Candlestick Charts DIDN’T WORK Until I Learned This Easy ONE (1) STEP TRICK

Ross Cameron - Warrior Trading
6 Jul 202427:49

Summary

TLDRThe speaker shares a crucial step in mastering candlestick charts, emphasizing the importance of stock selection over technical analysis. They discuss the challenges of trading large cap stocks like the S&P 500 and Apple due to institutional ownership and recommend focusing on stocks with high volume, news catalysts, and price movements for better trading success.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Learning to read Candlestick charts is akin to learning a new language, with each pattern representing a different message that can vary in meaning based on its context within the market.
  • 🔍 The speaker emphasizes the importance of stock selection in trading success, noting that focusing on the right stocks can reduce risk and increase profitability.
  • 📊 Technical analysis is crucial, but it should be applied to stocks that are likely to move significantly, rather than to those with high institutional ownership that may not show substantial price movement.
  • 📉 Even with the best patterns and analysis, there's an inherent risk in trading, and patterns may not always work as expected, which is why risk management is essential.
  • 💡 A key realization for the speaker was that focusing on technical analysis alone without considering stock type led to losses, whereas concentrating on volatile stocks improved trading outcomes.
  • 💼 Institutional ownership can lead to a lot of noise in the market, making it difficult to discern organic trading patterns from institutional portfolio adjustments.
  • 📌 The speaker suggests avoiding trading large-cap stocks like Apple or the S&P 500 for day traders due to their high institutional ownership and less volatility.
  • 📈 For volatility traders, focusing on stocks with a float under 20 million shares and a price between $2 and $20 can be particularly profitable.
  • 📊 The speaker's trading data reveals that most profits are made from stocks with at least 5 times relative volume and a news catalyst, especially when they gap up by at least 2%.
  • 📝 A PDF with the speaker's stock selection criteria is offered to help traders identify the right stocks to focus on, emphasizing the importance of demand and supply dynamics.
  • 🚫 The absence of a clear news catalyst can be a red flag when trading, as it may indicate a lack of organic buying pressure behind a stock's movement.

Q & A

  • What was the speaker's initial difficulty with learning to read Candlestick charts?

    -The speaker found learning to read Candlestick charts extremely hard initially, until they learned a specific step that made understanding the charts and recognizing patterns much easier.

  • What does the speaker compare learning to read Candlestick charts to?

    -The speaker compares learning to read Candlestick charts to learning a different language, highlighting that it is a visual language with different shapes communicating various messages.

  • Why did the speaker initially focus on trading the S&P 500 and Apple?

    -The speaker, as a beginner, believed that by focusing on well-known entities like the S&P 500 and Apple, they could get to know how they traded and essentially how they moved, which would help in understanding their trading patterns.

  • What is the importance of stock selection in trading according to the speaker?

    -Stock selection is crucial in trading as it helps to reduce risk by focusing on stocks that are more likely to yield profitable trades, especially those with high volatility and the right catalysts.

  • What is the speaker's approach to risk management in trading?

    -The speaker emphasizes never risking more than what one stands to gain in a trade. They advocate for a one-to-one profit-to-loss ratio and a minimum of 50% accuracy to break even, which helps in managing risk effectively.

  • What are the key criteria for the speaker's stock selection?

    -The key criteria for the speaker's stock selection include price between $2 and $20, at least five times relative volume, a news catalyst, and a float under 20 million shares.

  • How does the speaker describe the impact of institutional trading on stock movements?

    -The speaker describes institutional trading as having a significant impact on stock movements, often causing large price swings due to portfolio adjustments and position management, which can overshadow organic retail trading activities.

  • What is the significance of a stock's 'float' in the speaker's trading strategy?

    -The 'float' refers to the number of shares available to trade, and a lower float signifies a smaller supply. The speaker looks for stocks with a float under 20 million shares, as these can lead to significant price movements when demand surges.

  • How does the speaker explain the concept of 'gap up' in the context of trading?

    -A 'gap up' refers to a stock moving higher than it closed the previous day, ideally by at least 2%. The speaker considers this a positive sign, indicating strong demand and potential for further upward movement.

  • What is the speaker's advice for traders who are struggling with technical analysis?

    -The speaker advises traders to focus on the right type of stocks to trade, those with high volatility and clear catalysts for movement, rather than trying to trade stocks that are range-bound or have low volatility.

  • What did the speaker learn about the limitations of technical analysis when applied to certain types of stocks?

    -The speaker learned that applying technical analysis to stocks with high institutional ownership, like the S&P 500 or large-cap tech stocks, can be challenging due to the influence of institutional trading and lack of organic retail trading activity.

  • How does the speaker describe the role of news catalysts in stock trading?

    -The speaker describes news catalysts as essential for creating demand and driving stock prices up. News can trigger high-frequency trading algorithms to execute buy orders, leading to increased volume and potential price surges.

  • What is the speaker's view on the importance of trading volatile stocks?

    -The speaker views trading volatile stocks as key to finding success in the market. They argue that focusing on stocks with significant price movements allows traders to capture parts of large moves, even if it's just a small percentage of the overall volatility.

Outlines

00:00

📊 Overcoming Challenges in Reading Candlestick Charts

The speaker shares their personal struggle with learning to interpret candlestick charts, highlighting a pivotal step that dramatically improved their understanding. They emphasize the importance of recognizing patterns with high probability for success and trading with consistency and confidence. The speaker also discusses the common mistake of trading large-cap stocks like the S&P 500 without considering the need for significant moves to profit from options trading, given the spreads involved. The analogy of learning to read charts as learning a new language is made, with the speaker sharing their own difficulty with language learning and how it parallels chart interpretation.

