BITCOIN WARNING SIGNAL FLASHING (My Strategy)!!! Bitcoin News Today & Ethereum Price Prediction!
Summary
TLDRIn this crypto market analysis, host Josh discusses Bitcoin's current resistance struggles and potential short-term trading opportunities, highlighting a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart. He remains bullish on larger time frames, suggesting a possible move to new highs if resistance at 68,000 is broken. Ethereum's analysis includes a bearish divergence warning and the importance of breaking above 3350 for a bullish reversal. Josh also covers trading strategies, including adding to long positions on pullbacks, and promotes an exchange with deposit bonuses for crypto trading.
Takeaways
- 📈 **Bitcoin Bullish Trend**: Bitcoin is still in a larger bullish trend on the 3-day and weekly charts, with a hidden bullish divergence suggesting continuation of the trend in the coming months.
- 🔍 **Short-Term Warning Signals**: Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are showing new warning signals in the short term, indicating potential trading opportunities.
- 🚧 **Resistance Levels**: Bitcoin has encountered significant resistance between 67,000 and 68,000, which may lead to a short-term pullback or consolidation.
- 📉 **Bearish Divergence**: A bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart for Bitcoin suggests potential choppy price action or a short-term pullback in the coming days.
- 🤑 **Trading Opportunities**: The speaker has entered a long position around local lows near 59,000 to 60,000 and may consider adding to the position if certain conditions are met, such as a bounce around support levels or oversold RSI signals.
- ⏳ **Time Frame Differences**: It's important to understand that bullish trends on larger time frames can coexist with short-term bearish price actions.
- 🔗 **ETH Support Level**: Ethereum is holding above a critical Fibonacci support level of approximately 2870, which is part of a larger bullish trend on the weekly time frame.
- 🔄 **Sideways Trading**: The speaker discusses making profits in choppy sideways price action, suggesting strategies for trading in such conditions.
- 📌 **Key Resistance for ETH**: For Ethereum to flip to a bullish direction on the daily chart, a confirmed breakout above 3350 is necessary.
- 💡 **RSI Indicators**: The daily Bitcoin RSI has started a bullish reversal, breaking above critical resistance, which has historically marked the beginning of major moves to the upside.
- 🔄 **Solanana Retest**: Solana has broken out and is retesting resistance at 167 to 172, with a failure to hold above this level potentially leading to a drop to 160.
Q & A
What is the current trend of Bitcoin on the larger time frames according to the video?
-The video states that Bitcoin is still technically in a larger bullish trend, also known as a bull market, on larger time frames such as the 3-day chart or the weekly chart, as it has not yet invalidated the higher low higher high price structure.
What does the hidden bullish divergence indicate for Bitcoin's future trend?
-The hidden bullish divergence is a trend continuation pattern that suggests the larger bullish trend is likely to continue over the coming months.
What is the significance of the DXY and its relation to Bitcoin's short-term trends?
-The DXY has been pulling back over the last couple of weeks, which has been a bullish reversal signal for Bitcoin in terms of shorter term trends. The video suggests that changes in the DXY can influence Bitcoin's price movements.
What does the daily Bitcoin RSI suggest about the immediate future of Bitcoin's price?
-The daily Bitcoin RSI has started a bullish reversal, breaking out above critical resistance and forming higher lows and higher highs, which has historically indicated the beginning stages of the next major move to the upside in Bitcoin's price.
What is the current resistance area for Bitcoin that the video discusses?
-The video discusses a significant area of resistance for Bitcoin sitting between $67,000 to $68,000, where the price is expected to struggle and possibly experience sideways consolidation or a short-term pullback.
What is the condition for validating the breakout to the upside from the falling wedge pattern for Bitcoin?
-To validate the breakout to the upside from the falling wedge pattern, the price of Bitcoin would have to break back below the breakout point, which is around $62,000 to $63,000.
What is the potential next major area of resistance for Bitcoin if it confirms a breakout above $68,000?
-If Bitcoin confirms a breakout above $68,000, the next major area of resistance to the upside could be between $72,000 to $74,000.
What is the bearish divergence on the 4-Hour time frame indicating for Bitcoin's short-term price action?
