on Russia. However, the paragraph indicates that Russia has rejected this format for negotiations, as stated by the Russian foreign minister, and is not interested in engaging with Ukraine under the current circumstances.

15:05

🌏 International Perspectives on the Conflict

The fourth paragraph examines the international dynamics at play, including the potential for India's Prime Minister Modi to act as a mediator. It suggests that Modi's visit to Kiev may be an attempt to provide diplomatic cover amidst pressure from the U.S. and criticism over India's alignment with Russia. The paragraph also discusses the Russian government's stance on negotiations and the likelihood that they will not be swayed by international pressure. It mentions the Czech Republic's statement on NATO membership for countries with territorial disputes and speculates on Ukraine's intentions to demonstrate its military capabilities as a reason for NATO consideration.

20:09

⚔️ The Impact of Ukraine's Actions on Russia and NATO

The final paragraph explores the potential impact of Ukraine's military actions on Russia's resolve and NATO's stance. It suggests that the operation may actually strengthen Russia's determination and that the West's ability to continue supplying Ukraine with military equipment is nearing exhaustion. The paragraph also touches on the possibility of Ukraine seeking to create a demarcation to show a victory and push for NATO membership, despite the challenges and Russia's red line on NATO expansion. It concludes with a reference to a quote by Napoleon about not interfering when an adversary is making a mistake, implying that Russia may view Ukraine's actions as a strategic error.

Keywords

💡Ukraine

Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe and is the primary subject of the video script. It is currently involved in a conflict with Russia, which is the central theme of the video. The script discusses various aspects of the conflict, including military operations and diplomatic efforts.

💡Zalinski government

Refers to the administration of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The script mentions the government's strategies and explanations for their military actions in the conflict, particularly regarding operations in Kherson and the rationale behind them.

💡Buffer zone

A buffer zone is an area between two entities that serves to reduce conflict or provide a barrier. In the script, it is mentioned as part of Ukraine's strategy to create a defensive area on the aggressor's territory, which in this case is Russian territory, to hold territory and potentially force Russia into negotiations.

💡Bridges

The script discusses the Ukrainian military's action of blowing up bridges as a tactic to create a buffer zone. This is an example of a military strategy to disrupt the enemy's movement and consolidate gains, and it is tied to the concept of creating a defensible position.

💡Negotiate

The term 'negotiate' is used in the context of diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict. The script mentions that Ukraine's actions are aimed at creating conditions that would force Russia to negotiate or capitulate, indicating the political and strategic goals behind military moves.

💡Donbass

Donbass is a region in Eastern Ukraine that has been a focal point of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. The script refers to the Russian offensive in Donbass and the implications of Ukraine's military actions on this front, including the diversion of troops.

💡Kusk

Kusk appears to be a typographical error in the script for Kherson, a city in southern Ukraine. The term is used to discuss the Ukrainian offensive in this region and the strategic importance of the area in the ongoing conflict.

💡Counteroffensive

A counteroffensive is a military action taken to regain lost territory or to repel an enemy advance. The script suggests that Russia may launch a counteroffensive in the region held by Ukraine, indicating the dynamic nature of the conflict.

💡NATO

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is a military alliance that includes the United States, Canada, and several European countries. The script speculates on Ukraine's potential membership in NATO and how its current military actions might influence this prospect.

💡Prestige

Prestige in this context refers to the reputation and standing of a political leader or government. The script discusses how President Zelensky's government cannot afford the loss of prestige that would come with withdrawing from captured territory, influencing their military strategy.

💡Attrition

Attrition refers to a military strategy of wearing down the enemy by causing losses through continuous conflict. The script mentions that Ukraine's actions in Kherson are causing high equipment and personnel losses, which could be detrimental to their long-term military capabilities.

Highlights

Ukraine's operation in Kusk is aimed at consolidating gains by blowing up bridges to create a buffer zone.

The purpose of the buffer zone is to hold Russian territory and force Russia to negotiate.

Zalinski's government's primary task is to destroy Russian war potential and conduct counter-offensive actions.

Initial claims by Ukraine's advisor, Miko Podolak, suggested seizing Russian territory for stronger negotiation positions.

The idea of a land swap between Ukraine and Russia has been rejected by Putin, halting further negotiations.

