WINNING AT TENNIS BETTING IS EASY: PRO GAMBLER EXPLAINS HOW!

Betting Analyst
7 Jan 202414:41

Summary

TLDRThis video tutorial guides viewers on how to independently find winning tennis bets. It introduces tennislive.net for player profiling, focusing on the WTA Orlando tournament. The speaker analyzes players' head-to-head records, ranking positions, and historical performance on different surfaces. They delve into individual player profiles, discussing Cory G's all-round skills and Emma Navaro's potential as an underdog. The video also touches on live rankings, player fitness, and the importance of considering tournament proximity and player motivation when betting. It concludes with a call to action for viewers interested in professional betting mentorship.

Takeaways

  • 🎾 **Value of Self-Education**: The video emphasizes that learning to find your own tennis bets is more valuable than receiving occasional free tips.
  • 📊 **Using Tennislive.net**: The website tennislive.net is recommended for profiling players, despite its simplicity, as it provides essential data for analysis.
  • 🏆 **Tournament Selection**: Focusing on specific tournaments, such as the WTA Brisbane and WTA Orlando, helps narrow down the betting scope.
  • 🤝 **Player Head-to-Head**: Checking the head-to-head record between players is crucial, as it provides insights into their past performances against each other.
  • 📊 **Player Profiles**: Detailed player profiles, including ranking positions and prize money won, are key in evaluating a player's current form and potential.
  • 📈 **Performance Trends**: Analyzing a player's win/loss ratio and performance on different surfaces (hardcourt, clay, etc.) can indicate their strengths and weaknesses.
  • 📅 **Tournament Proximity**: The timing and frequency of tournaments can affect a player's performance, with factors like fatigue and travel considered.
  • 📊 **Live Rankings and Odds**: Monitoring live rankings and betting odds can provide real-time insights into a player's form and market perception.
  • 🏓 **Player Consistency**: Players who consistently perform well in tournaments are more likely to repeat their success, a factor to consider when placing bets.
  • 🤔 **Consider External Factors**: Factors such as fitness, injuries, motivation, and fatigue can significantly influence a player's performance and should be taken into account.

Q & A

  • What is the main purpose of the video?

    -The main purpose of the video is to teach viewers how to find their own tennis bets and start winning on their own behalf, emphasizing that it's easier to learn betting through tennis.

  • Which website is recommended in the video for profiling tennis players?

    -The website recommended for profiling tennis players is tennislive.net.

  • What are the key statistics to consider when analyzing a player's profile on tennislive.net?

    -Key statistics include a player's ranking, total prize money won, win-loss record, surface performance, and past match outcomes.

  • Why is it important to look at a player's performance on different surfaces?

    -It's important to look at a player's performance on different surfaces to understand their adaptability and strengths on various playing conditions.

  • What does the video suggest about considering a player's age?

    -The video suggests that a player's age is not as important when they are young, but it might be a factor to consider when they reach their mid-30s.

  • How does the video recommend analyzing a player's recent form?

    -The video recommends analyzing a player's recent form by looking at their recent match outcomes, progression through tournaments, and surface performance.

  • What is the significance of a player's 'live ranking' mentioned in the video?

    -A player's 'live ranking' signifies their current ranking in the world, which is updated daily and reflects their recent performance.

  • Why is it suggested to watch a lot of tennis in the video?

    -Watching a lot of tennis helps in understanding a player's fitness, motivation, and body language, which are crucial factors in betting.

  • What are some factors to consider regarding a player's physical condition?

    -Factors to consider regarding a player's physical condition include injuries, bandaging, movement across the court, and fatigue from previous matches.

  • How does the video suggest using the 'horses for courses' theory in betting?

    -The 'horses for courses' theory suggests that if a player has won a tournament in the past, they are likely to perform well in it in the future, which can be used to inform betting decisions.

  • What is the final piece of advice given in the video for successful tennis betting?

    -The final piece of advice is to find the right odds that match the perceived chance of a player winning a match, aiming for odds over 2.5 if the player has a 40% chance of winning.

Outlines

00:00

🎾 Finding Winning Tennis Bets

The video script provides a guide on how to identify profitable tennis betting opportunities. It introduces a website, tennislive.net, as a resource for profiling players and analyzing their performance. The focus is on a match between Cory G and Emma Navaro, with no past meetings, and the video delves into their individual profiles, including rankings, prize money won, and win rates on different surfaces. It also discusses the importance of considering a player's age, recent form, and performance in past tournaments. The script suggests looking at match details for insights into a player's current form and suggests that watching a lot of tennis can help in assessing a player's potential to win.

