Wall Street Made A Mistake - Snowflake Is On Sale #stockmarket #investing

Best of Us Investors
2 Mar 202415:05

Summary

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Takeaways

  • 👨‍💻 Shar Remi, former Google exec, is poised to revolutionize businesses with AI like past innovators did with digital tech
  • 📉 Wall Street misunderstood Snowflake's earnings report and strategy, wrongly reacting with a 20% stock drop
  • 💰 Snowflake is investing heavily in scaling up staff and tech infrastructure to become a leader in enterprise AI
  • 🤖 AI will replace many manual processes and jobs, making decisions faster and with less bias or fraud
  • 📈 Snowflake's adtech experience can translate to using AI for business decisions across insurance, banking, travel etc.
  • 🌪️ Like Google ads transformed that industry, Snowflake can have huge impact optimizing operations with data
  • 😎 Remi's experience innovating Google Ads proves he recognizes opportunity to transform industries with AI
  • 🏢 Snowflake is hiring engineers to build systems to replace existing staff doing manual processes
  • 💡 The shift from human decisions to optimized AI decisions can greatly boost efficiency economy-wide
  • 👍 Snowflake stock is undervalued now but could grow substantially in time as strategy plays out

Q & A

  • Why did Snowflake's stock drop 20% after their earnings report?

    -Snowflake's stock dropped because Wall Street did not fully understand that Snowflake is investing heavily in artificial intelligence and hiring more engineers to transform their business. They saw increased expenses without matching revenue growth.

  • Who is Sutter and why is he compared to legendary tech innovators?

    -Sutter is Frank Slootman, the CEO of Snowflake. He is compared to Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Sergey Brin, Larry Page, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg because he previously led the growth of Google AdWords and is now aiming to transform business through AI and Snowflake's technology.

  • How will Snowflake's technology replace human roles?

    -Snowflake aims to replace human roles in areas like insurance, banking, travel, entertainment, real estate and manufacturing by using AI and data to automate decisions. This will eliminate bias and inefficiency.

  • What industry did Sutter transform previously?

    -Sutter (Frank Slootman) previously grew Google's AdWords business from $1.5 billion to $100 billion in revenue. He transformed online advertising.

  • Why does the author recommend buying more Snowflake stock?

    -The author argues Wall Street misunderstands Snowflake's investments in AI as simply increased expenses rather than a strategic transformation. He believes in the long-term potential even if the short-term finances look mixed.

  • How can AI transform government efficiency?

    -The author gives an example of $10,000 toilet seats on military planes resulting from bureaucracy and graft. Automated decisions could reduce inefficiency and corruption.

  • How did the author come across this analysis of Snowflake?

    -The author reviewed Snowflake's earnings call and connected with a member of his investing community who had previously sent him video analysis explaining Snowflake's AI potential.

  • Who makes up the author's investing tribe?

    -The tribe is a community of individual investors who pay for access to the author's analysis. There is a weekly video call to discuss investment ideas and strategy.

  • Why does the author focus on connecting dots?

    -As a former financial advisor, the author believes his skill is piecing together disparate information sources to spot insights others have missed. This drives his investment analysis and recommendations.

  • What is the author's view on the current state of the world?

    -The author expresses concerns about social instability and polarization. He sees Snowflake's technology as a source of positive transformation through efficiency and unbiased decisions.

Outlines

00:00

🤔 Wall Street misunderstands Snowflake's AI potential

Paragraph 1 discusses how Wall Street dropped Snowflake's stock 20% despite its long-term potential in AI. It argues Snowflake's CEO can revolutionize business decisions with AI similarly to how past tech leaders revolutionized digital technology.

05:01

💸 Snowflake investing aggressively despite losses

Paragraph 2 highlights how Snowflake is substantially increasing spending without corresponding revenue growth. It argues this signals an aggressive push into AI that will reduce future human roles.

10:03

👨‍💻 Key leadership driving inevitable AI shift

Paragraph 3 asserts Snowflake's CEO has the vision and expertise to transform global commerce through data-driven AI. It describes this automation as an inevitable and largely positive change despite transitional hardship.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Wall Street

Wall Street repräsentiert den Finanzmarkt und die Investorengemeinschaft, die oft auf kurzfristige Ergebnisse und Finanzberichte reagiert. Im Video wird Wall Street kritisiert, weil sie die Bedeutung und das Potenzial von Snowflake im Zusammenhang mit künstlicher Intelligenz und deren langfristigen Einfluss auf die Wirtschaft nicht vollständig erkannt hat. Wall Street's Reaktion, den Aktienkurs von Snowflake nach einem Bericht um 20% fallen zu lassen, wird als Kurzsichtigkeit und Missverständnis der Technologie und ihrer Auswirkungen dargestellt.

