Biden's FAVE CNN Anchor Panics: HE'S LOSING

Summary

The transcript discusses the current political landscape with a focus on Joe Biden's administration and the challenges it faces. Political commentator Fareed Zakaria expresses concern over the direction of the country, noting that Trump is leading in swing states and that the Democratic party appears more divided than in recent history, particularly over the conflict in Gaza. The approval of Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict is low, and there's a significant generational divide in sympathies towards Israelis and Palestinians. The script also highlights the potential impact of voter apathy and the disillusionment among certain demographics, such as black voters, due to unfulfilled promises. It suggests that a low-turnout election might favor Biden, but high-turnout elections, like in 2016 and 2020, could be more challenging. The commentary concludes with a bleak outlook for Biden's re-election chances, comparing the situation to that of Jimmy Carter, and noting a reliance on the abortion issue as a key campaign point.

Takeaways

• 📊 Polls suggest that Donald Trump is leading in most swing states, which is a shift from previous expectations.
• 🔍 There is a belief that polls have historically underestimated Donald Trump's support rather than overestimated it.
• 🏙️ The Democratic party appears to be more divided than it has been in decades, particularly over the issue of the war in Gaza.
• 📉 Joe Biden's approval rating regarding his handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict is low, with only 33% of Americans approving.
• 🤝 Despite past opposition, Republicans seem to be uniting behind Trump, with previous divisions fading away.
• 📈 Trump has taken the lead over Biden in terms of who is seen as more competent, with a 16-point lead in January 2024.
• 🗳️ There is a concern that a low voter turnout could favor Biden, while high turnout elections, like in 2016 and 2020, favored Trump.
• 👥 Charlamagne tha God, a notable political commentator, has decided not to endorse Biden again due to unfulfilled promises from previous endorsements.
• 📉 There is a significant generational divide in the Democratic party's stance on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, with younger voters leaning more towards sympathy for Palestinians.
• 📉 Joe Biden's policy on the Israel-Hamas conflict is unpopular within the Democratic base, leading to division and dissatisfaction.
• 📍 The Biden campaign is facing coalitional problems and a lack of enthusiasm, with some drawing comparisons to Jimmy Carter's presidency.

Q & A

What is Fareed Zakaria's main concern regarding the current political landscape?

Fareed Zakaria is concerned that the political landscape is not playing out as he expected, with Trump leading in almost all swing states and the Democratic party appearing more divided than it has been in decades over issues such as the war in Gaza.

What does Zakaria suggest about the accuracy of polls in relation to Trump's support?

Zakaria suggests that polls have generally tended to underestimate Donald Trump's support rather than overestimating it, implying that the actual support for Trump might be higher than what the polls indicate.

What issue is causing a division within the Democratic party according to the script?

The war in Gaza is causing a significant division within the Democratic party, with some members criticizing Biden's handling of the conflict and the party's stance on Israel.

What historical analogy is drawn by Bernie Sanders regarding the war in Gaza?

Bernie Sanders has drawn an analogy between the current situation and the Vietnam War, suggesting that the eruption of pro-Palestinian protests could be Biden's Vietnam, referencing Lyndon Johnson's decision not to run for re-election in 1968 due to opposition to the war.

What does the script suggest about the Republican party's unity?

The script suggests that the Republican party appears to be uniting behind Trump, with any opposition he faced in the primaries largely disappearing.

What is the general sentiment expressed by Charlamagne the God regarding his endorsement of Biden?

Charlamagne the God expresses disappointment and a sense of being burned by his previous endorsement of Biden, as he feels that the promises made to his audience were not fulfilled.

What impact does voter apathy have on the election outcome according to the script?

The script suggests that voter apathy, or the 'couch,' could be a significant factor in the election outcome, with high turnout elections favoring Trump due to increased participation from non-traditional voters.

What does the script imply about the Democratic party's approach to issues other than funding wars?

The script implies that the Democratic party is perceived as cowardly on a number of issues, with excuses given for why certain actions cannot be taken, except when it comes to funding wars, which seems to receive bipartisan support.

What demographic shift is noted in the script regarding sympathy for Palestinians versus Israelis among Democrats?

The script notes a significant demographic shift among Democrats, with a plurality now sympathizing with Palestinians, which is a change from previous years.

How does age affect the views on the Israel-Palestine conflict according to the script?