-The bearish divergence on the 4-Hour time frame suggests that there might be choppy sideways price action or a short-term pullback in the price of Bitcoin in the next couple of days.
What trading opportunity does the speaker see for Bitcoin's short-term pullback?
-The speaker sees a potential trading opportunity to add to a long position if there is a continued pullback, with possible entry points around previous lows or if the 4-Hour Bitcoin RSI enters oversold territories.
What is the speaker's strategy for the long position in Bitcoin?
-The speaker's strategy for the long position in Bitcoin is to use it as a swing trade, aiming to capture the larger move to the upside. They may take some profits at resistance levels and add to the position during short-term pullbacks, as they remain bullish on the larger trend.
What is the current situation of Ethereum's price trend on the weekly time frame?
-On the weekly time frame, Ethereum's price is holding above a critical Fibonacci level of support around $2870 and is within a shorter term bearish trend within a larger bullish trend.
What conditions need to be met for Ethereum to flip into a bullish direction on the daily chart?
-For Ethereum to flip into a bullish direction on the daily chart, a confirmed breakout above the previous high and resistance level is needed, which is currently sitting around $3350.
What is the potential trading opportunity in choppy sideways price action according to the video?
-The video suggests that even in choppy sideways price action, there are opportunities to make profits, and viewers are encouraged to watch until the end of the video to find out more about how to capitalize on such market conditions.
What does the bearish divergence on the 4-Hour time frame for Ethereum indicate?
-The bearish divergence on the 4-Hour time frame for Ethereum indicates reduced bullish momentum in the short term, which could result in choppy sideways price action or a pullback.
What is the significance of the breakout and retest of resistance for Solana's price?
-The breakout and retest of resistance for Solana's price is significant because if the price holds above the area of resistance turned support (between $167 to $172), it confirms the breakout. However, if the price closes below $167 on the 12-hour chart, it could signal a bearish trend and a potential drop to around $160.
What is the potential upside target for Solana if the breakout from the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern holds?
-If the breakout from the inverse Head and Shoulders pattern holds, the active price target to the upside for Solana is around $29, which represents a potential move of around 23% from the time the video was recorded.
What are the additional resistance levels for Solana's price above the current price?
-The additional resistance levels for Solana's price above the current price are around $183 and just above $200.
Why are short-term pullbacks considered healthy for the bullish trend in the context of the video?
-Short-term pullbacks are considered healthy for the bullish trend because they help to reset price oscillators like the RSI, providing more room for the price to move upwards later on.
Outlines
📈 Bitcoin's Short-Term Warning Signals Amid Bullish Trend
Josh begins the video by discussing Bitcoin's current market situation, noting that despite a larger bullish trend, or 'bull market', on longer time frames like the 3-day and weekly charts, short-term bearish signals are emerging. On the 3-day chart, Bitcoin has not invalidated the higher low and higher high price structure, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend. A hidden bullish divergence suggests the trend will likely continue over the coming months. However, Josh emphasizes the importance of understanding different time frames, as short-term bearish price action can occur within a larger bullish trend. The daily Bitcoin chart shows a bullish reversal signal due to the DXY's pullback, which is positive for Bitcoin's short-term trends. The daily Bitcoin RSI has also started a bullish reversal, breaking above critical resistance and forming higher lows and highs, which typically precedes a major move to the upside. Despite this, the price has encountered significant resistance between 67,000 and 68,000, where it is expected to struggle and potentially experience a short-term pullback or rejection. Josh also discusses the importance of confirming a breakout above 68,000 to validate the continuation of the bullish trend, with a potential move towards the all-time high area of 72,000 to 74,000. On the 4-hour chart, a bearish divergence is playing out, suggesting choppy price action or a short-term pullback in the coming days.
