FIX - Up 100% In 4 Months - Building Data Centers As Fast As They Can!

Best of Us Investors
7 Mar 202413:44

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses two companies, Modine and Comfort Systems USA (Fix), that are capitalizing on the immense demand from tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft to build massive data centers for their AI and computing initiatives. The demand is so high that these construction firms can barely keep up, leading them to acquire other companies and charge premium prices. The narrator enthusiastically examines their financials, growth prospects, and stock performance, positioning them as compelling investment opportunities to ride this AI-driven construction boom.

Takeaways

  • 😄 Modine and Comfort Systems USA (ticker: FIX) are benefiting from a surge in demand for data center construction driven by tech giants like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta.
  • 🏗️ These companies are involved in constructing massive data centers required to support the computing power of AI systems like Jensen's GPUs and Cerebras' supercomputers.
  • 📈 Modine's stock is up 100% over the last 4 months, while FIX has gained 107% in the past year, largely since October 2023.
  • 💰 FIX's revenues grew 26% year-over-year, and its backlog of orders increased by $1 billion (20%) to $5.2 billion, with some customers paying upfront.
  • 🌐 The demand for data center construction is so high that these companies are being selective about clients and acquiring other firms to meet the unprecedented demand.
  • 💥 The speaker believes this is an extraordinary opportunity fueled by tech giants' willingness to spend heavily to enable transformative technologies like AI.
  • 📊 FIX's earnings are expected to grow 26% in 2024 and 13.6% in 2025, reflecting the sustained demand for their services.
  • 🕵️ The speaker researched FIX by analyzing its earnings reports, CEO commentary, stock charts, and technical indicators to identify potential buy-in opportunities.
  • 💎 The speaker suggests investors should strategically position themselves to capitalize on this once-in-a-lifetime opportunity by investing in companies like Modine and FIX.
  • 🔍 Further analysis is required to determine the optimal buy-in prices for these stocks based on technical indicators and potential market corrections.

Q & A

  • What companies are discussed in the script?

    -The main companies discussed are Modine, a company in the air conditioning business, and Comfort Systems USA (ticker symbol FIX), a building contractor company.

  • What is the reason behind the growth of these companies?

    -The growth is driven by the demand from big tech companies like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta to build and revamp massive data centers to handle the accelerated compute capacity required for advancements like Jensen's GPUs and Char's supercomputers.

  • How are these companies meeting the high demand?

    -Both Modine and Comfort Systems USA are going out and acquiring other companies to increase their capacity and meet the demand. They are also being paid upfront by clients to prioritize their projects.

  • What is the significance of the positive cash flow being greater than revenue for Comfort Systems USA?

    -It highlights the high demand and the clients' willingness to pay upfront to secure their projects, showing the favorable position the company is in.

  • What is the process followed by the speaker to research Comfort Systems USA?

    -The speaker looks at Seeking Alpha for stock performance and earnings estimates, listens to the company's earnings call, analyzes the CEO's comments, and evaluates technical indicators like moving averages and Fibonacci retracements.

  • What is the significance of the growth in the backlog for Comfort Systems USA?

    -The increase in backlog by $1 billion (20%) from the previous year indicates a strong pipeline of future work and revenue for the company.

  • How does the speaker view the future potential of these companies?

    -The speaker believes that the demand for building data centers will continue for at least five years or more, presenting a significant opportunity for companies like Modine and Comfort Systems USA.

  • What is the next step mentioned by the speaker?

    -The next step is to determine the optimal buying price or entry point for the stocks of Modine and Comfort Systems USA, considering technical indicators and potential dips or corrections.

  • What is the speaker's overall assessment of the situation?

    -The speaker views this as an opportunity of a lifetime, driven by the massive investments and demand from big tech companies to build the infrastructure required for their future advancements and offerings.

  • What is the speaker's call to action at the end of the script?

    -The speaker encourages listeners to sign up for their Platinum program, which is currently on sale, to get insights on determining the buying opportunities for Modine and Comfort Systems USA stocks.

Outlines

00:00

📚 Discovering the Modine and Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Companies

The speaker discusses a video they made about Modine, a company in the air conditioning business, whose stock has risen 100% in the last four months due to revamping data center cooling systems. A viewer asked about Comfort Systems USA (FIX), an $11 billion building contractor involved in constructing massive data centers for tech giants like Google and Amazon. The speaker researched FIX and found their business is booming due to high demand for data center construction, leading them to acquire other companies to meet the workload.