The script highlights a substantial age divide in views on the Israel-Palestine conflict, with younger individuals (18 to 29) being more sympathetic to Palestinians, while older individuals (65 and over) are more sympathetic to Israelis.

What strategy does the script suggest the Biden campaign might be employing?

The script suggests that the Biden campaign might be opting for a strategy that focuses on running on the issues of abortion rights and labeling Trump as bad, while avoiding campaigning in areas where there is significant opposition from their own voter base.

Outlines

00:00

🔍 Political Commentary on Biden's Challenges

In this paragraph, political commentator Fareed Zakaria from CNN is discussed, who expressed concern over the unexpected political landscape, with Trump leading in swing states contrary to initial predictions. Zakaria notes that polls have historically underestimated Trump's support. The Democrats are depicted as divided over the Gaza conflict, with Bernie Sanders drawing parallels to historical events to emphasize the party's disunity. Only 33% of Americans approve of Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict, and the Republicans appear more united behind Trump. A worrying trend for Democrats is the shift in perception of competence, with Trump now leading Biden significantly in this regard. An interview with Charlamagne tha God highlights the dissatisfaction among black voters due to unfulfilled promises, contributing to a potential decline in voter support for Biden. The commentary suggests that voter apathy could be a significant challenge, with a preference for low voter turnout possibly favoring Biden due to the predictability of his core supporters.

05:02

📊 Shifts in Sympathy and Generational Divides Over Israel-Palestine Conflict

This paragraph presents polling data revealing a significant shift in sympathy among Democrats towards Palestinians, with 35% sympathizing more with them compared to 24% with Israelis, contrasting with the past. Republicans remain largely supportive of Israel with 72% versus 6% for Palestinians. A stark age divide is highlighted, with 47% of those aged 18 to 29 sympathizing more with Palestinians, while the majority of those aged 65 and above, 55%, side with Israel. The paragraph discusses how Biden's policy on the Israel-Palestine conflict is unpopular within his own party, causing division and dissatisfaction, particularly among the progressive wing. It suggests that Biden's coalition is facing challenges on multiple fronts, with a reliance on a defensive strategy centered around abortion rights and the negative perception of Trump, which may not be sufficient to secure his political future.

Keywords

💡Joe Biden

Joe Biden is the 46th and current President of the United States. The video script discusses his political standing, approval ratings, and the challenges he faces within his own party and from the opposition. It is central to the theme of political division and the potential outcomes of the 2024 election.

💡Fared Zakaria

Fared Zakaria is a political commentator and journalist who works for CNN. In the script, he is mentioned as giving a monologue that expresses concern over the political landscape, particularly the underestimated support for Donald Trump. His commentary provides insight into the perceived shifts in public opinion and party dynamics.

💡Swing States

Swing States are states in the U.S. that could go either way in an election, not strongly favoring one political party. The script indicates that Trump is leading in almost all swing states, which is significant for understanding the potential outcome of the presidential election.

💡Polls

Polls are surveys of public opinion used to predict the results of an election. The script suggests that polls have historically underestimated Donald Trump's support, which is a key point in discussing the reliability of polling data and its impact on political strategy.

💡Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders is a U.S. Senator and a prominent figure in the Democratic Party known for his progressive policies. The script refers to his comments on the war in Gaza and the potential impact on party unity, highlighting the internal divisions within the Democratic Party over foreign policy issues.

💡War in Gaza

The War in Gaza refers to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Palestine, specifically in the Gaza Strip. The script discusses how the handling of this conflict by the Biden administration has caused division within the Democratic Party, with differing opinions on the U.S. stance towards Israel.

💡Republican Unity

The term 'Republican Unity' is used to describe the solidarity and support behind Donald Trump within the Republican Party. The script contrasts this with the divisions within the Democratic Party, suggesting that unity could be a factor in the success of the Republican Party.

💡Voter Apathy

Voter apathy refers to the lack of interest, enthusiasm, or participation in voting. The script mentions 'the couch' as a metaphor for voter apathy, suggesting that a significant challenge in the election is motivating people to vote, particularly among certain demographics.

💡Black Voters

Black voters are a significant demographic in U.S. elections. The script discusses the potential shift in support away from Joe Biden among black voters, which could have implications for the election outcome. It also touches on the issue of unfulfilled promises and the impact on trust and voter turnout.

