China's EMERGENCY Bailout of Stocks and Real Estate EXPOSED!
Summary
TLDRThe video discusses recent market movements, focusing on China's aggressive stimulus plan to revive its economy, its impact on global markets, and commodity prices. It also covers technical analysis of the Futures Market, including the significance of the recent high and the role of commodity trading advisers. The presenter anticipates potential inflationary pressures due to increased demand for commodities and discusses various stocks and sectors that could be affected, including tech news and economic data releases.
Takeaways
- 📈 The market experienced a recent high due to news from China and tech sector developments.
- 🇨🇳 China's stimulus measures are the most aggressive since the pandemic, aiming to boost the economy.
- 📊 Technical analysis highlighted the importance of specific price levels and resistance/support areas in market movements.
- 📉 Negative CPI data and CTA (Commodity Trading Advisors) selling had a significant impact on market trends.
- 📱 Tech news influenced market movements, with NASDAQ showing particular sensitivity to these developments.
- 📊 The script emphasized the importance of watching how the market acts at specific levels for trading insights.
- 🌐 China's economic performance and stimulus plans have global implications, affecting commodity prices and inflation.
- 📅 Upcoming economic data releases, like GDP and PCE, are closely watched but might be overshadowed by market stimulus.
- 📊 The script discussed various technical indicators like moving averages and RSI to gauge market sentiment and potential pullbacks.
- 🔍 The discussion pointed out the potential for increased demand for commodities like oil and copper due to China's economic policies.
Q & A
What is the significance of the recent high in the Futures Market mentioned in the script?
-The recent high in the Futures Market is significant due to the news out of China and some tech news, which are factors that have influenced the market movement and are expected to impact future trends.
What economic data was mentioned as not great in the script?
-The script refers to some economic data that came out as not great, specifically mentioning GDP and PCE, which are key indicators of economic health.
What is the importance of the technical level mentioned around the 16th in the script?
-The technical level around the 16th is significant because it's where commodity trading advisers (CTAs) started selling, creating a high level of pressure on the market.
Why is the negative CPI mentioned in the script?
-The negative CPI is mentioned because it represents a month-over-month decline for the first time, which is a rare economic event that can significantly influence market behavior.
What does the script suggest about the behavior of algorithms and high-frequency traders?
-The script suggests that algorithms and high-frequency traders can be predicted to some extent because they operate based on specific levels and patterns, which can be used by others to their advantage.
What is the significance of the 'bull flag' mentioned in the script?
-The 'bull flag' is a technical analysis pattern that suggests a potential continuation of an uptrend. Its mention in the script indicates a possible bullish sentiment in the market.
What is the role of the stimulus mentioned in the script in influencing market movements?
-The stimulus mentioned in the script is significant because it can inject capital into the economy, potentially leading to increased consumer spending and business investment, which can positively affect market movements.
What is the significance of the NQ (Nasdaq 100) levels discussed in the script?
-The NQ levels are significant as they represent key support and resistance levels that can influence the direction of the Nasdaq 100 index, which is a leading indicator of tech sector performance.
What does the script suggest about the consumer confidence index and its impact on the market?
-The script suggests that a decline in the consumer confidence index can lead to a negative market reaction, as consumer confidence is a key driver of economic activity.
What is the significance of the China stimulus plan mentioned in the script?
-The China stimulus plan is significant because it represents a major effort by the second-largest economy to stimulate growth, which can have global market implications, including potential increases in commodity prices and inflation.
What does the script suggest about the potential overbought conditions in the market?
-The script suggests that the market might be overbought, particularly based on certain technical indicators and historical levels, which could预示着 a potential pullback or correction.
Outlines
📈 Market Reaction to Economic News and Technical Analysis
The paragraph discusses the market's reaction to recent economic news, particularly from China, and its impact on the futures market. The speaker highlights the significance of technical analysis, mentioning a 'bull flag' and the importance of understanding market mechanisms. They also discuss the influence of GDP and PCE data, as well as the reaction to economic data releases. The speaker emphasizes the role of commodity trading advisers (CTAs) in market movements and how they operate based on specific technical levels. The discussion also covers the importance of past market highs and support levels, the role of the Federal Reserve's actions, and the anticipation of further market stimulus.
