⚠️WATCH IF YOU OWN #PLTR #SOFI #NVDA #AMD #HOOD #TSLA

Summary

The video delivers a broad year-end analysis of major tech stocks—including Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, Oracle, Palantir, AMD, Robinhood, and SoFi—highlighting how holiday-driven low trading volume distorts short-term market signals. Felix emphasizes focusing on trends, institutional behavior, and the 50-day moving average rather than reacting to misleading low-volume dips. He discusses which stocks show strong momentum, which are stagnating, and which look risky, while introducing his systematic “Trend Monster” trading experiment based on institutional fear indicators and VIX dynamics. The message encourages disciplined, data-driven investing over emotional decision-making.

Takeaways

• 😀 Felix and Winston provide an analysis of various tech stocks, including Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla, focusing on their potential in late 2025 and early 2026.
• 😀 The video emphasizes that the trading activity over the holiday period (such as Friday) is largely irrelevant due to low trading volumes caused by institutional holidays.
• 😀 Nvidia is performing well but has been in a sideways trend since August, which could indicate a potential breakout in the future.
• 😀 AMD is showing weak performance with a declining 50-day moving average and a lack of momentum, making it less attractive for investment at the moment.
• 😀 Google is described as undervalued compared to its competitors, and its AI capabilities make it a strong stock with potential for growth despite recent challenges in the search market.
• 😀 Amazon's stock has been stagnant, but the company’s performance in cloud computing and subscriber growth suggests long-term value despite recent underperformance.
• 😀 Meta is in a recovery phase, with a pattern of up and down movements, making it risky to invest without further confirmation of upward momentum.
• 😀 Tesla is performing well, with a strong rally and significant volume, but investors should watch out for resistance at $500 before making any moves.
• 😀 Oracle’s stock is heavily leveraged and reliant on AI for growth, but it carries significant risk, and buying it solely because it's cheap is not recommended.
• 😀 Palantir's stock is showing healthy growth with a strong upward trend, making it a promising option for potential investors.
• 😀 Felix is running a systematic trading experiment based on institutional investment strategies, aiming to outperform the market by using a data-driven approach and transparency in tracking wins and losses.

Q & A

Why does Felix say that market movements on Friday are mostly irrelevant?

Because trading volume was extremely low due to holidays, meaning that price movements were not representative of real institutional activity.

What is the significance of the 50-day moving average line in Felix’s analysis?

Felix uses the 50-day moving average as a trend indicator—when a stock trades above an upward-sloping line, he views it as generally bullish; when below a downward-sloping line, he considers it a warning sign.

Why does Felix believe Nvidia remains strong despite recent sideways movement?

Nvidia is still far ahead in chip performance and revenue, and the stock remains above the 50-day moving average, indicating continued strength even during consolidation.

What concerns does Felix have about AMD?

AMD is trading below a declining 50-day moving average and lacks momentum, suggesting weakness despite previous rallies.

Why is Felix optimistic about Google?

He views Google as undervalued relative to peers, believes AI will not replace search in the near term, and sees the stock in a strong uptrend with minimal overhead resistance.

Why does he see Amazon as undervalued despite months of sideways trading?

Because Amazon’s fundamentals—profitability, subscriber growth, and cloud revenue—have improved even though the stock price hasn’t reflected it.

What pattern does Felix identify in Meta’s stock behavior?

Meta tends to move in cycles of uptrends, sideways consolidation, and pullbacks. He prefers waiting for the 50-day moving average to flatten and turn upward before buying.

What makes Tesla look strong according to Felix?

Tesla is well above its upward-sloping 50-day moving average and has clear room to rise before hitting major resistance near $500.

Why does Felix avoid Oracle despite AI enthusiasm?

Oracle is heavily leveraged, and if the AI boom slows, the stock could fall sharply. He avoids buying simply because a stock appears cheap.

Why does Felix find Palantir’s chart healthy?

Palantir is forming a consistent upward zigzag pattern and recently broke above previous resistance, suggesting continued upward movement.

What is the issue with Robinhood (HOOD) from Felix’s perspective?

HOOD trades below a declining 50-day moving average and is underperforming competitors, making it unattractive.

How does Felix evaluate SoFi at its current level?

SoFi is below its 50-day moving average and going sideways, but slightly higher lows offer a small positive sign. He is holding due to his stop placement but would not buy more.

What is the Trend Monster experiment that Felix is running?

It’s a systematic trading approach based on institutional behavior and VIX-related signals. Felix is investing $1 million of his own money and will publicly share results with students.

How does Felix interpret the VIX in relation to institutional behavior?

He sees the VIX as reflecting institutions’ demand for crash insurance—high readings mean fear and potential caution; low readings suggest confidence and greater opportunity.

What warning does the ending of the video refer to from major banks?

JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Goldman Sachs are reportedly warning institutional clients despite strong GDP data, which Felix suggests may be misleading or “fake.”