MLB Picks and Best Bets for September 27th, 2024!

Summary

In this video, Zach from 'Being the Odds' recaps his previous day's MLB bets and shares his new picks for September 27, 2024. He admits a tough day but remains positive, emphasizing their overall success this season. Zach shares two picks: Astros money line (+105) against the Guardians, highlighting their pitching advantage and stronger lineup, and the over 8.5 in the San Diego vs Arizona game, citing weak bullpens and high-scoring potential. He encourages viewers to subscribe for daily betting insights and join his member's only best bets for more exclusive picks.

Takeaways

• 📅 The video was recorded on Friday, September 27th, 2024.
• 🎥 Zach is the host of the 'Being the Odds' channel, focusing on MLB Best Bets.
• 📉 The previous day's bets did not go well, with the Royals and Orioles losing.
• 📈 Despite a bad day, the channel is up for the year with a profit of +37.615215 units.
• 👍 Zach encourages viewers to subscribe and hit the notification bell for daily MLB picks.
• 🏈 The channel also covers NFL, college football, NBA, and NHL, with a college football video out currently.
• 🚀 The channel is aiming for its first 15,000 subscribers.
• 🌟 The first play of the day is on the Astros money line against the Guardians, with the Astros being the sharp side.
• 🆚 The Astros have a pitching advantage with Blanco over Ceno, and their lineup is stronger than the Guardians.
• 🔝 The public is favoring Cleveland, but Zach thinks the Astros need a strong finish for playoff momentum.
• ⚾ The second play is the over 8.5 in the San Diego and Arizona game, with both teams' bullpens being weak and lineups strong.

Q & A

What is the date mentioned in the script?

The date mentioned in the script is Friday, September 27th, 2024.

Who is the host of the channel 'Being the Odds'?

The host of the channel 'Being the Odds' is Zach.

What was the outcome of the bets placed the day before the recording of the script?

The bets placed the day before the recording did not go well, as indicated by the host saying 'that sucked' and mentioning that the Royals, Orioles, and Dodgers and Yankees games did not go as predicted.

What is the current year-to-date performance of the bets mentioned in the script?

The year-to-date performance of the bets is plus 37.615215 units.

What type of bets does Zach typically place?

Zach typically places bets on underdogs, as evidenced by his repeated mention of betting on underdog teams.

What is the first play that Zach recommends in the script?

The first play that Zach recommends is the Astros money line at plus 105 versus the Guardians.

What is the reasoning behind choosing the Astros money line?

Zach chooses the Astros money line because of their starting pitching advantage with Blanco over Ceno, and their overall stronger lineup compared to the Guardians.

What is the second play that Zach discusses in the script?

The second play that Zach discusses is the over 8.5 in the San Diego and Arizona game.

Why does Zach believe the over 8.5 bet is a good choice?

Zach believes the over 8.5 bet is a good choice because both teams' bullpens are tired, both lineups are strong, and playoff atmospheres tend to increase scoring.

What additional content does Zach mention being available on the channel?

Zach mentions that the channel also posts NFL, college football, NBA, and NHL videos.

How can viewers access the member's only best bet?

Viewers can access the member's only best bet by visiting the zdm bets.com website, which is linked in the comments below the video.

Outlines

00:00

🎥 Welcome to Being the Odds: MLB Best Bets

Zach introduces the video, welcoming viewers to the channel. He shares the date—September 27, 2024—and announces the focus of the video, which is MLB Best Bets. He introduces himself and provides a quick recap of the previous day's results, highlighting the success and failures of certain bets, including losses on the Royals, Orioles, and Angels.

📉 Reflecting on Losses: Sharp Bets Gone Wrong

Zach discusses some of the bets that didn't go as planned, such as the Royals, Orioles, and Angels games, where sharp money didn't result in wins. He reflects on the losses but stays positive, pointing out that despite the bad day, overall, the channel is still up for the year with a profit of +37.615215 units.

🔔 Channel Updates and Content Overview

Zach encourages viewers to subscribe, like, and hit the notification bell to stay updated on new picks and videos. He mentions that the channel consistently posts daily MLB content and also covers NFL, college football, NBA, and NHL. He highlights a newly released college football video and shares excitement about reaching 15,000 subscribers.