📉 Analyzing Market Movements and China's Economic Stimulus
This section delves into the detailed analysis of market movements, focusing on resistance and support levels. The speaker discusses how these levels can flip from resistance to support and vice versa, using the NQ (Nasdaq 100) as an example. They also touch upon the impact of economic data, such as consumer confidence, and how it can lead to market reactions. The paragraph then shifts focus to China's economic stimulus package, which is described as the most aggressive since the pandemic. The speaker outlines the key components of China's stimulus, including interest rate cuts and the release of funds to banks, and discusses the potential global market implications of such measures.
🌐 Global Market Dynamics and Commodity Prices
The speaker explores the interconnectedness of global markets, particularly the relationship between China's economic policies and the US dollar. They discuss how China's decision to cut rates can influence the value of the yuan and the potential for overheating their economy. The paragraph also covers the impact of China's stimulus on commodity prices, such as oil, copper, and gold, and how these price movements can affect inflation. The speaker suggests that while the market may be overbought, there are signs of a potential pullback, and they highlight the importance of upcoming economic data releases, including GDP and PCE, as well as corporate earnings reports.
💻 Tech Stock Analysis and Market Expectations
In this paragraph, the focus is on the tech sector, particularly semiconductor stocks like Nvidia. The speaker discusses the potential reasons behind Nvidia's stock price movement, including the selling activities of company insiders and market reactions to news about semiconductor production expansions. They also touch upon the broader market sentiment, suggesting that there is a mix of optimism and caution. The speaker anticipates potential market movements based on upcoming earnings reports and the performance of tech stocks, emphasizing the importance of understanding market catalysts and the influence of individual company news on overall market trends.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Futures Market
💡Technicals
💡Macro
💡CTA
💡CPI
💡NASDAQ
💡Stimulus
💡Bull Flag
💡Resistance and Support Levels
💡Economic Data
💡Inflation
Highlights
Recent closing high on Futures Market
News from China impacting the market
Technical analysis of market movements
Importance of understanding market mechanisms
Economic data release and its market impact
Stimulus and its effect on market movement
Technical levels and their significance in trading
Commodity Trading Advisers (CTA) and their market influence
Negative CPI and its effect on market levels
Bull flag formation and its implications
Key support and resistance levels identified
Impact of algorithms and high-frequency traders
Economic news on the tech front influencing the rally
Consumer confidence fall and its market reaction
Importance of watching key levels for trading decisions
China's aggressive economic stimulus plan
China's Central Bank stimulus and its global impact
Comparison of China's and US's economic policies
Commodity prices and their relation to inflation
Market overbought conditions and potential pullbacks
Upcoming earnings reports that could move the market
Nvidia's breakout and its significance
Taiwan Semiconductor and its expansion plans
Transcripts
s with a recent closing high right here
on the Futures Market it's not overly
surprising considering the news out of
China today we also got some tech news
that's moving us a little bit and we'll
walk through what the mechanism is that
probably pushes us out of this it's
certainly something that a lot of people
didn't predict so we're going to spend
some time on it so that you can
understand the mechanisms that got us
here but you can see that right here one
two three and over what we're going to
do is just blow this up so you can say
it all of a sudden you have this small
bull flag right over us and of course we
have GDP that week n pce as well um you
do have some economic data that did come
out today that wasn't great we're going
to discuss that but I don't think it's
going to matter considering the stimulus
that the market just got so let's get
into it we're going to just start with
the technicals and then we'll get into
some of the macro so we know that this
band this has been the band that we've
been concerned about we'll start on the
hourly and then we'll go from there and
this band obviously is the high right
here on the 16th and this is right
around where CTA where there's commodity
trading advisers where they started
selling everything and it's a pretty
technical way that they do it they do it
off a system and it it does put a lot of
pressure on the market uh because
they're just very specific on certain
levels and we'll see this when we get to
the NASDAQ but getting through this is
critical but also remember in here this
is where you had the negative CPI so if
I'll leave these in for a second but
this is negative CPI right in here where
we had month over month was down for the
first time when we see the NASDAQ we'll
get right into that and you see our
level right here we're sitting and then
down here are some moving averages but
let's blow this up and as always the
devil's in the detail you can see how we
tried to rally and got completely
Matumbo again and again but what it did
was very different and I explained this
on yesterday you were getting Tighter
and Tighter and Tighter in here even
today look at this selloff down to this
