The Chinese government is out of money! Even the military and civil service start getting pay cuts.

China Insights
11 Jul 202412:19

Summary

TLDRThe Chinese military commission issued measures to improve army construction efficiency, emphasizing a frugal budget mindset. The document indicates China's financial constraints post-zero COVID policy, with widespread pay cuts and delays for civil servants and military personnel. Corruption remains rampant despite anti-corruption efforts, affecting military expenditures. Local governments are also tightening budgets, reflecting severe financial strain. Economic challenges, reduced revenues from real estate, and the impact of global trade dynamics have exacerbated financial difficulties, leading to significant fiscal reforms and austerity measures across various sectors in China.

Takeaways

  • 📉 China's military commission issued a document emphasizing frugality and efficiency in military spending to improve the quality and efficiency of army construction.
  • 💰 The document suggests that the government may be experiencing financial constraints affecting military funding.
  • 🏦 Since the second half of 2021, a wave of pay cuts has affected civil servants and military personnel across almost all of China's provinces.
  • 💸 Delays in salary and pension payments have been reported for civil servants, military personnel, and retirees.
  • 🔍 Reports indicate widespread salary reductions in military research institutes and other state sectors.
  • 📊 Financial difficulties have led to a reduction in public expenditures and downsizing of government staff at various levels.
  • 💼 Corruption within the Chinese military remains a significant issue, despite anti-corruption efforts by Xi Jinping.
  • 🚫 Local governments face financial constraints, affecting their ability to provide subsidies and maintain infrastructure projects.
  • 🏠 The real estate crisis has significantly reduced local government revenues from land sales, exacerbating financial difficulties.
  • 🌏 External factors, such as the trade war and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have negatively impacted China's manufacturing sector and local revenues.

Q & A

  • What is the title of the document issued by China's military commission on June 20th?

    -The title of the document is 'Measures on Insisting on Struggling Hardly and Building the Army Diligently and Thriftily'.

  • What is the main focus of the document issued by China's military commission?

    -The main focus is to improve the quality and efficiency of army construction by maintaining a mindset of living on a tight budget and careful budgeting.

  • Why is the slogan of building a frugal military significant at this time?

    -The slogan is significant because it is seen as a sign that the government is running out of money for the military.

  • What impact did the zero COVID policy from 2020 to 2022 have on local finances in China?

    -The zero COVID policy emptied local finances, leading to a wave of pay cuts for civil servants across almost all of China's provinces.

  • What difficulties are being faced by civil servants and retirees in China regarding their salaries and pensions?

    -Many civil servants and retirees are experiencing delays in their salaries and pensions, with payments being made half a month or a month later than expected.

  • How has corruption historically affected the Chinese military's expenditures?

    -Corruption has led to significant portions of the military budget being misappropriated by officials, with estimates suggesting that 20% of military spending is taken by corrupt officials.

  • What measures has Xi Jinping taken to combat corruption in the military?

    -Xi Jinping has carried out a major purge of the military, knocking out at least 160 generals in the name of anti-corruption, and has raised military salaries three times to reduce reliance on 'gray incomes'.

  • What financial constraints are local governments in China facing, and how are they addressing these issues?

    -Local governments are facing financial constraints due to reduced revenues from land sales and are cutting civil servants' salaries and bonuses, as well as reducing staff and tightening control over public expenditures.

  • What impact has the trade war and the Russia-Ukraine war had on China's manufacturing sector?

    -These events have resulted in fewer orders for China's manufacturing sector, negatively affecting local revenues and exacerbating financial constraints.

  • Why are local governments in China struggling financially despite previous infrastructure investments?

    -Many infrastructure projects lack fiscal returns and have become liabilities that require extra money for maintenance, compounded by the real estate crisis which reduced revenue from land sales.

Outlines

00:00

📉 China's Military Budget Cuts Amid Financial Strains

On June 20th, China's military commission issued a document emphasizing frugality in military spending due to financial constraints. This directive reflects the broader economic struggles faced by the Chinese government post the zero-COVID policy, which has led to widespread pay cuts and delays in payments for civil servants and the military. Veterans and current military personnel have reported reductions in benefits and subsidies, highlighting the severe financial issues affecting the state sector.