05:01

📈 The Impact of Institutional Trading on Stock Patterns

This paragraph delves into the influence of institutional trading on stock movements, particularly for large-cap stocks and indices like the S&P 500. The speaker explains how the majority of daily transactions involve institutional portfolio adjustments rather than organic retail trading, which can obscure clear patterns for individual traders. They also touch on the interconnectedness of stocks and external factors, such as the inverse relationship between oil prices and airline stocks, and the broader implications for technical analysis when contextual market factors are ignored.

10:03

💡 Stock Selection Criteria for Effective Trading

The speaker introduces their stock selection criteria, which is crucial for reducing risk in trading. They share their experience with trading stocks with high institutional ownership and how it led to unpredictable outcomes. The speaker advocates for focusing on stocks with specific characteristics, such as high relative volume and news catalysts, to increase the likelihood of profitable trades. They also mention providing a PDF with their stock selection criteria for viewers to use as a reference.

15:04

📉 Risk Management and the Importance of Stock Selection

The speaker discusses the fundamental principles of risk management in trading, advocating for a one-to-one profit-to-loss ratio and a minimum of 50% accuracy to break even. They share their own trading data, highlighting the price range and volume that have yielded the most profit for them. The speaker also explains the importance of trading stocks with a float under 20 million shares, as this can lead to significant price movements due to supply and demand dynamics.

20:07

🚀 Capitalizing on Volatility with the Right Stock Selection

In this paragraph, the speaker describes how focusing on volatile stocks with the right criteria can lead to substantial trading profits. They share a specific example of a stock that experienced a significant price increase due to a news catalyst, high volume, and a small float. The speaker also explains the role of high-frequency trading algorithms in liquidity and market volatility, and how their actions can contribute to rapid price changes.

25:09

📌 Technical Analysis and Its Role in Successful Trading

The speaker underscores the importance of technical analysis in conjunction with the right stock selection. They discuss various elements to consider, such as price, volume, news catalysts, and float, to identify stocks with high potential for movement. The speaker also provides insights into how to interpret candlestick patterns, like the significance of upper and lower wicks, and how these patterns can indicate the presence or absence of sellers' control.

🌐 The Power of Focusing on Volatile Stocks

The speaker concludes by reflecting on their trading journey, emphasizing the breakthrough that came from focusing exclusively on volatile stocks. They share how this focus allowed them to achieve their daily trading goals more consistently and how it improved their ability to read candlestick charts. The speaker encourages viewers to use their stock selection criteria as a foundation for their trading practice and to approach trading with an understanding of its inherent risks.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Candlestick charts

Candlestick charts are a popular method of displaying financial market data, such as stock prices, in a graphical format. Each 'candle' represents a specific time period and shows the opening, closing, high, and low prices for that period. In the video, the speaker discusses the difficulty of learning to read these charts and the importance of understanding their patterns for successful trading.

💡Patterns

In the context of trading and financial analysis, 'patterns' refer to recurring shapes or formations on charts that may indicate future price movements. The video emphasizes the significance of recognizing and trading these patterns with a high probability of success, as they can provide insights into market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

💡Risk management

Risk management is the process of identifying, assessing, and prioritizing potential risks to minimize or avoid negative impacts. In the video, the speaker highlights the importance of risk management in trading, stressing the need to never risk more than one can afford to lose and to ensure that potential gains justify the risks taken.

💡Stock selection

Stock selection involves choosing which stocks to trade based on various criteria. The video script discusses the speaker's personal criteria for selecting stocks, such as price range, volume, and news catalysts, which are crucial for identifying stocks with high potential for price movement and profitability.

💡Institutionally owned stocks

Institutionally owned stocks are those with significant ownership by large financial institutions, such as mutual funds or pension funds. The script mentions that trading such stocks can be challenging due to the high volume of institutional trading, which can overshadow individual traders' efforts and make technical analysis less effective.

💡Volatility

Volatility refers to the degree of variation of a trading price series over time. In the script, the speaker identifies as a volatility trader, meaning they seek out stocks that exhibit large price swings, as these provide greater opportunities for profit through rapid buying and selling.

💡Catalyst

A catalyst in financial markets is an event or piece of news that causes a significant change in the price of a security. The video discusses the importance of news catalysts for creating high volume and price movement, which are essential for identifying profitable trades.

💡Technical analysis

Technical analysis is a method used in the financial markets to evaluate investments and execute trades through the analysis of statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. The speaker in the video describes technical analysis as a key component of their trading strategy, allowing them to interpret candlestick patterns and make informed trading decisions.

💡Float

Float refers to the number of shares of a company that are available for trading by the public. In the context of the video, a lower float can contribute to higher volatility and price movement, as there are fewer shares available to meet demand, leading to potential rapid increases in price.

💡Relative volume

Relative volume is a measure of the number of shares traded in a security during a specific time period compared to the average volume over a set period. The script mentions using a high relative volume as a criterion for stock selection, as it indicates significant interest and activity in the stock, often associated with news catalysts or other events.

💡Gapping up

Gapping up refers to a situation where the opening price of a stock is higher than the previous day's closing price, often as a result of market forces or news affecting the stock's perceived value. The video script uses gapping up as an example of a price movement that can indicate potential for further increases, especially when combined with other criteria like high relative volume.