💡Charlamagne tha God

Charlamagne tha God is a radio presenter and media personality who is influential among certain demographics. The script quotes his decision not to endorse Biden again, reflecting a sense of disillusionment and the broader issue of endorsement and its influence on voter behavior.

💡Abortion Rights

Abortion rights are a contentious issue in U.S. politics, often dividing along party lines. The script suggests that the Biden campaign is focusing on the issue of abortion rights as a key platform, which is a strategic move to appeal to certain segments of the electorate.

Highlights

Fareed Zakaria warns that Trump is leading in almost all swing states

Polls have tended to underestimate Trump's support

Democrats are now bitterly divided over the war in Gaza

Only 33% of Americans approve of Biden's handling of the Israel-Hamas war

Republicans are uniting behind Trump

Trump now leads by 16 points on the question of who is more competent

Charlamagne the God says he won't endorse Biden again after feeling burned

Charlamagne criticizes Democrats as cowards for not fighting hard enough on issues

Low turnout elections may favor Biden, while high turnout elections favor Trump

Biden is struggling to inspire and speak to the wants, needs, and concerns of the public

Biden's campaign seems to be collapsing, with many fleeing the coalition

Biden is running on abortion and 'Trump is bad', avoiding campaigning in contentious areas

Democrats face a crisis as a Democratic president cannot even go to a college campus

Democrats had hoped that younger generations would solidify their majority, but that is not materializing

The Democratic party appears more openly divided than it has been in decades

Democrats now a plurality sympathize with Palestinians, a shift from previous years

There is a huge age divide in how the conflict is viewed, with younger people more sympathetic to Palestinians

