How Rishi Sunak is losing the right-wing media | Andrew Marr | The New Statesman

The New Statesman
26 Jan 202416:36

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the complex and rapidly changing relationship between UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and the traditionally Conservative-supporting right-wing media. It describes how papers like The Telegraph and broadcasters like GB News are increasingly critical of Sunak, nudging their readers/viewers towards the further-right Reform UK party. The script argues this reflects genuine anger within the Conservative grassroots and predicts it may spark a future leadership contest, installing a more populist leader who struggles with moderates in Parliament. It concludes by saying such media hostility to a flailing government is rare and signals growing authority issues at the heart of politics.

Takeaways

  • 📰 The right-wing media, traditionally supportive of the Conservative Party, is increasingly hostile towards Rishi Sunak and his government.
  • 🔍 An opinion poll in the Daily Telegraph suggested a significant decline in Conservative Party support, predicting a landslide victory for Keir Starmer's Labour Party.
  • 🗳️ The detailed Telegraph poll allowed MPs to see the potential impact on their individual constituencies, creating unease within the Conservative Party.
  • 📈 Reform UK, a right-wing party, is gaining traction among traditional Conservative voters and media, potentially leading to a significant shift in UK politics.
  • 🔥 The Telegraph's critical stance towards the Conservative Party marks a departure from its historical alignment and could influence the party's future direction.
  • 🌐 The potential takeover of the Telegraph by a consortium involving foreign investors is a pivotal moment for British journalism and its independence.
  • 💼 Modern newspaper editors, driven by data and reader feedback, are less politically aligned and more focused on audience interests, impacting their editorial choices.
  • 📺 GB News, a right-leaning broadcaster, debates openly supporting Reform UK, which could further influence the political landscape.
  • 🤝 Rupert Murdoch's News UK is reportedly aligning with Keir Starmer's Labour Party, indicating a shift in media support towards the likely next government.
  • ⚖️ The changing media landscape reflects a broader shift in politics, with the media seeking new alignments amidst a perceived decline in Conservative Party authority.

Q & A

  • What is the relationship currently like between Rishi Sunak's government and the conservative media?

    -The relationship is increasingly hostile, with conservative media becoming more aligned with the right-wing and critical of Sunak's government ahead of the next election.

  • How damaging was the recent Daily Telegraph opinion poll for Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives?

    -It suggested the Tories were heading for their worst election defeat since 1906, which is very damaging for Sunak. The poll predicts a 1997-style wipeout with Labour having a 120 seat majority.

  • How could Reform UK pose an existential threat to the Conservative Party?

    -Reform UK is polling around 12-13% currently. Richard Tice believes with Nigel Farage's return they could get 16-17% by Easter. If they reach 20% and rival the Conservatives, it could split the right-wing vote and wipe out the Tories.

  • Why might the Telegraph be attacking Rishi Sunak's government when they may need its help against the Redbird takeover bid?

    -The new generation Telegraph editors like Chris Evans are data-driven and focused on readership. Readers are shifting to Reform UK, so the Telegraph reflects that in coverage critical of Sunak, despite needing government help against Redbird.

  • How could Paul Dacre and Rupert Murdoch's media operations impact the next election?

    -Dacre admires the Telegraph's Chris Evans, so if his Mail group bought the Telegraph he'd strongly influence the next Tory leadership race. Murdoch has apparently done a deal with Starmer's Labour, sensing they will win.

  • What is GB News' stance and how could it damage Rishi Sunak?

    -GB News owner Paul Marshall favours pluralism. It regularly features Reform UK members and is debating backing them fully. This platform for criticism of Sunak from the right is very difficult for Number 10.

  • Why can't Rishi Sunak rely on traditional right-wing media allies?

    -Times/Sun are distancing from Tories as Murdoch courts Starmer. Telegraph is reflecting its shifting readership. Unherd/GB News back Reform UK. Most media follow where power is heading, which is away from Sunak.

  • What change is happening in the new generation of newspaper editors?

    -They are data-driven and focused on readership over political links. Constant reader feedback means they reflect readers shifting to Reform UK rather than supporting Sunak like old Tory-linked editors.

  • How could the media landscape explode the right of British politics?

    -If Reform UK rivals Tories in polls, right-wing media backing them could help wipe out centrist Conservatives at the election. Then activists would elect a populist leader, shunned by Tory MPs.