level which is a critical level for us
and then you just bounce you bounc right
on it you can see that very very clearly
you that's one thing about putting these
levels in and then just zooming in on
them and just watching how you act at
very specific levels and you just sat
there and we all know what that level is
we've been going over it at nauseum this
is the movement at 2: p.m. Wednesday
with the fed and this was the high and
this is where you have resistance all of
a sudden becomes support it is that
exact area that is why I tell everybody
to Mark these places off see a lot of
people think that because you have
algorithms and high frequency Traders
how can you compete well they tell you
where they are so if you know where they
are you can use it to your advantage and
just watch how they act right off of
that you could see the bounce and then
we had some decent economic news on the
tech front we could see why we're
rallying here and we'll get into that
but if you take nothing else technically
from that video specifically the this
video Mark that off now let's get into
the NQ for a second we'll get into some
more of what's going on out there if we
start over here with the hourly and I
have this all marked off and if you're
in the community you know this um if
you're on the wait list I am going to
send out like a a blast for 24 48 hours
because a lot of people say that they
missed it because they were on vacation
uh so I will be sending that out so if
you are on there just be on the look for
an email in the next day or CTA cell
zone right here okay so this is that
commodity area that we were talking
about you can see the 17th 18th it
actually started up here this is where
it really kicked in for the NASDAQ and
that area from there it was on and again
here's the high on the market and that
is July 11th CPI month over month
negative this was monthly support you
tried to Rally you failed broke down
tried to get back through that CTA Zone
failed and you can see that we're making
these higher lows but the problem with
that is I don't have a month right I
need to trade so this is more of a major
trade and then go from there and if we
zoom into these levels this is where it
gets super interesting because here's
the moving averages sitting right here
and we're holding that area right a lot
of moving averages down here and here's
our Wick from Friday the 11th and then
you would just come right here and look
at where that Wick went on 2:00 on
Wednesday and then you would come
straight across look at our little area
which we could just obviously make a
little bit longer now and you didn't
really come all the way down to it this
way uh you kind of did but not really
when you start looking here on the nqs
if we drill into this you came close but
you didn't come to it exactly but there
it is again now we all know what
happened here with that consumer
confidence number but let's take a
second so consumer confidence tells you
how the consumer thinks they're doing
and this is just ripped from the
headlines of CNBC and they really just
say it best so we're going to use them
consumer confidence Falls the most in
three years so we're at 987 we were
looking for
1037 this is from 1056 in August this is
the biggest 1 month decline since August
2021 it's not good uh respondents
concerned about mostly jobs and
inflation so people are concerned and
this is what comes out and the market
drops at 10:00 now from here we actually
did Trad in here we actually shorted the
NASDAQ as soon as we saw this uh it was
actually a really simple trade but we
just shorted it worked out perfectly
tried to Rally failed back down and then
you get this reversal around 11:00 well
we start getting some news around 11:00
that's more micro than macro but I think
people started to actually understand
what was going on with China and why
this was so significant and we're going
to get into that in a second here but
tries to get over key level can't back
down finally gets over that rocket
science guys same stuff same sou
reheated right you're just watching
these key levels and watching how acting
at it if you're rejecting that becomes
resistance if you're over it becomes
support and you may look for tests and
you can see how we pushed so if we're
watching into this close now if we go to
this on the hourly and we watch this
band that we have up here which we can
all see this band and you come straight
across we can see where that is right
let me just pull that all the way over
now might as well just come keep all the
way over and what kept happening up here
was we kept trying to get in and failing
trying to get in and failing but towards
the end you can just see right here this
drop was not as precipitous as this one
this one was not as precipitous as that
one at the end of the day that's why
looking at longer time frame charts
sometimes could be so helpful and then
what they did was the old shake and bake
shaked you out then you higher high into
the close and now look where we are and
this coincides perfectly when you'll
hear everybody talking about this level
everyone's talking about 485 it's like
the cat's pajamas right now like
everybody's all over 485 especially for
the zero dated option crew they're all
watching that like Hawks and watch what
you did right here on that level so you
looked like you were going to break it
doy doe tells you what sign of
uncertainty whatever way the dogee
breaks is usually the way that you go
and that's what you did you broke down
and then you went from there dogee never
really broke this was the break bar and
then it played out perfectly actually we
