ICT's 2022 Mentorship Program - Lesson Six Review

Paul Le Roy
19 Apr 202221:45

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Paul reviews ICT's 2022 mentorship program, focusing on fair value gaps and market structure shifts. He explains the principles behind ICT's trading approach, emphasizing trading against retail sentiment and aligning with institutional strategies. Paul illustrates how to identify bullish and bearish fair value gaps using the three-candle formation and discusses optimal entry points. He also covers market structure shifts, detailing how to spot and capitalize on them for trading opportunities. The video concludes with insights on managing exits, advocating for taking partial profits over rolling stops, and using the range of the day to determine exit points.

Takeaways

  • 📊 The video provides an in-depth review of ICT's 2022 mentorship program, focusing on fair value gaps and market structure shifts.
  • 📈 ICT's trading philosophy is based on internalizing price delivery and understanding the behavior of retail and institutional traders.
  • 🔍 The video explains that retail traders often follow patterns or indicators, while institutional traders focus on time and price.
  • 📉 The concept of 'fair value gap' is introduced as a three-candle formation that signals potential market movements.
  • 💹 The 'bullish fair value gap' is identified by a strong upward movement after a dip into sell-side liquidity, typically near previous lows.
  • 📌 The 'bearish fair value gap' is identified by a strong downward movement after a rise into buy-side liquidity, typically near previous highs.
  • 📋 Market structure shifts are highlighted as significant price movements that break previous highs or lows, indicating a change in market direction.
  • 📍 The video uses a NASDAQ example from February 3, 2022, to illustrate how to identify and trade fair value gaps and market structure shifts.
  • 🚫 ICT advises against rolling stops and instead recommends taking partial profits and using the range of the day to manage exits.
  • 📝 The video concludes with the presenter's intention to test and incorporate the new insights from ICT's mentorship into their trading strategy.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of Paul's review in the video?

    -The main focus of Paul's review is to provide a detailed explanation of the concepts of fair value gaps and market structure shifts as taught in ICT's 2022 mentorship program, lesson six.

  • What is ICT's approach to trading the markets?

    -ICT's approach to trading is based on the principles of entering long positions where retail is selling and short positions where retail is buying, without relying on patterns for patterns' sake or indicator readings.

  • What is meant by 'retail traders' in the context of the video?

    -In the video, 'retail traders' refers to individual traders who are not part of large institutions and are often considered less informed or educated in trading practices, typically leading to a higher rate of losses.

  • How does the smart money view retail traders according to the video?

    -Smart money or institutional traders view retail traders as a source of liquidity, taking advantage of their speculative and uninformed trades to enter and exit positions.

  • What is a fair value gap according to the video?

    -A fair value gap is a three-candle formation where the gap is found across the body of the second candle, between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle.

  • What is the optimal entry point for a bullish fair value gap as explained in the video?

    -The optimal entry point for a bullish fair value gap is after a run into sell side liquidity at the previous lows, where retail traders have their sell stops.

  • What is a market structure shift and how is it identified?

    -A market structure shift is identified by a price falling below a previous low (bearish) or rallying above a previous high (bullish), followed by a quick and noticeable displacement in the opposite direction.

  • What is the significance of the displacement candle in the context of a fair value gap?

    -The displacement candle is significant as it indicates a powerful move that breaks market structure and is used to define the fair value gap, with the gap being formed between the high and low of this candle.

  • What is the recommended strategy for managing exits in trading as per the video?

    -The recommended strategy for managing exits is to take partial profits and not roll stops, using the range of the day and looking for fair value gaps near the 50% Fibonacci level to take profits, and closing the remainder at the external range liquidity.

  • Why is the time of day important when engaging with price according to ICT's methodology?

    -The time of day is important because it is a key factor for institutional traders, who are looking to anticipate price seeking opposing liquidity at specific times, which can influence trading decisions and strategies.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Introduction to ICT's 2022 Mentorship Program Review

Paul begins by introducing his review of the sixth lesson from ICT's 2022 mentorship program, focusing on fair value gaps and market structure shifts. He outlines the video's content, which includes an explanation of ICT's approach to price delivery, an in-depth look at both bearish and bullish fair value gaps, and a discussion on market structure shifts. The video also covers a trade example from the NASDAQ and strategies for managing exits. Paul emphasizes the importance of understanding ICT's principles for those who wish to implement his trading strategies.