Highlights

Learning to read Candlestick charts was initially difficult but became easier after understanding a specific step.

The importance of recognizing the right stocks to trade for successful trading with Candlestick patterns.

Trading large-cap stocks or indices with high institutional ownership can be challenging due to their price movement being influenced by institutional adjustments.

Options trading requires significant moves in the underlying asset's value for profitability, especially considering the spreads.

Learning to read Candlestick charts is akin to learning a new visual language that conveys different messages based on the chart's context.

Technical analysis performed in isolation can be misleading; it's crucial to consider the larger market context.

Stock selection criteria are essential for reducing risk in trading and focusing on the right stocks.

A PDF with stock selection criteria is provided to help traders evaluate potential trades effectively.

Volatility trading involves making money on stocks that exhibit significant movement, which is different from trading large-cap stocks with minimal percentage changes.

Risk management is fundamental in trading; one should never risk more than they stand to gain.

The presenter's trading data analysis reveals insights into profitable trading strategies, including the sweet spot for stock prices and volume.

High relative volume and news catalysts are indicators of potential profitable trades.

Float under 20 million shares is a criterion for stock selection, indicating a smaller supply that can lead to significant price movements.

High-frequency trading algorithms can affect market liquidity, especially during volatile periods when they may withdraw, leading to price surges.

Technical analysis is vital for identifying entry and exit points in volatile stocks, as showcased with the example of a stock experiencing a significant price increase.

The importance of focusing on stocks with high volatility for active traders seeking to capitalize on market movements.

A shift in trading strategy to focus only on stocks that exhibit significant movement led to improved trading results.

The presenter emphasizes the risk involved in trading and advises taking it slow, using the provided stock selection criteria as a foundation.

Transcripts

play00:00

[Music]