05:00

🏗️ FIX's Rapidly Growing Business and Financial Performance

The speaker examines FIX's recent earnings report, which highlights their 26% year-over-year revenue growth, $5.2 billion backlog (up $1 billion from last year), and strong financial position. The CEO, Brian Lane, explains that big tech companies are hiring them for data center construction, both modular and on-site. FIX is being selective about clients due to overwhelming demand and has been paid upfront for some projects. The stock has doubled since October 2023, and FIX has acquired two more companies to keep up with the workload.

10:03

📈 Evaluating Investment Opportunities in FIX and Modine

The speaker expresses amazement at the unprecedented demand and profits in the data center construction industry, driven by tech giants' ambitions to revolutionize various sectors. They plan to analyze FIX's and Modine's technical indicators, such as moving averages and Fibonacci retracements, to identify ideal entry points for investment. The speaker encourages viewers to join their investment program to capitalize on these unique opportunities in the companies supplying the hammers, nails, and concrete for massive data center projects.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Data Centers

Data centers are large, specialized facilities designed to house and operate computer systems and associated components like telecommunications and storage systems. In the context of this video, the rapid growth of big tech companies like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft has created an unprecedented demand for building new and revamping existing data centers to handle the massive increase in computing power required for emerging technologies like AI and high-performance computing. The script mentions companies like Modine and Comfort Systems USA being overwhelmed with orders to construct these vast data centers.

💡HVAC

HVAC stands for Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning. It refers to the systems and technologies used to regulate indoor air quality and temperature in buildings. In the video, the company Modine is highlighted for its expertise in revamping and rebuilding HVAC systems specifically for data centers. Proper cooling and air circulation are crucial for the efficient operation of the densely packed computing hardware in these facilities.

💡Backlog

A backlog refers to the accumulated orders or work that a company has yet to complete or deliver. The video mentions that Comfort Systems USA has a backlog of $5.2 billion worth of orders, up $1 billion from the previous year. This significant backlog indicates the overwhelming demand for their services in constructing data centers, to the point where they are becoming selective about which projects to take on.

💡Modular Construction

Modular construction is a method of building where individual components or modules are pre-fabricated off-site and then transported to the final location for assembly. The video highlights that companies like Comfort Systems USA offer both traditional on-site construction (referred to as 'stick-built') as well as modular construction methods for data centers. Modular construction can often be faster and more efficient for certain types of large-scale projects.

💡Big Tech

Big Tech refers to the largest and most dominant technology companies, such as Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta (Facebook), and Apple. In the video, these companies are described as the primary drivers of the unprecedented demand for data center construction and expansion. Their ambitious plans for technologies like AI, cloud computing, and high-performance computing necessitate the rapid buildout of massive data center facilities.

💡Jensen/Charle's

These are likely references to Jensen Huang, the CEO of Nvidia, and Charles 'Char' Bachman, the inventor of the Bachman diagram in database modeling. The video suggests that the advancements in AI and computing power enabled by Nvidia's GPUs (like the Jensen architecture) and the development of 'super macro computers' (likely a term for advanced, large-scale computing systems) are driving the need for expanded data center capacities.

💡Acquisitions

Acquisitions refer to the process of one company purchasing another company or business. The video mentions that both Modine and Comfort Systems USA are actively acquiring other companies to help them meet the surging demand for data center construction. These strategic acquisitions allow them to rapidly expand their workforce, capabilities, and capacity to take on more projects.

💡Positive Cash Flow

Positive cash flow is a situation where a company's cash inflows (from sales, investments, etc.) exceed its cash outflows (expenses, investments, etc.). The video notes that Comfort Systems USA had more positive cash flow in the last quarter than their total revenue, implying that customers were paying them upfront to secure their services. This is a sign of strong demand and financial health for the company.

💡Bonanza

A bonanza is a situation or circumstance that brings great wealth, profit, or prosperity. In the context of the video, the narrator describes the current surge in demand for data center construction as a 'bonanza' for companies like Modine and Comfort Systems USA. This unprecedented level of orders and revenue opportunities is likened to a windfall or lucrative opportunity that these companies are striving to capitalize on.

💡Technical Analysis

Technical analysis refers to the study of past market data, primarily price and volume, to identify patterns and trends that can inform trading decisions. The video mentions the narrator's intention to perform technical analysis on the stocks of Modine and Comfort Systems USA, such as examining moving averages, gaps, and Fibonacci retracements, to identify potential entry points or 'buy-in' opportunities for these stocks.

