Editorial With Sujit Nair | Mistakes BJP Made In Maharashtra | NDA | Mahayuti
Summary
TLDRIn this editorial, the focus is on the political landscape of Maharashtra, India, highlighting the Bharatiya Janata Party's (BJP) strategic errors from 2014 to 2024. The video discusses how the BJP's overconfidence, perceived arrogance, and the controversial split of the Shiv Sena party led to a significant decline in their popularity and electoral success. It also touches on the role of Sharad Pawar and the potential for further political realignments before the upcoming assembly elections. The narrative promises to delve deeper into these dynamics and their implications in a subsequent episode.
Takeaways
- 📈 The editorial discusses the significant mistakes made by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Maharashtra, which could impact their future election outcomes.
- 🤝 The BJP's partnership with the Shiv Sena, traditionally the dominant party in Maharashtra, started deteriorating after the 2014 elections.
- 💼 Devendra Fadnavis emerged as a strong BJP leader in Maharashtra, becoming the Chief Minister and leading the party from 2014 to 2019.
- 🚫 In 2019, overconfidence and perceived arrogance from Fadnavis and other BJP leaders led to a decline in their popularity among Maharashtra voters.
- 📉 The BJP's decision to break the Shiv Sena by supporting Eknath Shinde's faction was a critical mistake that led to a significant loss of public support.
- 👎 Maharashtra voters were displeased with the BJP's role in splitting the Shiv Sena, which they viewed as a betrayal of democratic principles.
- 🗳️ The BJP's alliance with figures from the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP), who were previously labeled as corrupt, further damaged their image in Maharashtra.
- 💥 The editorial suggests that the BJP's missteps, including the splitting of the Shiv Sena, contributed to their poor performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
- 🔍 The discussion also highlights how Sharad Pawar of the NCP may have benefited strategically from the political turmoil and splits within the BJP and its allies.
- 🔮 The editorial ends by questioning whether the BJP-NCP-Shiv Sena alliance will remain intact before the upcoming assembly elections, hinting at potential further splits.
Q & A
What was the main issue with the BJP's strategy in Maharashtra leading up to the 2014 elections?
-The main issue was the BJP's overconfidence and arrogance, exemplified by Devendra Fadnavis's premature declaration of victory and the party's perceived disregard for its traditional ally, Shiv Sena, which led to a shift in their alliance dynamics.
How did the 2014 Assembly Election results impact the relationship between BJP and Shiv Sena in Maharashtra?
-The 2014 Assembly Election results, where BJP won 122 seats and Shiv Sena won 63, led to a shift in power dynamics. BJP, riding on the Narendra Modi wave, began to challenge Shiv Sena's dominance, leading to tensions and a change in their traditionally cooperative relationship.
What was the role of Devendra Fadnavis in the BJP's governance in Maharashtra from 2014 to 2019?
-Devendra Fadnavis played a pivotal role as the Chief Minister of Maharashtra from 2014 to 2019. He was seen as a powerful leader with full autonomy from the central BJP leadership, focusing on growth and development rather than communal issues.
What were the key mistakes made by the BJP that contributed to their decline in Maharashtra?
-The key mistakes included overconfidence leading up to the 2019 elections, mishandling of the 2019 floods, and the perception of arrogance. Additionally, the party's decision to split from Shiv Sena and form a government with NCP members in 2022 was seen negatively by the public.
How did the public's perception of BJP change after the 2022 political developments in Maharashtra?
-The public's perception of BJP turned negative, especially after the party's involvement in splitting Shiv Sena and forming a government with NCP members, which was seen as a betrayal of democracy and a mockery of the people's mandate.
What was the impact of the 2024 Lok Sabha election results on BJP's standing in Maharashtra?
-The 2024 Lok Sabha election results were disastrous for BJP in Maharashtra, where they won only nine seats, a significant drop from their previous victories. This was largely due to the public's anger towards the party's political maneuvers and perceived arrogance.
What is the historical significance of Maharashtra in Indian politics as mentioned in the script?
-Maharashtra is historically significant as the cradle of Indian politics, having produced key figures like Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar, Gopal Krishna Gokhale, and L. Manas, who laid the foundation for democracy in India. The state takes its democratic values seriously and was deeply affected by the perceived undermining of these values by political parties.