Ukraine's second strategy was to divert Russian troops from Donbass, which has not been successful.

Russian military units in Kusk have not been diverted from Donbass, contrary to Ukraine's strategy.

The new rationale for Ukraine's operation is creating an indefensible buffer zone in a forested area with small villages.

The Sunday Times article suggests that the territory held by Ukraine is undefendable.

Ukraine is attempting to expand its bridgehead and fortify positions to prepare for a Russian counter-offensive.

Zalinski cannot withdraw from the territory due to the prestige loss, leading to further investment in the area.

Ukraine is using the Kusk operation to push for negotiations based on the grain deal model, avoiding direct talks with Russia.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavro has rejected the idea of negotiations in the current format, considering it dead.

China and BRICS nations may exert influence over Russia, but Ukraine's strategy may not be effective in this regard.

Ukraine's actions may strengthen the Russian government's resolve to see the conflict through.

Analysts suggest that Ukraine's Kusk operation is a strategic blunder, worsening its situation.

Ukraine may be attempting to show NATO its capability to hold territory in Russia as a reason to join the alliance.

The U.S. and Biden Administration are unlikely to agree to Ukraine joining NATO while it occupies Russian territory.

Ukraine's equipment and vehicle losses have been extremely high, indicating a rapid depletion of resources.

Ukraine warns the West that without continued support, they will run out of equipment within 60 days.