05:02

📊 Analyzing Player Performance and Rankings

This section of the script continues the analysis of tennis betting by examining a player's performance over time, using Emma Navaro as an example. It discusses her win-loss record, surface preferences, and recent form, including a 3-0 start to the season. The script also touches on the importance of considering the proximity of tournaments and the potential impact of fatigue. It mentions the 'horses for courses' theory, suggesting that players who perform well in a tournament one year are likely to do so in subsequent years. The video also introduces other websites like core tennis for ranking history and odds portal for current betting odds, emphasizing the need to consider a player's progress and current form when betting.

10:05

👀 Identifying Underestimated Players

The final paragraph of the script highlights the importance of looking beyond surface-level statistics when assessing tennis players for betting. It introduces Alexandra sovich as an example of a player who, despite not getting deep into tournaments, has the potential to upset higher-ranked players. The video discusses the need to consider factors such as fitness, injuries, motivation, and fatigue when evaluating a player's chances. It also suggests that watching a player's body language and assessing their desire to win can provide valuable insights. The script concludes by emphasizing the importance of finding the right odds and having a comprehensive understanding of the game to become a successful tennis gambler.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Tennis Betting

Tennis betting refers to the act of placing wagers on the outcome of tennis matches. In the video, the speaker aims to educate viewers on how to identify potential bets in tennis, emphasizing the importance of understanding player profiles and match dynamics to make informed betting decisions. The video suggests that learning to bet on tennis can be a profitable venture, especially when one knows how to analyze players' performance data.

💡Player Profiling

Player profiling in the context of the video involves analyzing a tennis player's statistics, such as ranking, past performance, and win-loss records, to predict their potential in upcoming matches. The video uses the example of Cory G, discussing her world ranking and prize money won as part of her profile, which is crucial for evaluating her chances in future matches.

💡Surface

In tennis, the term 'surface' refers to the type of court on which a match is played, such as hardcourt, clay, or grass. The video highlights the significance of a player's performance on different surfaces when assessing their potential to win. For instance, the speaker notes that Cory G has a slightly higher win rate on clay compared to hardcourt, which could influence betting strategies.

💡Win Rate

The win rate is the percentage of matches a player has won out of the total matches played. In the video, the speaker examines Cory G's win rate, which is 69.6%, to gauge her overall performance and predict her likelihood of winning future matches. This metric is essential for bettors to evaluate a player's form and potential outcomes.

💡Tournaments

Tournaments in this context are the various organized competitions where tennis players compete. The video mentions different levels of tournaments, such as the WTA Brisbane and WTA Orlando, and their importance in the betting process. The prestige and prize money associated with each tournament can influence a player's motivation and performance, which are factors for bettors to consider.

💡Odds

Odds in betting represent the probability of a particular outcome and are used to determine the payout if a bet is successful. The video discusses how to interpret odds, such as those for a match between Cory G and Emma Navaro, to identify value bets. Understanding odds is fundamental to successful betting as it allows bettors to compare the perceived chance of winning with the odds offered by bookmakers.

💡Rankings

Rankings in tennis are a system used to determine a player's position relative to other players based on their performance in tournaments. The video uses rankings to compare players and assess their potential in matches. For example, Cory G's ranking of number three in the world is highlighted as an indicator of her skill and likely success in future matches.

💡Live Rankings

Live rankings are updated in real-time to reflect a player's current standing in the sport. The video mentions how live rankings can change as a result of a player's performance in a tournament, such as Emma Navaro moving up to a new career high of 31. Live rankings are important for bettors as they provide the most current information on a player's form and potential to win.

💡Asian Handicap

The Asian Handicap is a type of sports betting that aims to create a more level playing field by giving the underdog a head start. In the video, the speaker refers to using the Asian Handicap to bet on matches, such as betting on Emma Navaro plus six games, which can offer better value for bettors who believe the underdog might perform better than expected.

💡Fitness and Injuries

Fitness and injuries are critical factors in a player's ability to perform in a match. The video advises bettors to consider a player's physical condition, looking for signs of injury or fatigue, which can affect their performance. For instance, the speaker suggests that top players might not exert themselves fully in smaller tournaments if a major event is approaching, to avoid injury.

