Tesla (TSLA) Fires Then Hires? Chinese Tariffs Could Benefit Stock

Schwab Network
13 May 202406:32

TLDRTesla's stock price has experienced a 1.8% increase, despite a challenging year with a 31% drop. The company has introduced a promotional APR of 0.99% on Model Y purchases, significantly lower than the market rate, aiming to boost demand. Contrary to recent layoffs, Tesla is reportedly rehiring some of the 500 workers from its supercharging team. There's speculation that the Biden administration's potential increase in tariffs on Chinese EVs to 102.5% from 27.5% might benefit Tesla. Analyst opinions on Tesla are varied, with some advising to sell, others to buy, and some maintaining a neutral stance. The stock has been volatile, with significant options trading activity, and the company continues to be a topic of debate among investors.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Tesla's stock price is up by about 1.8% during the session despite a rough year with a 31% drop.
  • 🚗 Tesla introduced a promotional APR of 0.99% for qualifying Model Y purchases, which is significantly lower than the previous rate of up to 6.5%.
  • 🔥 The company has been reported to be implementing a 'fire and hire' strategy, with some of the 500 workers from the supercharging team recently laid off being brought back.
  • 💼 The Biden administration is considering substantial tariffs on Chinese EVs, which could potentially benefit Tesla by making their vehicles more competitive.
  • 📉 Tesla shares have seen a four-day losing streak, but the recent gains have snapped this trend.
  • 🇨🇳 The proposed tariffs on Chinese EVs are expected to rise from 27.5% to 102.5%, which could impact various industries beyond EVs, including batteries and minerals.
  • 📊 Tesla's stock has been volatile, with gains over the one-month timeframe but losses over three and six months.
  • 🤔 Analysts have varied opinions on Tesla, with some recommending to sell, others to buy, and some maintaining a neutral stance.
  • 💭 Guggenheim reiterated a sell rating on Tesla with a $126 price target, suggesting that current quarterly deliveries are tracking below their estimates.
  • 🚀 Despite the mixed analyst ratings, Tesla continues to be a highly discussed and polarized stock in the market.
  • 🌐 The impact of the potential tariffs on Chinese EVs is still uncertain, as China does not heavily rely on the US market for its EV sales.

Q & A

  • What is the current performance of Tesla's stock?

    -Tesla's stock is up about 1.8% on the session, although it's down about 31% on the year.

  • What promotional rate has Tesla introduced for Model Y purchases?

    -Tesla introduced a promotional rate of 0.99% Annual Percentage Rate on qualifying Model Y purchases, running between May 10th and May 31st.

  • How does the promotional rate compare to previous rates offered by Tesla?

    -The promotional rate of 0.99% is significantly lower than the previous rates, which were as high as 6.5%.

  • What is the reported strategy of Tesla regarding its workforce?

    -Tesla has reportedly implemented a 'fire and hire' strategy, where they are bringing back some of the 500 workers from the supercharging team that were let go last month.

  • What is the potential impact of the proposed Chinese tariffs on Tesla?

    -The proposed tariffs on Chinese EVs could be as high as 102.5%, up from about 27.5%. However, since China doesn't rely on the US market for its EV sales, the impact may be more symbolic than substantive.

  • How do the analysts' views on Tesla differ?

    -Analysts' views on Tesla are highly polarized, with some recommending a 'sell' rating, others suggesting a 'buy', and some maintaining a 'neutral' or 'hold' stance. The price targets range from as low as $22 to as high as $310.

  • What is the current quarterly delivery estimate for Tesla?

    -The current quarterly deliveries are tracking well below the 440,000 estimate, as per the analysts at Guggenheim.

  • What is the significance of the Guggenheim's sell rating on Tesla?

    -Guggenheim's sell rating and $126 price target indicate a bearish outlook on Tesla's stock, despite the stock's current gains.

  • How does Tesla's stock performance compare to other companies in the same industry?

    -Tesla's stock performance has been volatile and quick-moving, with no consistent trend observed over different time frames. It also has a short-term trading dynamic similar to meme stocks due to the high volume of options trading.

  • What is the median price target for Tesla among analysts?

    -The median price target for Tesla among analysts is $17,750, which suggests only about a $6 upside from the current trading price.

  • How does Tesla's stock performance reflect the overall sentiment towards the company?

    -Tesla's stock performance reflects a highly polarized sentiment, with a significant split among analysts between 'buy', 'hold', and 'sell' ratings, and a wide range of price targets.

  • What are some factors that could potentially boost Tesla's stock?

    -Factors that could potentially boost Tesla's stock include the promotional rate on Model Y purchases, the 'fire and hire' strategy, and the impact of proposed tariffs on Chinese EVs, which might give Tesla a competitive advantage.

Outlines

00:00

🚗 Tesla's Stock Performance and Market Dynamics

The first paragraph discusses Tesla's stock performance, which is up by 1.8% at the time of the video. Despite being down by about 31% for the year, Tesla shares are rebounding from a four-day losing streak. The discussion touches on various factors influencing Tesla's stock price, including a promotional rate of 0.99% APR on Model Y purchases, a fire and hire strategy where Tesla is reportedly rehiring some of the previously laid-off employees from the supercharging team, and potential tariffs on Chinese EVs being considered by the Biden administration. The paragraph also mentions the mixed analyst ratings on Tesla's stock, with some expecting a decline in Model Y inventory and others having a bearish outlook, while some are bullish with price targets ranging from $22 to $310.