play00:01

learning to read Candlestick charts was

play00:03

extremely hard for me when I was getting

play00:05

started until I learned this one very

play00:08

specific step and once I started taking

play00:11

that step it was like the water broke

play00:13

through the dam and finally I was able

play00:15

to see the charts clearly I was able to

play00:17

see the patterns that I knew had the

play00:18

highest probability of success and I was

play00:21

able to trade them with consistency and

play00:23

confidence now what I'm going to share

play00:25

with you is not something that I read in

play00:26

a lot of the books that help teach you

play00:28

how to read Candlestick charts and I I

play00:30

worry that maybe I've neglected to

play00:32

emphasize how important this step is in

play00:35

some of my previous videos because I was

play00:36

just looking at a comment and one of you

play00:38

guys asked a question it was on a video

play00:40

where I was breaking down and dissecting

play00:42

the anatomy of a very specific

play00:44

Candlestick pattern and one of you guys

play00:46

asked you said Ross I I saw this pattern

play00:49

in in the wild in real time on a chart

play00:52

and I took the trade and it was a

play00:53

perfect pattern but I lost it didn't end

play00:56

up working and I don't understand why

play00:58

can you look at the chart and I said a

play01:00

shirt I want to look at that cuz I want

play01:01

to understand you know where was the

play01:03

disconnect here now truth be told even

play01:05

the patterns that have the highest

play01:07

probability of success might only work

play01:10

75 to 80% of the time so there's always

play01:12

going to be that margin where you've got

play01:14

the right idea but the pattern just

play01:15

doesn't work and that's okay but I took

play01:18

a look at the chart and they shared with

play01:20

me a chart of the S&P 500 and I thought

play01:23

right away I was like okay see here's

play01:26

the problem you're trying to trade the

play01:29

S&P 5 00 and this is what I'm going to

play01:32

say when I was getting started as a

play01:34

beginner Trader I had the idea that I

play01:37

should just trade the S&P 500 and I

play01:40

should just trade Apple every single day

play01:43

I should get to know how those how they

play01:45

traded essentially how they moved and

play01:48

just trade them every day and even

play01:49

though I couldn't afford to buy them

play01:50

outright I was trading them using

play01:53

options so I was buying calls and buying

play01:55

puts and I remember a time where I

play01:57

pulled up my chart and this is a chart

play01:59

of Nvidia but we could just as easily

play02:01

pull up um apple or we could pull up the

play02:03

S&P 500 and I remember pulling up the

play02:06

chart and sitting here and looking at it

play02:09

and thinking you know what I don't see a

play02:12

thing I don't see any obvious buy or

play02:17

sell signal I don't see anything here

play02:19

that makes sense now something that's

play02:21

worth noting is if you're trading large

play02:23

caps you're trading the S&P 500 and

play02:25

you're trading options you need fairly

play02:29

big moves in the value of the underlying

play02:32

asset in order to have a good profit

play02:34

especially because a lot of options

play02:35

contracts have larger spreads that's the

play02:37

difference between the bid and the offer

play02:39

so in other words if you're right and

play02:42

the stock goes up or down like 15 20 30

play02:45

cents that's not going to be enough to

play02:47

make any money on the options trade so

play02:49

essentially for me for the way I was

play02:51

trading those I was looking for big

play02:52

moves and as I was sitting down on this

play02:54

one day I was looking at my charts and I

play02:56

just I I put my hands up in frustration

play02:58

because I didn't see a thing something

play03:01

that I've learned about myself is that I

play03:04

have a really hard time learning

play03:07

languages this was something that was

play03:09

incredibly difficult for me in school

play03:11

you know other people like picked it up

play03:12

really quickly and for me it was a

play03:14

struggle and what I've come to realize

play03:16

and recognize is that learning to read

play03:18

Candlestick charts is like learning a

play03:21

different language I'll give you an

play03:23

example it's a visual language in a lot

play03:25

of ways so right now I know the

play03:28

difference in uh the meaning behind each

play03:31

of these shapes each one of these

play03:33

communicates a different type of message

play03:36

to me and it the message is different

play03:38

depending on where these shapes occur

play03:40

where they occur at the top of a move

play03:42

they occur at the bottom of a move or

play03:44

they occur during a period of

play03:46

consolidation so I've sometimes joked

play03:48

that you know a thousand years from now

play03:50

when like I don't know stock market's

play03:52

obsolete people look back at our you

play03:54

know Wall Street and they'll be like

play03:55

what are these like these are like

play03:57

hieroglyphs what were they doing what

play03:58

were they thinking um you know these

play04:01

charts that we put so much emphasis into

play04:04

right now but for us it it really is a

play04:07

language and so what was important for

play04:10

me to learn this language and to get

play04:12

really good at performing technical

play04:14

analysis which for me in my trading

play04:17

really does give me an edge I had to get

play04:20

good at understanding the subtle

play04:22

differences of when these specific

play04:26

shapes carry meaning and when they don't

play04:30

so when we try to trade something like

play04:32

the S&P 500 or we're trading Apple one

play04:34

of the things that I've learned is that

play04:37

these stocks or indices have very high

play04:40

levels of institutional ownership

play04:42

they're also included in many different

play04:44

mutual funds and so what that means is

play04:47

that every single day a huge percentage

play04:50

of all the transactions that are going

play04:52

through the market are just based on

play04:54

institutional Traders adjusting

play04:56

portfolios for their clients mutual

play04:58

funds adjusting port folios buying and

play05:00

selling and it's actually a very small

play05:03

percentage that is I would say organic

play05:06

retail Traders buying and selling and so

play05:10

something that's really incredible to

play05:11

watch in the market is that when the S&P

play05:14

500 is moving down you can look at 15

play05:17

other stocks and see that they're doing

play05:19

actually the exact same thing or you'll

play05:22

realize that some stocks have inverse

play05:24

relationships when oil goes up Airlines

play05:27

go down when when oil goes down Airlines

play05:30

go up because they have this

play05:31

relationship where the price of oil

play05:32

affects the profitability of these

play05:34

Airline stocks and so once I realized

play05:36

that there were these sort of deeper um

play05:39

deeper elements at play in the market it

play05:43

helped me understand why performing

play05:46

technical analysis on some of these

play05:48

stocks was so difficult because when

play05:50

you're performing your technical

play05:51

analysis and you're looking at your

play05:52

Candlestick chart this is kind of in an

play05:55

isolated bubble you're looking at this

play05:57

very specific stock and you're like okay

play06:00

I'm looking at this bare flag or I'm

play06:02

looking at this flat bottom breakdown or

play06:03

this flat top breakout or whatever

play06:05

whatever the case might be but to take

play06:08

it out of the context of what's

play06:10

happening in the larger market so on so

play06:12

forth you may end up taking a trade and

play06:15

then all of a sudden at you know 1 p.m.