💡Motivation Level

Motivation level refers to a player's desire to win a particular match or tournament. In the video, the speaker discusses how a player's motivation can influence their performance, especially in relation to upcoming major tournaments. A player might not be highly motivated for a smaller tournament if a more prestigious event is near, which can be a factor in betting strategies.

Highlights

The video teaches viewers how to find their own tennis bets and win on their own behalf.

The website tennislive.net is recommended for profiling players.

The video focuses on the WTA Orlando tournament as a case study.

The importance of checking past meetings between players is emphasized.

Age and ranking positions are considered when profiling players.

Prize money won is a significant factor in evaluating a player's profile.

The video demonstrates how to analyze a player's win rate on different surfaces.

The significance of a player's performance in recent tournaments is discussed.

The video shows how to find match details and analyze a player's performance in specific matches.

The importance of considering a player's progression and development over time is highlighted.

The video explains how to use live ranking charts to assess a player's current form.

The impact of tournament proximity on a player's performance is discussed.

The video suggests looking at other websites for additional player data.

The concept of 'horses for courses' theory in tennis betting is introduced.

The video advises watching a lot of tennis to understand player fitness and motivation.

The importance of considering fatigue and turnaround time for players is highlighted.

The video concludes with advice on finding the right odds to become a successful tennis gambler.

Transcripts

play00:00

teaching you how to win a betting is

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more valuable than sharing the

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occasional free Pig in this video I'm

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going to show you the process of how to

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find your own tennis bets and start

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winning on your own behalf believe me

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when I say best of two sports is the

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easiest way to learn to become an

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originator if you want to find your own

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bets then let's crack on and take the

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challenge right so this is the website

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that we're going to be using it's called

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at tennislive.net as you can see is not

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pretty but it's free and it's enough for

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profiling players now you can see on the

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left hand side there is uh the

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tournaments this week it was taking

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place at the moment we've already

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reached a semi-final stage we've got the

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WTA brisban which is a 500 tournament

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worth about 1.7 million and we've got

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the WTA Orland which is like a 250 a

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lower grade and we're going to click on

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that one we're going to have a look at

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this one so let's go to the schedule uh

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as you can see like I said we're at the

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semi-final stage already and uh uh what

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the match that we're interested in is

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the Cory G against Emma Navaro so what

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we'll do is we'll click on the Ed to Ed

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and we'll just uh check them out how

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they play against each other you can see

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there's been no pass meetings between

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the two players it is actually nil nil

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so that's the first consideration uh

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whether the age interested your a player

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it's not really important when they're

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quite young like these players but maybe

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you know if one's getting to like 35 36

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you might want to of Tak on board the

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ranking positions the total price money

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that they've actually won until now

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right so let's dig into individual

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profiles let's start with Cory GF and um

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by clicking on her we can see she's

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ranked number three in the world that's

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her highest ranking position of all time

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she's already won 122 million in prize

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money and uh now it's important to go

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across to this box here which shows you

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a profile basically that's 3-0 this year

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uh in

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2023 she won 52 matches and lost 16 and

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uh yeah you can just basically see all

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the different years right so you can see

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a strike weight a win rate is 69.6 1%

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now also what they individualize here is

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the surface so we can get a good

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comparison and we can see that on

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hardcord which they're playing at the

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moment it's 68.7 one and on Clay 71.6 to

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and so on so is you know she's pretty

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much an allrounder we would soon

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establish from this profile now we're

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going to roll down and we're going to

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have actually look at uh you know the

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matches that she's been playing actually

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what we can do is first we can click on

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2023 because this year's games don't

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interest us so much for the time being

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and uh we'll start at the top so um this

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was basically the end of the season

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finals which you qualifi for because of

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her ey ranking and uh as we work down

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you know she we can see she made the

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semi-final in Beijing uh she she won the

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US Open and the interesting thing is

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right if you actually put your cursor

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over uh the competition you can see what

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it was worth so like the New York the US

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Open was worth 29.4 million in total

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prize money and you can see you know the

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difference in standards right uh Beijing

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was worth 8.1 two and the end of the

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season finals was also obviously a big

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one worth 9 million as we go further

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down the list you can see the smaller

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tournaments like in Berlin you know they

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just Worth 780,000 right which is

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relatively low when you're looking at

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what's above um and also you know you

