The Weather Is About To Change A TON...

Max Velocity - Severe Weather Center
28 Sept 202411:02

Summary

TLDRHurricane Helen has left a trail of destruction across the southeast US, causing catastrophic flooding and damage. The Ohio Valley continues to experience heavy rain and potential flooding. Meanwhile, the tropics are active with five areas monitored, including a potential Gulf of Mexico storm. The US weather pattern is unusually quiet for late September, with a ridge keeping most areas dry. However, concerns rise for a possible tropical system in the Gulf that could stall and intensify, following the landfall of four hurricanes this year.

Takeaways

  • 🌀 Hurricane Helen has left a trail of destruction across the southeast United States, causing catastrophic flooding and damage.
  • 💧 The Ohio Valley is still experiencing heavy rain and potential flooding due to Helen's remnants.
  • 🌊 There was significant storm surge and hurricane force winds along the Florida coastline during Helen's landfall.
  • 🌍 The tropics are currently very active with five different areas being monitored across the Atlantic Ocean.
  • 🌪️ There's a possibility of another tropical storm or hurricane developing in the Gulf of Mexico next week.
  • 🌧️ The weather pattern for the United States is unusually quiet for late September, with no major storms expected over the Rocky Mountains.
  • 🌡️ Temperatures are expected to be above average for most of the country, with cooler weather forecast for the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains.
  • 🌤️ The upcoming week will see a zonal flow pattern, which could lead to a tropical system stalling in the Gulf of Mexico if it develops.
  • 🌀 Hurricane Isaiah in the northern Atlantic Ocean is intensifying, while two new areas of development are being monitored in the Caribbean Sea and the main development region.
  • 📈 There's a high probability of a tropical storm or hurricane developing in the Gulf of Mexico next week, which could intensify if it stalls.

Q & A

  • What is the current status of Hurricane Helen?

    -Hurricane Helen has left a trail of destruction and damage across the southeast United States and is now a post-tropical cyclone causing rain and potential flooding in the Ohio Valley.

  • What areas were most affected by Hurricane Helen?

    -Areas like Georgia, South and North Carolina, and Florida experienced catastrophic flooding, dam failures, and damage along the shoreline due to storm surge and hurricane force winds.

  • Is there a possibility of another tropical storm or hurricane next week?

    -Yes, there is a potential for another tropical storm or hurricane developing in the Gulf of Mexico next week.

  • What is the current weather situation in the Ohio Valley?

    -The Ohio Valley is experiencing light to moderate rain due to a low-pressure system, with the possibility of brief spin-up or funnel cloud in West Virginia or Western Virginia.

  • How much rain is expected in the Ohio Valley?

    -Some areas in the Ohio Valley could pick up an additional tenth to an inch of rain, while others like Kentucky might receive a few more inches.

  • What is the general weather pattern for the United States in the coming days?

    -The weather pattern for the United States is expected to be quieter than usual for late September or early October, with ridging keeping a large part of the country dry.

  • Is there a specific area of concern for potential tropical development?

    -Yes, one area of concern is in the Northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, where there's an increasing chance of a tropical storm or hurricane developing.

  • What is the expected impact of the developing system in the Gulf of Mexico?

    -If the system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, it might stall in the Gulf of Mexico, potentially intensifying and posing a threat to the United States.

  • What other tropical systems are being monitored in the Atlantic Ocean?

    -Aside from the system in the Gulf of Mexico, there's Hurricane Isaiah in the northern Atlantic, two areas of development in the Central and Eastern Atlantic Ocean, and Tropical Storm Joyce.

  • What is the potential timeline for the development of the tropical system in the Caribbean Sea?

    -The tropical system in the Caribbean Sea is expected to develop sometime around Tuesday or Wednesday of the following week.

  • How can viewers stay updated on the latest weather forecasts?

    -Viewers are encouraged to subscribe to the channel for ongoing updates on weather forecasts, especially with the potential development of another hurricane.

Outlines

00:00

🌀 Hurricane Helen's Aftermath and Forecast

The video discusses the aftermath of Hurricane Helen, which has caused significant damage across the southeast United States, including catastrophic flooding in Georgia and North Carolina. The storm has moved on but continues to bring heavy rain and the risk of further flooding in the Ohio Valley. The forecaster also warns of a potentially new tropical storm or hurricane developing in the Gulf of Mexico next week. Meanwhile, the weather across the United States is expected to be relatively quiet, with the remnants of Helen affecting the weather over the next few days. However, there's a concern about a possible tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico that could stall and intensify, leading to a worst-case scenario.