05:03

📊 Understanding Fair Value Gaps and Market Structure Shifts

This section delves into the concept of fair value gaps, which are three-candle formations identified by specific price movements. Paul explains the optimal entry points for both bullish and bearish fair value gaps, which are typically found after a run into sell-side liquidity for bullish gaps and buy-side liquidity for bearish gaps. He uses a Bitcoin example from April 15th to illustrate a bullish fair value gap, highlighting the importance of a powerful displacement candle that breaks market structure. The discussion also touches on the flexibility in stop placement and the significance of the displacement high and low in identifying fair value gaps.

10:04

🚀 Analyzing Bullish Market Structure Shifts

Paul continues with an analysis of bullish market structure shifts, which involve a price drop into sell-side liquidity followed by a quick and noticeable upward movement. Using a diagram and a real-world example from the Bitcoin market, he explains how to identify the displacement high and low that form the boundaries of the fair value gap. The discussion underscores the importance of looking for powerful, not weak, candles to signal a genuine market shift.

15:05

📉 Exploring Bearish Market Structure Shifts

The video then explores the opposite scenario: bearish market structure shifts. Paul describes how these occur when the market rallies above previous highs and then quickly shifts lower. Using a Bitcoin example from April 16th, he demonstrates how to identify the bearish fair value gap and the optimal entry point, which is typically found after a run into buy-side liquidity. The discussion includes the importance of a powerful displacement candle and the flexibility in stop placement strategies.

20:06

🔍 Case Study: NASDAQ Fair Value Gap

Paul presents a case study of a fair value gap setup on the NASDAQ for February 3rd, using a 15-minute chart. He explains ICT's approach to identifying local highs or lows before the market opens and looking for price movements into those zones post-open. The example shows how the market traded into a liquidity zone and then formed a fair value gap, leading to a profitable short trade. The video concludes with a discussion on managing exits, emphasizing the importance of taking partial profits and using the range of the day to determine exit points.

📚 Conclusion and Future Outlook

In the final part of the video, Paul summarizes the key takeaways from ICT's lesson, including the value of using swing highs or lows as alternative stop placements and the strategy of taking partial profits over rolling stops. He shares his intention to test these strategies in his own trading and expresses his eagerness to apply the new insights to improve his trading framework. The video ends with a call to action for viewers to like and subscribe for more content, setting the stage for future lessons.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Fair Value Gap

A 'Fair Value Gap' refers to a specific three-candlestick pattern used in trading to identify potential entry points. In the video, it is described as a formation found across the body of the second candle, between the high of the first candle and the low of the third. This concept is central to the video's theme as it is used to illustrate how traders can identify opportunities based on price action and market structure. The video provides examples of both bullish and bearish fair value gaps, showing how they can be used to enter long or short positions respectively.

💡Market Structure Shifts

Market structure shifts are significant price movements that indicate a change in the prevailing trend. The video discusses how these shifts can be identified through the analysis of price action, particularly when price breaks below previous lows (bearish) or above previous highs (bullish). These shifts are important for traders as they signal potential changes in market sentiment and can offer trading opportunities. The video provides a detailed explanation of how to identify and trade these shifts, using examples from the NASDAQ and Bitcoin charts.

💡Retail Traders

Retail traders are individual investors who trade through brokers or exchanges, as opposed to institutional traders. The video script mentions that retail traders are often considered less informed and are sometimes referred to as 'dumb money'. The video's theme revolves around the idea that successful trading strategies often involve doing the opposite of what the majority of retail traders are doing, as they are often on the losing side of trades. The script uses the term to highlight the importance of understanding market participants and their behaviors.

💡Smart Money

Smart money, in the context of the video, refers to institutional or professional traders who are considered to have a more informed and strategic approach to trading. The video suggests that these traders are often looking to take advantage of retail traders' lack of information or poor trading practices. The concept is integral to the video's message about understanding market dynamics and the different types of traders that influence price movements.

💡Liquidity

Liquidity in trading refers to the ease with which assets can be bought or sold without affecting their price. The video discusses how smart money traders use retail traders as a source of liquidity, meaning they rely on the buying and selling activities of retail traders to enter and exit positions. The concept is used to explain how market makers and institutional traders capitalize on the market movements created by retail traders, particularly around areas of support and resistance.

💡Displacement Bar

A displacement bar is a single candlestick that shows a powerful move in price, breaking the market structure by having a high that is higher than the highs of the surrounding candles (in a bullish context) or a low that is lower than the lows of the surrounding candles (in a bearish context). The video uses the term to describe a key component of the fair value gap formation, indicating a strong price movement that can signal a potential trading opportunity.