Transcripts

Alexandra let's talk about what is going

on in Ukraine and let's focus on what is

going on in kskk and the latest

explanation from Ukraine from the

zalinski government as to what they are

doing in ksk what is going on in this

kskk operation is that they are

consolidating their gains they are

blowing up Bridges uh Three Bridges to

be uh exact

and the purpose of blowing up these

Bridges is to create uh a buffer

zone and a place where Ukraine can

actually hold territory hold Russian

territory to create an area where they

can hold Russian

territory and then use the uh the

capture of this Russian territory in

order to to force uh Russia to negotiate

capitulate something like that actually

let me read you what what zenski said it

is now our primary task in defense in

defensive operations overall to destroy

as much Russian war potential is

possible to conduct maximum counter

offensive actions this includes creating

a buffer zone on the aggressor territory

yes so this is this is the new this is

the new rationale now just to repeat a

point that I made before this is the

latest in a succession of explanations

for what the ukrainians are trying to do

in Co I the first

the first claim which is made by Miko

podolak zelinsky's um advisor was that

this was intended to seize Russian

territory that would put Ukraine in a

stronger position in negotiations there

would be a land swap Ukraine would get

much or all of its land back and in

return the Russians would be have would

be given back this territory in course

this was this was the original rationale

that podolak gave and he gave it twice

by the way in two seever his

interviews we're not hearing much about

that anymore because of course Putin has

now rejected outright any idea of

negotiations so that was one explanation

the second explanation was that they

were doing this in order to get the

Russians to divert their troops from

donbass where the Russians as we

discussed in another video are engaged

in a massive offensive they're

approaching pakros they're storming

toret there's now as we make this

program further news that they moving

hard in the kiens area and making big

inroads there as well so you know that

get the Russians to transfer their

troops from one part of the battlefronts

the part where Ukraine is losing to try

to hold off the ukrainians in kusk well

that hasn't happened there's no sign no

evidence at all that the Russians have

moved so much as a single man I want to

say this because um in

fact one of the Ukrainian officers right

one of the Russian officers I correct

that in the area of C who is uh upti Al

Alin who's a church in officer he's

actually just given us a a rundown of

what are the Russian military units that

are currently engaging the ukrainians in

cusk and the only unit that was actively

participating in the fighting in um

donbass was his own the ammat Special

Forces um and um they were taken out of

the front Lin some weeks ago apparently

and also um a marine Brigade The 810th

Marine Brigade was also uh withdrawn

from the front lines but this happened

before the Ukrainian offense even C was

launched so both of these

forces were um withdrawn back to Russia

perhaps a refit perhaps for any kind of

other reasons you can speculate about

the reasons but anyway since the kusk

operation began there is not no evidence

that the Russians have moved a single

soldier from donbass to uh um to Kos

um the other explanation the new

explanation that we're now getting is

that this is is all to create a baffer

Zone this is a ridiculous idea it is a

buffer zone controlling a few Villages

the ukrainians say 80 the Russians say

40 the Russians say the ukrainians

control 450 square kilometers of

territory the ukrainians say it's 1,000

square kilometers of territory where you

look if where if you look at where it is

this is uh forested area small dispersed

Villages many of them very very very

small very very difficult as it happens

to defend now on

Sunday there was an article which

appeared in the London in the Sunday

Times the London newspaper the Sunday

Times which by the way I think a lot of

people have been quoting and

quoting it as evidence that the British

had you know planed and prepared this

operation in ksk region that may be true

but actually I don't think in fact I

don't see that this is what that article

says but the article says something else

which people are overlooking which is

that this territory is undefendable that

what Ukraine holds cannot be defended

the British also assess and this is also

in this

article that there is going to be a

Russian counter offensive in the this

area presumably with troops who are

being brought back um brought to this

area from inside Russia it at the

beginning of at the beginning or end of

October and the point is that a lot of

Russian troops were sent on Furlow

during the summer they're going to start

rejoining their regiments in September

October 200,000 of them supposedly so

that they will be coming back onto the

attack in October this is what the

British think that's in the London times

now Ukraine cannot hold these positions

so what it is trying to

do is expand its Bridge head take under

control certain um Villages which it can

then

fortify um in order to try to create a

more powerful position on Russian

territory which it can actually defend

because what it controls even according

to the British is basically undefendable

there was a very interesting discussion

of all of this in rova which is a

Russian newspaper that they need to sort

of Harden this bubble by getting some

important places and this is what these

attacks on these bridges are all about

and what the um Talk about another

Russian a Ukrainian push sorry into

another area of C region is all about

it's expanding the bridge head capturing

certain important locations which the

ukrainians can then hope to fortify so

when the Russian big counter blow comes

in the Autumn the ukrainians can have

some hope of holding it back why would

the ukrainians even want to do that it's

not a baffa Zone it's not um preventing

the Russians launching missile and

bombing strikes all across Ukraine the

Russians can bomb uh Sumi which is the

big Ukrainian City near nearest nearest

to this place it's not affecting Russian

military operations at all the point is

that having seized this territory

zalinski cannot face the enormous

Prestige loss of withdrawing from it and

so since he cannot withdraw from it he

has to spend more equipment more people

he has to invest further trying to

