4 MUST HAVE Early Round RBs!

Fantasy Endgame
12 Jul 202307:16

Summary

TLDRIn this fantasy football draft guide, the speaker highlights four top running backs for early round picks, emphasizing Bijan Robinson's versatility and potential on the Falcons' strong offensive line. Jonathan Taylor's value is underscored despite last year's slump, with expectations of a rebound in a revitalized Colts offense. Rhamondre Stevenson is touted for his workhorse role and catch potential, while rookie Jamir Gibbs is eyed for his dynamic receiving skills, suggesting high upside in PPR leagues.

Takeaways

  • 🏈 The speaker highly recommends drafting Bijan Robinson early in fantasy football due to his all-around skills and landing on a strong offensive line.
  • 📉 Jonathan Taylor is considered undervalued in drafts this year, despite being a top talent with a high potential for increased touchdowns and touches.
  • 🔑 Rhamondre Stevenson is still available in the later part of early rounds and is expected to be a workhorse back with a high ceiling for receptions and touchdowns.
  • 🚀 Jamir Gibbs, a rookie, is compared to Christian McCaffrey's rookie season for his potential in the passing game and could be a steal in the fourth round.
  • 💰 The speaker promotes flockfantasy.com for playing fantasy football and winning cash prizes, offering a discount and additional content.
  • 🎯 Bijan Robinson is expected to have a high number of touches, with an upside of 350 touches and 80 catches, making him a top pick.
  • 🤔 There is skepticism about drafting Taylor due to his previous season's performance, but the speaker believes he is primed for a comeback.
  • 📈 Stevenson's red zone touch opportunities are expected to increase with the departure of Damien Harris, leading to more touchdowns.
  • 🌟 Taylor's previous season's low touchdown rate is seen as an outlier, suggesting a likely increase in his scoring potential this year.
  • 🏆 The speaker believes that Robinson could follow the footsteps of Saquon Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott, who both had strong rookie seasons.
  • 🛑 Gibbs is expected to have a significant role in the passing game, especially in the early weeks of the season due to other players' absence.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of the video script?

    -The main topic of the video script is discussing the top four running backs to draft in the early rounds of fantasy football.

  • What is the website mentioned for playing fantasy football and winning cash prizes?

    -The website mentioned for playing fantasy football and potentially winning cash prizes is flockfantasy.com.

  • What are the benefits of joining flockfantasy.com as mentioned in the script?

    -The benefits of joining flockfantasy.com include access to bonus articles, videos, live streams, and free end game swag, along with the opportunity to play in redraft leagues and a Dynasty League.

  • Who is the first running back mentioned in the script as a top pick for fantasy football?

    -The first running back mentioned is Bijan Robinson, who is praised for his versatility and potential to be a top performer.

  • What team did Bijan Robinson join, and why is this considered a good situation for him?

    -Bijan Robinson joined the Falcons, which is considered a good situation because they have the eighth best offensive line according to PFF and ran the ball frequently last year.

  • What are the expectations for Bijan Robinson's performance in terms of touches, catches, and touchdowns?

    -The expectations for Bijan Robinson are high, with a 350 touch upside, 80 catch upside, and double-digit touchdown upside.

  • Who is the second running back discussed in the script, and why is he considered undervalued?

    -The second running back is Jonathan Taylor, who is considered undervalued because despite having a down year, he is still a talented player with a prime opportunity for a bounce-back season.

  • What is the concern regarding Jonathan Taylor's potential performance in the upcoming season?

    -The concern is that the new quarterback, Anthony Richardson, might vulture touchdowns, but the expectation is that Taylor's touchdown rate should improve from the previous year.

  • Who is the third running back mentioned, and what is unique about his situation?

    -The third running back mentioned is Rhamondre Stevenson, who is unique because he is expected to have an increased role in the red zone and potentially catch a high number of passes.

  • What is the expected improvement for Rhamondre Stevenson in terms of touchdowns?

    -Rhamondre Stevenson is expected to improve his touchdown rate from the previous year's 2.2 percent, which is considered extremely low.

  • Who is the fourth running back discussed, and what is the potential for his involvement in the passing game?

    -The fourth running back is Jamir Gibbs, who is expected to be a dynamic option in the passing game, with the potential for 80 to 100 catches.

  • What is the expected role of Jamir Gibbs in the early part of the season, especially in the passing game?

    -Jamir Gibbs is expected to be a significant target in the passing game, especially in the first six weeks, due to the suspension of Jameson Williams and the lack of other wide receiver options.