How did the split within Shiv Sena and the formation of a new party impact Maharashtra's political landscape?
-The split within Shiv Sena and the formation of a new party led by Eknath Shinde, who joined hands with BJP, created a significant shift in Maharashtra's political landscape. This move was met with public disapproval and is believed to have contributed to BJP's poor performance in the 2024 elections.
What is the significance of the 'laughing' incident involving the Chief Minister and Devendra Fadnavis in Maharashtra politics?
-The 'laughing' incident, where the Chief Minister and Devendra Fadnavis were seen mocking the split in Shiv Sena, became a symbol of disrespect for democracy and the voters. This incident significantly damaged the image of both BJP and Devendra Fadnavis in the eyes of the public.
What are the potential implications of the political developments in Maharashtra for the upcoming Assembly elections?
-The political developments, including the split in Shiv Sena and the public's negative perception of BJP, could lead to a significant shift in the upcoming Assembly elections. There is speculation about potential further splits or realignments within the political parties before the elections, which could reshape the political landscape of Maharashtra.
Outlines
📜 Introduction to Maharashtra Politics
The video script begins with an introduction to an editorial discussing the political landscape of Maharashtra, India. The speaker promises a detailed analysis of the mistakes made by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the state, which allegedly cost them the Lok Sabha elections and could potentially affect the assembly elections. The editorial is set to be a comprehensive guide to Maharashtra politics, covering the period from 2014 to 2024, and is divided into two parts. The first part focuses on the BJP's mistakes, while the second part will discuss the role of Sharad Pawar and the possibility of a split in the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Maharashtra.
🔍 The Shift in BJP's Strategy and its Consequences
The second paragraph delves into the political strategy of the BJP under the leadership of Devendra Fadnavis during the 2014 Maharashtra Assembly elections. It discusses how the party decided to challenge the long-standing dominance of Shiv Sena and contest the majority of the seats independently. This move led to a split in their alliance, with Shiv Sena aligning with the BJP post-elections to form a government, where Shiv Sena played a junior role. The paragraph also highlights how Fadnavis's leadership was instrumental in the BJP's rise in Maharashtra, with the party focusing on growth and development rather than communalism.
🌪 The Downfall of BJP in Maharashtra
The third paragraph outlines the factors that contributed to the BJP's decline in Maharashtra. It starts with the overconfidence displayed by Fadnavis before the 2019 elections, which was perceived negatively by the public. Additionally, the paragraph discusses the impact of the floods in the state and the party's perceived arrogance, leading to a shift in public perception. The narrative continues with the BJP's victory in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections and the subsequent assembly elections, where despite winning a significant number of seats, the party's image began to suffer due to internal conflicts and strategic missteps.
🏆 The Rise of Uddhav Thackeray and BJP's Mistakes
This paragraph highlights the rise of Uddhav Thackeray as a popular leader during his tenure as Chief Minister, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. It contrasts this with the BJP's strategic errors, including the decision to split the Shiv Sena party, which led to a significant backlash from the public. The paragraph discusses how the BJP's actions, particularly the visual of their leaders laughing about the split, damaged their image and support base in Maharashtra. It also sets the stage for the discussion in the next episode about the BJP's further mistakes and the potential for a split in the NDA before the upcoming assembly elections.
🏛 The Impact of Democracy and Corruption on BJP's Fortunes
The fifth paragraph provides a deeper understanding of Maharashtra's political culture and its aversion to perceived undermining of democratic principles. It discusses how the BJP's actions, including the split of Shiv Sena and the alliance with NCP despite past corruption allegations, affected their public image. The paragraph also touches on the broader implications of these actions on the BJP's performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, suggesting that the party's fortunes were significantly impacted by their handling of political alliances and the public's perception of their integrity.