💡Stop Placement

Stop placement in trading refers to setting a stop-loss order at a certain price level to limit potential losses on a trade. The video discusses the flexibility in stop placement when trading fair value gaps, suggesting that traders can place their stops at the swing high or low, rather than strictly at the first or second candle of the gap. This concept is important for risk management and is used in the video to demonstrate how traders can adjust their strategies based on market conditions.

💡Partial Profits

Taking partial profits is a strategy where a trader closes a portion of their position to secure some profit, while leaving the rest of the position open to potentially capture additional gains. The video emphasizes the importance of this strategy over rolling stops, suggesting it as a better approach for managing risk and profiting from trades. The concept is used to illustrate a more conservative and potentially more rewarding method of exit management in trading.

💡Internal and External Range Liquidity

Internal and external range liquidity refers to areas of the market that are likely to have significant buying or selling pressure based on the day's price action. The video explains that traders should look to take partial profits at the internal range (around the midpoint of the day's high and low) and close out the rest of their position at the external range (either the day's high or low). This concept is used to provide guidance on where to set profit targets and manage exits strategically.

💡Swing High/Low

Swing high and swing low are terms used in technical analysis to denote temporary peaks and troughs in price, respectively. The video script mentions using swing highs and lows as reference points for setting stops and identifying market structure shifts. These concepts are integral to the video's discussion on trade management and the identification of key price levels that can influence trading decisions.

Highlights

Deep dive into fair value gaps and market structure shifts in the 2022 ICT mentorship program.

Explanation of how ICT internalizes price delivery, focusing on trading principles that drive market approaches.

Discussion on avoiding pattern trading for patterns' sake and not trading on indicator readings or momentum.

Insight into trading long positions where retail is selling and short positions where retail is buying.

Definition and importance of retail traders and smart money in the context of market behavior.

The role of time in trading and how smart money uses retail traders as a source of liquidity.

Description of the ICT bullish fair value gap, a three-candle formation for optimal entry.

Use of trade examples from the NASDAQ on February 3, 2022, to illustrate fair value gaps.

Importance of the displacement bar in breaking market structure for fair value gaps.

Flexibility in stop placement for fair value gaps and the use of swing lows as an alternative.

Detailed walkthrough of a bullish market structure shift with a focus on price movement and liquidity.

Introduction to the ICT bearish fair value gap, its formation, and optimal entry points.

Analysis of a bearish market structure shift with a focus on powerful downward moves.

Real-world example of a bearish fair value gap setup using Bitcoin data from April 16, 2022.

Discussion on managing exits, emphasizing the importance of taking partial profits over rolling stops.

Recommendation to use the range of the day and 50% Fibonacci level for partial profit taking.

Advice on closing out positions at external range liquidity for optimal exit strategy.

Reflection on the value of the lesson and practical applications for improving trading strategies.