play06:18

there's a Federal Reserve announcement

play06:20

and boom all of a sudden the stock

play06:21

starts making this huge move and it was

play06:23

unexpected for you because you were too

play06:26

tunnel vision you were too zoomed in so

play06:29

this is what I learned reading

play06:31

Candlestick charts for me got easier

play06:34

once I realized the type of stocks that

play06:37

I made the most money on this comes back

play06:41

to stock selection so to reduce our risk

play06:45

in trading recognizing that of course

play06:47

trading is risky I I've learned that I

play06:50

can reduce my Risk by focusing on the

play06:52

right stocks to trade when I try to

play06:54

focus on trading Apple Microsoft Nvidia

play06:59

these stocks with huge percentages of

play07:02

institutional ownership I get chopped

play07:04

out by the algorithm and just by the the

play07:08

position adjustment of these big

play07:10

portfolios moving in and moving out of

play07:11

the market you know you might have one

play07:13

client who said liquidate a $500 million

play07:16

portfolio I want to go buy a yacht or

play07:18

whatever and now their portfolio manager

play07:20

is like okay I got to start selling they

play07:22

start selling and all of a sudden that's

play07:24

creating these big candle wicks on the

play07:25

chart and you're like why is this

play07:27

happening I don't understand it and it's

play07:29

happening just because of something

play07:31

that's completely out of your control

play07:32

now I'm actually going to put a link um

play07:34

for a PDF in the comments it'll be

play07:36

pinned at the top of the comments and

play07:38

it'll be linked in the description it's

play07:39

a PDF for my stock selection uh criteria

play07:43

and you can download this and I

play07:45

encourage you to download it you can

play07:47

print it out you can have it on your

play07:48

desk and when you hear somebody talking

play07:50

about a stock or you're seeing something

play07:52

that's popping up you're seeing it on

play07:53

the scanners or however you're coming

play07:54

across it run that by that checklist and

play07:57

ask yourself how closely does this meet

play07:59

the criteria that Ross has set up now of

play08:01

course it's the criteria that I use but

play08:03

this is what I look for in order to

play08:05

consider if something is worth trading I

play08:07

feel like this for me helps me reduce my

play08:11

risk because it helps me avoid stocks

play08:13

that are more likely to have a high

play08:14

degree of institutional ownership are

play08:16

more likely to cause me to get chopped

play08:18

out where I'm going to get frustrated

play08:19

and then emotional have unnecessary

play08:22

losses so download this stock selection

play08:25

uh criteria PDF you can print it out

play08:27

have it next to your desk and just use

play08:29

this kind of a reference to gut check

play08:31

like am I focusing on the right stuff

play08:34

each day so what is the right type of

play08:37

stock to trade for me I'm a volatility

play08:40

Trader which means that I make money

play08:43

trading things that move I don't make

play08:45

money buying something at $5 and selling

play08:46

it at $5 and make money money selling

play08:49

buying something at five and selling it

play08:50

at eight nine 10 or higher and if I

play08:52

could do that in one day I'm going to be

play08:54

very happy now today we had a few

play08:56

examples of stocks that made those kind

play08:58

of moves GA was one of them this stock

play09:01

went up about 180% this morning and so

play09:05

you can see this pattern right here now

play09:07

this right here was bucking the trend of

play09:10

the overall market and this is a f

play09:12

minute chart but we can zoom in on the

play09:13

one minute chart to get a little bit

play09:14

more dialed in and I can show you my

play09:16

exact entry so this was the this was

play09:19

bucking the trend of the overall Market

play09:20

the overall market today was actually

play09:22

pulling back a little bit but this is a

play09:24

stock that had a catalyst this is a

play09:27

stock that had a reason to make a big

play09:30

move and because of that news Catalyst

play09:33

it had volume it had volatility it had

play09:36

the rate of change that I look for and I

play09:39

was able to capture profit so to put my

play09:41

money where my mouth is you can see I'm

play09:43

up $641

play09:45

1640 trading zpp now I'm not going to be

play09:48

green every single day and I'm not going

play09:50

to be green on every single stock I

play09:51

trade so I want you to understand that

play09:53

when I'm teaching you some of these

play09:55

patterns that I really like even me with

play09:58

years of experience there's no such

play10:00

thing as being right 100% of the time

play10:02

that doesn't exist in trading I know a

play10:04

lot of you look for that certainty you

play10:06

want to be right 100% of time you never

play10:08

want to lose and I get it cuz I was like

play10:10

that too when I got started it actually

play10:12

sent me on what I would call the hunt

play10:14

for the Holy Grail I was looking for the

play10:17

perfect combination of technical

play10:19

indicators that would basically

play10:20

guarantee I would never lose money and

play10:22

after spending years searching I

play10:25

realized it doesn't exist not for retail

play10:27

Traders like you and I the people who

play10:29

make money every day maybe are the

play10:31

Brokers right but but not retail Traders

play10:33

we have to fight it out we're on the

play10:35

ground floor here we're in the weeds but

play10:37

if we find a pattern that works more

play10:39

often than it doesn't and we're able to

play10:42

keep our losses really small we can

play10:44

develop an edge in the market and that's

play10:46

exactly what I've been able to do so

play10:48

let's talk about the criteria for the

play10:51

right stock to trade because in terms of

play10:54

setting a foundation for for success as

play10:56

a Trader number one you've got to

play10:58

understand risk management and risk

play11:00

management to me is at at its base

play11:04

understanding that you should never risk

play11:06

more than you stand to gain as a Trader

play11:08

so if you're going to risk a th000 you

play11:10

better have the potential to make at

play11:12

least a th000 if not 2,000 or 3,000 that

play11:15

alone can save you all kinds of

play11:17

heartache and frustration because I

play11:19

can't tell you the number of traders who

play11:21

have come to me and they said oh I lost

play11:23

$5,000 on this trade and I'll say well

play11:25

what was your stop what was your max

play11:27

loss when you took the trade and what

play11:28

was the most that you could have made if

play11:30

it worked out well not being like