📲 Closing Remarks and Preview of Next Episode
The final paragraph serves as a conclusion to the current episode and a preview for the next. It summarizes the key points discussed so far, including the BJP's strategic missteps and their impact on the party's political standing in Maharashtra. The speaker also teases the upcoming discussion about Sharad Pawar's role and the potential for further splits in the political alliances before the assembly elections. The paragraph ends with a call to action for viewers to download a news app for a smarter and faster news experience.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Maharashtra Politics
💡BJP
💡Shiv Sena
💡NCP
💡Alliance Split
💡Lok Sabha Elections
💡Overconfidence
💡Chief Minister
💡Corruption
💡Public Perception
💡Assembly Elections
Highlights
Introduction to the editorial discussing the political landscape of Maharashtra and the BJP's mistakes.
Analysis of the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance and its impact on Maharashtra politics.
Discussion on the possibility of a split in the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance in Maharashtra.
Historical overview of Maharashtra politics from 2000 onwards, focusing on the dominance of Shiv Sena and BJP.
The rise of Narendra Modi and its influence on Maharashtra's political dynamics.
2014 Assembly Election results and the shift in power dynamics within the BJP and Shiv Sena.
Devendra Fadnavis's leadership and its effect on BJP's popularity in Maharashtra.
The 2019 Lok Sabha election results and the BJP's overwhelming victory.
The aftermath of the 2019 Assembly Elections and the formation of the Maha Vikas Aghadi government.
Uddhav Thackeray's popularity as Chief Minister and his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The BJP's strategic error in splitting the Shiv Sena and its consequences.
The public's reaction to the perceived arrogance of the BJP and its impact on the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
The role of regional issues like the Maratha agitation in influencing the political scenario.
The BJP's decline in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and the factors contributing to it.
The public's perception of the BJP's actions as an insult to democracy and its electoral implications.
预告下一集内容:探讨Sharad Pawar的角色以及BJP是否能够从分裂他的党派中获益。
预告下一集内容:讨论在马哈拉施特拉邦议会选举前,NDA或Maha Vikas Aghadi是否会分裂。
Transcripts
namaskar welcome to another episode of
editorial today is a very longish
editorial so bear with me but it's going
to be interesting I promise you that's
one number two is today I talk about um
the mistakes btia Jan party made in
Maharashtra the mistake that costed them
Lok SAA and the mistake that could
possibly also caus them assembly
elections so that's what we are going to
talk about we are also going to discuss
whether is there a possibility of
bhattia janata party and NCP Shi
Alliance splitting in Maharashtra so
it's a it's a longest topic it's a lot
of stories it's a it's going to be a
beginner's guide to Maharashtra politics
we are going to go into depth about
Maharashtra politics like I said going
to be interesting but slightly longish
so what we intend to do is we'll do it
in two parts
first part we will cover the mistakes
committed by bhattia janata party in
Maharashtra we will talk about the
superar of bhara janata party and bhara
janata party's image taking a nose Drive
in Maharashtra and in the next episode
we will talk
about the role sharat Paar played the
role sharat PA played and the advantage
that sharat Paar got out of all of this
that happened between 2014 and 2024
that's what we'll talk about and then we
will discuss whether is there a
possibility of a split in mahui or NDA
of Maharashtra that is BJP shiena and U
NCP in Maharashtra is there a
possibility of a split that's my
editorial let's get right to the
show let's start from the beginning
let's understand what Maharashtra
politics is was and could be all this we
will talk today and then we will come to
our question whether NDA or mahui as it
is called in Maharashtra whether NDA
will see a split before the assembly
elections so let's start from the
beginning you see first and foremost is
Maharashtra there were two sets of
parties one was the bhattia janata party
and
shivaa and in this bhartia janata party
and Shiva yti or this this partnership
shivaa was the dominant political party
mind you when it came to Maharashtra on
the other hand there was NCP nationalist
congress party and Congress this is that
is your Indian National Congress this
was the second set and I'm talking about
two 2000 onwards I'm not talking about
old story I'm talking to you about 2004
2009 onwards story so this is how
Maharashtra looked one where shiena was
dominant and sha btia janata party
second where where
Congress was kind of dominant but shat
PA was equally dominant and you had the
NCP Congress Yi so this was how
Maharashtra looked this was true till
2014 now starts the