Transcripts

play00:00

hi everyone i'm paul and welcome to my

play00:01

review of ict's 2022 mentorship program

play00:05

lesson six there's been quite a few

play00:07

people in the comments asking me to go

play00:09

into more detail on fair value gaps and

play00:12

on market structure shifts so if that's

play00:14

you i've got great news for you because

play00:15

today's video is a deep dive into both

play00:18

so please like subscribe and let's jump

play00:20

into the video so today's video is the

play00:22

review of lesson six of the 2022 ict

play00:26

mentorship program we'll just start with

play00:28

a brief outline so the first section is

play00:30

how ict internalizes price delivery and

play00:33

then we get to the real meat of the

play00:34

video which is about the ict fair value

play00:37

gap

play00:38

and we go over both the bearish and the

play00:40

bullish fair value gaps and then we also

play00:42

talk about market structure shifts and

play00:44

again look at the bearish and bullish

play00:46

setups of both

play00:48

and we use trade example this time from

play00:51

the nasdaq from the 3rd of february 2022

play00:54

and then we've also got a section on

play00:55

managing exit so the first section is

play00:57

how ict internalizes price delivery so i

play01:00

guess you could say this is the

play01:02

underlying principles which i guess

play01:05

drive ict's approach to trading the

play01:07

markets and so you know if you're going

play01:09

to follow his methodologies then it's i

play01:12

guess good to understand uh how he

play01:14

thinks about the market these aren't

play01:16

necessarily my views but this is

play01:18

obviously what he thinks and i think

play01:19

it's valuable to have that insight when

play01:21

you're then implementing some of these

play01:23

strategies in the marketplace because

play01:25

this is obviously the ethos if you like

play01:28

for how he is approaching the market so

play01:31

the first two points kind of go hand in

play01:32

hand and that's you know we don't trade

play01:34

patterns for patterns sake we do not

play01:36

trade indicator readings or momentum so

play01:39

you'd know from ict's videos that he

play01:41

basically trades naked chart he might

play01:43

draw some lines on there that's

play01:45

generally for educative purposes but he

play01:47

doesn't have any indicators on his chart

play01:49

he just basically has the um

play01:52

price bars and that's about it and so

play01:54

fundamentally we're looking to enter

play01:56

long positions where retail is selling

play01:59

and conversely we're looking to enter

play02:01

short positions where retail is longing

play02:03

and so what do we mean by retail so

play02:07

retail traders often in you know trading

play02:09

circles are kind of used as a bit of a

play02:11

derogatory term and the reality is is

play02:13

most of us who are trading through a uh

play02:16

a broker or an exchange depending on

play02:19

what markets you're trading you know are

play02:21

retail traders you know myself from a

play02:22

retail trader obviously don't work for

play02:24

an institution or anything like that

play02:27

and you know often people call people

play02:29

retail traders or dumb money or

play02:31

uninformed traders and that's probably

play02:33

not necessarily true of everyone but i

play02:35

guess as a bucket we know that the

play02:37

majority of retail traders are are not

play02:40

very well informed not necessarily well

play02:42

educated and typically you know they'll

play02:45

lose you know 80 of traders or some

play02:47

figure like that will blow up their

play02:49

accounts and you know either never come

play02:51

back or come back and block their

play02:52

accounts again so what we do know is the

play02:55

majority of retail traders aren't in the

play02:57

market for a long term and so logically

play03:00

then we don't want to do what they're

play03:01

doing we want to pretty much to be doing

play03:03

the opposite of what they're doing and

play03:05

so the converse of this is you know we

play03:07

refer to smart money and so that's often

play03:10

often seen as a institutional view and

play03:13

the institutions or smart money don't

play03:15

look at patterns or indicators

play03:17

and you know they're primarily concerned

play03:19

with time and price with time being one

play03:22

of the most important factors in the way

play03:25

that they approach their trading and so

play03:27

it follows then that if retail traders

play03:30

are going to be losing in the market and

play03:32

they're not going to last and they're

play03:33

obviously going to turn over their

play03:34

accounts

play03:35

then the smart money or the informed

play03:37

money is going to be looked to be taking

play03:39

advantage of

play03:41

both speculative and uninformed traders

play03:44

because they're generally going to have