🚀 Trading Opportunities and Ethereum's Market Analysis
The second paragraph focuses on potential trading opportunities amidst short-term pullbacks and a detailed analysis of Ethereum's market situation. Josh has entered a long position around previous local lows near 59,000 to 60,000 and has taken some profits while keeping the position open. He considers adding to this long position if there's a continued pullback, using short-term bullish signals such as bouncing around support or oversold RSI signals as indicators. The discussion then shifts to Ethereum, which, despite being in a short-term bearish trend on the daily chart, is still within a larger bullish trend on the weekly chart. The price of Ethereum is holding above a critical Fibonacci level of support at approximately 2870. For a bullish reversal on the daily chart, a breakout above the current resistance level around 3220 and the previous high around 3270 to 3350 is needed. Josh also mentions the potential for profitable trades in choppy sideways price action and encourages viewers to stay tuned for more information.
🔄 Ethereum's Short-Term Bearish Divergence and Trading Strategies
In this paragraph, Josh discusses Ethereum's potential short-term bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart, which suggests reduced bullish momentum and could lead to choppy sideways price action or a pullback. He explains that for this bearish divergence to be invalidated, either a new bullish divergence must form or the price must breakout above the current resistance level, leading to new higher highs in the RSI. Additionally, Josh provides an analysis of Solana's price action on the 12-hour chart, noting a breakout and retest of a resistance area that was previously support between 167 to 172. He stresses the importance of the price holding above this area, as a drop below 167 could signal a bearish trend and a potential move to 160, which is a critical level to hold. If the price can maintain above these levels, the breakout from an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern remains active, with a price target around 29, indicating a significant potential upside. Josh also notes that short-term pullbacks are healthy for the bullish trend, as they help reset indicators like the RSI, providing more room for upward movement.
🌐 Conclusion and Additional Trading Resources
The final paragraph wraps up the video with a brief mention of additional resources for trading strategies and a farewell. Josh provides links to videos that teach viewers how to profit from both bullish and bearish price actions, as well as from choppy sideways price action. He expresses hope that the viewers have enjoyed the video and looks forward to the next video, signaling the end of the current discussion.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Bitcoin
💡Resistance
💡Bullish Trend
💡Bearish Divergence
💡RSI (Relative Strength Index)
💡Falling Wedge
💡Ethereum
💡Fibonacci Level
💡Liquidation
💡Inverse Head and Shoulders
Highlights
Bitcoin is currently in a larger bullish trend, known as a bull market, as it has not invalidated the higher low higher high price structure on larger time frames like the 3-day or weekly charts.
A hidden bullish divergence is present, suggesting a continuation of the larger bullish trend over the coming months.
Despite the larger bullish trend, short-term bearish price action can occur, indicating the importance of understanding different time frames.
The DXY, a dollar index, has been pulling back, which is a bullish reversal signal for Bitcoin in shorter term trends.
The daily Bitcoin RSI has started a bullish reversal, breaking out above critical resistance and forming higher lows and highs.
A breakout to the upside from a bullish falling wedge is still active on the daily Bitcoin chart, with the first major obstacle being a significant resistance area between 67 to 68,000.
A bearish divergence on the 4-hour time frame suggests potential choppy sideways price action or a short-term pullback in the price of Bitcoin.
Ethereum is holding above a critical Fibonacci level of support, approximately at 2870, within a larger bullish trend on the weekly time frame.
On the daily time frame, Ethereum is within a short-term bearish trend, needing a confirmed breakout above 3350 to reverse into a bullish direction.
A new short-term bearish divergence in Ethereum's 4-hour RSI indicates reduced bullish momentum and potential sideways or pullback scenarios.
Salana has broken out and is retesting an area of resistance turned support between 167 to 172, with a failure to hold above indicating a bearish signal.
A breakout for an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in Salana is still active, with a price target to the upside at around $29.
Short-term pullbacks in Salana are healthy for the bullish trend, helping to reset the RSI and provide more room to the upside.
Trading opportunities exist in both bullish and bearish price action, as well as in choppy sideways price action.
The presenter has entered a long position in Bitcoin around previous local lows and may add to the position if certain short-term bullish signals appear.
For real-time updates on trading strategies, follow the presenter on Instagram or Twitter.
The presenter is trading on Buybit and Bitflex, offering a deposit bonus and an exclusive 200 USDT airdrop for new users.