were talking about this in the room
where I said looks like it's going to be
a perfect Rising Three which is actually
down you know up then down one two three
and then up this one stayed green it
wasn't red but you flipped it and it
does usually mean that you're going to
try to attempt these highs right here
and we'll see how that goes tomorrow now
you have some other data coming out
tomorrow with Micron and some things
that could really move the market but
one of the most important things we have
right now is what the heck's going on
with China because everybody kind of
whether or not you're living under Iraq
or not everybody saw this move on China
today and it's one of the strongest
moves that China has had uh in years and
the reason for that is this is the
strongest stimulus that they have done
in years it's not that they just cut
rates uh there was significantly more
than that so this was their most
aggressive plan stimulus plan since the
pandemic and obviously that's not me
saying it that is this is from Reuters
and obviously this is spreading out all
over the place I want to just give you
the highlights and what I think the
highlights are China's Central Bank
Tuesday unveiled its biggest stimulus
since the pandemic to pull the economy
out of its deflationary Funk there's a
couple Key Parts in here you might want
to listen to this a couple times the
broader than expected package package
offers more funding and interest rate
Cuts in the latest attempt by policy
makers to restore confidence in the
second largest economy you have to
understand something they are the second
largest economy if we lose them globally
the markets suffer if we don't have them
as consumers whether or not their
consumerism is where we want it to be or
not it doesn't matter but if you start
thinking about the air Maze of the world
the Louis Vuittons the Mercedes all of
it it's China just as much as it's the
US and there's a couple key things to
take away from this number one this is
about as significant as you can get more
I'll explain it but on its own it might
not be enough a lot of people are saying
they're going to have to do even more
that's interesting because what happened
to our economy when we stimulated it and
overstimulated it for 3 years well every
every body was a genius right everybody
was buying nfts they were jpegs they
were giving them fancy names they were
buying internet land you remember that
so can we overheat here yeah we can
overheat here are we at that spot where
we're overheated no no and they're
actually talking about more but let's
talk about what they're they're looking
at they're trying to inject funds into
the economy so this gentleman pan one of
the governors of the Central Bank cut
cash Banks must hold as reserves known
as reserve requirement ratios by 50
basis points this is going to free up
the equivalent of $142 billion that
these banks are going to have to lend
China is very different than the US and
in the US we suggest that they lend in
China they say lend they actually lend
so you have $142 billion that's going to
be flooded into their economy now not
only that the People's Bank of China cut
the 7-Day repo rate repo rate think
about when Banks easiest way to think
about a repo rate pict your Banks
lending to other Banks right so then if
you look at that they're cutting that by
20 and then they'll drop uh medium-term
lending Facility by 30 and Loan Prime
rates are going to come down by 20 to 25
basis points so their goal here is to
completely stimulate their economy and
if we look at this August economic
broadly missed all expectations their
data was disgusting it was really bad a
lot of their data was like really bad
and I think they you know I think they
finagle their data the same way the US
does but it was bad but the majority of
people think it might need more an
aggressive fiscal policy is required to
inject genuine economic demand bar and
this is far from being a bazooka
investment Banks including Goldman the
more UBS Bank America cut their growth
forecast this is always interesting to
me cuz we always suggest that we know
what's going to happen you know a year
ago it was predicted that China was
going to be the growth engine of the
world and right now they're having to
stimulate their economy by injecting
Capital into it China's latest measure
comes after US Federal Reserve last week
delivered a hefty rate cut now this is
important allowing them this is the Bank
of China to ease monetary conditions
without putting too much pressure on the
wand all right so remember everybody
will remember the Japanese trade the Yen
US dollar trade right let's clean this
off I'm not going to have time to edit
and what we have to think about is this
we know if you have a trade okay let's
just let me do it this way it'll be
easier if you have a trade where here's
the wand right and okay and that and
that is dropping okay and the US dollar
is going up you would sell the wand and
you would buy the dollar right but as
this spreads it puts pressure okay by by
them cutting so if they cut right where
Japan did what raised okay so if they
cut it actually widens the spread if
your the bank raises then it lessens the
spread to the US do you see see where
we're going with this so this would put
pressure on the wand if the US didn't
cut rates so let's walk through this
what is the current projection of the
United States and their cutting of rates
right now it's down they plan on cutting
rates so if they cut rates and China
wants to stimulate their economy along
with us and cut rates well they're not
going to put pressure on the wand this