💡Snowflake

Snowflake ist ein Unternehmen, das Cloud-basierte Datenlagerung und Analyse anbietet und im Video als zukünftiger Marktführer im Bereich der künstlichen Intelligenz betrachtet wird. Snowflake wird für seine Fähigkeit gelobt, große Datenmengen zu verarbeiten und zu analysieren, was es Unternehmen ermöglicht, effizientere und präzisere Entscheidungen zu treffen. Das Video stellt Snowflake als ein Unternehmen dar, das menschliche Entscheidungsprozesse durch Datenanalyse und künstliche Intelligenz ersetzen und somit Branchen revolutionieren kann.

💡Künstliche Intelligenz

Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) ist die Fähigkeit von Computern und Maschinen, Aufgaben auszuführen, die typischerweise menschliches Denken erfordern, wie Lernen, Schlussfolgern und Problemlösen. Im Video wird betont, dass Snowflake durch die Nutzung von KI menschliche Arbeitskräfte in verschiedenen Branchen ersetzen kann, was zu effizienteren und objektiveren Entscheidungsprozessen führt. Die Rolle der KI bei der Transformation traditioneller Geschäftsmodelle und Arbeitsplätze wird als zentraler Punkt für die Zukunft von Snowflake und anderen Technologieunternehmen hervorgehoben.

💡Digitale Revolution

Die digitale Revolution bezieht sich auf den Übergang von traditionellen analogen zu digitalen Technologien, der seit den späten 20. Jahrhundert stattfindet. Im Video wird die digitale Revolution als Vergleichspunkt verwendet, um die transformative Kraft der künstlichen Intelligenz und Datenanalyse zu illustrieren, ähnlich wie frühere Technologien die Art und Weise, wie Menschen konsumieren und interagieren, verändert haben. Snowflake wird als Teil dieser anhaltenden Revolution dargestellt, die die Art und Weise, wie Unternehmen operieren und Entscheidungen treffen, weiterentwickelt.

💡Branchentransformation

Branchentransformation bezieht sich auf grundlegende Veränderungen in der Art und Weise, wie eine Branche funktioniert, oft durch die Einführung neuer Technologien. Das Video hebt hervor, wie Snowflake mit seiner Technologie die Branchen Versicherungen, Bankwesen, Reisen, Unterhaltung und Immobilien revolutionieren kann, indem es menschliche Arbeitskräfte durch effizientere digitale Prozesse ersetzt und dadurch Kosten senkt und Betrugsfälle reduziert.

💡Effizienz

Effizienz in diesem Kontext bezieht sich auf die Optimierung von Prozessen, um maximale Ergebnisse mit minimalem Aufwand zu erzielen. Das Video betont, wie Snowflake durch den Einsatz von künstlicher Intelligenz und Datenanalyse Prozesse in verschiedenen Industrien effizienter gestalten kann, indem es menschliche Fehler reduziert und schnellere, datengesteuerte Entscheidungen ermöglicht.

💡Betriebskosten

Betriebskosten beziehen sich auf die laufenden Kosten, die für den täglichen Betrieb eines Unternehmens anfallen. Im Video wird erklärt, dass Snowflake plant, seine Ausgaben zu erhöhen, um in Technologien wie GPU-Chips und Produktkosten zu investieren, was kurzfristig zu einem finanziellen Verlust führen kann, aber als notwendige Investition für langfristiges Wachstum und Dominanz im Bereich der künstlichen Intelligenz gesehen wird.

💡Regierungsentscheidungen

Regierungsentscheidungen beziehen sich auf die Prozesse und Auswirkungen von Entscheidungen, die von staatlichen Behörden getroffen werden. Das Video spekuliert über das Potenzial von Snowflake's Technologie, in Regierungssystemen angewendet zu werden, um Effizienz zu steigern und Korruption zu reduzieren, indem menschliche Entscheidungsträger durch unvoreingenommene, datengesteuerte Prozesse ersetzt werden.

💡Investitionsentscheidungen

Investitionsentscheidungen beziehen sich auf die Auswahl, wo und wie Kapital angelegt wird, um zukünftige Gewinne zu erzielen. Das Video kritisiert die kurzfristige Sichtweise von Wall Street auf Snowflake's jüngsten Finanzbericht und argumentiert, dass Investoren die langfristigen Vorteile und das transformative Potenzial von Snowflake's Technologie erkennen sollten, um fundierte Investitionsentscheidungen zu treffen.

💡Innovatoren

Innovatoren sind Individuen oder Unternehmen, die neue Ideen, Produkte oder Verfahren einführen, die signifikante Veränderungen und Verbesserungen bewirken. Das Video positioniert Snowflake und speziell einen Schlüsselmitarbeiter als Innovatoren, vergleichbar mit bekannten Technologiepionieren, die die digitale Landschaft geprägt haben, und betont deren Rolle bei der Gestaltung der Zukunft der künstlichen Intelligenz und Datenanalyse.

