Teknik Agresif Order Block + Konfirmasi SNR || SL Tipis & Sangat Akurat || + Backtest Market Crypto

Summary

This video introduces a supply and demand trading strategy for the crypto market, explaining how to identify key market zones and apply break of structure principles for trend analysis. The strategy utilizes multiple timeframes and EMA indicators to confirm trends, with a focus on entering trades at optimal supply and demand zones. The speaker demonstrates the approach on a BTC/USD chart, using limit orders and confirmation for entries. The video emphasizes risk management with a 1:5 risk/reward ratio and the importance of extensive backtesting to refine the strategy.

Takeaways

• 😀 Understand the importance of identifying supply and demand zones in the crypto market for better trade execution.
• 😀 EMA indicators (50 and 200) help identify market trends: use EMA 50 above EMA 200 for an uptrend, and EMA 50 below EMA 200 for a downtrend.
• 😀 A Major Break of Structure (MOS) occurs when a significant price level is broken, signaling a potential change in the trend.
• 😀 A Minor Break of Structure (mOS) is a smaller price movement that does not necessarily indicate a trend reversal.
• 😀 Focus on entry using limit orders at order blocks and confirmation for entries at support and resistance (SNR) zones.
• 😀 Time frame selection is key: Use higher time frames (Daily, H4) for trend analysis and lower time frames (H1, M15, M5) for precise entries.
• 😀 Backtesting is essential: A short backtest can provide insights, but a larger sample (50-100 trades) is recommended for accurate results.
• 😀 The strategy includes using Risk/Reward ratios (1:5 in the example) to measure potential profitability.
• 😀 Understanding how to manage stop losses and take profits is critical for consistent trading results.
• 😀 The market's behavior at resistance zones, including patterns like engulfing candles, can provide strong signals for entries or exits.

Q & A

What is the core trading strategy discussed in the video?

The core strategy discussed is the Supply and Demand strategy, which focuses on identifying supply and demand zones, strong support and resistance, and key order blocks in the crypto market. This strategy is based on analyzing market trends, breakouts, and entry points using various time frames.

What does 'Mayor break of structure' mean in this strategy?

A 'Mayor break of structure' refers to a significant trend change in the market, such as when a higher high or lower low is broken, indicating that the market is transitioning from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa.

What is the significance of identifying the 'Change of Character' in market trends?

The 'Change of Character' marks the point where a trend shifts, either from an uptrend to a downtrend or the reverse. This shift happens when the market breaks previous swing highs or lows, signaling a potential trend reversal.

How does the strategy define the market trend using moving averages?

The strategy uses the Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) of 50 and 200 to determine the market trend. If the EMA 50 is above EMA 200, the market is considered in an uptrend, and only buy positions are considered. If EMA 50 is below EMA 200, the market is in a downtrend, and only sell positions are considered.

Why is the use of multiple time frames important in this strategy?

Using multiple time frames helps refine entry points. Higher time frames identify the broader trend, while lower time frames allow for more precise entries, ensuring better price points and reducing risks in trade execution.

What role does the Fibonacci retracement play in this strategy?

Fibonacci retracement is used to fine-tune entry points within identified order blocks. Specifically, traders use the 50% level of the retracement zone to place limit orders for better price precision in the market.

What is the difference between order block zones and support/resistance zones?

Order block zones are areas where the market has previously shown strong reversals, often after a large movement. Support and resistance zones are key price levels where the market has historically bounced or faced rejection. The strategy treats order block zones as more definitive entry points, while support/resistance zones often require confirmation before entry.

What is the primary risk management technique used in this strategy?

The primary risk management technique involves setting stop-loss orders just above or below the identified order block zones, adjusting them using the Average True Range (ATR) for volatility. The target profit is typically set at a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:5.

How does the strategy handle entries and exits based on market momentum?

The strategy focuses on momentum confirmation, especially around supply and demand zones. If the market shows a clear engulfing candle or rejection pattern at these zones, it serves as confirmation to enter the trade. Exits are based on pre-determined stop-loss and take-profit levels or market structure breaks.

What is the impact of trading with a higher risk-to-reward ratio like 1:5?

A higher risk-to-reward ratio, such as 1:5, means that the trader is aiming for a larger profit relative to the risk taken. This can lead to higher profitability if successful, but it also means that fewer trades need to be profitable to achieve a positive outcome. However, it requires precise entry and exit points to avoid large losses.