Has World War III Already Started?
Summary
TLDRThe video script discusses the possibility that World War III began in 2014 with Russia's annexation of Crimea and the subsequent conflict in Eastern Ukraine. It draws parallels between this current conflict and previous world wars, highlighting the involvement of multiple actors, new weapon systems, economic warfare, and propaganda. The script emphasizes the importance of understanding the information war and the role of cyberspace and media in shaping perceptions and dividing opinions. It also explores the unlikelihood of nuclear weapon use due to strategic and political implications, suggesting that the war is now fought through influence and misinformation.
Takeaways
- 🌏 The script suggests that World War III may have already begun, with its roots possibly traced back to the 2014 Crimea annexation by Russia.
- 🗓️ The author first admitted to the possibility of World War III in March 2022, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
- 🎙️ The script mentions the author's appearances on various media platforms discussing the imminent start of World War III.
- 📺 The script includes a discussion on the historical context of World War I and II, including their causes and characteristics.
- 💥 The script highlights the use of new weapon systems, economic warfare, and propaganda as common features across the world wars.
- 🔍 It discusses the first mentions of 'World War III' in historical documents and the public psyche, especially in relation to nuclear warfare.
- 🇺🇦 The conflict in Ukraine is analyzed as a potential catalyst for World War III, with a detailed look at the events since 2014.
- 🤖 The script addresses the modern domains of warfare, including not just land, sea, and air, but also cyberspace and the information domain.
- 🇷🇺 The author contemplates the use of nuclear weapons in the current conflict, analyzing their tactical value and strategic implications.
- 🕊️ The script concludes that while the world is in a state of war with elements of past world wars, the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to global political dynamics.
- 🌐 The final takeaway emphasizes the new kind of warfare focused on influencing minds through information and media, rather than solely on physical battles.
Q & A
What does the speaker suggest about the start of World War III?
-The speaker suggests that World War III may have already started, potentially with the Russian invasion of Crimea in 2014, and that the conflict in Ukraine could be seen as a part of this ongoing war.
What was the speaker's personal solution to dealing with the stress of World War III discussions?
-The speaker's personal solution to dealing with stress from World War III discussions was to start shaving his head, which he found easier during his time as an infantry platoon sergeant.
What product does the speaker promote for addressing hair loss?
-The speaker promotes 'Keeps', a service that provides professional care for hair loss from the comfort of your home, with treatment plans tailored by licensed medical providers.
What historical events are mentioned as precursors to World War I?
-The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand on June 28, 1914, and the Franco-Prussian War of 1871 are mentioned as events that contributed to the conditions leading up to World War I.
What are the primary features of World War I according to the script?
-The primary features of World War I mentioned in the script include multiple actors and theaters of war, introduction of new weapons systems like submarines and poison gas, economic warfare through blockades and sanctions, and the use of propaganda.
When did the term 'World War III' first appear in Time Magazine?
-The term 'World War III' first appeared in Time Magazine on November 3rd, 1941.
What is the significance of the conflict in Ukraine according to the speaker?
-According to the speaker, the conflict in Ukraine is significant as it shares many features with past world wars, including multiple actors, new weapon systems, economic warfare, and pervasive propaganda, and it represents a new kind of war fought in cyberspace and through media.
What are some of the domains where modern warfare is fought, as mentioned in the script?
-The script mentions that modern warfare is fought not only on land, sea, and air but also in cyberspace, information domain, and through influence operations.
Why does the speaker believe the use of nuclear weapons in the current conflict is unlikely?
-The speaker believes the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely due to the strategic and political implications, the modern battlefield where precision-guided weapons are prevalent, and the fact that any use of nuclear weapons by Russia would almost guarantee a response from NATO.
What is the speaker's view on the current state of warfare, especially in terms of information and influence?
-The speaker views the current state of warfare as one that is fought in cyberspace and through media, with the aim to influence minds, shape perceptions, and divide and conquer through misinformation and fear.
What is the connection made between the conflict in Ukraine and the concept of World War III in the script?
