What Business to Start in 2023

Leila Hormozi
1 Dec 202210:16

Summary

TLDRThis video offers a framework for deciding which business opportunity to pursue. Layla shares a 10-step process she and Alex used to build acquisition.com, focusing on strategy and decision filters. The steps include assessing market opportunities, margins, strengths, and personal preferences. She emphasizes creating a mission statement and identifying core values as key filters for making decisions. Ultimately, Layla advises choosing a business where the worst-case scenario is manageable, instead of chasing potential profits, and cautions against relying on emotions or external influences when making a decision.

Takeaways

  • 📋 Start by identifying all business opportunities you're considering and write them down.
  • 🔍 Analyze the pros and cons of each opportunity, considering market growth, typical margins, and overall opportunity.
  • ❌ Eliminate any business opportunities that have more cons than pros, regardless of personal feelings.
  • 👍 Write down what you like and dislike about each opportunity to ensure you're personally aligned with the business.
  • 💪 Consider your strengths and weaknesses in relation to each opportunity and eliminate those that don't match your core skills.
  • 🎯 Define a mission statement for your business, as it serves as a decision-making filter for future opportunities.
  • 💡 Identify the core values required to achieve your mission and ensure they align with your personal values.
  • ✅ Narrow down the remaining opportunities and check if they align with your mission and values.
  • 💭 Consider the worst-case scenario for each opportunity, choosing the one where you can handle the downside.
  • 🧠 Focus on choosing a business based on risk tolerance, not just potential profit, and make decisions accordingly.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of the video?

    -The video focuses on helping individuals figure out which business opportunity to pursue using a strategic decision-making process.

  • Why does the speaker emphasize the need for a strategy when choosing a business opportunity?

    -The speaker emphasizes strategy because without it, having multiple opportunities can be overwhelming. A strategy helps create decision filters to narrow down and evaluate options effectively.

  • What is the first step in narrowing down business opportunities?

    -The first step is to write down the top business opportunities you are considering. This gives you a clear view of your options before applying further filters.

  • How does the speaker suggest evaluating the pros and cons of each business opportunity?

    -The speaker suggests evaluating opportunities based on market growth, margins, and overall market potential. For each opportunity, you should assess whether these factors are a pro or con.

  • What should be done with opportunities that have more cons than pros?

    -Opportunities with more cons than pros should be immediately eliminated from consideration, regardless of personal feelings toward them.

  • Why is it important to consider your likes and dislikes about each business opportunity?

    -It's important because even if a business has high potential, if you dislike the core aspects of the business, you are less likely to succeed. The speaker advises eliminating opportunities you dislike more than you like.

  • How does the speaker recommend aligning business opportunities with personal strengths and weaknesses?

    -The speaker recommends choosing business opportunities that align with your core strengths. If an opportunity doesn't require your strengths, it's better to eliminate it.

  • What role does a mission statement play in choosing a business?

    -A mission statement acts as a decision-making filter. It clarifies the purpose of the business, and any opportunity that doesn’t align with this mission should not be pursued.

  • What should be the final consideration when choosing between two business opportunities?

    -The final consideration is to evaluate the worst-case scenario for each opportunity. The speaker advises choosing the option where you can live with the worst-case outcome.

  • What is the speaker's advice on avoiding emotional decision-making in business?

    -The speaker advises not to rely on emotions or how much money an opportunity could make when starting a business. Instead, consider how much you could potentially lose if it fails and whether you can live with that outcome.

Outlines

00:00

🧭 How to Choose the Right Business Opportunity

In this paragraph, the speaker introduces the challenge of choosing the right business to start. They explain that while they don't typically give advice on this topic, they receive many inquiries about it. Using their experience with Acquisition.com as an example, they describe how having too many business opportunities can be overwhelming without a strategy. The solution involves creating decision filters through a strategy, which helps narrow down the options by passing each opportunity through constraints and evaluating if they align.

05:01

📊 Evaluating Market Opportunities and Margins

Here, the speaker outlines a 10-step process for evaluating business opportunities. The first few steps involve listing out potential business ideas and analyzing the pros and cons of each one. Factors such as market growth, margins, and opportunities in specific industries are emphasized. For example, comparing the market growth of Airbnb with an online education business helps to evaluate which has better potential. If a business idea has more cons than pros, it should be eliminated, regardless of personal feelings.