  • Why is Jamir Gibbs considered a gamble in the fourth round of fantasy drafts?

    -Jamir Gibbs is considered a gamble because of his potential for a high number of receptions, which could make him a top 12 running back in PPR leagues by default.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 Top Early-Round Running Backs for Fantasy Football

The speaker discusses their top picks for running backs in the first four rounds of fantasy football drafts. They highlight Bijan Robinson as a versatile and highly skilled player who landed in a favorable position with the Falcons, a team with a strong offensive line and a history of high rushing attempts. Robinson is expected to be a workhorse with high potential for catches and touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor, despite a down year, is considered undervalued and poised for a strong comeback due to his age, talent, and the Colts' improved offensive strategy. Rhamondre Stevenson is noted for his potential to increase touchdown numbers and his role as a reliable pass-catching running back. Lastly, Jamir Gibbs is introduced as a rookie with a promising outlook for high reception numbers, similar to Christian McCaffrey's rookie season, and his potential to be an immediate impact player in the passing game.

05:01

📈 Projecting Touchdowns and Receptions for Running Backs

This paragraph continues the analysis of running backs, focusing on their potential for touchdowns and receptions. It emphasizes Rhamondre Stevenson's expected increase in touchdowns due to a higher red zone touch opportunity and a likely regression to the mean in touchdown percentage after a low scoring year. Stevenson's pass-catching ability is also highlighted, with a comparison to his previous season's reception numbers. Jamir Gibbs is discussed as a potential high-impact rookie, with a focus on his expected role in the passing game and the possibility of a significant number of receptions, which could make him a valuable asset in PPR leagues. The speaker expresses a strong opinion on drafting Gibbs in the fourth round, considering his ADP (Average Draft Position) to be too low for his projected performance.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football is a game in which participants serve as the general managers of virtual professional gridiron football teams. The game's popularity is evident in the video script, where the host discusses drafting players for a fantasy league, indicating its central role in the video's theme.

💡Running Backs

Running Backs are a crucial position in American football, known for both running with the ball and catching passes. The script focuses on the early drafting of running backs in fantasy football, highlighting their importance in both the real game and the fantasy variant.

💡Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson is a specific player mentioned in the script as a top pick for fantasy football drafts. His skills and potential are discussed in detail, emphasizing his all-around abilities and the favorable situation he landed in with the Falcons team.

💡PFF (Pro Football Focus)

PFF, or Pro Football Focus, is a company that provides in-depth analysis and grading of NFL players. The script references PFF's ranking of the Falcons' offensive line, which is a key factor in evaluating the potential success of a running back like Bijan Robinson.

💡Workhorse Running Back

A Workhorse Running Back is a player who is heavily relied upon for both rushing and receiving plays. The script describes Bijan Robinson as a 'true Workhorse running back,' indicating his expected high volume of touches and involvement in the game.

💡Jonathan Taylor

Jonathan Taylor is another running back discussed in the script, who despite having a down year, is still considered a prime talent. His potential for a rebound season and his value in the second round of drafts is highlighted.

💡Touchdown Percentage

Touchdown Percentage refers to the rate at which a player scores touchdowns. The script discusses the low touchdown percentage of Jonathan Taylor in the previous season and suggests it should increase, which is a key metric for fantasy football value.

💡Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson is highlighted as a player whose value may be underappreciated in the script. His potential for increased red zone touches and touchdowns, along with his receiving abilities, make him a standout candidate in the draft.

💡Red Zone Touches

Red Zone Touches are opportunities for a player to score within the 20-yard line before the opponent's goal. The script notes that Rhamondre Stevenson's red zone touch count is expected to increase, which directly impacts his fantasy football value.

💡Jamir Gibbs

Jamir Gibbs is a rookie running back who the script suggests could have a significant role in the passing game. His potential for a high number of receptions, even as a rookie, is compared to Christian McCaffrey's rookie season, indicating a high ceiling for fantasy football points.

💡Receptions

Receptions in football refer to the act of catching a pass from a teammate. The script emphasizes the importance of receptions for running backs in fantasy football, particularly for players like Jamir Gibbs and Rhamondre Stevenson, who are expected to contribute significantly in this area.

Highlights

Bijan Robinson is a highly versatile running back with great vision, burst, and the ability to do everything on the field.

Robinson landed on the Falcons, who have the eighth-best offensive line and ran the ball 32 times per game last year.

Bijan Robinson is expected to be a true workhorse running back with a high potential for catches and touchdowns.