Transcripts

here you've got Joe Biden's favorite

political commentator which is always

very difficult for me to say fared

Zakaria over at CNN on Saturday giving a

monologue that Biden almost certainly

saw in which he sounds a very dire

warning let's take a lesson none of this

is playing out as I thought it would

Trump is now leading in almost all the

swing States but behind those numbers

lie even more troubling details is

someone worried about the prospects of a

second Trump term I think it's best to

be honest about reality I understand

that polls are not always accurate but

in general they have tended to

underestimate Donald Trump's support not

overestimated it I doubt that there are

many shy Biden voters in the country

perhaps the most worrying new trend for

the Democrats is that far from being the

more unified party they are now bitterly

divided over the war in Gaza Bernie

Sanders has said the eruption of pro

Palestinian protests could be Biden's

Vietnam and even invoke the Spectre of

Lynden Johnson choosing not to run for

reelection in 1968 because of the

opposition to that war the analogy is

far-fetched America then was itself

sending hundreds of thousands of troops

to Vietnam with more being recruited

from college campuses every week but

there's no denying that the party seems

more openly divided than it has been in

decades only 33% of Americans said they

approved of Biden's handling of the

Israel Hamas War which is now opposed

both by people who think he is too soft

and people who think he is too hard on

Israel meanwhile Republicans seem to be

uniting behind Trump whatever opposition

he faced in the primaries has largely

melted away the one that troubles me the

most is on the question of who was the

more competent Joe Biden LED Donald

Trump by nine points in 2020 but Trump

now leads by 16 points in January 2024

look can't really dispute a single word

of what he says we also have an

interesting uh interview with

Charlemagne the God who did want fruit

the New York Times interestingly enough

uh which perhaps represents some of the

sentiment that we saw the bleeding away

of black voters for Joe Biden this is

what he had to say about why he won't be

endorsing Biden again I'm not endorsing

because I just feel like I've been

burned with that before you know because

you put your name on the line you

endorse somebody you tell your audience

this is who you should go out there and

vote for and your audience goes and does

it and then when they don't see these

things that they thought were going to

get pushed through they don't understand

Civics they're not thinking about that

they're like all they know is

Charlamagne told me to vote for this

person because this was going to happen

and this didn't happen I think they said

the numbers like 22% I don't think that

22% of black people are going to vote

for Donald Trump I think the biggest

thing that people are going to have to

fight against this year is the couch and

that's what I've been saying I keep

saying it over and over like dis elction

is three options Republicans who are the

crooks Democrats who are the cowards

because they don't fight enough for

nothing and the couch and the couch is

voter apathy Crooks versus the cowards

versus the couch that pretty to be

honest with you he's right I mean look

we've the problem is is that I actually

think a low turnout election plays out

in Biden's favor because it just means

that the people who love to vote and who

vote in every election Boomers and white

Suburban ladies those are the people who

are going to vote for Biden whereas I

think as we showed back in 2020 High

turnout election generally mean and 2016

too 2016 millions of people who had not

voted since the 1980s came out and voted

for Trump it's part of the reason the

polls were so off they not only came

back to the polls they brought even more

people who had never voted before in

2020 if we have a lower turnout election

let's say was 40s or 50% this time

around as opposed to two3 last time I

think it plays out in Joe Biden's favor

but look you never know right it's yeah

there's a lot of confounding stuff and

charlam uh doesn't bring up any specific

issues there but I know in the past he's

talked about you know great

disappointment over the promises that

were made over voting rights in

particular and then there's just you

know they they said that during the

election because they wanted to make

sure that black voters turn out to the

poll and signal that you know we're on

your side Etc and then to his point

about them being cowards not just on

this issue but on any number of issues

that you could take a look at and you

get there it's just nothing but excuses

for why we can't do this we can't do

that sorry we tried we want to but we're

with you but we just it's just too hard

except when it comes to funding Wars

then you know then it happens then the

bipartisan magic comes together and

whatever needs to pass comes to pass so

you know you can't blame him for feeling

like I was made a set of promises I used

I trusted that I made a set of promises

in effect to my audience saying like I

think this is the person who can deliver

these things that you're interested in

and I'm just not going to put myself in

that position again you really can't

blame him you just quickly going back to

read Zakaria and you know his commentary

about the um Israel's assault on Gaza

there were some interesting numbers in

this poll as well they asked the

question about who do you sympathize

more with the Israelis or the

Palestinians Democrats now a plurality

sympathize with the Palestinians which

is an extraordinary shift from previous

years up to this point you have 35% who

say they sympathize with the

Palestinians over 24% who say they

sympathize with the Israelis the

remainder say don't know or both equally

uh Republicans very one-sided 72%

sympathize more with Israel 6%

sympathize more with the Palestinians

and the other thing is um huge age

divide which won't surprise you guys um

if you've been watching this coverage 18

to 29 you got 47% who say we sympathize

more with the Palestinian so very close

to a majority only 23% say they're with

um the Israelis 65 plus polar opposite

majority 55% were with Israel only 14

14% were with the Palestinians so you

see huge both partisan and generational

divides in terms of how they're viewing

this conflict and um to Fed zari's

accurate point you know this has really

Joe Biden's policy here is not popular

with the Democratic base and has really

um divided the Democratic Coalition and

created not just apathy but utter

disgust among some certain um portion of

that Democratic base so you know these

are when you look at who's fleeing the

Biden Camp as we said before most of

those people are actually more on the

the moderate to conservative side but of

the lefties and progressives who uh

voted for him in 2020 and who have left

the Biden Camp it is overwhelmingly over

this one issue yeah it's look he's got

coalitional problems all over the map he

can't really afford any of them he's not

really inspiring or speaking to the

wants the needs or the concerns of and

so you get basically a total collapse I

mean more and more this just looks a lot

like Jimmy Carter that I've said

previously his only saving grace is some

sort of hidden abortion you know

phenomenon which is a hell of a thing to

bait ba you know to bet your entire

political future on that's stunning but

that's the that is the choice that he

has decided to make it's the most

apathetic choice you could possibly make

but it makes sense for what some an

82-year-old man who would be if he were

to be reelected yeah they're they're

opting for just running on abortion and

Trump is bad and really avoiding

campaigning anywhere where they can see

this descent including as we covered

yesterday very possibly moving the

entire DNC online to avoid the

recriminations from their own voter base

I just listen for for people who are a

little younger I I don't know if you

could understand like Obama was the

candidate of like the college C the

whole idea was these younger Generations

are going to be firmly in the Democratic

camp like it's done as they come of age

Republicans are totally screwed there

were books that were I think it was what

James Carville wrote this book 40 more

years based on this concept of you know

these young people are growing up and

they'll be a bulk of the voting

population and then it's over for the

Republicans so the idea that a

Democratic president cannot even go to a

college

campus disaster utter and complete

disaster hey guys if you like that video

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