05:00

🌦️ Tropical Activity and Temperature Trends

The script highlights the increased activity in the tropics with several areas being monitored across the Atlantic Ocean. Hurricane Isaiah is intensifying, and there are two new areas of concern in the Caribbean Sea and the Central and Eastern Atlantic Ocean. The forecaster emphasizes the potential threat to the United States if these systems develop into tropical storms or hurricanes. The weather pattern for the United States is expected to be zonal, which could lead to a tropical system stalling in the Gulf of Mexico, posing a significant risk. The script also discusses temperature trends, with cooler air expected to move into the Midwest, and above-average temperatures returning by the end of the week.

10:01

🌧️ Flood Warnings and Viewer Engagement

The video script concludes with a message to viewers in the Appalachian Mountains, particularly in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia, who are dealing with historic rainfall and flooding. The forecaster advises them to heed any flash flood warnings and stay safe. The script also acknowledges the recent surge in channel subscribers and expresses gratitude for the viewers' support. The forecaster anticipates more hurricane activity and promises to keep viewers updated.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Hurricane Helen

Hurricane Helen is a named tropical cyclone that has caused significant damage across the southeast United States. In the context of the video, it represents a major weather event that has led to destruction, flooding, and is a central focus of the weather forecast discussion. The script mentions the trail of damage left by Helen, emphasizing its impact on areas like Florida, Georgia, and the Carolinas.

💡Post-tropical cyclone

A post-tropical cyclone is a system that has transitioned from a tropical cyclone to an extratropical system, typically losing its tropical characteristics. The script refers to Hurricane Helen as a post-tropical cyclone over the Ohio Valley, indicating that while it is no longer a tropical storm, it continues to bring heavy rain and potential flooding to the region.

💡Tropical Storm

A tropical storm is a storm system characterized by a defined cyclonic circulation and sustained winds of less than 74 mph. The script discusses the potential for another tropical storm to develop in the Gulf of Mexico, which would be a significant weather event impacting the United States, similar to Hurricane Helen.

💡Gulf of Mexico

The Gulf of Mexico is a body of water that is a potential development area for tropical storms and hurricanes. In the video, it is highlighted as a region to watch for the possible formation of another tropical storm or hurricane, which could pose a threat to the United States, especially if it stalls and intensifies in the area.

💡Ohio Valley

The Ohio Valley is a region in the United States that includes the states along the Ohio River. In the script, it is mentioned as an area that will continue to experience rain and potential flooding due to the remnants of Hurricane Helen, illustrating the ongoing impact of the storm even after it has moved out of the southeastern states.

💡Dam failures

Dam failures refer to the catastrophic event where a dam collapses, leading to massive flooding. The script mentions dam failures in the context of the flooding caused by Hurricane Helen, highlighting the severe infrastructure damage and the broader consequences of such weather events.

💡Tropics

The tropics are the region of the Earth surrounding the equator, known for their warm temperatures and high humidity, which are conducive to the formation of tropical cyclones. The video discusses the 'tropics are exploding with activity,' indicating a high level of tropical cyclone formation, which is a central theme of the weather forecast.

💡Zonal flow

Zonal flow refers to the wind patterns that blow predominantly west to east in bands around the Earth. The script mentions a zonal flow pattern over Canada, which could affect the movement of tropical systems. If a tropical storm develops and encounters zonal flow, it might stall, potentially leading to intensified rainfall and flooding.

💡Ridging

Ridging refers to an elongated area of high atmospheric pressure. In the video, ridging is expected to keep a large part of the United States dry, as it implies the presence of a high-pressure system that can block moisture and prevent precipitation.

💡Landfall

Landfall is the point at which a storm or hurricane reaches land. The script discusses the damage caused by Hurricane Helen at landfall in Florida, emphasizing the destructive potential of such weather events when they make contact with land.

💡Trough

A trough is an elongated area of low atmospheric pressure. The video mentions a trough in Canada that could bring colder air to the Northern Plains and the Midwest, illustrating how troughs can influence temperature and weather patterns across different regions.

Highlights

Hurricane Helen has left a trail of destruction and damage across the southeast United States.

Helen continues as a post-tropical cyclone causing rain and potential flooding in the Ohio Valley.

There were numerous dam failures and catastrophic flooding in Georgia and the Carolinas.

Florida experienced significant damage from storm surge and hurricane force winds.

Helen is one of the most historic hurricanes ever covered.

There is a possibility of another tropical storm or hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico next week.

The tropics are currently very active with five different areas being monitored.

