Hasil Survei Terbaru Capres Terkuat di 3 Provinsi Utama di Pilpres 2024

Tribun Kaltim Official
24 Jan 202405:50

Summary

TLDRAs the 2024 Presidential election in Indonesia approaches, candidates intensify their campaigns, especially in the three largest provinces by voter registration: West Java, East Java, and Central Java. These provinces are crucial battlegrounds, given their substantial influence on the election outcome. Recent surveys reveal varying levels of candidate electability across these regions, with Prabowo Gibran, Anis Muhaimin, and Ganjar Mahfud leading in different areas. The surveys, conducted by reputable institutions such as Indikator Politik Indonesia and Carta Politika, employed face-to-face interviews and multistage random sampling, indicating a competitive race. With over 204 million registered voters nationally, the election's outcome will significantly depend on these key provinces.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The Presidential election in Indonesia will be held in 2024
  • 😃 Three provinces with the largest voter registries are East Java, Central Java, and West Java
  • 🤔Latest survey results show Prabowo & Gibran leading in West Java and East Java
  • 😮 Ganjar & Mahfud are leading in Central Java based on Indicator survey
  • 🧐 Indicator, Charta Politika, LSI conducted surveys involving thousands of respondents
  • 🤨 Surveys done before the 3rd presidential debate on Jan 7, 2024
  • 😀 Total voter registry in West Java is 15.7 million
  • 😲 East Java has 34 million registered voters
  • 😯Central Java has over 28 million registered voters
  • 😊 Over 204 million eligible voters nationwide for 2024 election

Q & A

  • What is the upcoming important political event in Indonesia in 2024?

    -The upcoming presidential election (Pilpres) in 2024.

  • Why are the provinces of East Java, Central Java, and West Java so important for the 2024 presidential candidates?

    -These 3 provinces have the largest number of registered voters in Indonesia. Winning in these provinces gives candidates a good chance of winning the national election.

  • How many registered voters are there nationwide for the 2024 presidential election?

    -204,807,222 registered voters nationwide.

  • What are the total numbers of registered voters in West Java, East Java, and Central Java respectively?

    -West Java has 15,714,901 registered voters. East Java has 14,402,838 registered voters. Central Java has 28,289,413 registered voters.

  • What were the latest poll results for the top 3 candidate pairs in West Java?

    -According to the Indicator Politik survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 42.9%, Anis-Muhaimin at 33.8%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 17.8%. According to the Carta Politika survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 47%, Anis-Muhaimin at 26%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 20%.

  • What were the latest poll results for the top 3 candidate pairs in East Java?

    -According to the Indicator Politik survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 48.2%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 24.5%, Anis-Muhaimin at 21.7%. According to the LSI survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 46.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 26.6%, Anis-Muhaimin at 16.2%.

  • How were the political surveys conducted and sampled?

    -The surveys were conducted via face-to-face interviews, using multistage random sampling techniques. The sample sizes ranged from 1200 to 12220 respondents across Indonesia's provinces.

  • What were the latest poll results for the top 3 candidate pairs in Central Java?

    -According to the Indicator survey, the top 3 were: Anis-Chak Imin at 9.2%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 40.7%, Prabowo-Gibran at 42.1%.

  • When is the date for voting in the 2024 Indonesian presidential election?

    -The voting date is February 14, 2024.

  • What is the margin of error and confidence level stated for the political surveys?

    -The stated margin of error ranges from 2-2.9% at a 95% confidence level.

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