is huge because as we cut they can cut
and still stimulate their economy they
are the second largest economy in the
world this is important to get you might
want to watch that part again but it's
very different than China raising
they're cutting okay we're cutting right
one's going in tandem the other's not
okay this is really important because
they can stimulate their economy through
cuts and they don't have to worry about
their currency exchange being out of
whack with us this is really an
important concept to get and I'll
explain why so if you look at fxi and
we're seeing this breakout and I'm not a
big person with Chinese name so I want
to just state that a matter of fact I
was pointing things out today and very
rarely do I take a look at wanting to
get involved with them but if I if I
look at something like this and the
break out of like PDD and how these are
rallying in Baba I get it and I see
these breakouts and they're stirring the
economy I think you need to look a
little further I think the way to do
this is twofold one if they stimulate
their economy then you're going to see
US Stocks go higher so I the fact that
XLE was actually down today is kind of
interesting to me because names like
Exxon benefit greatly from this but if
you go and take a look at things like
for example if I went to a look at crude
you see how crude is up today that's
because there's more demand now or going
to be more demand for oil based upon
what China just did if we take that into
account and just start looking at
everything else take a look at Copper
and what copper did today Copper's
breaking out because of what they did
and that's just starting that's a
perfect W down here and it's probably
one of the greatest moves copper ever
had take a look at FCX today we went
through these in the public premarket if
you don't watch that I suggest that you
watch them later we do it every single
morning we start between 8 815 I'm
shooting for eight we're getting there
uh but scco you can see this right here
and then they're always recorded as well
but look at these moves and these things
te c k these three names are just
getting started like it's not you're
just they're not going to come in and go
you know what we bought too much copper
it's that's not how this is going to
work that's not how any of this works so
once these things start commod like
Commodities start moving they start
moving so you're going to want to take a
look at that I'm going to take a look at
gold look at gold breaking out right go
take a look at Silver okay there all
these all of these Commodities are going
to start breaking out specifically the
metals and you can see how this is going
that's exactly what we can expect here I
don't think any there's any reason for
this to stop and I we all know that
uranium is probably going to continue to
move because now that's the new clean
energy and you can see the W here so we
have commodity prices moving now if you
think about this if commodity prices go
higher does that help or hurt inflation
it's going to hurt inflation and that's
what people are trying to figure out
like what is this going to do to
inflation and so some of these names
that were inflationary ba uh based like
xbi was moving based upon inflation labu
moving because inflation was going to
come down they were going to cut rates
we could start seeing some pressure on
some of these sectors now right because
all of a sudden like you're seeing this
with xbi right here all of a sudden you
you can even see like with the home
builders they're not moving as much why
well they're probably not going to be
able to cut rates as much if they keep
if China keeps cutting rates see we see
how we went through this if China keeps
cutting rates right so here's China
China's cutting R we're cutting rates
right if this keeps going then things
are going then the growth engine is
going to pick up if theow engine picks
up demand for Commodities picks up hence
the demand for infl inflation will pick
back up and we're not getting these you
know 200 basis point drops anymore so
there's a lot of moving parts to this
and that's why I suggested you might
want to watch that part again but you
are seeing a very healthy market now I
still think we're grossly overbought
from a couple different standpoints if
we go and take a look here for example
at uh let's go and take a look at this
layout for a second I'll show you this
one percentages above the the where you
are on the 5day the 20 the 50 and the
200 look you're at like some pretty Peak
levels you're not there on the 5day and
you're not really there on the 20 but
you're there on the 50 you're at you can
go higher they can always go higher but
when you get to these levels you're
usually due for some kind of pullback
and I'm not sure that we're just going
to it's just going to happen because
we're here but I it does make me
cautious now we did see signs of this
pullback earlier today and then it just
went away if we go and take a look here
in regards to to and I like using RSI
the most when I do this but if you go
here and take a look at like the spy for
example you're not overbought yet but
you're still up in that range and how
much higher is this thing just going to
decide to left you know we just don't
know yet without any kind of pullback
GDP pce coming in okay then you look at
the cu's you you're not there yet and
you just flipped you just made your
highest close that you've had since here
since July 15th so you're over on top of
that you're getting some really
interesting news tomorrow night good or
bad we're going to find out how bad