enlarge it in order to try to make it a

bit more defendable and to try to secure

it in the meantime there are further

reports that where whil the Russians are

not withdrawing troops from Donas the

ukrainians are continuing to do so and I

read a report this morning admittedly it

was from a Russian Source but there's

report this report said that the

ukrainians have just transferred even

more troops veteran troops from the

pakros direction where they're having a

massive crisis to kusk because that is

now becoming the priority Place

everything else is being sacrificed to

trying to maintain this bridge head um

on Russian territ

even though the rationale for it is

gone Politico had an article uh the

other day where they talked about how uh

Ukraine is is using the uh the K

operation in order to push uh a type of

negotiation which was based on on the

grain deal the the Black Sea model with

with the grain deal that that was

negotiated a year and a half ago which

they consider to be a huge success and

and basically what saying is that in

this type of

format they won't have to negotiate

directly with Russia they can avoid

negotiating face Toof face with Russia

as in the grain deal Ukraine can can

negotiate with a mediator with the UN

and then Russia can negotiate with

another party and the same mediator and

then they can come to to some sort of an

agreement uh with with B based on

alinsky's uh peace peace plan the the

10-point plan

and

um and the KK operation is meant as as

The Leverage to to convince Russia to to

agree to this type of

format and to get the West to agree to

this type of format actually so is is

that something that's that's possible I

mean is is this something that you see

Ukraine trying to to sell the West on

and and maybe even sell bricks on so

then they can put pressure on Russia

because I think if there's one that we

if there's one weak point that we've

identified with Russia in the entire

Ukraine um

conflict or one pressure point it's that

China and the bricks they can actually

exert a lot of influence over Russia and

they can get Putin to to slow things

down to change his plans um

I I think this is clear now that yeah

that there is a type of China bricks

leverage that has been working or that

Ukraine has been working towards their

their advantage and and it looks like

the Russian government has

been has been um accommodating of of

China of bricks yes to their

disadvantage I would say absolutely I I

I I I would agree with that I I think

that's all been shot to Pieces actually

and and um lavro who was the Russian

foreign minister just has given an

interview in which he's been discussing

this very thing and he said that there's

not going to be any talks at all and in

fact he discussed these these very ideas

about using uh mediating parties to try

to get negotiations going in that kind

of format he linked it to the late to

three working parties that were created

at the time of the um you remember the

Swiss peace conference which none of the

important countries attended he said

Russia completely rejects that entire

format it is not prepared to engage the

ukrainians in any sort of negotiations

at the present time this whole issue as

far as the Russians are concerned is

dead and I think the Russians have gone

out of their way to make it clear to

their friends to to to China especially

whose prime minister by the way is in

Moscow as we speak the Chinese Prime

Minister just this is a this is a trip

that was organized a long time ago it's

about economic matters about securing

Supply chains and that kind of thing and

the Chinese Prime Minister is also going

to Minsk by the way for the same after

he's finished in Moscow but I think the

Russians will be making it very clear to

all of their friends look we tried all

we can we bent over backwards to be as

accommodating with these people as you

wanted us to be we've now reached the

point of exhaus

we're not prepared to negotiate any

further and um and it has to be this way

because these people in Ukraine are not

people that you can negotiate with you

wanted us to talk with them they've been

talking about peace over the last few

weeks they're clearly not sincere about

it and the moment talk of Peace started

to emerge well they pulled off this

thing in K and I think that's I think

that's going to I don't think it's going

to change I think that is the Russian

position I think their allies understand

it do they mo Mod's going to Kiev and

there are there's talk that what Modi is

g to be doing in Kiev I don't know if

this is true is that he's also going to

be trying to mediate some sort of of a

ceasefire he's going to be delivering

messages on behalf of both parties

acting as a mediator I mean I just

wonder if if the brics Nations uh have

have have come to the realization that

they are being strung along by Ukraine

and by the collective West I'm I'm not

so confident that that they've realized

that yeah I think the Chinese have and I

mean to be very clear China is a far

more important player in this game than

India is um India has some influence and

Modi is somebody who has a good strong

personal relationship with Putin but um

ultimately the country that matters for

the the Russians is China it is not

India now um Modi is going to go to KF

the reason he's going to KF in my

opinion is is is is really very very

simple he's under an awful lot of

pressure from the Americans there's been

the coup in Bangladesh there have been

uh um arrests or there have been um

charges that he's been involved in

having seek activists in Canada

assassinated there's been criticism on

of him there was a lot of criticism of

him during the election the recent

election in India and all that criticism

swelled to huge volume when directly

after his election he went to Moscow and

had a meeting with Putin and K all kinds

of agreements with the Russians at that

time so I think what Modi is scrambling

for is some degree of diplomatic cover

um The Americans the ukrainians all

sorts of people said that India is

aligning itself with Russia against

Ukraine he's been

trying right from the start of this

conflict to avoid that the appearance of

that so he's decided that he has to

balance this by going to Kiev um he

notice that he's not only going to Kiev

he's also going to Poland as well he's

going to these two countries he'll no

doubt be talking about peace proposals

and things of this kind but I don't

think that the Russians are interested

and I don't think they're going to take