play11:32

unrealistic but like realistic

play11:34

expectations how much did you stand to

play11:35

gain and they'll be like oh well when

play11:37

you put it that way only like $1,500 but

play11:40

they lost five grand right so totally

play11:43

mismanage mismanaging their risk so if

play11:46

you can understand number one that in

play11:48

trading never risk more than you can

play11:50

stand to gain that's step number one

play11:52

step one all right so we we want to have

play11:54

one to one profit to loss ratio and

play11:57

minimum is 50% accuracy in order to be

play11:59

Break Even anything above that is going

play12:01

to be positive number two stock

play12:04

selection and then number three is the

play12:06

technical analysis right technical

play12:09

analysis of actually reading the

play12:11

Candlestick charts right so number two

play12:15

stock selection for me what I found and

play12:18

this is based on years of my own trading

play12:21

data so I've gone through all of my data

play12:23

and I can share it with you here just

play12:24

really briefly just to kind of give you

play12:26

a sense of how how much data we're

play12:28

looking at so if we step back here this

play12:30

is going to be oh let's see we're going

play12:33

to clear this out I'm going to have

play12:35

about 11.2 million in gross profit here

play12:39

now I'll say right now my results are

play12:41

not typical you shouldn't assume that

play12:42

you're going to make the same amount as

play12:44

me but this is important to learn from

play12:46

someone who's proven profitable I have

play12:48

this track record and it is real money

play12:50

so with $1.2 million of profit let's

play12:52

look for a second um at uh price and

play12:55

volume so this is telling you the price

play12:58

stocks I make the most money right so

play13:01

okay so all right so we're we're trading

play13:03

between $2 generally and 50 and you can

play13:06

see the sweet spot for me is really

play13:07

between 2 and 20 that's the spot where I

play13:10

make the most money so let's start sort

play13:13

of outlining this as stock selection

play13:15

number one price so we're going to do

play13:18

price and we'll just we'll flip it over

play13:19

to this side here we'll start fresh all

play13:21

right so stock selection so number one

play13:23

price between 2 and 20 that's my sweet

play13:27

spot now I'm not saying that I don't

play13:29

make money when I trade stocks that are

play13:31

a little more expensive or a little

play13:32

cheaper but this is my sweet spot

play13:34

between 2 and 20 where I do the best as

play13:36

a beginner it seems to me that it would

play13:38

make sense to focus on the sweet spot

play13:40

where other Traders are doing their very

play13:42

best rather than trading sort of the

play13:44

edges of where they find success right

play13:46

so number one price between 2 and 20 all

play13:49

right now something that's very

play13:51

interesting here we can look at um

play13:53

instrument and we're going to scroll

play13:55

down here when this loads we're going to

play13:58

look at perform performance by

play13:59

instrument relative volume and what

play14:02

you'll see here is that the performance

play14:03

by the instrument relative volume it's

play14:06

very clear right down here so what does

play14:09

this mean what this means is that the

play14:12

majority of my profit is on stocks I

play14:14

have 500 times higher volume today than

play14:17

their 50-day average that means today

play14:20

they have high volume relative to normal

play14:23

what's the cause of high volume

play14:25

typically a catalyst so let's start

play14:27

plugging this in all right number two

play14:29

five times

play14:31

relative volume this is a measurement

play14:34

that we can get from scanners number

play14:36

three news

play14:39

Catalyst all right number four all right

play14:43

so we're going to go number four here

play14:44

and if we scroll down here what we're

play14:46

going to see is that uh performance by

play14:49

instrument movement and performance by

play14:50

opening Gap the majority of the profit

play14:52

is when stocks are gapping up at least

play14:54

2% gapping up means moving higher than

play14:57

they closed the previous day so up

play14:59

10% so if I just apply these four things

play15:04

right here these are going to eliminate

play15:07

how many

play15:08

losers thousands and thousands of losing

play15:11

trades I can completely eliminate I'm

play15:12

not even going to consider it if the

play15:14

stock doesn't fit within my price range

play15:16

with the relative volume up at least 5%

play15:18

on the day I prefer 10% or higher I'm

play15:21

not even going to trade it so the S&P

play15:23

500 no trade Apple no trade Nvidia on

play15:28

most days no trades now I'm not saying

play15:31

that there aren't exceptions to this

play15:33

rule there are going to be days when

play15:35

Nvidia has news and makes a huge move

play15:37

and it's it's worthwhile considering

play15:39

there's days where Apple has news and

play15:41

it's worth considering those are days

play15:43

where the prices outside are my focus

play15:45

area but it's got the the relative

play15:47

volume it's got the news Catalyst maybe

play15:49

it's not up 10% but it's up four or

play15:51

five% and for a large cap stock all of

play15:53

that could could support considering an

play15:56

entry now one of the fifth things I look

play15:59

at is

play16:01

float under 20 million shares and lower

play16:06

is better float is the number of shares

play16:08

available to trade so when a company

play16:10

does their initial public offering they

play16:12

sell shares onto the open market from

play16:14

that point forward that's the float so

play16:16

what we've actually done here is we've

play16:17

just created a list of demand and Supply

play16:21

also known as supply and demand so now

play16:23

let's think about this for a second so

play16:26

we've got Demand right here

play16:29

and demand initially is created first by

play16:32

news then by the stock going up 10%

play16:35

which then will bring in 5 times

play16:37

relative volume right all of a sudden

play16:39

now it's moving and usually stocks

play16:41

between 2 and 20 are going to show

play16:42

bigger percentage returns

play16:45

Supply this is the number of shares

play16:47

available to trade so let's say the

play16:49

float is 20 million shares and let's say

play16:51

on this particular day it the stock has

play16:54

100 million shares of volume so 100

play16:57

million shares of demand vers verus 20

play16:59

million shares of Supply what do you

play17:01

think is going to happen you're going to

play17:02

have a huge move that's what we like to

play17:04

see so now let's go back and look at

play17:06

