3-1 NFL Thursday! 15-6 NFL RUN! Sunday NFL Week 5 Picks and Best Bets for October 6th, 2024!
Summary
TLDRZach from 'Being the Odds' presents his NFL best bets for Sunday, October 6, 2024. He recaps Thursday's successful results, where he went 3-1, and provides insights on various NFL matchups, including the Rams vs. Packers, Redskins vs. Browns, and others. He emphasizes betting strategies, including sharp money, public sentiment, and injury reports. Zach also discusses the importance of members-only best bets, urging viewers to join for additional exclusive picks. He ends by highlighting the importance of smart plays and predicting a strong week ahead for NFL betting.
Takeaways
- 😀 The channel host, Zach, reviews NFL betting results from Thursday, mentioning a 3-1 record with notable wins like the Falcons' money line.
- 🏈 Zach emphasizes members-only best bets, including successes in both NFL and college football, and offers a subscription for additional betting picks.
- 📊 He suggests betting on the Rams +3.5 against the Packers, citing injury factors and public betting trends as reasons to pick the Rams.
- 🏟️ The Redskins -2.5 versus the Browns is another pick, with Zach highlighting Cleveland's injury struggles and Washington's stronger roster and coaching.
- 🔥 Zach picks the over 48.5 in the Arizona vs. San Francisco game, citing Arizona's weak defense and the 49ers' improving offensive form.
- 🚀 Broncos -2.5 vs. Raiders is another pick due to Denver’s stronger recent form and the Raiders' internal struggles, including potential player trades.
- 💀 The Dolphins' money line against the Patriots is Zach’s final pick, stating that despite Miami's poor performance on Monday, they should bounce back against the struggling Patriots.
- 💰 Zach promotes his subscription service, where members can access exclusive picks, emphasizing success rates and long-term betting strategies.
- 💡 He expresses confidence in the Washington Redskins' future with a strong leadership team and player roster.
- ⚡ Zach ends by encouraging viewers to sign up for members-only bets and lock in the given picks, promising potential wins.
Q & A
What is the main focus of the video?
-The main focus of the video is NFL betting, specifically providing 'Best Bets' for the current Sunday games, as well as a recap of previous bets and an overview of current betting strategies.
How did Zach's bets perform on the previous Thursday?
-Zach's bets on the previous Thursday performed well, with a 3-1 record. He had success with the Falcons' money line, hitting both of his player prop bets, and only lost on the under bet for the Tampa Bay and Atlanta game.
What does Zach predict for the Rams vs. Packers game?
-Zach predicts that the Rams, at +3.5, will cover the spread against the Packers. He notes that public money is heavily on the Packers, which he believes might be a 'trap' by Vegas.
What are Zach’s reasons for betting on the Redskins at -2.5 against the Browns?
-Zach is confident in the Redskins because he believes the Browns are dealing with significant injuries and instability. He feels that Washington has a stronger quarterback and coaching staff and will take advantage of Cleveland's weaknesses.
Why does Zach recommend betting the over on the Arizona vs. San Francisco game?
-Zach recommends betting the over at 48.5 points because he believes both teams will score heavily. He sees the Cardinals' defense as weak and expects the 49ers' offense, led by a healthy Brock Purdy, to perform well. He also thinks that Kyler Murray’s mobility will challenge the 49ers' defense, which is not as strong as it was last season.
What is Zach’s prediction for the Broncos vs. Raiders game?
-Zach predicts that the Broncos will cover the spread at -2.5 against the Raiders. He points to the Raiders’ internal issues, such as trade rumors around Davante Adams, and believes Denver's home advantage and recent wins make them the better pick.
Why does Zach consider the Dolphins' money line a 'disgusting play'?
-Zach finds the Dolphins' money line to be a 'disgusting play' because of how badly they performed the previous week. However, he believes they will bounce back strongly against a weak Patriots team, especially since the Patriots have struggled this season and Miami has a history of performing well against them.
What are some of the 'Members Only' bets Zach mentions?
-Zach mentions that the 'Members Only' bets include five additional NFL picks and one MLB pick. These bets are exclusive to his website, where subscribers can access these and other perks for $65.
Why does Zach believe the 49ers' defense is vulnerable against the Cardinals?
-Zach believes the 49ers' defense is vulnerable because they have not been performing as well as last year, and key player Fred Warner is out. This could allow Arizona, particularly Kyler Murray, to have a more effective offensive game.
What rationale does Zach give for buying down to -2.5 on the Redskins' line?