10:03

✅ Likes, Dislikes, Strengths, and Weaknesses in Business Opportunities

The speaker discusses the importance of writing down personal likes and dislikes about each business opportunity, as well as assessing strengths and weaknesses. They provide examples from their own experience, where they identified their core strengths in marketing and operational infrastructure, which helped shape the direction of Acquisition.com. Even when an opportunity has high potential, if the founders dislike the industry or aspects of the business, it's better to eliminate it. The importance of aligning strengths with the needs of the business is also highlighted.

🎯 Creating a Mission Statement for Your Business

In this paragraph, the speaker emphasizes the importance of establishing a mission statement for the business before delving into specific details. Using Acquisition.com and a previous gym business as examples, they show how a clear mission can act as the first filter for evaluating new opportunities. For any new venture, the mission statement should guide decision-making and help determine whether the opportunity aligns with long-term goals. Without a strong mission, it’s difficult to assess whether an idea is worth pursuing.

💡 Aligning Values with Business Goals

The speaker shifts focus to the values needed to achieve the mission in an authentic way. They stress that core values should already exist within the entrepreneur and not be aspirational qualities. The top three values should act as decision-making filters that align with the mission. For example, 'competitive greatness' is one of their values, and it drives them toward achieving their business goals. Values help shape the way the mission is executed and further refine which opportunities align with the entrepreneur’s path.

🔍 Assessing Worst-Case Scenarios in Business Opportunities

In this part, the speaker introduces the final step of the decision-making process: evaluating the worst-case scenario for each opportunity. They provide an example comparing the risks of starting a brick-and-mortar coffee shop versus an online store. The advice is to choose the opportunity with the downside you can live with. Rather than focusing on potential profits, successful business leaders evaluate the risks they are willing to take. The speaker reinforces that emotions and hypothetical big gains should not dictate the final decision.

🚀 Next Steps: From Zero to a Million

The speaker concludes by directing the audience to another video on how to grow a business from zero to one million dollars. This next step will provide tactical advice for scaling a business after deciding on the right opportunity. It serves as a follow-up to the strategic decision-making framework discussed throughout the video.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Opportunities

Opportunities refer to the various business ideas or ventures a person might consider pursuing. In the video, the speaker highlights how having too many opportunities without a strategy can be overwhelming. The process shared helps in filtering and selecting the best-suited opportunity based on personal strengths, market conditions, and risks.

💡Strategy

Strategy is defined as a set of constraints and decision filters used to achieve a goal. The speaker explains that a lack of strategy often leads to too many choices and confusion. A well-defined strategy helps in narrowing down opportunities by filtering them through specific criteria such as market growth, personal strengths, and potential risks.

💡Decision filters

Decision filters are the criteria or constraints applied to evaluate whether a particular opportunity fits within a set strategy. These filters help individuals assess if a business idea aligns with their goals, strengths, and values. The speaker stresses the importance of using decision filters to eliminate options that don’t align with your mission or values.

💡Market opportunity

Market opportunity refers to the potential for success within a specific industry or market. The speaker emphasizes analyzing the market growth rate and evaluating whether there is space for the business in that market. It's crucial to consider whether the market presents a 'pro' or 'con' for the business idea being considered.

💡Margins

Margins represent the profitability of a business, typically calculated as the difference between sales revenue and production costs. Higher margins indicate more profit potential. In the video, the speaker suggests comparing margins across different opportunities (e.g., Airbnb vs. online education) as a critical step in evaluating whether a business is worth pursuing.

💡Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths and weaknesses refer to personal or team capabilities that align with the business needs. The speaker advises evaluating how well your core strengths fit with the business model of each opportunity. For example, the speaker and her partner chose acquisition.com because it aligned with their strengths in marketing and operations, whereas other opportunities were rejected despite favorable market conditions.

💡Mission statement

A mission statement defines the purpose and guiding principles of a business. The speaker stresses the importance of crafting a mission statement early in the decision-making process to clarify what the business aims to achieve. Every opportunity should align with this mission, serving as a filter for future decisions. For instance, acquisition.com’s mission is to document and share best business practices.

💡Core values

Core values are fundamental beliefs or principles that guide behavior and decision-making in business. The speaker highlights how identifying and embodying values such as competitive greatness can provide a framework for building a business. The chosen values help determine whether a business opportunity aligns with the individual's approach and mission.