Jonathan Taylor, despite a down year, remains a top talent and is currently undervalued in drafts.

Taylor's touchdown rate is expected to increase significantly from his unusually low 1.8% last year.

The Colts' new offense with Anthony Richardson is anticipated to improve and benefit Taylor.

Rhamondre Stevenson's ADP has not moved despite being a consistent performer and having no competition.

Stevenson's Red Zone touch number is expected to increase with Damien Harris gone.

His low touchdown percentage from last year suggests potential for a higher number of touchdowns this season.

Jamir Gibbs, a rookie, is compared to Christian McCaffrey's rookie year for his potential in the passing game.

Gibbs is expected to have a significant role in the passing game, especially in the first six weeks.

The absence of other wide receivers gives Gibbs an opportunity to make an immediate impact.

Any running back with 80 or more receptions is almost guaranteed to be a top 12 running back in PPR leagues.

Gibbs is currently being drafted too late considering his potential for a high number of catches.

Flockfantasy.com offers a chance to play fantasy football with cash prizes and access to exclusive content.

There's a limited number of spots available in the final Dynasty League at Flockfantasy.com.

Joining Flockfantasy.com provides access to bonus articles, videos, live streams, and free swag.

Transcripts

play00:00

these are my favorite four running backs

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to draft in the early part of fantasy

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football drafts I'm talking rounds one

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through four I think these guys are

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gonna smash this here and help teams win

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championships hey before I get to those

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players if you want to play fantasy

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football with us and potentially win

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cash prizes you gotta join us over at

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flockfantasy.com endgame we've got five

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spots left in our final Dynasty League

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100 to First we're gonna be doing

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redraft leagues as well not to mention

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you're going to get access to all our

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bonus articles videos live streams

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everything else plus some free end game

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swag check it out flockfantasy.com

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endgame 30 off now it's the place to be

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this fantasy season all right let's get

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into my first running back and if you've

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watched me at all this off season you

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know ever since the NFL draft I've been

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all about Bijan Robinson I mean that was

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all about Bijon Robinson before the

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draft but he landed in absolutely one of

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the best possible spots this is a guy a

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running back who can absolutely do

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everything he's got great vision he's

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got great bursts he can make people Miss

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he can break tackles he can run inside

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he can run outside he can pass protect

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he's a phenomenal pass catcher Amy's a

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great route Runner he can do it all

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there's nothing this guy can't do and he

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landed in one of the best situations

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because now he's going to a Falcons team

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who PFF Pro Football Focus ranks as the

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eighth best offensive line in the entire

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NFL and they ran the ball 32 times per

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game last year even if they throw it a

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little bit more with Desmond Ritter this

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year which I think they will we're still

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talking about a team that's going to

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probably be in the top five Rush

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attempts per game NB John Robinson's a

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great pass catcher he's going to catch a

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ton of passes too he's going to be a

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true Workhorse running back he's one of

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the most gifted running backs we've seen

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in years 350 touch upside 80 catch

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upside double-digit touchdown upside and

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like two other rookie running backs

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recently saquon Barkley and Ezekiel

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Elliott both who averaged over 20 points

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per game as a rookie saquon was the

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overall rb1 that year I think that's

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going to be Bijan Robinson this year

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people who are sleeping on him or

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nervous about him because he's a rookie

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are going to miss out don't be one of

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those people draft Bijan Robinson please

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only an injury can derail this guy's

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season now let's move on to a running

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back that I think people are way too low

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on this year which is strange to say for

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an early round running back but it's

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Jonathan Taylor just last year he was a

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consensus number one pick in fantasy and

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then yeah he had a down year dealt with

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some injuries now he's dropping all the

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way down to the second round really

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Jonathan Taylor's second round a lot of

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times going like mid second round that

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is just crazy to me this guy is still a

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stud running back he's 24 years old he's

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in the prime of his career he was a

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great talent coming out of college he's

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been nothing but great in the NFL and he

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doesn't have a lot of wear around

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tearing him so you don't have to worry

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about that either and last year despite

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it down here he's still got 70 percent

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of the running back touches in this

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Colts offense and that shouldn't change

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this year because who's gonna take

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touches from him nobody that's who and I

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know some of the worry here Anthony

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Richardson a running QB my vulture

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touchdowns and things like that and sure

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he might but Jonathan Taylor had a very

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bad year in terms of touchdown luck last

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year his touchdown rate of 1.8 percent

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last year was not only the lowest of his

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career but one of the lowest in the