Highlights

The company Modine, which is in the air conditioning business, is experiencing explosive growth as they are revamping and rebuilding air conditioning systems in data centers.

The commenter 'printer gang Investments' asked about the company 'fix' (Comfort Systems USA), which is a $11 billion building contractor involved in constructing data centers.

There is a huge demand for building massive data centers to handle the accelerated compute capacity driven by advancements like Nvidia's Jensen GPUs and supermacro computers.

Companies like Modine and Comfort Systems USA are being bombarded with demands to build data centers, and they are acquiring other companies to meet this demand.

Both Modine and Comfort Systems USA are experiencing rapid revenue growth, with Comfort Systems USA's revenues up 26% from the prior year and a backlog worth $5.2 billion.

Comfort Systems USA is being selective in choosing clients, turning away some business, and prioritizing existing customers due to the overwhelming demand.

Comfort Systems USA's stock price has doubled in the last four months, from $153 in October 2023 to $312 currently.

The speaker believes that the demand for data center construction is an opportunity of a lifetime, and he recommends finding the right entry point to invest in companies like Modine and Comfort Systems USA.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of extensive research to determine the fair market price and potential dips in stock prices to identify buying opportunities.

The speaker offers access to his Platinum program, which provides guidance on investment opportunities like Modine and Comfort Systems USA, related to the data center construction boom.

The speaker sees the data center construction demand as a phenomenon driven by tech giants like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta, who are investing heavily to profit from upcoming advancements.

Comfort Systems USA has acquired two new companies since January 1st to help meet the demand from big tech companies.

The speaker highlights the unprecedented nature of the current data center construction boom, which even the CEO of Comfort Systems USA has never experienced before.

The speaker draws a parallel between the data center construction boom and his previous video on a company called "Your Future," which offers access to knowledge for $339.99 a month.

The speaker believes that the tech giants are investing heavily in data centers because they know the potential profits and world-changing capabilities of the upcoming advancements will make the construction costs insignificant.

Transcripts

play00:02

I did a video last week on a company by

play00:04

the name of Modine it's in rine

play00:07

Wisconsin and they're in the air

play00:09

conditioning business and I explained to

play00:10

you that their business is exploding

play00:12

because they're revamping and uh

play00:15

rebuilding the air conditioning systems

play00:18

in the data centers and uh their stock

play00:20

is up 100% over the last four months and

play00:24

I I got a uh response in in the comments

play00:28

from that video uh that basically asked

play00:31

me uh it it was from printer gang

play00:34

Investments that that's the guy's handle

play00:36

and he says I like my D Modine what's

play00:39

your opinion of fix fix in small letters

play00:43

and I had I I didn't know what he meant

play00:45

but so I I searched it and I found that

play00:47

fix is actually a building contractor

play00:50

it's a 11 billion company uh and it's

play00:54

it's it stands for or it's its name is

play00:57

Comfort Systems USA and so uh I I looked

play01:01

at it and I want to walk you through the

play01:03

steps I took to familiarize myself with

play01:06

fix uh Comfort Systems USA because what

play01:09

I realized is yeah uh Google and and

play01:14

apple and Amazon and Microsoft are

play01:16

throwing a ton of money at at getting

play01:19

these uh data centers revamped to handle

play01:23

the accelerated compute capacity that is

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coming with the with Jensen's gpus and

play01:30

Char's um super macro computers but what

play01:33

I what I what I'm learning is there's

play01:36

there's a whole other element of this

play01:38

that is not Tech it's not semiconductor

play01:41

it's it's brick and mortar not brick but

play01:43

actually steel and and and and

play01:46

fiberglass and and and concrete to build

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these massive data centers uh thousands

play01:53

of square feet millions of square feet

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and somebody's got to build them and and

play01:59

it's a demand that wasn't there two

play02:02

years ago and these companies are being

play02:05

bombarded and in both Modine and fixes

play02:09

uh cases they're going out and buying

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other companies to help them get this

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done such as in in fix as I'll explain

play02:17

to you they they can build it from the

play02:19

stick that is come on site and build you

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what you want or they have plants

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modular plants where they'll build the

play02:25

parts and then ship it to you and put

play02:28

this thing up and they're their business

play02:30

is growing faster than they can keep up

play02:33

and in both cases um both Modine and and

play02:37

comfort systems they're going out and

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buying other companies to help them meet