Transcripts
welcome back to the crypto Channel
everyone my name is Josh and R now
Bitcoin is rejecting from critical
resistance as the price is playing out a
new warning signal in the short term
that could reveal the next trading
opportunity while ethereum is also
flashing a new warning signal in the
short term so I'll be talking about all
of that and more later in the video so
definitely watch to the
end first of all starting off on the
3-day Bitcoin chart and right now the
price of Bitcoin is still technically in
a larger bullish trend on the larger
time frames also known as a bull market
because at least as of right now the
price of Bitcoin has not yet invalidated
the higher low higher high price
structure on the larger time frames like
the 3-day chart or the weekly chart for
example and on top of that we also have
this hidden bullish Divergence which is
a trend continuation pattern telling us
that we're most likely going to continue
the larger bullish Trend over the coming
months but as I always say it is
important to understand the difference
between the different time frames so
even though we might still be in a
bullish trend on the larger time frames
during this larger bullish Trend we can
see short-term bearish price action here
and there and so just because I'm still
bullish on the larger time frames in
terms of the larger Trend that does not
necessarily mean bullish across all time
frames and if we're taking a look at the
daily Bitcoin chart as of right now
since my last video here on the channel
the dxy here on the daily time frame has
not updated because the dxy has been
closed for trading over the weekend but
basically in case you're new to this
channel the dxy has been pulling back
over the last couple of weeks which has
been a bullish reversal signal for
Bitcoin in terms of these shorter term
Trends here in the price but if you
missed my last video and if you want to
know more about this dxy right here and
what it exactly means for Bitcoin moving
forward then check out my last couple of
videos here on the channel to find out
more and something similar can be said
about the daily Bitcoin RSI because
since my last video not a lot has
changed in the daily Bitcoin RSI and so
obviously as I've been saying basically
every day over the last couple of weeks
the daily Bitcoin RSI has already
started a bullish reversal breaking out
above critical resistance and forming
higher lows and higher highs and the
last couple of times we've seen this in
the daily Bitcoin RSI this has happened
right at the beginning stages of the
next major move to the upside or Trend
in the price of Bitcoin but once again
during these larger bullish moves or
these bullish trends we can see
short-term bearish price action and
short-term pullbacks here and there
during the bullish Trend and if we're
taking a look at this daily Bitcoin
chart as of right now this breakout to
the upside from this bullish falling
wedge is technically still active on the
chart but with that being said we have
now run into the first major obstacle in
this breakout to the upside which is
this significant area of resistance that
I've been talking about here on the
channel sitting in between 67 to
68,000 and so once again as I've already
been sharing here on the channnel we are
likely going to see the price of Bitcoin
struggle around this area on the chart
and we're likely going to see at least
some sort of sideways consolidation or
possibly a short-term pullback or
rejection from that resistance area
which so far is playing out exactly as
expected but once again this might only
be a minor pullback during the larger
breakout to the upside considering the
overall breakout from this falling wedge
is technically still active and in order
to validate this breakout to the upside
for this falling wedge would have to see
a break back below this point of the
breakout which is sitting at around 62
to 63,000 and once we eventually see a
confirmed breakout above 68,000 for as
long as we don't invalidate this
breakout for the falling wedge and we
eventually confirm a breakout above this
area of resistance then once we see that
confirmed breakout above 68,000 we could
likely see a quick move up towards that
alltime high area in between around 72
to 74,000 as the next major area of
resistance to the upside but once again
only once we confirm a breakout above
68,000 which as of right now has not
happened and if we're zooming further
into the shorter term right here on the
4-Hour time frame we are now seeing this
bearish Divergence that I've been
warning about over the last couple of
days this is now playing out as expected
and so once again as I've already been
saying over the last couple of days
we're most likely going to see either at
least some choppy sideway way price
action if not a short-term pullback in
the price of Bitcoin as the most likely
scenarios at least in the short term as
in talking about the next couple of days
or so and if we're taking a look at the
last time we saw a short-term bearish
Divergence here on the 4-Hour time frame
this played out over the next couple of
days over the next two to three days
give will take in the form of a
short-term pullback before we eventually
continued that bullish Trend higher
later on and so once again if you're
zooming out to a larger time frame if
that short-term be Divergence continues
to play out like what we saw last time
around a week ago give or take then that