💡Worst-case scenario

The worst-case scenario involves considering the most negative potential outcome if the business fails. The speaker advises basing decisions on which business has a more tolerable downside, rather than focusing solely on potential profits. For example, the decision between opening a brick-and-mortar store versus an online store is made by evaluating which failure scenario (losing a lease vs. a smaller financial loss) is easier to live with.

💡Emotional decision-making

Emotional decision-making refers to making business choices based on feelings rather than objective analysis. The speaker warns against letting emotions guide decisions, particularly when assessing opportunities that might seem exciting or lucrative but carry significant risk. Instead, decisions should be grounded in strategy, mission, and a realistic assessment of risks.

Highlights

People struggle with finding the right business opportunity due to lack of strategy.

To identify the right opportunity, create a strategy with decision filters based on personal goals and constraints.

Step 1: Write down all possible business opportunities you're considering.

Step 2: Evaluate the pros and cons of each opportunity, focusing on market growth, margin, and overall potential.

Opportunities with more cons than pros should be discarded, regardless of how appealing they may seem.

Consider personal likes and dislikes when analyzing each business opportunity to ensure long-term interest and success.

Step 3: Identify personal strengths and weaknesses related to each business idea. Opportunities that don't align with core strengths should be discarded.

The best business opportunities align with both your personal strengths and the market potential.

Create a mission statement that aligns with your goals and filters opportunities based on how they fit into your larger purpose.

Values are the next decision filter after defining the mission. Choose values that align with your mission and shape how you'll achieve it.

The best way to decide between final business options is to assess the worst-case scenario and pick the one you can live with if it fails.

When choosing a business, avoid being swayed by how much money it might make. Instead, focus on potential losses and risks.

Do not rely on emotions when starting a business; make decisions based on structured frameworks and strategic filtering.

Choosing a business where the downside risk is manageable gives you the ability to pivot or restart without catastrophic losses.

The framework provided encourages decision-making based on worst-case scenario analysis, reducing the emotional impact of failure.

Transcripts

play00:00

today we are going to talk about how to

play00:02

figure out what business to start this

play00:04

is not something I normally talk about

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in fact I don't usually talk about how

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to start a business but I have so many

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people coming to me with questions of

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Layla I have so many opportunities how

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do I figure out which one is right for

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me what I'm going to share with you

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today is really the process that Alex

play00:16

and I used to figure out that

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acquisition.com was the opportunity we

play00:21

want to pursue there are a million

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opportunities out there and our list of

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opportunities in terms of all the

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different businesses that we could start

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was almost unending if you don't have a

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framework around figuring it out it can

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become very overwhelming and I

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completely understand that so my goal

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with this video is that you walk away

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feeling less overwhelmed than when you

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started watching the video so the first

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point I want to make when you lack

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strategy you have a lot of opportunities

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the reason that you're watching this

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video right now and you're thinking I

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need to figure out what opportunity to

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pursue the issue is they don't have a

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strategy what I want to First help you

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create is figure out what strategy

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you're going to pursue and then the

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constraints around that strategy

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constraints are decision filters

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strategy is a series of constrained that

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you create or conditions in order to get

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to a goal and then those constraints are

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really decision filters in which you

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filter all opportunities through those

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constraints and say do they pass or do

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they not pass if you have good decision

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filters most opportunities are good

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opportunities they are just not your

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opportunities so what I'd like you to do

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is honestly just do this live with me I

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really come down to 10 steps to figuring

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out what business opportunity to pursue

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if you have three four five

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opportunities that you're thinking of

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what I want you to do is pause this

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video and write those down because we're

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going to go through it line by line

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write down all the opportunities that

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you have what are the top five

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opportunities that are out there in

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terms of businesses that you could

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pursue step number two is I want you to

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write down the pros and cons of each

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what I want you to think about with pros

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and cons is what's the market

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opportunity if you have Airbnb as one of

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your opportunities go Google Airbnb

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right now and look at the market growth

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rate at what rate is the market growing

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and then compare that across all the

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five opportunities you have would you

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consider the market opportunity Pro or

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con second piece is margin I want you to

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take each of those opportunities that

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you have and Google what is the typical

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margin in that industry and then look at

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them and in comparison with the margin

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for Airbnb versus online education

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business be a pro or a con one might be

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10 one might be 50 obviously higher

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margins are better the third is really

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the market opportunity so you might see

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the growth rate in an industry is high

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but is there an opportunity for your

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business in that market is the growth