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the demand and as they say usually what

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happens is we buy these companies and

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within three years they've tripled in

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size because of the demand of for what

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we're have we're getting and and they're

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saying uh our our as as we're our

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revenues are going up our margins are

play03:00

going up equally if not greater so we're

play03:04

we're getting better business from

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people we know that can pay us and

play03:08

actually pay us up front he said he said

play03:10

in fact we had more positive cash flow

play03:14

this last quarter then we had Revenue

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because people were paying us in in

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advance to build for them so that they

play03:23

could move to the front of the line

play03:24

that's right he said their their

play03:27

positive cash flow was greater than

play03:30

their revenues think about that that and

play03:33

and and and the work isn't done yet and

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won't be done for a matter of of of

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months these

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people are in a Bonanza and I think the

play03:45

key now is to figure out how to how to

play03:49

price their stock and and where to buy

play03:52

in but let me first take you to to my

play03:54

computer and show you how I

play03:57

research um uh fix to come to the

play04:01

conclusion that this is something I have

play04:03

to own I'll get to that right after I

play04:06

explain this is not Financial

play04:11

advice best of us investors presents

play04:14

Carrie

play04:19

GM so the first thing I do is I go to

play04:22

Seeking Alpha and I come across this

play04:24

chart that says they're up uh 107% in

play04:27

the last year and I look at it and I can

play04:29

say say Well it all happened basically

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since October the 26 2023 it's gone up

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uh I I then always go and look at their

play04:39

earnings and um what their earnings

play04:42

estimates are and it says that uh their

play04:44

earnings are going to go up 26% in 2024

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and then another 13.6% in

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2025 uh I then go back to the summary

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and I said well how big of a company is

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this it's a market cap of 11 uh .2

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billion so it's not a it's not a monster

play05:02

but it's a good siiz company the next

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thing I do is uh I go to this this is

play05:08

their annual report um our quarterly

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report fourth quarter it was on February

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the 23rd so it's pretty current and I

play05:16

come in here and I I I basically say

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play the call I forward it up to where I

play05:22

get to the CEO and and he starts telling

play05:26

me about his company his name is Brian

play05:30

Lane and he's uh he's going to explain

play05:33

to me how they've had a a banner quarter

play05:37

and how it's How their company is

play05:39

growing Leaps and Bounds and he he's

play05:41

going to tell me that their their growth

play05:44

is basically because the big tech

play05:46

companies have been calling them and and

play05:48

telling them we need you to build us

play05:50

some data centers and you can both you

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you you have you can build build them

play05:54

what they call stick or you can build

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them in modular and and he tells me that

play05:59

that his business's revenues are up 26%

play06:03

from the prior year and he and then he

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goes on to tell me that he has a backlog

play06:08

of uh $5.2 billion worth of orders some

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of them in particularly the modular ones

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he's been paid up front on them um so

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that and that that backlog is up a

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billion dollars from what it was last

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year that's

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20% um and and that um that's going to

play06:27

give them they're they're booked for all

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their work work uh for the next three

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quarters and big Tech is asking them to

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to book more and and basically he's

play06:37

saying we're having to be pretty um

play06:41

discriminatory as to who we do business

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with and we've got to deal do business

play06:45

with those that we've done business in

play06:47

the past so we're turning a lot of

play06:49

people

play06:50

away yeah that's what I found so then I

play06:53

said well okay let's let's look at uh

play06:55

how is how is their price how's their

play06:57

stock doing and so I come over here and

play07:01

I look at their their chart and and I

play07:04

see that um I could could have bought

play07:06

this stock back on October the 23rd 2023

play07:10

for about um

play07:13

$153 and today it's selling for uh uh

play07:18

312 so it's doubled in price in the last

play07:22

four months and and so then my question

play07:24

is well is that a flash in the pan has

play07:27

has the has uh the the market grown into

play07:30

it and and it's it's just going to go

play07:33

down from here and it'll come down and

play07:35

cover this Gap at $250 in the next

play07:38

couple weeks or is it going on and I I I

play07:41

go back to the the earnings call and and

play07:44

he tells me he's bought two new

play07:46

companies since January the 1st uh to

play07:49

help them meet the demand that they're

play07:51

getting from Big tech and and again he

play07:54

he he says uh um our our our uh our

play07:59

precedent right now is good working

play08:02

conditions for our employees and our

play08:05

hard workers he said because these

play08:07

people have been with us for decades and

play08:10

we want them to be working in good

play08:12

conditions and we want them to get paid

play08:14

extremely well because they're they're

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uh talented uh workers and then we have

