2024 Fantasy RB Rankings

Joel Smyth
13 Aug 202410:09

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the top 50 fantasy football running backs for 2024 are discussed, highlighting the top 10 including Breece Hall and Christian McCaffrey. The importance of offensive lines and injuries is emphasized, with a special mention of J.K. Dobbins' potential despite his hamstring concern. The analysis covers various running backs' situations, including Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, and others, discussing their value, efficiency, and potential in their respective teams' offensive schemes.

Takeaways

  • 🏈 The top 3 fantasy football running backs for 2024 are considered to be in very similar situations with high potential but also some risk.
  • 🔝 Christian McCaffrey (CMC) is noted as the best fantasy player but comes with more risk due to his age and injury concerns.
  • 🚫 J.K. Dobbins is highlighted as a favorite with a top-five offensive line and high potential, but his hamstring injury has affected his draft position.
  • 🔄 Saquon Barkley and J.T. Barrett are compared, both having high rushing volume and playing in offenses with mobile quarterbacks.
  • 📉 The script mentions that Saquon Barkley's goal-line work may be reduced due to the presence of Jaylen Hers but counters this with statistical evidence.
  • 🚀 Devon Hamp is ranked higher than Taylor due to the belief that injury concerns are overblown and his potential to be the overall RB1 if he plays every game.
  • 💰 The discussion about Josh Jacobs includes his potential volume in the passing game and the positive move to the Packers which could increase his value.
  • 🌟 Derrick Henry is mentioned as a potential high scorer but also comes with significant risk due to age, career touches, and a new team.
  • 🔑 Kenneth Walker is highlighted for his efficiency and potential in the passing game, especially with the new offensive coordinator Ryan Grub.
  • ⃣ Rumble and Brooks are presented as high-upside picks, with Rumble having a secure floor due to his volume and history, and Brooks being a 'balls to the wall' pick if healthy.
  • 🤔 The script expresses confusion over certain ADP rankings, such as DeAndre Swift and Aaron Jones, questioning the logic behind their positioning relative to their past performance and team situations.

Q & A

  • Who are the top three fantasy football running backs mentioned in the script?

    -The top three fantasy football running backs mentioned are Breece Hall, Christian McCaffrey (CMC), and Jonathan Taylor.

  • What is the concern with Christian McCaffrey that makes him a slightly riskier pick?

    -The concern with Christian McCaffrey is his age and a recent calf strain, which makes him a slightly riskier pick compared to the other top running backs.

  • Why is J.K. Dobbins considered a favorite pick despite his hamstring concern?

    -J.K. Dobbins is considered a favorite pick because he has a top-five offensive line, is in an elite receiving Detroit, and has a high volume of goal line attempts, which are expected to increase in his second year.

  • What is the misconception about Saquon Barkley's role in the offense according to the script?

    -The misconception is that Saquon Barkley won't get goal line work anymore because of the presence of Tony Jones and Jaylen Warren, who had more goal line work than Barkley last season.

  • Why is Devontae Booker considered underrated in the script?

    -Devontae Booker is considered underrated because he has the potential for high volume in the passing game, and the situation has improved for him with a better offense and more room to work compared to last year.

  • What is the reason behind Derrick Henry's high risk assessment for the upcoming season?

    -Derrick Henry is considered high risk due to his age (30 years old), high career touches, a switch in teams, and limited receiving abilities.

  • Why is Kenneth Walker's role in the passing game a point of excitement for the upcoming season?

    -Kenneth Walker's role in the passing game is exciting because the new Seahawks offensive coordinator, Ryan Grub, has talked up Walker's potential in that area, and his efficiency is among the best in the NFL.

  • Why is Rhamondre Stevenson considered a good value pick in the script?

    -Rhamondre Stevenson is considered a good value pick because his current ADP is basically his floor due to his volume and history, and the situation with the offense can't get much worse, providing an opportunity for him to be an RB1.

  • What is the reason behind the skepticism towards Aaron Jones' ADP?

    -The skepticism towards Aaron Jones' ADP is due to his age (29 years old), a switch to a worse offense, and a decrease in points per game over the past four seasons.

  • Why is Jaylen Warren considered a good fit for the Miami Dolphins' offense?

    -Jaylen Warren is considered a good fit for the Miami Dolphins' offense because his specialty in the spread zone running game matches well with what the Dolphins do, and head coach Mike McDaniel is sold on his talent.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 Top 50 Fantasy Football Running Backs for 2024

The script discusses the top 50 fantasy football running backs for the 2024 season, highlighting the top 10 with a focus on Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, and Alvin Kamara. It emphasizes the importance of these players' situations, including their quarterbacks, offensive lines, and pass-catching abilities. The script also addresses the wide gap after the top three, mentioning J.K. Dobbins' hamstring injury and his potential rise in the rankings. Other notable mentions include Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, and the value of drafting these players early in the first round.