⚾ MLB Best Bet: Astros Money Line vs Guardians

Zach shares his first bet for the day: Astros money line (+105) against the Guardians. He explains the rationale behind the pick, emphasizing the Astros' pitching advantage with Blanco and a better overall lineup compared to Cleveland. Despite the Guardians' stronger bullpen and playoff aspirations, Zach believes the Astros need to finish strong heading into the postseason.

📈 Over 8.5 in San Diego vs Arizona

Zach’s second bet is the over 8.5 in the San Diego vs Arizona game, which he’d bet up to 9. He points out that both bullpens are worn out from recent games, and while starting pitchers Darvish and Kelly have solid stats, he expects more runs due to tired bullpens and competitive lineups. He also mentions the influence of Arizona’s elevation and playoff atmosphere.

💰 Final Remarks and Member-Exclusive Picks

Zach wraps up by promoting a member-exclusive MLB best bet and a college football pick available on his website. He encourages viewers to lock in their picks and expresses optimism about winning together. He ends with a positive note, inviting viewers to return for more content the next day.

Keywords

💡MLB Best Bets

This refers to the daily betting recommendations on Major League Baseball games provided by the host. The video focuses on these bets, analyzing matchups and performance trends. The host discusses the results of past bets and offers new ones for the day, showing that these bets are central to the video’s theme.

💡Sharp Money

Sharp money represents bets made by professional or highly knowledgeable bettors who are expected to have an edge. In the video, the host mentions that 'sharp money was on both' certain teams, indicating that these picks were supported by expert bettors, emphasizing the analytical approach taken when selecting bets.

💡Money Line

A money line bet in sports betting is a wager on which team will win a game, regardless of the point spread. The host provides a recommendation for the 'Astros money line' and discusses its odds (+105), meaning a successful bet would yield a profit. This type of bet is a central concept in the video as it forms the basis for several of the host's picks.

💡Underdog

An underdog refers to the team that is less likely to win according to betting odds. The host frequently mentions betting on underdogs, such as picking the Astros despite them not being favored. This illustrates the host's strategy of seeking value in underdog bets, which can lead to higher returns if successful.

💡Bullpen

In baseball, the bullpen refers to the group of relief pitchers who enter the game after the starting pitcher. The host compares the bullpens of the Astros and Guardians, noting that while the Guardians have a stronger bullpen, the Astros' advantage lies in their starting pitcher. The state of each team's bullpen is crucial for understanding betting strategies.

💡Over/Under Bet

An over/under bet involves predicting whether the total number of runs scored in a game will be over or under a specific number set by oddsmakers. In the video, the host suggests betting on the over 8.5 in the San Diego vs. Arizona game. This highlights how scoring trends and team performance influence the decision to bet on the total score.

💡Playoff Atmosphere

The term 'playoff atmosphere' refers to the heightened intensity and competitive nature of games as teams fight for playoff positions. The host suggests that games with a playoff atmosphere tend to have higher scoring, which is why they recommend betting on the over in certain matchups. This concept is crucial for understanding why some games are perceived as more volatile or high-scoring.

💡Starting Pitcher

The starting pitcher is the player who begins the game on the mound for a team. The host emphasizes the importance of the starting pitcher in his betting analysis, noting that the Astros have an advantage with Blanco starting over the Guardians' pitcher. This highlights how starting pitchers influence the outcome of games and betting decisions.

💡Members Only Best Bet

This refers to exclusive betting picks provided to paid members of the host's platform. In the video, the host briefly mentions a 'members only best bet,' suggesting there are additional premium picks available beyond those shared publicly. This is a key part of the host’s business model, where exclusive content is offered to a select group.

💡Public Betting

Public betting refers to the general population's tendency to bet on popular teams, often leading to skewed odds. The host mentions that 'the public today is all over Cleveland,' implying that casual bettors favor Cleveland, while the sharp side (more experienced bettors) is backing the Astros. This distinction between public and sharp betting is crucial to the host's analysis.

Highlights

Recap of yesterday's bets: Royals, Orioles, PR's, Dodgers, Yankees, and White Sox games reviewed.

The White Sox dominated the Angels, a surprising performance considering their inconsistent season.

Despite losing bets yesterday, the channel is still up for the year with +37.615215 units.

Zach emphasizes the focus on finding games that matter for the playoffs and where sharp money is placed.

Encourages viewers to subscribe for daily MLB picks, as well as NFL, college football, NBA, and NHL videos.