A low pressure system over the Ohio Valley will bring light to moderate rain.

There is a risk of funnel clouds in West Virginia and western Virginia.

Areas suffering from drought, like Ohio, will receive much-needed rain.

Western North Carolina may receive unwanted additional rain, exacerbating existing flooding.

The weather pattern for the United States will be quieter than usual for late September.

A trough in Canada will bring colder air to the Northern Plains and Midwest.

There are no imminent signs of a large storm affecting the Rocky Mountains.

The potential tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico could stall and intensify if it develops.

Most of the rain for the lower 48 states will be concentrated over the Ohio Valley this weekend.

Temperatures will remain below average in the Southeast and above average in the rest of the country.

Heat may build up in the Upper Midwest, potentially breaking record high temperatures.

The tropics are heating up with four areas of interest, including Hurricane Isaiah.

There is a high probability of a new tropical storm or hurricane developing in the Caribbean Sea.

The current weather pattern could lead to a tropical cyclone stalling in the Gulf of Mexico.

The GFS model suggests a developing hurricane could slowly move towards Florida or Southern Alabama.

The GFS Ensemble member run shows a wide range of possible scenarios for the developing storm.

There are ongoing flood warnings and dam failures in the Appalachian Mountains.

The channel has gained over 20,000 subscribers in the last 48 hours.

Hurricane season is not over, and there may be another landfalling hurricane in the United States soon.

Transcripts

play00:00

hey everybody and welcome back to

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another Max velocity weather forecast

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and finally we are done with now casting

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and we're back to actually forecasting

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weather because hurricane Helen is

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finally done here in the United States

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unfortunately this thing has left a

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trail of Destruction and damage across

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the southeast United States and it is

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still continuing today as at least a

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post-tropical cyclone back over here in

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the Ohio Valley where it's going to

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continue to dump plenty of rain and the

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potential even for some more flooding

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which is not what we need after what we

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saw yesterday there were tons of dam

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failures yesterday there was also just a

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catastrophic flooding across areas like

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Georgia South and North Carolina and

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then obviously on landfall in Florida it

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also caused a bunch of damage right

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along the shoreline with tons of storm

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surge and hurricane force winds so

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overall this system has caused a you

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know travesty when it comes to damage

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one of the most historic hurricanes that

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we've ever covered the good news is that

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it is winding down the bad news is that

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we could see something next week that

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could be another tropical Stormer

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hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico we're

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going to be talking more about that here

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in this forecast the tropics are

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exploding with activity right now we

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have five different areas that we're

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watching right now across the Atlantic

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Ocean and we're going to be breaking all

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these down for you in detail here in

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just a few minutes especially this one

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which might be another tropical Stormer

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hurricane that goes in the Gulf of

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Mexico this upcoming week but first

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let's talk more about the weather closer

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to home and right now we have the

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spinning low pressure system back over

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in the Ohio Valley which is going to

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continue to dump light to moderate rain

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throughout the day today today and as

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well as tomorrow I wouldn't R out a

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brief spin up maybe even a brief like

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funnel cloud back over here in West

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Virginia or Western even parts of

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Virginia but I think overall this is

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mostly just going to be a broad area of

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low pressure that's just going to bring

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some light to moderate rainfall even in

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areas like Ohio tomorrow could even pick

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up a little bit more rain and even back

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over in West Virginia for areas that

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desperately need rain especially with

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the drought they're in this will

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definitely help the bad news is that

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areas back over like Western North

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Carolina for example that don't need

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more rain are going to pick up up at

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least around another tenth of an inch to

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maybe another inch of rain now that

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might not sound like much but how much

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flooding is already there you know we

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just don't need rain in those areas many

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areas over there picked upwards of 25 in

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of rain up from this hurricane which is

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just unbelievable and so for the rest of

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the Ohio Valley over the next few days

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we are going to pick up a few more

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inches of rain especially in Kentucky

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other areas though still going to be

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dealing with upwards of a tenth to maybe

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even another inch of rain across much of

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the Ohio Valley now for the rest of the

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United States the weather pattern is

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going to be very interesting in over the

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next several days and it's not one you

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usually see at the end of September or

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even going into October it's going to

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actually be a somewhat quieter weather

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pattern we are going to be dealing with

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again the remnants of hen over the next

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few days but there's no current imminent

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signs that we are going to see a large

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you know storm or trough come over the

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Rocky Mountains what that essentially

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means is that we're going to have

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ridging in place and that's going to

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keep a large chunk of the United States

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dry throughout the upcoming week here's