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can see she didn't get particularly far

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in London but that's what you're

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actually uh seeing from you know Cory

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goia obviously is 19yearold going places

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she W loads of matches like last year

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and she's only going to get better with

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age isn't she so you know that's

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something you need to take on board and

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also if you want to actually have a look

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how she's succeeded you know how she's

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actually played in one of the

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tournaments right to match details you

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know against the specific uh specific

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player and just click on the match

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details and you can see uh you know how

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she actually performed that she had four

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aces one double fault in that match you

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know before going on to beat Maurice

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Sakari 6264 that was in Beijing if we

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click uh the back button uh then you

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know uh what we can also do is we can go

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across and do exactly the same for

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today's opponent Emma Navaro probably

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you would have heard her or she's

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probably less famous so to say um she's

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a 22y old ranking position 31 you can

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see last year she recorded 65 wins from

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8 to9 matches and uh uh you know what's

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interesting with her is that a lot of

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wins came on indor hard and um clay the

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clay tournaments right on Hardcore she's

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only 53.0 one% but if you also look

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there last year was a little bit better

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you know she probably won close to

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double the amount of tournaments that

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she lost on this surface and she's

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already 3-0 this season so you know

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she's Gathering pay she's starting to

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get her act together um and uh yeah

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probably just a late developer right so

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again what we can do is we can click on

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uh last year's performances and we can

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go through what she achieved and what

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the the thing that sort of stands out is

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that she carried on playing till the end

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of the season or past the end of the

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season normal season right and she won

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like a w 100 in chareston and uh reach

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the semi-final year Midland and so on

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yeah you know these were smaller

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tournaments but uh you know she did have

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a fair good whack early on in the year

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if you look at this in San Diego uh she

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reached the the semi-final that was a

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decent tournament she's beat the likes

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of marce Sakari there um you can roll

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down you can see she's beat Lea

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Fernandez the US Open finalist with Emma

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ranu back in the day in 2019 was it uh

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sorry 2020 uh so you know you can

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actually see uh the players that she's

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beat and the sort of success rate that

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she's had right so uh this is important

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uh also one thing I would definitely

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recommend is always have a look at the

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proximity of tournaments so this one

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ended uh she won the w60 in Charlesville

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on the

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30th and then she was playing Just 4

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days later in sealo in France so she's

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had to you know she's she's probably

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retired from that tournament she's

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actually traveled over to France

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probably getting prepared ready for the

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up and coming French Open at that time

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and uh you know she didn't get as far as

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sort of properly expecting that

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tourament she was knocked out in the the

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quarterfinals yes and uh but yeah this

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is how you sort of um you know establish

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a player's ability as you can see what

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they've achieved in the past and

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hopefully it's something for you to sort

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of take forward yeah um if we actually

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uh also another important fact is

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especially with the older players this

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this sort of horses for courses Theory

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that if they win a tournament one year

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they're probably going to do well in it

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the next year or at least get to the

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later stages now this uh happens quite

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often with young players like this is

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obviously going to be a lot more sort of

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difficult to show that but uh uh you

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know it's something that you need to

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consider yourself yes um if we look at

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other websites such as core tennis right

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we can actually see yeah U how Emma Naro

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has uh you know gone up the rankings so

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you know back in April 2018 she was only

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ranked 1,154 in the world and this is a

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charge you know this is how she's grown

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this is not a particular good website

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all he's got is uh you know showing you

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the sort of ranking history but you

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might be able to find it somewhere else

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if you can tell us any other sides by or

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me drop it in the uh the comments below

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but you can see that she's been

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Progressive and she's doing particularly

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well right so um and then if we want to

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go a little bit further with um em and

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Naro we can look at a live ranking uh

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this is a live ranking chart this

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actually shows you what's happening at

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the moment you know the is updated every

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day and what we can see is that Emma

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Naro she started the week uh what did we

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say um

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33 and now she's moved up to a new

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career eye of her 31 C

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31 right and she's in the semi-final of

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Oakland and if she gets through this

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round she's going to get

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1,595 points which will then move up to

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uh 29th Place in the rankings right so

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that's how these live rankings work I

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just thought it was important to sort of

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show you you know how

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that sort of flooded around and we could

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also look at the odds uh for that match

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obviously Cory G is massive favorites

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but you know she's been winning pretty

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easy but novaro might be a little bit

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underestimated there we can if we click