  • What is driving the changes in the media's relationship with Rishi Sunak's government?

    -There is a radical loss of authority at the center of politics. The media reflect this by moving away from a failing Tory party and exploring alternatives like Reform UK or Labour instead of dutifully backing Number 10.

Outlines

00:00

😕 Conservatives face hostile right-wing media

Paragraph 1 discusses how the conservative party is facing increasing hostility from the right-wing media. It describes how a Daily Telegraph poll predicted a devastating defeat for the Tories in the next election. Lord Frost and Reform UK are putting pressure on the conservatives on issues like immigration. There are predictions that Reform UK could reach 17% in the polls by Easter, threatening the Tories.

05:02

🚨 Telegraph faces authoritarian takeover bid

Paragraph 2 talks about the takeover bid for the Telegraph and Spectator by an authoritarian consortium Red Bird IMI. Many Telegraph editors oppose this bid. The government can block the deal and the Telegraph needs Rishi Sunak's support. But the Telegraph is still attacking Sunak due to a generational change in editors like Chris Evans who are data-driven and don't have close ties to the Tories.

10:03

📰 Conservative hostility across right-wing media landscape

Paragraph 3 discusses the wider British media landscape which is increasingly hostile to Rishi Sunak and the conservatives. GB News owner Paul Marshall is debating backing Reform UK. News UK and The Sun have seemingly reached an agreement with Labour's Keir Starmer. Number 10 faces a loss of authority and increasingly radicalized conservative activists.

15:05

😔 Media changes reflect and drive conservative party decay

Paragraph 4 concludes that the media changes are not a conspiracy but reflect loss of conservative authority, changing business models and ownership. This will likely lead to the election of an authoritarian populist Tory leader who will clash with Tory MPs, creating further party decay.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Rishi Sunak

Rishi Sunak is the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, referenced in the context of his challenging relationship with right-wing media. The script highlights a moment of tension between Sunak's leadership and conservative media outlets, indicating an evolving and increasingly hostile dynamic. This scenario is emblematic of broader shifts within the UK's political landscape, where traditional alliances between the Conservative Party and certain media outlets are under strain. Sunak's leadership faces scrutiny from these media entities, who criticize his policies and political stance, thereby influencing public perception and political discourse.

💡Conservative Media

Conservative media, traditionally aligned with the ideologies and interests of the Conservative Party in the UK, are undergoing a transformation. The script points out a shift from being supportive entities to adopting a more critical, right-wing stance. This change is significant as it represents a fragmentation within the ideological support base that the Conservative Party once relied upon. Examples from the script, like the coverage of opinion polls and immigration policies, illustrate how these media outlets are now exerting pressure on the Conservative leadership and influencing political debates.

💡Reform UK

Reform UK is presented as a right-wing political challenger to the Conservative Party. The script discusses its rising popularity, as evidenced by increasing poll numbers, and its potential to disrupt the traditional two-party dominance in UK politics. The mention of Reform UK underscores a broader narrative of political fragmentation and the emergence of new political forces that appeal to disenchanted conservative voters. The video script highlights the strategic positioning of Reform UK and its potential impact on the Conservative Party's electoral prospects.

💡Daily Telegraph

The Daily Telegraph, a longstanding newspaper traditionally aligned with Conservative values, is depicted as playing a pivotal role in the current political discourse. The script details an instance where the newspaper published a damaging opinion poll for the Conservative Party, showcasing its shift from a supportive role to a more critical, possibly antagonistic stance. This example illustrates the changing dynamics between the Conservative Party and its historically allied media outlets, highlighting how media influence can shape political outcomes.

💡Media Ecosystem

The media ecosystem refers to the complex network of media outlets, platforms, and their interactions with political entities and the public. The script delves into how changes within this ecosystem, characterized by shifts in media ownership, editorial stances, and the rise of new media players, are influencing political narratives and party dynamics. It highlights the importance of understanding these changes to grasp the evolving political landscape and media's role in shaping public opinion and political fortunes.

💡GB News

GB News is identified as an insurgent television network with a right-leaning editorial stance. The script discusses its potential influence on the political scene, especially in relation to its coverage of Reform UK and Conservative Party critics. GB News represents a new breed of media outlet that contributes to the diversification of the media landscape and the broadening of political discourse. Its role in the video script illustrates the impact of media plurality on political alignment and voter behavior.