play03:45

the wrong bias in the market you know

play03:47

they're not going to be using stops

play03:48

properly or not be using them at all and

play03:50

so smart money really looks at this pool

play03:53

of traders as a source of liquidity so

play03:55

you know we know with institutional

play03:58

uh or smart money traders that they need

play04:01

significant size to get set in their

play04:03

positions and so they're going to use

play04:05

this pool of traders as a source of

play04:07

liquidity so that they can get set and

play04:09

then they can execute on their specific

play04:12

bias and so it follows then that you

play04:15

know part of ict's underpinnings is that

play04:18

we should be anticipate price seeking

play04:20

that opposing liquidity and that you

play04:23

know as we said with smart money the

play04:24

time of day is vital when engaging with

play04:27

price so moving on now to our ict

play04:29

bullish fair value gap so

play04:32

remember our fair value gap's always a

play04:34

three candle formation and the fair

play04:35

value gap is found across the body of

play04:38

the second candle and that's in between

play04:40

the first and the third ones obviously

play04:43

so optimal entry for a bullish fair

play04:45

value gap is always going to be found

play04:47

after a run into sell side liquidity at

play04:50

the previous lows so remember this is

play04:52

where retail traders are going to be

play04:53

going along and they'll have their sell

play04:55

stops there so that's what's generating

play04:57

that liquidity opportunity fair value

play04:59

gap is typically found above a single

play05:02

price low or a multi-price low or a

play05:05

double bottom so just have a look at an

play05:07

example now so this is bitcoin on the

play05:09

15th of april on the four minute chart

play05:12

so in our example here we can see the

play05:14

setup of the fair value gap on this four

play05:17

minute chart for bitcoin on the 15th of

play05:19

april so you can see at the bottom here

play05:22

this is our previous low and so this is

play05:24

where the liquidity is residing this is

play05:26

where those sell stops are because

play05:28

retail traders going along here looking

play05:30

at this as support and they obviously

play05:32

have their stops down here so being long

play05:35

they'll be sell stops which would

play05:36

flatten their positions so you can see

play05:38

we run down into these previous lows so

play05:40

that's our optimal setup for a fair

play05:42

value gap and we can see just above that

play05:44

we have our three candle pattern

play05:46

formation so our first candles this down

play05:49

candle here and you can see the second

play05:51

candle is that displacement bar we're

play05:53

looking for so that's that single candle

play05:56

which has a powerful move and you can

play05:58

see that this breaks marker structure so

play06:00

we have this swing high here so that's a

play06:02

three candle pattern where we have the

play06:04

middle candle with the higher high of

play06:06

the other two highs of the candles each

play06:08

side of it and this candle breaks market

play06:10

structure so it breaks above the high of

play06:13

that candle

play06:14

and then the third candle which is this

play06:16

one is like obviously quite a large one

play06:18

is that that forms then the top of the

play06:20

fair value gap so our fair value gap is

play06:23

formed across the body of that second

play06:25

candle and it starts from the high of

play06:28

the first candle and the low of that

play06:30

third candle

play06:32

and so you can see in this particular

play06:34

trade you know the market traded down

play06:35

into that liquidity came back up again

play06:38

formed this fair value gap now one of

play06:40

the other points that ict mentioned in

play06:42

that lesson six video is that the stop

play06:46

placement does have some flexibility so

play06:48

in some of my previous videos where i

play06:50

talked about my experiences trading the

play06:53

fair value gap in bitcoin is that i

play06:55

often found that the market would

play06:57

overshoot just slightly i would take out

play07:00

my stop down here at either the first or

play07:02

the second candle which is where i've

play07:04

been placing my stops and so in that

play07:06

video ict mentions that you can actually

play07:09

put your stop at the swing low so you

play07:12

can see i've done that here and that

play07:14

obviously just gives you a little bit

play07:15

more room

play07:16

for that trade to breathe in case it

play07:18

overshoots now in this example that

play07:20

doesn't happen the market trades up and

play07:23

you can see here the market trades into

play07:25

this fair value gap so if you'd gotten

play07:27

set by having your limit order at the

play07:30

low of that third candle you obviously