this stock today that I traded so we're

play17:08

going to pull back this um graph right

play17:10

here I'm going to move that out of the

play17:11

way so um zap zpp this has a float of

play17:17

4.29 million shares that's that's the

play17:19

amount of shares available to trade 4.29

play17:22

million this is a relatively small cap

play17:24

company right the total market cap of

play17:26

this company4 million time $3 a share so

play17:29

this is not this is not a high price

play17:31

company in terms of market cap today it

play17:33

traded an incredible 91 million shares

play17:37

of volume now I always think that this

play17:39

is pretty amazing because in fact today

play17:43

it traded the entire market cap the

play17:46

entire float traded multiple times

play17:49

people bought people sold people bought

play17:51

people sold this traded well nearly

play17:53

let's see 270 $300

play17:57

million of stock tra traded hands why

play18:00

did it cycle so quickly because we had

play18:03

news we have news we have the percentage

play18:05

return we've got that brings in the

play18:07

volume what really starts all of this

play18:09

the chicken or the egg it begins with a

play18:12

news Catalyst you get the news Catalyst

play18:14

that comes out and you have these high

play18:16

frequency trading algorithms that

play18:17

respond to news instantaneously they

play18:21

instantaneously execute buy orders and

play18:23

when other algorithms see this surge of

play18:26

buy orders coming in they pull their

play18:28

orders off the market because they don't

play18:30

want to accidentally short a stock

play18:32

that's suddenly spiking up and without

play18:34

those sell orders holding it down all of

play18:36

a sudden the stock start squeezing so

play18:38

something that's kind of interesting is

play18:39

that there's a misconception that high

play18:43

frequency trading algorithms create

play18:45

liquidity in the market they do but not

play18:48

when the market becomes volatile because

play18:50

when the market gets volatile they step

play18:52

back because they don't want to lose

play18:53

money so they turn off all those buy and

play18:55

sell orders are gone and so now the sell

play18:57

orders that would have created

play18:59

uh sort of a level of Supply overhead

play19:02

Supply they're gone and now the price

play19:04

can Skyrocket and that's what we've seen

play19:06

in fact I've seen stocks that have gone

play19:08

from $2 to5 $25 in a matter of 15

play19:13

minutes which is absolutely incredible

play19:16

when it happens now in order to fully

play19:19

capitalize on those types of stocks no

play19:22

doubt you need to be an expert at number

play19:24

three technical analysis right step one

play19:27

understanding risk step two is stocks

play19:28

selection step three is technical

play19:30

analysis now by the way if you want to

play19:32

download my stock selection PDF I'm

play19:35

going to put the PDF it's a PDF that you

play19:37

can download I'm going to put the link

play19:38

in the description and I'm going to pin

play19:40

it to the top of the comments so this is

play19:42

going to break down my criteria for

play19:44

buying a stock the demand and the supply

play19:47

and it's going to make it it's it puts

play19:48

it in a nice format so you can download

play19:49

it you can print it out and you can put

play19:51

it right next to your desk I really

play19:52

encourage you to do that because in my

play19:55

opinion in order to have success you

play19:58

need to be trading the right stuff and

play20:02

this is the biggest mistake so that

play20:04

member or that subscriber that made that

play20:06

comment about the stock that they were

play20:08

looking at was S&P 500 and I was like

play20:10

well you know but here's the problem

play20:12

you're trying to trade something that's

play20:13

range bound it's not moving and no

play20:16

wonder you're going to get chopped up

play20:17

you know what the pattern you saw that

play20:20

big green candle that created the bull

play20:21

flag that could have just been one

play20:23

institutional Trader executing an order

play20:25

for a client there wasn't a catalyst

play20:28

behind it that carries meaning so what I

play20:30

mean by that is when we're looking at a

play20:33

stock that has the potential to make a

play20:35

big move you know I'll just sort of go

play20:38

like this why is a stock going to go up

play20:41

15 20% like that I'll do it in a

play20:43

different color so it's easier to read

play20:45

why is a stock going to make a big move

play20:46

like this you know One initial pop and

play20:48

then back down it's a catalyst why are

play20:51

people going to buy this pullback

play20:52

because when we're looking at a bull

play20:54

flag we're looking at Green candles up

play20:56

up up and then we look at the red candle

play20:59

pulling back right here red candle

play21:01

pulling back and then we look for the

play21:02

next candle to come in for the next leg

play21:04

up but why are people going to buy for

play21:07

that next leg up they're not going to

play21:09

buy for that next leg up if they don't

play21:10

think this has the potential to make a

play21:13

big move what gives it the potential for

play21:16

that big move is when you have the news

play21:19

Catalyst now I will say that there are

play21:21

some exceptions to this you can for

play21:24

instance have a stock that suddenly and

play21:26

we don't always know why squeezes up 25

play21:29

30% or 40% something like that it makes

play21:31

a huge move now it could be because an

play21:33

Institutional Trader decided to take a

play21:35

position but they took such a big

play21:37

position that they move the stock up 30%

play21:40

okay so now suddenly we're looking at

play21:42

the stock and it's up 30% and we're like

play21:44

well gez this meets our criteria it

play21:46

doesn't have news but it's up 30% it

play21:49

already has five times relative volume

play21:50

it's the right price and the floats

play21:53

right so the absence of news in this

play21:56

case I I can tolerate it as long as we

play21:59

have everything else so there are times

play22:01

where I'll take those trades and at that

play22:03

when when that's the case I'm doing the

play22:05

same level of technical analysis I'm

play22:06

pulling up the chart and I'm saying okay

play22:09

well where's the pullback so if we look

play22:11

at this um I'm actually going to zoom in

play22:13

on this micro time frame here so on zap

play22:17

this had an amazing little micro

play22:20

pullback um right at

play22:23

$2.50 uh it was an ascending wedge right

play22:25

here so that was the spot and see how

play22:28

this was ascending support so what I

play22:31

often will do is I'll actually draw this

play22:33

kind of ascending support trend line