05:04

💸 Corruption and Financial Issues in China's Military

The financial difficulties in China's military extend to other sectors, including police and military research institutes, which have also experienced salary cuts. Historical corruption within the military, exemplified by cases like Guo Wenshan and Xu Caihou, has further strained resources. Despite Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaigns and increased military spending, the underlying issues of financial mismanagement and corruption persist, affecting the morale and stability of the armed forces.

10:05

📊 Financial Constraints and Cutbacks Across China

The Chinese government has implemented measures to tighten spending, impacting civil servants and local governments. Efforts to streamline staffing and reduce administrative costs reflect the financial constraints faced by the central government. Economic challenges, exacerbated by the trade war and reduced local revenues from real estate, have led to significant fiscal shortfalls. Local governments, previously reliant on land sales, now face severe financial crises, prompting salary and pension cuts to manage the budget deficits.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Military Commission

The Military Commission refers to China's top military body that oversees the People's Liberation Army (PLA). The document mentioned, 'Measures on Insisting on Struggling Hardly and Building the Army Diligently and Thrifty,' aims to improve the quality and efficiency of military construction, emphasizing a frugal and efficient use of resources.

💡Frugal Military

This term reflects the CCP's push for a thrifty approach to military spending, implying strict budgeting and resource management. The video suggests this is a response to financial constraints and is part of a broader effort to streamline expenditures without compromising military effectiveness.

💡Zero-COVID Policy

China's Zero-COVID policy was a strict approach to containing the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to significant economic strain. The policy, enforced from 2020 to 2022, resulted in emptied local finances and has contributed to ongoing financial difficulties, including pay cuts for civil servants and the military.

💡Pay Cuts

The script mentions widespread pay cuts for civil servants and military personnel, reflecting financial austerity measures. These cuts include reduced allowances and bonuses, with delays in salary and pension payments, illustrating the severe fiscal constraints faced by various sectors.

💡Corruption

Corruption within the Chinese military is highlighted as a significant issue, with historical references to high-profile cases involving massive embezzlement and bribery. Despite anti-corruption efforts by Xi Jinping, corruption remains a challenge, particularly in military procurement and promotions.

💡Military Spending

Military spending in China has seen substantial increases over the years, partly to support modernization efforts. However, the script points out that a significant portion of these funds is lost to corruption, affecting the overall efficiency and integrity of the military.

💡Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping is the current President of China and the leader of the CCP. He has initiated anti-corruption campaigns within the military and increased military salaries to reduce reliance on corrupt practices. His policies aim to strengthen military efficiency and control corruption.

💡Economic Decline

The script outlines China's ongoing economic decline, exacerbated by the Zero-COVID policy and the real estate crisis. This economic downturn has led to financial constraints at both central and local government levels, impacting public sector salaries and military funding.

💡Civil Service

The civil service in China includes various government employees who are facing significant pay cuts and delayed payments. This sector's financial difficulties are indicative of broader economic challenges and austerity measures being implemented across the country.

💡Streamlining

Streamlining refers to the efforts to reduce the number of civil servants and government employees to cut costs. Various regions and provinces are implementing measures to downsize staff and reduce administrative expenses, reflecting the central government's push for financial austerity.

Highlights

On June 20th, China's military commission issued a document titled 'Measures on Insisting on Struggling Hardly and Building the Army Diligently and Thriftily' to improve the quality and efficiency of army construction.

The document emphasizes maintaining a mindset of living on a tight budget and careful budgeting to enhance the military system's effectiveness and the efficiency of using national defense resources.

The CCP's slogan of building a frugal military has been mentioned several times in recent years, but this is a clear public statement, indicating possible financial constraints.

Following the zero-COVID policy from 2020 to 2022, local finances were depleted, leading to widespread pay cuts for civil servants across almost all of China's provinces since mid-2021.