05:01

📈 Detailed Analysis of RBs and Their ADP

This paragraph delves into the intricacies of drafting running backs, discussing the potential of Jonathan Taylor and his injury concerns, as well as the comparison between Saquon Barkley and Josh Jacobs. It also touches on the efficiency and value of players like D'Andre Swift and Aaron Jones, questioning Swift's ADP and Jones' new team situation. The script further explores the potential of players like Jaylen Warren and the importance of drafting the right running back based on their fit within an offense, concluding with the cautionary advice on drafting Ezekiel Elliott due to his age and declining performance.

10:02

📚 Final Thoughts on RB Rankings and Strategy

The final paragraph wraps up the discussion on running back rankings, expressing dissatisfaction with certain ADP ranges and emphasizing the need for careful consideration when drafting. It mentions the importance of a player's fit within an offensive scheme and the potential impact of injuries or changes in team dynamics. The script ends with a teaser for upcoming videos on wide receiver and tight end rankings, inviting viewers to stay tuned for more fantasy football analysis.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football is a game where participants create virtual teams of real NFL players and earn points based on those players' real-life performances. It is central to the video's theme, as the script discusses strategies for selecting the best running backs for a fantasy team in 2024.

💡Running Backs (RBs)

Running backs are a key position in American football, responsible for carrying the ball during running plays. In fantasy football, they are often high-scoring players due to their involvement in both rushing and receiving plays, which is why the script focuses on ranking the top 50 fantasy RBs for the upcoming season.

💡ADP (Average Draft Position)

ADP refers to the average draft position of a player, indicating where they are typically selected in fantasy football drafts. The script discusses the ADP of various running backs and how it may not always align with their projected performance, such as with Aaron Jones and DeAndre Swift.

💡Efficiency

In the context of fantasy football, efficiency refers to how well a player performs relative to the opportunities they are given. The script mentions efficiency stats to argue that certain running backs, like Devon Hamp, could be valuable fantasy picks despite injury concerns.

💡Injury Concerns

Injuries are a significant factor in fantasy football, as they can limit a player's ability to participate in games and thus affect their fantasy points. The script discusses how injury concerns might influence the drafting of players like Jier Gibbs and Devon Hamp.

💡Volume

Volume in fantasy football refers to the number of opportunities a player gets to score points, such as the number of carries or targets. The script suggests that high volume can lead to increased fantasy production, as seen in the discussion about Jonathan Taylor and his potential in the Packers' offense.

💡Goal Line

The goal line in American football is the line that a team must cross to score a touchdown. In fantasy football, goal line work can be valuable as it often leads to touchdowns. The script mentions how the distribution of goal line work can affect a running back's fantasy value, using Saquon Barkley and Jaylen Herz as examples.

💡Offensive Line

The offensive line is a group of players in American football responsible for protecting the quarterback and opening holes for running plays. A strong offensive line can greatly enhance a running back's performance. The script discusses how having an elite offensive line, as with the Detroit Lions, can boost a running back's fantasy value.

💡Three-Down Back

A three-down back is a running back who is effective in all three phases of the game: running, receiving, and blocking. The script mentions that there are very few true three-down backs, which can make certain players more valuable in fantasy football when they are available.

💡RB1

RB1 refers to a starting running back on a fantasy football team, typically the one with the highest projected points. The script discusses various players' potential to be an RB1, such as Kenneth Walker and Jonathan Taylor, based on factors like efficiency, volume, and team situation.

💡Trap

In the context of the script, a 'trap' refers to a player who might be drafted earlier than their expected performance justifies, often due to their name recognition or past success. The script uses the term to describe Ezekiel Elliott's draft position, suggesting that his age and declining performance make him a less valuable fantasy pick than his draft position suggests.

Highlights

The top 10 fantasy RBs for 2024 are identified with a special emphasis on the top 3 being historically similar in their situations.

Christian McCaffrey is noted as the best fantasy player but comes with more risk due to age and injury concerns.

Jier Gibbs is highlighted as a favorite with a hamstring concern that might affect his draft position.

Saquon Barkley and J.T. Barrett are compared in terms of their rushing volume and offensive lines.

Devon Hamp is ranked higher than Taylor due to overblown injury concerns and his potential to be the overall RB1.

Derrik Henry is mentioned as a potential high scorer but with significant risks due to age and change of teams.

Kenneth Walker is highlighted for his efficiency and potential in the passing game under the new offensive coordinator.

Rhamondre Stevenson is identified as a standout with a high floor and RB1 upside.

Jonathan Taylor Brooks is presented as a bold pick with top 10 potential despite being disliked by many.

DeAndre Swift's situation is discussed with a focus on his volume and the presence of other running backs.

Aaron Jones's ADP is questioned due to a decrease in points per game and a worse situation with a new team.