any mediation proposals in the Indians

seriously if they even so much as

appear how does the the dynamic of

Ukraine uh knocking out these Bridges

and maybe holding on to to this sliver

of territory inside of Russia how is

that going to to affect uh Putin and the

administration well there's been a

there's been a there's been a really

good article about about this actually

by uh a former top CIA analyst fact the

director of Russian Affairs at the CIA

George B and his point is he going to

strengthen the Russian government and

make it even more determined to see this

thing through and I think that's exactly

what it's going to do I don't think it's

going to weaken uh Moscow it moscow's

resolve it's going to harden it the

Russians I don't think have ever been

Keen about negotiation s anyway and I

think at the moment they are probably

saying to themselves this Co operation

actually plays to our advantage because

it takes some of the pressure off on us

to engage the ukrainians in negotiations

so I I think that is probably the major

uh the major mood in Moscow there's been

two very interesting articles in the US

media one is the one irresponsible

statecraft by by George B another one is

an article in the in the hill and both

of them essentially make the same point

that the KE that the Kos operation is a

mistake is a strategic blunder and um

far from helping Ukraine it's actually

making Ukraine's problems worse and I

know that there is even a view that it

actually suits Putin for the ukrainians

to be in K at the moment the ukrainians

are by all accounts including accounts

in Forbes you know Forbes Magazine David

ax we all probably know him he's

enthusiastic supporter of Ukraine he's

admitting that Ukrainian armed vehicle

losses have been extremely high um in uh

course so the ukrainians committing

attrition on themselves and some of

their best men and reserves even as the

Russians advance in other places um

there there's a famous quote from

Napoleon never um interfere with your

adversary when he is making a mistake

probably that is what Putin is saying to

himself at the

moment uh pavl of the Czech Republic he

he said

that that uh Ukraine can enter NATO even

if it has some sort of of conflict or

territorial dispute given there is a

clear uh demarcation a clear a clear

boundary where where the dispute is is

frozen or where it kind of

ends I wonder if the if one of the the

goals now for for krk ziny saying that

our goal now is we're going to blow up

Bridges we're going to hold a piece of

territory in krk I I wonder if if for

zaleski this is this is about showing

the the collective West showing NATO

look we uh we're gonna lose donbas we've

lost dbas that's obvious so we're going

to cut our losses in

dbas um we we can we can hold territory

in Russia we are capable of of some sort

of of an operation into Russian

territory so it's time for NATO to to

consolidate whatever whatever is left of

Ukraine and then to to push Ukraine into

NATO and and just keep this thing Frozen

and and Russia's occupied with KK

they've taken uh donbas but at least we

can we can now say okay we've got

everything west of the deeper

I think that I I I think that um it is

inconceivable that the United even the

United States even the Biden

Administration would agree to Ukraine

joining NATO whilst it is in occupation

of any part of Russia's pre-24 territory

just just saying I think that's not

going to happen so in Far

negotiation I I understand that but then

that comes back to the question of the

Russians have to agree to this and the

Russians have made it absolutely clear

that they're not going to agree with

this that um for them Ukraine's entry

into nato in any form is an absolute red

line and this incursion in K is going to

make that even stronger and from Putin's

point of view

again pavel's comment actually is

helpful because he could come back to

his friends in Beijing and Delhi and he

could say look these people not only are

they not serious they actually uh about

negotiations you could see that their

ultimate objective has not changed for

us this was never initially a war about

territory it was a war about security

about our security the security of our

people in dbas but also the security of

our western border they still want to

expand NATO Eastward

which is what this whole War ultimately

was all about and I think that's what

Putin is going to say and pavl has just

given him a whole text confirming as

much not the sharpest knife in the draw

pavl no he's not actually I mean we saw

that with the we saw that with the

artillery

shells Affair which is uh um something

you notice that nobody talks about

anymore yeah they've memory hold the

whole artillery thing yeah yes they

don't seem to care that much about the

the whole weapons issue anymore which is

why I think no it it seems like they're

trying to figure out a way to to create

a demarcation to create a an exit with

some sort of Ukrainian Victory they

don't talk about the artillery the shell

production none of that stuff if you if

you go back to that article in the

Sunday Times which as I said has

attracted a lot of discussion in but but

which I think people are reading wrongly

actually I don't think it's about the

coast Corporation very much at all in

the end it was all about the British

trying to persuade their allies to

author to to to allow the ukrainians to

use storm Shadows to attack Russian air

bases this is what it's Pro principally

about but again if you read it carefully

you can see that there is there again a

grudging understanding that the ability

of the West to continue to provide

Ukraine with military equipment is all

but exhausted and by the way again this

morning I saw a report comes of

Ukrainian sources so you might not want

to take it completely seriously but they

they they're now saying again that

unless they continue to get more help

from the West they will run out of

pretty much everything within 60 days

now I you know probably don't want to

take that too seriously but you could

see that they are having problems and

they um

flashing warning signs to their friends

in the west that things are not going

well at all and that they're losing

equipment very fast which of course they

accelerated the rate of their equipment

loss with this course Corporation um and

in the meantime things are not going as

they wanted them to go and if they

continue like this well everything will

start to collapse in um two months

time all right we will end the video

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