Many civil servants and retired senior citizens have experienced delays in their salaries and pensions, reflecting broader financial issues within the state sector, including the military.

Multiple veterans confirmed that many military subsidies are no longer available, and police officers are also experiencing pay cuts.

Salary cuts have also been reported in China's military research institutes, with reductions ranging from 5% to 50%.

The financial constraints have led to the military and police potentially 'lying flat' like the local bureaucracy, with the CCP possibly cutting down on military equipment procurement and training to save money.

The CCP's publicized military expenditure is often much smaller than the actual spending, with significant corruption reported in the military over the years.

From 1993 to 2012, CCP's military spending saw a significant increase, with rampant corruption during this period.

Xi Jinping's anti-corruption purge in the military led to the dismissal of at least 160 generals, but corruption persisted.

New military equipment introductions have provided opportunities for corruption, with significant portions of the military budget allegedly taken by corrupt officials.

Xi Jinping has increased investment in the military and raised military salaries multiple times, making military treatment better than that of local civil servants.

Local governments have tightened control over expenditures, including office supplies and public expenditures, reflecting the financial difficulties faced by the CCP.

Several jurisdictions have announced staff reductions and downsizing to cope with financial constraints, with reductions ranging from 2% to 5%.

The financial constraints have led to delayed or reduced salaries for civil servants in several economically important provinces, such as Jiangsu and Guangdong.

Local governments are facing revenue shortfalls due to the real estate crisis and reduced land sales, which previously accounted for a significant portion of their revenue.

Without the revenue from land sales, local governments rely on transfer payments from the central government, which is also struggling financially.

Wu Jjong, a general economist from Taiwan, explained that local governments' debt model and overbuilding have led to projects without fiscal returns, exacerbating financial difficulties.

Transcripts

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on June 20th China's military commission

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issued a document titled measures on

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insisting on struggling hardly and

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building the Army diligently and Thrifty

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to improve the quality and efficiency of

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army

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construction it mentions that the

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mindset of living on a typ budget is to

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be maintained and careful budgeting is

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to be done and that the military needs

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to improve the effectiveness of the

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military system and the efficiency of

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making use of National Defense

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resources the CCP has mentioned the

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slogan of building a Frugal military or

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living frugally a few times in recent

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years this time however it is a clear

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public statement which is often seen as

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a sign that the government is running

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out of money for the

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military following the government's

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Draconian policy of zero Co from 2020 to

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2022 which emptied local finances a wave

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of pay cuts for civil servants has swept

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through almost all of China's provinces

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since the second half of 2021 allowances

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and bonuses have been canceled or

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reduced at the end of 2022 when the

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zeroc coov policy was lifted China's

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economy continued to decline and

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Recovery has been

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difficult according to informed sources

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the wave of pay cuts has spread from the

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Civil Service to the military Mr H who

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served in the military and went into

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business after retiring from the

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military said in an interview with

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overseas media that everyone is now

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broke many civil servants and retired

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senior citizens have experienced delays

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in their salaries and pensions because

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payments can't be paid on time the delay

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isn't that they don't get it but it's

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paid half a month or a month later it's

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the same in the state sector including

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the Army and many of my comrades in the

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military many of the subsidies are no

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longer available it's been half a year

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now and they haven't gotten any of their

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benefits multiple veterans also

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confirmed that many civil servants and

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retirees are unable to receive their

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salaries and pensions on time many

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military subsidies are no longer

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available and police officers are also

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experiencing pay cuts the deputy

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director of a police station in a

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coastal city said that he had taken a

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pay cut and that everyone else at the

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police station took a pay cut too salary

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Cuts have also been reported in China's

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military research

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institutes a post last edited on

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December 18th 2023 on a Mainland social

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media website read many research

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institutes in Aerospace CLP power China

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ship building Corporation and weaponry

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have begun to reduce their salaries the

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reduction ranges from 5% to

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%. the previous posts about salary

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reductions in military research

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institutes have disappeared and the

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detailed contents are

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gone in April 2022 a nison anonymously

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posted about the change of his salary

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after he joined the number 41 Institute