bearish Divergence playing out might
look something like that for example
before potentially continuing the
bullish Trend higher later on and so
that's why I've been saying it's
important to understand the difference
between the different time frames when
we're talking about the larger Trend
playing out I am still bullish but
during that larger bullish Trend we can
see some short-term pullbacks here and
there and once again right now we're
potentially seeing a bit of a short turn
pullback playing out but this could be a
trading opportunity that we could take
and personally my trading opportunity is
I've already entered a long position
around these previous local lows closer
towards 59 to 60,000 and as of right now
like I said in my last video I've
already taken some profits off the table
for this long position right here and I
still have a lot of the position open
but since my last video this position
has not changed I haven't done anything
to this position since my last video but
basically the potential trading
opportunity when it comes to this
short-term pullback is potentially in my
situation I may look to add to this long
position if we see a continued pullback
here and so for example if we start
bouncing around this previous low at
around 65,000 which was also previous
resistance that could be a possible
signal to add to this long position or
for example if we see the 4-Hour Bitcoin
RSI play out this bearish Divergence and
then perhaps in a day or two from now if
it starts entering closer towards over
sold territories that could also
potentially be a signal to add to this
long position basically if we start
seeing some short-term bullish signals
like bouncing around support or some
oversold signals in the RSI anything
like that then once again I'll
potentially use this short-term pullback
to add to this long position considering
I am still bullish in terms of the
larger Trend at play and as I've
explained here on the channel the idea
around this specific long position right
here as always not Financial advice but
in my trading strategy right here the
idea for this long position is to
basically have it as more of a swing
trade trading the larger move to the
upside kind of like what we saw back
here or back here for example and so
essentially when we're running into
resistance at those areas I might take a
little bit of profits off the table as I
just did recently but then if we're
seeing these short-term pullbacks along
the way like what we've seen previously
on those opportunities I may look to add
to that long position and as always
everying single day here on the channel
I'll keep you up to date on this trading
strategy as I've been doing basically
every day over the last couple of weeks
and also if you want to get extra
real-time updates throughout the day if
I make any changes to this trading
strategy check out my Instagram or my
Twitter link down below this video
because on those other social medias
I'll also make any extra updates if I
actually make changes to this trading
strategy and if you also want to take
trades just like this to make a lot of
easy profits in crypto then make sure to
check out this exchange which I'm
trading on right now which is buybit so
I'll make sure to leave a link to buybit
down below this video in the description
and in the pinned comment and if you use
that link down below this video to make
a buybit account and deposit on that
account then you can get up to a $30,000
deposit bonus but only if you use that
link down below this video and also if
you use that link it will take you to
this page right here where you can claim
an exclusive 200 usdt airdrop position
just by making a buit account using that
link down below this video making a
deposit and claiming the airdrop and so
if you're going to be trading crypto
anyway you might as well check this out
once again first link down below this
video but for whatever reason if you
cannot access bybit or if you cannot kyc
on bybit there is also bitflex which is
another crypto exchange similar to
buybit but you don't need KY for bitflex
and so I will also make sure to leave a
link to bitflex down below this video as
an alternative crypto exchange and if
we're taking a quick look at the Bitcoin
liquidation heat map we can see over the
last one day we liquidated some of that
liquidity that was sitting at around
675,000 but we still have around $2
billion worth of liquidations sitting
closer towards around
68,000 and so once again we ideally need
to confirm a breakout above 68,000 in
order to set up that next move to the
upside towards these local highs and
with that being said taking a look at
etherum on the weekly time frame and
right now the price of eth is still
holding Above This critical Fibonacci
level of support which is sitting at
around 2870 approximately and at least
for now the price of eth is technically
within a shorter term bearish Trend that
is within a larger bullish trend on the
weekly time frame and obviously this is
nothing new for the price of eth we have
seen this previously during this very
bullish Trend that we've been in
basically since around mid 2022 but if
we're taking a look at the daily time
frame once again we can clearly see that
at least for now on The Daily Time frame
we're still technically within this
short-term bearish Trend forming lower
highs and lower lows at least for now on
The Daily time frame and as I've been
saying over and over again recently here