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what it looks like by Monday into

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Tuesday there will be a trough back all

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all the way up in Canada that's actually

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going to bring some colder air into

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areas like the Northern Plains in the

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midwest so that'll bring at least some

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relief for those that have been dealing

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with the heat recently but unfortunately

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we're not really going to get much rain

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out of that for those in the midwest

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once we go later into the week this is

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where things get a little bit more

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concerning I think if we do get a

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tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico we

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might have a very zonal flow pattern

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back over up in Canada what that

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essentially means is that there's really

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no troughing and this would basically

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mean that there's nothing really picking

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up any sort of tropical storms or

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Hurrican if one does come towards the

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United States that means if we do get

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something that develops in the Gulf of

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Mexico late next week that might stall

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in the gulf and actually intensify we

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will have to watch this very closely

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especially since we've already had four

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different hurricanes make landfall in

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the United States this year Barrel

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Francine Debbie and as well as now Helen

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which was obviously a category 4

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hurricane now over the next several days

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for the entire lower 48 most of the rain

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is going to be sitting over the Ohio

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Valley this weekend so if you have any

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plans there it's going to be cloud rainy

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and also a bit windy once we go into

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Monday into Tuesday that trough will

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make a close pass by into the Upper

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Midwest but again not really expecting

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much rain out of that but there will be

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some Colder Weather if you're back over

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in the Upper Midwest which will be a

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little bit nice rain's going to pick up

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on Wednesday in the Northeast areas on

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the west coast continue to stay dry and

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as we go into Thursday and as well as

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into Friday we're still watching for a

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very dry weather pattern for most of the

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country and then next weekend will be

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the time where we have to watch for

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maybe some sort of tropical storm or

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hurricane to develop in the Gulf of

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Mexico which we're going to talk again

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more about here in just a minute as a

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reminder if you are new to the channel

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make sure to subscribe again we'll be

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continuing to keep you post with the

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weather across the entire lower 48 now

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here's the latest in terms of the

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temperatures over the next few days cold

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weather is going to continue back over

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in the Southeast or at least below

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average temperatures remainder of the

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country is going to continue to stay

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above average as we're just not really

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seeing anything when it comes to

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activity with low pressure systems once

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we go into Monday and Tuesday of next

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week that heat continues to build we

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could be talking about some

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record-breaking High temperatures in the

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Upper Midwest and back into Canada and

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then once we go later into the week

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again notice that cooler air moving into

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the Midwest that'll cool things down

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just a little bit as we go into Tuesday

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and Wednesday right around and just

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below average for temperatures and then

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by Thursday and Friday the above average

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temperatures return to the entire

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country for the most part The Only

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Exception more than likely being the

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Pacific Northwest now let's talk about

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the tropics they are heating up very

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fast we have again four different areas

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really that we're watching Helen would

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be the fifth but we're kind of done with

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Helen it's mostly just rain at this

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point we have hurricane Isaiah back over

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in the northern Atlantic Ocean which has

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actually been intensifying over the last

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24 hours and then we have two new

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oranges that you can see here we have

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one back over in the Northwestern

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Caribbean Sea into the Gulf of Mexico

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and then another area of development

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back over here in the Central and

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Eastern Atlantic Ocean back over in the

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main development region these two are

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the ones that we're watching for the

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closest one reason why is cuz the one in

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the Caribbean Sea is going to more than

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likely pose a threat to the United

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States if it develops into a tropical

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storm or hurricane which the odds of

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that are increasing the other one back

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out here in the main development region

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more than likely going to become some

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sort of hurricane as we go into next

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week not currently expected to impact

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the United States but it might even

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become a major hurricane as it moves

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into parts of the Atlantic Ocean not a

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guarantee yet but definitely something

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we're watching we also have tropical

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storm joist we're not forgetting about

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that one but again it looks like that

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one's going to be a fish storm as it

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continues to move off to the north now I

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do want to reiterate with the current

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weather pattern that we're expecting

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next week across the entire United

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States we are more than likely going to

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have a zonal flow which means if any

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sort of tropical Cyclone does develop

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there's probably not going to be much

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steering it which means that if

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something develops we could see it stall

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somewhere in the Gulf of Mexico which

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would basically be worst case scenario

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because we would definitely see an

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intensifying tropical storm or hurricane

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which could even become something more

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major if that does happen as we go into

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next week so we are watching this very

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very closely with this current weather

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pattern that's being forecasted now on

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the flip side of things this is what it

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looks like across the entire Atlantic

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Ocean over the next few days notice