story in
2014 bhattia janata party mind you
before till then had no great face in
Maharashtra they had promod Mahajan who
passed away they had gopinath Mund who
incidentally passed away in 2014 so
there was no major uh major leaders BJP
leaders in
Maharashtra uh and shivaa also had lost
balasai takre by then so it was udh
takre who was now on the chair and that
was how the situation was as far as BJP
shiena is concerned and Congress
Congress was battered battered in 2014
was battered by Mr Anna aare who thought
of anti-corruption and who wanted to
fight anti-corruption all then and after
that of course he forgot about it but
then he was fighting anti-corruption and
all and of course Mr Arin krial was with
him and all of that was happening so
Congress NCP was
almost they almost knew that they are
not going to come back and as far as BJP
is concerned BJP was riding on the
Narendra Modi
wave now first thing that happened in
2014 first thing that happened in 2014
is a new
leadership and under the leadership the
new leader ship which was dendra Fat's
leadership and under dendra Fat's
leadership btia janata party started
thinking why should we give shiena the
Big Brother treatment balasai Tak is no
more now the big draw is Mr Narendra
Modi Narendra Modi is a BJP man why give
too much impetus to shivaa so 2014
Assembly
Election Mr dendra
told brother and brother that
it now we will get the majority Stakes
as far as uh assembly elections are
concerned we will fight the majority
seats you fight the minority seats sh
said what is wrong with you how can that
be we have always fought you know Lo SAA
you got the majority Vian SAA we got the
majority why why are you changing the
games of the rules but said boss yeah is
over so now what happened in 2014 BJP
got 122 seats just almost 288 is the
total strength and 145 is the magic
number so so somewhere down the line BJP
got 122 sha came up with 63 Inc Indian
National Congress got 42 NCP got 41 so
this was what the state is and mind you
they were fighting separately now in the
assembly elections UD Tak was not
fighting with dendra patn then there was
this whole Theory whether shiv will join
shiv will not join shivana wants to join
shiv doesn't want to join in the
meantime BJP said you want to join or
not I am going to start they went up
they they took oath and dendra was made
the first Chief Minister of bhattia
janata party in Maharashtra after that
shat PA who's always known to be
absolutely uh brilliant in capitalizing
on opportunities shat said problem we
are supporting you unconditionally you
take our support and you stand you run
your party no problem we will
unconditionally support you okay and
uh sh till then was not very comfortable
but take yes no yes no yes no finally
compromise happened sha joined aligned
with their 25y old partner that is bhara
janata Party formed the government she
was was the junior party very very
Junior party with no major portfolios
and all so Shiana was the junior party
btia janata party ruled and all of a
sudden dendra fnav became a huge leader
first time such popular Dynamic powerful
leader from bhartia janata party in
Maharashtra that is dendra pavz now let
me tell you something about dendra fnav
regime from 2014 to 2019
you see dendra fnav was one of the most
powerful Chief ministers that
Maharashtra actually ever saw because
what used to happen is I'll tell you
what used to happen is most of the
Congress Chief
ministers most of the Congress chief
minister had their Central Command
guiding them so a lot of decisions were
made by the high command in Delhi for
Maharashtra so the Maharashtra chief
minister end of the day was reporting
into high
command as far as shivaa chief minister
happened Naran R and Manor josi there to
Bas Tak was controlling their decision
and he openly said the remote control is
with me but somehow Mr Narendra Modi had
tremendous Trust on dendra fnav and one
is told that dendra fnav had full
freedom to go and do what he wants in
Maharashtra and to a very major extent
he did a good job from 2014 to
2019 he was focused on growth he didn't
divert too much in communalism and all
of that he was focused on growth mind
you I'm talking about 2014 to
2019 now came
2019
and bhartia janata party started
committing a few grave errors
error number one
[Applause]
this the Arrogant overconfident dendra
FZ went out and said
me I will come back I will come back
which which means he almost anticipated
he almost concluded the result before
the voters before the before the actual
voting everything he concluded he said
I'm coming back like it or not I'm
coming back now this was clubbed with a
lot of other things too this was clubbed
with a few raids which happened to
people like Hassan mush ironically asan
mush currently is with bhartia janata
party's NDA or whatever mauti and all
that so a couple of raids and all of
that that was one grave error because
people in MRA started wondering
thata but the chief minister is over