Highlights

Wall Street's misunderstanding of Snowflake's potential in AI

Snowflake's significant drop in stock price by 20% after quarterly report

Snowflake's recognition of AI's potential to revolutionize industries

Comparison of Shar, a key figure at Snowflake, to tech giants like Bill Gates and Steve Jobs

Snowflake's aim to replace human decision-making with AI in various industries

The efficiency and fraud reduction potential of AI in decision-making

Shar's significant contribution to Google AdWords and advertising

Snowflake's financial performance and projected increase in expenses

The strategic hiring of 1,000 new employees, primarily engineers

Snowflake's preparation for the next generation of AI in business

The potential for AI to improve decision-making and efficiency in government

The transformative impact of AI on commerce and decision-making

Wall Street's failure to understand Snowflake's strategic positioning in AI

The potential for Shar to be recognized as a major innovator in AI and technology

The role of community and collaboration in staying ahead in technology investments

Transcripts

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this time Wall Street got it wrong or at

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least they aren't farsighted enough to

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see what is actually happening with

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snowflake uh snowflake did their annual

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report um or quarterly report earlier

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this week and the stock dropped by

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20% uh that was a mistake and it's

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because they don't recognize exactly

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what is happening they don't totally

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understand how AI works and snowflake is

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on sale and snowflake will quite

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possibly become one of the icons of the

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future relative to the use of artificial

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intelligence and it's all driven by

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snowflakes

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recognition that AI is going to replace

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human beings much as um the digital

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revolution of

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2000

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created a new way for consumers to

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consume products to to interact in many

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facets of the world uh the key to this

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is uh s Dar

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Remi I know I screwed his name up but

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you know who he is he is in my mind he

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is going to be viewed comparable to Bill

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Gates Steve Jobs Serj and Larry uh Jeff

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Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg they are the

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people who came and taught us how to use

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digital uh to make our lives better to

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make our worlds more efficient they

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taught us that we adapted to it and we

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use then

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digital to to make us more efficient in

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our world such as I use digital to

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communicate with you I was unable to do

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that until Google taught me how to do it

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through through YouTube well we have now

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moved into the era where uh digital is

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going to teach us how to compute and

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that is to say it's going to teach us

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how to replace people using digital to

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make better decisions and and think of

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it in in this area in in the world of

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insurance banking travel entertainment

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real estate manufacturing for every face

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that you engage in those Industries

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there's at least 20 people behind doing

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the support work to make what you want

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to happen to happen What snowflake is

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going to do is to replace all those

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people uh they're going the the decision

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makers who decided whether or not um

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your insurance claim was valid is going

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to be eliminated because all that is

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going going to happen is some someone is

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going to gather a little more data as to

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what happened to to you and your uh as a

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result of a tornado and the decision

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then will be made through digital

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analysis rather than human analysis

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which will make it much more efficient

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and which will make it much much less um

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fraud and and whatever involved in it

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and will make it work better

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the reason Shar is such a key player is

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he was with Google for 15 years and he

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was in charge of Google AdWords and and

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if you think about how Google AdWords

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changed the advertising industry that we

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don't have advertising agencies anymore

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um the the Google knows more about

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someone's customers than than the the

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the the the manufactur ERS the sellers

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whatever they know more about us than

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our spouses know about us okay so they

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have replaced the advertising industry

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as as has Mark with with Facebook as has

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Jeff with with Amazon they've replaced

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the advertising industry and and shadar

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is the guy who did it he took it from a

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$1.5 billion industry to a00 billion

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industry and then he woke up one day and

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formed a company that said I can do this

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in every aspect of of Comas and he

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formed a company and eight months ago

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that company was bought by by Snowflake

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and they are now going to replace man

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with digital okay so with that being

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said then why did their price go down

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20% this week well because Wall Street

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got it wrong

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understand they they they projected that

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they were going to grow their revenues

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um and and they they also said they were

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going to add 1,000 employees

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okay snowflake doesn't make any money

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okay in fact they had revenues of 2.8

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billion they had expenses of

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2.99 billion so they had a loss of $20

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million they then came Mountain said

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that we are going to spend this next

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year an extra $50 million on GPU chips

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we're going to spend another $10 million

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on uh cost of product and then we're

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going to spend $30 million in increased

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compensation for our Salesforce so

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they're increasing their

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expenses by $90 million but not

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increasing a comp a a comparable amount

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in sales okay then as I said they said

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they're going to raise their employees

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by a thousand currently they employ

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5,884 people so that's an increase in

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their sales force by

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177% what's happening they're going to

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war they're basically saying we're going

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to restructure our company and we're

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going to spend what we have to to take

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us into the next generation of

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artificial intelligence running

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businesses so all the data I used to be

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in the financial financial advisor