05:00

📈 Analyst Sentiments and Tesla's Market Position

The second paragraph delves into the differing analyst opinions on Tesla. It highlights that out of 51 analysts covering Tesla, there is a split between buy and hold recommendations, with 20 analysts rating it as a buy and 21 as a hold. There are also 10 sell ratings, and the median price target is $17,750, indicating a modest $6 upside from the current trading price. The paragraph notes the difficulty in predicting Tesla's performance based on analyst commentary due to the company's volatile nature and the analysts' past inaccuracies. It also emphasizes Tesla's polarizing effect on the market, being one of the most discussed and debated stocks.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Tesla

Tesla is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company known for its innovative electric cars, solar energy products, and battery storage solutions. In the video, Tesla is the central topic as the discussion revolves around its stock performance, recent business strategies, and the impact of various market factors on its operations.

💡Stock Price

The stock price refers to the current market value of a single share of a company's stock. In the context of the video, Tesla's stock price is mentioned as being up 1.8% for the session, indicating a temporary increase in value. The fluctuation in Tesla's stock price is a key point of discussion, with various factors such as company strategies and market conditions influencing it.

💡Fire and Hire Strategy

This refers to the practice of a company laying off employees and then rehiring them, often due to business needs or adjustments. In the video, it is mentioned that Tesla had laid off some workers from their supercharging team and is now reportedly bringing some of them back, which could be a strategic move to adjust to business demands or market conditions.

💡Promotional Rate

A promotional rate is a special, often lower, interest rate offered for a limited time to attract customers. The video discusses Tesla's introduction of a promotional rate of 0.99% APR on qualifying Model Y purchases, which is significantly lower than the previous rates, aiming to stimulate demand for their electric vehicles.

💡Annual Percentage Rate (APR)

APR represents the annual rate of interest on loans, expressed as a percentage. In the script, Tesla's promotional APR of 0.99% is highlighted as an incentive for potential buyers, which is notably lower than the market rates, indicating a financial benefit for customers who qualify for this offer.

💡EVs (Electric Vehicles)

Electric vehicles, or EVs, are vehicles that use electric motors for propulsion rather than internal combustion engines. The video discusses the sluggish demand environment for EVs and Tesla's efforts to drive volume through promotional rates, highlighting the importance of EVs in Tesla's business strategy.

💡Tariffs

Tariffs are taxes imposed on imported goods, which can affect the cost and competitiveness of those goods in the market. The video mentions the Biden administration's consideration of substantial tariffs on Chinese EVs, which could impact Tesla's business and the broader EV market, depending on the outcome of these trade policies.

💡

💡Symbolic Tariffs

Symbolic tariffs are those that may not have a significant economic impact but are imposed to make a political or policy statement. The video suggests that the proposed tariffs on Chinese EVs might be more symbolic than economically meaningful, given that China does not heavily rely on the US market for its EV sales.

💡Meme Stock

A meme stock refers to a stock that has become popular and is driven by social media or internet forums, often leading to high volatility and speculative trading. The video discusses Tesla's stock in the context of meme stocks, noting the significant options trading activity and the short-term trading dynamics associated with Tesla's stock.

💡Analyst Ratings

Analyst ratings are the recommendations made by financial analysts regarding the future performance of a stock. The video highlights the varied analyst ratings for Tesla, ranging from 'buy' to 'sell', reflecting the differing opinions and the polarized nature of the company's stock among financial experts.

💡Volatility

Volatility refers to the degree of variation in a stock's value over time, often indicating the presence of risk. The video describes Tesla's stock as being overly volatile and quick-moving, which can be attributed to various factors such as market sentiment, company news, and broader economic conditions.

Highlights

Tesla's stock is up about 1.8% on the session, despite being down about 31% on the year.

Tesla introduced a promotional rate of 0.99% APR on qualifying Model Y purchases from May 10th to May 31st.

The promotional rate is significantly below market rates, which were previously as high as 6.5%.

Tesla is reportedly bringing back some of the 500 workers from the supercharging team that were laid off last month.

The Biden administration is considering substantial tariffs on Chinese EVs, potentially increasing them to 102.5% from 27.5%.

The proposed tariffs are more symbolic than meaningful, as China does not rely on the US market for EV sales.

US-listed shares of Chinese EV companies like Li Nio, Xpeng, and BYD are showing strength, not weakness, following the tariff report.

Guggenheim has reiterated its sell rating on Tesla, with a price target of $126, which is below the current share price.

Tesla's stock has been volatile, with different time frames showing mixed performance.

There is a wide range of analyst ratings and price targets for Tesla, from $22 to $310.

Analysts are split between buy, hold, and sell recommendations for Tesla.

Tesla has been a polarizing stock, with opinions varying significantly among analysts.

Tesla's stock was one of the highest rated in the S&P last year, but has since fallen substantially.

The analysis and ratings for Tesla are difficult to predict due to the inconsistency in analyst opinions.

Tesla's stock has elements of a meme stock due to the high volume of options trading.

Despite being a larger and more established company, Tesla's stock has a short-term trading dynamic.

The median price target for Tesla among analysts is $17,750, with only about a $6 upside from the current trading price.