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rate the market opportunity and the

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margin considered a pro or con I'm not

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saying this is right or this is the

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standard this is just what I used to

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figure out acquisition.com now the next

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step is whatever ones out of those have

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more cons than Pros toss it immediately

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it doesn't matter how you feel about the

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opportunity if there are more cons than

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there are Pros immediately cross it out

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so do that before going to the next step

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I want you to write down your likes and

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dislikes about each of those

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opportunities so say you've got Airbnb

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and the average margin is going to be

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you know all in 30 it's got a pretty

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good growth rate decent opportunity so

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eyes what are your likes and dislikes do

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you like real estate do you like

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managing tenants do you like managing

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multiple houses or do you dislike those

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things do you want to have a team do you

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want to not have a team which businesses

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would require those things write down

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all the things that you like and don't

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like about what you currently know about

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each opportunity because here's the

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thing you're not going to know

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everything that goes in every

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opportunity but you do know off the bat

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do you like it or not like it and here's

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where a lot of people make the mistake

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is they pick something that might be the

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best opportunity it might have all the

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best growth rate it might have the best

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margins and they hate it if you

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hate it it's not gonna work second piece

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of that is that anything that you

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dislike more than you like crossed off

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immediately it doesn't matter if it's a

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billion dollar opportunity crossed off

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right now the fifth is I want you to

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write down your strengths and your

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weaknesses in relation to each

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opportunity if I look at acquisition.com

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listen to how me and Alex thought about

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this Alex is a fantastic marketer he's

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so good at social media and content all

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these things we can put so much content

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out there Alex is so good at doing that

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eventually we'll get people that just

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Google our name and want to invest their

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business is with us and on the other

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side I'm very good at operationalizing

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infrastructure and recruiting which then

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we happen to build around

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acquisition.com's core infrastructure so

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the business was built around both of

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our core strengths we looked at other

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businesses such as online weight loss we

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were like we could build the biggest

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health and fitness online company in the

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industry because that's something that's

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a core strength of both of ours we could

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be forward-facing we could be in the

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fitness industry we have background

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industry knowledge guess what we both

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hate that idea and so though we have

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more industry knowledge and we had all

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the market opportunity and everything

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was liner favor it was not something

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that we wanted to do now that you've

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identified where you're strong and where

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you're weak where your core strengths

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align with the core needs of the

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business any opportunities that you have

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on there where it does not involve your

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core strength is cross those out and now

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what you're left with are probably the

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opportunities that have Market

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opportunity have margin have a good

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growth rate what you like and you're

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good at and that's what you want and now

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once you have those what we're going to

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do is we're going to create your mission

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statement you don't have to have a

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business before you decide what the

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mission is for acquisition.com we were

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not 100 sure with the business we wanted

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to look like but we knew that we wanted

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to document and share the best practices

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of building a world-class business so we

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started with that mission statement and

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then we said what does that company look

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like what's your two statement the

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purpose of this business is two the

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purpose that I'm on the mission I have

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is two so like I said ours is two

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documented share the best practices of

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building a world-class business Jim

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launched we had gym Walsh for a very

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long time the mission was is to bring

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the industry from its knees to its feet

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the gym industry was falling and we

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wanted to make sure that we could

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actually bring it back up and so every

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business is going to have a different

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Mission but figuring out what your

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mission is before you get into all the

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hairy details is more important and the

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mission is your first decision making

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filter so every opportunity that you

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come across if it doesn't fit with that

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mission you're not going to pursue it so

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you have to understand that if somebody

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came to me and said Layla I want to make

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a TV show about you guys that sounds

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terrible and horrible in all many ways

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but at the same time is that going to

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help us document and share the best

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practices of building world-class

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business the answer is yes why am I

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making YouTube videos why am I making

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tick tocks I'm making Twitter because

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the mission is to document and share we

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bring all of those things through the

play06:01

decision making filter why do we have

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free courses on acquisition.com to put

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them through this decision making folder

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because that's the mission so once

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you've identified and just get a rough

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outline listen it doesn't even be

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perfect this doesn't even be something

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that sounds amazing like you can figure

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out the language later but like

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ultimately what do you want to do why do

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you want to do that opportunity now you

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have to say what is required to succeed

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at that mission what values must I hold

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in order to achieve that mission in a

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way that's authentic to me and that's

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the question I ask myself what values

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are required of me to achieve this