💡Extinction Event

An 'extinction event' is used metaphorically to describe a scenario where the Conservative Party faces a significant electoral defeat, potentially leading to a fundamental reevaluation or restructuring of the party. This term, drawn from the script, captures the existential threat perceived by some within the party due to the rising challenge from Reform UK and the shifting media landscape. It encapsulates the sense of crisis and urgency surrounding the party's future electoral prospects and identity.

💡Election Polls

Election polls are surveys that gauge public opinion on political parties and their leaders, often predicting electoral outcomes. The script references specific polls indicating a severe decline in support for the Conservative Party, highlighting the role of polls in shaping political narratives and strategies. These polls, especially when covered extensively by the media, can influence public perception and political momentum, underlining their significance in the pre-election period.

💡Immigration Policy

Immigration policy emerges as a contentious issue within the script, illustrating its role as a divisive topic in UK politics. The Conservative Party's stance on immigration, particularly the Rwanda Bill vote, is scrutinized by right-wing media and political figures, reflecting broader debates on national identity, security, and multiculturalism. This focus on immigration policy highlights the complex interplay between political strategy, media coverage, and public sentiment.

💡Media Ownership

Media ownership refers to the control over media outlets and their editorial direction, which is a central theme in the script. The potential takeover of The Daily Telegraph and The Spectator by a foreign consortium is discussed as a critical moment for British journalism and its independence. This scenario underscores concerns about the influence of media owners on the political narrative and the importance of ownership in preserving journalistic integrity and freedom.

Highlights

Right-wing media becoming increasingly hostile towards Conservative party

Daily Telegraph published devastating poll showing Conservatives facing wipeout

Lord Frost actively involved in commissioning anti-Conservative poll

Poll intended to pressure PM on immigration stance before Rwanda vote

Telegraph has never been uncritically loyal to Conservative leaders

Telegraph seems to be nudging readers towards Reform UK, away from Conservatives

Reform UK could be level pegging with Conservatives by summer

Curious Telegraph is attacking PM when it needs government help against UAE bid

New generation of data-driven, non-establishment editors less biddable

Readers moving to Reform UK, loops back into Telegraph editorial decisions

Potential Telegraph bidder also owns large stake in pro-Reform GB News

GB News debate on fully backing Reform UK over Conservatives

Cabinet minister predicts media pushes activists to Reform UK after election

If Reform UK gets 20%+ support, could be extraordinary right-wing explosion

Seeing what happens when government loses authority - media don't tie to losers

Transcripts

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conservatives have never seen the

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right-wing media so powerful and also so

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hostile to their

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[Music]

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party this week I'm writing about the

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extraordinary and fast changing

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relationship between rishy sunak Downing

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Street ahead of the election and what

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used to be called the conservative media

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but increasingly is more the right-wing

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media we are seeing a very important

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cult and political change going on and

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if there is a mood of paranoia in

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Downing Street is not entirely

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unreasonable this part of the story

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really goes back to rumors spreading on

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the evening of Sunday January the 14th

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about the following day's Daily

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Telegraph Splash story this featured a

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frankly devastating opinion poll

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suggesting the Tories were heading for

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their worst fall in the vote since 1906

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what the newspaper Splash called a 1997

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Style wipe out and with Kia starmer's

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party having 120 strong Landslide

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majority after the general election now

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often if you're trying to gauge the

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emotional intended impact of a newspaper

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story you have to look at the picture

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beside it and the picture here showed a

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particularly uncomfortable sweaty

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looking Richie sunak staring out of the

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paper as if he was sucking a lemon it

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was fairly clear what was going on but

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lest there be a cintilla of Doubt Lord

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Frost one time big backer of Boris

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Johnson and now one of the arch critics

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of Rishi sunak inside the conservative

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party wrote a piece in the paper

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boasting that he himself had been

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involved in commissioning and analyzing

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the poll an analysis by the way that

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Yuga who carried out the poll then

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argued about it seemed to push the

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conservatives even further towards a

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reform UK kind of attitude towards

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immigration and was clearly intended to

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put particular pressure on the Prime

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Minister on the week of the big Rwanda