-The connection made is that the conflict in Ukraine, with its multiple actors, new weapon systems, economic warfare, and propaganda, shares features with past world wars and represents an ongoing conflict that could be considered part of World War III.
Outlines
🌏 World War III: The Unacknowledged Global Conflict
The speaker posits that World War III commenced in 2014, triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent annexation of Crimea. This perspective suggests that the conflict has been ongoing, with the West largely responding with economic sanctions rather than military action. The paragraph also touches on the speaker's personal anecdote about hair loss and a sponsored product, Keep's, for addressing male pattern baldness. It provides a brief historical context of World War I and II, highlighting their features such as multiple actors, new weapon systems, and economic warfare, and introduces the concept that World War III may not be a distant threat but an ongoing reality.
📰 Historical Speculations on World War III
This paragraph delves into the historical references and speculations about World War III. It discusses the first usage of the term in Time Magazine in 1941, during World War II, and the subsequent discussions in the New York Times in 1945. The speaker mentions various predictions and fears about a potential third world war, particularly focusing on the Soviet Union and the possibility of Germany as an aggressor again. The paragraph also covers the public's perception of nuclear warfare and the integration of nuclear weapons into the concept of World War III, as seen in popular novels and media of the 1950s.
🔍 The Current State of Global Warfare
The speaker examines the current conflict in Ukraine, arguing that it shares many characteristics with past world wars, such as multiple actors, new weapon systems, and economic warfare. The paragraph outlines the events leading up to the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the subsequent conflict in Eastern Ukraine, suggesting that these events are part of an ongoing World War III. It also discusses the modern domains of warfare, including not just land, sea, and air, but also cyberspace and information warfare, emphasizing the role of propaganda and influence in the current conflict.
☢️ The Improbability of Nuclear Warfare in the Current Conflict
In this paragraph, the speaker explores the potential scenarios in which nuclear weapons could be used in the current conflict, concluding that their use is unlikely due to strategic and political implications. The speaker explains that modern intelligence and reconnaissance systems make it difficult to conceal troop movements, reducing the effectiveness of nuclear weapons for creating breakthroughs. They also discuss the potential global response to nuclear use, including the retaliatory use of nuclear weapons by NATO, and the political risks for leaders like President Putin.
🌐 The New Face of War: Cyber and Information Warfare
The final paragraph emphasizes the shift in warfare from traditional battlefields to cyberspace and media influence. The speaker argues that the conflict in Ukraine is indicative of a new kind of war, where the primary objectives are to influence minds and shape perceptions through misinformation and fear. They also mention the potential global implications of using nuclear weapons, such as setting a precedent that could affect other geopolitical conflicts, like a potential invasion of Taiwan by China. The speaker concludes by reflecting on the nature of the current global conflict and the importance of understanding the new domains of warfare.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡World War III
💡Invasion of Ukraine
💡Economic Warfare
💡Propaganda
💡Nuclear Weapons
💡Cyberspace
💡Information Warfare
💡Multiple Actors
💡Strategic Bombing
💡Deterrence
💡Influence Operations
Highlights
The speaker suggests World War III may have already started, with roots possibly traced back to 2014.
The concept of World War III has been circulating since the end of World War II, with various predictions and fears.
The term 'World War III' was first used in Time Magazine in 1941, suggesting a future conflict with Germany as the aggressor.
Economic warfare, including blockades and sanctions, has been a feature of both World Wars and is seen in the current conflict with Russia.
The conflict in Ukraine, starting from 2014 with the annexation of Crimea, is considered by some as the beginning of World War III.
The speaker discusses the evolution of warfare domains, including the addition of cyber and information warfare.
The use of nuclear weapons in modern warfare is limited to specific scenarios due to advancements in precision-guided weapons.
The speaker argues that the current conflict shares features with past world wars, such as multiple actors and new weapon systems.
The role of propaganda in shaping public perception is highlighted as a significant aspect of the current conflict.
The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding the information domain in modern warfare, which includes cyberspace and media influence.
The potential use of nuclear weapons by Russia is discussed, with the conclusion that it is unlikely due to strategic and political implications.