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entire NFL his two years prior he was at

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4.5 percent and 5.8 percent so we should

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expect that number to go way up as

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should his touchdowns and unlike last

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year when they had no offense they had

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couldn't move the ball they basically

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were just throwing three yard passes and

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then punting they're going to have a

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real offense this year because Anthony

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Richardson is going to bring a dynamic

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they didn't have last year new head

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coach former offense coordinator from

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Philly coming over knows how to work

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with these running quarterbacks he did

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it with Jalen hurts he'll do it with

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Anthony Richardson this is going to be a

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much better offense they're not going to

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throw the ball a time they're going to

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lean on the running game with Jonathan

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Taylor this is a prime running back the

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prime of his career a great talent has

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home run ability explosive playability

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should score a ton of touchdowns this

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year it's going to get a ton of touches

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and people don't seem to care because he

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burned him so bad last year now he's

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falling all the way to the second round

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an absolute steal in my opinion all

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right I keep talking about ramadri

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Stevenson but I'm gonna keep talking

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about him because his ADP has barely

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budged I mean sometimes maybe he goes

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late second round but sometimes still

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even early third round why why are we

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drafting or Monterey Stevenson this late

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what has changed from last year well the

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only other running back that actually

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was involved is gone they didn't bring

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anybody in it's Pierre strong Jr Ty

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Montgomery and Kevin Harris there's

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nobody behind Roman re Stevenson to even

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remotely worry about here and last year

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he ranked six among all running backs in

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weighted opportunities third among all

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running backs and targets and 15th in

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Red Zone touches but we should expect

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that Red Zone Touch number to go up

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because the guy just talked about Damien

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Harris is gone and he was the only other

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real threat to take Red Zone touches

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from romander Stevenson and like

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Jonathan Taylor he also had a very low

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touchdown percentage last year just 2.2

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percent was his touchdown rate which is

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extremely low we should expect some

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regression back to the mean back to the

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norm here which means even more

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touchdowns for Stevenson and he only

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scored six last year which was 22nd

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among all running backs it's not hard to

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see him eclipsing double-digit

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touchdowns in this offense this year

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with no Damien Harris here Stevenson is

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one of the few true Workhorse running

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backs who also could catch 80 to 100

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passes remember he had 69 receptions

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last year and that number could go up

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even more this year so for me the fact

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that he's available at this point in the

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draft is just crazy to me he's an

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absolute Workhorse he was a stud last

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year he's gonna be a stud again he's

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young not a lot of wear and tear on him

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there's nothing to not like about

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romandery Stevenson why aren't we

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drafting him higher finally let's go one

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more rookie Jamir Gibbs I talked about

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80 to 100 possible catches for romander

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Stevenson well I think that's where

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Jamir Gibbs is at too and I've compared

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him pretty much kind of like cmc's

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rookie year in 2017 when he only handled

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117 carries but he caught 80 passes that

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year I think that could be Jamir Gibbs

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this year because he's not a big dude

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he's not going to handle a huge workload

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on the ground but I think they brought

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him in here for a reason and that has to

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be a dynamic option in the passing game

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and you look at it last year all the

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frustration with the Andre Swift even

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though he only played 42 percent of the

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snaps he still ranked 10th among all

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running backs in targets Gibbs is going

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to play more than 42 percent of the

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snaps and in weeks one through six he's

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basically going to be their number two

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Target because Jameson Williams

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suspended and who else did they really

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have at wide receiver I mean Marvin

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Jones Sam laporta the tight end Jamir

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Gibbs is going to have a chance to come

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in right away and be an impact player in

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this passing game and show what he can

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do and he'll probably get more touches

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than DeAndre Smith got last year because

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he's such a dynamic player and they just

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use the number 12 pick on him they're

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going to use him in this offense and any

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running back who finishes the season

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with 80 or more receptions in your PPR

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leagues is going to be a top 12 running

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back almost by default Jamir Gibbs

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typically goes in the fourth round a

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fantasy drafts to me way too low so I

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will gamble on the upside of Jamir Gibbs

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here 80 plus catches well within reason

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even 100 catches not out of the question

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so for me Jamir kibbs in the fourth

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round all day long alright so that's

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four of my favorite early round running

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backs but how about wide receivers you

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can check them out right here

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Ähnliche Tags
Fantasy FootballRunning BacksDraft StrategyBijan RobinsonJonathan TaylorRhamondre StevensonJamir GibbsFantasy LeaguesCash PrizesFootball AnalysisDynasty League
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