on the channel in order to become more
confident that we're actually flipping
into the bullish Direction on the daily
chart basically reversing from a
short-term bearish Trend into a
short-term bullish Trend in order to
confirm that bullish scenario we need to
see a confirmed breakout ideally Above
This previous high and at least Above
This resistance and this line of of
resistance is currently sitting at
around 3220 and this previous high if
we're looking at the candle closes is
sitting at around 3270 or if we're
looking at the actual candle wick high
that is sitting closer towards
3350 and so once again we ideally need
to confirm a breakout above 3350 in
order to actually become more confident
that the price is reversing back into
the bullish Direction here in the
shorter term similar to what Bitcoin has
been doing over the last 1 to 2 weeks or
so and if we're zooming into just this
area on the chart right here on the 8
hour time frame right now the price of
eth is still potentially just in this
choppy sideways price range in the
somewhat shorter term here sitting in
between this area of support and this
area of resistance first of all this
area of support is still sitting in
between around 2850 to 2950 and this
area of resistance is sitting in between
3.2k to 3250 with more resistance once
again at around
3350 but believe it or not you can still
make a lot of easy profits in choppy
sideways price action just like this and
if you want to know how to do that then
stick around to the end of this video to
find out more but first taking a quick
look at the 4-Hour time frame and right
now the price of eth is potentially now
playing out a new short-term bearish
Divergence because as of right now the
price has already confirmed a higher
high in the 4-Hour candle closes while
the RSI has confirmed a lower high which
is technically a bearish Divergence
basically the exact opposite of the this
previous short-term bullish Divergence
and so this basically means the previous
short-term bullish Divergence back here
is no longer playing out it has already
completed as we've seen over the last
few days and instead due to this new
bearish Divergence we're most likely
going to see reduced bullish momentum
over the next couple of days as the most
likely scenario and what I mean by
reduced bullish momentum is basically
either choppy sideways press action or
potentially a bit more of a pullback as
the most like outcomes just in the short
term here and in order to invalidate
this bearish Divergence would have to
see either a new bullish Divergence form
or for example a breakout above this
line of resistance into some new higher
highs in the RSI those signals will help
to invalidate this bearish Divergence
and if we're taking a quick look at the
price of salana on the 12-hour time
frame over the last one day the price
has broken out and is now retesting this
area of resistance which was previous
support sitting in between between
around 167 to 172 and so it is quite
important that the price holds above
this area on the chart because if we see
candle closes on the 12-hour chart for
example back below around 167 then at
least in the imminent short term here
that would be a bit of a bearish signal
most likely resulting in a continued
drop to this level right here sitting at
around 160 and that level will be a very
important level to hold above if we
actually make it back down towards that
level because basically if we actually
break back below 160 that would
invalidate this breakout for this
inverse Head and Shoulders pattern but
at least for now because that has not
currently happened at least for now the
breakout for this invers head and
shoulders pattern is still active with
the active price Target to the upside
sitting at around
$29 approximately and so from the point
of the breakout to that price Target
that was potentially around a 30% move
to the upside or from where we are right
now as I've recorded this video to that
price Target that's still around a 23%
move to the upside and as for other
resistance between now and then we could
also find some resistance at around 183
and more resistance at just above
$200 and we also have to keep in mind
that the 12-hour salana RSI just brushed
against overbought territories over the
last 1 to 2 days and so there's no
surprise that we're seeing a little bit
of a short-term call off here in the
Press of salana to help to reset this
RSI because we were starting to get a
little bit too overheated just in the
short term and so these shortterm
pullbacks along the way up are actually
healthy for the bullish Trend because
when we're seeing these short-term
pullbacks that is helping to reset these
price oscillators like the RSI for
example giving us more room to the
upside later on and once again if you
want to trade these moves in the price
of any crypto check out those links down
below this video to claim those extra
bonuses and if you want to actually know
how to take these trades then make sure
to watch these videos popping up right
here on your screen the video in the top
left shows you how you can profit from
bullish or bearish Price action using
long positions or short positions and
the video in the bottom left shows you
how you can easily profit from choppy
sideways price action but anyway that is
everything that I have to say for today
I really hope you enjoyed and I'll see
you all in the next video
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