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on the actual odds this is on odds

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portel uh we can see our lines have uh

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moved over uh you know since the market

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opened right uh we can see that when

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Pinnacle came in they started at 109 and

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now they're at 110 and that's how you

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sort of uh can follow other Market has

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moved obviously you can go in the Asian

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handicap and you can bet a player uh to

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balance out you can go the minus six

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games or plus six games and you can bet

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Naro plus six games at 210 if you've got

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an account there and so on um while we

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looking around one thing I want to do is

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show you another player that sort of

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stands out for me and that's Al

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Alexandra sovich um she's older she's 29

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years old a career right career high was

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29 and at the moment she's ra ranked 18

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6 yes but you can see last year she had

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a negative balance she won 24 over 26

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games and this is uh yeah symbolic of

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her a little bit in that she's a

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talented player but I'm going to show

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you something now which is important you

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will see that she doesn't really get

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deep into tournaments you know she

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usually starts tournaments well she wins

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the first rounds there first rounds at

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least a qualification right and uh but

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then when it comes you know down to sort

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of nitty-gritty she gets KN out the the

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further sh she made it there was the

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semi-final of toen Bosch but she

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probably benefited from sansen NOA

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pulling out and you know but she made

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hard work of beating Min in the second

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um and these are players that are

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particularly interesting I'll tell you

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why because if you look at the players

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that they beaten you see she's 86 rank

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we said and she's beaten last year Emma

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novaro right that shows you what she can

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do she beat the Olympic winner Belinda

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benage which was who was ranked probably

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uh 2022 of the time right um she's uh

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got azena on the menu looking Berlin um

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so you can see you know she's actually

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beaten also the American Open winner

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sorry finalist here Fernandez you can

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see she's got the potential to be a bit

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of a um well spanner in the works for

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some of these top players but she does

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tend to fade in tournaments and this is

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what she can do by sort of pro profile

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in each individual player and the great

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thing is with tennis of course there's

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only like a couple hundred of players

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that really sort of counts so you know

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it doesn't take you long to sort of get

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into the uh the thought process of what

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should be happening and so on so let's

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move on to the next part other

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considerations that you're going to have

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to take on board and I'd encourage you

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to watch a lot of tennis to get the

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proper mindset for this is things like

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Fitness you're going to have to watch a

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player see if they're actually there

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wanting to win the tournament or if in

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good enough physical shape to play the

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tournament right so look for injuries

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look for bandaging a lot of them are

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carrying like heater bandages or you

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know bandaging on their thighs and so on

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and so look for the you know the

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movement how they're moving across the

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court right if they chasing the balls

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down um in this instance also consider

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body language you know if they really

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want it right and that also comes under

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the motivation level if you think about

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it right you know a big tournament is

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around the corner and a top players a

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smaller tournament they're not going to

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be making a massive amount of effort one

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thing is certain they're not going to

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get injured in the process just to win

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it right so you know bear that in mind

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it's really important in tennis to have

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a sort of a bigger view of what's going

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on right I would also suggest that if

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you are sort of betting into sort of

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third or quarterfinal third round of

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four quarterfinal stages of tournaments

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then you're going to have to be a little

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bit wary of the fatigue Factor so if a

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player has spent a long time on court or

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you know they played a lot of three

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setters there might not be as sharp also

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look look for the turnaround time you

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know we get weather conditions where uh

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players have had to turn out the same

play13:41

day or possibly they played until 2:00

play13:43

in the morning and then they got to play

play13:45

the next match at 8:00 the next day so

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you know this is things that you also

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need to consider if there's a big Grand

play13:51

Slam coming up uh players going to be

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relatively reserved in the you know the

play13:57

actual tournaments before and and uh

play13:59

these are really things that you've got

play14:01

to get into your mindset in terms of

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judging because at the end of the day it

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all comes down to one thing you've got

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to try to find the right odds what

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chance has that player got of winning

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that game if you think they've got a 40%

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chance right then you've got to find

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odds of over 2.5 and that's what's going

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to make you a successful tennis Gambler

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so that's all I've really got to say for

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now your through boot camp if you want

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to join uh the mentorship program you

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know get across to our website we're

play14:33

doing some stuff there for professional

play14:35

gamblers to get them to the next level

play14:37

other than that we'll catch you in the

play14:38

next one soon subscribe and take care

play14:40

for now bye-bye

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