play22:35

like this and then we've got this flat

play22:37

top right here right underneath the

play22:40

psychological resistance of the half

play22:41

dollar and it finally pushes away and

play22:44

this thing squeezes from 250 straight up

play22:46

to three halts up because it's so

play22:48

volatile it opens it pushes even higher

play22:51

and next thing you know we're hitting a

play22:52

high of 380 but notice this candle right

play22:55

here so what do we know about that

play22:57

candle see now this is where we're

play22:58

applying what we're learning about the

play23:00

language of technical analysis we know

play23:02

that this candle has a very tall upper

play23:05

candle wick so how are upper candle

play23:07

wicks created an upper candle wick is

play23:09

created when the price and I'm just

play23:12

going to use this orange just for the

play23:13

just because the quickest to grab so the

play23:15

price squeezes up and if it closed at

play23:19

the high you've got a very bullish

play23:20

candle price is going up right but if it

play23:24

squeezes up and then the sellers p push

play23:28

it back down and it closes like this

play23:32

that shows that sellers were in control

play23:35

so now in this moment the sentiment is

play23:37

weak now I know how to read that candle

play23:39

I know what this topping tail means this

play23:42

is bearish bearish weak not good if

play23:46

you're long now the opposite of a

play23:48

bottoming tail a bottoming tail is

play23:50

bullish and is strong we usually like to

play23:51

see that uh so in any case as I saw that

play23:54

topping tail candle I thought all right

play23:56

well that's not great to see this is

play23:58

probably going to be the high of day but

play24:01

it may come back up and retest it and

play24:03

form a double top that's a double top

play24:05

right there this was potentially going

play24:07

to form a cup and handle pattern for a

play24:10

move higher but it didn't now all of

play24:12

this technical analysis is worth

play24:14

performing because we're looking at

play24:16

something that has volatility we're

play24:18

looking at something that's moving

play24:20

that's what's important so if we look at

play24:22

some of the other stocks today that were

play24:23

volatile This was um Z AL this is one

play24:28

that's currently up

play24:30

136% we back this chart out here and

play24:32

you're going to see again this is the

play24:34

type of thing that you want to be

play24:35

looking at you want to look at these

play24:36

candles you want to look at them at the

play24:38

1 minute you want to look at them on the

play24:39

10sec look at it on the 5 minute check

play24:41

the daily when you have something that

play24:43

goes between a120 and 350 there's a lot

play24:47

of opportunity here even if you only

play24:50

capture a little sliver of it getting in

play24:52

at 230 and selling at 250 or 260 a

play24:55

little sliver of this huge move that's a

play24:57

10% return right there you're not going

play25:00

to get 10% returns trying to day trade

play25:02

apple or Nvidia or the S&P 500 again

play25:06

unless you're trading options and it's a

play25:08

day where the price is particularly

play25:11

volatile but that's not the case on most

play25:14

days so one of the things for me that

play25:17

was really like helped me have a

play25:20

breakthrough was the realization that

play25:23

focusing exclusively on technical

play25:26

analysis without thinking about the

play25:28

right type of stock to trade was

play25:30

resulting in me getting chopped out and

play25:32

losing money I was losing money I was

play25:34

struggling once I realized the type of

play25:37

stocks that had the biggest moves were

play25:38

the ones I was making the most money on

play25:40

I decided to only perform technical

play25:41

analysis on those I left everything else

play25:44

behind and guess what things started to

play25:46

improve I started seeing stocks that

play25:48

were going up 30 40 50% and even though

play25:50

I was only capturing a little piece of

play25:52

that move 10 cents here 15 cents there

play25:55

boom with 1,000 shares it's 150 bucks

play25:57

another 15 bucks now I'm up 200 on the

play25:59

day that was my daily goal when I was

play26:01

getting started and I found it was a lot

play26:03

easier to hit my $200 daily goal when I

play26:06

was trading stocks going up 40 50 100%

play26:10

than by trying to trade things that are

play26:11

going sideways so if you're someone

play26:13

who's been trading cryptocurrency you'll

play26:16

know that trading the ones that are the

play26:18

most volatile is where you're going to

play26:20

find success you trade cryptocurrencies

play26:21

like Bitcoin volatile but a lot of chop

play26:26

very difficult to perform technical

play26:27

analysis you want to trade Forex some

play26:29

currency pairs are going to be more

play26:30

volatile than others you want to trade

play26:32

Futures there are certain days of the

play26:33

week certain week days out of the month

play26:35

where individual future contracts are

play26:37

going to be more volatile than others as

play26:40

active Traders we hunt for volatility

play26:43

but we have to be managers of risk so at

play26:45

the end of the day I'm thinking about my

play26:47

risk and I feel like I reduce my risk as

play26:50

a Trader by only trading things that are

play26:53

moving when I get bored and I start

play26:55

looking at Tesla or Nvidia because while

play26:59

they're moving in dollars per share this

play27:02

the percentage it's not there and that's

play27:05

when I end up struggling that's when I

play27:07

end up getting chopped up that's when I

play27:08

end up losing money so the big lesson

play27:11

that made Reading Candlestick charts a

play27:13

lot easier for me was recognizing the

play27:16

right type of things to trade for me

play27:19

it's stocks so I hope you download my

play27:21

stock selection PDF it's going to break

play27:23

down the type of stocks that I like to

play27:25

trade every single day and I think if

play27:26

you set this as sort of part of your

play27:28

foundation practice trading these in the

play27:30

simulator see what happens I think

play27:33

you'll be impressed now as always I'll

play27:35

remind you trading is risky and my

play27:36

results aren't typical so take it slow

play27:38

and look if you enjoyed this episode I

play27:40

hope you hit that thumbs up I hope you

play27:41

subscribe and I'll see you for the next

play27:42

upload real soon

play27:44

[Music]

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Etiquetas Relacionadas
Candlestick ChartsTrading StrategiesTechnical AnalysisStock SelectionMarket VolatilityRisk ManagementInvestment TipsFinancial EducationMarket PatternsTrading Psychology
¿Necesitas un resumen en inglés?