The speaker mentions the influence of China in the conflict, suggesting they may discourage Russia from using nuclear weapons.
The concept of a 'new kind of war' is introduced, focused on influencing minds and shaping perceptions through misinformation and fear.
The speaker concludes that we are indeed at war, but in a different form that includes cyber and information warfare.
The transcript includes a promotional segment for Keeps, a service addressing hair loss, indicating the speaker's personal experience and a special offer.
Historical context is provided for both World War I and II, detailing their origins, features, and the evolution of warfare.
Transcripts
are we fighting World War III right now
not only are we fighting it it started
in 2014 I first admitted to this back in
March of 2022 one month after Russia
invaded Ukraine I know flyone might be a
moral imperative but we have to be aware
of the consequences that will happen day
one we also have to understand that
World War III may have already started
and we're just delaying the inevitable
and I touched on it again when I went on
the destiny podcast and I touched on it
again when I went on Sebastian or's
radio show where I said are you kind of
fed up Ryan with the World War II is
about to begin crowd cuz this has been a
drum beat for months now so I I'm
actually of the opinion that World War
III began two years ago oo okay that I
it began when Russia invaded Ukraine
interesting expand absolutely so uh I
could even go back even further and say
that it it probably started in 2014 when
President Obama did not stand up to to
the crime Invasion to the Crimean
Invasion now if all this talk of World
War III makes you want to pull out your
hair have I got the solution for you you
know I started shaving my head back when
I was an infantry platoon Sergeant it
was just easier that way then I got out
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engineer started growing out in my hair
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results May Vary now let's get back to
talking about World War II now in order
to understand World War I I want to talk
about World War I and World War II World
War I then almost universally known as
the Great War or the world war started
on August 1st 1914 when Germany declared
war on Russia and then 2 days later on
on France but it had its roots Going
Back 2 months previously to the June
28th assassination of arch duuk
Ferdinand you can even say that the
seeds were swn back in 1871 after the
Franco Prussian War when France lost its
territory of Alise line to Germany so
what were the primary features of the
first world war well it featured
multiple actors and theaters of War it
introduced new weapons systems like the
submarine and poison gas featured
economic warfare waged using blockades
sanctions and Contraband lists and all
sides used propaganda to justify their
involvement with World War II which at
the time was often just called the war
or in the Soviet Union and modern day
Russia the Great Patriotic War that
started on September 3rd 1939 when
Germany invaded Poland America entered
the war on December 8th 1941 After Japan
bomb Pearl Harbor but Europe had already
been fighting for 2 years and
technically there was fighting going on
in Asia for four years so you could say
that the seeds of the European conflict
go all the way back to World War I when
the Treaty of Versailles tried to hobble
and humiliate the
Germans so what were the main features
of World War II you had multiple actors
in theaters of War new weapon systems
like strategic bombing and ballistic
missiles global economic warfare using
blockades sanctions Contraband lists and
who can forget the propaganda now it
wasn't until late 1944 that Americans
started calling World War II World War
II in fact my copy of the victorial
history of World War II has a copyright
date of 1944 it was being written as the
war was still
underway now the first use of the term
World War III can be found in this issue
of Time Magazine from November 3rd 1941
you see Germany had pushed the UK across
the English channel in 1940 and the two
sides just kind of glared at each other
while Germany invaded Russia and
Yugoslavia and Greece will
simultaneously bombing London but one
could say that the war was technically
over so it was thought that Germany
would get bogged down in Russia and then
try to establish some kind of Peace as
it built up their Navy for the next
fight so some people thought that World
War 2 was already finished and World War
III would be that great push into Europe
the term World War II pops up in the New
York Times on February 10th 1945 from an
anti-war group known as the society for
the prevention of World War III here
they warn that a Soviet back Coalition
of self-proclaimed anti-national
socialists made up of former German
officers should not be recognized as
part of the legitimate German
reconstruction government so the term