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Bill vote indeed Lord Frost said that

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unless the Tories were going to be

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tougher still on immigration they faced

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what he called an Extinction event at

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the hands of Reform UK at this point you

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might be wondering what all the fuss is

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about after all there have been an

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absolute slew of polls all showing much

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the same thing Rishi sunak conservative

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party in real real deep trouble and if

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this particular attack was intended to

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stiffen the resolve of the so-called

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Spartans on the right of the party then

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it completely failed because on the

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Rwanda vote they marched up to the top

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of the hill took one look at the

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opposition in terms of numbers and ran

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straight back down again and Rishi sinak

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won that vote rather successfully and

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yet the telegraph poll was about more

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than a snapshot this was a very very

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detailed analysis which can be broken

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down constituency by constituency

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allowing individual Tory MPS to look in

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black and white at the likelihood of

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them being defeated in the forthcoming

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general election and for a parliamentary

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party which is already divided tired and

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demoralized this was a pretty

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devastating act by The Daily Telegraph

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now of course the telegraph or as it's

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often widely known the Tory graph has

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long been a kind of Bible of the

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conservative family but it has never

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been kneejerk loyyal to Tory Prime

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Ministers I'm thinking for instance of

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the terrible experience that John Major

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had during the M Revolt at the hands of

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the telegraph you you wouldn't feel when

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if you went to see Mr major that um it

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was very important to straighten your

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tie before you went into the room I'm

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thinking of the really severe impact the

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telegraphs exposure of the expenses

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Scandal had on a slew of senior Tory MPS

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and I'm thinking more recently of the

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expose of Matt Hancock this has never

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been a paper which looks at number 10

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asks what they want to read and then

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prints it it's never been like that

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however these times are different and

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much more dangerous first of all the

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conservatives really are facing a

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devastating general election if the

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polls are right and second unlike normal

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circumstances there is a real genuine

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right-wing Challenger to the

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conservative party under Richard TI and

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reform UK and what the telegraph seem to

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be doing is nudging towards reform UK

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and away from the conservative party and

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that is what is really spooking number

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10 now I've spoken to Richard Ty and he

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points out reform UK backed by lots of

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people in the media and now at around 12

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to 133% in the polls he does not believe

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that Nigel farage will be able to resist

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coming back as he says onto the pitch

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for an election campaign and he thinks

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that by itself is probably worth another

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two or three points to reform UK he

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believes that reform UK could be up to

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16 17 points by Easter and by the summer

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could even be get this level pegging

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with the conservative party and he too

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using the same language interestingly as

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Lord Frost talks about an extinction

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level event facing the concern

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conservatives at the general election I

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think we are seeing essentially the sort

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of the dying days potentially the last

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ever majority conservative government so

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this stuff is real you can understand

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why people around rishy sunak are pretty

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spooked what's really curious about the

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telegraph's handling of all of this is

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the timing because the newspaper

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including its stablemate The Spectator

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faces a takeover bid from a company

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called redb bird IMI which is a joint

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Consortium between American Venture

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capitalists that's the red bird bit and

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The Sovereign wealth fund of Abu Dhabi

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under shik mansur who is also by the way

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the owner of Manchester City now the

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emiratis are authoritarian they have no

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great love or tradition of free speech

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it would be the first time that the

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Sovereign wealth fund of another

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government and an authoritarian

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Government tried to buy a major

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newspaper in the UK and a lot of people

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at the top of the telegraph including

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the current editor and previous editors

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and most of the senior editorial staff

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absolutely loathe the prospect of being

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taken over by Red Bird IMI and I think

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even if the Emirates and the Americans

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tried to stuff their mouths with gold

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many of them would simply walk away if

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that happened it's a very very important

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moment for British journalism generally

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and the Curious bit of this of course is

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that who can protect the telegraph well

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basically only the government the

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culture secretary Lucy Fraser is taking

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the bid in for analysis and scrutiny the

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competition and markets authorities and

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other people will be involved in all of

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that but the important point to remember

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is that Telegraph needs rishy sunak

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needs his government so why is it

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attacking him quite so vigorously right

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now now I think the answer to this is

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nothing to do with conspiracy it's about

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the personalities involved and it's

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about a really important change in the

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ecosystem of the media generally so the