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Isaiah that is going to continue to move

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off to the east we are also watching

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Joyce which is expected to weaken over

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the next few days not really intensify

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once we go down to Tuesday into

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Wednesday we're going to be watching

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this area back over in the Central

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American gy for a new tropical system to

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try to develop this is exactly where

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Helen developed by the way so it's a

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very familiar you know territory at this

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point and then this would be our next

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upcoming hurricane which would more than

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likely I think develop sometime by about

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Tuesday or Wednesday of next week by

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Thursday and Friday we're watching

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really two different areas again we got

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that intensifying hurricane in the main

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development region then we got that

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Cyclone that's going to try to develop

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in the Caribbean Sea here's where things

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become more concerning obviously the

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energy that's in the Gulf of Mexico has

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been used up quite a bit but if this

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does go more to the West it would be

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able to have a much better chance

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basically of intensifying due to the

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environment not really being used up

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recently by any sort of Hurricane

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meaning the water's still very warm and

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whatnot so by Thursday and Friday notice

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how this continues to move into the Gulf

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of Mexico by Friday into Saturday the

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GFS model has this very slowly moving

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which again would mean we would see

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something really intensify I think and

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then by Sunday and Monday this actually

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has making landfall Somewhere Over Again

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basically in Florida or Southern Alabama

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or Mississippi as a hurricane now again

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this is one model run the GFS has been

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all over the place with location of this

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making landfall and also intensity so

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this is not set in stone but it is

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something we're going to be watching for

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and there is a you know strong

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probability I would say of this

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developing into something as we go into

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next week this is the GFS Ensemble

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member run it gives you an idea of

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essentially what this system could do

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with a bunch of different computer

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models all embedded into one graphic

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this is by Tuesday into Wednesday

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multiple Ensemble members have now

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caught on to the potential for an

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intensifying tropical storm as we go

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into Wednesday of next week in the

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Northwestern Caribbean Sea by the time

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we go into Thursday this continues to

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move through the Yucatan Channel or

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potentially into the Yucatan Peninsula

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or Cuba kind of somewhere in that area

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by Thursday and then by Friday The

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Ensemble members are very split when it

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comes to both intensity and as well as

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where this will be located some of them

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have this as you know strong as a cat 2

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hurricane back over in the Southeastern

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Gulf of Mexico a few of which also have

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this as a tropical storm moving towards

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areas like Louisiana but I think the

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biggest story I think with this if it

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does develop is how it might stall in

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the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday into

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Sunday and it might actually intensify

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further this group of onsemble members

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right here indicating more of a cat 2

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cat 3 Type hurricane back over just

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south of Louisiana but again a lot of

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these on solo members as well are not

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showing anything really other than just

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maybe a weak tropical storm or even to

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depression so there is obviously a wide

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range of scenarios that could happen if

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this does develop but it is obviously

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trending towards a bit more of a

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concerning side of things because this

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is not a signal that you want to see

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obviously we just had a KAG storm which

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is a Central American G storm literally

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just happened Leen was that and we could

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see another one so this is not something

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that you want to be seeing but again

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we're going to continue to keep with the

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latest on this we'll have another video

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talking about this tomorrow in more

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detail if it is still a concern so make

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sure that you are subscribed to the

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channel aside from the actual

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forecasting I do want to talk about my

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friends over in the Appalachian

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Mountains anywhere North Carolina South

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Carolina and Georgia we just got done

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with a historic rainfall event but it's

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still not over there are still lots of

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flood warnings in those areas with a lot

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of flooding right now so again make sure

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that you're heating any flash flood

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warnings at all it is still a very

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dangerous situation as there are still

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Dam failures ongoing and there have been

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obviously damn failures already that

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have happened so make sure that you are

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staying safe there and again prayers to

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anybody that's been impacted by this

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catastrophic flooding event in the

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Southeast and a huge shout out to

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anybody that's subscribed to the channel

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over the last couple of days we've

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gained over 20,000 subscribers in the

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matter of about 48 hours so again I

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appreciate you guys all tuning into to

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the channel again it's been crazy with

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hurricane Helen and I do expect that

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this hurricane season is not over and we

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might be live again here soon for

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another landfalling hurricane in the

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United States and again we'll be here

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for you if that does end up happening

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thank you so much for watching make sure

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hit the like button down below and

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subscribe if you've not already

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Etiquetas Relacionadas
Weather ForecastHurricane HelenSoutheast USFlood WarningsTropical StormGulf of MexicoOhio ValleyMax VelocityClimate UpdateStorm Surge
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