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mission that I already hold that a lot

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of people think core values they think

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these are things that I want to be these

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are things that I should be showing all

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the time but the thing is if you start

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talking about those core values you're

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going to start embodying them more and

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more so what you want to do is you want

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to pick out the values the top three

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that are most likely that if you embody

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them will get you to your mission the

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caveat is that you should already have

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these you know for us examples we have

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competitive greatness as one of our

play06:53

values if you're not competitively great

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if you're just money driven don't say

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you're competitively great but if you

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are competitively great but you're like

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I haven't honed in on that it's not in

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my messaging I haven't even talked about

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my companies that could be something

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that you're like but that would be a

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strategic advantage in accomplishing my

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mission and building this company then

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it would be your next decision-making

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filter or value and so if you think

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about it now that you've chosen the

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opportunity and you've put the

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constraint strategically on what your

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mission is the next three constraints

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are basically the how the values are

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going to dictate how you're going to get

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there this is my mission and every

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opportunity gets flowed through it do

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these align with the mission and then

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below it you're all the values there's a

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million ways to accomplish your mission

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but does the way that I'm being

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presented with or that somebody told me

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about does it align with the values is

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it going down the path that I've

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outlined to get to that mission if the

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answer is no then it's not for you and

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so now what I want you to do is I want

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you to take those maybe two

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opportunities you have left and I want

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you to say do they align with the

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mission and values I put here do they

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flow through those filters once you've

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come up and you've analyzed the business

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opportunity you've figured out this is

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my mission statement you have the values

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that are going to tell you how you're

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going to get there here's the last thing

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that you're going to do is you're going

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to write down say the last two

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businesses that are opportunities for

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you and what you're going to say is in

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the next column you're going to put what

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is the worst case scenario if this

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business fails I'll give you an example

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say you want to start a coffee business

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and you're like I want to start a brick

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and mortar coffee business but maybe

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I'll do it online instead and then

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you're like Layla which one should I do

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should I start a brick and mortar coffee

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store or should I start an online coffee

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store I'm going to say this to you

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what's the worst case scenario if the

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brick and mortar store fails and maybe

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you say Layla if the brick and mortar

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store fails I've just signed a five-year

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lease which I put all of my money into

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because the down payment for the lease

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was like 50 Grand which is all I have

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saved and then now I'm going to owe on

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the lease but I'm not gonna have a

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coffee store because it failed I'm like

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okay well that sucks it's gonna be a lot

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of debt what about at the online store

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fails I only have to invest a couple

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thousand dollars into maybe like a

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course on how to build an online store

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and then for the inventory for the

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coffee worst case I'm probably out like

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10 15 grand in my opinion choose the one

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that you can live with the downside more

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than the other the best CEOs make

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decisions based on worst case scenario

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which worst case scenario could you live

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with so rather than looking at oh my God

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I could make a hundred million or a

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billion dollars this guy told me on this

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ad what is the worst case scenario you

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could live with and pick that one that's

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it now that you've gone through all the

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filters pick the one in which you could

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live with the worst case scenario if it

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failed and so I can tell you that we

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were looking at acquisition.com there's

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a million other businesses we could have

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started or ways we could have built we

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could have built a real estate portfolio

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we could have built a d2c business we

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could have done all these things at the

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end of the day it comes down to what

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what is the worst case scenario if it

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fails and for us the worst case scenario

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of actors.com were to fail we'd lose

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very little capital and if anything we

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gain a ton of knowledge and insight so

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moral of this framework is that you

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can't rely on emotions to start a

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business people everywhere everyone's

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telling you what kind of business to

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start they're most likely monetarily

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incentivized to tell you to start that

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kind of business they're like you have

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to start Airbnb it's the best

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opportunity no you sell Airbnb as

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an opportunity I'm sure it is to you

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because you're going to make money from

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that guy last thing I'll say is that you

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cannot rely on how much money an

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opportunity would potentially make you

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when you are first starting out you

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almost have to ask yourself how much

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money will I potentially lose if it

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fails and can I live with that so listen

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if you've watched this video and you've

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determined what you want to do you can

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also go to my video zero to one million

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and then I'll talk about the process of

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going from zero to a million dollars and

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what that takes tactically in a business

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Business StrategyOpportunity SelectionDecision MakingMarket AnalysisGrowth RateMarginsMission StatementCore ValuesRisk AssessmentEntrepreneurship
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