was used with the assumption that there
would be a third world war with Germany
as the aggressor again
and in another article this time on May
2nd talks about how Stalin was the only
real Victor in Asia and that makes World
War III Over Russian domination of Asia
an almost certainty then on October 9th
1945 General georgees Patton claimed
that another war was inevitable although
he refused to speculate with whom and
when it would probably be started by a
Madman who claimed
outrage sound familiar by December 7th
1945 General Hap Arnold the man who
devised a strategic bombing campaign
over Germany and Japan advocated that
the North Pole would be important in the
Next Great War and keep in mind that
back then nuclear weapons were delivered
by bombers and the shortest route to the
Soviet Union was over the North Pole so
the Spectre of World War I has been
around since the end of World War II
although it implied conventional
conflict the first associations with
nuclear weapons came in 1950 when the
daily worker a local Chicago communist
newspaper accused President Harry S
Truman of trying to convert the conflict
in Korea into World War III funny thing
the actual article ends with the words
hands off Korea Korea for the Korean
people and America for the American
people and the lock out of China and the
USSR and the United Nations Outlaw the
atom bomb prevent World War III you can
see how something like this could be a
tweet today the words and accusations
haven't even Changed by 1953 Atomic
scientists were warning that the Soviet
Union had about 50 or so Atomic weapons
and World War III was most probable the
1950s saw the Advent of popular novels
like tomorrow and on the beach and the
last Babylon and now the notion of World
War III and nuclear weapons were firmly
entrenched in the public psyche so let's
look at the conflict in Ukraine some
people say that the conflict started on
February 24th 2022 but not a fe
Ukrainian to understand the gravity of
this claim we must revisit the events of
2014 and that year started with Ukraine
in turmoil the euromid in protest led to
the aler of President Victor anak kovic
a move that Russia saw as a direct
threat to its influence in the region in
response Russian troops in unmarked
uniform forms moved into Crimea seizing
control of key infrastructure and
government buildings following Crimea
the conflict spread to Eastern Ukraine
the dunas where pro-russian separatists
essentially supported by Moscow engag in
a brutal war against Ukrainian forces
the war resulted in thousands of deaths
and has displaced Millions so you could
even say that World War III happened in
Crimea back in 2014 when Russia took
Crimea by force and the world responded
with a shrug H Maybe a couple of
sanctions everything but a
gun so what are the features of this
current War how does it match up to
World War I and World War II well we
have multiple actors essentially a
coalition of the West versus Russia Iran
China and in some cases North Korea
although we don't really have multiple
theaters we do have four overseas
theaters that are active 247 watching
over this stuff centcom eurom afrom and
southcom war is not just being fought on
the land domain and the Sea domain and
in the air but in cyers space and in the
information domain through pro-russian
influencers we've seen new weapons like
drones and loitering Munitions and of
course you've seen economic warfare
using blockades sanctions and Contraband
lists and who can forget the propaganda
the 24/7 propaganda that spills out of
computers into the brains of people who
are terminally online now nobody would
argue that land Warfare is a domain of
warfare it's been the case since the
first caveman picked up the first Spear
and said you know what I really don't
like how [ __ ] is always in charge and we
fought on the sea since the pipian war
air has been a domain of combat since
World War I you could even make the
argument that space has been a domain of
warfare ever since the first golf War
when the US was able to navigate the
uncrossable desert of Iraq due to GPS
satellites cyber has been a domain of
warfare since 2007 when Estonia moved a
bronze statue of a Soviet soldier from
the center of the city of Talon to a
World War II military cemetery and
Russia's response was a massive denial
of service attack on estonia's internet
infrastructure today as I speak Russia
is conducting influence operations to
convince you that Ukraine is not worth
supporting information war is a domain
of warfare that weaves it way through
all the other domains so you can
certainly say that we are at war with
Russia right now Russia is fighting
against the minds of the American people
it is a war to divide us a war to
convince you that standing up to the
bear will cause World War III that we
see in the movies when if you look at
the information domain we're already at
War we're already at war with
Russia you know I read this book nuclear
war by Annie Jacobson and the book left