play07:32

would have entered this trade here now i

play07:35

think just for

play07:37

interest

play07:38

i just marked out sort of what kind of

play07:40

return you would have got on this and it

play07:42

would have been easily a two hour return

play07:44

i think it was actually

play07:45

a little bit more than that so again

play07:47

that's a great setup and this is a good

play07:49

example of what that fair value gap

play07:51

looks like in practice and so in that

play07:53

example we touched about the market

play07:55

structure shift and so going into a bit

play07:58

more detail on that now what we're

play08:00

looking for is for price to fall below a

play08:02

previous lower lows

play08:04

so that's pushing down into that

play08:06

liquidity

play08:07

from where those retail sell stops are

play08:10

and then quickly shift higher and so

play08:11

that's what that move in the fair value

play08:13

gap is all about so this move should be

play08:15

quick with noticeable displacement so

play08:17

you saw in that example that candle you

play08:19

know is quite powerful uh and it's not a

play08:22

small move it doesn't have a weak you

play08:24

know it's not a weak candle with a

play08:25

little wick or anything like that it's

play08:27

very noticeable on the chart it really

play08:29

stands out and so the fair bay gap is

play08:31

going to be found between the

play08:33

displacement high and the displacement

play08:35

layer so let's just take a little quick

play08:36

look at what that would look like and

play08:38

just reference that back to the example

play08:40

we just went through so this is just a

play08:42

little diagram describing that bullish

play08:45

market structure shift and so what we're

play08:47

looking for is we have price come down

play08:50

and obviously it creates that previous

play08:52

low so that's this previous low up here

play08:55

before the market trades higher and that

play08:58

creates your displacement high so we

play09:00

then have the market trade down past

play09:03

that previous load into that liquidity

play09:06

and then we have this powerful move

play09:08

upwards so this is the displacement

play09:10

candle that we're looking for and this

play09:12

is where our fair value gap will be

play09:13

formed so if we look at that in the

play09:16

actual

play09:16

uh example that we looked at we would

play09:19

have you know this push down and then

play09:22

this push up and so this is obviously

play09:24

where we have our displacement low and

play09:26

high and the fair value gap is formed in

play09:29

between there so this is just a

play09:31

you know generic diagram showing the

play09:33

push down into liquidity at these

play09:35

previous lows and then we have our big

play09:38

move upward with a displacement high and

play09:41

then our fair value gap is going to be

play09:43

found in between that so

play09:45

the most important thing really is this

play09:47

push down into the liquidity and then

play09:50

the fair value gap being formed on a

play09:52

displacement candle on the way up and

play09:54

the form of that displacement candle is

play09:57

important as i mentioned before in the

play09:59

video you know we don't want this to be

play10:01

a weak or tepid candle we want it to be

play10:03

a powerful one so if we zoom in you know

play10:06

as i said you can clearly see the

play10:08

strength of this candle is obviously

play10:10

another strong one here and there's you

play10:12

know they get formed there as well but

play10:14

this is the one we're really looking at

play10:16

we have this powerful candle it breaks

play10:18

the swing high here so this candle

play10:21

breaks the high of that and that's our

play10:23

indication that we have a bullish market

play10:25

structure shift our fair value gap set

play10:27

up and then all we need is for price to

play10:29

trade back into that zone to get set

play10:31

which is what happened in this example

play10:33

so our ict bearish fair value gap is

play10:36

just the opposite of our bullish fair

play10:38

value gap as you'd expect so again it's

play10:40

a three candle formation and that third

play10:41

value gap is found across the body of

play10:43

the second candle and is formed by

play10:46

the first and third candles our optimal

play10:49

entry for a bearish fair value gap is

play10:51

going to be a run into buy side

play10:53

liquidity which is at the previous highs

play10:55

or above those previous highs and this

play10:58

is where retail traders are going to be

play11:00

going short and so their buy stops

play11:02

reside there that's where our liquidity

play11:04

is our fair value gaps typically found

play11:06

below a single price high or a

play11:08

multi-price high or a double top and so

play11:10

the example we're going to be looking at

play11:12

is bitcoin on the 16th of april 2022.