Micron is tomorrow night and when Micron
comes out with earnings tomorrow night
there are not a lot of people that are
expecting a big move here so if we get
this kind of move where it's hey maybe
it's not as bad as we think it is and
people say well how you know how do you
know I always look at it this way so you
had a 6% drop on earnings since earnings
we were down
33% quarter over quarter it's a big move
usually over 30 it's pretty staggering
so like here we did this with Tesla
before where we were measuring the moves
off these these drops so in other words
here's Tesla from this move down here we
actually went long into that but we were
down 30% in a quarter and it's just
that's an insane drop you know like if
you're down like four or 5% and then you
have another bad quarter you can get how
it can lead but there hits a point where
everything's baked in for example when
you had something like Airbnb here and
it dropped and then it kept going and
then drops again well by the time the
earnings came out and it dropped that
was it everyone's like you know what
that's enough but we don't care anymore
and then they started buying the stock
and if you look at where you're at
you're up about $20 from missing
earnings because it was so bad is is my
crime going to be that bad it could it
could be but you're starting to see
buying ahead of it now possibly that's
your covering but you're going to find
that out tomorrow on top of that we're
starting to see other names come to life
take a look at Nvidia today now Nvidia
after hours is breaking out this is a
flag we can say anything we want about
it but if we go and take a look here
you're back above the 55 I Ed a 12 a 22
and a 55 the 12's curling up you're
above the 22 you're above the 55 when
was the last time you were above all
these you you're coming back to that you
know August you haven't been here in all
of September so I think that that's
really important and there's a couple
driving forces why Nvidia move the way
that it did now one of the core things
out there is NVIDIA Shares are trading
higher because Jensen's done selling
stock I'm not really sure that that's
the case but that came out at one and
they were talking about it earlier out
there but the the baron report that's
out there is that he had to March 25 to
sell and that he's done um there's a
couple things about this one he can sell
stock whenever he wants he can just
start another you know file another form
for there's a lot of ways that this guy
could just sell stock so I don't know
that that's the the reason for the move
but let's just go on the and say that
maybe it is because he's out before
March 25 I would argue that does is that
good news that he's out because if if he
thought the stock was going higher
wouldn't he want to sell in March like
if he's getting out now is that really
good news now I I would think that he
that would be kind of telegraphing that
maybe he thinks it's not great now I am
long the video but I think it was this
at 11:05 Taiwan semc 7 and a half boost
Arizona expansion aims for for chips uh
production so they're ramping up faster
so this place in Arizona has been
lagging and they need financing and for
whatever reason the US government seems
to keep throwing money at Intel for some
godforsaken reason and not really help
the people that actually make the chips
uh or do the Fab work but B government's
approval for an additional 7 and a half
billion infused in the Taiwan
semiconductor okay taipe times called
Department of investment review
statement Capital injection 5 billion
investment Taiwan semiconductor and
Arizona approval in June chipmaker ji
reports claiming plans for new
Investments were backed by UAE now
capacity constraints have been an issue
and then you look at what happens right
around here at 11:05 when that hits the
tape and the stock just absolutely rips
and then if you come here at the same
time and you do something as simplistic
as just overlay Taiwan semi and go well
what did Taiwan semi do during this time
well Taiwan semi seemed to follow
exactly what this did during the same
period of time I don't think Taiwan semi
was going up because Jensen stopped
selling stock so I do think that it's
more tied to that than the Jensen report
and I think that this is very important
because one I don't view it if Jensen's
done selling as a positive um now
frankly the guy's got so much stock does
it really matter what he does yes and no
I mean if you thought your stock was
going higher would you really be in a
hurry to get out now you don't know his
capital structure or anything like that
but I I always am curious about that
kind of stuff I've been around a long
time to see that kind of stuff when
somebody wants out like when Bezos and
Elon wanted out like ASAP you knew there
was a problem uh and that's what they
did but what you're seeing here is you
have this Channel and we lifted and we
never gave any back what we're seeing
from it is I'm attributing it to
semiconductors and what I think our next
Catalyst might be and we don't know I
have no idea how it's going to go I have
my beliefs but like Micron tomorrow
night if micron's good and I'm above the
1222 and the 55 here you're going to
have a Litany of people that are going
to be looking at this name and going I
can't believe I had all these months to
build a position in Nidia and I didn't
do it now the flip side of that is you
probably have a bunch of people that are
going to be out there going oh it's
definitely not going to go in Micron
it's going to be a disaster and that's
what makes a market
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