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personalities is first of all in the old

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days the editors of the Daily Telegraph

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Her Majesty's Daily Telegraph were part

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of the higher ecosystem of the concern

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conservative family they'd go to the

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same clubs at lunchtime have a few gin

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and tonics and a decent bottle of Claret

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with a cabinet minister roll back to the

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office and then at the weekends they'd

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be off in the country shooting or riding

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or whatever with conservative ministers

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they were part of that family the new

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generation are completely different what

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you need to remember is that right

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across Fleet Street at the moment what

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used to be called Fleet Street Paul

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daker the former editor of the Daily

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Mail has seeded a series of younger

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journalist as editors who are

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phenomenally influential and they're all

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in a sense quite similar there is Tony

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Galler at the Times there is Ben Taylor

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at the Sunday Times and indeed there is

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Chris Evans at the Telegraph and these

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are datadriven ferociously hardworking

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editors who disdain kind of political

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and Social Links are very very

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suspicious of friendly smiling

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politicians of any stripe there's a

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story about Chris Evans which may be

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apocryphal but I think has a kernel of

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Truth which is that at one point in the

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middle of a very very busy evening

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Newsroom when everyone's rushing around

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his wife and his small children appear

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and she's brought them in for him to say

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good night to because that was the only

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way he was ever going to see them that

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gives you some sense of the driven

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quality of this group of journalists

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they are not the kind to be won over by

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a gy and tonic in a cabinet Minister's

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office so that's one really important

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change these are DEA driven editors of a

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different style less biddable than the

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old Tory editors but they not only vaker

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driven editors they're data driven

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editors because modern newspapers work

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on a kind of endless loop they're all

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online subscription models so they're

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getting feedback in almost real time

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about how many readers are reading what

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and what articles they're spending time

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over that plus the endless emails and

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letters coming pouring into an editor's

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office gives a modern editor a much

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closer sense of what their readers are

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really interested in and really think

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and the truth is that a lot of these

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readers a lot of the the traditional

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Daily Telegraph audience are moving to

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reform UK they have given up on Rishi

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sunak they don't like him they feel that

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conservatives have failed over the last

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13 or 14 years and they're looking for a

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right-wing alternative and this kind of

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Loops back into the editorial decisions

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taken by the Telegraph and other

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newspapers and that is not something

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that number 10 can do anything about and

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that means these people are much less

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susceptible to being wooed by Tory

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cabinet ministers or indeed by the Prime

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Minister him himself now Paul daker

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really admires evans's editing of the

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telegraph we know this because the The

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crucial Mark of how much Paul daker

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likes somebody is whether he invites

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them to the rugby at Twickenham and then

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offers them lunch from the the boot of

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his car in the car park afterwards and

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Evans is almost always I'm told there

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and this really matters again because if

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Redbird uh the Abu Dhabi group don't

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take over the telegraph who does someone

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has to win and one of the answers might

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well be Lord rir proprietor of the Daily

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Mail uh employer of Paul deer and indeed

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now the propriety of the I and the metro

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newspaper and many others so this is

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somebody who would then if he had the

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telegraph as well he's got a tabloid

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he'd then have a broad sheet it's quite

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a good fit he would have an enormous

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influence on the next Tory leadership

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campaign so there is the really really

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important if slightly Tangled story of

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the telegraph red bird shik Manu Lord

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ramir Paul daker and the rest of it that

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is what number 10 is focusing on but

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there's another aspect to this because

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if it isn't Lord rir who may well Tire

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of the chase I'm told it's a Paul

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Marshall he is the hedge fund manager

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who owns the post liberal website

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unheard uh again very very well read

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inside the conservative family and he's

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also a 41% owner of GB news now GB news

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the upstart Insurgent television ision

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company on the right of British politics

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there's a lively debate inside GB news

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about whether to come out full on for

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reform UK rather than for the

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conservatives both Nigel farage and

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Richard T the current leader of Reform

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UK are regulars on GB news they're part

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of the lineup and the lineup also

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includes critics of rishy sunak inside

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the conservative party like Jacob rmog

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and the recently retired or resigned or

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sacked Deputy chairman Lee Anderson so

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it's not a favorable Pro Tory

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organization in any sense now Marshall

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is a really really interesting figure

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for a long time he was inside the