me feeling very afraid not that there
was going to be a nuclear war but
because our idea of World War III and
nuclear war is so intertwined that the
book could be used by Russia to threaten
the West as in like uh don't stand up to
Russia because what if Russia goes
Nuclear So let's talk about that let's
talk about what go nuclear would
actually look like what advantage does a
nuclear weapon give an adversary now
back in the 1960s Battlefield used of
nuclear weapons made sense we really
didn't have the kind of precision guided
weapons that could let's say take out a
bridge so if the Soviets were advancing
and we needed to drop a bridge yeah a
nuclear weapon delivered by a fighter
made sense because you didn't have to be
that surgical but today on the modern
Battlefield nuclear weapons are really
only good for about five things nuclear
weapons can be used to create a gap in
enemy defenses that the enemy would then
push through the Gap to break through
nuclear weapons could be used to stop an
advance of an enemy Force nuclear
weapons could be a good choice for
destroying a command bunker that is
really deep underground nuclear weapons
would be a good choice for destroying an
aircraft carrier battle group and
nuclear weapons would be a good choice
for destroying an amphibious Landing or
a major river crossing so let's look at
all those options could Russia use a
nuclear weapon against Ukrainian lines
to create a breakthrough probably not
the ISR intelligence surrounds
reconnaissance system are so good that
any buildup of troops would be very
difficult to hide and you need that
massing of troops because you want to be
able to breakthrough and then sustain
that breakthrough and right now massing
anything more than a company of troops
or armored vehicles puts you at an
incredible visual thermal and Signal
signature which would be detected and
these vehicles would be destroyed
through Precision fires so could Russia
use a nuclear weapon against advancing
Ukrainian forces if they broke through
Russian lines and tried to to cut off
Crimea again probably not Ukraine
suffers from the same problem as Russia
they just can't Mass troops without
being detected and you've seen how hard
it is for Ukraine to make a breakthrough
so could Russia use a nuclear weapon on
a Ukrainian underground command bunker
again probably not now when I say
underground Command Center I'm talking
about like NORAD and Cheyenne Mountain
or the hangsang military command center
in Taiwan that kind of Target for
command and control just isn't really a
valid case because it doesn't really
exist in Ukraine so could Russia use a
nuclear weapon against Ukrainian naval
battle Group Well Ukraine doesn't have a
navy and that makes the whole point
about using a nuclear weapon to stop a
beach head on an amphibious Landing kind
of mood as well so there's really no
tactical reason to use a nuclear weapon
in Ukraine now if NATO intervene could
some of those use cases become valid
maybe but the one thing people tend to
forget is that NATO has nuclear weapons
too and President Vladimir Putin knows
that any nuclear weapons used by Russia
would almost guarantee the use of
nuclear weapons from NATO dictators tend
to want to stay in power and nuclear
conflict even if it's limited to
Battlefield use could see the end of
President Putin as a leader I'll give
you one more possible scenario the
People's Republic of China certainly may
have warned President Putin not to use a
nuclear weapon because it could set a
precedent remember that last use case
for a nuclear weapon where a nuclear
weapon could be used to stop an
amphibious Landing Force well if China
decided to invade Taiwan they are going
to have a heck of a beach head with a
long supply line so they probably aren't
too keen on the normalization of
tactical nuclear weapons so are we
fighting World War III right now in many
ways yes the conflict in Ukraine shares
many features with the world wars of the
past multiple actors new weapon systems
economic Warfare pervasive propaganda
the battles are not just fought with
guns and missiles but with information
and influence the seeds of this war were
swn long ago with the annexation of
Crimea in 2014 and subsequently the
conflict in eastern Ukraine and the West
responses largely been economic and
diplomatic avoiding direct military
confrontation but we're still at
War the use of nuclear weapons is
unlikely given the Strategic and
political implication a modern
Battlefield and Global political
landscape makes such a decision fraught
with Peril for Any Nation including
Russia we're in a new kind of War one
that's fought in cyers space and through
the media instead of just on the ground
the aim is to influence minds and shape
perceptions divide and conquer through
misinformation and fear thank you guys
for watching it's me Captain Bannon of
the documentary Team Yankee when I'm not
kicking commie butts I'm wearing
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