confident that he will come back anyway
T that was one point the second point
was another Factor where there was
floods in Maharashtra and the number two
the person who was seen as number two of
bhara
this was a reaction from
[Applause]
him this was a reaction from him when uh
farmer actually wanted to know more
about what flood relief is that farmer
going to get and the minister said wait
there this actually these pictures these
images started ping the Maharashtra
bhara janata party as an arrogant party
something similar to what happened in
2024 with Bara janata party nationally
people started perceiving Bara janata
party to be an arrogant party this was
the beginning of the fall of bhartia
janata party in Mahar ra now to be fair
to them bhartia janata party in loksabha
sweeped loksabha in 200 19 BJP won 23
seats in the loks SAA sha who was
fighting with BJP won 18 Indian National
Congress won NCP 4 so 41 out of 48 seats
was with the bhartia janata party shivaa
so they did well but when it came to
assembly things were not very good but
Bara janata party won 105 remember
earlier on they had won 122 they won 105
shiena of course the number of seats
contested then was also more that two
has to be taken into consideration sha
won 56 Indian National Congress won 44
and NCP W
54 now this was the point in time where
there was a lot of talks of NCP and uh
and BJP coming together NCP trying to
you know kind of wo BJP and uh try to
make make a party try and throw out shua
BJP seems to have said no we will not
throw out sha and then you know finally
the deal in workout and shua and BJP
were together as it was NCP and Congress
was together as it was and
finally shivaa decided to take revenge
Shiva decided to take revenge and after
the election after the assembly election
where shua and BJP fought together where
technically they could have won won 161
seats and I told you the magic number
was 145 they won 161 seats and UD
Tak post the poll said I don't want to
be partners with you because you had
told me that you will make me the chief
minister which was always the deal
because right from time in Memorial the
assembly was ours and lo SAA was yours
me assembly was sha and Loa was BJP now
you changed you changed because that
time helped you now I'm changing because
that this time it is helping me I am not
going to join with you I would rather go
with Congress and NCP form something
called as
mahavi and form the government and
actually that is what happened in
2019 tables turned and mavas aari came
into existence shivaa NCP and Congress
came together and bhartia janata party
who mind you had had had actually
declined ncp's offer to come together
because they thought that they should
not ditch their old partner shiena they
were all alone and these three people
came together formed a government now
things took a different turn from there
udav takre was perceived to be a very
popular chief minister people liked udav
takre that was the time of covid and
during covid UD takre would come in
front of his people in Maharashtra and
he would sit and talk to people in
Maharashtra he was very transparent
about whatever is happening in
Maharashtra so people liked him whether
his administration was good bad ugly and
all is not what I'm trying to say I'm
not judging anything I'm just telling
you what happened lame man uh like I
told you I going to tell you what
exactly the story happened people
started liking UD Tak TK but there was
also a bunch of people who had
tremendous amount of sympathy for Bara
janata party tremendous amount of
sympathy why because shaa had ditched
Bara janata party and actually they had
this split was after it was it was a
pre-o Alliance but they split after the
polls once they won the
numbers so things were standing as is
and
then then the biggest mistake that BJP
should have never done in Maharashtra
happened look at this shot B CC
[Applause]
he shivaa was split Shiva was split akna
shind was pulled out a lot of people who
joined akna shind didn't from shivaa
didn't join because they were in line
with akna sh's ideology and all that
they joined akna shind because they
would be safe from Ed and it and and and
that is why people joined people like
pratab sik Etc joined them because it is
a safe so they joined him and shivaa was
split akna shind went and joined hands
with bhartia janata party they formed
the new government so the shivaa the
actual name and style of shivaa was
given nna shind now the election
commission granted that and the Shiva
bhartia janata party Alliance happened
and they formed the government in
2022 the reason I wanted you to see that
picture
wherein the chief minister the current
chief minister was seen as laughing
about how he managed to break shiena he
managed to take almost 40 mlas with him
from
Shiva that picture was something that
Maharashtra didn't expect and
Maharashtra didn't accept either they
didn't expect it they didn't accept it
you see when I went around just before