play08:19

to go out in many communities that were

play08:22

doing this work in in higher subs and we

play08:25

got to pay them the top price so we get

play08:28

best best of price for everything that

play08:31

we're

play08:32

doing okay this sounds to me just like

play08:36

Modine which I did a a u a video on last

play08:41

week these people are being their doors

play08:44

are being beat down to say um help us

play08:49

get this done it's going to take five

play08:52

years or more um and we need you and

play08:56

whatever it's going to cost we can pay

play08:59

it it and we will pay it and you move us

play09:01

to the front of the line and that's

play09:03

what's happening with um comfort systems

play09:09

of USA ticker symbol fix

play09:14

fix uh I don't know that I have ever

play09:17

seen anything quite like this before I I

play09:20

wasn't attune to the build out of um the

play09:24

internet I don't I I did not I wasn't

play09:28

aware of that there there is so much

play09:31

money being thrown around right now to

play09:36

get this done and get it done as fast as

play09:39

you can because the profits that we will

play09:42

be able to make off of it are going to

play09:45

make the cost that we're spending

play09:48

insignificant that's what we're looking

play09:50

at I did a video just uh a short video

play09:53

just

play09:54

yesterday on um your future is available

play09:58

to you if for

play10:00

$339.99 a month uh and that's that's

play10:03

that's a high price because these people

play10:06

are going to deliver you all the

play10:09

knowledge in the world and they know it

play10:11

they know that they're going to change

play10:13

your life they know they're going to

play10:14

change education they know they're going

play10:17

to change the medical world they they

play10:20

know they're going to cure hunger

play10:22

they're going to cure uh the global

play10:24

warming they know this and they're

play10:27

spending in money as fast as they can to

play10:31

get to where they're going and all the

play10:33

attention right now is on on Nvidia and

play10:36

super macro because they are they are

play10:39

the recipients of the money and and

play10:42

Jensen and Charles are figures you

play10:45

recognize but you don't know Brian Lane

play10:48

you've never heard of him and he right

play10:51

now is trying he's running as fast as he

play10:56

can to keep up with this something and

play10:59

he's no spring chicken um he has never

play11:03

experienced anything like this in his

play11:06

life and probably never will but right

play11:09

now he's captivating on it and I think

play11:12

you and I should as well okay so we're

play11:15

ahead of the game um so what do we do

play11:18

next well I what I do next is I figure

play11:21

out where is the buyin price what do I

play11:23

do for that I go back to technicals I

play11:25

look at at fix and it's got a gap it

play11:29

today at

play11:30

$315 it's got a gap all the way down at$

play11:33

250 uh is it going to go that way it's

play11:35

it's nday moving uh average is 301 is

play11:39

that where you buy in it's got a

play11:40

Fibonacci retracement of 240 what's it

play11:44

what's its fair fair market Price we got

play11:47

to do some research and we got to come

play11:49

up with where is where is this when when

play11:51

something happens that is negative to

play11:53

the market where is this going to drop

play11:55

to um with Modine selling right now at

play11:59

90 its 50-day moving average is uh

play12:02

71 its 9 day is uh 89 and its fibon is

play12:07

65 so this is what I will do next is

play12:10

figure out where is my buyin opportunity

play12:15

when when the market gets scared for

play12:17

whatever reason what's it going to come

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into and and where am I going to buy at

play12:22

it because that's I don't want to buy it

play12:23

at its peak right now uh so that's what

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I do on my cheat sheets and that's where

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you come to uh best of us investors you

play12:31

sign up for our uh Platinum program uh

play12:34

it's on sale right now at 50% off you

play12:37

can get the coupon on that in the

play12:39

description and let's figure out where

play12:41

do we buy fix where do we buy Modine

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because these people are the the the the

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the Hammers and the nails and and the

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concrete and the and and in the the

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sheet metal that are going to build

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these massive data centers that

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companies like Amazon Google uh

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Microsoft and and and um meta have to

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have in order to profit off of what they

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are going to deliver to us next okay uh

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come to the website get on the bus and

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let's uh let's make this an opportunity

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of a

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lifetime

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