-Zach buys down to -2.5 from -3 to reduce his risk and secure a better position at only -120 odds. He feels the Redskins will still cover this adjusted spread comfortably.
Outlines
📊 Recap of NFL Best Bets on Thursday and Recent Success
Zach begins the video by welcoming viewers and recapping Thursday's NFL best bets. He highlights a successful 3-1 record, including a thrilling win for the Falcons. Although the under-44.5 bet for the Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta game failed, other props, like Ry McCloud and Mike Evans, were successful. After a rough start in weeks 1 and 2, Zach is now back to breaking even and aiming for 60% win rates. He expresses excitement for Week 5 and promotes his members-only bets.
🏈 NFL Week 5 Best Bets and Strategy
Zach dives into his picks for NFL Week 5, starting with the Rams +3.5 versus the Packers. He discusses how public betting favors the Packers, but he sees sharp money backing the Rams. Injury factors and home advantage (though diminished by Packers fans in LA) play into his decision. He believes the spread is a trap and recommends backing the Rams. Zach also picks the Redskins -2.5 against the Browns, citing Cleveland's struggles, injuries, and internal turmoil as reasons for his confidence.
🔥 Redskins' Game Strategy and Betting Approach
Zach passionately supports the Redskins' bet, emphasizing the Browns' injuries and instability. He praises the Redskins' improved leadership, including their quarterback and coaching staff. He believes this game could be a pivotal moment for Washington and predicts success against Cleveland's defense, with Terry McLaurin being a key player. He also mentions his decision to buy down the spread to -2.5 for better value.
📈 High-Scoring Game Prediction for Cardinals vs. 49ers
Zach shifts to the Arizona vs. San Francisco game, recommending betting on the over 48.5 points. He discusses the Cardinals' poor defense and how the 49ers' offense, led by Brock Purdy, is thriving despite injuries. He believes both teams will score heavily. Fred Warner's absence from the 49ers defense is highlighted as a key factor, which could allow the Cardinals, particularly Kyler Murray, to perform better. Zach predicts an up-and-down, high-scoring game.
🤢 Broncos vs. Raiders: Betting on a Messy Game
Zach calls the Broncos vs. Raiders game 'gross' but recommends Broncos -2.5. He points out the Raiders' chaos, including rumors surrounding Davante Adams' potential trade and team injuries. Zach praises the Broncos' recent form, noting their back-to-back wins and home-field advantage at Mile High. He expects Denver to win comfortably due to their superior coaching, quarterback play, and overall momentum.
🐬 Betting on a Dolphins Bounce Back Against the Patriots
Zach concludes with a surprising bet: Dolphins money line against the Patriots. He acknowledges how bad the Dolphins were in their previous game but expects a strong recovery. He criticizes the Patriots as the worst team in the NFL, especially with their struggling offensive line and quarterback Jacoby Brissett. Zach is confident that the Dolphins, led by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, will dominate, citing their historical success against the Patriots.
💼 Promoting Members-Only Bets for Maximum Gains
In the final section, Zach promotes his members-only picks, highlighting five NFL bets and one MLB bet available on his website. He encourages viewers to join and take advantage of the successful betting streak. He ends by urging everyone to lock in their picks and join him in making money together.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Best Bets
💡Members Only
💡Sharp Money
💡Public Betting
💡Injury Report
💡Vegas Trap
💡Over/Under
💡Point Spread
💡Money Line
💡Momentum
Highlights
Recap of Thursday's results: 3-1, Falcons Money Line win, Ry McLoud over 34.5 receiving yards win, Mike Evans over 4.5 catches win.
Members-only best bets have been performing well, now back to 500 after a rough NFL week 1 and week 2.
The Rams +3.5 versus the Packers is the first best bet, sharp money is on the Rams, indicating a potential trap for the public.
Washington Redskins -2.5 versus Browns is a homer pick, based on Cleveland's injuries and dysfunction.
Analysis of Washington's team improvement under new leadership, including optimism for long-term success.
Over 48.5 points for Arizona vs. San Francisco, based on Arizona's weak defense and the 49ers' offensive strength.
Brock Purdy's performance for the 49ers has been strong, even without key offensive weapons in previous games.
Broncos -2.5 versus Raiders, based on Denver's momentum from recent wins and the Raiders' instability.
Devonte Adams trade rumors and Raiders' issues influencing the bet against them.
Dolphins Money Line versus Patriots, betting on Dolphins bouncing back after a poor Monday night game.
Patriots' offensive line struggles and lack of talent contributing to belief in Dolphins' easy win.