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of the sixth Academy of Aerospace

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Science and Industry in 2020 from July

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2020 to December 2020 his salary

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averaged about

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1,376 per month before tax from January

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202 to June 2021 it was reduced to an

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average pre-tax of 1100 from July 2021

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to December 2021 the average is around

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826 pre-tax plus yearend performance

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wages are getting lower by the

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year concerns have emerged that the

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declining treatment of the military and

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police reflects the ccp's Authority's

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Financial constraints it may lead to the

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military and police lying flat like the

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local bureaucracy some analysts believe

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that the CCP has to guarantee the

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military expenditure so it doesn't dare

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to cut down the salary of the military

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personnel but to save money it may cut

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down the funding for the procurement of

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military equipment and the training of

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the military speaking of military

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expenditures we have to talk about the

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prevalent corruption in the Chinese Army

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the ccp's publicized military

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expenditure is often much smaller than

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the actual

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spending from 1993 to 2002 the ccp's

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military spending totaled about

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2003 to 2012 it soared to about 4.3

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times that of the previous 10 years

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during these 20 years Jang Zine was in

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control of the military and Corruption

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was

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rampant the first major corruption

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offender to be investigated was guwen

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Shan he was involved in more than 4.2

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billion in crimes including 83 million

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in verified corruption and bribes he

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owned more than 300 properties and

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maintained 23 Mistresses in addition the

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gold seized in his residence amounted to

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400 kg it's worth noting that guo was

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only a lieutenant

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general Shu Sao former Vice chairman of

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the CCP military commission was

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investigated in 2014 and the cash seiz

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from the basement of his 2,000 s Mansion

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weighed as much as 1

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ton at that time there was a clear price

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list for getting different ranking and

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promotion in the CCP military 30,000 for

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a company Commander 50,000 for a

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battalion Commander 140,000 for a

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regiment Commander 140 to 410,000 for a

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division Commander 690,000 for a

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military commander and up to 1.38

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million for a major military region

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Commander after Xi Jinping took power he

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carried out a major Purge of the

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military knocking out at least 160

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Generals in the name of anti-corruption

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however this hasn't changed the

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corruption situation in the military a

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terrible thing is that as new equipment

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is introduced to the military with the

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high military spending it gives generals

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another opportunity to get rich for

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example for the rocket Force missiles

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like the dongfang 17 dongfang 21d

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dongfang 26 and dongfang 41 missiles

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have started to enter service in batches

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a number of Navy destroyers and aircraft

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carriers have also begun to enter

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service it's reported that in the 10

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years from 2013 to 2022 the ccp's

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military spending totaled about

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226.000 billion by a conservative

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estimate 20% of it is taken by corrupt

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officials in recent years in order to

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achieve the goals of fighting corruption

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and strengthening the military Xi

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Jinping has significantly increased

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investment in the military emphasizing

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that in the future the income of

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Military Officers will mainly rely on

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their wages and there should be no other

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gray incomes in 2014 2018 and 2021 XI

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jingping raised military salaries three

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times in particular the 2021 Rays

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adjusted the level of military pay to

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20% higher than that of civil servants

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making the military treatment generally

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better than that of local civil servants

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since October 2023 the government has

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formally implemented the tenative

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provisions on the treatment and

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protection of Civilian Personnel in the

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military further improving the treatment

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of Civilian Personnel in the

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military a former retired servicemen

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pointed out that military personnel

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salaries were paid by the state through

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earmarked funds while other subsidies

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were supposed to be provided by the

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local governments which are now unable

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to pay for such

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subsidies at the same time the Communist

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party and government departments have

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also frequently mentioned the principle

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of tightening the belt at the two

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sessions in March 2024 the government

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work report clearly stated that

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governments at all levels should get

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used to tightening their belts

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subsequently all regions have tightened

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their control over three public

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expenditures that's meals transportation

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and travel and cut back on General

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expend atures it has reflected the

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financial difficulties faced by the

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CCP according to official media three

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jurisdictions including inner Mongolia

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Hunan and Beijing have introduced