play11:15

this is our example for the bearish fair

play11:17

value gap setup and i'm using the one

play11:19

minute chart for bitcoin on the 16th of

play11:22

april 2022 so you can see i've marked

play11:24

out the previous high here so this is

play11:27

where our liquidity is going to be

play11:28

residing so remember we'll have retail

play11:31

traders trying to go short here because

play11:32

they'll see this as resistance and

play11:34

they'll have their buy stops you know

play11:36

sitting in the background here and

play11:38

that's the liquidity source that we're

play11:39

going to be looking to take advantage of

play11:41

so we have a run into that liquidity and

play11:44

then as the market trades back down

play11:47

remember we're looking for that powerful

play11:49

move down so we're looking at a powerful

play11:51

displacement down and our fair value gap

play11:54

setup is that three candle formation so

play11:57

in this example we have the first candle

play11:59

here the second candle

play12:02

and then this third candle here and our

play12:04

fair value gap is formed between the low

play12:07

of the first candle and the higher the

play12:09

third candle and in this example given

play12:12

it's a one minute chart you can see

play12:13

that's the whole body of that second

play12:16

candle so a fair value gap is formed

play12:18

right there and this moved down this

play12:21

three candle fair value gap formation

play12:23

move down you can see that then breaks

play12:26

market structure because it

play12:27

the low of this move is lower than the

play12:30

low of the swing low

play12:33

and so we then have our market structure

play12:34

shift and all we need is for price to

play12:36

trade back into that zone which is

play12:38

exactly what happens here so that allows

play12:40

us to get set and then the market trails

play12:43

away after that so again in this example

play12:47

i chose to

play12:48

place the stop or illustrate where the

play12:50

stop would be at the swing high so in

play12:53

this case that's we've got a swing high

play12:55

here but

play12:57

according to the other rules you can put

play12:59

your stop at the first candle and

play13:01

depending on what the formation of that

play13:02

second candle looks like because

play13:04

sometimes you do get a in this example

play13:07

like a higher high of that second candle

play13:10

and so you might want to place your stop

play13:11

there so there is that variability now

play13:14

ict's

play13:15

elaborated on that so you can place your

play13:17

stop at the local swing

play13:20

high or low depending on which setup

play13:22

you're looking for and so again you can

play13:24

see this particular trade would have

play13:26

been you know really quite a lucrative

play13:28

one if we'd set our entry at the

play13:31

high of this candle so we would have

play13:33

been had a limit order to go short here

play13:35

at the high of this candle you can see

play13:37

if we've been able to capture you know

play13:39

all of this particular move this would

play13:41

have been a really great trade over a

play13:43

five hour return so you know again

play13:45

demonstrates the value of this setup if

play13:48

it's executed well and so our bearish

play13:50

market structure shift to go into a bit

play13:52

more detail on that so we'll see price

play13:55

rally above a previous high or highs and

play13:58

then quickly shift lower so again just

play14:01

with our bullish market structure shift

play14:03

that move should be quick and there

play14:05

should be noticeable displacement so

play14:07

again it can't be a little tepid weak

play14:10

candle it needs to be a powerful move it

play14:12

should be a candle that's quite obvious

play14:14

on the chart with the backdrop of the

play14:17

moves prior to that and so a fair value

play14:19

gap will be found between the

play14:21

displacement high and the displacement

play14:23

low and so again just a diagram to

play14:26

illustrate that market structure shift

play14:28

so what we have is price moving up and

play14:30

this is those previous highs that we're

play14:32

talking about that we have up here so

play14:34

this is where our liquidity is is where

play14:36

our buy stops are going to reside the

play14:38

market trades back down and then it

play14:40

trades up into that source of liquidity

play14:43

so it pierces that liquidity and trades

play14:45

higher and this is our displacement

play14:48

higher so as the market trades down this

play14:50

is that displacement we're looking for

play14:52

so they should be obvious candles so if

play14:54

we look at this example here again you

play14:56

can see this move is quite clear this is

play14:58

a powerful candle it's not a small weak

play15:00

one

play15:01

and so that's what we're looking for in

play15:03

this zone between the displacement high

play15:05

and the displacement low there should be

play15:07

a powerful candle here and our fair

play15:09

value gap is going to reside in that

play15:11

zone

play15:13

and so next we're going to run through

play15:14

the example that ict used in his video

play15:18

which was on the nasdaq for the 3rd of

play15:20

february

play15:21

and so we'll start on the 15-minute

play15:23

chart and what i've done is i've already

play15:24

marked it all out here and so what you

play15:26

can see is we've got the beginning of

play15:28

the session here

play15:29

and we've got 8 30 marked here so

play15:31

remember what ict is looking for in his

play15:33

setups is the

play15:35

local high or low prior to 8 30 and he's

play15:38

looking for a move post that 8 30 part

play15:40

of the session so in that morning

play15:42

session either up into a previous high

play15:45

or down into a previous low so he's just

play15:47

really looking to the left of that 8 30

play15:49

open for his you know

play15:51

marker i guess you could call it and

play15:53

then look into the market to trade into

play15:56

those zones after that 8 30 period so in

play15:59

this example

play16:00

ict said he had a bearish bias going

play16:02

into the session so he'd obviously be

play16:04

looking for

play16:06

bearish setups and remember we'll often

play16:08

see the market trade in the opposite

play16:10

direction prior to that sort of bias

play16:12

that we're looking for so you can see

play16:14

that happens in this example so you can

play16:16

see prior to 8 30 we have these equal

play16:18

highs so this is where our liquidity or

play16:20

buy stops will be residing so i've just

play16:23

drawn a line across so you can see as

play16:25

that morning session has started to

play16:27

unwind the markets traded lower and then

play16:29

immediately traded higher back into this

play16:32

source of liquidity up here so this is

play16:35

our area of interest and this is where