Historical analysis: Dolphins have dominated the Patriots over the last decade, even during Tom Brady's tenure.
ZDM Bets offers members-only best bets, with five NFL and one MLB pick for October 6th.
Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and other key Dolphins players expected to help secure a win against the Patriots.
Patriots' quarterback situation and offensive woes seen as major factors leading to predicted Dolphins victory.
Transcripts
Hello everybody welcome back to being
the odds it is Sunday October 6 2024 we
are back with our NFL Best Bets of the
day if you're new to the channel my name
is Zach and welcome to be Ys let's recap
Thursday's results so Thursday we a
great day went 3 in one Thursday members
only best bet Falcons money line that
was a win absolutely unbelievable game
wave of emotions especially on Twitter
um but hell an absolute hell of a win uh
for the Falcons and for us on members
only Best Bets under 44 and half tan B
Atlanta that was Dead on Arrival I mean
oh my God that was Dead on Arrival then
we had we hit both props Ry McLoud over
34 and a half receding yards win and
then Mike Evans was basically free money
we had over four and a half catches with
him I think we got that one in the third
quarter and after a disastrous and I
mean disastrous week one and week two of
the NFL season we're back to 500 and
we're back on the road to 60% like we
are with every other Sport and I'm
really excited to get back in the win
column today and we have a massive week
five in the NFL massive week five and
we've got six plays I mean five plays
I'm going to give you guys here on
YouTube uh we also have five members
only Best Bets in the NFL plus MLB
members only Best Bets so six in total
you can get all those at zdm bets.com
the website is linked in the pin comment
below six plays $65 get all the perks
and keep on winning cuz we've been
absolutely hammering members only three
in one in college football yesterday um
we've just been me for members only
excuse me 7 and3 overall having a great
members only season um but we have like
I said five plays I want to give you
guys here on YouTube today let's get
started with our first play which is
going be Rams plus three and a half
versus the Packers um first off the
sharp money's on the Rams this game is
stinky as hell the public is I mean they
are hammering the Packers every sucker
their mothers on the Packers here today
now granted listen the Packers I mean
they look good in the second half
against the Vikings but you could also
make a case that the Vikings took their
foot off the gas uh which is very very
possible and on top of that I don't know
if Jordan love trust his knee yet the
Rams are at home like kind of cuz again
like they're in La so they're not really
at home cu the Packers are going to take
over that stadium for sure but this just
makes I mean given where the Rams are
injury-wise and where the Packers are
injury wise I thought this game would be
more like a 5 and a half six point
spread the fact only three and a half
tells me that I think Vegas is laying a
trap for the public I'm rolled the Rams
plus three and a half versus the Packers
here today uh just off of where the
Public's going alone next going to the
Redskins minus 2 and a half versus the
Browns this is a complete Homer pi I'm
aware of that I don't give a
because it's going to win the fact is
the brown this brown team is ravaged by
injuries and Deshawn Watson's the
quarterback and amario Cooper wants out
and Nick chub isn't playing this is not
this is not a fair fight and the fact is
that Cleveland is a complete and utter
mess they look like my Redskins have
looked for the last 25 years just a
complete mess up and down up and down
they they look horrible um and listen
Cleveland plays a lot of manto man that
should feed right into King Cliff uh
Cliff cliff Cliff kingsberry system um
they're going to do a lot of Crossing
mesh patterns that are going to they're
going to pick off the Cleveland
Defenders they're going to run a lot of
go balls and if you put Terry mclen
one-on-one he's going to win that nine
out of 10 times he's an absolute dog and
Wasing him for the first time we have
like in my first time in my adult life
there's real optimism we've got a real
quarterback like we've got a real like
general manager and a real Coach a real
OC like like adults in the room it's
absolutely beautiful to see I think this
game is going to be a game where we look
back on in like at least Redskins lore
it's going to look like the 2012 season
in the stands where it's just packed
with nothing but skins fans There's real
optimism um and you know hopefully this
doesn't fall apart on our fans while
there but the fact is that Washington
we're at home we have the better
quarterback better coaching staff better
everything give me the Skins minus t out
versus the Browns now by the way I a lot
of books this is minus three I just
bought down Aus 2 and half cuz it's
only- 120 so that's well worth buying at
a half a point give me the Skins minus
two this game will be close by the way
this game will be close cuz that's just
what we that's what the Skins do but I'm
rolling with them here at minus 2 and a
half next go the over 48 and a half
Arizona and San Francisco Arizona's
defense is so bad they have no Talent
whatsoever on that side of the ball
while the Niners are while the Niners um
are offense is looking really good uh
Brock p is playing the best he's ever