Play of the day: Astros money line (+105) versus the Guardians, with a pitching advantage for Houston.

Astros starting pitcher Blanco has a clear edge over Guardians' Ceno, making Houston the preferred bet.

Though the Guardians have a better bullpen, Zach argues that starting pitching is more important in this matchup.

The Astros’ lineup is significantly stronger than the Guardians, giving Houston another advantage.

Public betting favors Cleveland due to their fight for playoff seeding, but Zach believes the Astros have more to prove.

Second play of the day: Over 8.5 total runs in the San Diego vs. Arizona game.

San Diego’s bullpen is fatigued from the Dodgers series, while Arizona’s bullpen is considered weak.

Despite strong starting pitchers (Darvish and Kelly), the lineups and bullpen situations make the over bet attractive.

Zach notes that playoff atmosphere can lead to increased scoring, making the over 8.5 more likely.

Mentions the member’s-only best bet for MLB and a college football pick available on the zdm bets website.

Transcripts

Hello everybody welcome back to being

the odds it is Friday September 27th

2024 we are back with our MLB Best Bets

of the day if you're to the channel my

name is Zach and welcome to being the

odds let's recap yesterday results so I

said it was Best Bets of the day it was

not Best Bets yesterday holy that

sucked members only best betet uh Royals

first five V 0.5 L Orioles money line

PR's money line both sharp money was on

both it was a sharp side without a

question and the Dodgers and Yankees

pulled it out and the angel just got

absolutely Smoked by the white socks I

mean that was just just the white sock

if they play like that the whole year

they might have been in better shape but

is what it is guess what we got smoked

yesterday but I don't really give a

because for the year we're at plus we're

Plus 37.615215

[Music]

is a little questionable I'm trying to

find games where these games like

genuinely matter so I'm going to I'm

going give you guys two plays Day on

YouTube One member's only best bet um

and then we're going to uh get out of

here we're win some money so but if

you're new to the channel though hit

that subscribe button like this video

Hit notification Bell so you never miss

a pick WE Post MLB videos every single

day whether you want a tail whether you

want to fade you may as well that

subscribe button um and we also post NFL

college football NBA and NHL videos but

those are back on we have a college

football video out right now so

definitely go check that out we're going

after our first 15,000 subscribers so

I'm excited to have youall here let's go

win together today let's go make some

money so let's jump into the plays that

we have today I'm going to start with

our first play the Astros money line

plus 105 versus the Guardians it is the

sharp side it is a is an underdog again

that's what we we've bet a lot of

underdogs here um versus the Guardians

first off the Astros have a major

starting and pitching Advantage with

Blanco over Ceno uh the Guardians

Bullpen is better not going to lie it is

better but starting pitching matters

more than Bullpen pitching does in this

specific instance because the astras are

still pretty solid on the on the bullpen

front but the biggest difference here

astr lineup top the bottom they're just

way better than whatever the Guardians

have to offer and the public today is

all over Cleveland um because I think

Cleveland's still fighting for seating

Astros are not but I think they but with

how the Astros started this season they

really need to finish this thing strong

to keep some momentum going into the

playoffs so give me the Astros money

line plus 105 in Cleveland today and

then we're go with the over8 and a half

in San Diego and Arizona I would play

this up to nine that's where I think

most um most books are on uh FanDuel for

me has 8 and 1 half so I'm rolling with

it um it's likeus 124 but the sharp on

the over uh San Diego's Bullpen is

completely gassed um after this last

series with the Dodgers the

Diamondback's Bullpen is complete trash

as well um both these lineups are really

really good uh darish and Kelly have

good stats but for me it's it smell this

is a stinky play cuz I think that I mean

like if it's both these guys are mid

three guys eras which is really solid

but the over is somehow nine and you can

say it's because of the elevation in um

in Arizona which definitely could be a

case but I think it's it's more so the

fact that these bullpens are gas both

these lineups are awesome and they're

both still fighting for for seaing and

you know in the playoffs at least what I

noticed is when you have playoff time

atmosphere the the scoring goes up so

give me the over eight and a half San

Diego and Arizona now like I said guys

you have a member's only best bet in the

MLB one colle football as well you get

the zdm bets.com website is linked in

the comments below but guys go lock with

those picks let's go win together today

let's go make some money I'll see you

all tomorrow