2024 elections I went around to vid to
to West Mar asra and some parts of Conan
to do my little research on what things
are and how things are we realized that
one of the things that came through very
clearly is this particular shot every
farmer every rural maharash especially
that one spoke to remembered that shot
where they were laughing in the assembly
about how they split a political party
which the people had
elected somewhere down the line the
people people believed that the joke was
not on Shiva the joke was on the
voter that one shot and dendra fnav seen
as The Mastermind who was sitting next
to him and made all this happen was not
seen very fairly this man called dendra
f whose popularity had shot up and he
had actually become a very very popular
leader in Maharashtra his popularity
started nose diving this possibly was
one of the biggest reasons why what
happened in 2024 happened the the
bhartia janata party that had won 23
seats in 2014 Loa election the btia
janata party that had won 23 seats in
2019 elections Loa elections one that
same Bara janata party won nine seats
nine seats not even double nine seats in
the Loa election in
2024 btia janata party crashed bhartia
janata party was destroyed and mind you
in our qualitative research that we did
people were not so much so anti-
Narendra Modi or angry with Narendra
Modi as much possibly they were angry
with the Maharashtra bhartia janata
party and especially Mr dendra f
there was anger amongst people now to
understand why exactly
maharash refused btia janata party I
need to take you through a small
background of Maharashtra you see
Maharashtra if you go to see is the
Cradle of Indian politics mind you
Maharashtra is a land that gave birth to
people like Dr babasai edar to people
like gopal Krishna go the political Guru
of Mahatma Gandhi to people like L Mana
tur these are people who laed the
foundation of democracy in India
Maharashtra doesn't take its democracy
lightly and that same Maharashtra felt
insulted when they saw these ministers
the chief minister dendra fnav sitting
there and laughing about how the Destro
destroyed democracy in Maharashtra while
to be very fair shivas too breached the
tenants of democracy in Maharashtra sha
to Bree the tenant when they jumped from
a preo alliance with bhattia janata
party and joined hands with Congress and
NCP they did that but the point is the
visual that went through the visual of
the sitting chief minister mocking the
split in the party and dendra fnav who
was seen as The Mastermind this visual
actually damaged dendra fnav and btia
janata party more than anybody else the
advantage that BJP could have got
because of what Shi did to them in
2019 by by breaching their pre-o
Alliance the advantage and the sympathy
that BJP could have got BJP lost it by
breaking Shiva in 2022 2024 BJP had to
pay the price possibly BJP would have
done much better in 2024 had they gone
alone than what they did by splitting
Shiva and
NCP adding to all of this Zang pel and
marata arakan agitation took a huge toll
on btia janata party's prospects in
loksabha and finally bhartia janata
party and their NDA or whatever Maui was
had to face a very very humiliating
defeat in the Lok SAA
2024 you see another reason why people
were not very very comfortable with BJP
and people were not very happy with BJP
is because after a few few days after
the prime minister of India had said
that the most corrupt party 75,000 cror
of
corruption
NCP NCP
[Music]
State Cooperative Bank
goala Maharashtra Cai gotala
the party which has done is NCP they
broke NCP bhia janata party managed to
break NCP and take people like Ajit
pawar take people like pul Patel who are
allegedly seen as the most corrupt
people in NCP all those most corrupt
faces were taken into BJP or the BJP
aligned with them we spoke about the
mistakes that btia janata party made in
2014 to 2019 and till 2022 the mistakes
that Bara janata party made now tomorrow
let us talk in our second episode about
sharat Chandra Paar what happened when
bhattia janata party tried
to split or take advantage of sharat
Chandra pawar did BJP manage to take
advantage of sharat Chandra Paar by
splitting his party or was sharat Paar
trying to actually ensure he gets the
benefit of his party being
split this is what we'll discuss
tomorrow we'll also discuss tomorrow
whether before the assembly elections
which they say could happen between any
anytime between November and December
before the assembly elections in
Maharashtra will there be a split in NDA
or mahui that is the BJP shivaa NCP
combined will there be a split this is
what we will talk in my tomorrow's
episode so see you tomorrow at 10 p.m.
namaskar stay ahead with our Cutting
Edge news app instantly access the
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[Music]
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Perspective : Assembly Elections 2023 | 18 January, 2023
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