play like that is that that is without
question he is playing I think he's
playing really really well um he's
throwing the ball down the field a lot
and he looked good without weapons I
mean like when he when Joan Jennings was
his number one receiver basically he
looked good which is which is a very
very big um a very very nice thing to
see for 49ers like front office in
particular um and plus George KD's back
um Debo's back they're going to have auk
Jawan Jennings looks great Jordan Mason
can fill the role uh right now while
McCaffrey's out um but the Niners
offensively is they're in a really good
position now the 49ers defensively are
not they do not look the same as last
year they look worse um and on top of
that Fred Warner is not going to play
and he's by I think I think he's the
best defensive player in football that
includes miles Garrett that includes TJ
watt like Fred Warner is a beast
if he's not top he's not number one he's
like top three at least and he's not
playing today which is obviously huge
for the Cardinals because they'll be
able to run the ball better with him not
in the middle if Trey McBride plays he's
going to have a better matchup and I
just really think Kyler is going to be
able to have success against te because
he's had success against the Niners in
the past offensively Maybe not winning
all those games but offensively he's
played unbelievably well and on top of
that he's a mobile quarterback that
gives good defenses trouble and the
Niners aren't as good as last year's
defense but they are still a really good
defense so I think this game's a really
high-scoring game I think it's an up and
down game the spread's a little weird to
me with a S and a half but I love the
over 48 and2 uh Arizona and San
Francisco next we the Broncos minus 2
and a half versus the Raiders uh this
game is gross um but the Raiders are a
complete mess very similar to Cleveland
um with the Adam you know with with with
Devonte Adam trade rumors he's gone by
the way like he's going to go I think
skinu try to get him but you know that's
just me being a fan uh Crosby Still out
Denver's at home coming off a nice win
against the Jets or gay law momentum
they smoked the Bucks as well which I
mean that's that's saying something the
Bucks are actually playing very well um
and the Broncos have the better coach
and quarterback and weapons um in this
spot plus they're at home in Mile High
coming off two wins so the home crowd's
going to be rabid I think the Broncos
win this game very comfortably and they
win this by game by 7 to 10 points we'll
see how how resilient this Raiders team
is but again they all they did was just
beat Cleveland last week and Cleveland
sucks so give me Broncos minus 2 and a
half versus the Raiders here today in a
divisional
matchup and then y'all we're going to go
with the most disgusting play that I've
had I think this entire NFL season this
game grosses me out more than any game I
have ever seen in my entire life and
it's going to be the Dolphins money line
right now versus the Patriots the
Dolphins are minus one versus the Pats
they got blown they got the doors blown
off them on Monday we had the Titans by
win that game plus two and a half they
were so bad and they're going to win
this game today and they're going to win
it comfortably the Patriots are the
worst team in the NFL there's no reason
on planet Earth this spread should be
this close even with Tyler Huntley as
quarterback they are so bad and the
dolphins with how bad they sucked on
Monday this is just they are due for a
bounceback here um especially being that
that embarrassing be on national
television and plus Tyler Huntley has
another opportunity well another week
excuse me to learn the Playbook get
plays he also got his first reps last
week he's going to play way better now
and by the way the dolphin still have
Tyreek Hill they still have Jaylen Wadd
they still have Devon aan they still
have really good players on the outside
I think that they can win this game by a
billion especially with the Patriots o
line being horrible I mean horrible
jacobe prette is is not is not a
starting quarterback in this league and
by the way for the record the Patriots
should not start Drake May under any
circum understand it's given how bad
this Patriots offensive line is cu
they're just going to kill him it's
going to be a Patrick Ramsey um David
Carr type deal where they just ruin a
good quarterback because they can't
protect him um they don't have any
weapons really on the outside with your
best weapon I think it's I don't even
know who their best weapon would be in
this specific maybe Demario Douglas I
mean that's a brutal brutal brutal
support system for a quarterback um and
the Dolphins historically the last 10
years have really actually owned the
Patriots and that's with Tom Brady
playing and I guarantee job per is not
Tom Brady so give me the Dolphins money
line this game is gross as but
we're going to take a win from it it's
give me the Dolphins m versus the Pats
now guys just so you all know all the
big games we have a members only not
because we own HDE them it's because
they're my favorite plays of the day you
all our members only Best Bets five of
them for NFL won the MLB you go to zdm
bets.com pii the website is linked in
the comments below but guys go lock in
those picks let's go win together it's
going to make some money I'll see you
all tomorrow
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