The comparison between Pardue and Spears highlights the efficiency and ADP, favoring Spears.

Jaylen Wright is discussed as a perfect fit for the Dolphins' offense and a potential auto-start if he becomes the main RB.

Ezekiel Elliot is considered a trap pick due to his decreasing performance and age.

The potential of VD mlin and the Chargers' running back situation is discussed, with an emphasis on unknown upside.

The importance of drafting running backs in the later part of the draft is emphasized.

Transcripts

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today is all about the best position in

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fantasy football running backs my top 50

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fantasy RBS for 2024 starting off with

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the top 10 the three at the top are as

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equal as it's been in forever Breece and

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bejon are in hilariously similar

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situations an old quarterback with an

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Achilles young three down prototypal

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running backs incredible athletes pass

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catching great offensive lines Etc Bree

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just a little more fantasy proven a tiny

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tiny Edge CMC clearly the best fantasy

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player just comes with slightly more

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risk considering his age and now that

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calf strain too but after these three

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the Gap is so wide for me that I would

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love one of these guys in that first

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tier in round one compared to say a

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receiver part of the reason that that

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Gap is so wide now is because one of my

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favorite guys jier Gibbs and now his

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hamstring concern was my R4 even though

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I know he's going two spots after the

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main reason well besides the injury was

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safety my risk score from the guide is a

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zero out of five top five offensive line

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Elite receiving Detroit leads the NFL in

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goal line attempts as has increased

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throughout the season by the way and his

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volume is bried to heavily increase in

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year two with Dan Campbell saying so and

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being the most honest coach in the

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league we've seen how good he is and

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he's only going to improve in year two

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now that only problem is hamstrings are

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tricky so now he'd be closer to my rb6

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and rb7 at least until we get more news

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the other two guys that are right next

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to each other in ADP and extremely

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similar like B John and Brar saquon and

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JT High rushing volume offenses with big

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running quarterbacks and a great

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offensive line the huge misconception is

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well saquon's not going to get goal line

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work anymore because of Jaylen Herz

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DeAndre Swift doubled saquon's goal line

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work last season he also fits the read

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option game better than any running back

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in the NFL at least statistically the

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downside is his and JT's lack of

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receiving because of Anthony richson and

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herz's tendencies they will make them

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more weekly boom bus compared to most of

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the start running backs say one week

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they're going to have 20 carries for 120

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yards and a touchdown and maybe a catch

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or two the next week it'll be 18 carries

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for 75 rushing yards no touchdowns and a

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couple catches and they only end up with

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like 10 fantasy points the other big

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jump I have is Devon Hamp above Taylor I

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think the injury concern is a little

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over the top it's real for sure but

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players get hurt all the time and we

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don't want to guess everybody thought

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that Tua and Bryce young were guaranteed

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to get hurt last season and they were

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two of the nine quarterbacks to play

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every single game if he plays every game

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nobody has a better chance of being the

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overall rb1 he's first in every

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efficiency stat there is and on the

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number one fantasy running back offenses

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in games of just 10 touches or more 23

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points per game it's ridiculous I also

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think Jacobs is underrated although he

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does have the risk of switching teams

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the Packers made the rare move of paying

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him a non homegrown free agent running

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back deal that had big money laflor has

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red about him and his potential volume

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and in the passing game two things that

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are unlike him making it stand out to me

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even a little more plus the situation a

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horrible offense last year constantly

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playing in stacked boxes to now an

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amazing offense with much more room to

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work on to the next group of 10 Derrik

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Henry he could score 20 touchdowns this

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season also comes with some pretty

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extreme risk he is a unicorn but

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everyone falls off eventually 30 years

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old 2000 career touches switch teams

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limited receiving Etc Lamar allows loads

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of space in the zone running game which

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will benefit him compared to last year

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especially that's the big plus but

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nobody thinks the fall off will happen

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until it does Ryan grub is the new

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Seahawks offensive coordinator coming up

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from udub has talked up Kenneth Walker

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this offseason which gets me excited

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because it's specifically in the passing

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game again like Jacobs not really what

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you would think with Kenneth Walker but

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his efficiency some of the best in the

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NFL so if he does get the great volume

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he would easily be an rb1 after Walker

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we get to ADP rb18 to 8p rb3 very few of

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them are true three down backs to be

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honest I hate this range so much but

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rander Stevenson sticks out his ADP is

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basically his floor considering his

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volume and History Two basic things just

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volume and history this guy was an rb1

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in 2022 on a bad offense then his

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current ADP was basically where he

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finished last year despite playing

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through injury on a God awful horrible

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32nd ranked offense everything has

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changed it can't really get worse so the

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opportunity is there he's basically

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drafted out his floor with rb1 upside

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that's how I view it at least and then

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right after him I have Jonathan Brooks