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business we had armies of people behind

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us making decisions based on the data

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that we fed them many times they made

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wrong decisions and thus um people

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didn't have their their retirement funds

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grow like they wanted to because

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individuals were making human

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decisions snowflake is going to take

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that out of the equation they are going

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to have those decisions made by the most

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intelligent data available to Mankind

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and made expediently you won't talk to a

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person on the telephone you will get on

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the phone and and they will ask you what

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language you want to speak and they will

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take on the conversation this will make

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everything more efficient think about if

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you put that into our government where

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there's so much graft where there's so

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much uh influence being pedal and take

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all those decisions out of human being

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hands and make them those decisions

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based on what's best for our country our

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citizens and therefore they make good

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decision you know you I can remember one

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time that some I read something that a

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toilet seat on a a fighter on a on a a

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cargo plane cost something like

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$10,000 well that's because all the

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graft that's involved in it all the

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paperwork that goes If you eliminate all

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those people touching that paper all the

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influence that says hey uh you'll find a

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new shotgun in your car if you buy the

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toilet seat from me you'll you'll you'll

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see that this is a major change in how

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Commerce will take place in the world in

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the future

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and Wall Street didn't understand it all

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Wall Street saw was we're going to incre

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our increase our expenses by $90 million

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we're not going to have we're going to

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have a 6% increase in in our Revenue

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which will not offset that and then

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we're going to hire a thousand new

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people well guess what's going to happen

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and who who are those thousand people

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they're Engineers they're the people who

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are going to build the system to replace

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the other five

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884 people that they currently have on

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staff that's what's happening in our

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world in our world and and Wall Street

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doesn't recogniz Wall Street does not

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understand artificial intelligence if

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they

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did they would be

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rewarding snowflake with a 20%

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bump okay we saw today that the computer

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infrastructure structure is driving the

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economy right now uh we saw Dell go up

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30% because they had some extraordinary

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orders because Jensen sold them uh some

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gpus to put into their computers so that

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the the the shortage of computers from

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Super Micro computer could be picked up

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in part by Dell that's why Dell is up

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once that's done that's done but what

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comes behind it

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is the change in our world and the the

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the the movement away from man making

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good bad indifferent biased decisions to

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good decisions made by

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compute and

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snowflake had the insight and the

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courage to go and hire the man who can

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make it happen I can't pronounce his

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name I won't try to you can read it

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snowflake is up a little bit

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today I'll buy

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more because the world doesn't

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understand that this may take a year but

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that man is going to be standing next

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to Bill Gates Steve Jobs Serj and Larry

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Jeff basos and Mark he

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is he is one of the

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those who will be

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recognized as

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innovators for the future I'm Carrie

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grink I'm a retired financial advisor

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there's a lot of things I don't do well

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uh but what I've learned I can do well

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is connect the dots I can I can look at

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something and say that doesn't make

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quite sense to me so if it doesn't make

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sense what what am I missing and I I

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listen to this all the first time uh and

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and I believe that that uh Frank slotman

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got pushed to the side I don't think he

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did after I listened to it a third and a

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fourth time Frank recognized he did what

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he could but he needed to pass the Paton

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on and he he took the the data and

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taught people how to interpret it and

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now someone has to come in and teach

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data how to replace the people how how

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data can think like humans to make

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decisions without bias without prejudice

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and and make good sounds decisions that

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create efficiency and economy that

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reduce inflation rather in rather than

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increasing

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prices that brings Harmony in into a

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very difficult world right now um I'm

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really kind of scared of what is

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is festering under the

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surface uh this is a positive thing

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we've got to look for positive

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things you you dig in you learn

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who

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Shar ra renami is and what is PED agree

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is and you see if you don't believe with

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me Wall Street got it wrong I'm Carrie

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grm I'm I'm the chief I guess of the

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best of us investors

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tribe uh later this afternoon this is

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Friday I will have this discussion with

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my tribe members we have a stock talk

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every Friday a zoom call which if you

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can't make the call you can access the

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the recording of it um and we'll discuss

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this in detail and they'll have an

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understanding then they'll ask questions

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and we'll hash it out how did I come

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across this well when I saw the the drop

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in the stock I went to the earnings call

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and then Brian Brian is a young man from

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um Nashville he's he's a a school

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teacher High School school teacher and

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and coach and he says Carrie do you

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remember I sent you a a video of

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Shamar sha sh shadar

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shadar U being interviewed on CNBC a

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year about a year ago when he made the

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transition into Snowflake and I said

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yeah I do remember it but I need to go

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back and watch the video that's how I

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learn that's how I stay ahead I have a

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tribe I have a group of people who

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subscribe who pay dues okay and we work

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together to make better investment

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decisions if you'd like some help get on

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the bus we have a discount by the way uh

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of uh 50% you'll find that in the

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description