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liberal Democrats he worked for Charles

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Kennedy when Charles Kennedy was libdem

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leader um and he was part of the orange

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book group of liberal Democrats but he

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fell out with them over brexit he became

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a big brexit backer people who know him

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very well say to me that he is not a

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political extremist but he's obsessed by

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plurality and pluralism and different

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views being expressed in the broadcast

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media which is why he has been such a

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backer of GB news now GB news has its

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own culture War there's the kind of

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loudmouth would be American shock jock

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characters we all know about some of

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whom have been fired already and there

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are much more conventional if right of

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Center professional journalists involved

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there too so there's a really

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interesting debate going on if GB news

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comes out for reform UK fully then that

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will be quite a big moment and very

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difficult for number 10 because they are

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speaking to a lot of conservative

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activist people who have been inside the

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conservative party and who are now

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disillusioned this is not just a media

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story this is very much a major

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political story too okay okay okay you

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may now be thinking that's all very well

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Andrew Mar GB news the Telegraph and the

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mail but what about the really big

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player news UK Rupert Murdoch's

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operation inside Britain well I'm told

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that news UK has made not one but two

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attempts to buy GB news not so far

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successful and it's also pretty clear to

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me that news UK the Murdoch operation

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has done some kind of deal with Kia

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starmer's labor party Rupert Murdoch has

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always been somebody who looked to where

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power is moving and moves alongside and

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in this case it's very clear to him I'm

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sure that starmer is likely to be the

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next prime minister he like Bal daker is

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obsessed by stopping any kind of big

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public scrutiny of the role of the press

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in this country uh a so-called leveron 2

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inquiry particularly into links between

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the police and the journalists and I

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would not be at all surprised if he has

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not had some kind of commitments from

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Kia st's office apparently Kia starma um

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and his top people had a very very

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agreeable evening dinner at Scots

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restaurant in Mayfair with the News

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international team with the people at

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the top of the Sun newspaper and others

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just before Christmas draw your own

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conclusions so if you scroll back and

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you think about number 10 and you're

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richy sunak you say okay well because of

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that I can't rely on the times and the

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Murdoch stable for reasons we've been

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talking about I can't rely on the

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telegraph I can't rely on GB news I

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can't lie on unheard or many of the

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other uh right-wing websites you're

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starting to look at a media landscape

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which is surprisingly hostile one

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cabinet minister told me he could not

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remember a time when the British media

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in terms of the conservative party was

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both so powerful and so hostile and he

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predicted that in the end what would

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happen is a lot of conserv ative

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activists would follow a more reform UK

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style of politics in the Telegraph and

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and other places and GB news and after

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the defeat at the election would elect a

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much more populist authoritarian

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right-wing leader for the conservatives

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of the kind we've seen before and the

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kind those activists want and that

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person would then go back to Westminster

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to discover surprise surprise a

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conservative parliamentary party we

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didn't really like them and so we're

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going to go yet through yet another

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circle of conservative Decay and failure

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but this time driven in many ways by

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parts of the media in the end I don't

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think this is a story of conspiracy

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whatever number 10 believes I think this

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is a story about really important

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changes in the way newspapers operate

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and their relationship with their

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readers and increasingly their viewers

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as well and changes in ownership too I

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think what we're really seeing here is

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what happens when there is a radical

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loss of authority at the center of

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politics one of the things that happens

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is the media don't like tying themselves

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to a loser and start to look around for

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the next game in town it might be a

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different party it might be a different

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leader it might be a different style and

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I think that's what's really happening

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here but the effect will be pretty

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devastating I think for middle of the

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road or Centrist conservatives very very

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Grim for them indeed in terms of the

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leadership the the other contenders

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including people like SOA braan and kemy

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badok do not want to go too early kemy

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badok was apparently recently heard in

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the House of Commons saying that she

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wanted rishy to own the defeat um and

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when it comes to reform UK we just don't

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know what's going to happen but if

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reform UK do indeed helped by people in

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the telegraph helped by people at GB

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news get up to sort of 20 points or even

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north of that and do start to rival the

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conservatives I think we're heading for

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an absolutely extraordinary explosion on

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the right of British politics thank you

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for watching I would really love to know

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what you think so please if you can

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leave a comment below and don't forget

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to subscribe so that you can get videos

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