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specific measures to tighten the belt

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for example office desks and chairs

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computers and official Vehicles should

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continue to be used as long as they can

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be repaired or

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utilized according to an announcement on

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the official website of the national

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government offices Administration

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Beijing was the first place to introduce

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these measures the Beijing Municipal

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Bureau announced 19 specific measures in

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February including to utilize the public

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warehouses to coordinate resources and

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strive to increase efficiency by more

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than 50% year on-year the paper reported

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on June 7th that several jurisdictions

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have announced the percentage of the

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latest round of downsizing ranging from

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2 to

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5% early last year the central

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government released the program for the

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reform of party and state

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institutions it clearly set out the goal

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of stream stre lining the Staffing

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establishment of Central State organs by

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5% and required localities to streamline

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as well local party and government

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organizations are required to streamline

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their Staffing establishment and there

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is no requirement for streamlining at

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the level of County and Township local

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governments have been following in the

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footsteps of the central government na

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Jang city shishan province released a

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document to cut 3% of its staff loo City

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Hernan Province adopted an across the

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board approach reducing 3% % of the

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staff with a total of 54 posts

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eliminated Gansu Province put out a

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policy document too to reduce 5% of its

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employees in February 2024 Shan XI TV

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station reported that the reform won't

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increase the number of departments and

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bureaus and will gradually reduce the

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administrative establishment of civil

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servants by 3% at the provincial level

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and at least 2% at the municipal level

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it has been reported that the financial

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constraints of the central government

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have led to the salary rears or

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reductions in the pay of civil servants

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in several economically important

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provinces such as Jong Su and Guangdong

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as their Financial Resources deplete in

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Guangdong for example Miss Hong told

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overseas Chinese media that her father

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who was in his 90s is a retired official

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at the vice directorate level with an

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original pension of about us 4100

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recently his unit informed him that his

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pension would be reduced by us 690 per

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month from January 1st 2024 and that it

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would be required to pay back the

play10:00

overpayment of his pension over the past

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2 years by deducting us 690 per month

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for a total reduction of us

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16,500 miss Hong believes that this

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reflects the severity of China's

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Financial constraints informed sources

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from a department in guangong revealed

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that things are changing nowadays it's

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lucky if one's regular salary or pension

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is paid as yearend bonuses are cancelled

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and Enterprise subsidies are in AAR

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Enterprises applying for government

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subsidies even if approved the the funds

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don't get dispersed promptly due to

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financial

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constraints informed sources also said

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that Guangdong is dominated by private

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and foreign Enterprises due to factors

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such as the trade War orders have been

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diverted to Southeast Asia and South

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Asia and business activities in Shenzhen

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and Dong Guang have decreased the 2022

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Russia Ukraine war further aggravated

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the problem resulting in fewer orders

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for China's manufacturing sector it has

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seriously affected local

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revenues Wu jong a general economists

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from Taiwan said there's a serious

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financial crisis from the central to

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local in China they are out of money and

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it can't be covered up anymore that's

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why civil servants are told to tighten

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their belts Mr Woo also explained why

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the Chinese government is running out of

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money in the past local governments

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borrowed money to build infrastructure

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in order to get attention and promotion

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from their superiors and this debt model

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and overbuilt has resulted in

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construction projects that look

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beautiful but lack fiscal returns a

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typical example is the construction of

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many highways and bridges in the

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mountainous areas of gu Joo Province

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without fiscal returns these projects

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have become liabilities and require

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extra money for

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maintenance especially after the real

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estate crisis local governments have

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lost Revenue through selling land which

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used to account for about 40% of total

play11:48

revenue now local governments have to

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cut civil servants salaries and bonuses

play11:52

to make up for this shortfall without

play11:54

the revenue from land sales local

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governments can only rely on transfer

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payments from the central government

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which is struggling itself thus a

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financial crisis is seen in China

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[Music]

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Military BudgetChina EconomyFinancial StrainCivil ServantsPay CutsEconomic ChallengesMilitary CorruptionGovernment PolicyBudget EfficiencyPublic Spending
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