play16:36

our fair value gap setup is going to be

play16:38

found so zooming in now to the three

play16:40

minute chart on the nasdaq now i've had

play16:42

to switch over to the ndx because my

play16:44

data doesn't go back

play16:46

far enough to use the nq but this is

play16:48

pretty similar so you'll be able to see

play16:50

this set up so you can see this is a

play16:52

zoom in of that area of interest on the

play16:54

15-minute chart so we have this previous

play16:57

highest this is liquidity where those

play16:58

buy stops residing we can see the market

play17:01

trades up into that liquidity zone and

play17:03

then starts to immediately trade lower

play17:06

so what you can see happens here is we

play17:08

don't have the fair value gap form up

play17:11

here at the highs it sort of trades down

play17:13

lower so we get this swing low here this

play17:16

three candle formation here so this is

play17:18

the lowest low of these two candles here

play17:20

on each side

play17:22

then we have our fair value gap form

play17:24

immediately after so our first candle is

play17:27

here

play17:28

and then the second candle you can see

play17:30

the fair value gap is formed between our

play17:33

third candle and our first candle so at

play17:35

the low of the first candle and at the

play17:37

high of that third candle and you can

play17:39

see this move this second candle breaks

play17:42

market structure so the low of this

play17:44

candle is lower than the swing low here

play17:46

so we have that breaking market

play17:48

structure the market then trades down

play17:50

you can see takes a little bit of time

play17:52

but eventually trades back up into that

play17:54

fair value gap you can see it trades

play17:57

quite close

play17:58

to the to the stop here before trending

play18:01

lower so i've just marked this up so if

play18:03

you'd actually taken this trade and

play18:05

you'd gone short at the high of that

play18:07

third candle you can see you would have

play18:09

got over a 4r return on this particular

play18:12

trade so this isn't even extracting the

play18:15

full move you can see the market trades

play18:18

lower throughout the session

play18:19

significantly lower but even if you've

play18:21

just taken the first sort of line share

play18:23

of that move that would have been over a

play18:25

4r probably a five hour return so yeah

play18:28

that's obviously a great result for this

play18:30

particular setup and so that last

play18:32

section provides a great segue into our

play18:34

last part of the video which is managing

play18:36

exits

play18:37

now probably one of the most important

play18:39

things i took out of lesson six from

play18:41

ict's video

play18:43

was the importance of taking partial

play18:46

profits and that you shouldn't roll your

play18:47

stops now i generally roll my stops and

play18:50

i don't particularly like doing exits

play18:52

that way and so it's not that i didn't

play18:55

know that

play18:56

taking partial profits was the thing

play18:58

obviously i did but i just always been

play19:00

sort of trained to to roll my stops and

play19:02

to sort of protect my risk as you'd like

play19:05

and so

play19:06

when he started describing the principle

play19:09

i guess of leaving your stop at its

play19:11

original placement and then using

play19:13

partial profits as your mechanism to

play19:15

control your risk that sounded much

play19:17

better to me and obviously because i

play19:19

trade crypto too that's also actually

play19:22

from a fee perspective a much more

play19:24

economic way of doing it so i'm going to

play19:27

start doing that in my trading and you

play19:28

know i'll relay back to anyone who's

play19:31

interested how that goes so the other

play19:32

thing he recommended was to take the

play19:34

range of the day so using your 50 fib

play19:38

and then you should be looking to take

play19:39

partial profits at the internal range

play19:42

liquidity

play19:43

the internal range is just basically the

play19:46

middle of that you know around that 50

play19:48

level of the fib so between the the

play19:50

range of the day between the high and

play19:52

the low that's formed so far in the

play19:54

session and there should be a fair value

play19:56

gap near that 50 level and i'd actually

play19:58

never noticed that before and now since

play20:00

i've started doing this on all my charts

play20:02

i see it all the time so it's uh it's

play20:04

quite interesting the things that are in

play20:06

plain sight that you just don't notice

play20:08

and so you should then look to close out

play20:10

the remainder of your position at the

play20:12

external range liquidity so that's

play20:14

either at the the range highs or at the

play20:17

at the range lows so there you go

play20:19

there's my review of lesson six of ict's

play20:22

2022 mentorship program i hope you

play20:24

enjoyed that and if you were looking for

play20:26

a video with more information on fair

play20:28

value gaps and market structure shifts i

play20:30

hope that helped you out and i think

play20:32

there was a number of really valuable

play20:34

insights into developing the framework

play20:37

and the setup better that ict shared in

play20:39

that video so i think the one about how

play20:41

do you stop so using either the swing

play20:43

high or swing low as an alternate place

play20:46

to put your stop rather than on the

play20:48

first or second candle at that fair

play20:50

value gap that's something that's really

play20:51

helpful because that's something that i

play20:53

know in my testing wasn't really working

play20:56

as well as i would have liked it so it's

play20:58

definitely something that i'm going to

play20:59

be testing going forward and the other

play21:02

thing that i also thought was really

play21:03

helpful was just to illuminate taking

play21:06

partial profits rather than rolling

play21:07

stops as an alternative for exit so

play21:10

that's another thing that i'll

play21:11

definitely be using and so all these

play21:13

little tidbits are really helpful just

play21:15

to layer on the i guess the existing

play21:17

body of knowledge that we have about

play21:19

fair value gaps and market structure

play21:21

shifts from what ict is taught so fast

play21:24

so if you enjoyed this video it'd be

play21:26

great if you could like it and if you'd

play21:27

like to see more videos like this please

play21:30

subscribe to my channel really looking

play21:31

forward to the next lesson and i'll see

play21:34

you in the next video

play21:45

you

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Etiquetas Relacionadas
Trading StrategiesFair Value GapsMarket StructurePrice AnalysisICT MentorshipFinancial EducationCrypto TradingRisk ManagementExit StrategiesInvestment Insights
¿Necesitas un resumen en inglés?