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and Brooks is starting to be disliked by

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the masses and I get it not me he's my

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balls to the wall pick I don't care a

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late arb3 that can easily be top 10 his

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ACL is clean very similar to Bree hall

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or even Todd Gurley rookie season where

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although he set out the first couple

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weeks like Jonathan Brooks is expected

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to he finishes the rb9 in total points

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with Elite volume top five running back

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at the end of the season head coach

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Canalis made rookie Kenneth Walker the

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rb16 who was an 80P RB 40 by the way

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second round pick as well and Rashad

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white the year after another rb1 in the

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Canalis offense and to put the cherry on

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top Bryce young loves throwing to

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running backs hell he made jir Gibbs B's

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leading receiver so that helps him even

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more he's going to have the volume he's

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a three down back he has the talent he's

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the draft Capital if he's healthy which

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I believe he is once he gets to that

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spot he can be a steal the offense is it

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amazing no but it's a fantasy friendly

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offense for running back and now we get

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to that range that I hate I want to puke

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starting with the negatives for these 10

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DeAndre Swift behind the best offensive

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line in the NFL in great volume finished

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the second half of 2023 as a fantasy rb4

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not the rb4 a fantasy rb4 like in the

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40s he leaves but is a part of a rare

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situation not a good rare situation most

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free agent running backs go to a new

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team replacing the former starter like

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saquon replacing Swift Jacobs replacing

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Jones Henry replacing the Baltimore

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running backs but the Bears running

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backs are still there and they're not

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going anywhere and they aren't bad while

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Swift really hasn't been a star to say

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the least he's at minimum not going to

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get Elite volume yet going his RB 21

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above his 2023 finish that's what's

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confusing for me and then the other one

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Aaron Jones maybe the most confusing ADP

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in all of fantasy form me so let's break

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it down last year he was RB 26 in points

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per game what has happened since he

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switched teams is 29 years old now as a

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rookie quarterback on a worse offense

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and for some reason his ADP is eight

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spots higher I don't know I don't know

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man his points per game has decreased in

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four straight seasons is he magally

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going to increase by eight spots in a

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much worse situation and become the 1%

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of successful running backs over age 29

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I don't know then we get to Tennessee

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when it comes to Pard versus Spears what

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favors who receiving Spears goine

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efficiency Spears AG Spears efficiency

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Spears ADP par they are listed as Co

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rb1s why is po tire seconde off injury

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helps yes but if you're you're going to

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choose one take the one with more upside

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and the one that has a better value if

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you think that's power that's okay I

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just lean Spears this is the range why I

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start jumping back into drafting running

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backs I can talk about Jaylen Wright all

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day I'm sure you've heard me but if you

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haven't listen in and it's not even

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Talent related really it's just the

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perfect fit in scenario for one Mike

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McDaniel is sold on his talent that's

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good enough for me he traded a third

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round pick form a running back the

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Dolphins had two rb1s last season in

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fantasy and both both of them are at

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risk of missing games due to size with

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Anan and age with moer being like 65

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he's the perfect fit for the offense he

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was in a more onedimensional Tennessee

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like unique offense in college but it

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matches really well with what the

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Dolphins do 90% of the time they have

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that spread Zone one game use their

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speed that's his specialty if he's the

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Dolphins RB to any point this season

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he's an auto start and I know a lot of

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people love Robinson I don't mind him as

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an NFL tal he's just not in a suitable

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fantasy situation for me the old line is

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not good especially bad considering they

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were solid last season they were top 10

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barely but they were top 10 they bring

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an Eckler limiting his already small

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passing load not to mention Jay and

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Daniels won't be a heavy RB Target

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quarterback as that rushing guy it just

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kind of Screams 15 carries 75 yards and

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zero touchdowns and you're starting a

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guy that gets seven points and wrapping

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it up with the final 10 Zeke I love you

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but this year at this age is the Trap of

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all traps the only reason he's being

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drafted earlier than this is because of

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his name I don't even think the Cowboys

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leading rusher is on the team yet if I'm

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being honest for five straight years

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Zeke's touches and points per game have

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decreased he leads the NFL by over 250

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career touches among those active guys

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he will never be a good fantasy starter

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especially late in the season when it

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actually matters VD mlin both backups

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with some hope the Broncos are number

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one by a lot in that RB Target share

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while the Chargers will run all day have

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two shaky running backs ahead of them

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there's all those rumors about we don't

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really know about who the rb3 or the rb4

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whoever it is in the Chargers but Vidal

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is that guy that has the unknown upside

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where he could be that guy compared to

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like Jared Patterson and Isaiah Spiller

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they're not that guy so two guys I think

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that are worth stashing if you're trying

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to strike that gold late over the next

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week I'll continue more ranking videos

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for receiver and tight end thank you for

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watching like subscribe and I love you

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